Nancy Pelosi Says "Make me," David Mixner, Inexplicably Says "No."


David Mixner appeals to Nancy Pelosi to lead on ENDA legislation and other LGBT issues, but comes to all the wrong conclusions about activist responsibilities

All the minor flaws in this argument are summed up in this sentence:

Citizens in the United States of America do not need to lobby for justice and equality.

Sorry, that's bullshit.

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FoxNews.com Extends Stupid-Making Efforts to Computer Security


In their June 11 article 10 Everyday Items Hackers Are Targeting Right Now, FoxNews.com explains why you should be afraid of hackers all the time.  This may be the worst computer security article ever written.  According to the body of the article, not a single one of these everyday items is currently targeted by hackers.  It's almost too stupid to believe.

1. Your Car
...

David Perry, a virus expert at Trend Micro, notes that most cars have multiple computers on board and a network of devices that use Wi-Fi, GPS, and Bluetooth. Perry claims "white hat hackers" -- the good guys who hack into systems to prove they have security problems -- have shown that cars are at risk.

Cars, today, don't use wireless signals like Wi-Fi, GPS, and Bluetooth to control anything more important than a radio.  White hat hackers have shown that wired systems inside cars are at risk for hacking.  If someone is tapping into your car's communications wiring, they either already have your car, or they decided not to steal it.

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NYT Raises Spectre of Big Business Exodus


David Sanger's analysis piece on Obama vs. Big Business is pretty good, overall. Not that I think the big papers should do any "news analysis" at all. Give me journalism and/or opinions, in distinct buckets, thank you very much.

But this last sentence stuck out:

Along the way, he will have to avoid painting with such a broad brush that foreign and domestic investors come to view the United States as a too risky place to do business, a country where big mistakes can lead to vilification and, perhaps, bankruptcy.

Is he serious?  Does David Sanger, seasoned political journalist, Chief Washington Correspondent for the New York Times, really believe that the US could become too risky for big businesses? Are the CEO's at CitiGroup and General Mills and IBM looking at the Obama administrations disaster-containment efforts and thinking "Maybe we should move everything to Spain?" Come on now.

And are vilification and bankruptcy off limits for American businesses?  Just giant businesses? 

I hope this is a country where big mistakes can lead to vilification and, perhaps, bankruptcy for large corporations.  What could possibly be the alternative?

The Republican Tendency


Maria over at Crooked Timber recommends a charming excerpt from a 19th century Anthony Trollope novel describing a tendency of Tories.  They criticize every shift in British society, and yet still pronounce England the greatest country in the world.  For my own amusement, I'd like to translate it into American:

It was bad to free the slaves, bad to allow women to vote, bad to interfere with the trusts.  The 16th Amendment was bad.  It was bad to interfere with Standard Oil, bad to endure the Progressives, bad to lose Hoover, bad to endure FDR.  The Work Projects Administration was bad.  The Fair Labor Standards Act was bad. The FDIC was very bad. Integrating the armed forces was bad.  The United Nations has been horrifying.  Brown vs. Board of Education was very bad. Inexpensive birth control was very, very bad. Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid have been very bad.  Guaranteed Student Loans were bad.  Educational Opportunity Grants were bad.  Losing the Panama Canal was bad.  Arms control treaties have been very bad.  Every step taken has been bad. And yet to them America is of all countries in the world the best place to live in, never to be criticized abroad, and is not at all the less comfortable because of the changes that have been made. ...

Organizers Are the Real Legacy of the 2008 Obama Campaign


Yesterday I stopped doing volunteer organizing for the Alan Khazei campaign.  This was the first campaign I volunteered with since Obama (not counting some phone banks for Jim Martin last December), but I'll leave comparing these two campaigns to my many talented peers.  This was a very short campaign, less than three months, and each of the four Democratic candidates took a different approach.  Alan Khazei put the most emphasis on the ground campaign, partly because he didn't have a lot of money, and partly because empowered citizenship (aka Big Citizenship) is an important component of his appeal to voters.  There were many Obama campaign veterans in the field staff and among the volunteers.

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truther =/= birther


I'm surprised to see Josh giving credence to the birther/truther false equivalence.  Truthers, however misinformed or misguided, are not marching in the streets demanding a special prosecutor for Bush and Cheney.  Truthers are not advocating taking up arms against the government, or a vigilante court for Condoleeza Rice.  Believing 9/11 was intentionally allowed to happen by GWB is no crazier than believing the moon landing was filmed in Burbank, or that alien spacecraft landed in Roswell, or that Elvis is alive.  It's a little crazy, but it's 99% harmless, garden-variety, American crazy, with no socio-political ramifications. 

Birthers are declaring the President an illegal imposter and asking the rest of us, variously, to disown him, impeach him, investigate him, and ignore federal laws and agents.

Truthers, if they advocate for anything, want more information about the September 11th attacks.  Birthers want to subvert democracy.  There's no comparison.

Bailout Game Theory and the Least Worst Option


This afternoon Josh described some of the calculations involved in choosing the direction of the bailout process.  When considering the validity of the current Treasury plan, compared to a receivership (or managed implosion) of the broken banks and AIG, the viability of the world economy over the next 5 or 10 years seems to be the most critical metric.  So, there are about three options on the table:  do nothing (the GOP plan, approximately), over-value and buy out toxic assets (the once and future Treasury plan), and start breaking down the banks and AIG (the fairness/realist/pragmatist plan).

In terms of the best overall outcome, the bank-breaking plan provides the fairest, cleanest solution over the long term.  Risk takers - individuals and institutions - who took bad risks lose money.  Taxpayers don't buy toxic assets at inflated prices.  Institutions which created this cascading series of problems dissolve.  Overall, these are good outcomes - this is how the regulated free market is supposed to work.

But that's not the metric they're working with at Treasury.  They're focused on minimizing the down-side.  The worldwide economy is in precipitous decline.  There is a real possibility of unrecoverable failures in banking and securities, failures which would take more than a generation to overcome.  You posited a 1/6 chance of economic catastrophe if we follow the biting-the-bullet, managed-restructuring approach.  And maybe there's a 50/50 chance of collapse if we do nothing.  So what is the full-on-catastrophe risk associated with the toxic-asset-buyback approach?  I'm guessing it's less than 1 in 6 - maybe 1 in 10 - and that looks pretty great, whether you're at a bank or the Fed or the Oval Office.

And that's the really, really hard choice to make, politically.  If you start breaking down the banks, you appeal to populists, pragmatists, and free-marketeers of all stripes.  It's a good solution on paper and it's fair to everyone involved.  But it poses an unacceptable risk of destroying the world economy.  This is what I think is happening between Obama, Geithner, and everyone else who gets a say in the solution.  They're willing to get beaten up on this, day after day, week after week, because their job is a lot bigger than looking good on television.

House GOP takes ball, goes home


I'm all for extending the olive branch, as President Obama (!!) has done this past week with House and Senate Republicans.  Good for him, taking input from all sides, following through on his campaign promises to be inclusive.  He's probably done more across-the-aisle bridge building in the last two weeks than W did in two terms.

But if you build a bridge, and the guys on the other side - who insisted they wanted a bridge - burn it down, you might do things differently next time.  The President and his congressional allies made a variety of concessions to Republicans and got, it appears, nothing in return.  This is not shocking, but it should influence the next round of the legislative process, which is traditionally adversarial.  When you have a majority in both houses, and the presidency, and broad popular support, you don't have to start with concessions.

I trust these guys, the new administration, to have a deep understanding and a long-term legislative plan.  Perhaps it's the partisan, out-of-power mindset I share with many Democrats that wants President Obama to flex his legislative muscles, since that's what GOP strategists and officials seem to understand best.

Maybe this week we'll see some policy speeches, perhaps away from DC, selling the Liberal elements of the stimulus plan, explaining the inclusive and bi-partisan elements, and setting the stage for the next round of legislation.

Stop distorting McCain's position on immigration - that's his job!


