Is Obama's bark all he has on the Hill?
Last week the President met with representatives from the health care
industry to discuss health care reform and ways in which the industry,
in working with the government, can reduce cost for Americans--who have
seen health care cost sky-rocket in recent years. After the summit was
over the President went before the cameras and spoke about how
successful the summit was and announced plans to reduce the cost of
health care around to country by two trillion dollars.
However, as Jason Rosenbaum wrote about on the Huffington Post, seemingly moments after the industry, which seemed on board when they stood behind the President, released statements downplaying that expectation. (See here)
It should not be surprising that big business would go back on its word just as quickly as they reached a consensus with the President; nevertheless, in Washington despite his popularity, support among the American people, and supposedly indefinite political capital to address the big issues Obama comes across as all bark and no bite.
There seems to be a set routine now to how things go down in the nation's capital. It starts with the President coming out publicity with assertive rhetoric on any given issue only to have what he said eroded behind the cameras by others in his administration, or in some cases himself, or those in Congress.
To a certain extent it can be argued that this is how it goes in Washington: the President proposes legislation or changes to the current system, and Congress dilutes its effectiveness. However, such a Washington seems to run contrary to President Obama's campaign mission to change the way Washington works, which has led some to argue that Obama's 2012 campaign motto should be changed from "Yes We Can" to the more realistic "If We Can".
Make no mistake the President has been ambitious since taking office. He has proposed drastic changes to the way Washington does business; but has not been able to follow-through to the fullest, and as result has allowed too much of "more of the same" to slip through the cracks.
Realizing this the President in his more recent public appearances has taken to reminding the American people that he will not get all that he wants when his bills hit the floor of the Congress. Rather than using his momentum beyond the rhetoric and utilizing the bully pulpit, the President has taken to downplaying expectations, on the economy, health care reform, and energy; which might be the politically wise thing to do before the inevitable storm of dissatisfied voters comes along, but nevertheless comes across as a let down to his avid voters.
The President has been able to keep his base for the most part sedated with small changes scattered around the federal government, such as capping executive pay and compensation or releasing the torture memos from the past administration; however, such scraps, in comparison to the real issues at hand, can only keep his base happy for so long.
What the country needs now are major changes to how things have operated for the past decades, but neither the Obama administration nor the Democrats in Congress appear to be up to the task of seizing the moment, but rather seem content with talking about the sweeping changes that are needed and going about business as usual when the press conference is over.
Despite large numbers in the House and a solid lead in the Senate, Democrats have still found themselves on the defensive in the Congress to obstructionist Republicans, who have still managed to be able to dictate the debate since January. While House Republicans have solidified their opposition, Democratic leaders have had to try andcorale as many votes as possible; and in the Senate it is even worse. President Obama who could put more pressure on the Congress as a whole, but also certainly his party, has distanced himself politically from the second branch of the federal government, even though he meets with Democratic leaders on an almost daily basis.
While some have criticized the bully pulpit as an ineffective political tactic, which can make more enemies in the Congress than necessary, it can be a useful tool for a President to push his or her agenda. In particular useful for President Obama who has a to deal with a divisive Congress. President Obama has chosen a more conciliatory approach to dealing with the Congress, which as we have seen has put the course of the country in the hands of a few Senators, and has allowed his agenda to be derailed by petty American politics.
Of course there is always the notion that our expectations might be too high of the new president. In the lead up to the election Josef Joffe, editor and publisher of the German newspaper Die Zeit, was a guest on CNN's Fareed Zakaria's GPS where he foresaw that eventually Obama's enthusiastic supporters would eventually hit the wall that is American politics and realize that Obama was not, or cannot be, the President we all envisioned him as during the campaign.
The confidence which once existed in the progressive sphere that Obama will be able to pass a health care bill that guarantees health care for all Americans, end the war in Iraq by next year, put the country on a path toward energy independence, and much more seems to be diminishing. The question now is whether or not that confidence will completely vanish or recalibrate to more humble goals rather than optimistic ideal ones.
However, as Jason Rosenbaum wrote about on the Huffington Post, seemingly moments after the industry, which seemed on board when they stood behind the President, released statements downplaying that expectation. (See here)
It should not be surprising that big business would go back on its word just as quickly as they reached a consensus with the President; nevertheless, in Washington despite his popularity, support among the American people, and supposedly indefinite political capital to address the big issues Obama comes across as all bark and no bite.
There seems to be a set routine now to how things go down in the nation's capital. It starts with the President coming out publicity with assertive rhetoric on any given issue only to have what he said eroded behind the cameras by others in his administration, or in some cases himself, or those in Congress.
To a certain extent it can be argued that this is how it goes in Washington: the President proposes legislation or changes to the current system, and Congress dilutes its effectiveness. However, such a Washington seems to run contrary to President Obama's campaign mission to change the way Washington works, which has led some to argue that Obama's 2012 campaign motto should be changed from "Yes We Can" to the more realistic "If We Can".
Make no mistake the President has been ambitious since taking office. He has proposed drastic changes to the way Washington does business; but has not been able to follow-through to the fullest, and as result has allowed too much of "more of the same" to slip through the cracks.
Realizing this the President in his more recent public appearances has taken to reminding the American people that he will not get all that he wants when his bills hit the floor of the Congress. Rather than using his momentum beyond the rhetoric and utilizing the bully pulpit, the President has taken to downplaying expectations, on the economy, health care reform, and energy; which might be the politically wise thing to do before the inevitable storm of dissatisfied voters comes along, but nevertheless comes across as a let down to his avid voters.
The President has been able to keep his base for the most part sedated with small changes scattered around the federal government, such as capping executive pay and compensation or releasing the torture memos from the past administration; however, such scraps, in comparison to the real issues at hand, can only keep his base happy for so long.
What the country needs now are major changes to how things have operated for the past decades, but neither the Obama administration nor the Democrats in Congress appear to be up to the task of seizing the moment, but rather seem content with talking about the sweeping changes that are needed and going about business as usual when the press conference is over.
Despite large numbers in the House and a solid lead in the Senate, Democrats have still found themselves on the defensive in the Congress to obstructionist Republicans, who have still managed to be able to dictate the debate since January. While House Republicans have solidified their opposition, Democratic leaders have had to try andcorale as many votes as possible; and in the Senate it is even worse. President Obama who could put more pressure on the Congress as a whole, but also certainly his party, has distanced himself politically from the second branch of the federal government, even though he meets with Democratic leaders on an almost daily basis.
While some have criticized the bully pulpit as an ineffective political tactic, which can make more enemies in the Congress than necessary, it can be a useful tool for a President to push his or her agenda. In particular useful for President Obama who has a to deal with a divisive Congress. President Obama has chosen a more conciliatory approach to dealing with the Congress, which as we have seen has put the course of the country in the hands of a few Senators, and has allowed his agenda to be derailed by petty American politics.
Of course there is always the notion that our expectations might be too high of the new president. In the lead up to the election Josef Joffe, editor and publisher of the German newspaper Die Zeit, was a guest on CNN's Fareed Zakaria's GPS where he foresaw that eventually Obama's enthusiastic supporters would eventually hit the wall that is American politics and realize that Obama was not, or cannot be, the President we all envisioned him as during the campaign.
The confidence which once existed in the progressive sphere that Obama will be able to pass a health care bill that guarantees health care for all Americans, end the war in Iraq by next year, put the country on a path toward energy independence, and much more seems to be diminishing. The question now is whether or not that confidence will completely vanish or recalibrate to more humble goals rather than optimistic ideal ones.
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Yeah I'm finding myself a bit disappointed in him so far. I guess my expectations were too high or something? Great post. Thanks for saying what I've been feeling lately, and saying it so well.
May 17, 2009 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I understand where your coming from but maybe you did set the bar so far and maybe he could of done things differently in the last five months as a supporter I can easily say that. But you can't say the man hasn't done a good job on some issues and you can't say you regret voting for him and that kinda matters. Personally I think it's the issue of torture that had brought these feeling you have towards the man. I know your very adament on that (not just the photos as a whole because I know you want the photos to be released in the proper way where the troops won't be harmed any harder than they already are and that they don't strike any anti-american sentiment).
I don't know, all I can say that I understand where your coming from, Clarence wrote a good post that even though I disagree with on some aspects; do respect and will take in consideration and that I still like the President and will criticize him when I believe he's in the wrong. I won't do what the GOP did to Dubya when he was in office: Sit on my hands and kiss his ass even he he's bringing us to the gates of hell.
Anyhoo, have a good day LisB and have a good weekend as well.
May 17, 2009 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
J., I think this is an excellent analysis, and thanks for providing it.
I think there are some fundamental issues at play. Fundamental to Obama and to the United States.
In terms of Obama, through the campaign and now into the Presidency, he has wanted to be a peacemaker, a bridge. One can view this as either an intensely apolitical stance or an intensely political one. I interpreted, and I think many of us hoped, that he would be able to transcend politics - for the crises we face deal with the very fabric of our lives. However, rather than transcending he has attempted peace making through compromise. For those of us so-called "progressives" this is beyond disappointing. It is rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.
