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The Schedule Suggests it Brian Schweitzer

The Obama camp just announced Obama's schedule for next week.  He's not going to be in Denver for most of the convention.  Instead he will be campaigning in the following cities.

Springfield, IL - Sat; Eau Claire, WS - Sun; Quad Cities Area, IW - Mon; Kansas City, MS - Tues; and Billings , MT - Wed

If the schedule is any indication, Obama's VP could very well be Brian Schweitzer.


Obama and Schweitzer doing their thing in states where it matters and ending up Billings before heading to Denver together.


It makes sense in that he comes as close to duplicating Mark Warner (Obama's 1st choice) as other candidate out there.  He can govern. He's Catholic.  He would bring Montana's 5 votes (and make Obama competitive in other Mountain and Plain states). He reinforces Obama widening the political map.  He speaks Arabic, so changes how America is perceived globally.

Unlike Warner (whose future Presidential aspirations clearly clash with Hilliary) Schweitzer probably does not have a future Presidential trajectory mapped out.  He will get his head down and work for the next four years and then see what's up. He may not be the numbers guy that would have complemented Obama like Warner would have been, but others can do that work.


I would be pleased with this choice (though I stand to lose a bundle on Mark Warner Intrade Stocks). Schweitzer is cuddly, without being a Teddy.  He's a classic back up and a good brother to have your have back.  


I'm down with the pick.  It will liven up the landscape in a way that three recent smokescreen muppets could never do (and looking forward to reading the excellent Tim Egan's next opinion piece once the SMS goes out). 


Comments (56)

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Boy, he sure is a good guy. I listened to a couple of his speeches on YouTube and he's got that easy-going style, but you can tell he's just smart as hell. Love it.

The fact that Obama chose to emphasize economics as the special expertise of the VP, along with independence of mind, in the piece cited on the TPM frontpage certainly suggests that it is not Biden.

I like your thoughts here and hope you are right! This Gov has got his shit together and he would bring some much to the table!

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I like your analysis. It's as good, maybe better, than any other I've seen of late.

Schweitzer won't come off as a fake populist to anyone--he's the real deal. He's plainspoken, strong and steadfast in his beliefs and in the way he expresses them. Any of the people Obama might have picked if he wanted to make a national security cred pick have serious liabilities as a VP nominee. Schweitzer's major ones are that he's from a small state and nobody knows who he is. I've been favorable towards Napolitano or Richardson for VP but I think Schweitzer will do well and be well-received if it's him.

I think the schedule also suggests that it is not Clinton. If he was going to pick her, I think he would be planning on going to some big Clinton states like OH, PA, and maybe even NH. Instead, he is going nowhere near the east coast.

or, (oh my god, coud I have been right?), Feingold?!?!?!?! A stop in Wisconsin right after being in IL on Saturday to annouce the VP.

It could conceivably make sense to go the VP's state next after the announcement.

Eh, probably not.

That said I'd be tickled pink with Schweitz as well!

Feingold? Now I would be ecstatic about that!!! But I agree that I would be very happy with Schwietzer too.

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But you are all political junkies (as am I, admittedly). To 3/4 or more of the American people, it's going to be "Brian Who?" and some will even not bother to read the bio and say "I don't know if I could vote for a black and a Jew" (yes, I know he's Catholic, but .....)

There are many places for good people in an Obama administration, but the person who is running for VP is going to have to have name-recognition and give voters a sense that they (the voters) KNOW the person - as they felt they knew Hillary and as they think they know John McCain.

That's why I'm hoping it's Biden - not that I might prefer him (and he might prefer) Secy of State or staying in the Senate, but he has what is needed *on* the ticket: familiarity, respect over a long period of time (John Edwards has certinly helped give 'newcomers' a bad name!), recognized competence in an important area. ---- Obama already HAS the 'change' voters, it's the others, the ones who aren't crazy about change but want something certain but better, that he needs to get.

Obama has announced a VP tour. This tour concludes in Billings, Montana, the day VP is supposed to speak in Denver.

Why could that be? Barack Obama fancies getting a few beers in with Jon Tester?

Brain Who? Folks will get to know Brain when he is beamed in live to Sunday shows from the campaign in Wisconsin on Sunday morning.

And what will folks be talking about at the Convention on Monday night? Barack and Brian campaigning in Iowa.

And on Tuesday night, as the convention is warming up, the media will also be focussed on Kansas City, Missouri.

And by Wednesday night, after a huge hometown send off, folks will know who Brain Who is?

