Maliki Said "Baghdad Will Burn" If Photos Are Released
Little mention has been made of this article by Nancy A. Youssef that was up on McClatchy yesterday, aside from a link here on the TPM Newswire and for a short time at Huffington Post:
Why'd Obama switch on detainee photos? Maliki went ballistic
I realize that it's an easy thing for those of you sitting in the comfort of your living rooms and coffee shops to be absolutley certain that the release of the torture/abuse photos will have no ill effect in other parts of the world, but those who are confronted with the dangers of being in war zone, and who are responsible for thousands of lives every day, appear to have a different opinion.
Some choice quotes from the article:
When U.S. officials told (Iraqi Prime Minister) Maliki, "he went pale in the face," said a U.S. military official, who along with others requested anonymity because of the matter's sensitivity.
The official said Maliki warned that releasing the photos would lead to more violence that could delay the scheduled U.S. withdrawal from cities by June 30 and that Iraqis wouldn't make a distinction between old and new photos. The public outrage and increase in violence could lead Iraqis to demand a referendum on the security agreement and refuse to permit U.S. forces to stay until the end of 2011.
Maliki said, "Baghdad will burn" if the photos are released, said a second U.S. military official.
TPM reader Billyshake has a great post currently up called "The Torture Photos: The Ultimate Mixed Emotion" that explores the dilemma we all face in this issue: balancing the desire to see war criminals like Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld held accountable for torture, with the real need to keep at the forefront the safety of our men and women serving overseas.
The heated debates we have had here certainly attest to the mixed emotions that prevail, and this article does a good job in presenting some of the background information that influenced Obama's decision to hold back on releasing the photos at this tenuous time:
Some of the photos were of detainees being held in prisons, while others were taken at the time a detainee was captured.
"It was not so much the photos themselves, but that the perception that they would be Abu Ghraib-type photos," added the senior defense official, who said U.S. officials were worried "about the potential street consequences" of making the photos public.
Iraq is scheduled to hold a referendum by July 30 on the accord, which calls for the withdrawal of all U.S. troops by the end of 2011. If the accord were rejected, the U.S. would have to withdraw from Iraq within a year of the vote or by the summer of 2010. Some U.S. officials fear that would be before Iraq's security forces are ready to protect their country on their own.
The status of forces agreement calls for the U.S. to train Iraqi forces in specialized areas such as aviation and intelligence gathering and to step to the side as Iraqi forces take control of their communities.
A lot of people calling for the heads of Cheney, Rumsfeld and crew (and I count myself among those with this desire for justice), seem to forget that Iraq, and particularly in places like Baghdad, could erupt into violence at any moment, and that any small, random incident could spark a massive uprising:
With tensions rising again in major Iraqi cities such as Baghdad and Mosul, Maliki feared that "if you add this (the photos) to that mix, it could very easily provide an incentive to the extremists" to use more violence, a State Department official said.
That, in turn, might cause U.S. and Iraqi commanders to reconsider the troop withdrawal from urban areas, which would be a major setback to Maliki's government and to the Obama administration, which is determined to withdraw troops from Iraq as it escalates the U.S. presence in Afghanistan.
The administration, which as late as April had agreed to release as many as 2,100 photos, said in the two weeks before the deadline approached that the release could trigger a backlash against American troops.
After U.S. officials notified Maliki, the prime minister put "heavy pressure" on Hill and Army Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, the top U.S. military commander in Iraq, to stop the release, the senior U.S. defense official said.
Interesting info. Real reasons for concern about real consequences, and just some of the concerns presented to Obama that he had to weigh in making his decision. One last point to ponder:
Denis McDonough, the deputy national security adviser for strategic communications, said that Obama "has been clear that releasing the photos would have no benefit except to potentially increase the risk to our troops. He's also made clear that the existence of these photos was only known because the acts were investigated and those who undertook them were sanctioned."
So while it would be nice to think that these photos could be released, and that this single gesture would automatically lead to the conviction of Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and their underlings for war crimes and violations of the US Constitution, is this longshot currently worth the risk of igniting violence in Baghdad and elsewhere in Iraq, of preventing the withdrawal of our forces from Iraq's cities by the end of this month, and leading to further delays in getting the hell out of Iraq entirely? I'm sure Obama was asking himself these same questions.
Read the entire article here.
















I hated astral66's previous diaries on this issue... (only torure-porn addicts want to see those pictures)...
But Maliki's objection is serious business, and it changed my opinion about releasing the photos.
Those god-awful things are not primarily a matter of domestic politics!
June 2, 2009 4:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Typo: It should be "...torture-porn..." and I should have just left out that whole parenthesis and simply congratulated astral66 for this excellent catch.
June 2, 2009 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well Jacob, to be precise, that wasn't part of the content of those posts, but it was one of the comment thread tangents that a number of commenters chose to fixate on. Regardless, and not wanting to revisit that ugliness, it is interesting to see some of this background information that Obama based his decision-making on come to light.
June 2, 2009 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that this is critical background for Obama's decision, and once again, I should have just shut up about your previous diaries on the subject.
This time I think you got it exactly right, and Obama likewise.
So this is twice in one week that I'm applauding Obama... about Sotomayor and now this.
It's also significant that you took the trouble to write a good headline, and nail the critical element of the story.
Highly recommended!
June 2, 2009 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who the heck are you and what have you done with the real blue guy?
June 3, 2009 11:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Dorn, long time, good to see you!
June 3, 2009 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, let's make a compromise with our own conscience to save ourselves from the doom and gloom pronouncements of Maliki, borrowing from Al Gore.
This moral relativism is a typical example of liberals hunting the witches when it suits a political purposes, then abandoning it when that suits another.
Either Nobama has no balls or he didn't mean a word of what his campaign BS. I'm sure it's both.
A president that has convictions would have released the photos, and then used the Egypt speech to apologize on behalf of the American people and use it as a moment of reconciliation and breaking with the past in front of the entire world.
But no, this one's going to be another teleprompted platitude made for prime time photo-op.
June 2, 2009 8:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would expect nothing less from you Lalo.
June 2, 2009 8:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great retort.
June 2, 2009 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's everything you deserve and more.
June 2, 2009 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
How do you respond to ad hominem and strawman attacks?
Lalo and other trolls fail to realize: Just because your mouth is moving (or fingers are typing) doesn't mean you are actually making an argument.
June 3, 2009 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
A President with convictions? You mean like George W. Bush? (swoon)....
June 3, 2009 11:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, thanks for simplyfying things. I kind thought there would be several options as to what that all meant and that perhaps he DID mean to release them from the Candidate's perpective, but thought otherwise after actually meeting the people who would be involved, i.e. Maliki and the US Generals. But now I understand everything is much more simple then that. Never could graps that nuance thing. It being a French word and all. Far to complex for my mind.
June 3, 2009 12:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Very good post Astral66. Cheney will go down with or without the public release of these photos,and they will still be available to investigators.He has too many graves to answer for to escape justice so it will come.
June 2, 2009 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks Don. There's more than enough rope to hang Cheney and the rest of them.
June 2, 2009 10:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
“Baghdad will burn if photos are released”?
If the photos of American soldiers abusing Iraqis are released, Americans soldiers will be the target of the anger, correct? But the initial argument here is that, photos released, Americans will have to return to the cities, increase our presence there and fight off the chaotic hordes of angry Arabs. Does this really make sense to you?
At another point in the article, it’s argued that American forces would have to withdraw a year earlier if the photos are released and that is not enough time to train Iraqi forces. Hmmm? How long have we heard that line?
These photos are not going to turn on any lightbulbs over the heads of the hungry, struggling, maimed, family-less, homeless, refugees, years-long suffering Iraqis.In fact, the Iraqi people are quite acutely aware of what has been happening in their country for lo these many years (the American public is not).
Face it, the suppression or destruction of these photos and the thousands of photos, videos, recordings, transcripts, emails and documents of abuses are a cover-up dealing with the American audience not the Iraqis.
June 2, 2009 11:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
As the last statement I quote points out:
If there was a cover-up, we wouldn't even know about the existence of these photos.
And if you believe the photos aren't being released because they would hasten the departure of US troops from Iraq, you are basically proving the point that they would cause a violent uprising that would prevent a departure.
June 3, 2009 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Baghdad is really that close to erupting in chaos, how long will it be before some other thing totally out of our control happens to set it off?
It's wrong to think the release or not of these photos is going to be determinative of the length of our troops' presence in Iraq or their safety. In a War, I am all for withholding photos and info like this if it compromises our mission in a real way. I just don't think that case has been persuasively made here, or anywhere.
June 3, 2009 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's not forget that a massive crime has been committed in our name, that we will ultimately have to suffer for.
If the people trying to suppress evidence of torture were really worried about US soldiers being the target of arab anger, they should have avoided committing the crimes that inspire the anger. When the truth comes out, as is happening, those people are responsible for the negative repercussions that their criminal acts have caused.
The only real question is whether we, as a country, will recover some degree of credibility by punishing the criminals, or whether we will attempt to avoid justice by suppressing the evidence of the crimes.
What's really going on is that criminals that broke the law are cynically trying to use our soldiers as hostages to protect themselves from prosecution.
If they manage to suppress enough evidence, and avoid prosecution, that doesn't make what was done legal, it discredits our legal system. This clearly harms the US. In addition, it encourages criminal behavior, placing future generations at even more risk.
Every time before that criminals have been pardoned "for the good of the country" (Nixon, etc.) the result has been emboldened criminals pursuing even more corrupt, criminal behavior, confident that they can avoid punishment for their crimes.
Only by exposing and punishing criminal behavior can it be discouraged. So while we may not want to accept our punishment for allowing our government to break the law, the alternative is worse.
June 3, 2009 1:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
As mentioned in my response to Don, we know of the photos because of the investigations that were already undertaken and the punishments that have been handed out to some of the offenders.
June 3, 2009 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, but since when has Maliki been right about anything?
Maliki knows that he only stays in power as long as the U.S. is in Iraq. So be assured that the release of the photos would hasten a U.S. withdrawal, hence Maliki is against it. It has nothing to do with Baghdad burning down.
June 3, 2009 1:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
The entire justification for not releasing any more photos at this time is to prevent the possibility of a violent uprising and/or backlash against our troops. It's already bad enough over there, why risk making it worse?
I doubt that Maliki gives a damn about whether war crime prosecutions take place here. If, as you say, he is primarily concerned about a hastened US withdrawal, then as I mentioned to Don above, you are agreeing that the photos release could/would cause some significant problems for the Maliki government and out troops.
June 3, 2009 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've been in Baghdad and had somebody not show up to a meeting because they were kidnapped or killed. A few times. A bunch of my colleagues were kidnapped and held for years; I don't now know the outcome. Friends of mine have been in vehicles that got hit. A child was killed by rocket a few meters from where I lived - it sure was loud.
Pictures have already been released and we know that what was done was horrible. Some of these other pictures will reconfirm what we already know -- it was horrible. To me, we are stretching the value of the principle if insist on releasing more of the same, if even one life will be spared by forebearance. Just my view.
June 3, 2009 8:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks OT. Sure, we all want justice but no innocent person should be harmed by the process of finding it.
June 3, 2009 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. And if we've already fulfilled the principle that we could show pictures and have done so, is it really worth 10, 20, 80 more lives to prove that we consistently do so?
If you were such a parent, how would you feel about having your child die that way, after Maliki had vividly warned the President of what would ensue? It's really worth that much, the principle? What principle exactly?
I'm with you.
June 3, 2009 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for your comment OT. One of the points I have been trying to make is that no one who is actually on the ground in Iraq sees any value in even the slightest possibility of inflaming an already tenuous situation. We want out of Iraq, the Iraqis want us out of Iraq. Let's do just that, and try to do it without any further injuries or deaths.
June 3, 2009 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
*no one who is actually on the ground in Iraq sees any value in even the slightest possibility of inflaming an already tenuous situation.
So very right, astral.
*We want out of Iraq, the Iraqis want us out of Iraq. Let's do just that, and try to do that...
A bit like the damn Pandora's box, that Bush-Cheney never should have dreamed of opening, as lectured by Powell/Eagleburger/Scowcroft.
June 3, 2009 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
One sure sign of a political lie justifying an unjustified and hypocritical decision is when multiple versions of the reason for said hypocrisy are released over time.
Fist it was a sudden consultation with the Generals thus a sudden realization of endangering troops and inflaming those emotional muslims around the world, and "move along now, nothing to see hear" because the photos showed nothing new and didn't "add" anything. The President offered nothing but the same warmed over and failed excuses that the courts twice rejected on solid and irrefutable legal grounds.
Then, knowing the warmed over excuses Bush proferred would hold no water in court, the adinistrtion backs a cowardly rider to a defense bill (sponsored by the swine and torture advocates Lieberman and Graham) providing for retroactively avoiding the requirements of FOIA.
Now comes the excuse that our puppet in Baghdad went ballistic and said Baghdad would burn. How pathetic. How sad. How blazingly hypocritical of the President who said that the rule of law, transparency and open government would be "the hallmark" of his administration. Oy!
Anyone who actually takes the time to read the court's decision compelling release of the photos (and understands it)can see that the purpose, despite all the emotion diversions being offered, for the extraordinary effort to hide these pictures from public scrutiny has nothing to do with troop safety and everything to do with protecting criminal activity and shielding institutional and individual wrongdoers from prosecution. It is shameful conduct on the President's part and massively hypocritical. The newly produced "revelation" of Malikis warning is credible only to those who ignore the court's decison, the law and the obvious motivation to hide the truth from public scrutiny.
June 3, 2009 11:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, we all know about those "activist" judges using the bench to make policy. Ha! Just kidding.
There are two thoughts I've been pondering: one is that as long as we keep debating the issue, we keep it alive, and that is a good thing. The second, is that is was the 100% belief in the truth of one's own convictions about what is right that took us into Iraq in the first place. The Bush crew insisted that they were on the side of truth and right and no amount of opposing evidence could disuade them, regardless of how much intelligence they were shown to prove them wrong. So here we are again in a situation where not a single voice from Iraq or Afghanistan sees any value in publishing these photos at this time.
Are you 100% convinced that the publication of these photos will have no ill effects on what is currently going on in Iraq and Afghanistan?
June 3, 2009 12:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would urge you once again to actually read and understand what the judge said in his ruling against the government and his order to produce the photos. If you really do understand what the judge wrote you will see that while there is some risk of negative effects, the claims of them are nothing but speculation which is obvious and their are counterbalancing potential positive effects anyway. Further, if you use simply logic and reason you cannot avoid concluding that, given the antics of the administration and some of the very worst people in Congress on this issue, that they are simply extending the years long cover up of the truth initiated by Bush. That's the most reprehensible part of it all. Additionally, the voices you cite are only the voices of people who have a clear interest, personally and politically in continuing the cover up to avoid responsibility for the crimes that took place. I would think that the citizens of Iraq and Afghanistan would favor releasing the photos to expose the wrongdoing as it should be exposed. But nobody asks them because they might get inflamed right? As though killing innocent civilians everyday and the past 5 years of slaughter doesn't have them already inflamed against our troops. Wake up Astral! You're being hoodwinked!
June 3, 2009 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I recall correctly, Zipperusup has been to Iraq and favors release of the photos. No exposure, no justice. To heal, we must feel the shame first. It may be that we can have justice without public exposure. If this is about moving forward with the court hearings, the ACLU already agreed that they do not feel any compulsion to publicize the photos, just get them on the record in court. I am in favor of that. I am one who feels publishing the photos is pandering of the most gruesome kind. I do not need to see them. I want the criminals held accountable and only the courts need to see them. All this talk about whether Time or Newsweek will get to publish them is a distraction. Let's not talk about the photos. Let's talk about the crimes. Let the hearings begin already.
June 3, 2009 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe one way to not lob kerosene inside Iraq and Afghanistan and still open up the matter to the light of day is to start an independent investigation along the lines Zelikow calls for.
Of course such a move would only be as good as the people who were doing and what power they were given. But some kind interface to secret information is needed if the information showing who did what can be kept behind classified walls.
June 3, 2009 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
How many times have people predicted Baghdad will "burn"? Of course there are still large bombings every few days that we mostly ignore. So if we don't release the pictures, those 30 mangled bodies each 2-3 days won't be mangled? Or it will be 35? Or 350? Or 3000? Or 3 million? Stop me whenever you want, I can extrapolate to billions.
Meanwhile Americans still favor keeping Gitmo open because they don't think we torture.
Massive uprising my ass. How many couch potatoes have urged us to war with fear-mongering crap. The terrorists are coming, the terrorists are coming. Release the goddamn pictures, blur the unsightly parts, let us stare our crimes in the face whether we're on the couch or in the field. Better, let the Iraqis gloat that we're having to choke on our own pride and self-righteousness.
And why do you conclude it'll delay us getting out? When they jeer us and stone us, maybe it'll be the time we make the sane decision, to get our butts home where they belong. On the couch.
June 3, 2009 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
The US officials in the article are concluding that it could delay our departure. I'm not concluding anything, but I am asking whether the possiblity of releasing more photos is worth the risk of causing events that could lead to a delay in us getting out.
June 3, 2009 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
What, we have no intention of getting out. We're there permanently, we're just calling "combat troops" "security troops". One police action for another. "I wanted to leave, but circumstances were dire". Who could have predicted.
June 3, 2009 4:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree totally with astral. Call it cost-benefit analysis. Even if perhaps we don't really plan to get out as alleged here, who should die over some pics? Would you be willing to die for such, or have a member of your immediate family die?
Don't tell yourselves this is some joke. That country is still kicking up a whole lotta bodies, many of them very good and decent people.
June 3, 2009 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dead thread, but someone says someone will die over the pics so we pee ourselves. Real people died over the abusive treatment, and we accept the glib line, "Those responsible have been punished". They haven't. The blame goes to the top. But don't look back, look forward, troops might die, Iraqis might die, Americans might do, it threatens our freedom and the heart of our homeland to look at those pictures. Besides, they're gross, you have to be a pervert to want to see those pictures.
Sounds like someone's hiding something.
June 4, 2009 2:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
How can you be so heartless, though? You're sure that no one would needlessly die if we released them? Or you don't care if they do? Honestly, which? It's a crazy place, you realize?
June 4, 2009 2:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Christ,I'm sick of the bullshit. You have no idea how many more people will die if the photos come out vs. how many will die if they don't. All pulling numbers out of the air, working on people's fear. Hey, if we don't stay in Iraq, they'll come over here!!!! So maybe we should release the photos so more people will die over there so terrorists won't come here!!!
Let's get back to principles - crimes were committed, they need to be publicized, the perpetrators punished, we deal with the fallout. Doesn't require handwaving and magic numbers.
June 4, 2009 7:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
June 4, 2009 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gee I thought Obama was scared of Cheney
June 3, 2009 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me 'drop' a conspiracy theory on you to ponder.
(1) There is a problem with the time line in the article.
The article first talks of '...In the days leading up to a May 28 deadline to release the photos... U.S. officials, led by Christopher Hill, told Maliki that the administration was preparing to release photos...Maliki went pale in the face and said "Baghdad will burn"..several days after the meeting, Odierno returned to Washington, and he and Gates took their concerns to Obama...May 13, Obama said he would not release photos.
I may be wrong here but I thought May 13 came before May 28. Is this a case of drumming up evidence after the fact? A case very pertinent to these photos. After all Bush et al., have now been shown to have tortured individuals so as to get information linking Hussein to Al Quieda, thereby justifying the invasion of Iraq.
(2) The article provides tantalizing ideas as to the real reason the administration doesn't want the release of the photos.
'...Iraq is scheduled to hold a referendum by July 30 on the accord which calls for the withdrawal of all U.S. troops by the end of 2011. If the accord were rejected, the U.S. would have to withdraw from Iraq within a year of the vote or by the summer of 2010...the "status of forces agreement" calls for the U.S. to train Iraqi forces in specialized areas such as aviation and intelligence gathering and to step to the side as Iraqi forces take control of their communities...
...the official said Maliki warned that releasing the photos would lead to more violence that could delay the scheduled U.S. withdrawal from cities by June 30 and that Iraqis wouldn't make a distinction between old and new photos. The public outrage and increase in violence could lead Iraqis to demand a referendum on the security agreement and refuse to permit U.S. forces to stay until the end of 2011...
If I accept (and I have no reason not to) the statements assigned to Malaki as accurate and his predictions of the outcome, then the release of the photos would lead to the U.S. troops being forced to leave Iraq sooner rather than later.
To which I say, anything that brings the troops home from an unjustified war and an equally unjustified occupation, sooner rather than later is good.
I still believe the photos need to be released. It is not their release that is the problem, but how the U.S. responds.
The disgust with which the first set of photographs were met with was exacerbated by the response of the Bush administration. The failure to hold higher ups accountable. The pathetic sentences handed down. The security of the troops was and still is being harmed more by the failure to hold people accountable for their actions than from the images seen.
Now we have gory details of what the pictures might tell. Nudity, beatings, rape (and if Hirsch if right, we are talking about the rape of at least one child) etc. And still no one is being held accountable.
And in my mind, one lingering thought remains, a very callous comment made by President Obama who on May 13 stated he had seen the photographs and "...they are not particularly sensational, but the conduct did not conform with the Army manual..."
"Not particularly sensational." Rape is 'not particularly sensational.' Or is it "not particularly sensational' because an Iraqi is being beaten and raped. Or is it "not particularly sensational' because a muslim is being beaten and raped.
The photographs need to be released and all individuals involved, and I mean ALL involved should be prosecuted to the full extent of the law. No exceptions.
June 3, 2009 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink