Little mention has been made of this article by Nancy A. Youssef that was up on McClatchy yesterday, aside from a link here on the TPM Newswire and for a short time at Huffington Post:
Why'd Obama switch on detainee photos? Maliki went ballistic
I realize that it's an easy thing for those of you sitting in the comfort of your living rooms and coffee shops to be absolutley certain that the release of the torture/abuse photos will have no ill effect in other parts of the world, but those who are confronted with the dangers of being in war zone, and who are responsible for thousands of lives every day, appear to have a different opinion.
Some choice quotes from the article:
When U.S. officials told (Iraqi Prime Minister) Maliki, "he went pale in the face," said a U.S. military official, who along with others requested anonymity because of the matter's sensitivity.
The official said Maliki warned that releasing the photos would lead to more violence that could delay the scheduled U.S. withdrawal from cities by June 30 and that Iraqis wouldn't make a distinction between old and new photos. The public outrage and increase in violence could lead Iraqis to demand a referendum on the security agreement and refuse to permit U.S. forces to stay until the end of 2011.
Maliki said, "Baghdad will burn" if the photos are released, said a second U.S. military official.
TPM reader Billyshake has a great post currently up called "The Torture Photos: The Ultimate Mixed Emotion" that explores the dilemma we all face in this issue: balancing the desire to see war criminals like Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld held accountable for torture, with the real need to keep at the forefront the safety of our men and women serving overseas.
The heated debates we have had here certainly attest to the mixed emotions that prevail, and this article does a good job in presenting some of the background information that influenced Obama's decision to hold back on releasing the photos at this tenuous time:
Some of the photos were of detainees being held in prisons, while others were taken at the time a detainee was captured.
"It was not so much the photos themselves, but that the perception that they would be Abu Ghraib-type photos," added the senior defense official, who said U.S. officials were worried "about the potential street consequences" of making the photos public.
Iraq is scheduled to hold a referendum by July 30 on the accord, which calls for the withdrawal of all U.S. troops by the end of 2011. If the accord were rejected, the U.S. would have to withdraw from Iraq within a year of the vote or by the summer of 2010. Some U.S. officials fear that would be before Iraq's security forces are ready to protect their country on their own.
The status of forces agreement calls for the U.S. to train Iraqi forces in specialized areas such as aviation and intelligence gathering and to step to the side as Iraqi forces take control of their communities.
A lot of people calling for the heads of Cheney, Rumsfeld and crew (and I count myself among those with this desire for justice), seem to forget that Iraq, and particularly in places like Baghdad, could erupt into violence at any moment, and that any small, random incident could spark a massive uprising:
With tensions rising again in major Iraqi cities such as Baghdad and Mosul, Maliki feared that "if you add this (the photos) to that mix, it could very easily provide an incentive to the extremists" to use more violence, a State Department official said.
That, in turn, might cause U.S. and Iraqi commanders to reconsider the troop withdrawal from urban areas, which would be a major setback to Maliki's government and to the Obama administration, which is determined to withdraw troops from Iraq as it escalates the U.S. presence in Afghanistan.
The administration, which as late as April had agreed to release as many as 2,100 photos, said in the two weeks before the deadline approached that the release could trigger a backlash against American troops.
After U.S. officials notified Maliki, the prime minister put "heavy pressure" on Hill and Army Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, the top U.S. military commander in Iraq, to stop the release, the senior U.S. defense official said.
Interesting info. Real reasons for concern about real consequences, and just some of the concerns presented to Obama that he had to weigh in making his decision. One last point to ponder:
Denis McDonough, the deputy national security adviser for strategic communications, said that Obama "has been clear that releasing the photos would have no benefit except to potentially increase the risk to our troops. He's also made clear that the existence of these photos was only known because the acts were investigated and those who undertook them were sanctioned."
So while it would be nice to think that these photos could be released, and that this single gesture would automatically lead to the conviction of Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and their underlings for war crimes and violations of the US Constitution, is this longshot currently worth the risk of igniting violence in Baghdad and elsewhere in Iraq, of preventing the withdrawal of our forces from Iraq's cities by the end of this month, and leading to further delays in getting the hell out of Iraq entirely? I'm sure Obama was asking himself these same questions.
Read the entire article here.