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Want To Vet Her Some More?

Well, is Sarah Palin vetted enough for you now?

It's easy to see now why the blogosphere and the echo chamber were so frantically fantasizing about running Sarah Palin out of the race. 

It's equally easy to see why McCain put her on the ticket.

Only this afternoon, pundits like Josh Marshall were gloating over what they described as McCain's disastrous rollout of Palin.  Anyone who viewed Palin as a serious candidate and a serious threat was quickly derided as a "concern troll."  We were assured by "insiders" friendly to TPM that Palin was nothing to worry about.

Maybe she's not.  She just galvanized the Republican base and put small town America out of our reach, but who needs those rubes anyway?

McCain deserved his moment of gloating after Palin's acceptance speech.


Comments (167)

I thought she started a bit slow. But she picked up steam when she spoke about her experience as governor and compared that to Obama's experience. But honestly, she seemed almost over the top with her sarcasm, especially toward the end of the speech. I'm not sure that's going to play well. It lacked a little class. It also was a bit exaggerated. Maybe to the point of lacking credibility.

She wasn't a flop by any means. But she also seemed somehow a bit more ordinary than I had expected. And maybe not quite so likeable.

If she stumbles when she's not so scripted, McCain may still regret his choice.

Yep, I do.

Here's more:

"Palin was a highly polarizing political figure who brought partisan politics and hot-button social issues like abortion and gun control into a mayoral race that had traditionally been contested like a friendly intramural contest among neighbors. "

Wow, so she is a divisive partisan figure. Sound familiar? Sounds like George W. Bush.

http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1837918,00.html

Newsflash to Purple State and observer2: The Republicans LIKE over the top, polarization, and divisiveness. That's how they win elections.

Well, just because something worked for Bush, barely, in 2000 and 2004, doesn't mean it will work this election.

Being divisive worked for Reagan and Newt Gingrich as well. Last night simply revealed that that's the Republican weapon of choice in this election.

But last night wasn't just about the presidency, it was indirectly about rallying the voter base to get out the vote and hold on to Congressional seats too.

Which part of "there are fewer Republicans in America today" don't you get????

30% is not a majority.

------

Sarah Palin = Bush 2.0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rhjuRMi_78U

Here we go again!

Another "reformer with results" country governor who masks extreme rightwing views and total incompetence with folksiness and platitudes about being "compassionate".

Just another pretty face on the ugly policies of environmental destruction, more subsidies for Big Oil, more wars and hatred abroad, and more partisan warfare and religious extremism at home.

Non sequitur much? I wasn't talking to you, observer2, and I don't care about your unrelated point.

= Lost the argument, blowngasket.


ya, i think he did. and cried about it too.

And "Republicans" are at their lowest number in DECADES.

I say, good for them. It's a losing strategy.

And "Republicans" are at their lowest number in DECADES.

I say, good for them. It's a losing strategy.

She just galvanized the Republican base and put small town America out of our reach, but who needs those rubes anyway?

The author of this post just insulted rubes here. Small town America is too intelligent for the kind of spectacle that was on display. Really, it was embarrassing more than anything else.

I think she energized the Democratic base more than anything.

As an aside, IMHO, you just don't pass around a baby, nevermind one with Down's Syndrome, like she or he is a prop.

It's very revealing.


Yeah, they are really playing up the family. It's almost like she's using them for political purposees. And putting them in the line of fire to advance her own ambitions.

Also, a lot of people like Obama. Is insulting him really a good ploy? Showing a little respect is classy. Mocking your opponent is a bit low brow.

I'm not sure she's all that likeable.

If the low brow stufor a "White Trash in the White House" theme to develop.

Well, I'm not sure how this half-finished version of my post (finished version is below) got posted.

But since it's out there, let me finish it. I was thinking that there was something a little classless in the way Palin mocked Obama. That lack of class in the speech was amplified by the images of her pregnant daughter and the daughter's boyfriend milling about awkwardly on stage. While there's some appeal to the "ordinary small-town girl makes it big" story there's also a very strong undercurrent of a "White Trash in the White House" story. And while Americans may be ready to put a black man in the White House, I'm not sure they're yet tolerant enough to accept honest-to-goodness rednecks(unless they're of the Harvard educated Bill Clinton sort or the Yale educated ersatz hillbilly George Bush type).

True. "Energize" cuts both ways...

True. "Energize" cuts both ways...

I think most people have consistently said she galvanizes and excites the Republican base. However, she doesn't (as yet) appeal to the independents and moderates that McCain needs to win. I don't think the Bush strategy of busing in evangelicals is going to play in 2008. And it ain't exactly sitting pretty when your VP drowns out the top of your ticket.

McCain may have deserved his moment of gloating -- I'm content to wait until Nov. 4th to do mine.

Her base was energized the moment she was announced.

What she's after are the voters who gave Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia to Clinton. Obama is working hard to reconcile with those voters. He had a shot at it until Palin entered the race. Now he's wasting his time campaigning in Indiana and Ohio. He has to concentrate on Michigan and Colorado. If she tips Michigan or Colorado, it's over.

The CNN vote analyzer nailed it. If Gore had been able to win Tennessee, we'd be coming to the end of the Gore adminstration this year. If Kerry had been able to win rural Ohio, we'd be in the middle of the Kerry administration. Rove, Rove, Rove. He knows the voters.

Lets see what the polls say next week.

Yep, it'll take a few days to see what sort of impact her speech has, both on its own merits and the media narrative (which is a mixed bag, as far as I've seen tonight). I think Palin showed she was a strong Republican who was capable of snark -- it'll play well with the folks who were looking for that. Outside that demographic, I guess we'll see.

Detroit Free Press voter panel reactions to Palin

Finding the independents' responses interesting here. (The Freep is the largest daily in Detroit; the folks in the panel were from the city and surrounding areas -- yeah, they have suburbs called Beverly Hills and Berkley).

Billy Glad, I know the elderly don't tend to read Rolling Stone but RFK Jr. quite clearly documented that Kerry actually won Ohio in Rolling Stone a couple of years ago. Perhaps you should look the article up.

He did? OMG. How come Bush didn't turn over the White House? How about when I leave you take over my blog? I'll leave you some stuff, you can change it up some, put in a couple of links to Rolling Stone and say it's yours. They way you write your term papers.

He's ahead in Ohio by two, post-Palin announcement. See CNN.

Maybe you should vet your posts before you put them up, or at least attempt to reconcile them with known data.

get a clue,

rove had nothing to do with this pick.

actually he was against it.

Anyone who viewed Palin as a serious candidate and a serious threat was quickly derided as a "concern troll."

You mispelled "People who strain to come up with lame-ass reasons to be concerned concerned CONCERNED!!! about Obama's chances in November are quickly derided as concern trolls."

But unlike most concern trolls, you write well AND you can sometimes come up with "arguments" that are so outrageously whacked out that they're just falling-on-the-floor-funny. My recent favorite being your attempt to elevate your inner Rorschach test to something you could call "analysis," with the obvious conclusion being OBAMA CAN'T BEAT TEDDY ROOSEVELT!!11!!11!!@!!! LOLZ OMG@!@@!!!!

Too, too funny.

As for Palin, here's a free clue: the issue isn't whether she can galvanize the Repub base. McCain could have done that in a smart way that wouldn't do more harm than good.

Listen: The Repub base was galvanized by Harriet Miers.

Think that through before you embarrass yourself again. The Repub base was galvanized by Harriet Miers.

Any "analysis" that purports to be impressed by the galvanization of the Repub base should be mocked until it slinks away in shame. Galvanizing the Repub base is no big deal. The Repub base was galvanized by Harriet Miers.

And Harriet Miers was clean as a whistle compared to Palin. She was just a bad choice. Palin is a bad choice with some really wonderful skeletons in her closet. With more on the way.

It's wonderful political theater, and McCain is going down in flames in a spectacular way. Your desperate attempts to find things to be concerned concerned concerned about are keeping you from enjoying the fun.

Bob Bob, now that we've all noticed how you've learned to spell "concern," why don't you try the next step? Like this. Sometimes, when you "think," you try to consider ALL the possibilities. Good, bad, in-between. You use your i-m-a-g-i-n-a-t-i-o-n. You game it. Do scenarios. And they always produce numerous ways to see things, which you then try and weight. you know, probabilities and all that. And then... come up with different strategies.

Which is different than... cheering. Or even shrieking. And at this point - much as I personally love and am SO so impressed by - your use of the word "concern"... why don't you fuck off. Because you're a god-damn vegetable.

I think he's Josh Marshall's brother-in-law or something. Check this out. My wife is really pissed because Palin dissed community organizers. Now, she's not impressed by Obama's community organizing, but she thinks in general that Palin should have been nicer to community organizers. I tried to tell her that in Palin's world community organizers are viewed as bottom feeders. No one is going to say anything nice about them. Now she's pissed at me. LOL. She even got a little "shrill" for a moment.

Had a bit of a barney, eh Billy? ;-) Ok. I've been a community organizer. But it's always been code, right? It was code for largely black inner-city areas, for older white industrial communities hit hard when manufacturing left, for Hispanic farmworkers, etc. But in white exurbia - where a lot of my own backwoods white brethren & cistern moved - there's no bloody "community organizers." It's places where you don't have roots. They're new, but you bring with you the old stuff you could haul in a truck. They're not even long-established suburbs. And when you return to N.Am from Europe - those areas just appear ENDLESS. And you can throw any kinda cultural shit in there you want - it's a freefire zone. But they're big on INDIVIDUALISM, because they came there BY themselves & often have never worked WITH their neighbors or communities, right? And they've got nostalgia about family & church - but you often see these "non-denominational" or evangelical churches there. Whatever they are, they're NOT into what the inner cities are or the old formerly-unionized working class cities. People are gonna say Palin is trailer trash, but she's not quite. It's exurb. See? We don't even have a fucking word for it.

To cut to the chase: "Community organizers" are for inner city black people. It's a dog whistle.

A loud and clear one. They're not even bothering to disguise it anymore. This is a very slippery slope. You just have to hope at this point that the polls will deflect them from this course. They are now coming on with the Islamic Jihad theme, too. I fear even the prospect of losing won't deter them, though. They may be in this for the long haul. There was so much talk last night about Palin representing the future of the Republican Party. I am floundering badly. Maggie Thatcher? Eva Peron? Madame Nhu? I'd like to get my head around the possibilities, but TPM is so inane.

Eleanor Roosevelt.

Billy Glad, if TPM is so inane, why don't you quite posting here.

I have a better idea: Why don't you add something to the conversation?

I probably will. I'm not quite finished chastising Josh yet, and I have a few more memes to put in place before I go. You going to miss me?

"Community organizers" are for inner city black people.

I don't agree with your limitation. It's not excclusively a racist dog whistle, it's bigger than that, it a dog whistle about the down sides of socialism. Community organizer = "outside agitator."

Here's what the whistle is to me: someone coming around from some big government or private organization trying to put peer pressure on you up close and personal as to daily life, not into "live and let live"--that if you're not with the "community" on an issue, you're a traitor.

Just because the outside agitator dog whistle was used by Jim Crow in the 50's doesn't mean it exclusively has to do with racism, it doesn't, it's bigger than that.

The Democrats will never have a majority until they drop the some of the culture/p.c. wars issues and include some of those with libertarian leanings on private life. The U.S. is too big, too multi cultural, too mobile to have a consensus on daily life culture like small European countries. Yes, small towns have a lot of peer pressure, but you can also move to another far away if you don't like that one. There is great appeal for leaving things up to local government and not "outsiders."

It doesn't matter that the GOP right is hypocritical on this front; they talk the talk enough, and Dems don't bring it up. There is always the fear of them lefties coming into your house with a condescending social worker or "community organizer" telling you how to raise your kids or live your life, for which you have to also pay higher taxes. My Mom was a perfect example, a stereotype bleeding heart liberal in many ways, white with high school education but high emotional I.Q., and a lot of respect for "common sense," never voted GOP, defended liberalism, but oh how she hated that butting into other people's lives and telling them what to do thing. A "community organizer" at the door was one of her least favorite things. She could almost visualize them pressuring the more vulnerable and it bothered her a great deal.

The GOP picks out a few big issues where they will butt into your life: for example, abortion, and then they say they'll leave you alone. "Community organizers" are always coming in from elsewhere and agitatin' you on all kinds of little stuff better left alone....

Good stuff. Be interesting to see how much they make the connection to "outside agitators" explicit, or whether they keep it under the water and stick to community organizer.

I found some of your recent comments quite helpful, too. I was even going to point to one, but with this server shit, it was too damn much work to hunt it down

One of the things I noted with much interest was Palin stressing the "I am a public servant, I go to serve" issue. Beyond the ever popular/populist "Mr. Smith Goes to Washington" theme, there is another important thing going on there about "Obama the elitist."

It's the humility thing, stupid. John McCain knows how to do humility, now we see that so does Palin. I haven't it much from Obama yet, he's not a natural at it. (There was some of that in the CNN presidential candidate profile on him, and in the Ryan Lizza article on his Chicago days--that he didn't realize that politics was about interacting one on one with individual people, that you had to do that, that they weren't just going to buy an "expert" giving lectures and sermons for these political jobs. That he had to teach himself how to do it, force it.) Bill Clinton knew how to do expert wonk tied together with empathy, that's an unusual combo of skills that one can substitue for being able to do humility. So far, I think Obama still gives off too many nanny state odors somehow. Like that public health nurse that comes unannounced for a visit to someone like my Mom and lectures that she should really be nursing that new 4th baby rather than using that formula. Well, Mom knows that nursing is better, but she doesn't want to, has other considerations, how about that Miz Buttinsky.

"Serving the people" rather than "leading" them has a lot of appeal. A candidate actually humbly asking to be able to serve them has even more appeal. I still haven't seen much of the latter from Obama. Right now he's on the tube, on CNN they are playing some sound bites from him that start "we need to do this...we need to hear this..." Who's we? Maybe I don't always want to be part of "we," maybe I don't always need or want a leader telling me what to do (the socialism thingie rearing its head.) Why not say "I want to serve you?" once in a while?

2nd try on the reply, since it hasn't posted for 10 minutes. If two end up showing, please read this one, it's got additions:

Quinn,

I found some of your recent previous comments on other threads on the Palin kinda demographic quite helpful, too. I was even going to point to one, but with this server shit, it was too damn much work to hunt it down.

One of the things I noted with much interest was Palin stressing the "I am a public servant, I go to serve" issue.

Beyond the ever popular/populist "Mr. Smith Goes to Washington" theme, there is another important thing going on there about "Obama the elitist."

It's the humility thing, stupid. John McCain knows how to do humility, now we see that so does Palin. I haven't it much from Obama yet, he's not a natural at it. (There was some of that in the CNN presidential candidate profile on

him, and in the Ryan Lizza article on his Chicago days--that he didn't realize that politics was about interacting one on one with individual people, that you had to do that, that they weren't just going to buy an "expert" giving lectures and sermons for these political jobs. That he had to teach himself how to do it, force it.) Bill Clinton knew how to do expert wonk tied together with empathy, that's an unusual combo of skills that one can substitue for being able to do humility. So far, I think Obama still gives off too many nanny state odors somehow. Like that
public health nurse that comes unannounced for a visit to someone like my Mom and lectures that she should really be nursing that new 4th baby rather than using that formula. Well, Mom knows that nursing is better, but she doesn't want to, has other considerations, how about that Miz Buttinsky.

"Serving the people" rather than "leading" them has a lot of appeal. A candidate actually humbly asking to be able to serve them has even more appeal. I still haven't seen much of the latter from Obama. Right now he's on the tube, there are sound bites from him that start "we need to do this...we need to hear this..." Who's we? Maybe I don't always want to be part of "we," maybe I don't need a leader telling me what to do for every problem (the socialism thingie.) Why not say "I want to serve you?" once in a while?

CNN also just played this soundbite from Palin's speech, that "they" want to "give you orders from Washington." The ever resounding nanny state theme.

And to go back to topic, that the liberal nutosphere wouldn't let go of demanding all the details about Palin family pregnancies, despite Obama's pleas not to, certainly brings nanny state concerns to the fore. (And you know, I don't buy that someone wanting to outlaw abortion is a nanny state type person. It was a clever, smart thing for the pro-choice folks to frame it as "choice," and I hope they still keep doing so. But that doesn't help convince those folks who equate abortion with something like manslaugher, if not murder. Everyone pretty much agress that laws against manslaughter and murder are not "nanny state.")

That scared me so much when she said that about her having "real responsibilities" as mayor. It was like saying the people in her community matter more than the people Obama helped. I wondered if I was being paranoid but it felt very racial to me.

That scared me so much when she said that about her having "real responsibilities" as mayor. It was like saying the people in her community matter more than the people Obama helped. I wondered if I was being paranoid but it felt very racial to me.

Oh course she's mad. It's the way Palin did it, with a curl of derision on her lips, and a honeyed voice dripping with venom. She's a real life Dolores Umbridge.

Maybe women can see that and hear it, whereas men look really, really, REALLY hard for reasons to 'respect' her. You and yer sex are going as far as projection, and rationalizing their 'little head' decisions with a mess of 'big head' delusion.

That insensitivity and addle-pated loutishness is likely what's driving your wife crazy. Maybe you best think about it, then go apologize for being such an ass.

Just sayin'.

Sometimes, when you "think," you try to consider ALL the possibilities. Good, bad, in-between. You use your i-m-a-g-i-n-a-t-i-o-n. You game it. Do scenarios. And they always produce numerous ways to see things, which you then try and weight. you know, probabilities and all that. And then... come up with different strategies.

Better yet, find a problem that needs solving first. Then try to consider the possibilities, good, bad and in-between, use imagination, game it, do scenarios, etc.

The problem with concern trolls is that they don't have real problems to raise, so they manufacture problems. In extreme cases you get people professing to be concerned about Obama beating Teddy Roosevelt, based on some self-administered Rorschach test, wierd shit like that.

So look. The concern troll meme du jour is OH NOEZ PALIN IS ENERGIZING THE BASE!!! ALL THE REPUBLICAN BASES BELONG TO PALIN!!!!

And so then others come along and say, huh? Energizing the Republican Base is nothing to get energized about. Even Harriet Miers energized the base. Look at what Palin is doing to the independents. Attacking community organizers plays to the base, but turns off lots of others. And furthermore, look at the issues that are piling up around her as a result of poor vetting. Not only does that turn off independent voters even more, it creates a not-small probability that she's going to self-destruct and take McCain down with her.

