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Expect Sarah Palin to Win The Debate. She Did Nightly TV News Live, So She Knows How To Look And Sound On Camera. Watch A Clip Of Her On Charlie Rose.
A word of caution about how Palin might do in the debate against Biden.
The McCain camp recently succeeded in getting the debate rules changed, and they ended up with ones much more favorable to some one who can just mouth a bunch of short sound bites. Palin can do that.
Here is a clip of her from one year ago, on the Charlie Rose show.
http://www.charlierose.com/shows/2008/09/06/1/charlie-rose-green-room-with-sarah-palin
Notice that she is very capable of speaking in short empty sound bites, which can fool a lot of people into thinking she knows what she is talking about.
The debate is going to have Palin just dealing from a prepared script, and she will not be pressed with any follow up questions. Keep in mind, this women read from a teleprompter, on a TV evening news program, so she knows how to deliver prepared lines, and how to look into a camera.
Heighten her expections level please. After all, she is a professional career TV person. Do you get my drift.
I expect Sarah Palin to do a fantastic job in the debate, because she is a TV professional.
Spread the word. A professional TV career woman should be expected to win a debate.
Settle for no less than that from Governor Palin.














Comments (51)
I have in the back of my mind the fear that Palin is intentionally lowering expectations, much as John Spencer's character did in the last season of The West Wing.
September 29, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
How did the "intelligent" Biden and Obama let the "unintelligent" Palin acquire a critical advantage in the format of the debate?
Is it possible that Obama and Biden are just a couple of blathering schmucks like Palin,
The Democrats are betting that Obama can win the election with more of the same mush-mouthed promise-everything-and-commit-to-nothing bullshit that defines him, but his only real chance is for McCain and the Republicans to self-destruct in a merciless glare of publicity about the meltdown and bail-out, and luckily for all of us, that's exactly what's happening.
September 29, 2008 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
How did the "intelligent" Biden and Obama let the "unintelligent" Palin acquire a critical advantage in the format of the debate?
Is it possible that Obama and Biden are just a couple of blathering schmucks like Palin, who only managed to get themselves nominated by telling everybody what they want to hear?
The Democrats are betting that Obama can win the election with more of the same mush-mouthed promise-everything-and-commit-to-nothing bullshit that defines him, but his only real chance is for McCain and the Republicans to self-destruct in a merciless glare of publicity about the meltdown and bail-out, and luckily for all of us, that's exactly what's happening.
September 29, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
The democrats don't want Biden in a man-attacks-woman showdown any more than the republicans want Palin in a 90 minute woman-is-clueless showcase. The democrats have far more to lose at this stage, and much of the public opinion of Palin has already set.
I think it was good strategy. Now if she does well, she had to change the rules in her favor so it undermines the win. If she does poorly, she couldn't even handle a pewee league debate. The ability to spin either outcome is pretty sweet IMO!
I think she'll do better than generally expected.
September 29, 2008 10:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. If 90 minutes yields nothing but sound bites, the Dems can clobber her in the post-debate spin.
September 30, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
No spin will be required in that scenario. Expect Tina Fey to be scrambling for a debate transcript. :-D
September 30, 2008 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
She'll have a stenographer working the broadcast.
September 30, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, she really is an imbecile.
September 30, 2008 7:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
Spread the word about how this debate is tailor made to fit Sarah Palin's strengths. Senator Biden has never been a live nightly TV news reporter, or winner of the most liked in a State wide beauty pageant. Sarah has a big edge, as a seasoned performer.
A Barracuda that wins Miss Congeniality is one smooth talking Barracuda.
There is no excuse for Sarah Palin not winning this debate. Expect no less from her. In fact, if she does not win it, then she will be an utter failure.
September 29, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
you have to be kidding. That is the most ridiculous clip ever. She's a nutter.
CS Lewis? PLEASE! It's cold enough up there in Alaska that one would think that people had plenty of time to read a fair bit, and while CS Lewis is fantastic fantasy writer it is tragic that she couldn't pull up anyone else more substantive in any way...perhaps an American? Faulkner? Melville? While I wouldn't venture Vonnegut at least Norman Mailer or hell, Ayn Rand if it must be a foreigner who is just like her! She is CLUELESS!
