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   <title>Bernard Avishai&apos;s Blog</title>
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   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/bavishai//4850</id>
   <updated>2009-11-25T18:46:52Z</updated>
   
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<entry>
   <title>Gratitude, Again</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/25/gratitude_again/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.304386</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-25T18:43:22Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-25T18:46:52Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Jim Carroll&apos;s column (or poem, or blessing) for Thanksgiving. It is too lovely to link to. Here are his words in full: THANKSGIVING IS THE preferred American holiday not just because it is free of commercial pressures, denominational exclusiveness, and...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Jim Carroll's<a href="http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2009/11/23/giving_thanks_in_secular_holy_ways?mode=PF"> column (or poem, or blessing)</a> for Thanksgiving. It is too lovely to link to. Here are his words in full:</p>

<p><span style="font-style: italic;">THANKSGIVING IS THE preferred American holiday not just because it is free of commercial pressures, denominational exclusiveness, and the insatiable longing of children. A month shy of the winter solstice, it is also less prone to inflict seasonal affective disorder, but that does not explain its appeal either. Nor does its distance from the frenzy of New Year's. Thanksgiving's place at the center of national good feeling might seem to derive from the sweet, if ahistorical, morality tale of amity between Pilgrims and native peoples. As the universal occasion of family reunion, what else is needed to account for its sanctity?</span></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p><i>Sanctity: there's the clue. Even a secular age desires holiness, and religious people, for their part, want holiness shorn of the normal hypocrisies of organized religion. At Thanksgiving, the secular and religious impulses, usually taken to be antagonists, salute each other with respect. Their spheres overlap. The holiday is built around gratitude, which is nothing less than the great human opening to transcendence, however defined.</i></p>

<p><i>What do we talk about, to paraphrase Raymond Carver, when we talk about thanks? Awareness begins when a person grasps the single-most basic fact of existence, which is that existence is given.</i></p>

<p><i>The most important aspects of each human's condition, from physical makeup to intelligence to family connections to cultural legacy, are accidents of birth. The givens of life do not begin with us. How we make use of what we are given is something else, but givenness is the starting point. Self-consciousness is the recognition that we ourselves are not the source of our most precious selfhood. A religious view makes the instinctive leap from the given to the giver, calls it "God,'' and offers gratitude as the essential form of worship.</i></p>

<p><i>But there is a secular equivalent to this impulse, even if it assumes no particular "giver,'' no intelligent designer - nothing personal. The accidents of birth may have been shaped by a set of temporal precedents - driven, say, by cold dynamics like natural selection and random mutation. But what we are left with is the sacred experience of being, when there could have been nothingness. Awe, wonder, fear, and trembling - these define the spiritual response of the human person, who not only exists, but is existence conscious of itself.</i></p>

<p><i>Gratitude is built into that consciousness, needing no specified object, much less a named benefactor. Gratitude extends simply to all that went before, and all that sustains. Grateful to parents, and all ancestors; grateful to the fragile web of nature; grateful to the very air. As Americans, we can be grateful to particular traditions that protect our freedoms, and press us to expand them. As creatures, we can be so grateful to creation as to refuse the urge to make it stand for something else - even a Creator. We can say thanks without saying thank you. Gratefulness is open-ended.</i></p>

<p><i>An intense awareness of what is given assumes the like awareness that it will be taken. There was a time when the bounty of life that we celebrate by feasting did not exist, and a day is coming when it will be gone. Knowing that the feast will end is the precondition of true festivity.</i></p>

<p><i>No accident, therefore, that Thanksgiving comes as the climax of autumn, the season of mortality, when the vital abundance of nature harvests itself in one last flame-out of red and gold. The December holiday is all about nostalgia, a dream of the past. The New Year's holiday is all about anticipation, resolutions for the future. Thanksgiving is the holiday of the present tense. We celebrate what we have and who we are - right now.</i></p>

<p><i>When religious folks take proper note of the transcendent gratitude of those for whom "God'' is not necessary, believers, too, can be more open to the deeper meaning of Thanksgiving. One can leap too quickly to the other world, shortchanging this one. The overflowing banquet table is nothing if not worldly, gloriously so. Giving thanks to and for the ones with whom we gather is thus a profoundly secular act. But the great religions all say that such rare heartiness is enough - that loving gratefulness among humans is the only thanks that God ever wanted in the first place.</i><br /></p><p><br />
<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/Sw0-hFVoswI/AAAAAAAABAY/ulqoLheY3X8/s1600/vesak-pictures-reflect.jpg"><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 400px; height: 265px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/Sw0-hFVoswI/AAAAAAAABAY/ulqoLheY3X8/s400/vesak-pictures-reflect.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5408047465631363842" border="0" /></a>]]>
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<entry>
   <title>J Street And The Jewish Tradition</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/24/j_street_and_the_jewish_tradition/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.304051</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-24T06:51:12Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-24T07:18:21Z</updated>
   
   <summary>The Jerusalem chapter of Search for Common Ground, along with the Washington Post&apos;s &quot;On Faith&quot; section, asked me to contribute 800 words on how Jewish values animated participants in J Street&apos;s October conference in Washington. So--not without hubris--I did: During...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p><span style="font-style: italic;">The Jerusalem chapter of <a href="http://www.sfcg.org/">Search for Common Ground</a>, along with the </span><a href="http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/onfaith/guestvoices/2009/11/j_street_and_the_jewish_tradition.html"><span><span>Washington Post</span>'s</span></a><span style="font-style: italic;"><a href="http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/onfaith/guestvoices/2009/11/j_street_and_the_jewish_tradition.html"> "On Faith" section,</a> asked me to contribute 800 words on how Jewish values animated participants in J Street's October conference in </span><span style="font-style: italic;">Washington. So--not without hubris--I did:</span></p>

<p>During the first night of the J Street conference, when delegates were just getting settled, a half dozen speakers -- activists, rabbis and students -- unexpectedly poured their hearts out. The 1,500 people in the hall, the speakers insisted, were not only gathered to represent the majority of American Jews who think U.S. policy should put its weight behind bringing about a two state solution. We were gathered also to redeem "Jewish values." You heard a good deal of the phrase "Tikkun Olam," the repair of the world, that night. And I confess to cringing at times. Was social improvement a peculiarly Jewish desire? Could Tikkun Olam, a kabalistic concept turned into a leftist cliché, cancel out the fact that the Occupation is advanced by zealots of Jewish law, or that rightist, neoconservative ideas are particularly strong (so polls show) among the quarter of American Jews who attend synagogue at least once a month?</p>

<p>And yet something in the claim of these J Street speakers seems vaguely true. After all, 78 percent of American Jews voted for Barack Obama. Why, as the neoconservative Commentary Magazine complained in 1969, do Jews not just vote Republican and advance their class "interests?" Wasn't McCain a more avid "supporter of Israel?" Sure people who have been pushed around as much as Jews might be expected to be for the underdog, including Palestinians under occupation. But suffering, though ingrained in Jewish literature, is not uniquely Jewish either; nor does it necessarily make you peaceful or empathic. Are we to believe then that this desire for social improvement springs from Jewish tradition and if so, can it be redeemed by, of all things, J Street's American liberalism?</p>

<p>Actually, this begs the question, not of who is a Jew, but what is a tradition.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[ Take the most solemn and widely observed Jewish practice, the Yom
Kippur liturgy. Jews read the portion from Leviticus in which a
stringent atonement fast is commanded. Right after, we read a portion
from Isaiah in which people who afflict themselves with starvation are
mocked: "No, this is the fast I desire: to ... untie the cords of the
yoke," and so forth. In the afternoon, we chant the book of Jonah, in
which God uses a parable to teach compassion to his own pro<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/SwuBw3TWgqI/AAAAAAAABAQ/3VEznExtmg8/s1600/Napoleon_Emancipation_Jews.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/SwuBw3TWgqI/AAAAAAAABAQ/3VEznExtmg8/s400/Napoleon_Emancipation_Jews.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5407558454067233442" border="0" height="137" width="114" /></a>phet,
a man who -- much like neoconservatives -- says he would rather die
than accept a world in which sinful people are not identified and
punished.

<p>So what is the tradition? The law commanded by Torah? Or is it the
prophet's gloss on the law? Or another prophet's sublime lesson in
humility? (or the Talmud's commentaries on the limits to humility?) The
point is: the texts are not monolithic and mere humans have made
choices about what commandments to perform, in what spirit; what
interpretations to bring, and what texts or melodies to juxtapose.
Before "modernity," rival rabbinic councils were the ones to choose;
their implicit foil was the dogmatic uniformity of the Church. But at
least since Napoleon marched the enlightenment into Poland, there was a
new question: who gets to make the choices for Jewish "citizens" of a
republic? This is where the liberal impulses circulating at J Street
come in.</p>

<p>The phrase "Jewish values," you see, makes sense only to people who
assume a world of (what we used to call) "free will." You have to
believe that, generally, people have intellectual personality,
individual sovereignty, and moral erudition -- that more sacred than
the Book is the right to interpret books. Incidentally, this
enlightenment insight not only marked Jews for successful acculturation
into America, but arguably launched Zionism, too. If every Jew was
going to be his own rabbi, then Jewish civilization had best be held
together by a common language and territory.</p>

<p>So if Jews can be said to have stood for anything traditionally, was
it not this allergy to dogma -- this breaking of idols? Did we not see
democratic rights as, well, commanded? And, tragically, have not
the land of Israel and Jewish military power themselves become idols
for American Jews since 1967 -- or at least for leaders who spoke for
the "community," while liberals remained aloof from its parochialism?
Anyway, J Street says, "No more." Occupation and settlements justified
by isolated passages of scripture debases the way Jews justify
anything. Jews are not, or not only, an interest group. It is now
Palestinians who have a "yoke" to "untie."</p>

<p>In his 1934 preface to the Hebrew translation of Totem and Taboo,
Freud asked: when you eliminate Hebrew, the "religion of one's
fathers," and "nationalist ideals," what "is left that is Jewish?" He
answered: "A very great deal, and probably its very essence." Perhaps.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Jerusalem Syndrome</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/23/jerusalem_syndrome/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.303811</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-23T09:10:27Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-23T09:12:19Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Akiva Eldar hits the nail on the head: What could they possibly want from us? That was the combined reaction of the president, the mayor, the cabinet ministers and the head of the opposition. After all, they said, Gilo is...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/8859">Akiva Eldar</a> hits the nail on the head:</p>

<blockquote><em><em><span style="font-style: italic;">What could they possibly want from us? That was the combined reaction of the president, the mayor, the cabinet ministers and the head of the opposition. After all, they said, Gilo is at the heart of the Israeli consensus. What does that consensus mean? Reminder: In June 1967 Israel annexed to Jerusalem some 70 square kilometers of West Bank territory, including 28 Palestinian municipalities and villages that were never considered part of the city. When Jordan controlled Jerusalem, it was six square kilometers, including the Old City, whose territory is no more than a single square kilometer.

<p>Since 1967, some 30 percent of East Jerusalem land has been appropriated for the construction of new neighborhoods for some 200,000 Israelis. Indeed, there is consensus among Israelis that in a peace agreement that would include exchange of territory, Gilo would remain under Israeli sovereignty. But not in a unilateral step that would not be recognized by any other country. Around the world, there is wall-to-wall agreement that East Jerusalem is at best disputed territory; in the Arab world, the consensus is that it is occupied territory.</span></em></em></blockquote></p>

<p>Read <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1130000.html">his whole column</a> about the status of Jerusalem, from today's <span style="font-style: italic;">Haaretz</span>.</p>]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Intel Inside? Prove It. </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/22/intel_inside_prove_it/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.303439</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-22T12:30:23Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-22T19:38:35Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Here is a thought experiment. It is Sunday, and various employees of Intel's R&amp;D and consulting facility in Chantilly, VA, just outside of Washington, are working through the week-end. The facility is suddenly surrounded by several thousand evangelical Christians--mainly educated...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Here is a thought experiment.  It is Sunday, and various employees of Intel's R&amp;D and consulting facility in Chantilly, VA, just outside of Washington, are working through the week-end. The facility is suddenly surrounded by several thousand evangelical Christians--mainly educated at Regent University, and led by the aged Pat Robertson--who demand that the company shut down the facility, so as not to violate the holy Sabbath. Windows are shattered by rock throwers. State police move in, but do not disband the mobs.</p>

<p>So Intel's senior management go into a huddle. They authorize the local management team to meet with Robertson's representatives, along with representatives from the Virginia governor's office, now in the hands of rightist Republicans. At first Intel threatens to pull out of Virginia. But finally they approve a compromise agreement.  The facility can stay open, the agreement states, but the shifts will be reduced.  Also, on Sundays, <span style="font-style: italic;">only non-Christians can work there.</span></p>

<p>Imagine, in this fantasy, what the Intel board would face at the next shareholders' meeting. Or imagine the employee emails the corporation's global "Director of Diversity," <a href="http://www.intel.com/pressroom/kits/education/hudnell.htm">Rosalind Hudnell</a>, would be fielding the next morning.</p>

<p>Well, if haven't already heard, something quite like this just happened in Jerusalem.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>A week ago Saturday, Intel's facility on Har Ha'Hotzvim--a technology park in a belt of land near (but not at all in) the burgeoning ultraOrthodox neighborhood of Sanhedria--was surrounded and vandalized by acolytes of various Haredi rabbis, most notably, the leader of <span style="font-style: italic;">Eda</span>, Rabbi Yitzhak Tuvia Weiss. Intel met with representatives of the Haredi groups, facilitated by Jerusalem Mayor <a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/2008/03/connect-dots-4-forget-cunning.html">Nir Barkat</a> and Knesset Speaker <a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/2009/05/pope-and-rubys-tuesday.html">Ruby Rivlin</a>--both rightists tied to  Haredi voters. The Sabbath shift, so the "compromise" stipulates, will be cut from 120 employees to 20.  <span style="font-style: italic;">None of them will be Jews</span>. (By the way, this absurd agreement may have satisfied most, but not Rabbi Weiss.  <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1129633.html">His mobs were back yesterday</a> demanding a complete shut down.)</p>

<p>What can Intel's leadership possibly be thinking? Have they lost all sense of who they are, let alone what Intel has meant to Israel? Intel's global sales are roughly equal to Israel's GDP.  Intel's billions of dollars of investments in Israel have not only made it the country's largest high-tech employer, but have engendered dozens of entrepreneurial businesses, from software to clean-room building.</p>

<p>Even more important, perhaps, Intel has been something like Israel's most important business school, putting thousands through management and quality training over the years. Its impact on Israel's business culture has been something like MIT and the Sloan School on Cambridge, Mass. It is because they experienced companies like Intel that a new generation of cosmopolitan managers (people who, unlike their parents' generation, know how to listen) has grown up in the "Silicon Wadi" of Tel-Aviv, Herzliya, and Haifa. Indeed, Intel-Israel's former CEO and founder, the legendary <a href="http://www.leadershipthehardway.com/BuzzAboutTheBook.html">Dov Frohman</a>, has a briskly selling book on leadership. My God, if Intel will not stand for ordinary secular norms of human rights in Israel, who will?</p>

<p>PERHAPS THE MOST depressing thing about this affair is the way Intel's management seems to have concluded that this is the price you pay for operating in a Jewish state. Intel's employees chant, "Bum-bum-bum-bum"; presumably, employees in the Jewish state may now and then be forced to add, "Cheery-beery-bum!" Okay, this may not be the place to go into it, but Intel's decision implicitly capitulates to the notion, so casual among many clueless American Jews, that Israel is a something like a big <span style="font-style: italic;">shtetl</span>, run to a great extent by Halachic rules, rationales, and rabbis. This capitulation is dangerous: to Israeli Arabs, to Palestinians, but above all to Israel's secular citizens who mostly consider themselves Jews in a wholly different way. </p>

<p>Look, last week, on a glorious Friday morning, my wife and I drove to Tel-Aviv and participated in a lively seminar to celebrate a new Hebrew translation of Freud's <span style="font-style: italic;">Moses and Monotheism</span>; in the afternoon, we saw a brilliant, elegiac show about the settlements of the Valley of Jezreel by the Kfar Yehoshua artist, Eli Shamir--our budding Andrew Wyeth. This Hebrew version of the global thin<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/SwkmXjEZ98I/AAAAAAAAA_4/zs1WSbNPlfs/s1600/Elie-Shamir_Elie-Shamir.jpg"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 134px; height: 161px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/SwkmXjEZ98I/AAAAAAAAA_4/zs1WSbNPlfs/s200/Elie-Shamir_Elie-Shamir.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5406895013627557826" border="0" /></a>g, including a Hebrew version of Intel, is the real reason for this country. You can have <span style="font-style: italic;">Shabbes </span>in Teaneck.</p>

<p>Which is not to say that Intel executives should take sides in a <span style="font-style: italic;">Kulturkampf</span> to decide the historical reasons for Zionism.  It <em>is </em>to say that Intel should just have the guts to be itself: to stop pandering, to stop thinking that it shows its tolerance for diversity by surrendering to diversely intolerant people. In fact, a majority of Israelis are counting on the conscience of the world to help them muddle through against Hamas on the one hand, and, on the other, the one-third (and growing) part of the of the Israeli population who want, say, the national orthodox assassin of Yitzhak Rabin to be released from prison. Intel, and all global companies operating in Israel, should be a pillar of (here, I'll say it) Western values. Allow fanatics to push out this pillar, and our souls will die with the Philistines.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Realists</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/17/realists/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.302294</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-17T12:19:36Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-17T12:51:10Z</updated>
   
   <summary>I understand the desire of New York Times columnists to appear realist. Writers who advocate for US intervention to induce Israeli-Palestinian peace, in column after column, month after month, can get to look, well, idealist. Writers are assumed to be...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>I understand the desire of <span style="font-style: italic;">New York Times</span> columnists to appear realist. Writers who advocate for US intervention to induce Israeli-Palestinian peace, in column after column, month after month, can get to look, well, idealist. Writers are assumed to be wimps anyway.</p>

<p>Still, something strange is happening. On two occasions in as many weeks, columnists who have written passionately about the US pushing peace have argued, in effect, that the Obama administration should just disengage. Last week, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/08/opinion/08friedman.html">Tom Friedman wrote</a> that it's "time to call a halt to this dysfunctional 'peace process,' which is only damaging the Obama team's credibility." Today, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/17/opinion/17iht-edcohen.html?ref=opinion">Roger Cohen </a>sees Tom Friedman's bid, and raises him, quoting Israel's most widely respected political scientist to boot:</p>

<blockquote><span style="font-style: italic;">Obama, who has his Nobel already, should ratchet expectations downward. Stop talking about peace. Banish the word. Start talking about détente. That's what Lieberman wants; that's what Hamas says it wants; that's the end point of Netanyahu's evasions.

