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Worried about Palin. More Worried Obama Might Ignore Her. Here's Why He Shouldn't.

I'm feeling rather worried tonight about Sarah Palin. I'm also worried that Obama is going to listen to the really awful advice that he should just ignore her and focus on McCain. Maybe that's what some of you think he should do, too. But I'm convinced this would be a major disaster.
I hear a lot of people both in the professional punditry and the blogosphere saying that Obama should bury his head in the sand and just ignore her. What awful advice! It seems blindingly obvious to me that for the next two weeks, Palin will be THE central issue. She will be THE new media star. Ignoring her will only make the Obama campaign seem out of touch, irrelevant, and even afraid to take her on. Ouch. 
That strategy couldn't be more wrong ... at least for the next two weeks.* The next two weeks give Obama the pivotal opportunity to define Palin for the country. If he misses this opportunity, it won't come again.
Camp Obama should instead seek to define Palin as a right-wing ideological extremist, an absolutely incompetent chief executive with a horrible track record in Alaska, and an all around dangerous candidate. Above all else DRIVE UP HER NEGATIVES.
Some will say that Obama should instead keep the focus on McCain. The problem is that there's no way in hell the media is going to let them. Their best bet is to attack McCain secondarily as the unpredictable, erratic, reckless, craps-playing fool who would even consider putting such a horrible candidate one heartbeat away from the presidency.

From what we've seen of Palin so far, the former beauty queen and television news sports anchorwoman is an enormously talented politician. From what I've read, it seems she's very intelligent and has cunning political instincts as well. Democrats should be afraid that come inauguration day this woman might be in a position to step into the presidency at any time, and would be first in line for the office if a 76-year-old McCain decides to serve only one term. 

President Palin? Please, God no. 

Bottom line: The conventional wisdom (ignore Palin) is wrong. It would be a serious mistake for the Obama campaign to ignore Palin. Instead, they should go negative, hit her, and hit her hard ... while they still have a chance to define her. Don't squander this opportunity to make the chance of a President Palin very unlikely.
* But honestly, who knows? That's why I'm only suggesting a strategy for the next two weeks. Then Obama will need to really assess the situation based on the facts on the ground. Are the attacks working? Is the media still Palin obsessed? Is Palin moving the polls, or has she become irrelevant? Perhaps at that time the Obama campaign will determine that it's time to ignore her and focus instead on McCain. But I think they would be very, very stupid to ignore this candidate.

I think it's quite reasonable to assume that Palin won't self-destruct. The media will surely set her expectations for the vice presidential debate so low that she can certainly memorize some talking points, have speech writers come up with lots of crowd-pleasing one-liners, and come out without too much damage. Indeed, I wouldn't be surprised if she's pronounced the winner by at least half the audience.


Comments (38)

Starting to think you might be right. It's becoming clear the media isn't going to call her on anything that matters, either past issues or current lies. I imagine they want to preserve her shine so they don't lose their newest ratings magnet.

Based on his comments today, it looks like Obama might be coming to the same recognition.

I'm sorry, but where outside of her hometown is this media that's passively sitting by?

The national and regional newspapers (including the Anchorage paper), plus the couple of cable channels that I regularly view have been full of questions and investigations. The problem is that because she's remaining relatively silent, the stories only go one way and though there has been some tutoring done for her on the issues, the Republican strategy may be to just wait until the blogosphere has fully mucked things up.

Investigations like this one?

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/214320.php

I specifically chose the phrase "call her on anything that matters." I've seen a few segments on the e-bay jet sale non-starter, a few transient pieces on earmarks, but nothing of any significance on the AKIP story, where the existing facts would already have drummed up a multi-day firestorm if a Democrat were involved. Haven't seen much on the massive deficit she ran up during her tenure as mayor. Haven't seen her clear-as-day ties to the indicted Stevens and his 527 exhibited as clearly contradictory to her claims to be a reformer and enemy of "Washington insiders."

I agree the lack of pushback has a tendency to leave floating the stories that are out there. But if the media insists on distrusting existing evidence and granting the benefit of the doubt in the face of blatant stonewalling, I'm afraid there won't be much incentive for the candidate to answer these issues.

So, yes, I think the media is phoning in scrutiny of Palin and that might be why Obama is now feeling the need to push these issues himself a little bit.