Where's some footage of her as a news reporter? I bet she was perky, stupid, and not ready for national news...like a fair number of cub-reporters for local tv news outlets.
I just hope that she doesn't screw up enough to elicit a sympathy "cringe" response.
September 30, 2008 7:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
But wasn't she reporting the sports scores? not the news? It makes a big difference. Granted both use a teleprompter.
September 29, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
A distinction without a difference. In fact, there are some clips of her sports coverage, where she had to spontaneously talk about different sports teams, and she appeared to have a good grasp of the various big league teams. The news readers on the station had to stick completely to a script.
Of course, I am doing some of this tongue in cheek, just to provide some people with some talking points to talk up debate performance expectations for Governor Palin.
Talk up her TV skills and her beauty pageant communications skills. Like I said before: A Barracuda that walks of with the Miss Congeniality title, is one smooth talking Barracuda.
September 29, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Evidently the "Miss Congeniality" award is another myth. I have seen her sports clips and her voice was entirely different; smoother and not grating. Do you think this irritating quality to her voice is intentional so that you can't ignore her? Maybe it's just how she sounds when she is projecting her voice, which she wouldn't have had to do in close-up TV.
She sounds so different though, it makes me wonder.
September 30, 2008 9:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
As for her favorite authors I too liked George Sheehan, physician and runner, but he hasn't written anything in years. (He died about ten years ago.) His books are all out of print. She likes C. S. Lewis because he is a Christianist. I doubt she has read him since high school. Is that all she can come up with?
September 29, 2008 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah Well, death has a way of making lazy arses out of the most productive of us.
That Shakespeare chap, and that Irishman, Yeats, have really slacked off on their productivity since they kicked the habit of breathing.
September 29, 2008 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you suggesting that George Sheehan and Shakespeare are in the same league -- in terms of -- oh, never mind.
October 1, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree,Liam. She'll be a lot more likeable than mccain. I think Biden comes across as likeable, too, doesn't he?
The mccain campaign has warned Ifill not to be too hard on her. Lehrer wouldn't cave to that kind of nonsense. I hope Ifill doesn't either.
September 29, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Charlie Rose green room stuff was boilerplate beauty pageant nonsense. Favorite author, advice from Dad, blah, blah, blah. No one has said she isn't comfortable talking about herself and Alaska.
Fortunately, the debate topics will lean more toward issue facing the country, not Wasilla. Expect Biden to push back if she repeats any of her disproven claims about: Alaska providing 20% of domestic energy (closer to 4%); earmark bashing/bridge to nowhere (had to drop that one from her stump speech)...
Biden simply crushes her on foreign policy and has his own folksy small town hokum to peddle. She held her own in that gubernatorial debate, but this is a much larger stage and she has had two disastrous interviews (she didn't display any more skill in Hannity's spoon feeding either).
Looking at that footage would shake the confidence of anyone... Then again, maybe she watched the interviews with the sound off.
September 29, 2008 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well; there you go again.
It is morning in America.
That must be some of that fuzzy math.
I'm a uniter not a divider.
Yes indeed. It was such in depth comments like that which made a majority of voters long to have a beer with those that made those comments, and the voters decided, that they wanted such down to earth, plain old folks, just like them, running the big show for sixteen years.
Those voters would never fall for a freeze dried version of it, shipped in fresh from the Tundra, right!. Don't worry about a thing.
The voters are way too smart for that. Just ask Rove,and those who gift wrapped The Gipper.
September 29, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
relax and watch.
the idea that palin will somehow overcome her previous interviews in the most anxiety filled atmosphere of her life is a joke.
she will crash and burn.
September 29, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
She needs to fill every silence. That is what will kill her. Watching the clip you provided demonstrated it beautifully. She fills in. That works at a party. It works wonderously at sports events. If you don't know shit from shinola it doesn't work unless you are appealing to those who are completely stupid.
Swing voters are not in the bag; they are trying to find out the difference between these two. Obama may turn some of them off because he is too intellectual, too practical; Palin could turn some of them off because she has obviously never thought about much except moose hunting and keeping contraception education out of schools.
But what do I know?
September 29, 2008 9:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bob Somersby has pointed out how they can throw sports announcers on Sunday political shows and they fit in perfectly - same sports metaphors and other play-by-play blather.
