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Week of June 28, 2009 - July 4, 2009

Did Jacko get whacked?


whacko jacko
I was chatting with a Spanish banker friend, a man with lots of dealings in Latin America and the conversation turned to Michael Jackson. He said something interesting.

"I'm not saying he was murdered, but his dying is going to make things a lot simpler for a lot of people" he said.

"How so?" I asked.

"Well, apparently he was deeply in debt, but if you look his finances over you can see that his realizable assets far outweigh those debts." he said.

"So where is the problem?" I asked.

"Well" my friend took a deep breath, "it seems that not only was he justifiably paranoiac, because with reason, he hasn't been able to trust a single person in his entire life... especially his family; to top it off, they say he is very canny in his business dealings, very good at reading contracts and so on, so even if wasn't bat shit crazy, which he was, he would have been difficult to deal with... being crazy to boot, makes trying to collect from him like having root canal work done without anesthetic."

"So?"

"With him dead, it's going to be easy to finally collect. Even if there is a huge battle over the inheritance, whoever finally gets the loot is going to want to settle the debts right away and then take the money and run".

"So somebody had him killed?" I asked.

"I'm not saying that, but there are a lot of people who are going to save a lot of time, money and aggravation, with him dead. The world is filled with people who will have you killed professionally for only small quantities just to send a message... imagine what happens or can happen when millions of dollars are at stake in the hands of a nut."

That's what the man said... it makes sense to me.

Honduras, a simple case of is you is or is you aint


The Honduran coup d'état is more important than many might think, as absorbed as we all are in mourning the passing of Michael Jackson.

The United States is in immediate danger of being seen as either helpless or hypocritical or both.

In fact, from a point of view of American credibility the situation in Honduras is more relevant  than even Iran or Afghanistan, because the situation in those countries is obviously quite intractable, but Honduras is a client state of the USA, practically an American colony.

Honduras, the classic "banana republic" is seen by the world as America's creature.

If Zelaya is returned to office because of US pressure to respect the democratic process, then the USA will gain a tremendous amount of credibility all over the world very cheaply.

If this doesn't happen then Obama and the USA will lose credibility accordingly. No one anywhere will ever believe that the USA couldn't turn this thing around if it wanted to.

In fact no one, anywhere will ever believe that the USA was not behind any final resolution of this question.

In fact that cynicism would be the last shred of dignity left to American power.

If the world ever thought for even a moment that the USA was impotent to influence the events in Honduras either as a paladin of democracy or as imperialist brute then that could be the beginning of the end. Things would begin to unravel very quickly for the United States of America.

The skinny:

This little coup could be more important for US credibility than Iran, Iraq or Afghanistan... If the USA can't control the situation in Honduras, how can anyone expect the USA to control anything in the Middle East or Southwest Asia... or the dollar for that matter?
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