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Looking Forward


"Another flaw in the human character is that everybody wants to build and nobody wants to do maintenance."
-- Kurt Vonnegut, Hocus Pocus

I don't want to be one to count the chickens, but if recent polls are any indication it seems very likely there will be a Democrat in the White House very soon.  It is also looking likely Democrats will expand their majorities in both houses of Congress.  Of course this is reason for celebration, but it will not be the end of adversity and opposition to the work we must do to bring the nation back from the brink 8 years of Republican rule have put it in.

The fact that we must do this is terribly important.  The earth is dying, the American middle class is on the ropes, and too many of our children have shed blood upon the sand in a war that should have never been waged.  Change must come and it must come soon.  This much is certain.

But just as important to what we must do is how we should do it.  Democratic control of the Legislative and Executive branches of the federal government is not carte blanche for Democrats to force an agenda on the American public.  It may give our side a mandate to govern, but it does not give Democrats a mandate to rule indefinitely and the sooner Democrats start acting like they have been endowed with the moral high ground to the nation, the sooner the Republicans will be able to make a push to take possession of that ground.

If history is to be our guide, we need look back just 14 short years.  In 1994 Newt Gingrich's so-called "Republican Revolution" swept the midterm elections to gain control of both the House and Senate.  Why?  We can't discount Gingrich and other party leaders as supreme strategists, but the finger can largely be pointed at a Democratic leadership that had lost touch with the people it represented and as a result, the conservative ideology was able to gain a foothold.

It is unlikely that the Republican party will simply fall back to lick their wounds in failure.  Almost immediately they will begin to look for weak spots, wedge issues, and corruptions in the Democrat forces to exploit.  It is always easier to be on the offensive than on the defensive, and after these elections Democrats will most likely have a great deal of territory to defend, taxing both the party's resolve and finances.

But if things are done responsibly, carefully, and with a defined purpose of service, the Republican offensive will be met with a defense so powerful, so complete, and so insurmountable they will simply dash themselves against it, instead of breaking through it.  If we are to guide this nation forward, we must take care not to alienate or tread upon the new relationships we have built during this election.  Relationships with independents, moderate Republicans, and even with the branches of our own party whom at times find it difficult to get along.  Just as these relationships have been a key to our success during this election year, they must be strengthened if they are to remain a key to our success in maintaining a progressive liberal leadership in this country.  The purpose of this election is not to simply propel one man to the highest office in the land, but to help each other move forward as one, to meet the future together, stronger and more resolute than we would seperately.

How do we do this, though?  So much will be working against us.  Not just the Republican war machine backed by the nearly unlimited cash of mega-corporations, not just the horrid state of our government and our nation Bush has left for us, but also the expectations of so many hoping for a better world.  We have set up the pins of hope, and if we do not follow through, the danger is very real that many will turn away in frustration if those expectations are not met.  We must have a plan to meet these obstacles head on.

1.  Meet victory with quiet humility.  There will be time to pat each other on the back and celebrate, but we must not act like Bush in 2004 and spend our political capital trying to further humiliate the opposition.  This will only further breed blowback and add to the bitter vitriol of the defeated.  Practice good sportsmanship, shake their hands, congratulate them on a game well played, and then move on to the work ahead of us.

2.  Do not under any circumstances attempt to force legislation on America.  Just as the Republican push to amend the Constitution to bar gay marriage contributed to their undoing, Democrats should not attempt to simply force the opposite on an unwilling populace.  We may know we are right about gay marriage, but forcing federal legislation on Utah or Alabama will only breed bitter backlash. 

The days of Governor Wallace and the national guard in Birmingham are thankfully behind us and there are better ways to change the minds of the nation.  This does not mean barring the use of federal power to push states to enact more liberal legislation, we must recognize that people in Kansas may be slower to accept it than people in Oregon.  We must be patient but we must be persistent.

However, this does not mean we must wait for 100% support to move forward, nor does it mean that opposition gets to drag its feet indefinitely.  To use the old cliche, both the carrot and the stick must be used.  If a state refuses to move forward, the full power of the federal government must be used in a reasonable and measured way to change peoples' minds in that state.  The same proactive use of incentives to convince states to accept progressive legislation must also be used in responsible and measured ways.

3.  Sunshine is the most effective disinfectant.  We are of course intolerant of corruption and the indiscretions of the Right.  But what about the corruptions of indiscretions of the Left?  We should not only be intolerant of this, we should be more intolerant of it.  To simply talk about change and restoration of the public trust and to not act on those ideals is a dead end road.  Republicans will watch dilligently for any trespass of these ideals and will not hesitate to pounce on these opportunities.  The utmost responsibility must be taken.  Ted Stevens' Bridge to Nowhere served to not only be his undoing, but largely contributed to his partys' undoing nationally.  To simply allow one of our own to fund a similar self serving project, no matter what it might be, is just as reprehensible.

If we forget these immense responsibilities, this will surely be the beginning of the end of all we have worked toward these past few years.  The Democratic Party cannot just be the party of change this year, they must continue to be the party of change well into the future and not succomb to the temptation of simply sitting back and accepting the mentatlity of the status quo.  Our work will not end on November 4th, it will only just be beginning.  We have the fantastic opportunity to meet this challenge together with hope and strength.

Yes we can!

27 Comments

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I'd like to put in a big plug for Chris, a young man whose writing I've known for a while and who, in my view, has a rare ability to cut through to the heart of issues.

This is his first post at tpm. I've encouraged him to post here, knowing his writing. (and wait till you have the pleasure of his humor!)

Thanks for this thoughtful post, Chris. I look forward to many more. As usual you've hit all the right notes!

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Good post. A lot better than my first effort. Hope you continue to share your thoughts with us!

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our side
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"our side" is not "our side"; it is the vast majority of the electorate.

DROP the divisiveness about "sides," which in the right wing blindered view can only ever be two. Reality isn't so flat and simple.

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Democrat forces
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The correct term is DemocratIC

If you can't get the basics right, everything based on them will be that much away from correct.

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Careful. Absolute certainty is a "basic" fault.

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I'll assume you're a friend of TheraP; your writing leaves much to be desired.

Try thinking of writing as --

1. Thinking on paper;

2. Rewriting to correct errors in one's thinking.

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Try thinking of commenting as adding something useful to the discussion instead of being a jerk. Did you have a bad day or something?

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Nagarya writes like a herd of wildebeest stampedes. Sometimes he manages to stomp a bad argument into the dust, but pretty much always he runs over everyone else in the process.

Hey! Nagarya! Pull it back a notch, willya? You know, "horses for courses." Stomp the GOP, but just slightly gentler with your team, ok? ;-)

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Seriously. Nothing else to say but to harp on a typo?

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Don't worry, Chris. This individual speaks for itself. Expect a lot of all-caps words out of this one, too.

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Well written - but far more importantly, a point well made. As we all learn through life, ignore the fools who only wish to diminish us.

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Chris,

I like your charge to what is essentially a warning to the Dems not the GOP. This is sound advice.

Having said that, let me make a few observations:

a) Bush didn't just barge ahead in 2004 -- he did it in 2000, and that was when he didn't have a mandate at all. It was part and parcel with the philosophy of act as if you won by a landslide. It's how the 2000 election got decided ultimately, and how Bush acted out of the gate. While you don't want to cram things down people's throats until they gag, you do want to leave the impression that people will either be part of the moment -- or they will be left behind. This is valuable as the public will tend to be more tolerant of an aggressive White House earlier rather than later in the term.

b) Having stated point (a) (e.g. be aggressive), point (b) is pick your initial tasks carefully. Here, Bill Clinton blew it, on his own admission, by making gays in the military his administration's first major task. Not only was it not central to the country, it was a left-wing issue. Plays well to the base, but the key is to be aggressive about something that plays well to the center.

Obama needs to work on essentially non-partisan issues: economic relief and energy/transportation infrastructure at the start of his term. And that's it. Here are the items I see going by the wayside initially:

a) global warming
b) national health care
c) gay marriage discussions

Though important as these issues might be, they are "left-wing" issues -- and do not play to the center. This strategy will not sit well with some Dems who will fantasize "if only Hillary had been the nominee..." but Obama practices realpolitik and it will be interesting to see if the Dems can follow along.

So, with those caveats, I agree with the central premise of your post: an Obama win implies far more is demanded of the Dems than a loss. Will the Dems (both in Congress -- and on TPM) be smart enough? We'll hopefully learn the answer starting Jan 20, 2009.

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Addressing (a) and (b) will lead to solving economic issues and the energy crunch.

Far from being put aside, I expect both global warming (in the form of a sustainable energy push through different federal spending priorities) and a national health care system (to keep American businesses competitive in a global market) to be center in Barack's first four year agenda. None of these things exist in a vacuum from the others.

The last point you think he'll dismiss is gay marriage, but I don't think that will be the case at all. He has been very clear about civil rights. I fully expect Barack to at push for federal recognition of same sex civil unions and leave the word "marriage" up to the churches. We will all have civil unions in a more equal America.

At the end of the day, while I can hardly lay claim the prescient view that you sometimes present, I think Obama will pursue a common sense path that most American will get behind. How that actually plays out will determined by the goals we set as a nation and then the solutions we implement to get there.

The complexity of what lays before us as a nation is immense.

It also won't be done by "liberals" alone, so whatever path we take toward sustainability will need President Obama to bring our more conservative brethren back into the fold of national purpose. Yet another huge challenge for our nation's first black president, though I think he is more than up to the task given his performance in life so far.

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At the end of the day, while I can hardly lay claim the prescient view that you sometimes present, I think Obama will pursue a common sense path that most American will get behind. How that actually plays out will determined by the goals we set as a nation and then the solutions we implement to get there.

Nice snipe, JEM. Your commentary would have been more impressive without this backpedal. If you really think that Obama will pick a path that most American's will get behind, then facts say you will be in agreement with me (as based on history and issues brought up in the campaign).

I made no effort to talk about the importance of the various topics -- your list does have a whiff of what you "wish" will happen -- but rather how the topics will be prioritized to get something done. That is the central thrust of Chris's post -- and it's a good one: when decisions will have to be made, what will happen?

The beauty of this is that, assuming Obama wins, we will start running this experiment in only a few months -- possibly sooner as I believe Obama will start laying groundwork publicly soon after being elected. Please bookmark this post and call me to task if I end up wrong. That would prove an interesting discussion. In the meantime, have the courage of your convictions if you want to make a bold statement -- stand by them, or don't make them at all.

Or as Yoda said: Do. Or do not. There is no "try".

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You state your opinion as a fact of Obama's tenure as president and then invite me to bookmark you as some sort of Nostradamus. I'll pass, thanks.

If you choose to buy into the talking point that Barack couldn't possibly move forward on such fundamental "liberal" issues as president then I choose to throw the bullshit flag and explain why. Your comment doesn't match up with the reality of what our situation will demands as solutions. That is obviously what I was addressing in my comment.

Common sense is at long last coming back to this country and doesn't much resemble how this nation has behaved for at least the last 40 years. Citing "conventional wisdom" or past precedent as a way to justify anemic, one-dimensional opinions if worth a little bit of snark.

Oops, I did it again.

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CT,

I disagree with health care being a 'left wing' issue. This is becoming a very centrist concern.

Kennedy is working on having a plan to present early in the 111th session. He apparently has had a lot of bipartisan input.

Physicians: 59% now support a universal payor system (Medicare for all). That survey was done at least 8 months ago. With the economic problems, that number could well be higher.

Small businesses are not only more competitive, they become more feasible if someone contemplating a new start up does not have to give up health care to do it.

Bankruptcy percentages that are due to medical bills. Can't remember the stat, just that it keeps growing.

My biggest problem with everything I've seen:

Nurses are still being left out of the health care reform discussion. Nursing has had a very unique position in the history of jobs and employment. We have no authority but a huge amount of responsibility. We are expected to function at the level of a BS degree, but not that many have one, nor do those of us who do have a payscale equivalent to most BS degrees. In spite of the level of knowledge and responsibility, nursing is not treated as a profession.

After teachers, nurses are the second largest profession in the US. More than engineers. It is well established that nurses are not recognized for how much of our health care system they are responsible for. Our opinions are rarely solicited or listened to. Reviews of health articles cite and quote many other professions, patients and points of view, while nurses are rarely consulted or quoted. Too often, if they are used, they are not specialists in the field.

There is a physician shortage which will be much worse if/when we give 47 million access to health care. The nursing shortage is, and has been far worse. It starts with nursing professors who are about 10 years older than the average age of nurses in direct patient care. Training of new professors is not keeping up with the current needs, let alone the future. Because the salaries are so low, you can't just teach, you have to still work a direct care job to supplement your income. I've worked with PhD and MS nurses in this bind.

Those of us who would have gotten an advanced degree to teach came up against some cold financial numbers. Nurses often don't have much by way of retirement benefits. As 'trailing wives' and otherwise being a career that is highly portable, we are repeatedly caught with too few years to be vested. As stated above, teaching jobs don't pay. How do you pay off school loans and contribute to your retirement accounts when you can't even make enough to pay the mortgage, etc?

The plans for getting more doctors trained are all in order - been there and done that before. More college loans, tuition credits, etc. No such effort for nursing education.

Personally, this is an issue that leaving on the wayside will add a lot of discontent amongst the electorate. Not acting on it is the one thing I think could trigger a '10 backlash to elect more GOP to Congress. The fact that their record on this is hopeless won't matter. It will be a mindset of 'DO SOMETHING'.

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In the Universal Declaration of Civil Rights, health care is deemed a right.

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I disagree with health care being a 'left wing' issue.

Health care wasn't a key issue during the GOP debates and really hasn't been emphasized by either party after their conventions.

Global warming isn't a "left-wing" issue either, strictly, both parties will get cooked by it -- in fact, it's even more important than healthcare. Nevertheless, if you look at what people are going to go berserk about first it's the general economy and gas. If we go deep and long into a global recession, gas may not be as much of an issue as the price won't rise as fast back up to $4+. If the winter is a cold one, however, expect heating oil to become a major issue though.

These 2 items will have a higher level of "discontent" (as you put it)in the electorate. How am I so sure? Because we've seen these two issues cause vocal consternation in the electorate already -- health care can't compare on that accord.

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These aren't issues that can be separately so easily though. The price of gas is a factor in the overall discontent with the economy. (Which ironically, will be perhaps the one "benefit" of the recession.(Don't jump me, CT! I know higher prices decrease consumption and that's a good thing. I'm just sayin.)

Health care factors into it as well. The number one reason people are unhappy with the health care system is the high prices. And they keep rising.

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The largest measure of the price of gas is our insatiable desire for it. The more we wean ourselves from gas (and this includes transportation of goods cost which requires its own transformation of the economy), the more the price will not affect us. Remember we need 8X the amount of oil that we have in reserves -- so a huge part of its price is beyond our control.

While the airline situation looks better than a few months ago, it's more because of the boiling frog than actual improvements. We need the country to beef up its rail system, both for passengers and goods transport. The former is essentially non-existent, the latter is lacking and not worthy of a country our size or economy.

I hope you don't feel jumped upon.

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Ha! I knew you wouldn't be able to resist. That's pure gold CT bait there. No, I know. I just mean that I think a lot of people will be thinking lower gas prices is a good thing. That's why we need a government that recognizes that they may be lower in the short-term throughout this, but that can't affect the need to start implementing serious changes to the transportation and energy systems.

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Ginny and TheraP - my basic philosophy for these crisis can be summed up by saying "food first, sustainability second."

I do agree with ClearThinker here that the immediate priority of the next administration and congress must be economic relief and energy/transportation. A tax cut for the middle class is an enormous step and helps people stay fed. We must address layoffs as well, because if we don't, we face a spiraling decrease in consumer spending and an increase in layoffs as companies respond to lower revenues. Simply put, we need to keep people employed. So how do we do that, and fast?

Transportation is vital for the simple reason that food prices are up (check the bureau of labor statistics CPI release - 10% inflation YTD in 2008 over 2007), which is primarily due to rising fuel (oil) prices - and it is going to get worse (OPEC is cutting production). By implementing immediate rail expansion programs, energy programs (wind, solar, etc), we not only provide jobs, which helps with part I above, but we create something sustainable (hopefully) for the future, and reduce dependence on something that is not (oil).

That having been said, health care is next, and I don't see why we can't do it along with transportation and energy, though these two will get the bulk of the money at first due to the basic food issue. Since the macroeconomic goal is to get more people employed in sustainable sectors, health care helps too. Yet our chronic care system is largely backwards - we're largely focused on symptom suppression rather than prevention and education. So I'd start there - perhaps requiring nutrition programs in K-12 and providing federal funds to hire teachers there; incentives to build up local producers of organic fresh foods; etc. It took me years to change my diet and lifestyle, but the rewards from doing it are simple - my health has substantially improved, and in a very short period of time. But the amazing part is my parents and in-laws went along a few years later, and their health has improved as well.

Nurses are next - there are 70 million baby boomers about to need substantial care - a demographic "bomb" that will drive demand for health care for the next 20-30 years.

Ginny's post is spot on however, because to hire new nurses we need to train them. With the cutbacks in public universities, it doesn't make financial sense to be a nursing professor right now.

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What we need to do, whether Obama wins or not, is make use of our momentum and look towards the long term future. The GOP will start working hard with an eye on 2012 and 2016, particularly if we win. We must pay close attention locally to the best of our progressive democrats and promote them. These will provide the pool from which our next generation of national politicians will come from. Take a look at your local ballot and see who you think has the most possibility to promote progress and the most appeal and promote them. This is what was done with Palin and had she had any substance to back it up she would have been a strong force on the ticket. Lets find our rising stars and keep the momentum going.

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This is essentially the point I'm trying to make, Bademus. That winning on November 4th is not the end of a campaign, but only the beginning.

The work that is required of us will not be solved in 4 or 8 or probably even 16 years and we must act responsibly to better insure that in the long term we can remain a force for good in America. The more mistakes we make, the more likely it will be for a return of the Far Right in American politics and none of us can afford that.

It is the habit of those in power to begin to assume that they deserve power and that breeds laziness and corruption. We must not forget that if America smiles kindly on us in just 10 days, this power has been given to us and can just as easily be taken away. It is our burden to be wary of that fact and work as though every day is our last day in the majority.

That's really what I'm trying to say.

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Why is JNagarya so critical of everybody?

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Google his name. He has a record of doing this on every board -- including some involving the Beatles -- that he is on.

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Chris

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  • Location Manhattan, Kansas
  • Party Democrat
  • Politics Left wing latte drinking limousine riding mansion owning out of touch intellectual elitist Liberal

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  • Favorite Quotes "Elections are the way Democracy separates the willing from the able, and goes with the willing"

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Grew up in Iowa, lived in Tennessee for two surreal years, now live in Kansas and work in Sales

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