Survey USA has a new set of polls out (see this posting on TPM Election Central).
The straightforward calculation of electoral votes gives the following scores:
Obama - McCain 280-258
Clinton - McCain 276 - 262

But Survey USA attributes electoral wins even when the difference is too small to interpret in any direction. For example, in New Jersey, Obama and McCain have 43% each but McCain gets the win; similarly, in Michigan: Clinton and McCain have 44% percent each, but Clinton gets the win.

That's why I did the following analysis, which I believe does a better job at capturing the image of the general election.

Case A:

If we consider states where the difference is at most 5% to be
tossups and we keep only victories of 6% or more, then the scores are:

Obama 238 McCain 122 (116 difference) with 170 up for grabs

Clinton 229 McCain 177 (52 difference) with 132 up for grabs

If instead we consider states where the difference is at most 3% to be tossups and we keep only victories of 4% or more, then the scores are:

Obama 246 McCain 174 (72 difference) with 118 up for grabs

Clinton 250 McCain 223 (27 difference) with 65 up for grabs