Don't know how it'll work at a debate, but careful.
September 30, 2008 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Like a Keith Olbermann in disguise? I really think she will do well in the debate but not well enough to cross a threshold in voters mind to be VP. I am beginning to believe that the GOP have given up on this election and is simply using it to cultivate their new star as they regroup.
September 30, 2008 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Folks,
You seem to have trouble reading between the lines.
I am trying to talk up the expectations for her, so that she does not get a rave review for just having shown up, and not drooled or farted.
If you create an expectation, that when someone gets up to bat, they are going to fall flat on their face at home plate, then if the ball accidentally hits their bat, and they get a bloop single, then they are going to get praised as having hit a home run.
September 29, 2008 9:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe this was the operative line, folks.
September 29, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
four little words:
'In what respect, Charlie?'
September 29, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm worried about Biden. Palin will be Palin. The Tina Fey stuff has been so dead on I think everything will be viewed through that filter. Even if she has a major gaffe, it can't be any worse that what she's already done. If Biden says something crazy, though, as he might, it will get played over and over. Also, Biden is a charming guy but there's a reason he got so few votes in the primary. He's a little too informal, too garrulous, too smiley. The one thing I found compelling about the Palin Charlie Rose clip was that she's authentic in her blue collar identity. I think that is why the people who do relate to her relate so strongly. Remember, Obama won the debate with McCain because he scored highly on "cares about people like me." Personally, I hope she comes out as a rabid attack dog like she's been on the campaign trail; contrasted with her Katie clips, it's jarring and unpleasant, with her nasal Fargo accent grating. What Biden needs to do is present his own background in a similar moving way; he has a great story about his dad working at a car dealership during the Depression. At the Xmas party the owner threw silver dollars on the floor for everyone to scramble for; Biden's dad quit on the spot. This debate won't be decided on expertise-- it will be decided on the "cares about people like me." I'm sure, though, that the Obama folks know this.
September 29, 2008 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
the political backround of Palin - what a slimy b*tch.
-
Sept. 23, 2008 | WASILLA, Alaska -- Before Sarah Palin decided to run for the Wasilla mayor's office in 1996 against incumbent John Stein, the Palins and Steins were friends. John Stein had helped launch Palin's political career, mentoring the hockey mom during her 1994 run for City Council, along with veteran council member Nick Carney. Stein's wife, Karen Marie, went to aerobics classes with Palin.
But when she announced her candidacy for Stein's seat, vowing to overturn the city's "old boy" establishment, a different Sarah Palin emerged. "Things got very ugly," recalled Naomi Tigner, a friend of the Steins. "Sarah became very mean-spirited." .........
...... Palin's mayoral campaign rode the wave of conservative, evangelical fervor that was sweeping Alaska in the '90s. Suddenly candidates' social values, not their ability to manage the roads and sewer systems, were dominating the debate. "Sarah and I were both Republicans, but this was an entirely new slant to local politics -- much more aggressive than anything I'd ever seen," said Stein, looking back at the election that put Palin on the political map.
There was a knife-sharp, personal edge to Palin's campaign that many locals found disturbing, particularly because of the warm relationship between Palin and Stein before the race. ...
... Even though Palin knew that Stein is a Protestant Christian, from a Pennsylvania Dutch background, her campaign began circulating the word that she would be "Wasilla's first Christian mayor." Some of Stein's supporters interpreted this as an attempt to portray Stein as Jewish in the heavily evangelical community. Stein himself, an eminently reasonable and reflective man, thinks "they were redefining Christianity to mean born-agains."
The Palin campaign also started another vicious whisper campaign, spreading the word that Stein and his wife -- who had chosen to keep her own last name when they were married -- were not legally wed. Again, Palin knew the truth, Stein said, but chose to muddy the waters. "We actually had to produce our marriage certificate," recalled Stein, whose wife died of breast cancer in 2005 without ever reconciling with Palin.
"I had a hand in creating Sarah, but in the end she blew me out of the water," Stein said, sounding more wearily ironic than bitter. "Sarah's on a mission, she's an opportunist." ........
cont.
http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2008/09/23/palin/index.html
and this is what she does to friends ! screws them over when it's convenient for her. How much faster would she help screw over America ?
September 30, 2008 12:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Eve, in the movie "All About Eve" - she has been compared to this character before. And Stein is not the only helper that the betrayed for her political ambitions.
