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Barackolypse Now, or The Empire Strikes Black
So Jabba the Hut has weighed in, endorsing the now silver-haired Luke, "remember the terrorism line, Luke, remember the terrordome". Too late for the now tarnished Death Star, electricity cut off for several years, once shit-hot gleaming metal finish rusting. Princess Leia traded in her light saber for an over-under sawed off shotgun - "for recreational purposes, you understand" - but it's not enough to face the waves of new anxious Storm Troopers.
Ah well, Cheney, the mystery man of the White House, will be some kind of history come January. I figure he came out now to endorse simply because it doesn't matter. The weird one is that just 28% of white people who attend church regularly support Obama. The good news is that's a pretty tightly defined demographic, so over time when perhaps the Barackolypse doesn't bring in all the Four Horseman (tax hikes, Sharia Law, ban on guns, gay boy scout teachers) they'll settle down a bit to an anti-Obama bloc of just 60% or so.
Meanwhile, good new self-produced ad on Prop 8.
Winners & Losers of Campaign 2008? (Is it too early to start tabulating?). Drudge tarnished, Oprah brand tainted, Fox/MSNBC/CNN diminished, Samantha Powers & Wes Clark sidelined, Clintons halfway out of re-education camp, Sarah Palin will be Danger Mouse for years to come, McCain will be the new mascot for "nice guys finish last" (skillful marketing whether you like him or not), the Chicago School of just about anything is now in, the Iraq War still crazy after all these years, Warren Buffet the new more acceptable - to the right - George Soros, bloggers like Atrios-Digby-FiredogLake-Shakesville-Openleft-MyDD for helping shape and cut through the debate, Politico for finding a fairly neutral ground to report from, McClatchy for providing an independent voice on Iraq, MoveOn sidelined.
Name your own poison/pleasure below. And thanks to OpenLeft & Public Enemy for the title. And thanks to George the Curious Monkey Bush for providing the surreal background to what could have been an uneventful prosperous 8 years. You can keep the W's on your keyboards as souvenirs. We'll be throwing the lot out and fumigating anyway.
Update: As I mentioned in a comment, Glenn Greenwald has really shone on the blogosphere these last couple of years. Hard to believe that it took blogs to actually follow scandals like the prosecution of Scooter Libby, when the DC press was all aghast that one of their buddies would actually be indicted. Two years ago TPM Muckraker shone on collating all the existing scandals.
Update 2: In followup to my earlier posting on the large margin for females in early voting, wow! Look at those numbers in Georgia! Women make up 63% of the early black voters, 56% of early white voters. So let's see how women fare in new policies and in the divvying up of incoming administration positions - so far not too impressive share of the pie (since I assume Treasury will definitely be a man, Chief of Staff seems likely to go to Emmanuel, etc.), so might be a good time to put on the pressure for those you want before all the cherry spots are gone. But in any case, one of the big winners of 2008 - early voting! Vote early, vote often as we always said. Who needs the holiday rush to the polls? If you can't do it mail order, at least get it out of the way before November.
Update 3: who I'd like to be big losers would be the Blue Dog Democrat and of coure the biggest dog Independent, Joe Lieberman. But I haven't been able to figure out these last 2 years whether they were so clever or the Pelosi/Reid/Hoyer axis was so weak and ineffectual. We'll have to save some of our predictions until that important detail gets worked out. While I haven't been a big fan of some recent Obama positions, it wouldn't sadden me to see him instill some voting discipline in Congress. (Along with actually have Democrats remember their lines in front of the press, like the important lower end of the tax hike figures for Obama's tax plan. Richardson, Biden? To the principal's office, now. And bring your coats, you may be going home for the day.)
Update 4: A late entry big winner - the War in Iran!!! Yes, folks have been trying to proclaim it inevitable ever since Kyl-Lieberman, but no matter how many times we seemed close to the starting gate, it remained a non-starter. Until Sarah grabbed the bull by the horns and said what we've all been thinking for years - "Hey gang, we're at War with Iran!!!" Now that's just a tad maver-icky assuming the war powers as VP candidate even before you're elected, but I'm sure Cheney would approve - it seems to fit his style to a T.
Update 5: The death of the undecided voter. Once seen as weighing the scales of Solomon, pondering and considering in deep reflective wisdom, the undecided voter can now be summed up as David Sedaris in the New Yorker does: Think of being on an airplane. The flight attendant comes down the aisle with her food cart and, eventually, parks it beside my seat. "Can I interest you in the chicken?" she asks. "Or would you prefer the platter of shit with bits of broken glass in it?" To be undecided in this election is to pause for a moment and then ask how the chicken is cooked. Or as I see it, "Hi, I'm not a disgusted non-fundamentalist moderate, nor a progressive, nor a die-hard Republican nor a member of the armed services nor someone who can read the papers and interpret simple obvious facts by myself. I must be a _ _ _ _ _!!!"
Update 6: On the remaining to break side, it's hard to see yet how the youth turnout will actually go. Some are claiming business as usual, others are predicting much higher than usual. Does early voting hinder or help? I can't imagine it not being a record year, but... Big losers? Conservative religious fundamentalists. Perhaps the biggest winners - moderate conservative Republicans - that will be Obama's swing target group over the next 2 to 4 years. The Rove tactics were the dog that didn't quite bark this year - why not? I think they didn't believe McCain could win anyway, didn't really want him to win, enjoyed saddling him with Sarah like a 150-pound anchor to swim with in rough seas, and well it doesn't affect Rove's legacy anyway. Final tally for America - now okay to be black, not so good to be Muslim. As if we didn't see that coming on 9/12.
Update 7: Super cool, I've been enjoying OpenLeft's personal campaign ads, and now David Sirota (not always my favorite, I have to admit) has one on how New Yorkers can vote for Obama but still send a special "but make mine progressive" message along with it. So basically the candidate sees not one lump of votes, but a few lumps of votes from different sources. Nice to not just be lost in the crowd.
Update 8: The 50 state press. Well, it wasn't as thorough as we might have hoped, it was certainly much more advanced than 2004 & 2006, thanks in part to the early efforts of the Net Roots, having a riveting primary the first part of the year, and just in general having better candidates and worse prevailing conditions. But the lesson should be learned - don't give up early, keep the pressure up and capitalize on your opponent's mistakes, and support those lower-tiered candidates as well - they're the future bread-and-butter.
Ah well, Cheney, the mystery man of the White House, will be some kind of history come January. I figure he came out now to endorse simply because it doesn't matter. The weird one is that just 28% of white people who attend church regularly support Obama. The good news is that's a pretty tightly defined demographic, so over time when perhaps the Barackolypse doesn't bring in all the Four Horseman (tax hikes, Sharia Law, ban on guns, gay boy scout teachers) they'll settle down a bit to an anti-Obama bloc of just 60% or so.
Meanwhile, good new self-produced ad on Prop 8.
Winners & Losers of Campaign 2008? (Is it too early to start tabulating?). Drudge tarnished, Oprah brand tainted, Fox/MSNBC/CNN diminished, Samantha Powers & Wes Clark sidelined, Clintons halfway out of re-education camp, Sarah Palin will be Danger Mouse for years to come, McCain will be the new mascot for "nice guys finish last" (skillful marketing whether you like him or not), the Chicago School of just about anything is now in, the Iraq War still crazy after all these years, Warren Buffet the new more acceptable - to the right - George Soros, bloggers like Atrios-Digby-FiredogLake-Shakesville-Openleft-MyDD for helping shape and cut through the debate, Politico for finding a fairly neutral ground to report from, McClatchy for providing an independent voice on Iraq, MoveOn sidelined.
Name your own poison/pleasure below. And thanks to OpenLeft & Public Enemy for the title. And thanks to George the Curious Monkey Bush for providing the surreal background to what could have been an uneventful prosperous 8 years. You can keep the W's on your keyboards as souvenirs. We'll be throwing the lot out and fumigating anyway.
Update: As I mentioned in a comment, Glenn Greenwald has really shone on the blogosphere these last couple of years. Hard to believe that it took blogs to actually follow scandals like the prosecution of Scooter Libby, when the DC press was all aghast that one of their buddies would actually be indicted. Two years ago TPM Muckraker shone on collating all the existing scandals.
