Newspapers as Nonprofits


A few weeks back, David Swenson and Michael Schmidt wrote an op-ed for the New York Times calling for the nonprofitization of newspapers. These nonprofit institutions would be run much like Colleges and Universitites, driven largely by their endowments.

Endowments would enhance newspapers' autonomy while shielding them from the economic forces that are now tearing them down.

As evidence that the newspaper model needs to be revived, the authors point to the declining economic success of the New York Times, Washington Post, and a handful of the nation's other leading daily newspapers. And it's well known that the American media, driven by ratings and traditional modes of economic success, have strayed from covering the most important domestic and international news, to monopolizing print with fluff that will draw hoardes of readers (or viewers) and boost numbers. 

In short, newspapers are no longer educating people about important news. They tell readers what they want to hear. Nonprofit newspapers could resore journalism to its proper purpose by granting the organizations the autonomy to cover the most important news, not only the most shocking. 

Slate has a stupid article up today opposing nonprofit newspapers. One of his reasons for opposing this model is becuase it lacks accountability. 

Who would appoint the directors of the foundation? To whom would the foundation be accountable? To whom would the editors and reporters ultimately report--the foundation directors or the readers?

This concern only shows that the author - Jack Shafer - has little faith in nonprofits in general, not solely the prospects of nonprofit newspapers. Does he think that nonprofit organizations have no one in charge? That no person or group of people is responsible for their success or failure? As in a regular nonprofit organization, the editors and reporters would report to the foundation directors, who report to the organization's Board Directors, who are representatives of the readers. 

Shafer's other argument against nonprofit newspapers is equally unimaginative.

There's also something disconcerting about wanting to divorce the newspaper from market pressures. (If I wanted that sort of news product, I'd watch The NewsHour.) Without some market discipline, how will a newspaper know whether it is succeeding or not[?]

Are you kidding me? Clearly a large hunk of the reason some people want nonprofit newspapers is exactly so that they would not define success by how many people want to read their news. While traveling in South Africa and Europe last summer, I was struck by some of the in-depth BBC stories from Mali, or India, or Mexico that simply would not have been covered by the mainstream American media, obsessed as it is with market standards of success.

Newspapers becoming nonprofits does not mean that all accountability and quality will immediately disappear. It means that excellence will be redefined based on the quality of the reporting and the significance of the stories covered. 

That doesn't sound half bad.

In Democrats' Future, Bennet (CO) Stands Out


wrote a few months back about the significant void left by Senators Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden as they embarked to begin their new fancy government positions. Since they were arguably the three most high profile Democratic senators, careful choices for their replacements was especially important. To adequately fill those positions, we needed Obama'svision, Biden's experience, and Clinton's clout.

The choices fell far short of this standard. Roland Burris was appointed by the scandal-plagued Illinois Governor to fill Obama's seat. Though Burris seems like a good man, the controversy surrounding his appointment was not exactly inspiring. And from what I can tell, Burris has offered no substantial vision or agenda. I had high hopes for the potential appointees Jesse Jackson Jr. and Tammy Duckworth, but Blago's controversy unfortunately disqualified each of these contenders.

In New York, Caroline Kennedy - though severely imperfect - would have fulfilled Hillary's standard ofclout in the Senate. As a Clinton, Hillary was able to draw upon Bill's successes and the movement they both inspired as a complement to her intellect and political competence. As a Kennedy, Caroline could have done the same. But it was not meant to be. The support behind Caroline Kennedy was weak and short lived. Kristin Gillibrand, the eventual choice to replace Hillary Clinton, is a moderate in one of the country's most liberal states and is sometimes referred to as "Tracy Flick," a reference to the film Election about a ruthless candidate for High School Students' Council. Though I hope she will deliver, Gillibrand doesn't exactly symbolize clout or vision.

Biden's replacement, his long time aide Ted Kaufman, is the oddest but it fills Biden's experience niche well. The choice is odd because many agree that Kaufman will hold the seat until Biden's son, Beau Biden, Delaware's Attorney General, returns from a tour in Iraq, when he will run for Senate in 2010.

