I want a new drug....
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081128/ap_on_bi_ge/meltdown_coming_soon
"It's a toxic drug and nobody knows how bad it's going to be," said Paul Miller, an analyst with Friedman, Billings, Ramsey, who was among the first to sound alarm bells in the residential market.''
<snip>
Those retailers typically were paying rent that was expected to cover mortgage payments. When those $20 billion in mortgages come due next year -- 2010 and 2011 totals are projected to be even higher -- many property owners won't have the money.
<snip>
"The system has never been tested for a deep recession," said Ken Rosen, a real estate hedge fund manager and University of California at Berkeley professor of real estate economics.
Meltdown far from over, new mortgage crisis looms
<snip>"It's a toxic drug and nobody knows how bad it's going to be," said Paul Miller, an analyst with Friedman, Billings, Ramsey, who was among the first to sound alarm bells in the residential market.''
<snip>
Those retailers typically were paying rent that was expected to cover mortgage payments. When those $20 billion in mortgages come due next year -- 2010 and 2011 totals are projected to be even higher -- many property owners won't have the money.
<snip>
"The system has never been tested for a deep recession," said Ken Rosen, a real estate hedge fund manager and University of California at Berkeley professor of real estate economics.
One hope was that the U.S. would use some of the $700 billion financial bailout to buy shaky investments from banks and insurance companies. That was the original plan. But Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has issued a stunning turnabout, saying the U.S. no longer planned to buy troubled securities. For those watching the wave of commercial defaults about to crest, the announcement was poorly received.
"He's created havoc in the marketplace by changing the rules," Rosen said. "It was the stupidest statement on Earth."