Equally, there are fundamental issues at stake for the nation (and the world). It is hard to say "at stake" because some have been lost (the balance of governmental power, Constitutional protections, any chance at narrowing the economic gap). Instead, we are scrabbling back and hoping to build anew - not rebuild what we had. For "Yes We Can!" was not about rebuilding what had failed (most of us) but fundamentally changing those things.
We have never had a universal health care system. We have never had an equitable health care system. People are looking for more than how to make a corrupt and exploitative system more "accessible."
While President Obama indeed has the "bully pulpit" he went in with the energetic force and hopes of the most of the people in the United States. It was not (nor does it need to be) Obama against the status quo; against the vested interests; against the Washington establishment or the monied elite. However, he is not using that tremendous force to do what he said he was going to do. He seems to have forgotten that the most powerful ally he has is the people.
May 17, 2009 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well said Rowan, (and J. Clarence). I think your last sentence,
may come back to haunt him unless he shows more leadership in helping us get to where we as a people want and need to be, with particular regard to health care and disengagement from foreign wars.
May 17, 2009 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lobbyists representing "big pharma", AMA, and other interests that have historically controlled funding for way too long are lining the halls of DC to get their way. A large percentage of people would prefer holistic and natural health care if it were funded. Natural healing costs much less also.
Let's make this new plan is more fair, and potentially save many $billions if nutritional programs and natural practitioners are included in this newest version. We also need more funding for alternative research utilizing herbs and nutrition for healing ways.
http://www.HealingNews.com
May 17, 2009 7:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can like a politician deeply and still recognize when they appear to be screwing up. Obama won't be well served if the democrats treat him like the republicans treated GWB. Just don't forget to appreciate the areas where Obama is fighting on the same side of the issue. Something tells me McCain would be far, far worse.
May 17, 2009 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
''You can like a politician deeply and still recognize when they appear to be screwing up.''
Like me for example. I am a huge supporter of the President but has crtitcized him before. Examples include the stimulus not having enough money for light rail and his plan for Afghanistan. You can criticize someone you like and respect on one issue and that dose not make you a ememy of him. Plus it's good to critic your leaders when you think their not doing in your best intrests, holding their feet to the fire.
I disagree with this post because as a liberal I haven't been disappointed in the President. I like the jon he has doing. He has given me confidence in everytime he speaks and I like his plans for Gitmo and Iraq. Maybe i'm not disappointed because I knew the man wasn't the 2nd coming of Christ who would come in and change the world instantly with a magic wand.
Sorry, not disappointed in him. If I got a call from Gallup or Rasmussen asking me if I approve of the job Obama has been doing, I would vote approve.
Well written post though, take care and have a good one Clarence.
May 17, 2009 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good post J. Clarence. Regarding your final query:
I have not yet decided to hang up my idealistic spurs. There may still be movement in broad policy decisions, and without a vocal and earnest din from the progressive bleachers, we will certainly end up with less than we need.May 17, 2009 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, very few have ever knighted me with the label "idealist." (Not saying your miguelitoh20) In fact, folks tend to grade me on the grim side. To confine myself to healthcare ... I do not see how we are going to move forward by much if we set up a public pay system that feeds into a for profit system.
I notice that extending the Congressional health plan to the people has become invisible. Instead, the "liberal" talk is expanding Medicare. MEDICARE? You mean the system where providers won't accept folks because they don't like the government's compensation? MEDICARE with the hole in the "donut" you can drive a semi through? MEDICARE with the prescription drug plan that disallows competitive pricing and bulk purchasing?
Oh please. That is not a compromise - it's a sop to Corporate Med and Pharma.
Whoops. Hit a nerve.
May 17, 2009 9:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
May 17, 2009 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go miguel.
Thanks for not thinking that rant was aimed at you. Wasn't at all. And thanks for providing ammunition in your response. ;~)
May 17, 2009 10:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bradley, I would say that I approve of what he has done as well, in the sense that it isn't counter-productive; however, would add that he has not gone far enough.
He says all the right things, and I truly believe that he wants to make those changes; however, like Rowan Wolf said, he has not used the force that is behind him well enough to put actions (the bite) behind his progressive rhetoric.
If we were to grade Obama as a typical Democratic President then his scores are out of the park, but we shouldn't, because that wasn't what his campaign was about.
As a progressive I appreciate the fact that he was willing to even address the issue of health care this early after the fiasco in the '90s; however, as a progressive with expectations, it is troubling to hear him go back or downplay his expectations to the degree that he has. Especially because every President prior to Obama would die to have the political map that Obama has, so I wonder why he chooses to do so when he could press forward.
