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A political cartoon from Spain


El Roto
"They are against protectionism, but wherever they go they are always surrounded by bodyguards"
Andrés Rábago, who signs "El Roto" (the broken one) is more than a political cartoonist: his drawings are brilliant, tiny, essays in the bitterest traditions of the blackest, Spanish, anarchist humor.

The one I have chosen today is especially poisonous.

Enjoy! 

19 Comments

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Sounds to me that inherent in the message of the cartoon is more than a little bitterness about foreigners like you creating the housing bubble in Spain, and it is something that has been building from far before the fall financial collapse in the U.S.

"The Recession in Spain"

by Matthew Yglesias, Feb. 2, reporting from same:

...while the whole world is doing poorly right now Spain is doing especially badly — it’s a bit akin to the Florida of Europe, they grow citrus fruit and they had a ridiculous property bubble and now the economy’s in the toilet:

In barely a year, Spain has gone from creating a third of Europe’s new jobs to losing 40,000 a week as its decade-long housing bonanza collapsed at the same time as the global credit crisis. Spain’s jobless rate rose from 8.7 per cent to 14.4 per cent in 2008, a far bigger jump than elsewhere in the European Union.... In Spain unemployment benefit is usually paid for a year, so thousands who lost their jobs last year will be without state support this summer. Most will try to find work in the growing black economy....

comment on the same thread:

AJS Says: February 2nd, 2009 at 6:38 pm

It is akin to Florida in a housing boom that depended on foreign or out of state buyers and many local speculators.

I am a NYer living in Spain and work in Real Estate.As in the States housing prices and salaries are still completely out of whack. Median salary where I live is under 11k a year. In my Province, 150k people earn the minimum wage of 600 a month.

It went over a cliff here 2 years ago. There are over 2 million empty housing units in Spain. Many shops are shut. People queue up at 6AM to apply for first time unemployment benefits because the crowds are too big to be handled. Salaries were low to begin with so people have little or nothing to fall back on. People are hurting and many hungry.

I mostly deal with Northern Europeans. They stopped calling and coming in October. No tourists, no business people, nobody.

There is no easy fix. Monetary policy is impossible and the government has been spending to try and keep up but it is too little.

Talk of “La Crisis” has been in the air for a long time....

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Keep in mind it is real estate bubbling that started this whole thing, along with the later attempted marketing of secondary bubbles from that bubble. If greed's the problem, there's equality of greediness in all the bubble merchandise.

If anyone wants to carry the comparison of Spain and Florida further (and I do definitely think there is some there there), there is an excellent story on Florida's bubble insanity economy in this week's New Yorker: The Ponzi State by George Packer. It was "outsiders" what dun a lot of it....it was a Ponzi scheme using population growth, where it was warm and sunny and the constant stream of foreign newcomers (in Florida's case, both Americans from other states and actual foreigners) betting on the desire for that sun are the ones that pay for everything.

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You can carry the comparison pretty far, AA. I've got relatives who've participated in this Spanish real estate bubble, on the development end and the investing end. And it is as you say.

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I just got back home from the movies. It's about 11pm here in Madrid and the town is humming the movie theater was full, the bars are full, the cafés are full, people were pouring into a theater I passed and the restaurants were full of people fressing away. For the moment the crisis is mostly on the coast where the construction was so intense. Spanish banks are profitable and solid. And with the Spanish extended family and a social life based on eating and drinking with family and friends you've known since childhood a recession is very different here from in the states or even northern Europe. I have seen three really bad recessions here: at the end of the 70s and and at the beginning of the 90s with unemployment as high as 24% and life went on just the same. Up till now it's nothing as bad as that. With 24% unemployment there would be blood in the streets in the USA, but not here.

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It was only 22 degrees F last night in the NYC area, but the Macy's parking lot in Yonkers north of the city was full, and later I went to the Barnes and Noble in Manhattan at 10:30 pm and it was pretty busy too. The night before that I went to a white tablecloth restaurant in the Bronx, ($50-$75 per person, $6 beers) and we had to wait half hour for a table.

Florida is in the south of the U.S. It's a big country.

There was double-digit umemployment and double digit inflation when I got out of graduate school in the Midwest. I worked 4 part-time jobs, the main one bringing me the income was waitressing. I still partied, a lot, so did lots of other young people. I didn't see any blood in the streets, though once in a while you would see a Japanese car bashing event on the news.

What you see there is here too. Just enough areas are hurting to make for serious shit for everyone. Just because numbers show trouble doesn't mean that every part of the U.S. is devastated and cowering. They are just not spending, everything is frozen.

And in the future, even something like 15% unemployment means 85% are still working. I don't think your (apparent to me) desire to see the U.S. suffer to "blood in the streets" stage is very realistic or shows much knowledge of the real current U.S. culture rather than the one you see on TV and the net. We are a lot more like the modern Spanish than you think, so are a lot of people considered "middle class" around the world these days. News for ya: some folks in places like rural North Dakota or urban Detroit have been suffering for more than a few years.

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Edit to above
They are just not spending, everything is frozen.
should read:
They are just not spending on big ticket stuff, everything like that is frozen. The personal savings rate rose a lot in the last quarter.

And I would add that that is the main thing that we are passing a stimulus bill for, to try to stop a deflationary cycle, where the loss of jobs from people's fear of buying big ticket items, because they fear being laid off. The most popular financial advisors on the tube are telling everyone to act like they are going to be laid off. So many are putting off all big purchases and saving money instead (or paying down debt.)

Sorry, I just don't see "blood in the streets" in this culture even with 20% unemployment, as long as it doesn't stretch over 10 years like the last time. I really do think you have a very inaccurate view of the U.S. culture there, I can't disagree with you on that enough.

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Wishful thinking? Sorry David. I understand that it is very attractive to blame your own incompetence on others, and wish them the worst. It is also very petty and souless. A well to do Spainard ought to be a bit more, er, Noblese Oblige toward those he considers his inferiors.

I'd think your countrymen, or at least the enlightened ones, would tend to shun people such as you...


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Schadenfreude meets Cassandra, hopes Obama will break hearts as Kennedy broke his.

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Yea, ain't never been blood on the streets in Spain, eh?

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Hah! Yano, one can take that further. At one time in the 20th century, I believe Spain was a popular destination for a small contingent of American lefties seeking some "blood on the streets" action when they were frustrated with the lack of same in their own country. :-)

I'd like to add to TheraP's news stories links below and see if we can make the current Spain look like it's getting close to hell on earth. It's easy, wanna see?

Spain's downward spiral spooks bond investors Spain lost almost 200,000 jobs in January in the worst one-month rise since records began, lifting the unemployment rate to 14.4pc and inflicting further damage on the credibility of the Spanish government. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Last Updated: 6:08PM GMT 03 Feb 2009

The ferocity of the downturn has led to a sharp jump in borrowing costs for the Spanish state, which lost its AAA credit rating from Standard & Poor's last month.....

"This is a national emergency. The government is being overwhelmed by events," said Mariano Rajoy, the opposition leader. The mood has changed dramatically in recent weeks as debtors launch hunger strikes and one builder threatened to set himself on fire to protest the credit crunch.

Maravillas Rojo, the labour secretary, said four million people may be out of work by end of the year – up from 3.3m now. "We're suffering from a grave international financial crisis, lack of liquidity, and falling consumption," she said.

Spain is losing jobs at three times the rate of the US, in proportionate terms. Over one million Spanish men under thirty are unemployed, leading to a surge in applications to join the armed forces. Three quarters of the army candidates are being turned away.

Industry minister Miguel Sebastian has launched a "Made in Spain" drive, exhorting the nation to buy Spanish clothes and to take ski holidays in the Sierra Nevada instead of the Alps. He claimed that 120,000 jobs can be saved if every citizen spends €150 less this year on imports.

The campaign amounts to a partial boycott of foreign products and may breach EU law. It is the sort of protectionist reflex becoming visible daily in much of the world....

Now Mr. Seaton will protest that that's not an accurate picture of daily life. Well guess what, Mr. Seaton, same for the U.S.

Meanwhile, I haven't seen any comment from Mr. Seaton about whether there is protectionist sentiment against well-off Yankee and Brit expat types (who helped drive up real property values.)

That's what I see in his cartoon, looks to me that it's not about the U.S. politicians or diplomats, it's about well-off foreign interlopers in Spain. So is Mr. Seaton still receiving free-lance payments from Spanish publications that could be going to some English-speaking Spanish citizens? Is he feeling any discomfort about that when he looks at the cartoon? When he sees immigrant olive pickers being urged to go home? To me, that cartoon is clearly anti-well-off foreigner.

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Hee. Methinks Mr. Seaton's solution would be to let 'em eat cake!

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To add even further perspective to what AA has laid out above, see this article, from the NYTimes, which indicates that there are serious problems, even related to the Euro, which are affecting countries like Spain, where a huge boom is fast going bust, and the government lacks the ability to spend itself out of a hole - as some other European economies are able to do:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/24/business/worldbusiness/24euro.html

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Yeah, there are a lot of thought-provoking things in that article for me.

This:

“We knew this couldn’t last,” Vassilis Karatzas, a fund manager based in Athens, said as he sipped Greek coffee at an outdoor cafe in the city center. “There is fear about the euro zone, but I don’t think the commission will allow its periphery to go down. United we rise, divided we fall.”

and this
Mr. Economou, the Greek shipping company operator, is caught in the crossfire. The stock of his company, DryShips, is down 90 percent; banks in Europe that once clamored for his business no longer do so. “The psychology is shattered,” he said with a rueful smile...”

