The Republican's only play on the economy is taxes and how to beat it.
Every republican discussion on the economy ends up with promises of tax cuts coupled with an attack on democrats for raising taxes.
The Obama's usual answer of "we only raise taxes on the wealthy and 95% of households will get tax breaks" misses a big point, because it follows an old and in my view innacurate understanding of how middle class swing voters vote on taxes. The conventional view is that these voters vote against their own economic interest based on other issues.
I think it's more accurate to say that many of these voters do vote based on their economic interests. It's just that they buy the Republican explanation of lower taxes for the everybody, including the wealthy creates their jobs and higher taxes for the wealthy may lead to the voters losing their jobs. So why woud they vote to get a $2000 credit on taxes if it means they risk losing their jobs?
These voters need to be convinced that Obama's position of giving tax cuts only to the middle class and not raising it on the wealthy/corporations if there is a recession, or raising it back to Clinton's level if there is no recession will actually stimulate economic growth, in a responsible way considering the budget deficit.
And to prove this, you only need to look at the stimulus checks mailed this year which in fact boosted growth beyond expectations. Who got the stimulus? The middle class. Who didn't get it? The wealthy. And everybody, including McCain agrees it worked.
But isn't a tax cut targeted at the middle class just another way of giving a stimulus check to them, albeit in smaller increments in their paychecks instead of a big check in the mail?
This is the tax policy that works, because it puts money in the hands of the consumers, which purchase from businesses, which then make more profits and hire more people. That's how tax policy should work to help everybody, including even the rich (the trickle up theory), rather than giving it to the rich and hope it trickles down, which does not work, and even if it works, favors the rich disproportionally.
I think Obama driving this point in a debate will work very well. It's a truer and much better explanation of why his tax plan is better at creating jobs and spurring economic growth. The standard democrat talking point of "vote for me because I will give you money in forms of tax credit" just gets attacked as a job killer wealth redistribution scheme by the republicans and whether we like it or not, a good portion of swing voters will agree with that.