<p><em>It's not what Abbas wants but he's powerless. Shlomo Avineri, a political scientist, told me, "A nonviolent status quo is far from satisfactory but it's not bad. Cyprus is not bad."</em></p></span><em></em></blockquote>

<p>I have abiding admiration for Shlomo Avineri (and Friedman and Cohen as well), but there is something in this realism that lacks common sense. For it assumes that the <span>status quo</span> can remain peaceful, especially if "we stop talking about peace." That Palestinians can pursue some under-the-radar economic evolution, or that Israelis and their "security wall" can force things to remain quiet when they have to; that Obama and America are better off letting the sides pursue detente, not peace--as if "some non-violent status quo" will hold; as if only idealists like Obama are making the great the enemy of the good.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Look, this is all dangerously wrong--and familiar. Moshe Dayan, too, had proposed an "open bridges" policy--in effect, the status quo occupation, in which Palestinians accommodate to economic peace, while Israel does its thing in Jerusalem and with settlements--and the 1973 War blew it up. This has happened again and again since. And today, too, the status quo is a powder keg, and the blasting caps are, among other things, "<span>what Lieberman wants" and "what Hamas says it wants." Is a realist someone whose purchase on reality is so great there is nothing to learn from experience?   </span><br />
</p><ul><li>The wall has made a pathetic ghetto of the nearly 300,000 Arabs of Jerusalem. A couple of nights ago, a gang of youths from East Jerusalem had some fun--so my young friend, the journalist Benjamin Joffe-Walt, told me--attacking night-clubbers in <span style="font-style: italic;">Nachalat Shiva, </span>right in front of his apartment, with electric cattle prods.  The last two terror attacks against Jews in Jerusalem came from neighborhoods within the wall. South Central LA anyone? Do we even need more disturbances on the Temple Mount to get things to blow?<br />
</li><li>Nor, as I've <a href="http://www.bernardavishai.info/Palestine.pdf">argued again and again</a>, can the Palestinian economy grow at nearly the rate it needs to--certainly not "like Cyprus"--if the occupation is not ended. IDF presence is largely meant to secure settlements in Area B and C--belts of land that surround Palestinian towns. So the occupation is a kind of antibiotic against Palestinian entrepreneurship. The Palestine Authority is much more likely to just collapse, or fold up, than engage in some "detente" with an ongoing occupation, with its closure regime. Read Shaul Arieli's urgent piece in <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1128746.html">today's Haaretz</a>, which argues that the status quo, leading to the PA's "disintegration," would open the door to Hamas; or read <a href="http://www.tnr.com/article/the-third-intifada">Steven Cook's thoughtful piece</a> in, of all places, <span style="font-style: italic;">The New Republic</span>.</li><li>IDF units sympathetic to Greater Israel are already showing an <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1128778.html">unwillingness to follow any orders</a> to evacuate settlements. This tendency will only grow. </li><li>If the West Bank blows, so will the Arab towns of Israel's little triangle, which Lieberman has already defined as alien to Israel (unless its residents, who have committed to Hebrew, also swear to uphold Israel as a "Zionist-Jewish" state). And when these towns blow, we will be in a Balkan-like civil war, with all the trappings: sniping, ethnic cleansing, terror on all sides.</li><li>Oh, and remember Hezbollah's and Hamas's missiles? If the Mubarak regime in Egypt falls to Islamist rioters, will that be good for America, let alone Israel? No doubt, such riots will have a formal cause in Islamist attitudes toward the West; but will not the efficient cause likely be yet more pictures on <span style="font-style: italic;">Al-Jazeera</span> of Israeli bombs dropping on civilian buildings where missiles are launched? Will Mubarak protect the Israeli embassy yet again?<br />
</li></ul>I could go on, but enough is enough. Leave this monster alone, and its violence will destroy the people who live here; and, meanwhile, the things Israelis do to avoid destruction will destroy everything Obama is trying to achieve in the Islamic world.

<p>And as for Shlomo Avineri's sense of things, a little history. When I first got to know him, as a  grateful graduate student in 1972, he chastised the peace movement that advocated for a Palestinian state. No, he said, Dayan's "open bridges," preserving the status quo, was the only realistic way to go. When Avineri was Director General of the Foreign Ministry under Yigal Allon in 1976, President Sadat sent Israel his first direct message that he was interested pursuing a comprehensive deal. The foreign ministry (among others in Prime Minister Rabin's government) rejected the overtures, since the National Religious Party, which was part of the  coalition, had threatened to bolt if the West Bank would become a focus for any negotiation. Avineri, among others, supposed Sadat's initiative was unrealistic.</p>

<p>There is, in other words, a kind of realism that you can never look stupid peddling. It basically assumes the present exercise of force is always better than the prospect of making peace with political enemies, because the other side can never be trusted; that, Hobbes or no Hobbes, it is vain to try to conceive of institutions in which trust is hedged about by policing, clear commitments and simple justice. I am not sure why we need "political scientists" who do not help us conceive these very institutions, especially in the face of violence and threats. In any case, the only psychological force more powerful than realism seems to be repetition compulsion.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Holy, Holy, Holy</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/10/holy_holy_holy/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.301094</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-10T13:19:23Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-10T14:13:17Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Harvey Cox, Mary Gordon, and Cornell West. For those of you who think you&apos;ve heard the last of God, listen to these three at the Boston Public Library, interviewed by the indispensable Chris Lydon, and broadcast on his Open Source...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Harvey Cox, Mary Gordon, and Cornell West. 

<p>For those of you who think you've heard the last of God,<a href="http://www.radioopensource.org/how-god-came-back-gordon-cox-and-west/"> listen to these three</a> at the Boston Public Library, interviewed by the indispensable Chris Lydon, and broadcast on his <i>Open Source</i> webcast.</p>]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>What Can Obama Do About Palestine, Meanwhile?</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/08/what_can_obama_do_about_palestine_meanwhile/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.300819</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-08T15:43:58Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-08T16:02:38Z</updated>
   
   <summary>My old friend Danny Rubinstein, who has covered the West Bank pretty much since the occupation began, came over Friday afternoon. He had covered this week&apos;s expulsion of Palestinian residents from their disputed home in Sheikh Jarrah. He had just...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>My old friend <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Arafat-Danny-Rubinstein/dp/1883642108">Danny Rubinstein</a>, who has covered the West Bank pretty much since the occupation began, came over Friday afternoon. He had covered this week's <a href="http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5ghaZJuWrxuuPOrvA6WlytW9UZrNw">expulsion of Palestinian residents</a> from their disputed home in Sheikh Jarrah. He had just come from conversations with Palestinian journalists in East Jerusalem, and was not in a cheerful frame of mind. </p><div>One gets the feeling that things are coming to a head, he says, what with Mahmoud Abbas' announcement that he would not seek reelection, and Netanyahu headed to a Washington whose Congress had just denounced the Goldstone Report. The Israeli government is doing what it can to defend the status quo. But the status quo engenders a disaster, and the Obama administration is understandably distracted.</div><div><div><br />
</div><div>The question is not whether time is running out on a two-state solution, as if one state, like South Africa, could ever happen here. The real question is whether we are going to prevent the kind of general violence that will turn Israel and Palestine into a Balkans-style conflict, with Jerusalem a kind of Sarajevo, and the Israeli Arab villages of the Little Triangle a kind of Bosnia. Without palpable outside action to move Israel off the status quo, especially from the Obama administration, the streets of the West Bank will blow. But Obama has no desire to pick a fight with any senators just now, not until 60 of them vote to end the inevitable Republican filibuster.</div></div><p></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<div><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0.75em; margin-left: 0px; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; font-size: 1em; font-weight: normal; ">ABBAS, YOU SEE, is not the point. He has been a force for reconciliation, perhaps the best partner Israel could ever have (or so former Labor minister Ephraim Sneh&nbsp;<a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1126604.html" style="text-decoration: underline; ">writes in today's&nbsp;<span style="font-style: italic; ">Haaretz</span></a>), but his personal prestige was never very great. That he is threatening to withdraw from politics is a symptom of danger, not a danger in itself. For Abbas has always been a kind of national working hypothesis: that Ramallah's secular bourgeoisie was a natural leadership to bring forth a state, and that its power to create the rule of law, and its prospects in the regional economy, justified patience; that the continuing flow of money from the international community justified having a person in the (albeit diminished) Palestinian Authority that outsiders could trust.</p></div><div>But when ordinary people in the streets of the West Bank start to believe that this leadership&nbsp;<i>cannot</i>&nbsp;be trusted to deliver--that donor money is meant to palliate them during a silent ethnic cleansing of Jerusalem and the annexation of their land by settlers--Hamas will appear the only game in town. We seem to be in a race between the vote on healthcare in the Senate and the outbreak of riots around Al-Aqsa.</div><div><br /></div><div>THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION cannot just sit on its hands, and seems to know what it needs to do in the long run. But what exactly can it do in the short-run to reassure Palestinians without inciting a public backlash among senators eager to prove their "friendship" to Israel. The dispute over a "<a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1102578.html" style="text-decoration: underline; ">settlements freeze</a>" has proven a dead end, since everybody (including leaders of the PA) have been working on the assumption that at least some of the citified settlements will be annexed to Israel; that Palestine would&nbsp;ultimately&nbsp;be compensated with a land swap. Neither could the Obama administration endorse the Goldstone Report, which Palestinians justifiably regard as a touchstone of others' empathy for them, without laying itself open to charges that it is cavalier about missiles falling on Israel.</div><div><br /></div><div>Somehow, then, the administration has to signal that it is not only serious about pursuing a Palestinian state but that it has a pretty clear understanding of what that state would look like, where it's borders will be, and so forth--and that it is not simply a cheerleader for negotiations that will, under present circumstances, prove fruitless. But how do you buy time without appearing to endorse the status quo. How do you signal the outlines of the state without presenting the whole plan for a state?</div><div><br /></div><div>ALL OF WHICH brings me back to Rubinstein. Perhaps the most depressing thing he told me confirms apprehensions I wrote about in&nbsp;<i><a href="http://www.bernardavishai.info/Palestine.pdf" style="text-decoration: underline; ">Harper's</a></i><a href="http://www.bernardavishai.info/Palestine.pdf" style="text-decoration: underline; ">&nbsp;</a>last month, that while the Palestinian prime minister Salam Fayyad is trying to build out the foundations of a Palestinian state--say, through&nbsp;<a href="http://palif.com/etemplate.php?id=362&amp;x=4" style="text-decoration: underline; ">massive construction projects</a>&nbsp;in and around Ramallah--he is being thwarted in all kinds of ways by the occupation authorities and the IDF. Almost no developments in Area A (the cores of Palestinian cities), for example, can fail to encroach on Areas B and C where the IDF controls the roads and airspace--more than 60% of the West Bank. "He is trying to break ground on the&nbsp;<a href="http://www.ameinfo.com/173313.html" style="text-decoration: underline; ">Al-Ersal&nbsp;</a>project and he is suddenly up against a road the settlers use only for themselves in Area C. This is so called 'state land,' the Israeli government has taken from Jordan and calls its own."</div><div><br /></div><div>But here, precisely, is an opportunity for the American government, is it not? Suppose the Obama administration were to commit, say, $50 million to this project and use its public influence to seek its construction. If the Israeli government gets in the way, then it is obstructing a joint Palestinian-American project. If the question comes up whether parts of Area B or C around the project are ultimately going to be part of the Palestinian state, then the American administration can signal--that is, in advance of any negotiation--that it is siding with the Palestine authority over the interests of the settlers.</div><div><br /></div><div>The point is, we have to move away from statements of principle to manifest demonstrations of intention. America has to become Palestine's partner not only in training police, but in expanding the foundations of commerce and statehood. Just as important, the Obama administration needs to prove that, unlike its predecessor, it will not become an inadvertent tool of the settlers.</div><div><br /></div><div>And if while it's focussed on its domestic priorities the administration can't avoid a fight with AIPAC's favorite politicians, let it be over something the vast majority of Israelis, let alone Americans, would support. I mean the peaceful development of Palestinian civil society in parts of the West Bank where cities are growing and, border or no border, settlers have crossed all bounds.</div>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Connected Cars: The &apos;Killer App&apos; For The Smart Grid--And The New Driver of Growth</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/04/connected_cars_the_killer_app_for_the_smart_grid--/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.300009</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-04T10:04:07Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-04T10:17:36Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Job figures are lagging indicators but nobody feels reassured right now. It is hard to imagine Americans returning to something like the full employment of the 1980s and 1990s without new industries like telecom and computers engendering a vast new...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Job figures are lagging indicators but nobody feels reassured right now. It is hard to imagine Americans returning to something like the full employment of the 1980s and 1990s without new industries like telecom and computers engendering a vast new ecosystem of entrepreneurial businesses; companies in which American technological talent can distinguish itself; companies that either require local workers for infrastructure projects, or, design and manufacture products and components whose labor content is too small for managers to consider outsourcing to the Far East.</p><p>The good news is that the electric car is around the corner. The bad news--which is the best news of all for the economy, ironically--is that the electric grid cannot begin to cope with the electric car's demands and possibilities. Layering in all the network technology that will smarten the grid, and preparing electric cars to communicate with it (and each other), will transform our economic and physical landscape. These changes will require a new role for government--something the Obama administration seems to understand. I explore the new ecosystem and its implication in <a href="http://www.inc.com/magazine/20091101/the-connected-car.html">the current <i>Inc. Magazine</i></a>:</p><p></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<div><br /><img src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/SvFPSlRwLPI/AAAAAAAAA_Q/BLNl7q0CRy0/s400/feature-75-volt-pan_800.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5400184608856747250" style="display: block; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: auto; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: auto; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 400px; height: 188px; " /><div><font class="Apple-style-span" color="#000000" face="monospace"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></font></div></div><div><i>At ground level, electric cars like GM's Chevrolet Volt -- due to be launched in November 2010 -- are pretty much everything the U.S. economy is banking on. The cars promise innovative engineering and a resurgence of the American auto industry. They mean an America that is manufacturing things rather than just bundling financial instruments. Cosmically, electric cars mean green technologies that will migrate to China, India, and Brazil, where they will allow for Western styles of personal freedom yet not threaten to overheat the earth.</i></div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><i>And you don't have to be George Clooney to want one. Electric cars may be vaguely cool, but GM executives are counting on drivers with nothing more than a householder's logic, something like the good sense to refinance a mortgage when the 30-year-fixed drops more than 2 percent. Jon Lauckner, GM's vice president of global product planning, tells me that his team set out to trump gas-powered cars as a matter of straightforward economics, especially as economic recovery pushes the price of gas back over $3 a gallon. "At that level," Lauckner says, "the cost of running a Volt in full electric mode will be about one-sixth that of a gas-driven car of the same size, 2 or 3 cents a mile rather than 12 to 15 cents a mile. We figured that, for most people, this means a savings of about $1,500 a year." Sticker prices will be high; the suggested price of the Volt will be about $40,000. But federal tax rebates are anticipated to be as much as $7,500, not to mention various state incentives. So the actual price will probably be closer to $30,000 -- not a bad deal, given that borrowing costs will be low for some time.</i></div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><i>When he speaks of "full electric mode," Lauckner is acknowledging another barrier he expects the Volt to take down, namely range anxiety, the fear of getting stuck with rundown batteries while driving in a snowstorm, bumper to bumper, on a 150-mile trip to the in-laws'. The Volt will come equipped with a small gas engine, unlike its forthcoming competitors: the smaller Nissan Leaf, BMW's plug-in Mini Cooper E, and Ford's electric Focus. This engine will not drive the wheels, as with the hybrids now on the market (actually, GM likes to call the Volt an "extended range electric car," not a hybrid), but will act as a dynamo to supply the electricity for the car after 40 miles of running on stored power.&nbsp;</i></div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><i>The Volt's designers assumed, per Department of Transportation data, that nearly 80 percent of Americans drive 20 miles or less to work. This is why GM was able to make the technically true but sly announcement that the Volt earned a 230-mpg rating for city driving from the EPA. "Most drivers will hardly ever use this engine," says Tony Posawatz, the Volt's line director. "We may have to educate people to change their oil because it hasn't been used for a year! Anyway, when the range-extending engine kicks in, drivers can go up to 300 miles, like a conventional car. In a pinch, they can make use of the existing gas-station infrastructure."</i></div><div><i><br /></i></div><div><i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-style: normal; "><i>And so, assuming these cars prove safe and reliable, American consumers will almost certainly consume them. U.S. auto companies will make them, and that's good for the planet, right? Yes, but.</i>&nbsp;</span></i></div><div><p>Continue with the article<a href="http://www.inc.com/magazine/20091101/the-connected-car.html"> here</a>.</p></div>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Palestine Economy: Update</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/03/palestine_economy_update/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.299741</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-03T14:17:11Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-03T14:20:11Z</updated>
   
   <summary>I spent the day in Ramallah yesterday, attending a meeting of information technology and telecom entrepreneurs, and catching up with some of the folks I reported on in last month&apos;s Harper&apos;s: Palestinian business leaders who are, slowly but surely, laying...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>I spent the day in Ramallah yesterday, attending a meeting of information technology and telecom entrepreneurs, and catching up with some of the folks I reported on in <a href="http://www.bernardavishai.info/Palestine.pdf">last month's </a><i><a href="http://www.bernardavishai.info/Palestine.pdf">Harper's</a></i>: Palestinian business leaders who are, slowly but surely, laying the ground for Palestinian civil society; people fighting the limitations of occupation at every turn just to keep their businesses afloat, while the Netanyahu government boasts about "economic peace." </p><div>I reported, for example, on the stalled efforts to launch Wataniya, the <a href="http://palif.com/english.php">Palestine Investment Fund</a>-backed cell phone provider, which had been promised 4.8 megahertz of spectrum by the Israeli government. (Wataniya was conceived by the PIF to compete with Jawal, in effect, the monopoly provider that had been started by the dominant PALTEL, and which now has a million and a half subscribers.) It is important to understand that Wataniya would be stiffening the spine of the Palestinian economy as a whole by inducing competition, and bringing down prices, for services every emerging business desperately needs.</div><div><br />
</div><div>Wataniya--so its Chairman, the PIF's head, Mohamed Mustafa, told me--was organized to offer Palestine's first 3G network. When I wrote my piece, Israel had released only 3.8 megahertz but kept the rest without explanation, suggesting Jawal share what <i>it</i> had. Mustafa was threatening to bury the entire deal, rather than launch Wataniya with one arm tied behind its back. Anyway, Wataniya finally launched a couple of days ago, a "soft-launch" Mustafa told me, not without good cheer, practicing his elevator speech. The company would not be able to offer all the services it had prepared for; it would focus instead "on customer service" while offering 2.5G services like text and messaging.</div><p></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<div>It is hard to imagine a management more persistent or forward-looking. The conference was buzzing with hopes engendered by the PIF's various investments, not only in telecom, but in commercial office parks and micro-lending. Yet PIF investments are hamstrung by, among other things, its being shut out of Jerusalem. One feature of competition in Palestine's telecom industry is customer poaching by Israeli providers. (Palestinian companies have exclusive rights in Area A, the centers of Palestinian towns and cities where the Israel Defense forces tend to stay out; but in Areas B and C, where the army and settlers operate freely, and in East Jerusalem--altogether, in two-thirds of the Palestinian territories--Israeli cell phone companies operate illegally but with impunity.) In East Jerusalem, Palestinian providers have no access whatsoever.</div><div><br /></div><div>WHICH BRINGS ME to increasingly ominous economic trends in East Jerusalem, the once and historic hub of all West Bank cities, including Ramallah. The former economics minister of the Palestinian Authority, Bassim Khoury, recently sent me his summary of depressing data ferreted out of Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics. The conclusions suggest why Ramallah's business class may well lose the race to preempt a Bosnia-type violence that may engulf them and Jerusalem both:</div><div><br /></div><div>Per capita income of Arabs in Jerusalem is less than half of Jews, who are on average the poorest in Israel. Unemployment among Arabs is 25%, 10% higher than in the West Bank as a whole. Infant mortality is almost double that of Jews, though the birthrate is about the same. About 85% of the municipal education budget goes to Jews, 15% to Arabs, though Arabs are about 30% of the grade school population. 50% of Arabs live under the poverty line, while 25% of Jews do so. This means both Arabs and Jews have about 125,000 people officially defined as "impoverished," but the Jews get 88% of the welfare budget. The city of Jerusalem spends about five times more on Jews than on Arabs per capita for municipal services of all kinds (sewage, garbage collection, etc.). Jews get 98% of the "cultural" budget.</div><div><br /></div><div>Remember, East Jerusalem is now separated from the other West Bank cities by a wall. The idea was to fence out deadly violence. But the trajectory of social relations in the city suggest violence is only being fenced in. (This was&nbsp;<a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2096190/" style="text-decoration: underline; ">predictable</a>.) Last week's disturbances at Al-Aqsa suggest how it will start, which is pretty much the way violence has started in Jerusalem since 1920. Considering the Jewish people's past, it would be rude to call East Jerusalem a kind of ghetto. So let's just call it a walled-in, patrolled, increasingly impoverished enclave for people with diminishing political rights and unlimited encouragement to leave.</div><div><br /></div><div>Yasir Barakat, among the most established merchants in the Old City, tells me he knows "nobody whose educated children are not planning to leave Jerusalem if they can." Yasir is one of my oldest friends in Jerusalem. He is not sleeping well. His daughter is now in Dubai, a son is studying in England, and another son, with a degree in network security from England, is working (for now) in Ramallah. "Let's be honest. There is no give-and-take anymore. The Jews think this all belongs to them and that's that."</div>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>The Law Of Return: &apos;Oh Learned Judge!&quot;</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/10/30/the_law_of_return_oh_learned_judge/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.299122</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-30T15:13:47Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-30T15:17:20Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Undaunted in his campaign to ferret out &quot;anti-Zionists,&quot; yet apparently wondering if his own powers may be faltering, Jeffrey Goldberg has called in his Balthazar, &quot;the erudite Yaacov Lozowick,&quot; to deal with a hard case: &quot;My impression of The Hebrew...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Undaunted in his campaign to ferret out "anti-Zionists," yet apparently wondering if his own powers may be faltering, Jeffrey Goldberg <a href="http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/10/is_avishai_a_zionist.php">has called in his Balthazar</a>, "the erudite Yaacov Lozowick," to deal with a hard case:</p>  <p class="MsoNormal"><i>"My impression of </i>The Hebrew Republic<i> thesis is that [Avishai is] talking about </i>medinat kol exrachai'ah<i>, the country of its citizens. This idea was formulated and mostly promoted by folks who were not only non-Zionist, they were anti-Zionist; it was a ploy to weaken the Jewish aspect of Israel until eventually the Jewish state would be submerged into its Arab environment. Yet Avishai isn't Azmi Bishara. I get the impression he's a caring Jew who is attracted to the </i>medinat kol exrachai'ah<i> idea because it fits so nicely into his broader Weltanschauung, the one that praises the European Union as the way of the future, the goal of human history and so on. On that level, he's non-Zionist because he's joining forces with a particular group of enemies of Zionism, even though he and they are using the same concepts for very different goals."</i></p>  <p class="MsoNormal">There is more to his letter. You cannot really understand the surreal quality of intellectual life in Israel today--the rhetoric you hear from talk shows to academic conferences--unless you <a href="http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/10/is_avishai_a_zionist.php">take a moment to digest it whole</a>. Yet beyond the glib "impressions" of books unread, the illogic ("non" = "anti"), the cozy appeal to dogma ("the Zionist way"), the guilt by association, the condescending tone, the last-minute finessing of obvious contradictions (viz., "the Zionist way" that takes Israeli Arabs as a "constituency and responsibility"), even the yanking-in of hackneyed German to sound, well, "erudite"--beyond all of this transparent demagogy--is a common claim that requires a moment's thought.</p><p></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal">It is that people who argue Israel should be a state of its citizens cannot believe Israel should be a "Jewish state." Presumably, "state of its citizens," <i>medinat kol exrachai'ah</i> (actually, this should be <i>ezrakheha</i>), is an idea that originated with "enemies of Zionism" such as Azmi Bishara.</p>  <p class="MsoNormal">And here I thought the principle that a democratic state's legitimacy derives from the just consent of the governed was older than that. I also thought it was the counterpart to an argument about human nature and human limitations, you know, a moral argument reasonable people since Kant have had some trouble refuting. Wow, it is actually only a Weltanschauung our kids and other "poor, deluded dears" pick up along with a Eurail pass.</p>  <p class="MsoNormal">Had Lozowick actually read <i>The Hebrew Republic,</i> rather than merely forming an impression of its thesis, he would know that its point was to clarify just how a democratic state could retain a Jewish national character; how to protect its cultural distinction without violating ordinary standards of human rights. I am no Emile Zola, God knows. But imagine someone saying that Zola's case for equal treatment for Jews in the Republic was discredited by the fact that Jews had demanded it before him; that the case "originated" with enemies of the French nation. (Come to think of it, it is not so hard to imagine such people, is it?) </p><p class="MsoNormal">By the way, I interviewed Azmi Bishara at length in the book, and though I took issue with him on many points, Bishara shared with me his abiding respect for the work of Achad Haam, Zionism's most influential early writer, who was trying to explain how the "Hebrew national atmosphere" created by Zionism was the only way, really, to create a state of its citizens that was also a Jewish state. The replacement of the Law of Return with an immigration law that gives preference to refugees from anti-Semitism, but conditions citizenship on naturalization to Israeli identity, not J-positive blood, is just one reform that is overdue.</p>  <p class="MsoNormal">A FINAL WORD to Goldberg. Look, Jeffrey, people we know in common tell me you are "good company," and given your delight in identifying yourself as a teenage acolyte of Shomer Hatzair, I suspect that, had we met under different circumstances, and though you are closer to my son's age than mine, we would probably have become what writers call "friends." Hell, we might have traded nostalgic, knowing<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">  </span>glosses on why Borochov's slavish borrowing from Plekhanov actually caused him to misunderstand how Jewish workers in the Pale would suffer from the rise in the "organic composition" of capital--or was it just that the Shomer Hatazir <i>shaliach </i>in your hometown served better pizza than USY?</p>  <p class="MsoNormal">In any case, I am humbly asking that you stop. The claims you continue to make about me--that is, "anti-Zionists" like me--are too silly to be worth anyone's time, but the reach of the <i>Atlantic</i> website is too important to ignore. If I do not respond, it may seem that your take-away is true, or plausible, or at least worth repeating. </p><p class="MsoNormal">Nor is this 1909, when calling someone anti-Zionist meant you were merely a part of a fascinating debate on how Jews survive "modernity." It is 2009, and calling someone anti-Zionist tends to type him as opposed to the very existence of Israel or a Jewish national home of any kind. Given the constellation that runs from Hamas to the Oxford Debating Union, the epithet can do a person harm. </p><p class="MsoNormal">And I write from the gate at JFK, returning (legally, but warily) to Jerusalem, embattled enough by the fear that Sidra's and my home will soon be swept up in a kind of Balkan tragedy, with bloody-minded fanatics on both sides demanding allegiance, and "experts" like Lozowick only too eager to choose sides. My deeds upon my head! I crave the law, if not <i>that</i> law. I have enough on my mind.</p>]]>
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<entry>
   <title>Goldberg: The Last Word (At Least From Me)</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/10/22/goldberg_the_last_word_at_least_from_me/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.297718</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-22T22:49:05Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-22T23:02:37Z</updated>
   
   <summary>A couple of days ago, Jeffrey Goldberg explained why he was disinclined to associate with J Street, in spite of his sympathy for a two-state solution: So I&apos;m comfortable in many ways with J Street&apos;s basic worldview. On the other...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>A couple of days ago, <a href="http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/10/banishing_the_heretics.php">Jeffrey Goldberg explained</a> why he was disinclined to associate with J Street, in spite of his sympathy for a two-state solution:</p>

<p><span style="font-style:italic;">So I'm comfortable in many ways with J Street's basic worldview. On the other hand, I don't think the group has put forward a well-articulated vision of what a progressive Jewish democratic Israel should look like. This might be because, in addition to having progressive Zionists as members, it also has anti-Zionists (these are the types who are happy with Stephen Walt's tragic endorsement of the group) and it's obviously very hard to put forward a positive vision of a Jewish Israel when some of your important supporters -- Bernard Avishai comes to mind -- don't even believe in the idea of a Jewish state.</span></p>

<p><a href="http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/10/anti-zionists_and_the_j_street.php">Now Goldberg denies</a> that "anti-Zionists" like myself are actually keeping him away from J Street's conference. We would know this, presumably, if we had read <a href="http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/10/so_auschwitz_isnt_guantanamo_b.php">a different one-line blog post</a>, in which he says, with obvious sarcasm, "I'm sorry I'm going to miss this conference" (which, in context, if you follow his link, reads like "I'm sorry I'm going to miss this circus"). Then, <i>en passant</i>, Goldberg explains his evidence for "anti-Zionism."</p><p></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<div><span style="font-style: italic; ">On the more important question of Zionism and anti-Zionism, all I think I need to say is this: Avishai, the author of a book called "The Tragedy of Zionism," believes that Israel's Law of Return should be repealed. This is the law that grants Jews anywhere in the world to claim citizenship in the newly-reconstituted Jewish state, which was meant to be a refuge for persecuted Jews. The law is the raison d'etre of Zionism, and of Israel's existence. I don't think I was being "vicious" in pointing out that Avishai's conception of what Israel should be is very different from the mainstream Zionist position. By the way, J Street's position, as officially enunciated by its head flack to me, is that the group's core mission is to preserve Israel as a "Jewish democracy." Though maybe I should ask J Street if it believes the Law of Return as currently written and implemented is undemocratic.</span><br /></div><div><br /></div><div>This is unworthy of Goldberg's talents. It would also be unworthy of our time if Goldberg were not a well-regarded journalist, burying those talents under cozy prejudices that are shared widely among decent American Jews; people who do not have the time Goldberg has to get things right or think things through; people who look to Goldberg to give them direction.</div><div><br /></div><div>1. Yes, I wrote a book called the&nbsp;<i>Tragedy of Zionism</i>&nbsp;in 1985. William Appleman Williams wrote a book called the&nbsp;<i>Tragedy of American Diplomacy</i>. This did not mean he was opposed to American diplomacy. Tragedy does not mean catastrophe except, perhaps, to tyro reporters covering car accidents on the local news ("This is Shannon Williams reporting from the scene of the tragedy.") Tragedy means we cannot fully undertand the implications of our actions.</div><div><br /></div><div><i>The Trag</i><i>edy of Zionism&nbsp;</i>argued that the Zionist revolution put up a kind of scaffolding in the Palestinian Yishuv, institutions that made great sense in their day, but which were never taken down when the state was organized. In effect, Israel has continued for the past 60 years as two Jewish states: a democratic, Hebrew-speaking civil society (the real triumph of historic Zionism), and, encased by this "Hebrew republic," an heroic settler-state that, covering itself in neo-Zionist rhetoric,&nbsp;<a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/2009/06/state-of-jewish-people-yes-and-no.html" style="text-decoration: underline; ">gives material privileges to certified Jews</a>, and requires an official rabbinate to certify them.</div><div><br /></div><div>I argued that this embedded settler state threatens the coherence of Israeli democracy and, thus, the survival of Israel, given the understandable alienation felt by Israel's one-fifth Arab minority. Tragedy, you see, does not come from doing the wrong thing but the right thing too long. I won't say more about this here;&nbsp;<a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/search?q=Q+%26+A" style="text-decoration: underline; ">readers of my blog posts</a>&nbsp;surely know the arguments by now.</div><div><br /></div><div>2. Since Goldberg brought this up, let's look at the Law of Return in this context, a perfect example of an institution fit for its day which is now both unnecessary and inflammatory.</div><div><br /></div><div>Let me be clear: it makes sense for Israel to have an immigration law that gives (what Canada calls) "landed immigrant" status to anyone who can show that he is a refugee from anti-Semitism; or even give preference to someone who can explain to an immigration officer why he reasonably counts himself a member of the historic Jewish people. All western democracies have had messy criteria like this (i.e., claims about persecution, quotas based on ethnicity). The point is, they also then have a process of&nbsp;<i>naturalization</i>, so that citizenship is granted only after immigrants learn the language and culture and civil laws of the country.</div><div><br /></div><div>The Law of Return, which grants&nbsp;<i>immediate citizenship</i>&nbsp;to anyone who can prove to a rabbi that he is Jewish according to Halacha, or has a one Jewish grandparent (i.e., anyone Hitler would have called "Jewish"), precludes the idea that citizenship requires naturalization: that Israeli identity is something that can be learned, acquired. It makes a nonsense of the idea that Arabs or any other minority can be Israeli. Leave Brookline, get on a plane, poof, citizen.</div><div><br /></div><div>This law, in other words, makes the idea of an inclusive Israeli nationality (a patently Jewish nationality, that might assimilate others) impossible. Goldberg says he cannot see "a well-articulated vision of what a progressive Jewish democratic Israel should look like." He might if he opened is eyes to precisely what I'm talking about; to standards that are second nature to people all over the Western world. Why not simply bring Israel up to code? The notion that the Law of Return is "the raison d'etre of Zionism, and of Israel's existence" is so much bond-dinner blather. The law made sense for a revolutionary time of ingathering. It makes no sense for a multi-cultural, global Hebrew (that is, Jewish national) democracy.</div><div><br /></div><div>3. Which brings me to Goldberg's last dig: that my views are "very different from the mainstream Zionist position." Since I have chosen to live mostly in Jerusalem, I am not sure what mainstream position I have to belong to, well, belong. I consider myself a cultural Zionist in the tradition of Achad Haam, Weizmann, and Ben-Gurion; I think everything was worth it just to get Yehuda Amichai's poetry. Anyway, some rightist jurists, like Ruth Gavison, have problems much like I do with the Law of Return, as Ben-Gurion had problems with the persistence of all Zionist institutions after the movement so obviously succeeded in achieving its goals.</div><div><br /></div><div>Yet the sheer superficiality of Goldberg's dig does not render it harmless. Israel's future is not unchallenged and its citizens are not without real enemies. To call someone anti-Zionist in this context is a way of announcing they are traitors to living, struggling fellow citizens, in my case, students and friends I love. It like calling someone unpatriotic or anti-American.</div><div><br /></div><div>Back when I published&nbsp;<i>The Tragedy of Zionism</i>, the guardian of the mainstream<i>&nbsp;du jour</i>,&nbsp;<i>The New Republic</i>, reviewed the book and put on its cover, "Jew Against Zion"--in consequence of which I was subject to a blackballing in Jewish organizations (and most mainstream media) of the kind alleged "Reds" had been subject to a generation before. It was shameful for the magazine's editors to have engaged in this kind of thing then. It is shameful for Goldberg to engage in it now.</div>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Jeffrey Goldberg&apos;s Absurdly Cheap Shot</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/10/20/jeffrey_goldbergs_absurdly_cheap_shot/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.297083</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-20T17:47:18Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-20T17:47:41Z</updated>
   
