Wait, what makes Roberts the guy?


Crossposted to AMillionMonkeys

Speculation on Gen. Hayden from ABC's The Note:

Those with a sense of the long game will glance at the members of the Senate Intelligence Committee and Note [sic] the following names: DeWine, Lott, Snowe, and Hagel, and realize that, even with those names, it's all about the Chair — if Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts is for Hayden, game over.
Well Pat Roberts has a history of covering up and carrying water for President Bush and is likely to support Hayden. But even his most obvious ally on the committee, Saxby Chambliss of Georgia, has said that "The fact that [Hayden] is part of the military today would be a problem." DeWine, I think, lacks the spine (or the political future) to dissent from the Bush administration on this or any other substantive issue, but Lott, Hagel and especially Snowe have shown willingness to go off the reservation.


The full list of Senate Intelligence Committee members is here; House equivalent is here. Republicans are more heavily favored in the House, but there the committee chairman Peter Hoekstra (R-Mich.) has already come out against Hayden. Consider the long game: Hayden's closest ties are to the phenomenally unpopular Rumsfeld and Cheney, the president is at 32% and it is an election year. So, uh, why exactly should we assume that Roberts holds all the cards?

Keep it concrete


Crossposted to AMillionMonkeys.

We are still waiting to learn if Porter Goss's resignation was all about hookers or if he had "other problems." Naturally, I am hoping it's the hookers.

There is no such mystery or intrigue to the White House's coming appointment of Air Force General Michael Hayden to Goss's position. Hayden, "a visible and aggressive defender of the administration's controversial eavesdropping program," is intended to provoke Democrats into attacking Bush's illegal wiretapping program. It's an issue on which the White House believes it has the advantage--because having Democrats lecture on legality and constitutionality plays into the image of Bush as cowboy, Bush as Jack Bauer from 24. "Illegal" is an abstraction, but catching terrorists is a concrete, desirable thing, and so what if the government intercepts a few phone calls, they're doing it to catch terrorists, and after all I have nothing to hide... As Ross Douthat has pointed out, the legal argument

add[s] to the existing perception of the GOP as the party that sometimes goes too far and skirts the law in the pursuit of national security objectives. And it's almost always better to be tagged as "the party that might go too far" than as "the party that won't go far enough" - which is how the Democrats are perceived these days.
But Americans don't trust President Bush the way they trust Jack Bauer! The argument that the Democrats can win is this one: We don't trust this administration with these powers. Avoid the abstract question by personalizing the issue. This isn't Lincoln and habeas corpus! We know from polls that the American people doesn't trust the president's judgment. So why argue legal abstractions? For Democrats, the specifics are persuasive enough.

amillionmonkeys

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