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60 Votes and Change
Many of you are no doubt happy to see Obama's rise in the polls, which I think in a broad sense are due to the economy, Obama's calm performances as a candidate, and consistent message, compared to the McCain campaign chaos, Palin interviews, and the debates. It's a change year.
For the Obama team to rapidly reverse some of the Bush policies, it would be very helpful to have a filibuster-proof margin in the senate. So take a look at these:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/senate%20polls
538 not only shows the surprise gains in North Carolina and Oregon, but now the most recent polls show McConnell's seat is at risk in Kentucky.
Vote from abroad shows the same trend, but is more aggressive in predicting democratic gains:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Senate/Maps/Oct04-s.html
http://www.pollster.com/polls/2008senate/
Pollster.com has been a bit later to show the same trends, but the news there is essentially the same. There are many more poll sites, but the trends I'm currently seeing look promising for the democrats legislative agenda should Obama win in November. Is it Christmas for the democrats change agenda? We'll see, but it's looking better and better.
Comments (1)
The Dems have never been able to show the party discipline of the GOP -- so even if the Senate were 100% Dem, I'm not sure it would be "filibuster proof".
October 4, 2008 12:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
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