   <summary>I am just about to board a plane for the US, so I am unable to answer this remarkably ill-informed (and, under the circumstances, vicious) shot from Jefferey Goldberg: the idea that he cannot go to the J Street conference...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>I am just about to board a plane for the US, so I am unable to answer this remarkably ill-informed (and, under the circumstances, vicious) shot from Jefferey Goldberg: the idea that he cannot go to the J Street conference because "some of [its] most important supporters -- Bernard Avishai comes to mind -- don't even believe in the idea of a Jewish state." I would simply ask readers to consider <a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/2009/08/israel-coming-into-its-own.html">this post</a>, or <a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/2009/06/state-of-jewish-people-yes-and-no.html">this</a>, or <a href="http://www.bookslut.com/features/2008_10_013526.php">this interview</a>.  Or just watch <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmvgYZ1p13k">this lecture on You Tube</a>. Goldberg has, alas, started to speak about "the idea of a Jewish state" a little like the way FOX News celebs talk about "America." Complexity is for sissies. Very sad. When he was at the <i>New Yorker</i>, his work on the settlers was the best there was.</p>]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>J Street And World Order</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/10/19/j_street_and_world_order/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.296696</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-19T09:24:32Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-19T13:12:34Z</updated>
   
   <summary>J Street calls itself &quot;pro-Israel, pro-peace&quot;; the &quot;therefore&quot; is implied. And the priority given to &quot;pro-Israel&quot; in the branding suggests, what most commentators reasonably assume, that J Street aims to give a home to American Jews who, comfortable with identity...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>J Street calls itself "pro-Israel, pro-peace"; the "therefore" is implied. And the priority given to "pro-Israel" in the branding suggests, what <a href="http://www.thenation.com/doc/20091102/horowitz_weiss">most commentators reasonably assume</a>, that J Street aims to give a home to American Jews who, comfortable with identity politics, suppose their anxiety about Israel constitutes a kind of secular Jewish identity; but Jews who also think that successive Israeli governments have hurt Israelis (and, by association, Jews everywhere) with settlements and a repressive occupation--you know, Jews who poll as "progressives" and have felt that Jewish leaders in Washington do not speak for them. (I have assumed <a href="http://www.harpers.org/archive/2008/10/0082187">something like this case</a> myself.)</p>

<p>Though he downplays this gracefully in various public appearances, J Street's extraordinary Jeremy Ben-Ami obviously means "pro-Israel, pro-peace" to compare favorably with the stance of AIPAC supporters: increasingly rightist American Jews who will favor attacks on Iran if necessary, continued occupation if necessary, and who look to the Israeli government to say what's necessary. These AIPAC Jews, Ben-Ami reminds us, are only a quarter of American Jews; but they've captured the high ground on Capitol Hill for a generation.</p>

<p>Yet putting things this way--"pro-Israel, (therefore) pro-peace"--may be underestimating both AIPAC's achievement and J Street's opportunity. </p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>For AIPAC actually became influential in Washington because it defined itself at a critical time not as "pro-Israel, pro-(well,) toughness" but as "pro-freedom, (therefore) pro-Israel." AIPAC's claim may have been wrong but the sequence in the rhetoric mattered.</p>

<p>And, increasingly, it will matter for J Street as well. If the upcoming J Street conference succeeds--as it almost certainly will--it will launch J Street into an orbit that does not simply revolve around how various Jewish demographics fight out their differences over Jewish "interests." It will put J Street squarely in a debate about America in the world.</p>

<p>IT MAY BE hard to remember this now, but the post-war American State Department, from George Marshall to George Kennan, was institutionally opposed to Truman's decision to recognize Israel or support it thereafter. State remained wrapped-up in the need to secure America's oil interests in the Gulf, and through the Kennedy administration was mainly concerned about preventing Israel from developing nuclear weaopons. (I go into this at length in <a href="http://www.thenation.com/doc/20090706/avishai">this recent Nation article</a>.)</p>

<p>For its part, AIPAC was founded in 1953 to advance support for the infant Israel in the Congress; and AIPAC remained puny through most of the 50s and 60s. Yes, Israel's prestige rose immeasurably after it beat back threats from its neighbors in 1967, defeating Soviet clients. But then, Israel's assumed military superiority, buttressed by American jets, made lobbying in its behalf seem more or less superfluous. Lyndon Johnson was (like Truman) influenced by Jewish liberal friends like Abe Fortas. When Nixon came into office Israeli diplomats like Ambassador Yitzchak Rabin were all that was needed; Henry Kissinger was so sure that Israel would make short-shrift of any Arab attack that he asked the IAF to intervene in Jordan's behalf during Black September 1970, and even rebuffed Soviet efforts to start a peace process in the summer of 1973.</p>

<p>AIPAC became prominent only during the aftermath of the 1973 War; a bloody war that shocked American Jews of all kinds into action; a war in which Kissinger had to mount a huge airlift and a nuclear alert to save Israel from a stalemate, arguing (plausibly, after the Jordan intervention in 1970) that Israel was, after all, America's key strategic asset in a fight against Soviet Empire. AIPAC embraced this formulation and extended it, supported by budding neoconservative circles, and influential senators like "Scoop" Jackson. Eventually, AIPAC even used it against Kissinger when he tried to pursue detente or pressure Israel to surrender territory in the Sinai in 1975.</p>

<p>In other words, the key to AIPAC's emergence was a Manichean view from America; the fight against the Evil Empire, or since 9/11, the clash of civilizations. In this drama, Israel became cast as America's biggest regional aircraft carrier. AIPAC has succeeded by staying close to American hardliners, arguing against pressuring Israel (to give up territory, to stop settlements, etc.) for the same reason a basketball coach will not foolishly demoralize his slightly brazen power-forward. At the center of the argument was a way of thinking about American hegemony in a dangerous world.</p>

<p>YOU CAN SAY that AIPAC was misguided, that it's even become a pernicious force, but you can't deny that it got its strategic premises ordered properly. One cannot just assume that the Congress will care what Jews want. One has to start with America's foreign policy strategy and then apply its logic to the Middle East. Crucially, this means building coalitions with non-Jews as well, as any watcher of FOX News can see.</p>

<p>Indeed, what J Street really represents--what progressives <span style="font-style:italic;">argue</span> for--is not just support for Israel as such, but for a globalist strategy in which Middle East peace is a key pillar; a strategy of collective security agreements, regional alliances, and international peace-keeping; of patient engagement over the unilateral use of force; of recognition that offering access to economic development and cultural freedom over time is hard power (I hate the term "soft power"); indeed, of the power to attract, not only the power to deter. It means diplomatic containment, not foreign invasion and counter-insurgency. It means what, say, Chuck Hagel calls "realism."</p>

<p>It is within this logic that America's urgent search for regional Middle East peace is "pro-Israel"--but also pro-Palestinian, pro-Jordanian. Which means that J Street will become a focus for a coalition supporting goals that would make President Obama's worthy of his Nobel: deescalation in Afganistan, containment of (not an attack on) Iran, building cooperation with the EU.</p>

<p>This larger coalition is only beginning to get mobilized. General Jones's agreement to come to the conference suggests the administration will be counting on it. Once a healthcare bill is enacted, and the fear of dissipating the solidarity of its Congressional supporters passes (does Obama really want to pick a fight with Joe Lieberman now?), expect the will of this administration--and this coalition--to be felt powerfully in Jerusalem and Ramallah.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>The Outlines Of The Mentor State</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/10/03/the_outlines_of_the_mentor_state/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.293845</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-03T18:28:58Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-03T18:31:23Z</updated>
   
   <summary>In my last post, I told the story of taking my old BMW to Dave Marshall&apos;s garage in New London, New Hampshire; of the novel opportunities for entrepreneurial growth the new technologies have bestowed on him. I suggested the ways...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>In <a href="http://bernardavishai.blogspot.com/2009/09/cyclical-unemployment-or-chronic.html">my last post</a>, I told the story of taking my old BMW to Dave Marshall's garage in New London, New Hampshire; of the novel opportunities for entrepreneurial growth the new technologies have bestowed on him. I suggested the ways he was keeping up his end of a new social compact, and I ended the post by suggesting also that there was another side to this compact, a novel role for government--which I've nicknamed "the mentor state"--whose responsibilities to the commercial ecosystem we are just beginning to understand.</p>

<p>Given the often <a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/29/unemployment_or_unemployability_a_story/#comments">heated reaction to this post</a>, let me hasten to reassure readers, what I took to be self-evident, that the first responsibility of any democratic government (including the one we ought now to envision) is the cultivation of citizens; obvious things like the comparatively excellent public schools in New London, or the New London hospital, which enjoys a measure of municipal support, or land conservancies that make New London beautiful. Kant once said that all things, including people, can be seen as both ends and means; that as ends we have a dignity, as means we have a price. The first role of government is to attend to our dignity.</p>

<p>But unless we commit to socialism in the full sense, which has its own obvious pitfalls, we resign ourselves to the ways of market economies. Governments, Smith said (and who disputes this?), also have to "facilitate commerce in general." They enforce contracts, protect property, inhibit monopolies, and build roads and bridges. How has the new economy changed, extended, the scope of government action? What will the mentor state do differently?</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Actually, Dave's story suggests one of the most important new responsibilities--well, not exactly new, but novel in its importance--which Dave saw clearly, but makers of public policy usually see more dimly. In this particular case--Dave's repair of my car's computerized heater/air-conditioner--the federal government had acted some years before, largely behind the scenes, to determine critical standards upon which all mechanics like Dave now depend--standards it set deliberately, without waiting for market conditions to evolve them haphazardly.  These standards opened the playing field for entrepreneurs like Dave, while the big car companies would have preferred no standards whatever:</p>

<p>EVERY COMPUTER IN every car is governed by specialized software.  Cars are becoming bundled computers on wheels.  Back in 1995, the EPA mandated that the "port"--the interface connecter--to the engine's main computer be of a standard size, so that every mechanic's "scanner"--a critical piece of diagnostic equipment--could be manufactured and programmed to handle all cars. (Think of how every personal computer's USB port is a standard size.) For the EPA, the chief consideration was empowering local garages to check cars for a yearly road-worthiness sticker, including compliance with state emission standards.  But there were more important collateral benefits, which not all parties fully understood at the time.</p>

<p>To put things simply, were the hardware fittings for each car as proprietary as the diagnostic software, Dave could never have afforded the wide spectrum of appliances that he would have needed to serve all makes.  The cost of hardware would have become (what business schools call) a "barrier to entry."  Imagine having to buy one computer for word processing, another for spread-sheets, another for browsing the web, etc.</p>

<p>But since, by law, the hardware fitting conformed to a mandated standard, Dave only had to purchase the BMW diagnostic software--not cheap, but cheap enough to allow him to compete with BMW dealers.  (On the whole, software is always much cheaper than hardware, because--again, in business school jargon--the "marginal cost" of adding another customer is essentially nothing: make software for one customer and you've pretty much made it for a million.)</p>

<p>So Dave was able to buy a standard scanner and then supplement his purchase with a portfolio of custom software for most lines of cars.  Mandated standardization unleashed a new competition to provide local excellence.</p>

<p>Government standards meant that the complex repair market, which would otherwise be stacked in favor of big dealers even after warrantees expired, could now include smart, independent technicians like Dave as well.  The EPA did not presume to "regulate" competition in the diagnostic or repair industries.  No bureaucracy presumed to control the provision of services.  What the EPA did, rather, was precipitate a self-organizing system of repair-shop competitors, who themselves used the platform to overcome any barriers to entry and find their own ways to pursue distinct business offerings--services in which the EPA had an interest, and services like Dave's, which the EPA had no interest in at all.</p>

<p>Indeed, the small-shop repair industry organized itself so well that, almost from the start, a partnership developed between two non-profit trade associations, which might have been at each other's throats: one representing repair shops like Dave's, and the other, manufacturers and their dealers.  By 2003, the Automotive Service Association (ASA) had reached an agreement with the Association of International Automobile Manufacturers (AIAM) on a series of standards to keep "after-warranty" repair open to smaller shops, where 70% of repairs are now done.</p>

<p>The quid pro quo for the manufacturers was an agreement that repair shops would not infringe on manufacturers' intellectual property--the source code for automotive software, which the repair shops did not need to compete. This may seem a humdrum development, but it is hardly that: by comparison, cell phone makers agreed only this past January, and under pressure from the European Union, to a standard for charging handsets through the USB cable.</p>

<p>IN A SINGLE stroke, in other words, the government catalyzed a "cross-sectoral" partnership, a new kind of cooperation between the public and private sectors.  Enforced standardization led to more voluntary standardization, which led to market efficiencies and personal opportunities.  The government had inadvertently created not only new terms of competition for entrepreneurs, but demonstrated a new means of delivering a public good.</p>

<p>The relevance of this model to the delivery of healthcare should be self-evident. To deliver a "public option" the first priority is to subsidize people who cannot buy into any plan, private or non-profit. But the next should be standards for claims processing, disease monitoring, and digitizing medical records. If this is done, we will not need huge insurers, or a Medicare-sized bureaucracy, to gain efficiencies and create buying consortia for drugs and medical devices. If this is done, the non-profit cooperative idea might well work better than any other, for it will encourage the development of non-profit HMOs, specialized hospitals and clinics, and reduce the perverse incentives built into fee-for-service.</p>

<p>THE RESPONSIBILITIES OF the mentor state are too complex to do justice to here. But some things can be said. First, the mentor state must enhance the "network effect" of linked businesses, nationally and internationally, much the way corporate leaders now manage businesses through the development of their knowledge management platforms. This means tending to the platform directly: building out the platform's hard infrastructure, making access universal, and mandating, where necessary, protocols for the platform's software spine infrastructure. It will encourage "open source" where possible; it will build continuing systems of classification for vanguard science, the new "roads and bridges" of the knowledge economy.</p>

<p>It will reform the overburdened patent system, and define new protections, distinct from patents and copyright, for inherently shared forms of intellectual property. It will use public sector institutions to advance novel methods of compensation for "snips" of information which cannot be protected as intellectual property, but are everyday assembled into intellectual property.</p>

<p>Biopharmaceutical companies, for example, have over $28 billion tied up in research, and National Institute of Health sponsored labs have over $30 billion.  Consider how universities, developers of bioinformatics platforms, etc., would benefit from (what they call) "common ontologies" for structured scientific findings--and especially in vanguard fields such as genomics and proteomics, where different researchers, coming from different frames of reference, are always calling essentially the same physical events by different names.  It would be natural for the publically funded NIH to take the lead here, especially in the most advanced areas, where language for findings is least standard.  Such systems of classification give a new meaning to roads and bridges.</p>

<p>Indeed, what about protection for "negative findings" that are by-products of ordinary work--information about things that don't work.  This kind of information is mostly trivial but not always.  It is anything but trivial in life sciences, where eliminating candidate drug molecules from a biopharmaceutical company's pipeline early on may save this company tens of millions of dollars. You cannot patent the fact that a particular molecule does not work, or is toxic, in mice at a certain dosage. But another company at the other side of the world would pay real money to find out about failed experiments elsewhere. The government will have to regulate how participation is promised and compensated and what information is withheld, much as the Security and Exchange Commission regulates audits.</p>

<p>Second, the mentor state will focus on the triangular challenge of cultivating human capital: education, healthcare and environmental decency, which corporations will not do. The mentor state will, however, pursue these goals in innovative ways exploiting the virtues of the platform itself. It will, as Michael Porter and others have written, set strict performance specifications, and prompt start-ups and chartered non-profits to compete on enacting technical specifications. It will thus catalyze cross-sectoral partnerships (like charter schools, teaching hospitals, eco-partnerships, etc.) to pursue the social good more efficiently than through direct government agency. It is peculiar that school choice (vouchers, etc.) are considered a rightist proposal, and single-payer health insurance is considered a leftist proposal, when both rely on this same reasonable logic.</p>

<p>Third, for people incapable of making the transition to knowledge work, the mentor state will invest in--and employ many thousands in creating--an environmentally sound educational and communications infrastructure for future generations. Our children will need many smaller and better schools, competing with each other to advance curricula. They will need many more small liberal arts colleges. They will need national service programs that teach them teamwork, diversity, and poise. They will need wireless networks, ecologically friendly trains, and more--even where private investors would earn only marginal returns. Our inner-city children will also need thousands of preschool centers, thousands of wellness clinics. The cost will be great, but not as great as the costs of not making timely investments in our citizens' minds and bodies.</p>

<p>THIS MENTOR STATE will rise in fits and starts, but rise it must, and this is very good news for citizens and entrepreneurs both.  It means that where life in the industrial factory once deformed people by requiring dumb, repetitive tasks, life in the solutions team elevates human skill, requiring deep literacy, curiosity, and a cosmopolitan heart. In the bounded logic of commercial markets, people are still means not ends: they have a price, not a dignity. But the fact that there is more to our lives than markets does not mean we should fail to consider how to make market society work as well as it can.</p>

<p>The good news is that--for the first time in the history of capitalism, really--life on the job will enhance the skills and means that engender democratic citizenship. Never before have human faculties been advanced by ordinary work. This is a relief, or would be, so long as we qualify people to work at all.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Unemployment Or Unemployability? A Story.</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/29/unemployment_or_unemployability_a_story/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.292942</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-29T12:30:03Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-29T13:02:06Z</updated>
   
   <summary>So the recession is over but unemployment is not falling, at least not yet. How on earth can a recovery be &quot;jobless&quot;? And how might this fit with the fact that, in the 1960s, about 60,000 new businesses a year...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Bernard Avishai</name>
      <uri>http://www.bernardavishai.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>So the recession is over but unemployment is not falling, at least not yet. How on earth can a recovery be "jobless"? And how might this fit with the fact that, in the 1960s, about 60,000 new businesses a year got started in the US, while over a million a year were getting started in the years before the collapse? Here's a little story; bear with me:</p>

<p>In the summer of 2003, I drove my aging BMW over to Dave Marshall's garage, a converted two-bay service station on Pleasant Lake near my summer home in Wilmot, New Hampshire, hoping to find out from Dave--the solid son of the former Chief of Police--where in Concord or Manchester the nearest BMW dealership was.  The "climate control" system was gone, a system governed (I correctly surmised) by a complex little computer module--not your change-your-oil-by-the-beach kind of problem.  Dave got behind the wheel, confirmed the symptoms, shrugged, and told me he could handle it.  I told him I doubted it.  He smiled, not quite condescendingly.  I followed him inside.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Sitting down at a terminal, Dave tapped a few soiled keys, and logged on--so he took pains to explain--to a network he paid a nominal price to access--a network of tens of thousands of independent, certified mechanics just like him, nationwide. He took a history of my problem--year, make, type of failure, etc.--and transmitted my description in some detail; then he gave me a coffee, told me he'd be back to me when he could "work up a report" and sent me home.</p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0.75em; margin-left: 0px; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; font-size: 1em; font-weight: normal; ">Later on I learned that the website Dave logged onto was set up by the IATN--the International Automotive Technicians Network--which itself began as chartered non-profit back in 1972. The network has grown enormously since then, with nearly 50,000 users worldwide: archives, databases for all cars, a library of technical literature, and over a dozen engineering forums on leading edge automotive design problems. Dave was logging into a "groupware" site, which other mechanics haphazardly checked, to see if they could help a fellow member, or solve a product of their own.</p><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0.75em; margin-left: 0px; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-color: initial; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; font-size: 1em; font-weight: normal; ">Three hours later, I was driving by the garage again and stopped in. Dave was about to call me. He showed me pages of responses, which produced a consistent number of solutions (17 of 21 were more or less identical), describing methods of repair, parts descriptions, parts numbers, software settings, and part sourcing. He was also able to determine whether his diagnostic computer could actually reset the relevant module. By the end of the day, he said, he could give me a complete analysis and estimate, educating me to the module's engineering in the process. Even if I could not give the car to him, he told me, the printout would help me "ask intelligent questions" of the dealer.</p><p></p><p><br /></p><p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/Sr-SF6Rq_iI/AAAAAAAAA9Y/F4fN62bCMCA/s1600-h/Picture1.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 288px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tl1j8HdjSNY/Sr-SF6Rq_iI/AAAAAAAAA9Y/F4fN62bCMCA/s400/Picture1.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5386184309598780962" /></a>DAVE IS not one for policy clichés.  But if the "ownership society" had ever needed a poster-child, it could have done worse than capture the smile of reason on his face as he revealed his powers to me.  Dave could not have survived as an independent entrepreneur of this sort a mere fifteen years ago and he knew it.  His two bays had become five.  His peer-to-peer information network, his "platform," had matured into a settled work environment, which meant the world to him: from diagnostic machines to parts ordering systems.  These integrated technologies are now so pervasive that our children simply take them for granted.  But to those of us who came into our own in the 1960s and 1970s, Dave included, they remain magical.</p>

<div>Dave's platform did not just enable him to fix the problem with my car.  It meant he could learn to fix ever more complex problems on a proliferating number of cars. It enabled him to become (or at least perform like) a master technician without having to go for additional formal training.  The key was to have good information about information.

<p>For every problem with every car, in other words, Dave now saw an opportunity to assemble snips of knowledge into a "deliverable"--a bundle of technical know-how with market "know-about."  He became a better business strategist as well.  He might procure components and tools from suppliers from virtually anywhere--California, Mexico, Canada, even the Far East--and then use inventory control software to track how to maintain margins on parts, distinguishing between parts used everyday (such as bolts), and parts ordered only once in while (such as ball-joints).</p>

<p>Dave could learn what his competitors were charging, or paying for parts.  He could instantly explore the burgeoning roster of mechanics who were also his brains-trust.  He could help maintain the evolving skills of his employees, anyone of whom might become a competitor.</p>

<p>In short, the platform enabled Dave to offer--not standard services--but custom "solutions," much like an IBM consultant or a Siemens engineer.  The platform meant that Dave could compete with, not go to work for, the dealers in Concord or Manchester.  It meant not having to offer only "commodity-like" services, like oil changes--and then see his prices (and style of life) eroded by competition from the Jiffy Lube a half-hour away off south 93.</p>

<p>AND ANOTHER THING. Dave would not be (as Adam Smith once put it) "mutilated" by repetitive, mind-numbing tasks in some industrial division of labor.  The platform meant that he would have to out his mind to things, even that his wife Carla, a literature graduate of the local college, Colby-Sawyer, could work with him on the myriad human problems involved in customer care--and not get swamped by tedium.  It meant that, together, they could establish something like a family practice for cars, and charge accordingly, hiring two or three like-minded people to the team.</p>

<div>What would life have been like without the platform? Had Dave worked only on tire changes and lubrication jobs, he would have had few opportunities to speak his mind or even open his mouth.  But now his work day-in and day-out--learning, teaching, serving, persuading--reinforced the skills he needed to perform as a citizen.  He had to cultivate a reputation for excellence, and learn to manage all kinds of personalities in stressful situations.  For nothing but his reputation could stop others from opening up on the other side of the lake.  He had to challenge the prevailing wisdom about what a local garage <i>was</i>, and move his customers to expect ever greater sophistication from him--even to become a community resource.  (Every week, Dave now takes out an ad in the local Shopper, answering questions about car repair like the "Car Talk" duo on NPR.)</div><div><br /></div><div>Was there a social compact here, an implicit deal between citizens and their commonwealth?  There certainly was, and Dave's side of it was to take ownership of his professional life.  To make the most of his information resources, Dave had to commit to progress in a technical field, much like a physician.  The solutions Dave provided entailed complex engineering, but none of the people at Marshall's Garage had to be an engineer.  The knowledge they competed with was embedded in a virtual community which could be instantly called upon.  What the garage team really needed was an openness to teamwork, or more accurately, to the act of problem-solving itself.</div><div><br /></div><div>BUT HERE IS the sad reality impinging on unemployment. For there was greater social risk to the compact, too, and it was not hard to imagine what became of car mechanics who, unlike Dave, were not prepared to hold up their end of the deal.  You ran into many such people in rural New Hampshire: not-quite-enough schooling, too much beer, too much TV.  One year, a guy I came to know was pumping gas in New London, until self-service equipment did in his job.  The next year he was working as a clerk in a convenience store, where inventory control software had turned his job into a minimum wage job.

<p>Once, when Dave was growing up, such badly educated people held more or less steady (though, let's face it, distasteful) assembly jobs in the gear factories, or wool mills, or shoe factories that had studded the roads and rivers of the state.  People with high school education had held sales jobs in small retail stores and banks.  Most of those jobs have been lost to the platform in the larger sense, that is, to networks connected to robots governed by custom software or computer-integrated machine tools; or to scheduling and book-keeping software, or even just to ATMs.  Most famously, perhaps, such jobs have been lost to Wal-Mart's outsourcing logistics, while the low prices of the things ordinary wage-earners buy at Wal-Mart keep them in what resembles a middle class.</p>

<p>Labor unions could not make a difference here.  It was precisely because direct labor used to be so simple, mechanical and yet critical to value creation that labor unions made sense.  The logic behind unions may still apply to some kinds of work--fast-food servers, apparel assemblers, hospital orderlies.  But any job that is simple and repetitive, that requires so little individual creativity that an employee would rather join a union than negotiate an individual career path, has become a prime target for the computer-integrative technologies.</p>

<p>All of this has meant that tens of millions of people--people with children, people hobbled by dullness and self-doubt, people who played by rules that simply evaporated from the time they were 15 to the time they were 35--are hard pressed to see a future. When President Obama spoke during the campaign of people consoling themselves with guns and fundamentalism (and, he might have added, FOX), he was putting his finger on the crisis. After all, the school system we conceived, the union movements we adjusted to, the "leading" economic indicators we tracked, the Government programs the New Deal put in place--none of these things assumed that virtually every member of society would need the equivalent of college-level skill just to get a decent job. Paul Krugman said he hoped Obama would be a new FDR. But FDR is not what we need. By comparison, FDR's challenge was simple. We need the equivalent of nation building here at home.</p>

<p>For people with college educations like Dave and Carla, working conditions have generally improved, no doubt, even when we do not work for ourselves.  Salaries for college graduates, on average, are more than 100 per cent more than for high school graduates.  And then there are the perks. But everyone, including highly educated people, are dealing with higher levels of risk.  Knowledge companies do not survive like the old industrial ones did.  On the whole, the old command-and control corporation has been replaced by the love-'em-and-leave-'em corporation. (Duke University's Arie Lewin has shown that even Fortune 500 companies fail or are acquired at a rate three times faster than was the case in the 1980s.)</p><p>So the dangers of the knowledge economy are clear enough, but so are the opportunities. Once, in an economy defined by the industrial division of labor, a person who owned none of what Marxists called the "means of production" was helpless and periodically desperate. The welfare state acted to assure that all citizens remained consumers--which stimulated the economy as it saved their lives. But the great danger was once periodic unemployment for have-nots.  Now it is chronic unemployability for know-nots. The challenge is to be a qualified producer, not just a qualified consumer. What we need, rather, is a mentor state, about which more in the weeks ahead.</p></div></div><p></p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

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