McCain asserted today that Obama robocalls are distorting his position on immigration, a point he tried to make during the last debate.  Could somebody follow up with The Maverick and find out what that policy is, exactly?  Is it the pre-primary, immigration reform with a path to citizenship and enforcement?  Or is it the base-pleasing, primary season, "enforce the laws and seal the border" position, disowning his own legislation?

Tom Brokaw is a terrible, biased moderator


He actually chuckled at McCain's "Did we hear the cost of that fine?" idiocy.

Obama Wins on the "Presidentiality" Scale


I think many of the commentators tonight are focusing on the individual exchanges and missing a big picture win for Obama tonight.
In many ways McCain, like it or not, is nearly an incumbent candidate, almost like running as a sitting VP.  He is tied, fairly and inextricably, to almost every major policy implemented by Bush.  Even his more mavericky positions against the tax cuts and torture have been watered down to "I agree with the President."
People don't want another four years and, despite his use of the word "change,"  that's very nearly McCain's pitch.  Tonight, McCain, faced with an actual opponent, couldn't bring himself to parrot the pretty, bipartisan, I'm-the-changiest BS that he delivers on the stump.  He brought the full range of conservative positions and Obama, for the most part, brought liberal or moderate positions.
So there were no big tactical wins, no major gaffes, and very little memorable.  But on the optics, the 50,000-foot view, Obama nailed it.  He stood at that podium, took questions calmly but decisively, contesting every lie and distortion from McCain, interrupting when necessary.  He looked like a real President.  And for the middle slice of the electorate who don't agree with McCain on policy and can't stand Bush, trust in Obama is the last bridge to cross.
Obama doesn't have to beat McCain with witticisms and superior rhetoric.  That's nice for us chattering elitists, but it won't win over the undecided middle.  What will win them over is the big-picture messages.  Obama projected confidence, wisdom, determination, and a tiny dose of righteous anger in unpacking McCain's distortions.
Americans want to vote for someone new, but they're afraid and need a gut-level reassurance that this guy is real and up to the task.  Seeing the two men on the same stage as equals, by itself, starts to break down the myths of the war hero and the empty suit.  McCain, in reality, today, is not so heroic, and Obama is not so empty.  As the voters' idea of these two men approaches reality, Obama will benefit and McCain will lose.

Confidential to Joe Biden - McCain is not a "Great Guy"


Jake Tapper excerpts some of Joe Biden's remarks made on Friday, including "he is a good man" and "I admire John McCain."  Except for "Let's Drill", that's the whole McCain pitch to voters - he's a good, admirable man.
<p>
Please stop making this argument for the GOP and stick with attacking their hypocrisy, changing positions, and flawed policy prescriptions.  Thanks.

Mark Halperin Sees the Crazy in Palin Pick


On WBUR's On Point, Mark Halperin said, twice, that McCain just gave up his biggest, most effective argument against Barack Obama.  This seemed out of character, as Halperin regularly spins his analysis to favor McCain.

But today he quoted a conservative commentator, saying "McCain turned his sledgehammer into a rubber mallet."  Halperin explained that McCain's "lack of experience" attack on Obama has become nearly useless, giving McCain almost no chance of winning the election. He's made similar comments in a Steve Benen CBS News articles published Friday (though he was listed as a "traditional Republican voice").  Please give Mr. Halperin a warm welcome to the reality-based community.

McCain's Obama Makeover and How to Stop It


I was listening to Joe Trippi on NPR this morning talking about not taking Sarah Palin too lightly.  He made some good points about image and perceptions and it forced me to re-assess the McCain strategy.  We've seen some new, lofty phrases from McCain in the past couple of weeks.  The newest ad is called "Love."  Has any Republican candidate, for anything, ever run an ad titled "Love"?  In "Love" we hear that McCain returned from war to pursue "public service" - perhaps chasing Cindy Hensley was a civics project.  Sure, they can't quite give up on smacking Obama, saying "beautiful words can't make our lives better", but the message is shifting.

One of the volunteer pages on the McCain site asks that you sign up for "A Cause Greater Than Self".  Tell me this isn't lifted out of the Obama playbook (or any progressive campaign):

My friends, each and every one of us has a duty to serve a cause greater than our own self-interest.
I hope you will take a moment to learn more about these important causes and consider getting involved helping others either here or with the thousands of other organizations serving the greater cause.