But then of course the concern trolls come back with things like "stop calling us concern trolls!" or wierd speculation about who is married to Josh's sister. But what they don't have are concerns that make sense. They can't see, for example, that energizing the Republican Base only raises Palin to the level of Harriet Miers. Yawnzers!

Or rather, in some cases, they can see that, but they don't care because they're just concern trolls, and a concernful concern concerns them concernfully even if it doesn't make any real sense at all. I do appreciate it when they go all whacky and amusing. They sacrifice most of their effectiveness that way, but they're so much more amusing that way.

Bob. YES, Palin's a loose cannon. And will likely self-destruct. Or shoot McCain. Repeat - YES, there are good odds on that.

Now try this.

All it was was a debate on what McCain might do next, in which I argued that the Woman VP card must be looking awfully good to Rove & co. Wasn't sure he'd take it, and didn't WANT him too because it could create problems for us, right? But it wasn't "concern trolling." Same with the Teddy Roosevelt thing the other day. It was saying, "Look. Forget what the talking heads. Forget the actual history. Where does McCain & Co want to go? Who do they want to image, brand themselves as? What vibe do they want to resonate with?"And you know what? Right out of the gate, two major Republican speakers said, Teddy Roosevelt. Chris Matthews said Teddy Roosevelt. Don't mistake me Bob, in my view, MCAIN IS NO TR. BUT IF IT LOOKED & SMELLED LIKE OBAMA WAS RUNNING AGAINST TEDDY, HE MIGHT LOSE. Because McCain IS running rogue on his own party. And Palin IS shouting I'm gonna bust those big Trusts. McCain IS pitching the theme that he's a war hero. And, no, I don't think they can carry off any close comparison. But there's a difference between "concern trolling" & doing a brainstorm.

And if Billy IS actually concern trolling, well, fine... but I couldn't give a damn. Because it gives ME a place to think. And truth is, I actually think most of those people busy poll-watching & ranting up at the front, in Election Central? They're just watching a football game & cheering & jeering. Which is great. Builds team spirit & all that. But can't people just have a coupla of back rooms to sit down and have a smoke & jaw? You know what you can get there, and know what you can get here. Your call.

Why do you continue to talk to that moron?

The "fuck off" is pathetic.

Yes, you're right, Articleman. But just scroll down & you can see that I have (here & elsewhere) repeatedly tried to spell out for Bob Bob what at least some of the commenters here are trying to do. Yet all he does is come back with extended rants, again and again, that say nothing more than "CONCERN TROLL." Now here's your call. Like Billy or not, are you a fan of somebody jumping - again and again and again - on a series of forums & doing that? On top of all the multiple comments, it makes it almost impossible for me to find the discussion. So yes, I shouldn't have said that - I blew. But who's more pathetic here? Me or Bob Bob? And if you think it's Bob Bob, why not drop a comment on him? If you think it's me, then have a nice day - because we disagree - and we can chat more happily another time. How's that?

I think Palin, along with Giuliani, Romney and the rest of the attack dogs, galvanized their base.

What they also did, I think, was turn off independent voters - especially those who have been waiting three days for Republicans to lay out anything remotely resembling a policy position. (Did you see Giuliani's speech? He looked like he was going to have an aneurysm!)

Palin's speech is just another trap. They WAHT Obama to hit her directly, so they can scream some more about sexism. I don't think you'll see it. Instead, Obama will keep talking about issues, and playing for the undecideds in the middle.

Yeah, some "joke" candidate, eh? Only net gain for me tonight is that maybe it'll shut some of these morons up for a while. She's a pitbull with fuckin' lipstick - and she's dangerous. My main hope is that people are sick of that resentful, sarcastic, contemptuous thing the Republicans seem able to churn out.

Meanwhile, Palin & John have gone Pirate. Maybe "privateer" is better, where you're licensed by the sovereign to run outside the law, forget tradition & discipline, just get out there & do some damage. Chris Matthews hit one line tonight. Palin's not aimed at Hillary voters, or at Biden.... she's a cultural torpedo, aimed at Barack & Michelle. Maybe she still explodes, makes an outlandish statement, gets too snide too fast, gets sunk by scandal. But I'd hope they're rethinking the "Safe & Calm" theme a bit right now.

And anybody that thinks she didn't NAIL that speech tonight - like her or loathe her - really has no clue as to what the Republicans are after.

She NAILED that speech in the sense that she said exactly the sort of thing that galvanizes the The Base. So what? Look at some of the people, such as Harriet Miers, who have galvanized the The Base. McCain could have picked Dobson for a running mate and galvanized the The Base.

She'd be dangerous if she could galvanize the The Base AND attract independents at the same time. And even then, that assumes she can survive trooper gate (new emails!), some obvious recent lies, some obvious exaggerations, whatever it is that the McCain campaign found so threatening that they issued a denial today even before the offending article came out, and various other things popping up all around her.

She seems at best to be a net loss for McCain, enegergizing The Base but driving more to Obama than she brings to McCain. Keep in mind that in getting The Base to vote for McCain, she's only getting him back to the bare minimum he always needed to win. She's patching a fatal hole in his campaign, his lack of appeal to The Base, but at the same time seems to be creating an even bigger hole by alienating independents.

But that's the optimistic scenario! She's not just a net loss for him, she's got a good chance of completely torpedoing his campaign. Either she wasn't vetted, which would be dumb, or she was vetted and McCain picked her anyway, which would be even dumber.

Interesting, quinn, that even on this little thread the class issue comes up immediately. She went straight for those bitter voters who cling to their guns and religion, and she is going to get them. The elitists around here see low class. The voters in small town Ohio, Indiana, and some in Michigan are going to see themselves. Morons like old bob, of course, will see and learn nothing.

She ain't aimed at Hillary'ites, or even just at reinvigorating the Base. She's a culture torpedo - but aimed at exurbia, rural people, small towns. This isn't the old working class we think of, in their big, urban industrial areas. She's aimed at that "sprawl" outside our cities - and outside the older suburbs - where a lot of people moved to escape taxes & crime etc. People who are now JAMMED for cash for the SUV & the truck making long commutes, plus the mortgage, etc. I'm not harshing on them, but a lot of these places don't HAVE real deep family roots or community roots. Look at the Palins. Think they've been in Walsilla since 1660 or even 1860? This is a world well outside most community or union organizing. Hell, often don't even HAVE a town center. So a lot of her "small town" pitch is also aimed at places where people WISH they were a small town. Places with 4th annual ATV races; places without deep-rooted traditional churches; places that get into things like "snow machine" races, rather than "dog races;" places our newspapers barely even know exist, even as most TV is pitched there.

1. What percent of the population lives there?

2. Do they ever vote democrat?

1. What percent of the population lives there?

2. Do they ever vote democrat?

Good questions Economides. I don't know the answers in the key states in question, like Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota, Penn. I'm sure some people here know the demogs better than I. Be interesting how many Paul-Barr potential voters were out there too, and how many will give McCain more support now. I've been working on the economic impacts on exurban folks for a while now. And when you look at the incidence of gas price hikes (because they commute long distances & tend to have low-efficiency vehicles); incidence of job loss (such as in the construction industry); and mortgage problems (often little equity) - they're a group that is REALLY hard pressed. Moreso than most suburbanites. I'd be looking hard at targeted tax breaks for that crowd, just to saw off any momentum there - and spell it out in language they understand.

And here comes Billy Glad to piss in the punch bowl again. No she hasn't been thoroughly vetted yet. She read a prepared speech off of a teleprompter. The genius strategy of how to win small town america and galvanize the base wasn't hers. If you think she's a great political figure then you're a dope. If you think there might be something to the Republican strategy, well, we'll have to wait and see.

Have some punch.

A Hawiian punch.

Heh.

No question, she did everything McCain could have wanted from her.

What's striking to me, though, is the tacit admission by the GOP that McCain has to run a wedge-issue campaign just to have a chance. They're not even bothering to pretend McCain will be an issues-focused, higher-minded candidate.

This really reinforces the point (made repeatedly around here) that Obama wins IF he sticks to hitting on major issues, especially pocketbook ones.

I think you'll see a lot of Rust Belt and swing-state touring asking what I think the money questions are: "Are you better off than you were eight years ago? What has John McCain told you he'll do to help?"

Hey Eastside. Nope, I think a lot of the high-minded stuff has gone now. The good thing is, the bar's been lowered so fast that I think Obama can throw more punches now, while still looking like a gentleman. I agree absolutely on the pocketbook stuff - but I'd predict a re-tooling of the Obama economic message. It's gonna have to be bigger $, sharper, and thrown a lot clearer and punchier. But no, I think he's gonna have to somehow go after the cultural themes as well. And that's gonna take some thought. right now, he just IS the safer & calmer of the two tickets. Which is a good thing, in lots of ways. But Palin & McCain are pirates. They can and will SAY & DO ANYTHING. That speech tonight had NO connection to external reality. She went straight from Hello to digging at & twisting the resentments out there. Jutted out her jaw, curled her lip, and let rip. But WE bloody gave her the opportunity, and we never should have. However. The next step is a response. But the job just got harder, and right now, if I was Obama, I'd be thinking about imagining himself as 5% DOWN, and play the game that way. Faster, looser, maybe take some risks. I'm not saying DO it yet - let's see how this plays - but tool up.