She ratted out the head of the Republican party in Alaska for using his office for a political mailout when she worked at Oil & Gas Conservation Commission. He got fired. Later it was found out that she did the same thing, using her office there for political campaigning but she came forward admitted it and apologized. She got away with it.
September 30, 2008 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
and this says alot...
"I'm not sure what she brings to the ticket other than she's a woman and a conservative." –Sarah Palin's mother-in-law, Faye Palin, who said she may vote for Obama
sad when the 'first dudes ' mother may vote Obama
September 30, 2008 12:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Biden = logorrhea squared
We've just got to depend on that admired American sense of humor -- with a bit of ironic sensibility on the side.
September 30, 2008 12:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Spot on. The more she looks like an idiot in interviews the more the people who like her downhomey-ness defend her.
September 30, 2008 3:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, the expectations game. At this point, expectations for Palin are so low, she wins merely by avoiding a total meltdown - an unlikely possibility. More likely, she flits from soundbite to folksy aphorism to meaningless platitude. Those inclined to find her charming will continue to do so. The rest of us will grit our teeth and marvel at the vapidity of American politics. Then again, she couldn't even make it through a few minutes with Katie Couric, so perhaps we are overestimating her.
The dangers for Biden are manifest - foremost among them the risk of appearing condescending, playing into her game. Let's hope he handles the questions smartly and avoids making the debate about her. Check out this insightful piece from Dahlia Lithwick. http://www.slate.com/id/2199363/
And to Liam, appropos of a comment of mine on a previous thread, I meant no disrespect to you personally or your blogs, links and threads, which I often find interesting and insightful. I was merely expressing the sentiment that I do not go to TPM Cafe to be pointed to Frank Rich, familiarity with whom, I believe, should be assumed. I have, on occasion, posted thoughts I believe to be original (though perhaps less original than I imagine) when I have the time and inclination to follow through on the comments. Often, those I find the most original and into which I put the most thought disappear nearly instantaneously, while the throwaways and inside baseball posts have achieved surprising "acclaim" in the form of recommendations. Go figure. Anyway, I try not to live out my moniker, though imperfectly, I'm sure.
Best.
September 30, 2008 8:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
I understand that point, Armchair, but the fact it was recommended so many time makes it clear, that a lot of people were not aware of the column, or perhaps not even Frank Rich,
I always try to avoid falling into the trap of assuming that every one knows what I know, or that I know everything that all others know.
I like to point people toward someone like Mr. Rich, and the fact that you already knew about him, does not mean that all others did. In fact your main complaint, about how people clicked on recommend should have told you that.
I much prefer to steer people toward discovering a Mr. Rich, than having them stuck with having a steady diet of my far inferior observations.
That said; we are OK mate. Keep the faith.
September 30, 2008 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I used to think what Liam has said here and I was one of the first on here to warn of that potential problem: she is in the TV biz!
But here I think it is a false comparison. She has no teleprompter, and she is going to have to answer questions. She's already shown she cannot do that.
September 30, 2008 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and by the way, I had thought she *would* be able to answer questions because of her beauty pageant experience. But no.
September 30, 2008 9:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I see the idea of raising Palin's expectations.
I see the debate differently, though. I really think it's all about Biden controlling his logorrhea.
Seriously, all he has to do is let Palin talk, and point out her errors where appropriate. Since she's likely to spout talking points without much underlying understanding, Biden needs to deal in some second- and third-level thinking in his answers.
The goal is to highlight her unpreparedness in a way that is not likely to be viewed as bullying. It's also worth mentioning that Biden has debated with a woman before - albeit as part of a larger group.
Plus, he's got heavyweights working with him - Jennifer Granholm is playing Caribou Barbie, with coaching and advice from DiFi and HRC. He'll be VERY ready.
September 30, 2008 9:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Unblinkingly so? ;)
September 30, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hah! Well played.
September 30, 2008 11:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
You can't fake knowledge. She can recite talking points, facts, and names of foreign leaders all day. It won't matter. I don't care how much "debate camp" she attends, it is just obvious when someone doesn't have enough depth of knowledge about a subject to string 3 sentences together. She hasn't followed national issues with any interest in her entire life, and obviously isn't smart enough to pick up a working knowlegde in a short time.