Among this rag-tag group of boring appointments, the replacement for Colorado Senator Ken Salazar - the incoming interior secretary - stands out. Michael Bennet, the superintendent of Denver Schools, has some serious potential to be a powerful voice in the future of the Democratic Party. Prior to serving as superintendent, he was the Chief of Staff for the popular Mayor of Denver, John Hickenlooper, who was also considered to replace Senator Salazar.

Bennett, also considered for Education Secretary, has a serious record of education reform. But he was the least experienced candidate considered for Salazar's Senate Seat. A former Denver School Board member, Lucia Guzman, indicated that Bennet's inexperience and vision could be a strength in his forthcoming Senate career.

"He's like how Barack Obama has been depicted, constant and confident [...] He's a visionary, able to look far and wide and very deep into the issues at hand."

Right Turn Signal For Emissions



This morning, President Obama will pave the way to increasing fuel efficiency standards in California and thirteen other states that have repeatedly petitioned the U.S. government for such emissions restrictions. 

While working for an environmental organization in northwest Michigan in 2006, I wrote about a Supreme Court case in which the State of Massachusetts (and 12 other states) sued the Environmental Protection Agency for neglecting to regulate automobile emissions. At that point, the EPA said that it would not regulate greenhouse gasses "until more is understood about the causes, extent, and significance of climate change, and the potential options for addressing it."

Since this time, everyone who is respected in the scientific community has confirmed that climate change is facilitated by human activity, including the harmful effects of automobile emissions. This led to the Supreme Court's decision - in April 2007 - that the EPA does, in fact, have the authority to regulate greenhouse gasses. Still, the EPA under the Bush administration dragged its feet and refused to support the states asking for higher emissions standards.

Obama's directive will likely result in the reversal of Bush's rejection of higher emissions restrictions. In the 13 states included in the California-led petition, which includes Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania (pretty much the entire readership of this blog), the average mile per gallon will increase from 27 to 35 in cars and light trucks.

This is an enormous improvement and will certainly help the larger goal of reducing the impact of global warming. But I hope that we will see more environmentally-minded directives from President Obama specifically designed to increase the United States' public transportation infrastructure.

To make a permanent impact to reverse the trend of global warming, increasing automobile efficiency must go hand in hand with lowering the number of people who use personal vehicles.

Governing the Difficult Choices


I guess its time to get things started. Unfortunately, though, that does not mean the anticipation period is complete. It just means that the anticipation is more pressing. At any moment, President Obama could do something huge! He has already issued the order to stop all trials at Guantanamo Bay. And in his first foreign call as President, Obama reached out to Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas, the leader of the moderate Fatah party. And it looks like Obama is going to ask for even more money for the economic stimulus package, now nearing $900 Billion.

And that's in 24 hours, many of which were filled with dancing and (I'd imagine) sleep. That makes you wonder what will happen in the remaining 1,460 days of Obama's first term.

Politico says be afraid, be cautiously afraid. Though I don't agree with many of their reasons to be skeptical, this one stood out: beware "the herd instinct."

But the instinct for bipartisanship overlooks an inconvenient fact: Some of Washington's biggest blunders occur when the government moves to do big things with big support. Bush won the much-regretted Iraq war resolution of October 2002 with strong Democratic backing.

The current economic crisis produces similar pressure to get on board the train -- never mind for sure where it's going.

While I think that a large, wide-reaching stimulus plan must pass for us to have any chance of surviving this economic downturn, I hope that our leaders will strive for the best plan, even if its not the quickest or the most politically safe.

I was expecting the inaugural address to ask Americans to sacrifice in order to help weather this storm. After 9/11, former President Bush wasted enormous political capital to unite Americans behind a common purpose. Instead of asking us to sacrifice for our country, he told us to shop. And he has been widely criticized for it. I think Obama is faced with a similar opportunity to unite Americans through simple sacrifices for their country.

But will a request for sacrifice, when actually made, be lauded or rebuked?

Ultimately, it depends on what kinds of sacrifices are requested. In Politico'sThe Arena today, policy wonks and writers guess what kinds of sacrifices President Obama might ask for. This entry, by a contributing editor for the Daily Kos, stood out to me:

The main thing to understand is that fixes will not be quick. That means unemployment isn't instantly reversed. Race relations aren't instantly made whole. Iraq isn't instantly evacuated. Gitmo is not instantly closed. These things will be addressed. They will not be completed today or in the next 100 days. And since things aren't so great as they are right this second, it will rightly feel like sacrifice to be patient and build for the long term.