Since when is conservatism about somthing greater than self-interest?  That's easy, it's not, but with the selection of Sarah Palin, McCain is beginning the process of appropriating all of the youth/change/reform themes that Obama has been hitting.

The new McCain message, which the RNC will amplify, is that McCain (+Palin) is just like Obama (+Biden), only with more experience and grit.  All of the GOP surrogates have been talking about "bucking the party" this weekend.  Bush and Cheney have a reasonable excuse to be absent from the convention, a personal and political gift for McCain.  The Right's noisemakers have finally acknowledged the demise of the Republican party's credibility (aka "brand") and everyone is spinning the virtues of centrism and bipartisanship.  This is a huge pack of lies, but that's the problem

Knocking down each individual lie is time consuming and boring.  For example,
Palin said she was against earmarks, but requested $200 million in earmarks this year. 
That's true, but it's also boring, dry, and forgettable.  What is the alternative?  Something shorter, sharper, and absolutely not sexist.  For example,
John McCain and Sarah Palin are lying about their record of reform and independance.
That's a soundbite we can believe in.  It's much sharper, keeps the focus on McCain, but doesn't let Palin off the hook.  When the press questions this statement, Dems can explain the details (ideally starting and ending with "McCain and Palin are lying").  If the press, or McCain, or the right-wing noise factory want to rebut this charge, they have to switch to wordy, boring, forgettable defenses.

The McCain/Palin campaign is about to turn into an even bigger circus of lies and hypocrisy.  There's no reason to think the press point this out, so the Obama campaign has to do it.  They have the capacity - we've seen Obama and Biden take the fight to the GOP.  They have some very talented surrogates, starting with Bill and Hillary, who can make this case many times in many places, but they'll have to start now.

Defeating McCain/Palin in Three Easy Steps


Atrios and others have expressed some concern about Sarah Palin, but she is the Clarence Thomas of VP picks.   There's no way she's the most qualified candidate, but she generates a lot of media hype, which is McCain's forté.  Unlike better-known women of the GOP, Palin won't upstage McCain or threaten his position as Decider in Chief.

People are worried about charges of sexism and unflattering images of Biden attacking a pretty young woman, but this is easily remedied.  Sure, Biden isn't the most tightly controlled speaker, but now he's on the best-run,  Democratic campaign in a generation and he'll have lots of help.  Notice Biden dropped his favorite exclamation - literally! - in Springfield - from his convention vocabulary.

1. Ignore Sarah Palin
Don't attack Sarah Palin at all.  3rd party groups can go after her on corruption, but that's not too important.  Since she isn't a large figure on the national scene, there isn't much of an image to tear down.  Attacking her would give her more stature than ignoring her.Surrogates can describe her policy positions without attacking her personally.  She's a classic conservative on virtually every issue.  And we can all agree that her selection as VP is historic - it's about time Republicans crossed this barrier 24 years after Geraldine Ferraro was the Democratic VP candidate.  Kudos to Sarah, and shame on the GOP for taking so long.

2. Pummel McCain
The only McCain/Palin meme coming from Democrats should be that her selection means Republicans don't really believe experience in DC is all that relevant.  Everything else should be an assault on McCain's positions, his argument with himself, his temper, his bad decisions, his flawed policy proposals, and so on.  Stop calling him a hero.  Every sentence that begins "We honor John McCain's service" should end with "unfit to be President."

When Joe Biden debates Sarah Palin, he should be polite and respectful to her, and attack McCain like a rabid mongoose.  He can do it.  Look at his convention speech, which had elements of charm and grace, followed by serious, thoughtful denunciations of McMaverick.

3. Pummel the GOP
This is not just the leadership, which has been inept, corrupt, and cancerous all at once, but the policies and underlying philosophy.  Obama started down this path in his acceptance speech, talking about owning the failure of the "ownership society."  That should be a constant theme.

That's it.  Don't create sympathy and legitimacy for Sarah Palin by attacking her, just focus on McCain.

David Sloane

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