Kansas, anyone?
I just noticed that Kansas hasn't been polled in 16 days, and the Survey USA poll on 9/22 had McCain up by only 53-41, a loss of almost half of the 58-35 lead he'd had in the same poll back in August.
I'm not putting KS in play just yet (on the same day, Rasmussen still had McCain up 20, albeit with a smaller sample size and Rasmussen generally running slightly to the right this year), but I'd be interested in seeing the next poll from there: if it's now between +5 and + 10 for McCain, then we may have a ballgame. I only have a superficial impression of Kansas, but somehow I think that it's a state where McCain's support for the bailout would be verrry unpopular with his base. And Nancy Boyda, the Democrat who pulled the upset in KS-2 last time around, was supposed to be a major Republican target this year, but I haven't seen anything to indicate she's been in trouble yet this year.
Thoughts, Sunflower Staters? Any chance we could see Blue skies come November?
I'm not putting KS in play just yet (on the same day, Rasmussen still had McCain up 20, albeit with a smaller sample size and Rasmussen generally running slightly to the right this year), but I'd be interested in seeing the next poll from there: if it's now between +5 and + 10 for McCain, then we may have a ballgame. I only have a superficial impression of Kansas, but somehow I think that it's a state where McCain's support for the bailout would be verrry unpopular with his base. And Nancy Boyda, the Democrat who pulled the upset in KS-2 last time around, was supposed to be a major Republican target this year, but I haven't seen anything to indicate she's been in trouble yet this year.
Thoughts, Sunflower Staters? Any chance we could see Blue skies come November?