Obama and Biden may not be talking about her right now (and Biden's reference only by position and then comparison to "that kid" we all remember from elementary school is utterly priceless!) .... but I'm willing to bet a lot of money that they are NOT "ignoring" her. She is dangerous -- she's a cobra. And you don't just go taking random swipes at a poison-spitting cobra. You study it, gather all the information you can, and when you attack you make sure you KILL - quickly and permanently.

She may self-destruct: that would be best and show McCain for an utter fool, without Obama/Biden having to get their hands dirty. In fact the most damaging thing that can happen now is for her to keep avoiding the press and the people get impatient and suspicious all on their own. The glow of her 'victory' (tho I thought it was actually piss-poor, speech and delivery) is fading and there's nothing to replace it, no fuel for this "Sarah is wonderful" euphoria. Attacking right now would be a bad mistake - she's not doing anything so why turn her into a victim?

(Is it true that she's giving, practically word for word, the convention speech at each campaign stop on her current tour with McCain? That in itself looks really bad. And the absence of anything new -- except the drip-drip-drip of vetting by the press) -- is making last Wednesday's "triump" look like perhaps a one trick pony.

Having gotten some sense of how Obama works, I'm willing to bet that the ammunition is being gathered and stockpiled in readily accessible bundles and work is being done on different types of delivery systems, waiting to see which one will be most effective when she does make a move. As he said in the "60 Minutes" interview, Obama truly is serious about *winning* this election. Not a guarantee that he will, of course, but it is a guarantee, I suspect, that he is not ignoring Sarah P. in any sense of the word. He's just not taking action yet - and up until now his sense of timing has been impressive.

So while I agree with you that it would be a big mistake for him to ignore her ... I doubt very much that that is what's happening.

Just like he didn't really come out swinging in the general election until 38 million where there to see it.

Obama seems to have figured out something this year that no one else has. I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt on tactics, because the strategy is proving quite capable.

Good comment. At a certain point, trust and confidence is mandatory for victory.

I just tossed-up a post that has a couple of links about a comment from Obama, where he sort of fights back.

Whoops! I was supposed to provide a link.

An obvious thing that Obama could say in his stump speeches and put out as an ad would be a clip of McCain saying he was going to make the name of earmarkers famous, cut to Palin with a running list of her earmarks, and then say: He certainly did!

Obama is starting off pretty well by playing McCain's and Palin's pronouncement about earmarks against each other. It is good to hear Obama saying "They must think you are stupid."

Well there is plenty more where that came from. I see this as a template to fight the ticket of McCain/Palin and have the shortcoming of each stick like marmalade to the other.

Take the excellent points made by Comrade Rotwang about the socialism of the Alaskan State.
Let us ask both of the GOP candidates if that provides any guideline to feed revenue streams for Federal programs of education, infrastructure, etc. When they say Hell no! Ask what they will do instead. Let the gaffes begin. Take the worst answer and spread liberally over both.

I agree with you, she can't be ignored. If anybody criticizes Obama for tackling her directly he (or better, some one in his camp) can simply say "She's running on a ticket headed up by a guy who is 847 years old. It's irresponsible for him to have chosen a nobody as a running mate."

Who's ignoring whom?

Adab, I think you're right. Obama is smart enough that he won't ignore Palin. For a guy with his intellect she's a pretty easy target and given Obama's previous campaign experience, I'm absolutely sure he's not worried about throwing down (rhetorically) with a woman.

* Palin in some ways is a Swiftboat attacker. She's making scurrilous nasty personal attacks that need to be knocked down.

* Yet, you can't get drawn into an extended tit-for-tat with another smirking chimp (this time female).

* Obama needs to find a way to hit back without getting suckered into a battle with Palin, while McCain sits off to the side as the Honorable One.

Palin is both a Swiftboat, and a trap. It's not either/or. He can't simply ignore her personal attacks, and yet he can't get suckered into trash talking with a redneck wackjob.

This will take some political skill. However, realize that people simply don't vote for VP. And that personality is the GOP's only hand.

I still think it will come down to "The Economy, Stupid".

As a Clinton insider put it, attacking Palin is checkers. Attacking McCain is chess.


I aqree, Palin is a trap, but fortunately a very transparent one. They would love for all the attention to stary on Palin and Obama and NOT on McBush. That is why he is going to campaign with her.

She is clearly far right wing in every way you can imagine - just let her speak and she will alienate the middle - she has no appeal to the middle. The Obama should and is, and will go after the many lies that this light weight person is spewing - put attacking her directly would merely suggest that she is worthy of attack, which she is not.

McBush is now claiming that he is the "change" candidate. Obama will go after that nonsense very strongly.

His surrogates will go after the Palin lies. There is no need to go after Palin personally, however, the National Enquirer will do that very nicely.

Yes, her views are INSANE. She's a nutcase. But she will do a good job of softpeddling them, just like Bush did in 2000. It's a folksy wrapping on some misanthropic ideology.

I'm not sure how we expose her views to the public, which would be appalled if they could see them clearly.

It won't be easy. She's a sneak, a liar, a flipflopper. To win gov. in 2006, she pretended to have different views on contraception, for instance.

Her ideas aren't insane. They are in line with her base, and not that far off the mainstream sentiment. If we push too hard on the idea that she is so far out of the mainstream, that will force many to think the ones outside the mainstream are us.

Mmmmm.....

She would outlaw abortion in cases of rape. That's insane enough for me. Very weak on crime, as well. This is a very obvious line of attack. Even Cindy McCain blanched when Couric asked her if she advocated the criminalization of abortion in the case of rape. Cindy said no, she doesn't favor the criminalization of abortion in rape cases.

Attack Palin if you can but ONLY do it by separating her from her supporters, by all means.

As Obama said about McCain; "I don't think he is racist, I just think he is cynical."

Palin is not stupid or a Xtian wacko or a gun nut or a bad mom or a hick or trailer trash. She is none of those things, she is just cynical. Give voters a choice, don't demean them for liking her.

She is extremely dangerous electorally and politically, she embodies the Rovian politics of resentment that got Bush into the White House and she could do the same thing. She is even more dangerous because of Bush's failures. She is "authentic" when he is just a poseur and she represents redemption for all of those whose pride is wounded by his failures.

This election is now only about McCain in the context of his judgement in picking Palin. This election is now Palin and the politics of resentment vrs. Obama. And there is nothing rational about it.

Why let the GOP determine what the election is about?

I liked Obama and Biden pushing the lack of solutions at the GOP conventions. That is a winning argument. Put the personality/ character stuff aside, and press McCain on what exactly he is going to do to help the country.

I've been thinking a bit on this overnight. I thought of Palin trying to give a news conference on the federal government's takeover of FreddieMac and FannieMae. Would she blow us all away with her brilliance, or exclaim, "But I'm just a hockey Mom!!!" There's no way to know, and that's outrageous.

If I could bend the ear of one Obama advisor, I'd want to whisper in the ear of the person in charge of advertising. Do something NOW!

Remember that Hillary Clinton ad goading Obama into not debating her in some midwestern state? (Even though they'd already had about 20 debates before?)

What we need is a similar style ad hitting McCain hard on the fact that HE won't let Palin take hard questions from the press... and from the VOTERS. This is unprecedented! Can anyone imagine Barack Obama declaring himself a candidate for president a year ago and say that he won't give any interviews until he gets adequately prepped???

The GOP is deeply insulting the intelligence of all Americans. Hit them on this while the iron is hot. Start running the ads tomorrow, if you can get them up.

This is the perfect way to attack Palin right now. It wouldn't upset any one of her legions of new fans who like her personally and hope she succeeds. (Why not? Because they may identify with her personally, thinking she's just like them, but they can't picture THEMSELVES in the White House.)

This line of attack won't work in a week or two (or whenever), once she starts to take hard questions. The McCain camp is cockily saying that they'll hide her from the press forever if they can get away from it, releasing her to the wolves only if they decide that it's in their political best interest. Fuck that.

The Republicans are doing exactly what I predicted the day Palin was chosen - use her as the main attack dog ("Pit Bull") at stump speeches and keep her on a leash while Graham, Lieberman and the usual suspects handle the press for her.
The Republicans will keep Palin quarantined from all but their own in-house media outlets (like Fox and ABC/Disney). The rest of the Media will have no access before and after her staged and venomous belches to audiences throughout America's backwaters.
The proof of the Media's total incompetence will be the story they end up showing on each night's newscast - an unchallenged re-broadcast of the day's speech, highlighting the latest garbage from Palin's mouth.
Most voters will never hear about her support of the Bridge to Nowhere (support until Ted Stevens was indicted), her horrible record on earmarks (even McCain criticized her in 2001), her book-burning crusades (and trying to fire the librarian), her comments that God told her to build an Oil pipeline and invasion of Iraq was His will, her Family Values that apply to everybody else's family but her own, her active membership in an Alaska Secessionist group (good American values), her Paul Bunyon-sized yarn about Selling the Governor's jet on Ebay for a net profit (it was sold through a broker for a net loss), her firing of the head of the State Troopers for not firing her trooper ex-brother-in-law over a Palin family domestic dispute, her hiring of a crony as the new Trooper head who was under indictment at the time for sexual harassment (and had to quit two weeks after Palin appointed him), her total denial of Global Warming, her rejection of the Bush Administration's own assessment that Polar Bears are facing certain extinction, her personally shooting wolves from planes (why can't she hunt and shoot her friends, like other Republicans), her anti-abortion position- even for rape and incest cases, her anti-Science- anti-Evolution beliefs (that should help us compete in a Global Market)
and the fact that she's a blatant liar.
But we still don't know much about Palin - there's probably a lot more frightening information right around the corner. Just don't expect the Media to dig it up before November.


*Their net worth in their investment accounts is well over $9 Million + (as filed in financial docs with the state)

I found this information on http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-78448

Does anyone know how much money they have and where it came from?

Mc Cain wants us to believe he is going to once again flip back to being the maverick so many loved, but he choose Palin who is against everything he believed in as that maverick.

If this country elects them, knowing this, wouldn,t that make this country beyond stupid? With his age, it is in the realm of possibility we could have President Palin(God that's scary). Buyers regret won't help much after we lose the court for many peoples lifetime & the possibility of R vs W overturned, environment stalled & drilling all over because she's an energy expert, the media told us so, right? They were a huge reason Bush won not once, but twice.

It's certainly keeping me up nights.

Me too.

One more thing to expect is that while we would expect and like the MSM to vet her and aks tough questions, 1) they will likely not 2) the GOP will start throwing out crap to distract everyone from pitbull.

Did anyone see that lame lie about the flags in Denver?? That's exactly the sort of bullshit controversies we can expect sleazeball McCain to cook up. Anything to suck up the oxygen in the media all week.

Be prepared.

While your post makes sense, I think confronting Palin is a loser for us. I think we have to just let her do her thing, and laugh her off when she gets too far aground. None of her negatives stick with the mainstream voter.

But then you have this swiftboat type dynamic of personal attacks unanswered.

I know her attack dog style turns off a lot of voters, but enough of them?? I still think that any personal attacks need to be countered, the question is how.

Maybe blame McCain for an attack, saying "they" or "the McCain camp" and so forth, and kind of ignoring the little yapping poodle herself.

You have to find the right issue to target McCain and Palin TOGETHER. And it has to be a clean shot, one that can't easily be evaded with bogus charges of sexism and elitism, one that gets to the heart of the matter.

Which is:

McCain + Palin has allowed the GOP to seize the mantle of reformer, to define reform as what they do. It's all BS of course and the campaign has been utterly unable to do it because they were confused by the supposed embarrassment of rich targets the nominee provided. They lost all focus.

It's too late to correct this with free media. The Obama campaign was blindsided by the Palin pick and could not come up with a strategic response.

It's not too late to do this with advertising, however. We need a negative ad that hits them at their point of strength (Rovian tactic, but with attacks that are true). The point of strength is the "reform" bullshit they have been able to drape over themselves.

And here, my friends, is the issue that can do this. How did we ever let this one slip by? The ad writes itself:

John McCain wants to make you believe that he and Sarah Palin are reformers. But that's not what he said back when she was mayor of Wasilla. Three times, McCain's own pork list attacked Palin's pork barrel requests of Congress. A true reformer doesn't cover up for corruption. John McCain, if Sarah Palin was wrong then, why is she right now?

I am hoping that they are waiting for the bloom to come off the rose - though I'm not sure if it will in two months time.

I think they need to attack her in two seperate ways 1] Call her on all of her lies. The GOP is attempting to create an image for her that is far from reality. You have the truth on your side - use it. 2]Call her a "Social Extremist" and keep repeating it. In the "Social Extremist" ad run about her abortion beliefs in cases of rape and incest, about banning books, about wanting creationism taught in schools, about not believing global warming is man-made, only sex ed taught should be abstinence, etc. Use this to scare off moderates, independents, centrists. Sure you'll help her rally her base, but they'll also help scare off the moderates and independents.

That's what campaign ads are for. I agree that Obama needs to hit her hard, and question McCain's judgement for selecting her. That's what advertising is for. There is no way that the Obama/Biden campaign is going to get a fair shake from the corporate media; they are going to have to pay for the privelige of attacking her.

Amen. The man says he's from Chicago. Well, act like it. I don't remember any of Jane Byrne's enemies, and in particular, Walter Washington, pulling their punches when hitting her.

Amen. Let's wise up: the McCain campaign is aimed at the MSM talking heads, with their Serious analysis actually being the end product intended for voters. McCain, or perhaps Rove, may have failings, but working the refs isn't one of them.

We're still trying to target voters directly. We should, but as a main strategy? We need heavy-hitting, cinematic ads getting Palin's positions out there. Fast. The kind of ads that talking heads talk about and show regardless of where we ourselves air them later. Wasting the opportunity to do this is silly. Her positions are so transparently out of the mainstream that the ads almost write themselves.
We have photos of her campaigning for the bridge to nowhere; proof that she made city officials sign loyalty oaths to her.

Palin's headed for her first interview on ABC, owned by Disney, a typical rightie corporation. Of course they'll ask questions she's groomed for in advance. We can't wait for her to be further coddled.

Uh, that was HAROLD Washington. Please.

someone said something to me in passing about the Palin play, which I thought just about summed it up: "they pulled off a miracle, it's now two against one."

Absolutely. I worry that the Dems and Obama campaign have let it go too far. Witness this David Carr Piece from today's Times. I am not sure two months is long enough to do the damage from this past week: she has been made into a star and it would take some frightening personal revelation to undo it all. I worry it's going to be 'what Sarah eats for dinner' pieces from here on out.

I agree with the worriers. The Obama campaign, thus far, is far too delicate, and far to slow. Where was their Friday ad response to step on the McCain bounce? Where are their viral Internet ads mocking Palin's record (no need to even bother with her "Jerry Springer Show" family life...) where was the vigorous Joe Biden counterpunch on MTP today? The blase attitude of the campaign, and their dogged insistence on staying on message, and simply nursing the ground game, without directly, and forcefully, neutralizing Palin for swing voting women, is going to lose them this election. I say that with sadness, and with a determination to renew my passport, just in case.

Sadly I agree. Didn't McCain run a different negative TV ad every single day of the DNC except the last one? That's what I recall. Where were the negative Obama ads? It's exasperating.

I think you may be right that

The blase attitude of the campaign, and their dogged insistence on staying on message, and simply nursing the ground game, without directly, and forcefully, neutralizing Palin for swing voting women, is going to lose them this election.
And shame on me, but the thought going through my head tonight is: no more donations to the Obama camp. No sense throwing good money after bad. Not until they demonstrate that they're really serious about winning.

Actually, this would be a two-fer. Keep attacking Palin on her lies, her behind-the-scenes deal-making, her sheer incompetence. Push her to eventually lose her poise--do NOT let the Respooblikans pull a Hillary ("Oh, you're just opposing her because of her gender!"). Show how dangerously unqualified she is for any position of trust. Keep showing that her selection was nothing more than a last-gasp kiss-up to the social conservatives and their Christian pseudo-ultra-right-wing party bosses.

Then tie McCan to her selection. "This is the VP that McCain said he completely vetted. If he's this incompetent when it comes to choosing a running mate, can America trust him with more important choices?"

With every choice he makes, McShrub increasingly shows his total political and religious tone-deafness.

I'm too fucking freaked out by this wacky election at the moment to know what the right thing to do is. I just hope someone important on the Obama campaign reads this thread and takes into consideration the various ideas presented.

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