Judging from Obama's history, especially when faced with big attacks in the primaries, I predict he and Biden will largely stay on the issues.

I do think he's going to have a good time drawing contrasts and sharpening definitions. If anything, that would be the retooling I expect.

Quinnesq, I find her personally very offputting but her appeal may be more widespread than I can imagine. I'm from a small town (that I don't think would've bought Palin by the way) but I'm much more urban now and probably way too out of touch rural "values." And I certainly put nothing past a nation that can elect Bush to two terms.

But I read a lot of comments elsewhere, and there are a lot of people who are writing in that they just don't buy her -- and that she's exploiting her kids. That turns more women off than you can imagine.

You may be right that in the backwoods she's a winner. But I think in the suburbs, she's a flop, and in what Brooks calls the exurbs too. Not sure Brooks knows anything about anything other than expensive cheeses and wine. He'd've gotten laughed out of the bars where I came from.

Yeah, they are really playing up the family. It's almost like she's using them for political purposes. Putting them in the line of fire (quite literally in the case of Track) to advance her own ambitions.

Also, a lot of people like Obama. Is insulting him really a good ploy? Showing a little respect is classy. Mocking your opponent is a bit low brow. Her over-the-top attacks may alienate a large portion of the millions of voters leaning toward Obama rather than attract them. That won't be good for the Republicans. And her tone made me think she's not all that likeable. Some of the charm is off.

It was A#1 for the base. Well, A#1 for a base - the right wing conservative Christian base. I didn't hear much to quiet the concerns from the other conservatives on fiscal or foreign policy. There are serious rumblings that she would be a disaster if anything happened to McCain. And NOBODY's fooling themselves about McCain's age.

There was little but red meat and over-the top assertions. Assertions that are silly on their face. She needed to at least seriously acknowledged the challenge that going from where she is to where she needs to be in terms of skill, knowledge and experience. She needed to show America she would ready herself to step in as President, not that she could deliver glib one-liners written by Bush's speechwriters. Instead she asserted that she had more executive experience than a man who's first executive position was as editor-in-chief of the Harvard Law Review while she was doing beer-bongs at Idaho state. Gutsy? yes. Smart? Probably not. Even necessary? Not at all.

Do you actually know anyone who lives in "small town America"? I'm not sure this is enough to even turn the tide in Idaho. Ted Stevens controls every penny that is dispersed in the Northwest - and he gives most to Alaska and then Washington state. I'm not sure how happy Idaho would be to see an Alaska Firster in the White House (especially if Stevens gets off and reelected ... shit!). I don't know if he has fingers in Montanna's money too, but if he does she might hurt McCain with some folks there as well. I could go on - local politics.

Are you so used to getting your ass kicked by Rove that you see a nuclear warhead every time he tosses a squib? When people around here take down the Ron Paul signs and put up McCain ones, I'll let you know. As of now, GOP officials don't even have them up .. if that DOESN'T change tomorrow, McCain's in trouble.

I live in small town America.

I live in small town America.

I wasn't trying to be a dick. I just see something different around where I live. Still no McCain signs out.

Also, to be a little more clear: Obama will never take Idaho. But there is a fracturing of the GOP base with 3 different contenders(in downticket races) competing for enough of the "republican" floaters to take a win in the 1st. Sali was supposed to have a tough race (started w/ a 34% approval) even before a string of anti-Idaho legislation he supported. LaRocco/Reich was the shocker, it was supposed to be a 25+ point spread - and it's within 10. That's why the money to the state.

If they don't do something to attract the Ron Paul base(pissed over a symbolic local legal pot thing and respect) and the agricultural base (pissed at GOP stance on industrial hemp as gateway legislation to heroin production and lumber royalties) they are in serious danger of losing a congressional seat and dems have an increasing shot at a senate pickup in a red state. A big part of the fracture is that the "social conservatives" just rather brutally smashed all other wings of the party establishment, so they were already on board with McCain(long story).

Paul supporters make up almost 30% of republicans in Idaho and they are vocal about being tired of this red-meat stuff. Also, McCain treated Paul like shit at the convention when his supporters were really looking for some Hillary-style respect. If those voters break for the Barr-aligned candidates, it gives a clean win to Minnick. I don't see Palin doing anything but driving those voters away from McCain(the protectionist farmers/lumbermen might be driven away by the above mentioned Alaska/Stevens issues).

In this small-town state, I think the selection will be an overall boost to dems in downticket races. The effect might be different elsewhere. That's the danger of generalizing the diverse nation under a single banner "small-town".

But really, I'm just an armchair quarterback like everyone else - what the hell do I know?

Hey, Billy.
I dug all the way down into this instant archive to see what you had to say. Hope you appreciate such loyalty.
I'm not disappointed. Disagree with you or not, you give good thread.
And as Mick would say, mid-concert, Quinn is good tonight, ain't he?
I'll point out that I for one never dismissed Palin as an electoral threat, just as vice-presidential -- or, horror of horrors, presidential -- material.
Yes, that was a great speech (she didn't write it) and she delivered it flawlessly.
I was actually kinda relieved. She'd been touted as the Republican Obama, but she fell short of that mark.
Of course, she was debuting before her first national audience, and had been very tightly scripted.
But she's obviously sharp as a tack and a quick study. She's truly dangerous.
I just wonder how McCain is going to deal with this monster he's created. She's more charismatic than he is, younger and better-looking, and a far better teleprompter-reader.
McCain's ego will not easily reconcile with the fact that she's the big draw, the applause-getter, when they campaign together.
How many days before he publicly calls her a cunt?
Well, I guess a man aiming for the White House can take another two months of abuse after 5-plus years as a Pow. (Did you know he once was a PoW? Interesting story.)
Anyway, Palin took a few shots tonight. She hit "community organizer" twice and "always proud of America" once.
I suspect Obama sees the trap they are setting, and his instructions tonight were, "OK, Joe, let 'er rip."
As per the usual rules, the presidential candidates fight it out, and so do the VPs.
Obama can beat McCain head to head, and Biden can at least hold his own with Palin (certainly where foreign policy is the issue).
And now that she's shown a bit of the nasty, Biden can take off the kid gloves.
Obama will not make the mistake of fighting Palin directly, even if she is the more dynamic part of the Republican ticket.
And do you think Biden is reluctant to beat her up in the alley before the debate, during the debate, and as he's escorting her back to her limo?
No, Joe's the "happy warrior." He's been in training for this his entire life.
He and Palin are -- to use McCain's infelicitous phrasing -- soulmates.
The VP battle will be almost erotic, like female mud-wrestling. Except that one of the competitors will not be female, and the mud will be mostly metaphoric.
Where was I? (I got distracted by my own imagery.)
Right. Palin has indeed energized the right-wing base. Can she expand her appeal beyond that to Joe (and I do mean Joe) Six-Pack?
Possibly.
I think it's time Obama played the fear card:
Are these two people the ones you want holding the new-clear football?
I sure as hell know I don't. But unlike the rest of you, I don't have much say in it, do I?
Think long and hard, folks.

You know what? As disturbing as your imagery was, I think you nailed it when you said that he's been training for this moment, and maybe even this opponent, his entire life. Sarah Palin is a special kind of candidate for a section of this country, but her style of personality politics is pushing her right into Joe Biden's wheelhouse. This is where he lives.

The more I think about it, the more I appreciate Obama's selection of Joe. He's going to be a real asset in neutralizing Sarah Palin, and he can do it with a smile. Plus, he has the advantage of being more in line with mainstream America, which I'm sure will become a theme of the Obama campaign.

Let the games begin. Just don't forget about the issues.

At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us. The reaction of the pro-Obama media has been disastrous. They set the bar so low for her that she could have crawled over it. And McCain's slap down of Larry King already has Brown falling over herself to defend Palin from old boy Harry Reid. Believe it or not, at this stage, the Obama campaign is in shambles.

And believe it or not, the Republicans have already put forward their economic recovery plan. Some of us don't like it. Some of us don't like it so much we can't even hear it.

What did Axelrod forget? You can't be a populist without a rural American base.

Billy. It was a good speech. Not great, good. And yes, people were wrong to simply dismiss her. But...

The Obama campaign is in shambles? Really? That's hyperbole right?

I guess we'll see.


Well, if you believe Obama needs to win those "working class whites" Hillary beat him with in Ohio and Pennsylvania, he has a problem. How does he court them while he's beating up one of their own? See what I mean? He has to find a way to drag her away from that base.

Axelrod almost always loses his first time out.

You're bipolar, Billy. Seriously.

I'll just repost this prediction.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/08/the-backlash-cometh-msm-opeds.php#comment-3063898

The GOP is not stupid. Palin gave them their only chance to be competitive and match Obama's star power. The democrats were stupid enough to question her on experience having been a mayor and governor and she hit back - hard - on Obama's experience. The GOP fundraising is going to go through the roof and the Palin bounce is on the way (minus any serious screwups by McCain).

Ouch. That hurt. But maybe it knocked some sense into those who were diminishing and ridiculing Palin since her announcement. She's a force to be reckoned with and I look forward to the VP debate to see who can out-snide the other between her and Biden without coming off as a total asshat.

