After reading some headlines this morning I’m thinking that
the giddy speculation on Obama’s VP nominee over the last few weeks may have
been in vain. Today Hillary Clinton made
it clear she is willing to take her quest for the nomination to the convention
in Denver if FL and MI are not resolved to her satisfaction. Those upcoming negotiations are sure to offer
a compromise to seat at least a portion of those delegates, but Hillary’s
contention is that they should be seated as is.
Since that would be unfair, by any measure other than her own, it won’t
be happening that way. After all Obama
wasn’t even on the ballot in MI. This
leaves an opening for Hillary to take it to Denver. Most politicians, pundits, and perhaps voters
too, believe that a Denver battle will almost certainly kill any chances for a
Democratic president in 2008. The threat
of going to Denver sends a chill down all our spines.
Why would Hillary want that kind of destruction? It’s been postulated that Clinton may be
angling for 2012 and prefer Obama loose the general if nominated. This is a hollow strategy but it’s pricked up
the ears of a subset of her supporters who are angry, feel that she has been
treated unfairly by the media, and want to throw the general election away from
Obama. To date she has not made any
statements to discourage this group from organizing. Her current accusations of sexism in the
media are also being interpreted by some supporters, including the fledgling 2012
group, as also saying the Obama campaign has been sexist. In a recent Fox News appearance the ladies attempting
to organize that movement were pressed by Bill O’Reilly for specifics on how Obama’s
campaign has been sexist. They were
unable to come up with one example, however their contention remained
unchanged. A 2012 strategy would be
doomed to failure. She would alienate
scores of dems and be branded as a spoiler.
We wouldn't forget that, hell I'm still pissed at Ralph Nader and will
probably always be so. No one can
predict what's on the horizon 4 years from now so I don't think that's her
strategy here, it's too unknown. It’s unlikely that she will ever get any
closer to the White House than where she ends up in this election whether Obama
wins or not. The clamoring from the
bitter of her supporters best serves as a chorus behind her arguments for FL,
MI and a presence on the ticket.
Clinton is planning on being nominated at that convention
one way or another. If she will not be
on the top of the ticket then, by cracky, she’ll be on the bottom. Her two biggest cheerleaders have begun to
initiate plan B. The day after Hillary’s
loss in NC and underperformance in IN Terry McAuliffe spoke about how great he
thought she would be as a VP candidate.
He said he hadn’t discussed it with her, but I find it hard to believe
that the chairman of her presidential campaign would go public with that
without checking with her first. Today the
Huffington Post reported that Bill Clinton is also pushing for a VP spot for
her on the ticket behind the scenes, and in a poll the majority of voters selected
Clinton for preferred VP. On the stump
the shift of negative attacks away from Obama and towards generalized sexism
serve to set the background for her next major move.
In recent times the presumptive nominee was apparent at an
earlier stage in the primary and had the luxury of having a significant control
over the vice presidential nominee selection.
Not this time. Hillary has a
large minority of the democratic primary votes, has managed to whip up a frenzy
of resentment and can threaten to almost hold the party hostage. The seeds of Plan B have already been
planted. Given the fact that the VP is
nominated by election at the convention and not simply selected by the presidential nominee I’d say
that we will be seeing Hillary’s name on the general election playbill. Perhaps Jim Johnson’s time would be better
spent vetting food tasters.
I’m waiting for you to convince me that I’m wrong. For that I will be grateful.