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What a fascinating race. Or, the hotly contested "battleground" states of.... Nebraska and Maine?
As many of you know, in the case of a tied vote from the electoral college, the duty of selecting a president and vice president falls to the House and Senate respectively.
At this point in the race, I am wondering if a tie is becoming more likely? Analyzing the current "swing" states, is it unreasonable to suppose the voting breaks down thusly:
Obama -
Colorado
Minnesota
Michigan
Pennsylvania. Total electoral votes: 269
McCain
Nevada
Montana
Indiana
Ohio
West Virginia
Virginia
North Carolina
Florida
New Hampshire
New Mexico*. Total electoral votes: 269.
*(Disclaimer: Here I give McCain a tremendous benefit of the doubt with regard to New Mexico - my analyses indicate the state will be a win for Senator Obama)
So that leaves us with Nebraska and Maine - both of which appoint their representatives to the electoral college by congressional district rather than the more common "winner take all" formula. Perhaps we can pick off one of the Nebraskan electoral voters? Start dialing those cornhusker phones now!
In all seriousness folks, re-examine the lists above. To win the presidency, our man really only needs 4 states: CO, MN, MI and PA (assuming NM is in the bag). Conversely, McCain needs 10 or more.
I will always be the last person to succumb to overconfidence, but the writing is on the wall. It may be faint, but it's there. Barring any major unforseen catastrophes, 08 is trending toward a done deal for President Obama.
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