May 17, 2009 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree Clarence and i'm glad you approve of the job Obama has done in some aspects, he has not used the power the right way. Remember he's uber popular with sky rocketing approval ratings espically within his own party. I agree that it's wonderful he's tackling the health care issue this early in his term after what happened in the 90's with Clinton. But I believe the reason why he had downplayed because he dosen't want his first two years to be a disaster like what happened to Clinton. He wants to carefully make the right moves without angering people (espically his base) too much so it dosen't lead him into trouble. I think that's the reason.
Yes I agree with you and Rowan that he hasn't put his full force behind this and he hasn't been as glamerous as he was during the campaign. He needs to know that he's popular and the american people will have his back if he do the right things to them. Don't get me wrong, he's been good at making good speeches, giving people hope and having a good plan for Gitmo and Iraq. But yes, there needs to be more and Obama isn't using his biggest weapon to fight the opposition: Us and this is coming from a huge supporter of the President.
Is that a good explanation Clarence?
Also I semi agree with you on this quote:
"If we were to grade Obama as a typical Democratic President then his scores are out of the park, but we shouldn't, because that wasn't what his campaign was about."
I agree he should be doing more, but I think he's trying his best of trying to clean up the last eight years of this country. Hard to do that when members of his party fight him tooth and nail on this like Ben Nelson gutting his stimulus bill, voting down the cramdown bill, not giving money to close Gitmo (although they backed ddown from that) and fighting him on where the Gitmo prisoners should go. I guess there are reasons why the President usually has better ratings than Congress.
But you make a good point on all of this Clarence. I may disagree with you on some aspects but I truely thank you for sharing us your thoughts on this. For that you should be commended and I will recommend this post.
May 17, 2009 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama was not elected with a mandate for progressive change. He won because he succeeded in linking his opponent to an unpopular administration, and the economy hit the skids at just the right time.
I was going to question the use of "sphere" to describe a pretty amorphous bloc of self-identified "progressives," but I think the term accurately describes the insular perspective of many who voice dissatisfaction with the pace and nature of the president's accomplishments.
Since his inauguration Obama has asked for patience and warned that compromise is a necessary, albeit often painful, part of the democratic process. To assume that what he is seeking to accomplish can be achieved in four years, much less four months, is unrealistic. It is even more unrealistic to expect that we will not have to settle for less than we hoped for.
The president's agenda is the most progressive in a generation. It directly confronts two of the nation's most powerful industries -- three if you include teachers. It stands in opposition to the persistent Reagan meme that government is a barrier to progress.
It is hardly surprising, then, that Congressional support is less than monolithic, especially considering that a good third of those elected as Democrats would probably have run as Republicans a decade ago.
There is abundant evidence that Obama is serious about changing the way Washington works. He is trying to make the massive and arcane Federal bureaucracy more open and transparent. He is leveraging his grassroots operation to build support for his healthcare and energy policies.
Last week I received two e-mails from Organizing for America soliciting my support for the president's health care agenda. One was a fundraising appeal, the other asked that I sign a petition and commit to grassroots action. I gave, and I promised. Did you?
The kind of change we are seeking will take years, not months, and it will be accomplished incrementally. I'm not arguing that progressives ease up on the administration; quite the contrary. I'm saying the pressure should be tempered with patience and realism, and supported with action.
May 18, 2009 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jesus, that was a hell of a post Meanie and I couldn't agree with you more. I knew going into this that Obama will not be able to wave a magic wand and all of our problems will simply vanish. I knew that this was going to take years, not months to clean up and we picked the right man to do it.
Great post, couldn't of said it better.
May 18, 2009 1:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. I admit this was way too long for a discussion thread but this seemed like the right place and time.
I've always believed Obama to be a good and decent man who would fight the good fight. Nothing I've seen since Jan. 20 has shaken that belief.
May 18, 2009 3:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I'm going to diverge here. Obama was indeed elected on a progressive mandate for change. That was his ENTIRE shtick - progressives created his infrastructure, funded his operation with small donations, and propelled him to office.
Those who voted for him did so because we have had enough of the bullshit. We expected someone to finally go to Washington and *gasp* do what they said on the campaign trail. Indeed, he told us to hold him to it.
I'm not a democrat. But I elected one on purpose dammit!
May 18, 2009 3:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Progressives worked for him, financially supported for him, and voted for him. But I still think the "change" in his broad electoral mandate was to 1)not be Bush, and 2)make the economy not be broken any more.
