The perils of the Kalpataru

First read this from Paul Krugman:
Most
of the post-election discussion will presumably be about what the
Democrats should and will do with their mandate. But let me ask a
different question that will also be important for the nation's future:
What will defeat do to the Republicans?(...) the Republican rump, the
party that's left after the election, will be the party that attends
Sarah Palin's rallies, where crowds chant "Vote McCain, not Hussein!"
It will be the party of Saxby Chambliss, the senator from Georgia, who,
observing large-scale early voting by African-Americans, warns his
supporters that "the other folks are voting." It will be the party that
harbors menacing fantasies about Barack Obama's Marxist -- or was that
Islamic? -- roots. Why will the G.O.P. become more, not less, extreme?
For one thing, projections suggest that this election will drive many
of the remaining Republican moderates out of Congress, while leaving
the hard right in place.(...) Also, the Republican base already seems
to be gearing up to regard defeat not as a verdict on conservative
policies, but as the result of an evil conspiracy. A recent Democracy
Corps poll found that Republicans, by a margin of more than two to one,
believe that Mr. McCain is losing "because the mainstream media is
biased" rather than "because Americans are tired of George Bush." And
Mr. McCain has laid the groundwork for feverish claims that the
election was stolen, declaring that the community activist group Acorn
-- which, as Factcheck.org points out, has never "been found guilty of,
or even charged with" causing fraudulent votes to be cast -- "is now on
the verge of maybe perpetrating one of the greatest frauds in voter
history in this country, maybe destroying the fabric of democracy."
Needless to say, the potential voters Acorn tries to register are
disproportionately "other folks," as Mr. Chambliss might put it.(...)
the G.O.P.'s long transformation into the party of the unreasonable
right, a haven for racists and reactionaries, seems likely to
accelerate as a result of the impending defeat.
And then this from Hindu mythology:
There
was once a man chopping wood in the forest. He was splitting the wood,
stacking it in piles etc. "It's very exhausting work," he thought. So
he sat under on particularly nice tree, and he thought to himself, "I
just wish all this wood would chop itself." So suddenly all the trees
chopped themselves and stacked themselves up very nicely. "What is
this?" he thought. "I just wished that it would happen, and it
happened." So then he looked up at the tree he was under, and he
realized that it was a kalpataru tree. "This is wonderful! Now I desire
a beautiful woman." Poof! The most beautiful woman appeared to him.
"Now I desire a beautiful palace to live in, I desire so many servants,
an opulent feast.." On and on he went for many hours, and every single
thing appeared because he was sitting under a desire tree. But then he
thought, "The sun is going down, it's getting dark now. I know what's
going to happen. Because this is a jungle, a tiger's going to appear
and that tiger's going to eat me." So lo and behold, because he thought
it, and he was sitting under a desire tree, a tiger appeared and
gobbled him up.
MORAL: Vancha kalpataru 'bhyas ca. A devotee is a desire tree, so we have to be very careful what we desire.
Scenario:
- The Republican Party, which is one half of America's two party system, running with its last heavyweight moderate, loses big and moves farther to the right.
- Thanks to Bush, the
economic and international situation are so deteriorated that the
Democrats, despite a huge majority and no opposition worthy of the name
to blame their troubles on, prove impotent in the face of it all and
fail miserably.
- Mass unemployment, "stagdeflation"
and humiliation in Iraq, Afghanistan, the Middle East and Latin
America have become the exclusive property of the Democrats, who Bush
has left holding the bag.
- Totally purged of moderates, the Republicans, in their most reactionary form, return to power, first in midterm and finally in 2012.
Larry Sabato, the election forecaster, predicts that seven Senate seats currently held by Republicans will go Democratic on Tuesday. According to the liberal-conservative rankings of the political scientists Keith Poole and Howard Rosenthal, five of the soon-to-be-gone senators are more moderate than the median Republican senator -- so the rump, the G.O.P. caucus that remains, will have shifted further to the right. The same thing seems set to happen in the House.
Think it over before answering.
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/





Let's leave it to Newt.
November 3, 2008 7:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
You catch my drift.
November 3, 2008 8:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Or... The moderate Republicans could push back hard and say - wait a minute we lost because of the far right of the party, the cultural conservatives. We lost because the Republican party has made no attempt over the past eight years to represent no more than a sliver of the American people. We lost because we no longer stand for small government, fiscal responsibility, foreign policy realism etc etc. We lost because the party though it only had to take care of the upper five percent fiscally and the bottom 20% culturally, ignoring 75%. We lost because we believed the country leans farther to the right than it does. We lost because the party tried to paint a centerist Senator as a liberal based votes against Bush policies and claiming our guy wasn't for doing the same thing.
So my sense if the Republicans swing hard right they will be further marginalized.
November 3, 2008 9:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Foxy,
That depends on the success the Democrats would have on turning the entire US situation around. If they don't succeed, then the message of the ultra-right will resound just as it has done in France and Italy. If the moderate Republicans have failed and even deserted McCain like Powell did, they will have no standing in the GOP if he loses. So unless the Dems are a huge success get ready for vicious backlash.
November 3, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Get ready for a vicious weak backlash, presuming the Democrats keep it together enough to focus policy and keep hold of a mandate. But Democrats have been jumping at the boo of the religious right and the "fearful" Rove machine for a long long time. It's about time they realized that being afraid of the dark is worse than whatever might be in the dark.
November 4, 2008 6:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rather than trying to predict I plan to sit back an enjoy the ensuing fight amongst the various factions for control of the republican party.
November 3, 2008 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Always fun to rise to your bait, Mr. Cassandra. Civilized argument is a Good Thing. Will be fun to continue the conversation after work begins in January.
I'm not clear if the desire tree/devotees are Obama's or Palin's. If the former, I will again ask you to not insult us by conflating optimism and enthusiasm with blind worship.
Wouldn't a better term for "stag-deflation" be a depression? It won't be forgotten that the GOP presided over the US collapse.
The wacko Republican rump somehow becomes the dominant party in two years? Not clear how tha happens, if it is only the remnant, with moderates voting Democratic.
People will forget Iraq's non-existent WMD in two years? Leaving Iraq will not be a Vietnam humiliation, because there is no invading army to hold at bay. Nothing dramatic will happen if we draw down.
I note Osama Bin Laden still at large.
BTW, guess you were wrong about Obama's grandmother, along with Rush.
November 3, 2008 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink