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Auto Industry to be restructured? Update 2


The Office of the President-Elect?

Obama Pushes for $50 Billion for Automakers, Oversight Czar

By injecting himself into the talks about how to save General Motors, Obama is making an exception to his decision to steer clear of policy-making until he takes office.

The president-elect also wants the Federal Reserve to extend emergency loans to General Motors, Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC, according to Obama aides who spoke on condition of anonymity.

The failure of those companies would likely bring down parts-makers, dealerships and suppliers in addition to inflicting a deep psychological blow.

If the plan were to offer no strong guarantees against layoffs it would likely draw fire from unions. But Obama advisers have been persuaded that the impact on current workers and retirees would be staggering if the companies went into bankruptcy.

Any auto czar or committee would presumably have the job of overseeing a restructuring of the auto industry.

With the right sort of restructuring, I’d be in favor of providing guaranteed loans, much as was done with Chrysler.

Update 2:G.M.’s Troubles Stir Question of Bankruptcy vs. a Bailout

But not everyone agrees that a Chapter 11 filing by G.M. would be the disaster that many fear. Some experts note that while bankruptcy would be painful, it may be preferable to a government bailout that may only delay, at considerable cost, the wrenching but necessary steps G.M. needs to take to become a stronger, leaner company.

Although G.M.’s labor contracts would be at risk of termination in a bankruptcy, setting up a potential confrontation with its unions, the company says its pension obligations are largely financed for its 479,000 retirees and their spouses.

Shareholders have already lost much of the equity that would disappear in a bankruptcy case. Shares of G.M. rose 16 cents Wednesday, to $3.08, but they have fallen 90.5 percent over the last 12 months, amid sharply lower auto sales and fears about G.M.’s future.

And as companies in industries like airlines, steel and retailing have shown, bankruptcy can offer a fresh start with a more competitive cost structure to preserve a future for the workers who remain.

Update 1: General Motors Death Watch 212: An Open Letter to President-Elect Barack Obama

Over the last three decades, for reasons too numerous to elaborate, the majority of Americans (especially passenger car buyers) have switched their loyalties to foreign-owned brands. You will hear various explanations for this failure from the men in charge of Detroit: unfair foreign trade, currency manipulation, fuel economy regulations, health care costs, union collective bargaining agreements, the current credit crisis and more. We urge you to discard these explanations and only look at sales trends for the past three decades. Again, for whatever reasons, American consumers mostly abandoned Detroit.

By the same token, American automakers abandoned their customers, by failing to invest its profits in flexible assembly techniques, new powertrains and platforms, and better design. By failing to spread their investments in a range of vehicles to meet consumer needs, or fully embrace the fuel efficient future that Congress has dictated. To rectify this situation, urgent action is required. But you, as president-elect, must face this crisis with a clear understanding of the limitations you face.

Restructuring

Restructuring is the corporate management term for the act of partially dismantling or otherwise reorganizing a company for the purpose of making it more profitable. Also known as corporate restructuring, debt restructuring and financial restructuring.

Restructuring is often done as part of a bankruptcy or of a strategic takeover by another firm, such as a leveraged buyout by a private equity firm.


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This is an excellent development. Obama needs to begin to exert direct national leadership on the key economic emergencies facing the country - and the world for that matter. We can't wait until Jan. 20 to deal with these incoming economic meteors.

Bush and the Republicans are in an extraordinarily weak and defensive position. A majority of the country backs the Obama economic agenda, and the Republicans can't dare stand in the way without paying a deep political price for obstruction. Bush has to join the parade or get out of the way as Obama begins to take a larger role.

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There's a lot that needs doing there. A complete redesign* of much of their product lines, relaunching of their bus and light rail product operations, massive pruning of a lot of unrelated business activities, and most important (and by far the least likely) - a national single-payer health care and pension system.

And lots of other related national infrastructure changes - this could be either a very wide, deep modernization of American urban transportation in general (if well-designed and fully implemented) or a catastrophic failure if GM, etc. are allowed to design it themselves, with no overarching vision driving it other than next quarter's balance sheet.

* Strict fuel economy and emissions standards, set without mandates for how they are reached. This will further innovation by not "locking in" to existing technologies. And no fines for vehicles that don't meet the standards, simply no sales of them.

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I notice there is an Office of Urban Policy in the works.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/10/obama-to-establish-urban_n_142793.html

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100% domestic content on each car would be good to have if we are going to inject money. As well, we have to prefentially treat sales of those cars. It is in the national interest if we buy more Big Three products than offshore products....I think Airbus has proved that point rather well.

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Writing those guidelines would be interesting. I agree that propping up Opel and Daewoo is not what we have in mind, but the parts industry is fairly international.

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Normally I'm against any kind of corporate "bail out". However if it must be done, restructuring is manditory. They also need to do an inventory of their products and get rid of those that do not or will not sell and bring the industry, that has been mired in the 60s and 70s era of behemoth gas guzzling barges, into the 21st century.

They also have a major public relations job ahead. Detroit has had the dubious distinction of producing some of the most mediocre to poor vehicles on the road. Improvements in handling as well as economy, safety and longevity are necessary and have been for quite sometime. This is needed in order do rid Detroit of the "American cars a junk" premise that has existed for so long.

C

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Donal

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