The Dead cat Rebound
It is said the even a dead cat will bounce if dropped from a
great enough height. And this rebound sure looks like
a dead cat. And it ain't bouncing.
Benanke has been dinking because it can't be legal.
C
great enough height. And this rebound sure looks like
a dead cat. And it ain't bouncing.
The numbers reported Thursday by the Mortgage BankersSomebody needs to find out what's in the Kool Aid that
Association show clearly that rising job losses are
worsening the nation's housing troubles and threaten
the Obama administration's efforts to keep owners from
losing their homes.
The quarterly National Delinquency Survey showed that
almost one in 10 homeowners with a mortgage was at
least one payment late, and thus delinquent, while
another 4 percent had entered the foreclosure process
on their loan.
Nowhere is there less sunshine in this picture than
Florida. The survey found that from April to June, 12
percent of all Florida mortgages were in the
foreclosure process and about 23 percent of all
Florida mortgages_ almost one in four_ were late on
payments or under threat of foreclosure.
In California, 10.8 percent of all mortgages were 90
days or more past due or in foreclosure. While the
Golden State accounts for 13.3 percent of U.S.
mortgages, it's also the site of almost 20 percent of
foreclosure starts from April to June.
More worrisome is a trend emerging deeper in the
numbers: Subprime loans given to the weakest borrowers
are now a declining portion of delinquency and
foreclosure rates, while prime loans, given to the
most highly qualified borrowers, are a rising share.
"The rise in prime delinquencies . . . is a clear
indication that employment is the driver of mortgage
performance, with the worst performance coming in
those areas that are combining jobs losses with large
drops in home values like California and Florida," Jay
Brinkmann, the group's chief economist, told
McClatchy. "We won't see a turnaround in delinquencies
until we see improvements in employment, most likely
the middle of next year."
Benanke has been dinking because it can't be legal.
C
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Several of the gold bug financial analysts are claiming that the FDIC ran out of funds a week before last Friday. Who you gonna believe?
August 23, 2009 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
The gold bugs. They have less to hide.
C
August 23, 2009 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rec'd but can we choose another animal besides dead cat? The cat-vatar community at TPM doesn't take kindly to that imagery.
August 23, 2009 11:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry...just a figure of speech.
C
August 23, 2009 11:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . this rebound sure looks like a dead cat.
If you're talking stock market rebound, this cat has a rocket in its tail -- just about ready to light off the second stage booster.
To the moon, Alice; to the moon!
August 24, 2009 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Possibly true, and for the stock market aficionados out there, probably a welcome relief. But I think we all know that the stock market isn't a very good measure of the housing crisis' drag on the overall economy, or on how average people are doing....
Would you agree?
August 24, 2009 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
True.
But as to whether a rising stock market equates to "relief," I'd say it more often equates to "anxiety" -- performance anxiety, that is.
And that anxiety is about to strike a lot of managers of other people's money.
Va-Va-Voom!
August 24, 2009 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, Ellen, perhaps if I understood you better, I could make money in the stock market.
Do you just mean that it's going to be hard for the money managers to know which stocks will go up and for how long? That I can understand. But if it's something more than that, I'm afraid you've lost me.
August 25, 2009 12:21 AM | Reply | Permalink