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Did McCain Really Get 38.9 Million Viewrs? Probably Not
Nielsen Media Research reported this afternoon that john McCain got 38.9 million views for his convention speech. That's .5 million more than Obama the previous week. but did he REALLY get that many? Probably not, and here is why.... Thursday Night Football statistical bleed over.
NBC got 13.6 million viewers for the football season opener. And it then got 8 million for the convention. However, the game ran over and ended a few minutes into the 10PM EDT time slot. Ratings are typically done in "chunks". Radio does their ratings in 3-4 hour frames, but TV obviously does it by hour or half hour. So, the "bleed" from football might have been a few minutes, but it technically fell into the 10PM EDT time slot. So, even if all of them turned off their TV, they factor in to the "convention" ratings. I dont know the specifics, but I bet a million or two were statistical anomalies rather than actual views.
How do I back this up? CBS went from 7.3 million for CSI to 5 million for the convention. Last week, CBS drew 4.6 million to hear Obama's speech. So, you would think that if CBS went up .4 million from last week, you'd see similar numbers across all the networks. But NBC is an anomaly.
Last week, Obama drew 6.1 million on CBS.. this week it was 8 million. a 1.9 million person increase. Yes, 4.75x more of an increase than CBS. That strikes me as a bit odd. I havent seen numbers for other networks, but I'd imagine we'd see similar numbers.
So, clearly NBC is an anomaly. Are they legitimate viewers? Or just a statistical blip? Honestly, you cant really know for sure. But, my money is that he got less viewers than Obama. But even so, 35-38 million is still darn impressive.





Comments (17)
Oops, it's supposed to read:
"Last week, Obama drew 6.1 million on NBC... this week it was 8 million. a 1.9 million person increase. Yes, 4.75x more of an increase than CBS. That strikes me as a bit odd. I havent seen numbers for other networks, but I'd imagine we'd see similar numbers."
September 5, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops, it's supposed to read:
"Last week, Obama drew 6.1 million on NBC... this week it was 8 million. a 1.9 million person increase. Yes, 4.75x more of an increase than CBS. That strikes me as a bit odd. I havent seen numbers for other networks, but I'd imagine we'd see similar numbers."
September 5, 2008 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even if he did, I figure 1) Democrats were also tuned in (know thine enemy), and 2) older and more (how do I say it politely) traditional folks get their news and evening entertainment from TV, so they were more likely to be tuned in. I know my son, in college, watch speeches on YouTube or various websites, not feeling the need to sit through hours of banality. So, I don't really put much value in these numbers but it will give Johnny a little thrill, because he will think he's a bigger draw and a better speaker than Obama. Cheap thrills!
September 5, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is it true that Palin's 37 million are really more impressive than Obama's 38 million because Palin's speech was run in 6 networks as opposed to 10 for Obama's?
September 5, 2008 8:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
You do realize that was proven to be FALSE right? People these days...
September 5, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did BET do RNC coverage? That's the only one I dont know about. All the other stations covered both.
September 5, 2008 9:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Her 37 million was VERY impressive.
September 5, 2008 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
If McCain did get more viewers, it wouldn't surprise me. I bet a lot of people were tuning in to see if McCain's speech was anywhere as good as Obama's. And... I'm sure a good chunk of those viewers were sorely disappointed.
September 5, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jason,
Where did you find that image?
I made that! I am serious. Made it one day when John delivered his environmental policies.
Posted it on photobucket.
Where did you find it?
This is cool...I have never stumbled upon my own work before.
September 5, 2008 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have NO Idea where I found it. I've had it for a few months now. Hope you dont mind.
September 5, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Athomeboy! Whats up bro? I see you on digg all the time. Glad to see you out on other stuff. Is this your blog? Do you know of a way to message on TPM without posting on blogs?
September 8, 2008 12:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
No no I am cool with you using it.. Its not a copyrighted thing. It was like a 10 minute thing. If anything I might be able to get in trouble from universal or whoever it was that made the hulk.
September 8, 2008 12:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't over 40 Million people watch the Obama speech?
"Nielsen said that 38.4 million people watched Obama's speech as it was carried live by 10 commercial networks: ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News Channel, MSNBC, BET, TV One, Univision and Telemundo.
PBS also televised the speech, but didn't pay Nielsen for a count of its national viewership. Based on a sample of several large cities, PBS estimated that an additional 4 million people saw the speech on its network. C-SPAN, which also televised the speech, has no estimate of its audience."
">http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/08/29/democratic-national-conve_n_122440.html">
September 5, 2008 9:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I watched on CSPAN because they kept cutting in on CNN.
September 5, 2008 9:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know about the other 40 million, but I watched to see if he would keel over with the strain. What a disappointment!
September 5, 2008 10:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
JaneEyrez (love the name!!), I am laughing at you. I did the same thing...watched to see if I could find any signs that he was about to pop a blood vessel or keel over. Morbid fascination. The man is not well, which makes Palin all the more terrifying.
September 5, 2008 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks, I think. I sure hope you meant that you were laughing "with" me, and not "at" me.
September 5, 2008 11:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
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