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Week of November 2, 2008 - November 8, 2008

The writing on the wall



In the United States, there is a powerful compulsion to shoehorn warmaking into the ranks of admirable activities conducted by good people with fine minds. General Petraeus fulfills an important need, especially for the responsible-liberal quadrant of the commentariat and the incoming Obama administration which, I imagine, will be staffed by Ivy League intellectuals and not be chock-a-block with blood and thunder military types.

For the United States to put up with occupations and COIN/pacification operations in Iraq and Afghanistan that may go on for more than a decade, the public needs to believe that the occupation is some kind of combination of FDR's New Deal and the superhero Justice League, using American know-how and values to continually improve the economic and security well-being of the peoples in our care.

However, in real life, occupation and counter-insurgency are a nasty, degrading, and bloody business. Commanders in a hostile land far from home, intent on protecting their own forces, aren't always using a surgical scalpel to extract the tumor of insurgency. Sometimes the meat axe is swung indiscriminately, slaughtering patient and bystanders alike. China Matters
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AMY GOODMAN: We have to leave it there. I want to thank you very much for being with us. Last question, though: do you think the movements that elected Obama can, without the Obama machine, remarkable online and on-the-ground organizing, what, ten million email list--we were getting texts and emails every couple of hours--can reconstitute itself without that? Because now that will be the state. How do people show their--express their positions if they differ from the state?

MAHMOOD MAMDANI: Has the movement been absorbed into the state? Look, there's a remarkable difference between the youth movement of the '60s, which mainly organized outside the system, and the youth movement which has brought Obama to power, because this movement has organized within the system to reform the system. Obama keeps on saying that this movement must not go away, that change hasn't come, that this is the beginning of change. Now, will the candidate be able to tame the movement, or will the movement be able to stamp itself to some extent in the coming days? Democracy Now
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Mr. Obama ran on a platform of guaranteed health care and tax breaks for the middle class, paid for with higher taxes on the affluent. John McCain denounced his opponent as a socialist and a "redistributor," but America voted for him anyway. That's a real mandate. Paul Krugman - NYT
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Mr Obama's appointment of Rahm Emanuel, a long-time aide to Bill Clinton, to be his White House chief of staff is a savvy choice that will tick a lot of people off. Mr Emanuel will be not only a force multiplier for a Democratic majority that has grown by 19 seats, but also - and more importantly - a brake on that majority. Christopher Caldwell - Financial Times
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Rahm Emanuel: pitbull (hold the lipstick)



With the appointment of Rahm Emanuel, Obama shows that he wants to run a very tight ship with a very clear chain of command: Emanuel is a pit bull (hold the lipstick).

There are many people who are very together, focused, tough and efficient that don't have a reputation for being mean. Obama has chosen someone who has the reputation for being mean.

The message that Obama sends with Emanuel's appointment is intimidation: be afraid, and if you are not afraid of me, be afraid of my creature.




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Obama viewed in Spain



The press coverage of Obama in Spain is all raves. From the left of the political spectrum, because he isn't Bush (see El Roto's drawing above) and from the right because the USA has been the guarantor of the European right (including Franco) since WWII and Spanish conservatives are very worried about the deterioration of the American image, which they always brandished  to attack the left.

I was in a supermarket morning and I heard my dialog between a mother and her teenage daughter I think you'll like. I'll give it to you in the original version with subtitles below:

Hija: Mamá, estarás contenta, ha ganado tu Obama

Daughter: Mom, you must be happy, your Obama won.

Madre: Ay, sí  hija, a ver si él arregla al mundo.

Mother:  Oh yes, daughter, let's see if he fixes the world.



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The great paradox



"Forty-eight per cent of Americans did not feel the hand of history on their shoulders on Tuesday, in spite of everything." Martin Kettle - Guardian
 
The great paradox surrounding Barack Obama's victory is that it would have been impossible without George W. Bush. Probably no other president in US history has been as "transformational" as Bush has.


The question that hangs over us now is whether Bush himself is the agent of this ghastly transformation, or merely history's delivery boy who has only handed over the package and stands after we have signed for it and have taken delivery... hoping for a tip.

I would lean toward a synthesis: if the chickens were straggling home to roost, Bush gave the hitchhiking chickens a lift in his SUV.

Most of us who have been little boys at one time or another remember that it is much easier to take apart a toy than to reassemble it without any pieces left over. That is now the task of the Democrats.


Right now we are enjoying the after glow, but from here on out I'm afraid it's all going to be "quod omne animal post coitum est triste".

http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Martin Kettle: The challenge ahead - Guardian (a must read)


This is the best analysis of the American elections I've read so far.

Martin Kettle: The challenge ahead - Guardian
Abstract: This election was the Democrats' to lose. As John McCain said in his immensely gracious concession speech in Phoenix, the road for the Republican candidate was a hard one from the outset.

For Obama to have lost the election when the incumbent party had presided over an economic collapse of epochal immensity and over two unsuccessful and unpopular wars, with three quarters of Americans believing their country was heading in the wrong direction and against an opponent who had been nominated by a divided party and who then himself selected a manifestly unqualified and divisive running-mate would have constituted the biggest electoral missed opportunity in generations. It might have persuaded an entire generation that there was absolutely no validity whatever in electoral politics. Millions might have concluded that the only way to get the Republicans out of the White House was by some form of armed insurrection.