May 18, 2009 8:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bullshit. The economy became an issue when the economy crashed in SEPTEMBER. Prior to that, it wasn't the major focus of the campaign at all. Many had long since decided to support Obama because of health care or education and specifically because of his advertised policy in Iraq.
May 18, 2009 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
What you write is not at all in opposition to the comment you responded to.
The economy became the #1 issue the day Lehman Brothers hit the skids. It is not coincidence that, prior to that date (September 15, if memory serves), Obama was barely running ahead of McCain in most opinion polls (and either tied or barely behind in Rasmussen).
What was shaping up as a pretty close election swung 4-5 points in Obama's favor between mid-September and November 4. That swing was likely responsible for moving states like Indiana, Virginia and Florida into the blue column, turning the Electoral College into a rout.
So, it's pretty clear that the economic downturn locked up the election for Obama (something that both David Plouffe and Steve Schmidt acknowledged during a recent forum at the University of Delaware). It's also pretty clear that the reason Obama won the EC by so much is that voters cast ballots based on who they thought could handle the economy better.
I agree with the proposition that Obama's #1 priority is resuscitating the economy. Certainly, health care, education reform, military spending, etc., are all strongly tied to that #1 priority. But I think a realistic assessment of the coalition that delivered November's electoral victory lends itself to the conclusion that progress will be incremental, rather than sweeping. As long as I continue to see incremental progress, I will rate the overall performance a success, even though I disagree on some individual parts.
May 18, 2009 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
So you are saying that because what was shaping up to be a solid legitimate win on a progressive agenda turned into a rout due to an economic crisis mishandled by McCain, that the solid underlying progressive agenda was erased?
Sure the economy is the #1 priority. I just don't see that this has any bearing on the underlying promises that propelled Obama to the point of being ahead at the time of the economic crash.
And to quote dueling strategists: the McCain camp has acknowledged that by the Convention, the arc of the campaign was such that without a significant risk (Palin) they were certain to lose. They have also been quite clear in acknowledging that gambit failed. IMO it's difficult to argue that the progressive agenda didn't beat the conservative one fair and square - even without the economic meltdown.
May 18, 2009 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
We have differing memories of where the margins were during, say, the first week of September.
As these Gallup polls show, mid-September saw a largely even race. Yes, I believe Obama was always going to win - but no one expected him to gain 350 EV. I thought he would get between 285 and 300 EV.
What moved the election to "rout" status was the acceleration of the current recession. That one event has completely scrambled the priorities for the Administration.
More to the point you raise, though...I'm not sure Obama himself ever intended to pursue a robust progressive agenda. There are elements of it (health care reform, credit card reform, etc.) that are very much in line with progressives. However, other aims of his (escalating in AfPak, in particular) were never in line with the far left.
I understand that he's not fulfilling all of his campaign promises. (For example, the "no-lobbyist" rule has loopholes big enough to drive a double-decker through.) But I also believe there are realities that prevent some of this, and there will always be horse-trading at the federal level.
Obama's agenda is the most broadly progressive since LBJ, and he's moving to deliver on it. But it's not going to be easy. Even getting to 60 votes in the Senate won't guarantee lockstep passage (remember that Senators like Ben Nelson and Blanche Lincoln have to be Blue Dogs to remain electable in their states).
Hold him to the things you want. I totally support that. But temper that insistence with understanding of how the sausage gets made on the Hill - and know that a lot of the ideals we want are being advanced, if a bit slowly for our tastes.
May 18, 2009 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not bullshit.
Many, yes. But not enough to get him elected. Boyd's assessment is accurate.
May 18, 2009 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Srsly. You think McCain would have taken it? His own people don't even think that.
May 18, 2009 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe so, maybe not. But I'd imagine the outcome would have been tighter. We started out talking about a real policy mandate, not a Bush-style illusory accumulation of "political capital."
May 19, 2009 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I should say though, overall, with the exception of military policy, I think Obama's doing OK (not stellar, just OK). And for the record, I've been quite active in fax and email campaigns on single-payer/public option health issues (since you asked).
May 18, 2009 4:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't have to tell me that. I've been coming here for more than a year and I seen you said good things about Obama during the campaign and Presidency, you just don't agree with him for the most part on foreign policy (i'm lumping the military with foreign policy as well.)
May 18, 2009 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
"What the country needs now are major changes to how things have operated for the past decades, but neither the Obama administration nor the Democrats in Congress appear to be up to the task of seizing the moment, but rather seem content with talking about the sweeping changes that are needed and going about business as usual when the press conference is over."
Precisely! Good post!
May 18, 2009 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink