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"McCain's challenge this week"
....Given this year's strong "change" climate, Bush's unpopularity, the tendency for voters to want to give the other party a chance after one has controlled the White House for two terms, and the current Democratic advantage in voters' party identification, this race ought to be a sure thing for the Democratic nominee. But resistance to Obama is making it close--just as a stool with only three of its legs can stand but is shaky. Whether the fourth leg is defined as whites over 50, working-class whites, or whites over 65, McCain's challenge this week is to firm up his grip and keep Obama from adding the final leg to the stool.
--Charlie Cook: "Obama Win Requires Four-Part Coalition: ...African-Americans, Hispanics, young white voters,and one more undetermined bloc," National Journal, Sept. 3, 2008
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Note that his other 3 columns of the last week are available on the menu on that page:
I saw an ad somewhere that National Journal is running a temporary promotion where all content can be accessed without the normal required subscription payment.
September 3, 2008 2:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Note for self:
MSNBC election analysis today:
If one pushes all states in play towards the way they are leaning at present, you are left with these 4 that would decide the presidency:
CO, OH, VA and NH.
September 9, 2008 12:10 AM | Reply | Permalink