Week of October 26, 2008 - November 1, 2008
At least I won't have to pay the piper... I hope I hope

A wonderous portal opened wide,
As if a cavern was suddenly hollowed;
And the piper advanced and the children followed,
And when all were in to the very last,
The door in the mountain side shut fast.
Did I say, all? No! One was lame,
And could not dance the whole of the way;
And in after years, if you would blame
His sadness, he was used to say,--
"It's dull in our town since my playmates left!
The Pied Piper of Hamlin - Robert Browning
At the guru's lotus feet
McCain may not be as inept and clueless as he seems. Strapped for cash, by falling so far behind in the polls he has turned Obama, not Bush, into the "incumbent" and the focus is now on Obama and not Bush. The question for flat broke McCain is to keep the focus on Obama and build up doubts among the "low information voters" (LIVs) who, with the World Series finished are just tuning into the presidential campaign. And of course the essential challenge is to keep that focus on Obama with out spending any money.
I expect that now we will be seeing all the nasty material that the Republicans are said to have saved up on Obama. We have already heard the "socialist" radio tape, there is now supposed to be a "Palestinian video" which the Los Angeles Times is accused of suppressing and also some sort of mysterious girlfriend, a certain Vera Baker, who seems to have disappeared from the face of the earth. If the Reverend Wright is not encased in cement at the bottom of Lake Michigan by now, I wouldn't be surprised if he turned up, say around Friday
The "low information voters" (LIVs) who are just now tuning into the election are only really hearing about Obama for the first time. At this point rumors about girl friends and wealth redistribution can really catch the attention of the LIVs. All this focus on Obama is a force multiplier for McCain's meager dollars.
In short, the idea is to look at the polls of the key battleground states and if Obama is not over 50% (no matter what lead he has) than those states may very well go to McCain.
Perhaps someone who can make a dollar go such a long way would do well during a severe economic crisis. Certainly spending four to one and not having everything sewn up does smell a little bit of the classic "tax and spend" Democrat that Republicans love to portray.
America the dangerous
The extensive press resume pasted from
Slate below explains much of the Obama phenomenon and also explains the
existential crisis that the United States is undergoing.For me the two quotes that distill the idea most are Nicholas Kristof's idea that Obama will, "find a path to restore America's global influence" and E. J. Dionne's that an Obama victory will, "rekindle the sense of possibility and transformation" in American life.
(Reporters are) not as much in love with Obama as they're in love with the idea of Obama, of the "meaning" of his run for the presidency, of the redemption he offers a sinful nation that scratched slavery into its liberty-loving Constitution.In all of this there are many dangers implicit for the United States and for the rest of humanity.
The windows of this mind-set are provided by Slate's Jacob Weisberg, for whom the Obama election is a national referendum on racism; the New York Times' Nicholas D. Kristof, for whom an Obama presidency is an opportunity to "rebrand" our nation and "find a path to restore America's global influence"; E.J. Dionne, who sees an Obama presidency as representing a chance to "rekindle the sense of possibility and transformation" in American life; and a swooning Andrew Sullivan, who almost a year ago speculated that Obama might be "that bridge to the 21st century that Bill Clinton told us about." For Chris Matthews, of course, the Obama candidacy is a "thrill" going up his leg, one that will arc over his torso and detonate his head in the event of a victory.
The leading Obama cheerleader among the commentariat is Newsweek's Jonathan Alter, whose "erection of the heart" for the candidate has no match. Alter sees the presidential election as a world referendum on the United States and "the common sense and decency of the American people." Obama symbolizes hope over fear, and his election would produce an "Obama Dividend" that would "blow the minds of people in the Middle East and other regions, and help restore American prestige." Obama, Alter continues, "knows how to think big, elevate the debate and transport the public to a new place."Jack Slafer - Slate
Obama's challenge and McCain's last, small, chance (2)
Most probably Barack Obama will be
the next president of the United States and if elected his major
problem may very well be to control the "left wing infantilism" of some
of his supporters who are going to confuse a virtual victory by default
with a sea change in American politics, however for the same reason the
presence of these supporters means that John McCain still has a real, if at this date almost infinitesimal, chance to pull off an upset.
Obama's challenge and McCain's last, small, chance
Most probably Barack Obama will be
the next president of the United States and if elected his major
problem may very well be to control the "left wing infantilism" of some
of his supporters who are going to confuse a virtual victory by default
with a sea change in American politics, however for the same reason the
presence of these supporters means that John McCain still has a real, if at this date almost infinitesimal, chance to pull off an upset.McCain: a random clarification (2)
I am so eternally skeptical of Barack Obama's attainments and so insistent on the subject, that there are people that think I favor John McCain. This is not so.... I am just horrified by the choice. I really am. I felt and still feel that the only major American politician with the vision, bandwidth and experience necessary to bring the USA through the next eight years is and was that boring, old, Nobel Prize winner, Al Gore. In short, I haven't got a dog in this fight.As to McCain. I think John McCain is a very good senator and should stay in the senate... I'm not sure that Obama is that good a senator because he hasn't been there (or anywhere else) long enough to really tell, so I think he should stay there as well... at least long enough to find out. And as someone who grew up in that state, I would have loved to have seen Barack Obama run for President after eight years as governor of Illinois. Lately most of the governors of Illinois go to jail... If Obama could have run a tight ship in Springfield without getting covered with dung, I would be sure that he could handle the viper's nest that is and always has been, the White House.
I do think it is unfair to say that McCain is Bush... I don't think anybody could equal Bush's insane and destructive incompetence. If Bush has become the measuring stick, probably Joe the plumber could do the job as well as anyone.
I remember once many years ago sitting on the terrace of a bar overlooking the rugged coast of Spain. I was nursing a drink and watching the tiny cars miles away as they zipped around the hairpin turns on the cliffhanging coastal highway... the others at the table were engrossed in conversation with their backs to the sea and I was the only one watching the distant road. My attention was drawn to a small Mini Cooper that was coming down the mountain way too fast... my friends were all looking in my direction and talking as the tiny car, miles away, crashed through a guard rail and hurtled some 500 feet into the Mediterranean... I was the only one who saw them die... all my friends suddenly were staring at me as I vomited all over the table. I feel a bit like that now.
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