Almighty Surge: Myth, Fantasy, vs Reality
Really?
McCain, himself, has put so much faith into the myth of the Surge that he now proposes a surge to fix all problems;
Global Warming? A surge in alternative battery research.
Urban Crime? A surge in police activity.
Bank Closings? A surge in Treasury printing activity.
But what was the Surge? The original idea was to send a bunch of additional troups to Iraq to overwhelm the insurgents with additional military force. Like a Hurricane Surge. On top of that, they turned strategic management over to an expert in counter-insurgency tactics. At the same time they flooded the country with additional troops, they hired the inSURGEents as security forces, and commanders and Maliki were authorized to walk around handing out money to people on the street--up to 8k. Millions and millions of your money and mine was handed out to pacify crowds.
The violence diminished from previous levels--but there is no evidence that there is a cause and effect relationship between the original Fantasy of the Surge, and the increase in ground forces--and that decrease in violence. Many other factors emerged, concurrently, which may have operated as strange attractors to channel the chaos into manageable patterns of order.
And according to Bob Woodward's new book, he believes the biggest factor was careful US intelligence activity
Woodward claims that "groundbreaking" new covert tactics provided US military and intelligence officials with the information needed to locate and kill insurgent leaders and other key individuals in extremist groups such as al-Qaeda in Iraq.
The War Within: A Secret White House History, 2006-2008 claims the Bush Administration ran a spying operation against Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, his staff and the Iraqi Government.
<a href='http://www.theage.com.au/world/us-spies-not-surge-reduced-iraq-violence-book-20080905-4app.html'>click here</a>
Some people, like John Kerry, and many other experts in intelligence, have suggested for many years that military force is the wrong approach to take in dealing with organized violent extremists--that was is needed is covert intelligence gathering, and operating quietly behind the scenes. Kerry was derided and belittled for 'reducing' the War on Terror' to 'police work'. But he was right. And history proves it.
Of course, the cooling of violence in Iraq is a welcome development, but it hasn't dissipated entirely, as daily news reports demonstrate. And the political equation still has not moved beyond stalemate and gridlock.
But there is no evidence that 'the surge worked beyond anyone's wildest dreams'. This is an unprovable claim, and a worthless opinion, yielding no useful lessons.
Watching Obama interacting with OReally, his body language, to me, suggested that he was starting to squirm under the relentless assault of Billo the bully: SAYIT, SAYIT damnit! But it was a trap. And Sarah Palin, the Barracuda/Pit Bull/lipstick hybrid, was beating up Obama with it the very next day. But Palin was wrong, and mistated the facts, consistent with her record in the public eye, thus far.
Obama's original perception about the efficacy of the Surge was correct--it yielded no political solution. And McCain is not only wrong, but mono-maniacal about the mythical Surge. And Sarah Palin is some kind of new model of Stepford Wife, chatty Cathy--you tape some attack slogans, upload them to her head, take her out on the campaign trail pull her string, and she dutifully mouths the words, without the slightest understanding or consciousness of what she is saying.