You were right then, and you're right now. They have completely written off the big cities, the black vote, the liberal vote, the unions and, possibly, the Hispanic vote.

I believe America is in very great danger now. We need to think long and hard about Huey Long, Father Coughlin, Joe McCarthy and other American fascist movements.

Listening to the speeches last night, you would believe that America was a nation of entrepreneurs and small businesses. The real power behind the scenes in American politics, the corporations, were hardly mentioned at all.

The question is: How will we respond to the corporate threat?

I commented this elsewhere but in the chaos TPM has become, don't even know where.

Billy, I think the GOP has reconstructed the William Jennings Bryan constituency of the turn of the 19th to 20th century. Almost exactly. By religious affiliation, income level, rural/urban, education level, etc. Its the same block of people. And WJB was able to make two or three runs at the white house with his base.

Its simply amazing.

Governor Palin did everything she had to do last night which was: (1) to prove that she can walk and chew bubble gum at the same by giving a well-delivered albeit eminently canned speech; (2) to prove that she can take a punch, which she did by making light of the media obsession over her this past week; and (3) to show that she can and will give give a punch, which some folks were turned off by but which a woman candidate in general, and which vice presidential candidates in particular. ordinarily must be able to do. [Note to the TPM Cafe punditry: In the history of United States presidential elections, particularly those since the 20th century, vice presidential candidates have often been expected to serve as attack dogs. It's kind of like the good cop/bad cop routine. I chuckled last night when Olbermann kept suggesting that now, just now, Senator Biden has cause to take the gloves off. Why was he still wearing them?]

Governor Palin crossed an important bar last night with flying colors. She is not home free by any of stretch of the imagination. She will be hated even more by portions of the media that feel she insulted them last night, and she will be caught at some point in more impromptu situations. She will also have to explain her free trade views in Ohio, and her other more zany world perspective and so on. But I think the mockery of her that we were subjected to all week is over and done with, and in any event consigned to places like this. Regular media folks for the most part will write of the folks on the other side of the tree were the ones who were deriding her without mercy; it was the other guy.

There are only a few more weeks in which we will be able to discuss the election with objectivity. After that, going off message to any extent will be seen as some form of concern trolling. Good thing that's not happening now.

Well put. Some observations:

(1) If Palin had bombed last night, it would've been absolute political malpractice by McCain. She was basically a blank slate, with telegenics and the ability to smoothly deliver a script, in front of an audience desperate for red meat.

The McCain campaign, of course, controlled her media access correctly, and I would expect they'll keep her on as short a leash as possible as long as possible.

(2) Olbermann's got it wrong. I don't think Biden's gloves are on. He's just sticking to bashing McCain on the issues, which is where I think the winning happens in this election. Incidentally, he appears to be playing very well in Florida.

(3) By "mockery", I assume you mean some of the more personal attacks on her, or members of her family. In that case, I agree. I put up a blog earlier that said we should stay out of personal stuff, if for no other reason than the risk/reward analysis doesn't make it worthwhile. Besides, McCain/Palin is such a target-rich environment on major issues that Cindy, Bristol, Todd, et al., don't even need to be introduced - and introducing them risks backlash, especially from white female voters.

(4) I hope you don't allow the spectre of "concern trolling" accusations to stop you from posting your analyses. I enjoy reading them, even if I don't always agree with the conclusion.

Thanks eastside:

I enjoy your comments also. I am hardly worried about allegations of concern trolling directed at me; it's the other guy around the tree whose sensitivities I worry about. :) There are fabulous posters here, including Purple State for one who has graced this thread and has been around these parts for a very long time.

I think it was kind of easy to see what was going to happen last night. The bar for Palin was set so gosh darn low by folks like Josh who should know much better, that Palin couldn't screw up. And now we see that she will be formidable on the stump.

I think the Obama campaign needs to stay on message; I love the current message that the GOP convention, from which we have to expect a bit of a bounce, is nonetheless devoid of reference to the economic turmoil that we're in. I think that's the message the campaign needs to stay with. I was also heartened to see the background for at least one of Senator Obama's events in Ohio yesterday. He was with a small crowd, and he was talking economics, and frankly he looked good. The economy is the theme this time; now he needs to earn the respect in the gut of the American people. Respect in the head is what Adlai Stevenson had, and he had lots of it and lost lost twice. . .big time.

Palin went straight for the gut last night, and my sense is that it resonated with a fairly large portion of the American people. The ball goes back to our court after tonight, and I think it's time to take the other team's "shooting" guard a bit more seriously. Ciao.

Bruce


I was watching Obama in Ohio yesterday also, Bruce. As you know, I think the best thing about Obama is his sincerity. But, for some reason, when he gets into that I'm just a poor boy and "my mother was the most important person in my life and I owe it all to her" stuff on the stump, it really turns me off. Seems like one day he owes it all to grandma, the next day he owes it all to the mom who dumped him on grandma. Obama trying to fit in with the white working class by telling stories about his mother and grandmother is like Dukakis getting in a tank.

I see your point, but I'm not sure it's totally accurate. I say Obama trying to bowl in Altoona was more like the tank. He's comfortable talking about his family and his past, and that's where that honesty you like shines best. Obama bowling - badly - while in a shirt and tie? Not so much. He's got to be himself.

Remember that he's now campaigning in many areas where he didn't really try to campaign in the Democratic primary. (Southern Ohio, which Hillary had on lock thanks to Ted Strickland, is an excellent example.) So, he's really actually introducing himself to those voters, don't you think?

(It is at this point that I insert my "what would I do" idea: Bill Clinton gets his own tour bus from the campaign and is dispatched to every town in the Rust Belt with a population under 5,000 between now and November 5.)

Thanks eastside:

I enjoy your comments also. I am hardly worried about allegations of concern trolling directed at me; it's the other guy around the tree whose sensitivities I worry about. :) There are fabulous posters here, including Purple State for one who has graced this thread and has been around these parts for a very long time.

I think it was kind of easy to see what was going to happen last night. The bar for Palin was set so gosh darn low by folks like Josh who should know much better, that Palin couldn't screw up. And now we see that she will be formidable on the stump.

I think the Obama campaign needs to stay on message; I love the current message that the GOP convention, from which we have to expect a bit of a bounce, is nonetheless devoid of reference to the economic turmoil that we're in. I think that's the message the campaign needs to stay with. I was also heartened to see the background for at least one of Senator Obama's events in Ohio yesterday. He was with a small crowd, and he was talking economics, and frankly he looked good. The economy is the theme this time; now he needs to earn the respect in the gut of the American people. Respect in the head is what Adlai Stevenson had, and he had lots of it and lost lost twice. . .big time.

Palin went straight for the gut last night, and my sense is that it resonated with a fairly large portion of the American people. The ball goes back to our court after tonight, and I think it's time to take the other team's "shooting" guard a bit more seriously. Ciao.

Bruce


Damn editing stuff:

Last sentence of second to the last paragraph should read:

"Regular media folks for the most part will write of the folks on the other side of the tree as the one ones who were deriding her without mercy; it was the other guy".

Well, is Sarah Palin vetted enough for you now?
No. Setting aside the fact that the person should be vetted before being offered the world's second-most important job, Palin offered nothing in the way of issues. She also repeated at least two lies that have been proven such.
Anyone who viewed Palin as a serious candidate and a serious threat was quickly derided as a "concern troll."

She is not a serious candidate. A serious candidate would actually bother to prepare for the job, and to learn about foreign and national policy. A threat? Maybe.

Maybe she's not. She just galvanized the Republican base and put small town America out of our reach, but who needs those rubes anyway?

She galvanised the Republican base, sure, but also the Democratic base. At best, a wash, and that is dubious with registration numbers the way they are. And how do you think it went over with the independents?

Yours was a weird post, Mr. Glad. You explain in no way why she is such a magnificent force, merely present it as a truism. I am not sure you are "concerned," Mr. Glad, but are you perhaps afraid?

Let us for the moment hypothetise that you were correct all along, and Palin is a grave threat to Democratic existence. Glaringly lacking from your, ahem, "treatise" is any advice.

Mr. Glad, how do you propose we thwart this cataclysmic threat?

If I fear anything, I touch on it downstream. In the 1930s, Facism was launched from bases as desparate as Huey Long's South and Father Coughlin's national radio show. The McCarthy era is more familiar to some of us than either of those movements. If you can't picture Palin in jackboots, you are lacking imagination or relevant information. You'll have to bear with me as I think through McCain/Palin out loud. Or don't, if it upsets or concerns you.

But you are not "thinking it through out loud," Mr. Glad. All you posted was a reaction to something that, I shall presume, you thought.

Obviously, I'm not writing for you.

Billy, roo hits the mark for me. You say Obama's speech convinced you of his sincerity. And here you post about Palin's speech as if it was dispositive proof of her power. Perhaps you are just thinking out loud, but it comes off as if you are flapping in the wind.

I really mean this. I just said that the Palin/McCain ticker represents the clearest threat of Fascism in 60 years, and I get scribbling back from lightweights like you and the roo. What you should do is not read my posts. Just ignore them. I ignore trolls and lightweights when I remember to. You two are definitely in that category. If I can remember, this will be the last time I respond to your inanities.