Made me think of Packer's The New Yorker article on Florida, where I have highlighted:

People who drew modest salaries at their jobs not only owned a house but bought other houses as speculators, the way average Americans elsewhere dabble in day trading. Ross Bauer, a manager at a Toyota dealership in Tampa, told me that betweeen 2000 and 2007 he bought and sold half a dozen properties, in a couple of instances doubling his money within two years. "Looking back, it was right in our face," he said. "That's a heart attack. It's not normal."

Jim Thorner, a real estate reporter in the Tampa office of the St. Petersburg Times, said, "There were secretaries with five to ten investment homes--a thirty-five-thousand-dollar salary and a million dollars in investments. There's no industry, only houses."

The whole thing gets to the strength of the unions. How much do we as citizens of other U.S. states want to help Florida with its economy that was a Ponzi phantom with no industry and no sold tax base that reasonable people knew couldn't last? How much do other EU states want to help Spain, Ireland, Greece...? What about the moral hazard thing? Will there be resentment?

In my area of NYC traditionally has a lot of Irish immigrants, and in the 90's, infamously, a lot of illegal ones. It was very common to hear joking since the Ireland boom about Ireland becoming the new U.S. as a land of opportunity and everyone illegal and legal getting on the boat back there.

The whole thing strikes at the "land of opportunity" mythos that can create Ponzis. Going back to your New York Times, it was interesting to see this guy talking some of the talk of our own Republicans on that, but at the same time, admitting the need for sophisticated institutions and regulations:

One of the few politicians in Greece who has not shied from addressing these issues is Stefanos Manos, a gregarious former economic minister who in the early 1990s ushered in a drastic, and ultimately successful, privatization program.

He has founded a new party and is considering a return to Parliament in the hope of joining a new government that would heed his longstanding message: Greece needs to stop running deficits and address the issue of global competitiveness.....

As for the rest of Europe, particularly its weaker links, he also has doubts.

“I don’t think Europe is up to it,” he said. “It expanded too rapidly without fixing its institutions.”....

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From the bbc:

Spain has the worst unemployment rate in the EU, with 13.9% of the workforce out of a job.

The latest labour figures from the Bank of Spain showed that unemployment rose by 3% in the quarter.

The eurozone as a whole entered recession in November.

Real estate bubble

Spain's economy has in recent years been one of the healthiest in Europe, but the global financial crisis and rising unemployment have hit it hard.

The country's reliance on construction means it has also suffered from the collapse of the real estate bubble.

Mortgage lending was down 51% in November, marking the biggest fall in 10 straight months of decline.

Link: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7856080.stm

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Spain suffers first tourist fall on record in '08

Wed, Jan 21 2009, 15:04 GMT
http://www.afxnews.com

MADRID, Jan 21 (Reuters) - Spain, the world's second biggest tourist destination, suffered its first fall in foreign arrivals in at least 13 years in 2008, figures out on Wednesday showed.

The Industry Ministry said 57.4 million tourists visited Spain in 2008 -- 1.79 million fewer than in 2007 and the first reversal in visitor numbers since records began in 1995.

The number of Britons holidaying in Spain fell by 3 percent to 15.7 million as they looked for destinations outside the eurozone to avoid the effects of a 23 percent fall in the value of pound against the euro.

The industry is facing structural pressures beyond fluctuating exchange rates and the global economic crisis.

Spain is no longer the cheapest option for British and German holidaymakers looking for a break in the sun, with rivals such as Turkey and Egypt offering better-value breaks.

The appeal of 1980s-style package holidays, a stalwart of Spanish tourism, is also beginning to wane in the age of independent travel booked over the Internet.

In December, tourist numbers fell by 13.8 percent, from the same month a year earlier, after an 11 percent fall in November.

The tourism industry employs one in seven workers in Spain and generates about 10 percent of its gross domestic product.

The government had hoped the sector would remain a strong pillar of the economy, with Spain's biggest industry -- property and construction -- shrinking rapidly at the end of a 10-year boom.

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There's a whole lot of countries that are hurting all over the world. Heard on the radio last night the UN Development Program warned governments in South America they need massive government spending to counter the loss of 4 million jobs this year.

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The worldwide melt-down.

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It can't be stressed enough, at least on a thread by David Seaton. He seems to want to present the picture that it is all the American hegemon's fault, when it is clearly shaping up to be the result of a globalized economy that grew very quickly without any adequate global oversight institutions. No, it's the fault of greed in a relatively unregulated global economy. The irony is, as an expat, he is one that has been totally taking advantage of a globalized economy, and doing so early on. I don't know his particulars, but if we all went back to protectionism, chances are that someone like him wouldn't have been allowed to reside in Spain. As long as he stays in cosmopolitan areas (most of us in NYC love our immigrants and expats, too, wealthy or poor, believe they add to the economy rather than subtract from it) he will be well-received, but I still hold the opinion that the cartoon he presents warns people like him to watch himself (take along his "bodyguard") outside of the cosmopolitan areas.

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Your posts on this thread have been super, AA. And I'm adding this comment here only in the hopes that people may see it on their dashboard and come here and read some the great comments!

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