Other sacrifices mentioned were doing away with 8-figure salaries on wall street and throughout the corporate world and enduring some uncomfortable changes to health care policy. 

But a lot needs to get done. And even if the Obama administration hits the ground running, some important promises are going to have to take a back seat to the pressing concerns of today, including the economic stimulus plan and the turmoil in the Middle East.

But I'm ready to give more than patience; and I think lots of others are too.

Ready to Lead Once More



I thought Barack Obama's inaugural speech was nearly perfect. I am so incredibly proud of this country that I could burst. Finally a president who sees our country and the world the way it actually is.

To me, the brilliance of the speech was the new President's articulation of what has been on the back of everyone's minds since the economy crashed months ago.

With public opinion turning against the United States because of our arrogant and irresponsible use of military power while shunning the rest of the international community, and with more and more Americans losing their jobs due to decades of reckless economic favoritism, the United States as lost its leadership credibility. For the first time since the United States earned the status as the world's foremost superpower, we are in danger of losing that status. This is what Barack Obama poignantly expressed in the inaugural address.

What is more important, though, is that President Obama simply and clearly stated how we are going to bounce back. We will become a leader in new energy, we will embrace all people from all backgrounds, and we will treat other nations with the respect that they deserve. We will be the best nation among many great nations without operating as the all knowing leader with a divine right to control the international community.

The underlying current of President Obama's speech was the incredible significance of electing the first African American President. As he said, Barack Obama's father would not have been served at a restaurant sixty years ago. And his son is now the most powerful person in the world. And he was elected not by playing into the traditional schemes of professional politics. He was elected by inspiring hope and promising to change the system that has failed us for so long.

As Ezra Klein wrote yesterday,

People are proud of their politics again. They can sense that their country has done something that future generations will be proud of. They can sense that they have done something that future generations can be proud of. They were the generation that elected an African-American to the presidency! You can roll that sentence around on the tongue, imagine how it will read in tomorrow's textbooks. Obama's election feels like history. Reads like history. Is history.

As I said above, I am so proud and happy that I could burst. But I am most proud because Barack Obama will revive the incredible symbol of freedom that the United States has been to the world for more than two centuries, that incredible promise that we have so often failed to live up to.

As Pastor Rick Warren said in his powerful invocation, "We know today that Dr. King and a great crowd of witnesses are shouting in heaven." Well, there are a lot of us shouting down here on earth too. And it feels great.

50-State Strategy to Shrink



Former DNC Chair Howard Dean's 50-state strategy is generally regarded as the non-Obama reason for the Democrats' success last November. By putting representatives in every single state, Democrats were able to turn states like Virginia, North Carolina, and Colorado from red to blue. 

In a video released recently, the new DNC chairman, Virginia Governor Tim Kaine praised the 50-state strategy for its overwhelming success but said that it would be scaled back because "You never should just do what you did yesterday." 

Tremayne of Open Left mocks this response perfectly:

So, bottom line: it was really important and successful and we'll be doing something that we'll call a 50-state strategy but it won't look like it did before. Because "you never should just do what you did yesterday" even if what you did yesterday worked really well.

The idea behind the 50-state strategy is that voters in states like Alabama, Idaho, and Oklahoma are never going to vote for a Democrat unless they meet a Democrat once in a while. If you send two or three Dems to a rural town in red states like Nebraska, though, then you just might change some minds. 

I'm worried that without the 50-state strategy, the Democratic Party will not maximize its potential in states like Georgia, Missouri, North Dakota, and Montana, all of which were very close this year. With just a little more attention (and some luck with the economy), those could really turn blue in 2012.

Racial Wake Up Call for the GOP



The Washington Independent has a fantasticarticle today about the race for Chairman of the Republican National Committee (RNC), specifically Michael Steele's consistent assertion that the Republican Party does not take Blacks seriously enough.

For much of his career, Steele argued the opposite, that Democrats took Black voters for granted, promising ambitious policies to extend government programs further into urban neighborhoods, but delivering on very few of these promises. In essence, he argued, "Don't give your vote over to the Al Sharptons and the Reverend Jacksons and all the other folks who are advocating on behalf of Kerry just because."

Well, it's not just because. It's true that Democrats have a troubling tendency to ignore African American voters and inner-city programs simply because blacks vote overwhelmingly for Democrats. But the fact is that even if Democrats deliver 25% of what is promised, progressive policies (even those not directly aimed at minorities) are far superior for minority populations than the conservative agenda.

Healthcare reform is a prime example that will disproportionately benefit minorities. According to a 2004 study, although Hispanics comprise 14% of the population, 30% of the uninsured are Hispanic. Although African Americans make up 12% of the population, 15% of the uninsured are Black. Conversely, although 67% of the population is White, only 48% of the uninsured are White.

So with African American support firmly behind the Democrats, and the election of the first Black President on the Democratic ticket, Steele is correct to change his tone. The Republican Party cannot, as Tim Pawlenty warned, thrive as the party for rich white people.

But to do this, the GOP needs to embrace policies that help people who aren't rich and white. It is not sufficient to elevate token minorities to prominent positions within the Republican bureaucracy.

The Republican Party will not bounce back with small, aesthetic changes. It needs to drastically change its agenda to try and become the party for rich and poor Americans, young and old Americans, and Americans of all colors.

But I won't hold my breath.

Maintaining the Jewish State Means Pursuing Peace



Yesterday, Chris Bowers of OpenLeft wrote a piece about the future of Israel. He presented two scenarios for what will become of the Jewish State.

1. An autonomous, Jewish majority Israel bordering an autonomous, Palestinian majority Palestine, with neither under occupation or threat of invasion. Essentially, a two-state solution. This is the outcome currently desired by 60-70% of both Palestinians and Israelis.

2. A single, democratic state with a Palestinian majority that encompasses all of Israel, Gaza and the West Bank. This is not a commonly discussed outcome now, but it is more possible down the road than most people think.

Neither side is perfect. In the first case, both states, Israel and Palsestine, would take a huge economic hit. Palestine, first of all, would suffer a major loss of economic infrastructure that Israel has provided for the past sixty years. And Israel would be crippled by the lack of service professionals, an industry which is largely manned by Palestinian workers. But I think that Bowers is correct that, if this two-state solution was somehow brokered, both sides would generally live in peace.

The second scenario seems most likely. The Palestinian population has been growing steadily for decades and it has been estimated that Palestinians will become the majority in Israel by 2040 or 2050. Banning Arab political organizations from the upcoming elections was a shameful decision for the Israeli government that symbolizes the rising dominance of Palestinians in Israeli elections. Whether or not you are pro-Israel, everyone can agree that deliberately disenfranchising voters is undemocratic, autocratic, and cruel.

Operating under the assumption that a one-state, one-vote-one-person solution is imminent, what can Israel do to engender a moderate Palestinian population, rather than a Hamas-controlled political organization that will seek revenge and perpetuate the cycle of violence that has plagued the middle east for centuries?

  1. Ceasefire Now. As the death toll rises, more Palestinians are rushing to the anti-Israel cause. And much of the international community no longer supports Israel.
  2. Begin legitimate peace talks with Fatah in the West Bank. And give Fatah more than might feel comfortable. If they are seen as the political party that is getting results for Palestinians, then many will flock to support Fatah. The fault with this argument is that many Palestinians are critical of Fatah simply because they are open to diplomacy with Israel. For some, pursuing peace means surrender. But if the Palestinian population sees some tangible benefits of working with Israel, then they might begin to support the more moderate Fatah.

We must remember that Hamas is not a political organization, it is a racist, terrorist organization. Clearly, that does not justify the slaughter in Gaza. But it makes the prospects of meeting with Hamas leaders more complicated. Hamas becoming a leader in the region - which could be the result of the Gaza invasion due to increased fervor against the Jewish state - would be a devastating blow to the future of Jews in Israel.

Jeffrey Goldberg writes in a Times op-ed about the difficulties securing a lasting peace with Hamas. They center on the fact that Hamas does not seek a compromise peace, they are looking for the elimination of the Jewish state. One Hamas leader said,

Allah changed disobedient Jews into apes and pigs, it is true, but he specifically said these apes and pigs did not have the ability to reproduce," Mr. Rayyan said. "So it is not literally true that Jews today are descended from pigs and apes, but it is true that some of the ancestors of Jews were transformed into pigs and apes, and it is true that Allah continually makes the Jews pay for their crimes in many different ways. They are a cursed people.

Goldberg also writes,

The moderate Arab states, Europe, the United States and, mainly, Israel, must help Hamas's enemy, Fatah, prepare the West Bank for real freedom, and then hope that the people of Gaza, vast numbers of whom are unsympathetic to Hamas, see the West Bank as an alternative to the squalid vision of Hassan Nasrallah and Nizar Rayyan.

He's absolutely right. If Israel can begin a legitimate peace process with Fatah, based on a permanent ceasefire and tangible benefits for both sides, then Hamas will fall further and further into irrelevance. If it continues to kill hundreds of civilians, on the other hand, the anti-Israel, anti-Jew position will only grow stronger and seriously threaten the future of Jews in Israel.

Guantanamo to Sing Fat Lady Song


Three Steps Forward

Watching 24 definitely makes you think about the morality of torture in a fictional world. But as a liberal in the real world, is it possible to enjoy 24 despite its implicit support for terrorism? This week's season 7 premier proves the answer to be yes, but AmericaBlog asks this difficult question.

Wherever you land on that important issue, it is difficult to deny that by far the most horrendous legacy of President Bush's two terms is the torture at Guantanamo Bay that was not only approved by the President, but became de-facto law. AmericaBlog reports that Obama will announce his plans to close Guantanamo after he is inaugurated on January 20. This does not mean that the detention facility will close immediately. President-elect Obama has already said that it could take a year to finalize the end of Guantanamo Bay because of the deeply complicated nature of international law and the difficulty of placing the 250 terrorist suspects, many of whom have not been charged with any crime, in an appropriate setting.

Although it is not soon enough, this is an extremely encouraging development that says a lot about the Obama administration. First, the United States no longer supports torture. Throughout the campaign I was surprised by how few times Obama, Biden or other democratic surrogates mentioned torture. Under the leadership of George W. Bush, this country that has stood as a beacon and freedom for so many across the world for hundreds of years, embraced torture as national policy. The reality of that is both terrifying and deeply sad. Though closing Guantanamo Bay does not make up for that, it shows that we are at least willing to admit this error and attempt to rebrand our moral image.

It will be interesting to see how Obama closes the detention facility. Back in November, the newly elected Obama unveiled plans to pursue out-of-the-box methods of prosecuting terrorists. They endorsed a "hybrid approach" which would combine necessary aspects of military courts with the liberties associated with civilian courts. As I wrote back in November, Republicans oppose this approach because it could bring terrorist suspects to US soil, and Democrats are weary about it because these suspects would not receive all the rights guaranteed for American citizens. For that reason, the plan is constitutionally unstable and, if implemented, would probably require the Supreme Court's attention.

The closing of Guantanamo Bay also indicates, as AmericaBlog writes, "that Team Obama is starting to realize that it needs to reach out to the left, and not just the right." This is the third issue that surfaced in the past few days on which Obama has made statements that satisfied the liberal base of the Democratic party.

But the meaning of closing Guantanamo Bay seriously transcends politics. It shows that Obama might make good on the hope that he inspired during his campaign to begin a process that re instills pride in our country.

In an interview with The Atlantic this week, Archbishop Desmond Tutu, the internationally acclaimed peace activist, spoke of his disappointment that the United States now uses torture.

He must close Guantanamo Bay immediately. That must be one of the first things he does. You know, for someone who comes from South Africa, it is one of the greatest letdowns I've ever experienced that America, Britain, whom we had regarded as--I mean, they were our starlode. Or is it lodestar?

Hoo hoo! Yes, our lodestar. These countries were so insistent in the days of apartheid. When we had detention without trial in South Africa, they condemned it out of hand. I mean, it is one of the greatest letdowns that these countries should, without batting an eyelid, be using the same arguments that were used by the apartheid government. You feel so, so despondent.

Powerful Pro-Israel Sentiments


It's not incredibly easy to be pro-Israel lately. Of course, there are very powerful big picture reasons to side with Israel. But with the death toll raising above 800, more than half of whom are civilians, the heart revolts against the logic of supporting Israel from time to time. I just wanted to highlight some powerful Pro-Israel arguments from the past week.

Most significantly is the campaign of J Street, the self proclaimed "political arm of the pro-Israel pro-peace movement." Pointed out earlier this week at TPM cafe, they have started an online ceasefire petition that argues that a ceasefire is politically and morally the right move for Israel. They also provide answers to frequently asked questions about being pro-Israel during this campaign in Gaza.

Also From M.J. Rosenberg at TPM Cafe:  "Ceasefire Now!"

And Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic:"The Moral Responsibilities of Israeli Soldiers"

You're not Hamas. You're better than Hamas. So act it. [...] So when you operate, operate with the children in mind. It's a burden Hamas has placed on you -- it's no joy to fight an enemy who hides behind his children. But that's what you're facing. And when you come across scenes like the one described in this Washington Post story, help the children.

You can protect your country and be the moral superior at the same time. Ruthlessly target those responsible for anti-Israel attacks. But do everything possible to reduce civilian casualties, especially among children. And help the innocents of the other side whenever possible. That's how you earn the trust of international public opinion.


Three Steps Forward


Obama: Don't Let the Mandate Stale


Have you ever noticed how bread does not last long enough? You'll buy a loaf, use four slices immediately, and then let it sit on the shelf for two weeks. By the time you try to use the remaining slices, its stale, or even worse, moldy. Well this loaf is a lot like Barack Obama's political capital if it is not used quickly and correctly. In his first 100 days, President Obama could make delicious tuna and PB&J sandwiches. But recently it looks like he'll let the bread mold grasping for bi-partisanship.

It's clear that Obama's economic stimulus plan doesn't cut the mustard. By trying to get 80 votes in the Senate, he risks losing too much trying to appease Republicans. Obama doesn't have to do this. The stimulus plan will pass easily with the 59 Democrats and a handful of moderate Republican Senators who support it.

But Obama is making good on the promise to be the President for everyone, not just liberals. While this is a laudable goal, Obama risks wasting his mandate even before his first term begins. When you have political capital, use it to make big advances on important issues, not to grab 15 unnecessary votes that will only weaken a desperately needed economic stimulus plan.

Obama's popularity complex worries John Judas, too. He is concerned that "the president elect is underestimating the problem he and the country faces." Judis calls for a much more extensive stimulus plan that includes funds to increase high speed public transportation. The closest equivalent we have to Europe's impressive example is Amtrak's Acela line, which is limited largely to the northeast corner of the country and is very expensive. But the extension of high speed transit would require a massive investment, which Congress has not even come close to supporting. 

Judas continues:

Investing in high-speed rails would be very expensive, but unlike tax cuts--the benefits of which can be siphoned off in the purchase of imported goods--the money spent would go directly to reviving American industry and improving the country's trade balance. That doesn't just mean jobs creating dedicated tracks or new rail stations: Though the U.S. abandoned train manufacturing decades ago to the French, Germans, Canadians, and Japanese, this kind of production could be undertaken by our ailing auto companies or aircraft companies--if the federal and state governments were to place orders. And building trains that would run on electricity would be a paradigmatic example of the "green jobs" that Obama often touts.

In short, its worth the investment. Krugman agrees. $800 Billion is a lot of money, but if it funds an incomplete and insufficient plan, then it is wasted. I'd rather see a more expensive stimulus plan that serves as the final word and gets us back on track. We can kill two birds with one giant, expensive stone. Build a much-need U.S. high-speed transit system and stimulate the economy. This is possible without pandering to Senate Republicans.

Congressional Democrats are rightly frustrated by Obama's concessions, and they are not afraid to show it. The stimulus issue was the final and most important disappointment in a week of Democratic division which included the Blago/Burris Illinios scandal, the Panetta/Fienstein miscommunication, and the choice of TV star Sanjay Gupta as Surgeon General. 

Obama is the President of all Americans, red, blue, and purple. But he won a huge mandate in November's election, supported by large majorities in the House and Senate. Obama needs to use that advantage to pass a working stimulus plan, even if it squeaks by with 61 votes.