I wasn't responding to the Fascism notion, but to your initial post in this thread. You act as if something was proven last night that the Palin naysayers need to respond to. All that was proven is that she can deliver red meat to her hometown crowd, and she's better with the teleprompter than McCain (not surprising since she was a former TV personality).

Personally, I think McCain perhaps made the best choice available to him under the circumstances. But I'll hold off on hitting the panic button just based on that speech.

I'll ignore your petty insults, and you can choose to ignore my posts if you wish. I guess I'll stop waiting for your evidence that Palin has a super-high security clearance and receives high-level military briefings in her role as AK gov.

Yes, Mr. Glad, you just said it. This is my point.

Self-inflicted martyrdom is your crutch, Mr. Glad. Let it go. Make a difference.

Yes, Mr. Glad. You just said it. This is my point.

In word: YES!

Keep vetting the nutcase. She's unhinged. I think we've touched a nerve with this angry, explosive McCain campaign.

She's a total disaster. And best of all, the GOP is keeping her on the ticket. Awesome. I hope she is welcome back in Alaska after her reputation is torn to shreds and they go down in landslide defeat.

Billy,

Yes, its easy to see why McCain put her on the ticket. She's a typical Republican, divisive, cocky, and vacuous.

It became clear that she was not selected for her readiness to fill the presidency should McCain should drop dead. She was selected for her "Barracuda" attack style and to attract so-called Hillary voters. Which means you, Billy.

Is she a serious candidate? No. She's a serious shark, whom, for whatever else she may have displayed, did not display the character to lead a nation, nor the grasp of issues to be president in an emergency.

Did she galvanized the GOP base? Maybe. If she has, there can be no excuses when the GOP loses this election. The country will have clearly rejected the McCain/Palin brand of leadership and the GOP brand of conservatism. We shall see in November.

Oh, and you ARE a concern troll, Billy.

Billy Glad is a rightwing republican. He's a spinmeister, yes.

And yet who are the clowns who rec his post? I smell sockpuppets.

You didn't recommend it? I'm concerned about that. Really concerned. You being a trained observer and all. Have some punch anyway.

Billy Glad is a rightwing republican. He's a spinmeister, yes.

And yet who are the clowns who rec his post? I smell sockpuppets.

I'm doubly concerned that you didn't recommend my post.

LOL

Sarah Palin = Pat Buchanan in a dress. It's 1992 "culture wars" all over again.

I listened to the economic reform plan and it revolves around industry contracts for domestic pipelines and making the tax cuts permanent. Both of these reforms are continuations of Bush's policies.

Bottom line on Palin:

Nothing is going to distract enough voters to swing them towards perpetuating more of the last eight years. Social red meat delivered by a Hawkey Mawm will deliver the tried and true self-destructive small town voters. But too many are overwhelmed by medical bills, unfunded education, and property value fallout to buy into the same old hate.

There was nothing in her speech that played to health care, education, and any other plank of a coherent domestic platform. Once the mass huzzah dies out, many people will begin to wonder, "now what?" And that now what is a perpetuation of Bush/Cheney politics... the increase of the class divide and the further ruination of small town life.

The "what about my pocketbook" contingent will not be mollified by snark and tax cuts. Because the tax cuts have not made their lives better. All flash. No substance.

Yes. Class warfare it is. And there was not one word in that speech that was not completely "vetted" by the McCain campaign.

But they may have made a mistake. I could dress her in black leather and boots and imagine a different flag behind her last night.

She did good. McCain lucked out. But it WAS luck, remember he wanted Leiberman. If he had seen this Palin, she would have been his first pick, so clearly he was surprised as anyone.

Bottom line, Johnny Mac still makes reckless, slipshod decisions - but he has a good "gut". Classic gambler. He is NOT the safe choice this year, not by a long shot.

Oh, and the speech was great for the base, but the GOP is reading Party ID numbers backwards. This is the year you can't insult Dems.

You could be right. Let's see how the polls look next week.

Now, it's easy to see why McCain didn't choose Mitt Romney.

Because he's sold out to the rightwing fundies?

I'm glad that the sham image of "independent minded" McCain is shattered by a growling partisan tone from the campaign.

A moderate middle of the road McCain would have been formidible. This new vitriolic rightwing McCain is a surefire loser.

You are jumping the gun. McCain hasn't given his own speech yet, and my guess is, it will have a different tone from Palin's, and a different emphasis. We'll see if I'm right soon enough.

In the meantime, I saw Romeny's speech last night. If you didn't see it, then you wouldn't know what I'm talking about by mentioning him.

On the other hand, Huckabee was very smooth. I would love to know who is writing these speeches. The "earned it" meme is a dog whistle for so many things from service to affirmative action. I can't wait for the polls next week.

Yes, Huckabee was scary-smooth. He always is. I was thinking that McCain would have picked Huckabee if Obama had picked Clinton. Arkansas vs. Arkansas.

But Giuliani was an affirmative-action dog whistle incarnate.

And did you notice the whiners on the front page are beginning to call for mama to come get the bad lady? Kurtz: Where's Hillary? As if she could do anything until Obama and Biden step up without making them look like wimps. OMG! Where's Hillary? How do these guys find their way to work every day?

Why is everyone here assuming that she did anything other than do a good job reading a speech that someone else wrote for her?

I know some of you former Hillarenes still think, at some level, perhaps only at an emotional level, that that's all Obama does--that he's just a ventriloquist dummy for some mysterious group of someones who put all these great words into his mouth. Well, sorry, that was never true. When he doesn't write them himself--which he still does from time to time--Obama at least tells his people what he wants in his speeches. His speeches are written by people who understand his policy goals and his thoughts.

And sorry, all Sarah Palin did was what the Republicans say (and Hillary's people use to imply) that Obama does. Tucker Bounds and the rest of the Rovettes on Team McPow wrote her a nasty base-roiling speech, and she delivered it adequately. Anyone who said she wouldn't was either deliberately lowering expecations or just being a dumbass. Beauty queen, sportscaster, local politician--of course she delivered it well; that's well within her skill set.

But no one knows what her impact will really be until Team McPow actually lets her talk to the press. If she handles a presser adroitly and shows that she managed to cram enough knowledge into her head to counteract a lifetime of not thinking about national and international issues, then maybe it turns out McCain may have made a decent choice after all and maybe we lose some of the the "Jesus, McCain's a dumbass" points we picked up in the polls. On the other hand, if she turns in the kind of performance Ferraro and Quayle did in their first pressers, the U.S.S. McPow drives itself even deeper onto the iceberg.

And, btw, did anyone notice the delta between the ratings for the RNC and the DNC?

Did you watch Palin's speech, and if so, are you blind and deaf, NCSteve? Did you see the reaction in the hall? Or did you somehow block it out? Those people in the audience are the delegates who go out and rally the Republican voters in their districts. I'd say they are pretty happy with the McCain/Palin ticket.

So, yes, we do know what the impact of Palin's speech will be because we saw it with our own eyes. We don't need polls.

The problem with you Obamanauts is that you believe every response is—and should be—a cerebral one, and that a cerebral response applies to everyone in the country. Well, it doesn't. So you can deny emotional responses all you want, but I know one when I see one. And I saw a strong emotional response last night.

Want to see something funny? This just got pushed off the list by a string of triple and double blog posts. TPM has become a waste of time.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/america-may-be-in-danger-now.php

Want to see something funny? This just got pushed off the list by a string of triple and double blog posts. TPM has become a waste of time.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/america-may-be-in-danger-now.php

Want to see something funny? This just got pushed off the list by a string of triple and double blog posts. TPM has become a waste of time.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/america-may-be-in-danger-now.php

Want to see something funny? This just got pushed off the list by a string of triple and double blog posts. TPM has become a waste of time.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/america-may-be-in-danger-now.php

I did see your post, BG. I'm going to comment on it to try to bump it up to the Rec List.

Supposedly, TPM is getting a makeover on Sept. 15. Until it does, it aptly echoes the Obama campaign: in disarray.

It was funny the first time, but lost something in the retelling.

What did you expect their response to be, readytoblow? Judging how the rest of the country is going to respond by the applausometer readings on Republican delegates at their own convention is about as stupid as...saying Obama will win because he got a lot of applause at Invesco last week. I mean, dumb as you may think I am because I support Obama, I'd feel like an idiot if that's the strongest point I could think to make.

So now you know who to vote for. If she got you all hot and excited, then McCain's your man. Bug out of here.

The fact that a room full of batshit insane Republican true believers went batshit insane over a a speech that pushed all their favorite buttons was not exactly surprising or particularly alarming to me. To find out how the people they do have to win over--the twenty to thirty percent who are still making up their minds--reacted to it, you do need to see some polling. If she turns off as many as she converts, we win. And anecdotally, there seem to be a lot of people in the real world who found it to be a major turn-off, the reaction of a bunch of mean old rich white guys notwithstanding.

The fact remains we have no idea what kind of candidate she's going to be over the next two months and we're not going to know until we see her ride without the training wheels.

And, btw, as long as we've been here throwing darts at each other here, please, call me Steve.

The fact that a room full of batshit insane Republican true believers went batshit insane over a a speech that pushed all their favorite buttons was not exactly surprising or particularly alarming to me. To find out how the people they do have to win over--the twenty to thirty percent who are still making up their minds--reacted to it, you do need to see some polling. If she turns off as many as she converts, we win. And anecdotally, there seem to be a lot of people in the real world who found it to be a major turn-off, the reaction of a bunch of mean old rich white guys notwithstanding.

The fact remains we have no idea what kind of candidate she's going to be over the next two months and we're not going to know until we see her ride without the training wheels.

And, btw, as long as we've been here throwing darts at each other here, please, call me Steve.

Gdammit, I just hit send once. This place is really starting to drive me crazy.

Remember that "strike" of Hillary-supporting Kos bloggers? Granted it didn't work out very well for them, but I'm still kind feeling like organizing a strike for better non-working conditions at TPM.

Hey, if nothing else, it might relieve the server congestion.

And who's gonna cram enough knowledge into the heads of the press? Beyond that, will McCain let her near any media that would go after her seriously? Only 9 weeks - she may play run & gun across the countryside, star in shiny-booted ads, touching down only to talk to Fox & a few friends.....

She reads a speech well. She is sarcastic. She's a pitbull with lipstick. She's a Republican. She is totally unimpressive. Her speech was naive pap. Listen to your wife Billy. I'm listening to mine and she had to turn Palin off last night. Lots of women smell something rotten around her--for a lot of different reasons--and I think her smarm will turn lots off. Yeah she mobilized a nearly dead Republican base. They turned their ventilators back on. But she also will mobilize Obama's base. It's a wash at best.

If I did that, I might have to vote for McCain. Sounds like your old lady's mind is about as receptive to information as yours is. Perfect examples of the echo chamber. I haven't the foggiest idea about what "most women" think or feel. What makes you such an expert? Have some punch before you go.

Okay Quinn, from the this you want me to try: "And their screamingly obvious move is to put Biden not up against Romney or Pawlenty, but against... a woman. Off the top of my head, I'd say we gain some working class, and get better attack capabilities vs McCain. But then THEY gain with women."

But again you're missing the point about NET gains. (Kudos for missing it in advance, though, in a comment posted before McCain made his pick.)

Neither you nor the king of concern trolls has said anything whatsoever to explain why you think she'll be a NET positive. Any veep pick will give him gains in some demographic. So what? What matters is whether it's a NET gain.

As the king of concern trolls says elsewhere, "They have completely written off the big cities, the black vote, the liberal vote, the unions and, possibly, the Hispanic vote." But then very oddly he goes straight to the non-sequitur of ... oh like this is a surprise ... the assertion that writing off all of these demographics means we should be VERY concerned.

Give it a couple of weeks. I'll let you and the king of concern trolls carry the weight of concern over Palin being a net positive for McCain. If I'm wrong, then I'll have spent a couple of weeks being amused by the political train wreck that is Sarah Palin, and the concern trolls trying to grab her caboose. So to speak. If I'm right, then the amusement will continue unabated.

quinn, please don't answer this moron.

Here you go, dummy.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/09/america-may-be-in-danger-now.php

Yeah, my apologies. It's a Canadian thing - try to talk over uncomfortable moments. Use 150 words where 5 will do. I'm having to brush up on my American. Rusty. I just wish Bob Bob was on skates - it's all so easy there. You drop your gloves... have a go... siddown for 5 minutes... then see how smart Bob Bob sounded from a stretcher. A more civilized way to deal with bad manners, don't you think? ;-)

He's just a Freeper troll eating bandwidth. Space used to be unlimited here (until the server crapped out) but readers' time has definite limit. The goal of the trolls is to eat your time so that you don't have time for thinking and discussing. This one is particularly obnoxious. Ignore him until his stalking behavior gets apparent, and I'll have him removed.

Right. Because the GOP writing off huge chunks of the voting public means we should be very, very concerned about the rise of fascism in America.

This new one isn't on the level of OBAMA CANNOT BEAT TEDDY ROOSEVELT (possibly your all-time best in the unintentional-humor category). But what it lacks in inanity is to some extent compensated for by the use of a glaring non-sequitur to raise a concern that is an order of magnitude or two more over-blown than your usual concerns.

Sigh. I should be careful here. Perhaps I should take this argument more seriously. What if the GOP also not only writes off blacks and hispanics and union members and city dwellers and liberals and independents, but then ups the ante by also writing off women and men and whites and the middle-class!!! ZOMG!!! We'd be DOOOOOOOMED!!!

Alaska is the welfare queen of the United States. Despite their huge oil revenues and surpluses (89% of Alaska's state budget comes from taxes on oil pumped out the ground just like a Arab kingdom and Hugo Chavez's Venezuela, they have no state sales or income tax) it gets way more federal pork per capita than any other state in the union and it has for decades.

Three of Palin's own federal pork subsidies for tiny Wasilla even made McCain's wasteful pork list.

That's not reform and it's not change.

You have ample oppo ammo. If you don't want to see more Republican lies become accepted wisdom then go to http://www.memeorandum.com/ and look for newspaper articles or blogs where they are spreading the BS that you can leave comments on and start spreading the truth about McCain and Palin.

We are the change we've been waiting for. Obama can't do it alone, it's up to us.

Same thing that makes you an expert. Take some Canadian manners lessons from your pal Quinn. I thought people's wives and children were off limits. Didn't you lecture us about that a few days ago? But you feel you can attack my wife. You are a hypocrite, if nothing else.

That was a reply to BG, whose Don Rickles schtick is getting really old.

If you don't like it, wriggle off, worm.

If you don't like it, wriggle off, worm.

You're the one who is proud of her for turning off the tv. You're the one who lets her tell you how to vote. And what wife? This is cyberspace, dummy. Remind me to tell you a story about some guy invented a wife and OttoF. How's that punch? There's plenty left if you're real thirsty.

Sorry, no manners for you. You ever owned up to what a shit you were on, what was it.... August 24th? 'Til you do, I'd prefer it if you didn't use my name. Cause you marked yourself as a shit-eating dog right there... People don't talk that way.

What are you talking about? Are you stalking me? What happened August 24? What are you, some TMP vigilante? Free speech for just a few, but not all? Who died and made you standard bearer for this site? Answer.

Are spouses off limits when they are actively involved in governing? Even if they are not officially in the administration? Heck Todd Palin even gets cc'd on emails that Sarah claims executive privilege on - and wont release via FOIA request.

What makes Todd so special? Because he is First spouse of Alaska? He is not in the administration, nor is he a government employee. He is part of the general public, just like us. They should release these emails!!!!

Wait there is more. Todd has a lot more power that people know.

Todd Palin - Shadow Govenor.

No. I think if he broke the law his actions are definitely fair game. I even think they're fair game if he went over the line in going after the brother-in-law. I'm not sure that has anything to do with her, though. You know what I was talking about.

Billy writes: "At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us."

Agreed and well put. Last night she proved she could deliver a good speech (sound familiar?). With the bar having been set so low, now she is routinely portrayed as having "delivered,"
"hit a home run," "energized the ticket," etc., somehow vindicating her selection. My concern is that the overwhelmingly positive coverage of her speech gives her instant credibility and will make it far more difficult to expose the obvious lack of serious thought given to issues of national and international concern other than those derived from religious dogma. We will have to see how she comes across in less scripted environments - if the campaign ever permits it - divorced from her talking points.

Thus far, though, the selection does appear to be pretty canny. The better part of the Democratic convention was spent trying to show that despite his unorthodox background, Obama is just like one of us. Maybe they had no choice given the lack of familiarity and widespread misperceptions about the candidate. Now, the Republicans have put up an authentic small town soccer mom, mayor and now governor. Sure, she has almost no relevant experience, but bring it up and she will remind you that hers ain't so different from Obama's and if he's qualified so is she. So you're damned if you do and damned if you don't.

What seems obvious at least to this point is that the Democrats were caught off guard and haven't figured out how to respond to this woman. The criticism that her speech was "divisive" and "partisan" is just lame beyond belief.

There was something very unpleasant about the speech, which I actually watched for some reason.

I couldn't put my finger on it - was it the obvious, in your face rudeness?

Or the clear anti-intellectual bias?

Or the populist anger-building with some code that was not transparent to me?

Or the unabashed nationalism, which has little to do with love of country?


This morning, reading the gushing reviews, I think I started to feel something I almost never feel in America with respect to politics - fear.

Exploring further, I think that my body is telling me American incarnation of modern fascist ideology will look very much like what I witnessed yesterday.

I hope I am wrong. However, the standard Democratic "replies" with politeness and sensitivity will not work very well here.

My "bible" on Fascism is Karl Polanyi's The Great Transformation. Whatever form it takes next time, I think it will still arise from the breakdown of society, and will come in the form of a "solution" to the "problem" of the individual's place in society.

What I think is worrisome about the Palin speech is that, taken with the other speeches, the pieces are all there. The hero, the great threat that only he can face, the little people who owe him everything they have, right down to their school desks, the dissenters, the terrorists without rights. And the belief it can't happen here. Again.

Billy writes: "At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us."

Agreed and well put. Last night she proved she could deliver a good speech (sound familiar?). With the bar having been set so low, now she is routinely portrayed as having "delivered,"
"hit a home run," "energized the ticket," etc., somehow vindicating her selection. My concern is that the overwhelmingly positive coverage of her speech gives her instant credibility and will make it far more difficult to expose the obvious lack of serious thought given to issues of national and international concern other than those derived from religious dogma. We will have to see how she comes across in less scripted environments - if the campaign ever permits it - divorced from her talking points.

Thus far, though, the selection does appear to be pretty canny. The better part of the Democratic convention was spent trying to show that despite his unorthodox background, Obama is just like one of us. Maybe they had no choice given the lack of familiarity and widespread misperceptions about the candidate. Now, the Republicans have put up an authentic small town soccer mom, mayor and now governor. Sure, she has almost no relevant experience, but bring it up and she will remind you that hers ain't so different from Obama's and if he's qualified so is she. So you're damned if you do and damned if you don't.

What seems obvious at least to this point is that the Democrats were caught off guard and haven't figured out how to respond to this woman. The criticism that her speech was "divisive" and "partisan" is just lame beyond belief.

Billy writes: "At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us."

Agreed and well put. Last night she proved she could deliver a good speech (sound familiar?). With the bar having been set so low, now she is routinely portrayed as having "delivered,"
"hit a home run," "energized the ticket," etc., somehow vindicating her selection. My concern is that the overwhelmingly positive coverage of her speech gives her instant credibility and will make it far more difficult to expose the obvious lack of serious thought given to issues of national and international concern other than those derived from religious dogma. We will have to see how she comes across in less scripted environments - if the campaign ever permits it - divorced from her talking points.

Thus far, though, the selection does appear to be pretty canny. The better part of the Democratic convention was spent trying to show that despite his unorthodox background, Obama is just like one of us. Maybe they had no choice given the lack of familiarity and widespread misperceptions about the candidate. Now, the Republicans have put up an authentic small town soccer mom, mayor and now governor. Sure, she has almost no relevant experience, but bring it up and she will remind you that hers ain't so different from Obama's and if he's qualified so is she. So you're damned if you do and damned if you don't.

What seems obvious at least to this point is that the Democrats were caught off guard and haven't figured out how to respond to this woman. The criticism that her speech was "divisive" and "partisan" is just lame beyond belief.

Billy writes: "At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us."

Agreed and well put. Last night she proved she could deliver a good speech (sound familiar?). With the bar having been set so low, now she is routinely portrayed as having "delivered,"
"hit a home run," "energized the ticket," etc., somehow vindicating her selection. My concern is that the overwhelmingly positive coverage of her speech gives her instant credibility and will make it far more difficult to expose the obvious lack of serious thought given to issues of national and international concern other than those derived from religious dogma. We will have to see how she comes across in less scripted environments - if the campaign ever permits it - divorced from her talking points.

Thus far, though, the selection does appear to be pretty canny. The better part of the Democratic convention was spent trying to show that despite his unorthodox background, Obama is just like one of us. Maybe they had no choice given the lack of familiarity and widespread misperceptions about the candidate. Now, the Republicans have put up an authentic small town soccer mom, mayor and now governor. Sure, she has almost no relevant experience, but bring it up and she will remind you that hers ain't so different from Obama's and if he's qualified so is she. So you're damned if you do and damned if you don't.

What seems obvious at least to this point is that the Democrats were caught off guard and haven't figured out how to respond to this woman. The criticism that her speech was "divisive" and "partisan" is just lame beyond belief.

There was something very unpleasant about the speech, which I actually watched for some reason.

I couldn't put my finger on it - was it the obvious, in your face rudeness?

Or the clear anti-intellectual bias?

Or the populist anger-building with some code that was not transparent to me?

Or the unabashed nationalism, which has little to do with love of country?


This morning, reading the gushing reviews, I think I started to feel something I almost never feel in America with respect to politics - fear.

Exploring further, I think that my body is telling me American incarnation of modern fascist ideology will look very much like what I witnessed yesterday.

I hope I am wrong. However, the standard Democratic "replies" with politeness and sensitivity will not work very well here.

I felt that too. A whiff of fascism.

Billy writes: "At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us."

Agreed and well put. Last night she proved she could deliver a good speech (sound familiar?). With the bar having been set so low, now she is routinely portrayed as having "delivered,"
"hit a home run," "energized the ticket," etc., somehow vindicating her selection. My concern is that the overwhelmingly positive coverage of her speech gives her instant credibility and will make it far more difficult to expose the obvious lack of serious thought given to issues of national and international concern other than those derived from religious dogma. We will have to see how she comes across in less scripted environments - if the campaign ever permits it - divorced from her talking points.

Thus far, though, the selection does appear to be pretty canny. The better part of the Democratic convention was spent trying to show that despite his unorthodox background, Obama is just like one of us. Maybe they had no choice given the lack of familiarity and widespread misperceptions about the candidate. Now, the Republicans have put up an authentic small town soccer mom, mayor and now governor. Sure, she has almost no relevant experience, but bring it up and she will remind you that hers ain't so different from Obama's and if he's qualified so is she. So you're damned if you do and damned if you don't.

What seems obvious at least to this point is that the Democrats were caught off guard and haven't figured out how to respond to this woman. The criticism that her speech was "divisive" and "partisan" is just lame beyond belief.

I seem to have a stutter.

Yes, more vetting please. Thanks for asking. But hold on for just a sec while I refill my popcorn.

Hey Billy, you'll recall (or maybe not) that I was very much against the stories about Palin's kids and family. However, I'm 100% in favor of the pursuit of the actual scandals, but that's beside the point.

Do you really think that Palin is going to take rural America away from the Dems? I honestly don't get the feeling that she does anything other than fire up the base. I think Obama does have a rural appeal (weaker in the midwest, but stronger in the west and south) and I don't see how she changes this. Her speech had alot of fire behind it, but the whole thing was complete bullshit. I'm really not impressed with her, but I'm not predisposed to like her at all.

Billy writes: "At this point, she is completely the creation of the McCain campaign. Whether she is anyone in her own right we'll find out as we go along. My point is she is an unusually effective creation, both for what she does to them and what she does to us."

Agreed and well put. Last night she proved she could deliver a good speech (sound familiar?). With the bar having been set so low, now she is routinely portrayed as having "delivered,"
"hit a home run," "energized the ticket," etc., somehow vindicating her selection. My concern is that the overwhelmingly positive coverage of her speech gives her instant credibility and will make it far more difficult to expose the obvious lack of serious thought given to issues of national and international concern other than those derived from religious dogma. We will have to see how she comes across in less scripted environments - if the campaign ever permits it - divorced from her talking points.

Thus far, though, the selection does appear to be pretty canny. The better part of the Democratic convention was spent trying to show that despite his unorthodox background, Obama is just like one of us. Maybe they had no choice given the lack of familiarity and widespread misperceptions about the candidate. Now, the Republicans have put up an authentic small town soccer mom, mayor and now governor. Sure, she has almost no relevant experience, but bring it up and she will remind you that hers ain't so different from Obama's and if he's qualified so is she. So you're damned if you do and damned if you don't.

What seems obvious at least to this point is that the Democrats were caught off guard and haven't figured out how to respond to this woman. The criticism that her speech was "divisive" and "partisan" is just lame beyond belief.

In a very unexpected way, the GOP has captured the same constituency that gave William Jenning Bryan so many runs at the presidency.

Sara Palin is touting the Republican line - Democrats are educated elitists while Republicans are the party of the working, not college educated people. Sara Palin can talk the talk.

Check out how the RNC idolizes mediocrity now revisit Palin's speech. It is exactly the same isn't it?

The people in small towns only care about one thing "HOW WILL YOU HELP ME". If that rhetoric ever got to them Obama would be up by 40 points by now. She didn't mention ANYTHING about helping them whatsoever, and for that particular point she FAILED.

Sarah Palin = Bush 2.0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rhjuRMi_78U

Here we go again!

Another "reformer with results" country governor who masks extreme rightwing views and total incompetence with folksiness and platitudes about being "compassionate".

Just another pretty face on the ugly policies of environmental destruction, more subsidies for Big Oil, more wars and hatred abroad, and more partisan warfare and religious extremism at home.

Sarah Palin = Bush 2.0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rhjuRMi_78U

Here we go again!

Another "reformer with results" country governor who masks extreme rightwing views and total incompetence with folksiness and platitudes about being "compassionate".

Just another pretty face on the ugly policies of environmental destruction, more subsidies for Big Oil, more wars and hatred abroad, and more partisan warfare and religious extremism at home.

Thinking on it again, the absolute worst phrase in her whole speech last night was the bit about how the "terrorists are coming to get us!" and Obama is worried about "someone reading them their rights." This whole subtle, or maybe not so subtle, way of almost advocating torture and detainment and a complete desertion of everything I hold the Constitution to be and doing it with such dripping contempt and sarcasm, as if she were mocking someone for something so trivial as...

Hell, I don't know. But it made me sick.

Yeah. I meant to put that on the other post. But I'm not going to bother with the way this thing is going today.

It seems like we have 2 choices...comment 10 times, or don't comment at all...I've commented 2 separate times, each time hitting send only once...both have evaporated into the universe...

One more time...

Billy, I commented a few days ago on one of your posts that I was scared because I now "get" you. Now I'm even more scared because I'm starting to agree with you...I'm going to have to think about this...hmmmmm.

Maybe you're a closet Democrat, stillidealistic. :-)

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