The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking report shows Barack Obama with a 52% to 41% lead over John McCain.

One thing to keep in mind about these tracking polls, (especially the Daily Kos / R2000 poll which generally has McCain at 40 or 41%), McCain will get at least 45% of the vote, more probably 46 or 47%. 

He seems to have jumped up to a  45% average in the latest (pre-second debate) polls.

In any event, a 4 or 5 point win means an electoral college landslide for Barack!

Even though ARG has not been the most reliable pollster, the idea that Obama is running an"electoral vote" campaign (and winning handily), it reminds me of the primary battle where Obama was running a "delegate race".

"Obama is far more efficient in the Electoral College than McCain. Approximately 68% of Obama's national ballot share of 49% comes from states where Obama leads. Approximately 44% of McCain's national ballot share of 45% comes from states where McCain leads. Less than one-third of Obama's votes are wasted in the Electoral College while over one-half of McCain's votes are wasted. McCain would be better off focusing on Florida and Minnesota instead of Iowa and New Mexico because increasing his ballot share in states he is likely to lose does not help him at all in the Electoral College.

Because of McCain's electoral inefficiency, even if McCain were to proportionately increase his national ballot share to 49% for a tie, Obama would still lead with 316 electoral votes. Obama is running a race in the Electoral College while McCain is running a national race."