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Week of August 31, 2008 - September 6, 2008

Enter the beast


(...) "their folksy common-sense, defiant courage, and religious faith are more necessary than some of us acknowledge or even understand, and therefore we may lose the election." Jim Sleeper - TPM Café

Imagine that in a parallel universe. Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee, facing an uphill race and in a massive surprise move presented as her running mate, the unknown governor of far off little Hawaii and former mayor of Honolulu, Barack Obama.

Imagine being exposed to the full power of Barack Obama's speaking style without any warning. That is something like the effect that Sarah Pallin is producing.

If the Democrats aren't able to destroy her in the political nasciturus phase -- and try as they may I don't think they will be -- then we are looking at some new mixture of Ronald Reagan and Maggie Thatcher -- a huge, great hairy beast of a political animal, red of tooth and claw.

A small clarification


I think another teeny, little clarification is in order.

I favor the Republicans this year, because I want them to be left holding the bag.

From a geopolitical point of view, the last couple of years have been like the run up of a roller coaster: You know, the TOCK... TOCK... TOCK...... TOCK that comes just before the wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.

All this has been building up for a long time and it not just George W. Bush, Bill Clinton was also a lousy foreign policy president and a lot of what is happening with Russia and with Israel/Palestine today is his fault... we are talking about sixteen straight years of bad decisions and bad policy, which are now coming to a head.

The next four years, whoever is in charge, lots of the chickens will hatch or come home to roost and much of the shit will hit the fan, the mortgage will be foreclosed, or any other metaphor that describes for you the ripening of poisonous fruit. It is very possible that NATO will break up, Mexico may collapse and its entire middle class move north and that even the Israelis may end up looking for a new best friend.

Whoever is in charge is going to get blamed for it all.

Even if Obama were half the statesman his supporters think he is, which he most certainly isn't, there is practically nothing that he could do by now to dodge all these coming disasters and humiliations; they have been built to last with loving care over some time.

Whoever it is, it's going to be "They lost Iraq... They lost Afghanistan ...they lost the Ukraine... They lost the Baltic republics ... They lost Mexico"... Maybe even, "they lost Israel". Frankly I would prefer that the Republicans carried that end of empire can around their neck for all time and not the Democrats... as richly deserving as they might be. Four more years might just get it. It will be good for the world and even better for the USA... in the long run, but the voters won't like it one bit. So I hope for their sake, but especially for the sake of America's working people that the Dems lose this one.

The reason being that sooner or later there is going to have be some serious social legislation passed in the USA: bread and butter stuff like free day care centers for single working mothers with tiny children and huge drug rehab programs to empty the prison system... stuff like that... Might have to sell Abu Dhabi a carrier battle group to pay for it all. The Republicans are never going to do any of those things and if the Democrats are left holding the bag for the collapse of America's empire, then those things are never going to get done... ever.

So I'm rooting for crazy old John and the beautiful Sarah... they'll do fine for madly paddling as the canoe goes over the dam.

Why isn't Sarah Palin a Democrat?


(Andrew Halcro, who ran as an independent against Palin, said that debating Palin was an exercise in frustration.) "She has a way of walking in a room and filling the room with her presence, so people suddenly forget about their concerns about health care or education or anything else." LA Times
I have been surprised by the firestorm that McCain's choice of Sarah Palin as his running mate has produced: the virulence of it all, the truly savage, hysterical, Rovian type abuse, an outpouring of sexist, personal and ad hominem (ad feminem?) attacks that only Barack Obama has had the sense to distance himself from. Something that does much credit to his intelligence.

Why so much hostility?

The answer if pretty simple in my opinion, this lady is a monster politician and unless they destroy her and her story before she is really out of the gate; catch her in the political nasciturus stage as it were, then she is going to do to Barack Obama, exactly what Barack Obama did to Hillary Clinton: take the candy right out of his mouth.

This brings me to a question that I keep coming back to over and over again:

Why can't the Democrats, who are supposed to be the "people's party", come up with candidates that connect solidly with "deep" America?

How is it that Sarah Palin is the one who isn't a millionaire, the one who went to a state university, who was a commercial fisherman, (fisherperson?) served on the PTA and whose husband carries a steelworker's union card? Why is this formidable, working woman a Republican?

Why is it that the only Democrat that seems acutely aware of this problem is a born aristocrat like Howard Dean?

To paraphrase the demon Rumsfeld, you go with the working class you have, not with the working class you would like to have.

America's working people are in need of health, education and welfare, but they are also social conservatives. They are religious. Their rejection of much of contemporary life is bringing together Protestants and Catholics for the first time since Luther nailed his stuff to the door.

Why should this automatically be a force for reaction?

There is nothing in the teaching of Jesus Christ that intrinsically supports economic liberalism, military adventures at the expense of health or education or connects in any way with the beggar thy neighborism of the disciples of Ayn Rand.

Why are America's working people so socially conservative and religious?

In my opinion, not because they are "bitter", but because they are terrified.

During the Republican primaries I wrote a couple of pieces about Mike Huckabee's Evangelical populism that received a lot of kind attention. Out of laziness, or pressed for time, I'll quote myself:
The entire American economy is based on making people feel bad about themselves, making them feel poor, ugly, sick, helpless, stupid, inadequate and then offering to sell them something to relieve the pain of rejection and failure. What, despite all its grotesque fanaticism, is truly healthy about all this Evangelical, rapture, mishegoss is that it is a real rebellion against the basic, inhuman tool of the system... Its unhappiness factory. (...) Of course many of the same old vultures feed off this rebellion, in the same way that they feed off all the other unsatisfaction, but this is a true rebellion for all of that. (...) Why are so many of the poor of America, white and black, socially conservative? Because without a welfare state, the only institutions that offer any comfort or protection are the church and the family. The family is the first welfare state. Here is Spain where we have a welfare state and a fine public health system, the traditional family is still in place. In the hospital system this means that the operations are fantastic, but the nursing is deficient, because normally the patients are surrounded by solicitous family members carrying bed pans etc and nurses only come around if patient suddenly takes a turn for the worse. In the USA there is no welfare state and the family is also under heavy pressure from the system. Poor people are terrified: frightened people take comfort where they can. A divorced waitress with two kids who has to take them to an emergency room to treat their asma can't be criticized for being a "Left Behind" enthusiast. There is no better country than America in the whole world to be rich. It is probably the only country in the world where the rich are loved. Conversely there is no worse country in the world to be poor. Of course these people are paranoid, the system literally hates them.
I find any rebellion of the "lower orders" in the USA positive per se. I start from the premise that it is really the poor, the sniggered at, the excluded and the disadvantaged -- what are called the "lower classes" -- that have to be the protagonists of any authentic change. Up till now, all the "struggle" is coming from the top against the down.

What is new is that now it is America's lower middle classes, once the envy of the entire world, that can't pay for health and education any more and find themselves losing their homes and being pushed toward pauperization.

You have to start from where you are.

Perhaps the only thing that the white, black and Latino populations really have in common is their fear and their faith in Jesus.

There has to be rebellion for anything to happen and the culture of the people has to be taken into account. The lower middle class and poor people of America are religious and we have to start from there.

You don't believe in any of it?

If you are a truly progressive and want to change the system, then you should say like Henry of Navarre, "Paris vaut bien une messe".

Like Howard Dean, I believe that America's progressives have to make their peace with evangelical America and find defenders of the "little man" that vibrate in the same cultural key as they do. Where is a contemporary William Jennings Bryan? It is absurd that a credible case can be made that the Democrats are elitist.
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Methinks Ye Doth Protest Too Much


The best gauge of the effectiveness of McCain’s nominating Sarah Pallin is the sort of violent, often sexist reaction, it is getting from the Democratic commentators. Comments on the hair, comments on the shoes... now amazing prurient stories of infants being switched, followed by feigned shock that her teenage daughter went and got he knickers starched...  as teenage girls have been happily doing for centuries

The tone is shrill, bordering on hysterical, often with Rovian smears, which is a sure sign that McCain’s shot has hit home.
I think that the Democrats, except for Obama, (himself  the offspring of another randy teenager) are handling this all very badly.

The panic is understandable: if the whole Democratic argument to defeat McCain is that McSame is just an elderly version of George W. Bush, then the Pallin thing is a master stroke, isn't it?

Do you know, who Sarah Pallin really is?

She is Mike Huckabee with tits, that's who.

http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

If Pallin is so absurd why not just laugh instead of smearing her?


The best gauge of the effectiveness of McCain’s nominating Sarah Pallin is the sort of sexist reaction it is getting from the Democratic commentators, beginning with Maureen Dowd, of all people. Comments on the hair, comments on the shoes... now amazing stories of infants being switched. The tone is shrill, bordering on hysterical, often with Rovian smears, which is a sure sign that McCain’s shot has hit home.
I think that the Democrats are handling this very badly, but if their whole argument is that McCain is just an elderly version of George W. Bush, then the Pallin thing is a master stroke.

Do you know, who Sarah Pallin really is?

She is Mike Huckabee with tits, that's who.

Here is are some commentaries about the Bristol Palin pregnancy from a piece at Gideon Rachman's blog over at the Financial Times:
I dont think the story has feet..it is only left wing bloggers (Andrew Sullivan being the exception but he is a conservative very anti-Bush) that have carried it …no MSM will touch it…it will take on the same urban legend feel of the attack that Obama is a Muslim…i.e., some people will believe it no matter what… As I said I don’t think it is so terrible EVEN if it is true…that’s what mothers do…one of their biggest jobs is to protect their children (in this case her teen daughter)…which was obviouly the motive here if true. The problem for the campaign again she is just so new and colorful and different that she will get more attention than McCain…and some of it like this strange story will not all be good…
**************
Well the current daughter baby story which has been picked up by MSM will cement her to the conservative working class base…this is a story as old as time…and it probably shows that there is little for teenagers to do in Alaska except drink and well …be teens!
***************
Did you read the excellent Christopher Caldwell column on the “pregnancy pacts” among high school teens in Glouchester (sp?), Mass? They were the white children of blue collar workers and the girls were aiming to get pregnant. I would guess that part of the US, they would be Catholic, but I don’t think that’s why they were having their babies, although they weren’t getting married. It is not so surprising that Bristol is choosing the same, although her family is wealthier and can support an early marriage. Sarah Palin, after all, married her high school sweetheart with, IMO, no damage done. Bristol Palin is just doing it a little bit earlier. Wonder if Daily Kos will get sued. What a pig of a story to run!
I think that so far only Hillary has handled Pallin's nomination well and that makes me suspicious.
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

A note for MJ Rosenberg


From today's Jerusalem Post
Security officials expressed concern Monday over statements reportedly made by US Democratic vice presidential candidate Joseph Biden regarding Iran's nuclear program. Army Radio reported that the Delaware senator was heard saying in closed conversations with Jerusalem officials three years ago that he was firmly opposed to an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations committee, reportedly claimed that Israel would likely have to come to terms with a nuclear Iran. He reportedly expressed doubt over the effectiveness of economic sanctions imposed on the Islamic Republic and said he was against the opening of an additional military and diplomatic front, saying that the US had more pressing problems, such as North Korea and Iraq.(...) Army Radio said that Jerusalem officials expressed amazement at the comments and were wondering which position to take seriously, that of Biden or Obama, who declared last Monday that the world must press Iran through sanctions and diplomacy to stop its nuclear program, so that Israel does not feel its "back is against the wall" and that it therefore has no choice but to attack. The officials said that they had believed Biden's nomination would give a feeling of security to the Israeli government, which was concerned that the US would give Israel the cold shoulder regarding the Iranian threat following the end of the Bush Administration's term. Nevertheless, reports of Biden's comments have now cast doubt over this sentiment and officials said that "this feeling of security has been undermined." "The position of the vice presidential candidate puts a huge question mark over the degree of empathy the Obama administration would display concerning one of the greatest threats Israel faces," they said
I dedicated this post to Mr. Rosenberg because he has recently written that:
Obama picked Biden who is about as close to the pro-Israel community as any member of either house. Biden is rated 100% by AIPAC (while at the same time being a strong supporter of the two-state solution). He is also the most knowledgeable Member of Congress on Arab-Israeli issues. When he goes to the synagogues in Florida, he goes not as a visitor but as "mishpocha." The Jews simply love the guy.
Now obviously something doesn't jibe here. Perhaps the answer could be in another article in today's JPost
Privately, the prevalent feeling in Jerusalem's corridors of power is that in the Obama-McCain race, "more of the same," the epithet Obama is throwing at McCain, is not that bad. When it comes to the Middle East, Jerusalem - or at least the current government - is not only unafraid of more of the same, but would actually embrace it from the next White House. The government likes what has come from the Bush administration over the last number of years and is in no hurry to see any change there. 
I don't want to pontificate here, but I would be interested in informed commentary on this issue.
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Thought for the day


"What the foreign visitor finds the most frightening, the most dangerous, is the voter who, after eight years of abject catastrophe, continues to pray "Please, please, give me a reason to vote for the person who says that things are all right, after all." Someone like Bush." Bradley Burston - Haaretz
Counting chickens before they hatch is something most of us do all the time. Unhatched chickens are so much fatter and tastier than what finally pops out of the egg. I fear that many Democrats are succumbing to that temptation today.

Because of Bush's personal unpopularity it is easy to jump to the conclusion that voters have had an epiphany and that now their hearts and minds are in the progressive camp.

Here are a few things to mull over.

It should give pause to think what astounding levels of stumbling incompetence and how many years of it was needed to bring Bush's  ratings to where they are today.  It should give pause to think how much Kool-Aid was eagerly drunk before the slightest gag reflex kicked in.

It should give pause to think that Dick Cheney, who makes Richard Nixon look like Macaulay Culkin, has never, in eight years, been in danger of impeachment.

Like a monk with a Zen koan, progressives should roll around in their minds how Bush was ever nominated in the first place and how he got reelected when all of today's disasters were easily visible.

The answer to these questions might be that the majority of Americans were always  in agreement with what Bush was selling; that they were totally untroubled by the moral implications of things like invading countries that had never harmed or threatened them, of torturing prisoners or wiretapping, but have only come to detest Bush's obviously incompetent execution of those policies... never the policies themselves.

The problem is not really Bush, we should be grateful that his abysmal incompetence has allowed us to see how our system actually works, grateful for the mirror he holds up for us. No, I'm afraid that the problem is with Americans themselves: by their fruits ye shall know them: the people will or wont change the politicians, never the other way around.

The future looks frightening, to say the least. We have seen that the American people can tolerate Dick Cheney and yet simultaneously be enchanted by the empty rhetoric of Barack Obama. It follows logically that America's future probably holds a politician who combines the heart of a Cheney and the mouth of an Obama... Hopefully he (or she) will be as incompetent as Bush.
http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Hand of God?


“I was just thinking, this Gustav is proof that there is a God in heaven,” (Michael) Moore said, laughing. “To have it planned at the same time – that it would actually be on its way to New Orleans for day one of the Republican Convention, up in the Twin Cities – at the top of the Mississippi River.” Business & Media Institute

That's one way of looking at it, but I just read this over on CNN:
President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney will not attend the GOP convention in St. Paul, Minnesota, because of Hurricane Gustav, White House press secretary Dana Perino said Sunday.(...)  A senior McCain source said Saturday that officials were considering turning the convention into a massive telethon to raise money for the Red Cross and other agencies to help with hurricane aid. "He wants to do something service oriented if and when the storm hits and it's as bad as it's expected to be now," the McCain source said. They are also hoping to get McCain himself to a storm-affected area as soon as possible.
McCain had suggested to a Fox News interviewer that the convention could be suspended if it seemed that a festive gathering was inappropriate in light of the destruction the storm may bring.
So, it turns out that the hand of God will keep <i>both</i> Bush and Cheney from attending the convention... Don't you think that keeping those two politically poisonous individuals away from the convention is something McCain would have been down on his knees praying for?

You bet.

And wouldn't you say  having the entire media fixed <i>both</i> on Gustav and the Republican convention 24/7, that this is a God given opportunity for McCain to look, proactive, competent, compassionate and <i>presidential</i>?

A chance for McCain at the scene of one of Bush's greatest disasters, to be "McDifferent" and not McSame?

If I were an Evangelical, which thank God I'm not, I would gather from all this that our Father in heaven is mightily pleased with McCain's Veep pick.

http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Hand of God?


“I was just thinking, this Gustav is proof that there is a God in heaven,” (Michael) Moore said, laughing. “To have it planned at the same time – that it would actually be on its way to New Orleans for day one of the Republican Convention, up in the Twin Cities – at the top of the Mississippi River.” Business & Media Institute

That's one way of looking at it, but I just read this over on CNN:
President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney will not attend the GOP convention in St. Paul, Minnesota, because of Hurricane Gustav, White House press secretary Dana Perino said Sunday.(...)  A senior McCain source said Saturday that officials were considering turning the convention into a massive telethon to raise money for the Red Cross and other agencies to help with hurricane aid. "He wants to do something service oriented if and when the storm hits and it's as bad as it's expected to be now," the McCain source said. They are also hoping to get McCain himself to a storm-affected area as soon as possible.
McCain had suggested to a Fox News interviewer that the convention could be suspended if it seemed that a festive gathering was inappropriate in light of the destruction the storm may bring.
So, it turns out that the hand of God will keep <i>both</i> Bush and Cheney from attending the convention... Don't you think that keeping those two politically poisonous individuals away from the convention is something McCain would have been down on his knees praying for?

You bet.

And wouldn't you say  having the entire media fixed <i>both</i> on Gustav and the Republican convention 24/7, that this is a God given opportunity for McCain to look, proactive, competent, compassionate and <i>presidential</i>?

A chance for McCain at the scene of one of Bush's greatest disasters, to be "McDifferent" and not McSame?

If I were an Evangelical, which thank God I'm not, I would gather from all this that our Father in heaven is mightily pleased with McCain's Veep pick.

http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/

Hand of God?


“I was just thinking, this Gustav is proof that there is a God in heaven,” (Michael) Moore said, laughing. “To have it planned at the same time – that it would actually be on its way to New Orleans for day one of the Republican Convention, up in the Twin Cities – at the top of the Mississippi River.” Business & Media Institute

That's one way of looking at it, but I just read this over on CNN:
President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney will not attend the GOP convention in St. Paul, Minnesota, because of Hurricane Gustav, White House press secretary Dana Perino said Sunday.(...)  A senior McCain source said Saturday that officials were considering turning the convention into a massive telethon to raise money for the Red Cross and other agencies to help with hurricane aid. "He wants to do something service oriented if and when the storm hits and it's as bad as it's expected to be now," the McCain source said. They are also hoping to get McCain himself to a storm-affected area as soon as possible.
McCain had suggested to a Fox News interviewer that the convention could be suspended if it seemed that a festive gathering was inappropriate in light of the destruction the storm may bring.
So, it turns out that the hand of God will keep <i>both</i> Bush and Cheney from attending the convention... Don't you think that keeping those two politically poisonous individuals away from the convention is something McCain would have been down on his knees praying for?

You bet.

And wouldn't you say  having the entire media fixed <i>both</i> on Gustav and the Republican convention 24/7, that this is a God given opportunity for McCain to look, proactive, competent, compassionate and <i>presidential</i>?

A chance for McCain at the scene of one of Bush's greatest disasters, to be "McDifferent" and not McSame?

If I were an Evangelical, which thank God I'm not, I would gather from all this that our Father in heaven is mightily pleased with McCain's Veep pick.

http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/
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David Seaton

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