September 30, 2008 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
If the Charlie Rose interview is typical of Sarah Palin at her best... whew.
She doesn't really SAY anything. She repeats phrases as though they have content, but they're quite empty.
As for Janet Napolitano -- wow. I understand why Obama did not choose her as his running mate, but she's impressive.
September 30, 2008 11:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Napolitano is definitely the shiznit. I've always thought she was uber-sharp.
Democrats really have an embarrassment of riches this year.
September 30, 2008 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Never lower expectations for the other side, and never raise them for our side. That is just begging for trouble.
A lot of people appear to have very short memories.
Lieberman was going to destroy Cheney. Al Gore was going to destroy Bush.
John Edwards was a skilled trial lawyer, and Cheney would not stand a chance against him.
How did those work out for you folks.
If Sarah, Warrior Princess Of The Tundra, falls flat on her face, then that will be fantastic, but for cripes sake take a lesson from the recent past, and stop being so damn cocky and presumptive.
Pride goeth before a fall.
September 30, 2008 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary and Dianne Feinstein are prepping Biden. In my opinion, he'll be OK (I hope). And Tina Fey will continue with the follow-up on SNL. I'm a little worried about Gwen Ifill - She stutters sometimes, and will she ask the tough questions with appropriate follow-up. Same goes for Brokaw in the next presidential debate, as the NY Times pointed out this morning.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/30/arts/television/30brok.html?_r=1&ref=television&oref=slogin
September 30, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
There may be more CBS stuff to come, before the debate happens. Sounds like Palin will be boning up on her Supreme Court knowledge...
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0908/The_next_Palin_gaffe.html?showall
September 30, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well folks,
This thread is about to expire. I am glad that it fostered some robust debate, and I hope it provided some food for thought. Thanks for participating.
September 30, 2008 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Check this out..her 80's sportscasting video. She can read a prompter. Sports stats are very hard to do:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gV-vWrU27Go
September 30, 2008 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
And Sarah was doing all that long before she became a virgin.
September 30, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
My dream scenario: Next week, Brokaw collapses from exhaustion (but quickly recovers) and Keith Olbermann has to step in at the last moment and moderate the 2nd debate.
September 30, 2008 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am a bit wary of the telegenic aspect of Palin. But a VP debate does come down to nuts and bolts boilerplate issues. I know the R's have been working hard to try to prep her but if she gives answers like she gave to Couric ther'll be no way she'll win...unless the media sets the bar at ground level. A point from which I hear one can see Russia. Bottom line is based on her interview with Couric it doesn't appear that Palin has any detailed knowledge of national/international issues. And I doubt talking point answers will cut it. Liam brought up the fact that Edwards was supposed to destroy Cheney and Gore was supposed to dominate Bush in their respective debates. I agree those were the expectations but both Cheney and Bush spent most of their lives either in national politics (Cheney) or around it (Bush vis-a-vis his father) and showed they had a cursory knowledge of the issues. Palin's rise to national prominence has been quick, something I don't think she has been preparing for and therefore detailed positions on issues is something she will have trouble articulating...her past TV experience notwithstanding.
I think Biden can just effectively be the 'regular Joe' as her being a 'regular Jane'. Joe has just got to work on his own verbosity issues. He seems to be in love with the sound of his own voice from time to time...and has a bad habit of 'winging it' just like Palin does.
A word of advice for Biden from the old TV series 'Dragnet'...'just the facts'. Keep it as simple as he can and encourage Palin to talk as much as she wants.
September 30, 2008 1:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now, I want no one to be overly confidant Liam. Except of course Magoo and Diana the Huntress. But experience as a TV weather lady or sportscaster, or whatever version of showbiz is in her CV apparently hasn't taught her to address questions directly put to her, even by Charlie Rose. Her patter is just to mark time. Gwen Ifill doesn't need to be Tim Russert to be effective. Does she? Let's see how she moderates.
For your consideration, on the chance anyone has not looked at it, this url is from the other Charlie Rose show featuring Palin- this one with the Gov. Napolitano of Arizona. The contrast between the two governors' ability to communicate on topic is pretty stark.
www.charlierose.com/shows/2007/10/12/2/a-conversation-with-governors-janet-napolitano-sarah-palin
October 1, 2008 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
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