(...) Yet, it has to be noted that, if Obama had not won well, that too would have been a shattering blow to the Democratic cause at such a time. In many statewide contests last night, Obama ran behind other Democrats.

One of the most conspicuous of these was in Virginia, where former governor Mark Warner captured the Senate seat formerly held by his Republican namesake John Warner. As the nail-biting nip-and-tuck Obama-McCain battle in Virginia dragged on through the night, Warner was simultaneously coasting to victory on a 60-40 wave of support right through the evening.

There was a similar pattern in North Carolina, where the selfsame voters who comprehensively brought Republican veteran Liddy Dole's senate career to an end, in what was once the seat occupied by Jesse Helms, split right down the middle over the Obama-McCain race.

So, while Obama has a mandate that has been denied to every Democratic president since the days of Martin Luther King, he also has a level of support that he must be careful not to test to destruction. Forty-eight per cent of Americans did not feel the hand of history on their shoulders on Tuesday, in spite of everything.

Yet the election of 2008 feels, in many ways, like the resumption of a progressive project that was mislaid in the convulsions of the 1960s.

But Obama surely knows better than anyone that, if he is to turn this victory into an enduring reshaping of American politics, then the really important election is now the one in 2012, for which the work starts now. (read it all)


Thoughts on the president-elect



Reading many of the comments about Obama's victory, it seems that the principal object of this election has been for Americans to "feel good" about themselves.

Is Obama some sort of Prozac... like Reagan?



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Signed, sealed....


"When the Lamb opened the seventh seal, there was silence in heaven for about half an hour" Revelations 8-8
All congratulations to Barack Obama, who is now the sole owner of George W. Bush's legacy.

And most of all, no matter who Barack Obama finally turns out to be, this is truly a wonderful day for all who have the blood of Africa in their veins.

Certainly, if anyone, anywhere, ever deserved to be happy, it is the black people of America. God bless them and, especially for their sake,  I hope that all goes well.

http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Finally the fat lady sings


vox populi
Too late, my brothers
Too late, but never mind
All my trials, Lord, soon be over
Traditional

_____________


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The perils of the Kalpataru



First read this from Paul Krugman:
Most of the post-election discussion will presumably be about what the Democrats should and will do with their mandate. But let me ask a different question that will also be important for the nation's future: What will defeat do to the Republicans?(...) the Republican rump, the party that's left after the election, will be the party that attends Sarah Palin's rallies, where crowds chant "Vote McCain, not Hussein!" It will be the party of Saxby Chambliss, the senator from Georgia, who, observing large-scale early voting by African-Americans, warns his supporters that "the other folks are voting." It will be the party that harbors menacing fantasies about Barack Obama's Marxist -- or was that Islamic? -- roots. Why will the G.O.P. become more, not less, extreme? For one thing, projections suggest that this election will drive many of the remaining Republican moderates out of Congress, while leaving the hard right in place.(...) Also, the Republican base already seems to be gearing up to regard defeat not as a verdict on conservative policies, but as the result of an evil conspiracy. A recent Democracy Corps poll found that Republicans, by a margin of more than two to one, believe that Mr. McCain is losing "because the mainstream media is biased" rather than "because Americans are tired of George Bush." And Mr. McCain has laid the groundwork for feverish claims that the election was stolen, declaring that the community activist group Acorn -- which, as Factcheck.org points out, has never "been found guilty of, or even charged with" causing fraudulent votes to be cast -- "is now on the verge of maybe perpetrating one of the greatest frauds in voter history in this country, maybe destroying the fabric of democracy." Needless to say, the potential voters Acorn tries to register are disproportionately "other folks," as Mr. Chambliss might put it.(...) the G.O.P.'s long transformation into the party of the unreasonable right, a haven for racists and reactionaries, seems likely to accelerate as a result of the impending defeat.

And then this from Hindu mythology:
There was once a man chopping wood in the forest. He was splitting the wood, stacking it in piles etc. "It's very exhausting work," he thought. So he sat under on particularly nice tree, and he thought to himself, "I just wish all this wood would chop itself." So suddenly all the trees chopped themselves and stacked themselves up very nicely. "What is this?" he thought. "I just wished that it would happen, and it happened." So then he looked up at the tree he was under, and he realized that it was a kalpataru tree. "This is wonderful! Now I desire a beautiful woman." Poof! The most beautiful woman appeared to him. "Now I desire a beautiful palace to live in, I desire so many servants, an opulent feast.." On and on he went for many hours, and every single thing appeared because he was sitting under a desire tree. But then he thought, "The sun is going down, it's getting dark now. I know what's going to happen. Because this is a jungle, a tiger's going to appear and that tiger's going to eat me." So lo and behold, because he thought it, and he was sitting under a desire tree, a tiger appeared and gobbled him up.
MORAL: Vancha kalpataru 'bhyas ca. A devotee is a desire tree, so we have to be very careful what we desire.


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David Seaton

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