Econbrowser notices rescue bill
Econbrowser, started by Peak Oil aware economist James Hamilton, has commented very little on the rescue plans.
Menzie Chinn, the other half of Econbrowser, cautiously posts:
Menzie Chinn, the other half of Econbrowser, cautiously posts:
I think the members of Congress who voted against the plan the first time should, this time around, ask themselves this single question: "Do I Feel Lucky?" Those who are familiar with this quote will understand my meaning.As is often the case, the commenters don't hold back:
Caveats: First, of course, the plan is not perfect; but as they say, don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Second, the metaphor is inexact; in this case, collateral damage would encompass everybody -- innocent and guilty alike -- as well as the entire global macroeconomy.
Commenter JG:
They are throwing out liquidity aids when this is a solvency issue.
Until they address the underlying cause of the financial stress -- that U.S. households will not be good for their $14 trillion in debt -- they will be just postponing and exacerbating the implosion.
The bailout bill will not work, and will further freeze markets: why sell on the open market low when you can sell to the Treasury high? Why buy from a bank with whom you may not have recourse (risk of BK) when you can buy from the Treasury with whom you may have recourse?
The good news is that this effort will not last long. The economy is in a death spiral, and tax revenues are plummeting. When the bill passes tomorrow, foreigners will really get skittish about holding U.S. government debt, 'cause they see a whole lot more is going to be issued and they see the tanking U.S. economy.
When those foreigners get skittish and stop buying our t-paper, the game is over. The bailout bill will accelerate this, is my guess.
Commenter MarkS:
Thanks Menzie for noticing that this most important economic event in the last 80 years finally deserves a discussion on the Econobrowser.
My viewpoint is that it is UNCONSCIONABLE that the US government will securitize as national debt, derivative instruments originated by the US investment and banking industry. We are paying off the same people who participated in the fraud.
The government, through the FDIC, Comptroller of the Currency, and the FRBs, has all the power it needs to close down insolvent banks. The government can then take equity stakes in the survivors as it recapitalizes the system via banking institutions that have proved they are well managed... The TARP legislation does little more than enable end-game bank looting before checkmate.
See this NY Times article by Gretchen Morgenson on how AIG got suckered into owing $20 billion in Credit Default Swap settlements on Goldman Sachs securities.
Bookies in the U.K. are now taking bets on the first major city to experience a government acknowledged ECONOMICALLY INDUCED RIOT:











