Dave Weigel says Josh Kraushaar's claim that Republicans are in a good position to take democratic stronghold senate seats in Illinois, Delaware, and New Hampshire. Weigel, of course, is right. Kraushaar is getting too excited and even if the GOP sweeps these states they'll have put moderate Republicans in place.

But I still think Democrats shouldn't rest easy. There has been a recent rash of strong candidates who have declined senate runs (Lisa Madigan of Illinois, Roy Cooper of North Carolina) while the White House backs mediocre-at-best alternatives (Specter, Gilibrand) instead. Meanwhile, better candidates who are interested in senate seats (Sestak, Maloney of New York) are getting no love from the Obama Administration. And yes, Cooper was tapped by the White House to run but he still didn't take the offer.

So the danger is two-fold in 2010: The Democrats could have a few more mediocre senators or they could have to deal with a few more moderate Republicans.