Update 2: In followup to my earlier posting on the large margin for females in early voting, wow! Look at those numbers in Georgia! Women make up 63% of the early black voters, 56% of early white voters. So let's see how women fare in new policies and in the divvying up of incoming administration positions - so far not too impressive share of the pie (since I assume Treasury will definitely be a man, Chief of Staff seems likely to go to Emmanuel, etc.), so might be a good time to put on the pressure for those you want before all the cherry spots are gone. But in any case, one of the big winners of 2008 - early voting! Vote early, vote often as we always said. Who needs the holiday rush to the polls? If you can't do it mail order, at least get it out of the way before November.
Update 3: who I'd like to be big losers would be the Blue Dog Democrat and of coure the biggest dog Independent, Joe Lieberman. But I haven't been able to figure out these last 2 years whether they were so clever or the Pelosi/Reid/Hoyer axis was so weak and ineffectual. We'll have to save some of our predictions until that important detail gets worked out. While I haven't been a big fan of some recent Obama positions, it wouldn't sadden me to see him instill some voting discipline in Congress. (Along with actually have Democrats remember their lines in front of the press, like the important lower end of the tax hike figures for Obama's tax plan. Richardson, Biden? To the principal's office, now. And bring your coats, you may be going home for the day.)
Update 4: A late entry big winner - the War in Iran!!! Yes, folks have been trying to proclaim it inevitable ever since Kyl-Lieberman, but no matter how many times we seemed close to the starting gate, it remained a non-starter. Until Sarah grabbed the bull by the horns and said what we've all been thinking for years - "Hey gang, we're at War with Iran!!!" Now that's just a tad maver-icky assuming the war powers as VP candidate even before you're elected, but I'm sure Cheney would approve - it seems to fit his style to a T.
Update 5: The death of the undecided voter. Once seen as weighing the scales of Solomon, pondering and considering in deep reflective wisdom, the undecided voter can now be summed up as David Sedaris in the New Yorker does: Think of being on an airplane. The flight attendant comes down the aisle with her food cart and, eventually, parks it beside my seat. "Can I interest you in the chicken?" she asks. "Or would you prefer the platter of shit with bits of broken glass in it?" To be undecided in this election is to pause for a moment and then ask how the chicken is cooked. Or as I see it, "Hi, I'm not a disgusted non-fundamentalist moderate, nor a progressive, nor a die-hard Republican nor a member of the armed services nor someone who can read the papers and interpret simple obvious facts by myself. I must be a _ _ _ _ _!!!"
Update 6: On the remaining to break side, it's hard to see yet how the youth turnout will actually go. Some are claiming business as usual, others are predicting much higher than usual. Does early voting hinder or help? I can't imagine it not being a record year, but... Big losers? Conservative religious fundamentalists. Perhaps the biggest winners - moderate conservative Republicans - that will be Obama's swing target group over the next 2 to 4 years. The Rove tactics were the dog that didn't quite bark this year - why not? I think they didn't believe McCain could win anyway, didn't really want him to win, enjoyed saddling him with Sarah like a 150-pound anchor to swim with in rough seas, and well it doesn't affect Rove's legacy anyway. Final tally for America - now okay to be black, not so good to be Muslim. As if we didn't see that coming on 9/12.
Update 7: Super cool, I've been enjoying OpenLeft's personal campaign ads, and now David Sirota (not always my favorite, I have to admit) has one on how New Yorkers can vote for Obama but still send a special "but make mine progressive" message along with it. So basically the candidate sees not one lump of votes, but a few lumps of votes from different sources. Nice to not just be lost in the crowd.
Update 8: The 50 state press. Well, it wasn't as thorough as we might have hoped, it was certainly much more advanced than 2004 & 2006, thanks in part to the early efforts of the Net Roots, having a riveting primary the first part of the year, and just in general having better candidates and worse prevailing conditions. But the lesson should be learned - don't give up early, keep the pressure up and capitalize on your opponent's mistakes, and support those lower-tiered candidates as well - they're the future bread-and-butter.
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Glenn Greenwald, another good voice of the last 2 years.
November 2, 2008 3:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Please add Scott Horton to that list and blogs like Balkinization (my home turf)....
November 2, 2008 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
You just did ;-) That's why I said add your own flavor or poison, I only know the ones I read. Though I'll do my best to delete anyone who adds Andrew Sullivan or Arianna Huffington. (I have some problems with Kos' site, but admire the work he's done).
November 2, 2008 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
my devious plan is unmasked!
November 2, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
More about "the undecided voter"...
"Can I interest you in the chicken," says the stewardess, and the undecided voter bites her on the heinie, buggers the air-marshal, and jumps out of the plane.
About 500 feet above the ground a pigeon flies by the undecided voter and says "Thanks for being a vegetarian."
Harharharhar!!!
"O the most violent Paradise of the furious grimace!"
November 2, 2008 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
You just did ;-) That's why I said add your own flavor or poison, I only know the ones I read. Though I'll do my best to delete anyone who adds Andrew Sullivan or Arianna Huffington. (I have some problems with Kos' site, but admire the work he's done).
November 2, 2008 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew Sullivan and Arianna Huffington.
Do your best, Desidero Creature. Delete at will.
November 2, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
You didn't say what they equal. AS + AH sitting in a tree...
November 2, 2008 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
= a Huffivan?
November 2, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
You didn't say what they equal. AS + AH sitting in a tree...
November 2, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
= a Lemur?
November 2, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
It looks well on the way to "Ass-hat", but I have to defer to Dij cause she's the expert, and she'll kick my pink ass (well, actually orange, but wanna be like the rest of the gang).
November 2, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really haven't time for precious, self-referential "blogs" which require knowledge of obscure pop culture references in order to "get" it.
Get over yourself.
November 2, 2008 4:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Then why are you here? Go play in the traffic.
November 2, 2008 7:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ahhhh yes, Nagarya the Wildebeest. Dude gets stressed this far from the Serengeti.
Hey Nagarya! Stomp any kids today?
November 2, 2008 12:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know, totally. Like, "Curious George"? I was like, WTF? Whatevs. That's why I never post comments in blogs, either.
November 2, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like the post, but I must add one thing: the definition of an undecided voter was written by David Sedaris -- it was in the New Yorker, but should be attributed to him. As for me, I'll have the chicken, no matter how it's cooked.
November 2, 2008 8:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fixed. One chicken with maggot puree coming up.
November 2, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
mmmmmm maggots
November 2, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Finally, something we can agree on ;-)
November 2, 2008 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
PS - Chicken lips, Barackolypse, get the connection?
November 2, 2008 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Does it have something to do with lipstick?
November 2, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
No no no - Bwakolypse - getting closer?
November 2, 2008 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mr. Kurtz? Penny for the old guy? Ear-whigs? What?
November 2, 2008 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Empire Strikes Bwack!!!
November 2, 2008 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
(ouch!)
(picks up tail feathers)
November 2, 2008 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
All I know is if Jesse Jackson Jr. is given Obama's Senate seat, I'll be screaming bloody murder. I think that's why all this talk of Rah Emanuel as Chief of Staff. Rahm belongs in the Senate! Or have a bloody coup in the house and have Rahm as the new Speaker of the House. If he can run the House Dems like he ran the DCCC, we are due for some real progress :)
November 2, 2008 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
The ruthless organizational purposiveness you allude to makes Rahm a great Chief of Staff.
November 2, 2008 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dude. 50 cents to say that 3 times, fast.
ruthlessorganizationalpurposivenessruthlessorganizationalpurposivenessruthlessorganizationalpurposiveness.
Wow, I'm impressed.
November 2, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
On a semi-random note. The stuff about the high percentages of early voters being women reminded me of this. I heard a thing on the radio the other day that broke down the demographics of the "undecideds" and it was largely women - around 60% I thought. Church-going, older, less educated. Didn't exactly give me comfort in the wee hours of the night, but I can't do the number crunching to figure out what difference it would make on the overall...etc, etc, etc. No more thinking on predictions for me. Just waiting now.
But Joe Lieberman yea. Idiot.
November 2, 2008 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
And great catch on the Working Families Party by David Sirota. They are also fighting for affordable housing and public transportation on the local level. So if you are a NY voter, think twice before pulling the level and check out the Working Families Party agenda here:
http://www.workingfamiliesparty.org/issues/
November 2, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
RE: GA Voters: It looks like the female vote is headed towards it's 2004 proportion of 55% (still the lion's share, just not atypically high). What is atypically high (from what I can see) is total turnout: MyDD reports 1,994,990 early votes cast; GA SoS reports 3,285,140 total votes in 2004. I don't know what the early/total proportion was in '04, but it surely wasn't 2/3.
November 2, 2008 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Best title on the board. You had me at hello.
Respectfully disagree, Oprah brand not tarnished.
Seems like with Dems hovering near 60 in Senate, Lieberman cannot be the loser the blogosphere wants him to be. The judges are too important.
The undecided voter died in 2000. Shoveling dirt on her/him now is the Third Burial of Melquiades Estrada, without Barry Pepper screaming he's got no place else to go.
Georgia!
November 2, 2008 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oprah lost serious market share.
November 2, 2008 11:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah she did, but I don't think it was because of Obama.
She lost market share months before when she bought into that crappy book and TV infomercial "The Secret". Once she endorsed that crap and gave it 2 days + coverage on her show...well a lot of people who loved Oprah lost a lot of respect.
November 2, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is the most important part of the coming Obama administration. Behaviorial Economics will be to Obama what Supply Side Economics was to Reagan. If you want to know the methods of Obama's policies, read Nudge by Thaler and Sunstein.
November 2, 2008 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mein lieber Schwann! Eso hat viel temp und arbeit gekostet. No tengo nada zu sagen ausser:
Ja wir können es!
Si se puede!
Oui nous pouvons!
Si possiamo!
Esta chica esta contando los minutos bis sie hoffentlich Presidente Obama sagen kann!
November 2, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did you see this? Maybe we can use this Oxford professor's software on certain posts to clarify the authorship. I think we might be surprised. :)
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/us_elections/article5063279.ece
November 2, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's Salvatore from The Name of the Rose! (Just kidding.)
It won't be long. Yes, we can wait until the Fourth.
November 2, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Desidero, another fab one!!! I love it. I'll throw out my W key as long as you don't ask me to throw out my Y key. ;)
I might join the 60% of anti-block if he does not accomplish my three reasons for voting for him: a cogent, far reaching policy for Africa, reforming health care here in America and revamping the infrastructure and grid here in America. I don't have a complicated wish list. heh. And yes, it has been a real pleasure reading Atrios and Jane throughout this process, as well as Josh Marshall and the EC people.
November 2, 2008 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, from Politico it looks possible that Hillary and Barack are getting along fabulously and that she may have a strong hand in helping shape domestic policy:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15157.html
So don't throw out the C keys yet either. And I'm sending all my Y's to you, which is dangerous cause I'll no longer be able to CYA. Oh well, I can CMA at least.
November 2, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL. Thanks for making me laugh. You always do that. ;)
I'll take the Y's because it will come in handy when I start asking all my whY-questions down the road, in case I meet up with codgers and reprobates. You know, like Quinn... heh.
I think Hillary will have an impact as will many other powerful women. I cannot wait to see the line up, frankly.
Ok, gotta go back to work now. Ciao, orange being.
November 2, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, I thought it was purely for I-deological purposes.
November 2, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, I thought it was purely for I-deological purposes.
November 2, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Codger? Jeez, I'm not THAT old! I can kick these whippersnappers asses. And the whipperasses snappers. And so on. BRB.
*Get a JOB long-hair.... Oh YEAH? Well, farticle YOUR particle too.*
Sorry, where was I? Oh yeah, "Reprobate," please. Damnation I can handle. Kinda planned on it, TTYTT.
And I'd advise removing the O from your keyboard. I know it's gonna cause a lot of _bama's to appear, but that way, the _range thing can't follow you. Well worth the trade-off.
November 2, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can easily switch from O-range to D-ranged. And even that Q-range might get me a little excited (which might cause U to C-ringe, whether cringe or syringe). But then people are ST-range. CH-ange? I'm just looking for firing R-ange.
November 2, 2008 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barackolypse Now!!
Brilliant!!!!
I am going to use that here in GA!!!! Thanks
November 2, 2008 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
"McCain will be the new mascot for "nice guys finish last" (skillful marketing whether you like him or not)"
Sorry if I'm missing the sarcasm. A person who shows occasional twinges of conscience while others under his authority do his dirty work for him is not a nice guy. In my book, he's lost more than the election. Nasty sellouts finish last, too.
November 2, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink