.... unless she nails Pennsylvania by at least 65%.  If not, I think she should do the Democrats a favor and just bow out.

I come to this conclusion because the math is way to complex to keep believing that she can cakewalk her way to the nomination.

However, should she pull off a major major win in the Keystone State, it could pull the tide towards Hillary in states like North Carolina and also with the Supers.

Since the Democratic Party decided to allow states to move primaries and caucuses up to February 5 to "nominate a candidate in a hurry," why doesn't every state just make Super Tuesday really super and have all 50 states, and both parties, have their primaries and caucuses all on the same day?  Wouldn't that make the process a lot easier, more cost effective?

In addendum:  Just remember that tonight we set the clocks forward one hour, unless your state/county doesn't participate.  That means one less hour before Mississippi and Pennsylvania primaries.  One less hour of ranting, raving, polling, guessing and arguing.

Ok, as a Democrat first, Clinton supporter second, I must admit that I am ok if Obama wins the nomination.  I'd much rather have Hillary Clinton, but if the nation wants Obama, so be it.

It's not the first time in US History that a Presidential candidate has had "rock star" appeal.  JFK, Bill Clinton did also.

I just need to interject one question here, and that is, would Obama supports vote for Clinton should she win?  Would you rather let the Republicans have the Presidency than elect a Democrat who isn't Barack Obama?

Sometimes I wonder why I pay attention to the news when elections roll around.  Each candidate throws mud at the other.  It's part of the process.  The problem hasn't really been the mud though, has it?  Yeah, there have been distortions and some fabrications, but essentially each candidate is trying to get your vote by attacking the other one.

And that is the problem.  Generally, most mud is not that far removed from the truth.  I agree that flaws in the other candidates should be revealed.  I disagree, however, in the manner in which this happens.

Stop throwing punches at each other.  Let's sit down and actually hear what you stand for, not what the other one doesn't stand for.  After all, if you want my vote, you have to convince me that you are the right candidate, not that the other one is the wrong candidate.

Finally, let's just talk plain old issues.  Let's drop Powdergate, and NAFTAGate, and all the other dramas and get down to the nitty gritty. 

Why should I cast my solemn, precious, one and only Presidential vote for you?

I have the benefit of living in North Carolina.  I also have the benefit of being born and raised in Philadelphia, PA.  So, I'd like to share my thoughts on the two remaining 100+ delegate states (provided that FL and MI don't get re-votes).

Pennsylvania, as a state, is definitely Clinton country.  Though Obama does well in the big cities, in between Philadelphia and Pittsburgh is a lot of country.  It's a commonwealth that is heavily democratic in Philly and Pittsburgh, but is quite republican in between.  It lines up well with the states that Clinton has already won.  The interesting situation is that since the Clinton "big win" on March 4, the polls show Clinton with a much higher lead than prior.

Then, I reflect on my current state of North Carolina.  Charlotte is the largest "redneck city" on the planet (self-described by my friend John, long time Charlotte resident).  That city is 58% white, 33% Black.  This trend continues to Raleigh with 67% white and 23% black.  Wilmington, the city I currently live in, is 71% white.  Greensboro is 55% white to 37% black.  These trend better for Hillary Clinton.

Outside of the largest cities of North Carolina, are the more conservative, rural counties.  Counties in which Hillary Clinton will clean up in.  Like in Texas, she can win the smaller, more conservative counties and take home a big prize from North Carolina if only one large NC city votes for Hillary.

Clinton, nor Obama can win the 2025 needed.  If you take into account polling trends, regional tendencies, and past histories, neither one can, arguably, take the nomination.  Both candidates need a majority (a sizable one at that) of not just North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but of every state remaining as well as the Superdelegates. 

Speaking of delegates, the Obama lead, should the Governors of Florida and Michigan have their way, could be all but over as Clinton won both states.  Both governors believe that their states were unjustly punished for moving their primaries up earlier than the DNC allowed by having their delegates stripped from the national convention.  The governors claim that the voters should be heard.

I raise the following questions, then: 

1:  Should the delegates from both Florida and Michigan be included, and if so, should there be another, more fair primary election held in both states?

2:  Without including Michigan and Florida, can the momentum be shifted quickly and forcefully enough towards Clinton that she can actually win?

I'd love your opinions!