Otherwise, he's wasting perfectly good bread. 


Read more: threestepsforward.wordpress.com

Obama Will Set VP's Role, Biden is not Cheney



Josh Marshall of TPM wrote today that the Joe Biden model of the Vice Presidency could be closer to the Dick Cheney model than we might hope. It's an interesting argument based largely on the fact that Joe Biden is old enough that he would likely not run for President in 2016 (he would be 74) and therefore does not have to weigh the politics of extensive VP involvement, just as Cheney did not.

Vice President Cheney's clout within the Bush administration is heavily tied to the fact that the he early -- and quite credibly because of his medical history -- disavowed any plans to seek the presidency in his own right. We're in the midst of a four decade trend toward more and more powerful and influential vice-presidents (in the sense of clout not constitutional prerogative). But the big brake on the veep's role in decision-making has always been the fact that everyone else who wants to be president someday has a strong interest in keeping his power in check.

But I think that Biden will only have as much power as President-elect Obama allows. The Obama machine has been incredibly well oiled since it began more than two years ago and I don't think this will change after Obama is inaugurated. From what I can tell, Cheney was so involved in the Bush presidency because Bush wanted and needed that. He simply did not have the knowledge and political ability to do it by himself.

But despite his inexperience, Obama is a competent leader and skilled politician. I don't see Biden making a play for extensive powers without Obama squashing it. But if Obama wants an involved VP, then it will happen.

There are a few areas in which Obama could use the Vice President's help. First, there is foreign policy, Biden's strong suit. As chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, the choice of Biden as VP was a clear sign that Obama would look to his running mate for support on issues of national security and international diplomacy. But some early Obama cabinet picks shows that he would also look elsewhere for help. This was especially apparent in his choice for Secretary of State, Hillary Rodham Clinton, another high profile foreign relations authority.

It's still early to predict what Biden's role will be in the White House. But I predict that Obama will set the tone for that role and Biden, whether he wants to or not, will have to obey.


Elections in Ghana Promise Change and Inspire Hope



Before Ghana's December 7 election, there was much discussion about the importance of a peaceful electoral process for the West African coastal country and the entire African continent.

The first round of the election went off without a hitch. In fact, 70% of eligible voters turned out to cast a vote for one of the six Presidential contenders. But when all the votes were tallied, Nana Akufo-Addo of the National Progress Party (NPP) received 49.3% of the vote, and John Atta Mills of the National Democratic Congress (NDC) took 47.8% of the vote. Since more than 50% is required to win the Presidency, these candidates will face off in the December 28 runoff election.

One reaction to the close election stands out. Bridget, a 39 year-old General Manager from Accra said,

I am feeling relaxed because over the weekend there were no incidents, there was nothing to make me worry and there were also a lot of checks and balances in place to ensure everything went well.

The threat of violence was a legitimate concern in Ghana, even as Africa's first Independent Democracy. In the past year, the world was shocked by electoral violence in Kenya, Zimbabwe, and Nigeria. Ghana's peaceful election ensures that it will remain a political leader for the continent that many Americans still view as a catastrophe zone.

For the past eight years, John Kufuor, the leader of the NPP, ruled as Ghana's first democratically elected President since 1979. In that year, Flight Lieutenant Jerry John Rawlings seized power from the corrupt government and peacefully handed power to Dr. Hilla Limann. But in 1981, Rawlings rose again to overthrow Limann and consolidate his power as Ghana's Head of State. In 1993, Rawlings changed his title to President and was re-elected twice in semi-democratic elections.

Kufuor beat Rawlings in the 2000 election and has served two terms, the maximum allowed by Ghana's Constitution. Kufuor has vowed to peacefully hand over the Presidency to Akufo-Addo or Mills, whoever wins the runoff. This indicates Ghana's incredible transformation and status as a Democratic power in Africa.

After Ghana's Independence in 1957, decolonization spread quickly throughout the continent. Between 1957 and 1965, almost thirty African countries declared independence from a colonial power. If the December 28 runoff is as successful as the first round, then Ghana could inspire another wave of reform through legitimate and peaceful elections.

Is Warren Worth It?



I wrote a few weeks ago about the media's overblown response to Obama's centrist cabinet appointments. The media seemed to think that liberals were furious at Obama, when they were maybe peeved or disappointed. Many liberals understand Obama's need to appoint people with experience who appeal to a wide cross section of the population in order to maximize his political capital.

But Obama's choice of Rick Warren to give the invocation at his inauguration on January 20 is a symbolic blow to women, gays and the pro-choice and pro-gay liberals who support them.

It's clear Warren was chosen in an attempt to bring Christians (and even conservatives) into Obama-mania. And despite the unfortunate message that the choice sends to liberals, I think it is politically shrewd. But the central question is, will Barack Obama gain enough with Christians and conservatives to compensate for the support he will lose from the left?

Powerful liberal organizations like the Human Rights Campaign are decrying this decision as "genuine blow to LGBT Americans." Andrew Sullivan wrote:

Warren is a man who believes my marriage removes his freedom of speech and cannot say that authorizing torture is a moral failing. Shrewd politics, but if anyone is under any illusion that Obama is interested in advancing gay equality, they should probably sober up now.

Despite the political benefits to Warren giving the invocation, I agree that it is a bad choice that sets the stage for some serious disappointments from Obama on abortion and gay rights. But I'm hoping that that disappointment is only symbolic and restricted to inauguration.

Because when it comes down to it, the Warren choice means nothing. After all, Obama is not the sole decider of who gives the invocation. And it would be much more serious if he had appointed him Secretary of State or Attorney General or as the next Justice to the Supreme Court. But that's ridiculous and its clearly not going to happen. I trust that Obama's pandering to Christian conservatives will not spill over into any policy decisions.

In a later Andrew Sullivan post:

I think the choice of Warren is almost certainly designed, in fact, as a unifying move - and it is a signal that Obama has every intention of reaching out to Christianists who have some liberal leanings on poverty, the environment, and heterosexual HIV and AIDS. (Check out the last time Rick Warren reached out to gay people with HIV or AIDS.) I understand where Obama's coming from, and I don't think this is an inherently bad idea. Building such a liberal Christianist coalition is something I saw coming, and sadly see no way to avoid.

Before we will see what the choice of Warren means for the big picture of Obama's Presidency, Obama will lose some credibility from his base. Long term, I hope that he'll surround himself with more liberals and make some serious progressive policy choices. But when it comes down to it, we knew all along that we were electing a moderate.

The GOP Doomed Detroit. And We Wont Forget


I'm still shocked that the bill granting $15 Billion to bail out Detroit's Big Three did not pass. And I'm still worried that the failure to protect the jobs of hundreds of thousands of American is an incredible mistake that will make this economic downturn even worse. But I must admit that I understand the opposition's argument on this issue. Still, that doesn't mean they're right.

There is an important truth to the fact that bankruptcy could make the Big Three reevaluate their priorities and resurrect their position in the auto world and eventually re-hire hundreds of thousands of Americans. In the long term, bankruptcy could be just what the doctor ordered to improve the failing automobile industry and get our economy on track.

Also, Newsweek has a very interesting article about the foreign-owned automobile industry picking up steam in the South. These "little eight" companies employ many Southern workers with good wages and benefits. This is likely the reason that Southern Republican Senators voted against saving Detroit's automobile industry. In a capitalist society, competition is king, and we must let bad companies fail to secure the best product. This will ensure that the economy remains healthy in the long term.

But American families do not think long term. They think about the jobs just lost because the executives of these companies actually thought Americans would continue to buy gas guzzling American hybrids instead of gas-efficient, foreign-made hybrids. They think about how to get a new job in this economy, when most companies are laying people off in crisis and to avoid crisis.

So I've got to agree with Bob Shrum. Even if the Republicans had some legitimate reasons to oppose the bailout, those reasons will not be remembered. Instead, we will remember that 20 Senators agreed to give $700 Billion to Wall Street, but refused to give $15 Billion (2% of $700B) to support American workers. And the people laid off will remember that the Republicans are largely responsible.

It's been a bad year for the Republicans. But they could have moderately saved face by playing the politics to appear the savior of the automobile industry. Instead, they effectively fired the Midwest and will pay the price in 2010 and 2012 unless things start to turn around.

Ben Buchwalter

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