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Schweitzer could be quite effective with plainspoken, down home attacks. That might leave Obama feeling he doesn't have to go quite as hard on the attack himself, which could undercut his unity message a bit.

But Biden is certainly feisty and spirited in making the Dems' national security case. In fact, on national security he's probably the most passionate I've seen in making our case. Certainly extremely knowledgeable and articulate as well. I hope he is past his earlier proneness to talking too much.

I agree wholeheartedly Elizabeth.

Those Hillary hold-outs who claim they are considering McCain really believe that Obama's experience gap is unsettling.

What we need for a V.P. is name recognition, a known quantity, someone with street cred and foreign policy chops. Biden's the man.

In the end though, I will support whomever Obama chooses.

Interesting response here so far.

When I first posted the reasons I believed Warner was the right choice, there was almost unanimous praise for the possibility. Folks felt it.

I hope the same enthusiasm exhibited here so far continues with Schweitzer.

With Bayh, with Biden, with Kaine, with Sebelius, there was no consensus, some were pleased, others highly annoyed, and many some nonplused. Schweitzer can be worked into the Obama narrative in a way those characters could never be.

There is no other reason to explain why Obama would end up in Billings, Montana, the day his VP is going to speak at the convention. The SMS must be a matter of minutes away now that TPM has broke the news!

And btw how can McCain trump this? Obama and his partner riding through American Big Country -- and all this time McCain thought it was his own back yard.

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Can you say smoke screen.

Good as I've seen David! Why not, I'll buy in!

I think Schweitzer would be a good pick; people may not know him now (in spite of being named one of the country's best governors, being pretty popular with internet activists, etc...), but he's immensely likeable. There is no way to paint him as the 'pointy-headed professor' in spite of his obvious intelligence.

Plus, Montana is the best state in the country and it deserves to go blue again. :)

Also worth noting that Schweitzer refused special interest/PAC money in his 2004 run...

Apologies for those who read this on artappraiser's thread:
The one thing I can't figure out about all of this is why Obama has not milked the news cycle more with his announcement. If we all know he will be with the running mate on Sat, why wait until Friday, as it now seems, to announce? It just does not make sense.

Thus, one quick question. Obama was in VA for a 4:00 event today. What is he doing tonight? Could he be going for a Thursday evening news and all day Friday news cycle? Note: Clinton is in FL, not a bad state to announce in, and a quick plane ride down the coast.

I'm thinking it will be announced before 10:00 pm tonight.

I think this has less to do with milking the news cycle than the damage the Hilliary mob could do given the time.

Very, very good point.

Yeah because it makes much more sense to drag the announcement out to two days before the convention so the anger of some Hillary folks is still at a peak in Denver. You made more sense when you were still dreaming of Warner despite the outright denials, skywriting, illogic of losing a Senate seat etc.

I really hope it can be someone like Schweitzer. I really really do.

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But didn't he also say it wouldn't be a surprise?
And his canmpaign said only a week or so ago that it wouldn't be a left fielder.

Then I hope it can be someone like Kaine. But I'm not sure that the reality of the race right now will allow that.

I wouldn't mind him as VP, but is there evidence that he was seriously vetted?

Knowing Obama, it wouldn't surprise me if they kept a tight lid on the vetting of him if he is VP. He's been so secretive about everything.

Absolutely, positively, would I love Schweitzer. Everyone who knows me knows I've been saying such for a long while now.

I don't know that it's him, however. And I refuse to make a prediction until I hear directly from the Obama Campaign. They've thrown too many wrenches into the mix for me to be sure of anything.

Still, I love the idea.

Obama/Schweitzer '08

Still waiting for the text.......

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Obama will not pick a Senator as it is too crucial for the Party to gain control of the Senate with 60 seats.

A Governor also helps the "qualified to manage" arguments.

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i wouldn't mind if this was the case. what would it mean for state politics in montana? i can't say i know much about that and how much that would matter. i'm hoping the veep choice won't hesitate to rip mccain a new one, i don't know if that's something people see schweitzer doing.

LOL.

I think even I am better known that this what's-his-face.

Become Obama's VP and you'll be a global celebrity overnight. Look at the first time Presidents who won and the knowability of their VP and what does it say: Mondale, HW Bush, Gore, Cheney. Not a single national icon even remotely among them.

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Schweitzer!

Obama/Schweitzer? Try saying it out loud and see what you think.

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Ah! Good point.

And what is the point that you think is good?

Personally the more I look into this ticket the more I like. Part of a VP is the election and the part of it the governing aferwards. Both good with this one.

Some good analysis done in June by the Five Thirty Eight cat.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/06/on-brian-schweitzer-as-vp.html

The 538 analysis is pretty compelling. I hadn't even thought about Schweitzer but had the 'ah ha' reaction after reading it and this post.

Please, please, please, just not Biden or Bayh. Anyone or anything else.

Montana - as opposed to Virginia?

Excuse me, but something doesn't add up here.
Now if it were Joe Montana, that would be different...

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David...you have supplied the 'hate-Clinton catnip' necessary to provide a refuge for all of those fleeing the obvious.

There's a great deal to like about Schweitzer. He's a very compelling figure. But let's face it: he's not ready for the presidency. Obama really can't make a choice that risky, and if the veep chatter means anything at all, it doesn't look like he's planning any big surprises.

But who knows?

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Schweitzer barely wants it, and there's no reason to set up the whole texting thing to pick him. Besides, look at recent VP tours after the announcement - it's more an indication of important states than specifically where the VP is from. And the schedule can change.

I do like the man, but I don't see it happening.

FYI, Montana is three electoral votes.

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To coin a phrase: "I have a dream ..."

Barack Obama will pick former Vice President (and once-elected President) Al Gore for more good reasons than I can even count. But I'll count up a few anyway, in no particular order of importance.

(1) The country has huge technical problems to solve and needs someone with hefty, universally acknowledged qualifications to lead the effort to solve them. No politician today except Al Gore fills that role so easily. President Obama will have more than his hands full just dealing with the domestic economy and a competely trashed foreign policy. Obama needs Al Gore to provide the experience in a critical area that the top guy himself doesn't have or have time to acquire.

(2) Al Gore needs no introduction or vetting and can hit the ground running from minute one after Barack Obama announces him as running mate.

(3) As a military veteran himself, Gore can easily counter Panama-John McBomb's one-and-only claim to anything: namely, "some noun, some verb and POW."

(4) The Clinton Partners in Pathos and their fanatical dead-ender trouble makers can't possibly bitch because Bubba Bill himself chose Al Gore for Vice President and served with him for eight years.

(5) Al Gore has already won more popular votes than any other Democratic Party presidential candidate in recent memory -- including Bill Clinton (although Ross Perot has to get his due for splitting the Republican ticket so badly in 1992 and 1996). No other pick already has the credibility to take over the presidency, if necessary, than Al Gore.

(6) The vice presidential pick gets to speak on night three of the Convention, which should nicely step all over Bubba Bill's attempts to never shut up about how his wife and him should really have won the nomination for co-president one more time. You-Know-Her still gets her night -- yes, another one -- in the spotlight to try and raise some cash for her indebted, losing campaign. One night for You-Know-Them, yes. Two nights, no.

(7) Someone with real political chops needs a big government portfolio behind him if America ever hopes to help do something about energy indepenence and global warming. Al Gore has probably already done as much to combat global warming as a private citizen can. He needs power and a bureaucracy behind him now if he wishes to do more than just educate on the subject.

(8) Al Gore, like Barack Obama spoke out forcefully in opposition to Deputy Dubya Bush's stud-hamster vendetta against the toothless Saddam Hussein in Iraq. The "experienced" Bloviatin' Joe Biden went along for the easy imperial ride, just like You-Know-Her and her even more "experienced" spouse. So did Senator Evan (who dat?) Bayh of ... what state did you say?

(9) Did I mention that Al Gore can still run for President again in 2016 practically as an incumbent (at a younger age than Panama McBomb now)? Did I mention that this will really piss off the Bawl and Pillory Horror Picture Show and bury forever their ludicrous plans for yet more of that psychodrama co-presidency shit?

(10) Panama-John McBomb cannot even come close to anything this dramatic or game-changing. In fact, game over.

.... and then I woke up to learn that Barack Obama had picked ... who???????????

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It's not Al Gore. Why would Gore take a demotion? The job's not that great.

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Few ambitious politicians say they want the vice presidency, a job "not worth a bucket of warm piss," according to one FDR vice president John Nance Garner (remember him?). Yet fewer still ever turn down the job if offered because as America's first vice president John Adams said: "I am nothing. But I could be everything." Even Bawl and Pillory want the job -- jointly, of course -- and continue lobbying fiercely to get it.

Like I said, I consider Al Gore a dream pick for all the reasons I mentioned, plus many more. But the vanity and spineless Republican-Lite "me-too-ism" of most Democratic Party presidential nominees usually results in nobody vice presidential nominees not worth the bucket of warm piss that usually connotes the worth of the top guy as well. I had hoped for something different from Barack Obama, but his consistent lurching to the right immediately upon securing the presumptive nomination has begun to look all too familiar and depressing.

I can still dream, even though in my experience a living nightmare seldom eludes the American electoral Rube Goldberg machine.

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Schweitzer is a NRA-endorsed pro-choice democrat with a visionary energy independence plan and a knack for memorable one-liners that travel well with low-information voters ("Gun control is you control your gun and I control mine"). A risky choice, but clearly one that would show that Obama does want to break with the old ways of Washington. Having seen some of his television appearances on youtube I think he would be a terrific campaigner and a great addition to the ticket. And in terms of the Obama narrative, he does make a lot more sense than any of the other candidates, except maybe for Tim Kaine.

Montana has only 3 electoral votes (not 5). But I'm not complaining. I think Schweitzer would be a great choice.

Thanks, I saw that the moment I hit the send button. I got so excited when I saw the schedule that had Obama in Billings on Wednesday, I forgot to give the post the once over.

Montana has 3.

Delaware has 3.

Schweitzer helps with Colorado. That's 9.

Biden helps with Pennsylvania. That's 21.

But Obama has a cushion in Pennsylvania. He can afford to win PA by a lesser margin than Gore and Kerry. What Obama must do is break through in states that Gore or Kerry did not.

It has now almost been 24 hours since Obama's Springfield to Denver schedule was announced. I find it astonishing that the mass broadcast and print media are so distracted by themselves that they cannot connect the most obvious of dots. They've gotten to penning stories about how much money their respective organizations are spending in chasing down the VP pick, while they stake out DC residencies and east coast coffee shops (showing that they themselves just don't get it yet).

It's classic case of not being able to see the forest for the trees. I mean how hard can this be to figure once the BILLINGS, MONTANA, schedule for Wednesday was announced. The convention is in Denver. Obama is changing the map. Obama won the Primary by focussing on the West and Mountain and Plains States. And yet, the likes of Nagourney and Halperin, keep repeating the same old nonsense about the short list and blue collars and Hilliary.

I promise you this. As soon as the Schweitzer SMS arrives they will all say, "This is a pick NO ONE was expecting. NO BODY could have predicted this. EVERY ONE thought it was Biden."


Coyote above noted Montana only has 3 Electoral College votes.
True, but they are 3 Obama could use.

Moreover, a Schweitzer pick could put Obama over the top in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and New Mexico.

Remember this: Obama's was always about expanding the political map and Obama's trajectory to victory was always about Virginia or Colorado.

Since Obama could not persuade Mark Warner, and knows Tim Kaine can only be sure to deliver suburban Richmond, then a Western or Mountain approach was needed.

Governor Schweitzer can be effective in changing the electoral map in ways Biden cannot.

And it would nice to see McCain sweat in Texas...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5_sf3A9bbpU

And here's Governor Schweitzer doing the Charlie Rose show.

http://www.charlierose.com/shows/2007/03/07/1/a-conversation-with-montana-governor-brian-schweitzer

He gets into "energy policy" right off the bat. Some of us may not agree with everything he says on that, but he knows his stuff. He's very persuasive.

And then on Iraq. BAM!!! He ties energy and foreign policy together in a way folks can grasp.

And I'm only 15 minutes into watching the show....


Oh man, I would love Brian Schweitzer in the VP debate... he would KILL!

Plus we'd have a Bolo Tie-ed VP. This pleases me to no end.

Although it would suck for Montana, since he's running for re-election... but... arrrrggghhh.

I have a funny feeling we're going to get stuck with Biden. As long as it's not Bayh.

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guys, some hrc fans are angry because hrc didn't win the nomination...if you think experience is the reason, you have been duped....if they are still threatening to vote mccain,then it was not about HILL to begin with...it was always against Obama...why? no comment!!!..these judas' are lost!! present anyone other than hrc to them, and you will get threats and baseless complaints PERIOD!!!
____
I do not know this brian...i just hope obama knows what he is doing....either way, we have to get in line and keep on marching to the white house...

hrc did a fine job representing barack in my homestate, florida....i am not crazy about her as a person nor as vp, but at this point, i just want us to win this fight...to lose is unthinkable b/c so much is at stake...if by some miracle, he picks hill, i am totally devoted to falling in line..puke later, but fall in line, i shall....we dems are great at fighting among each other, but we wimper like tiny toddlers when asked to act in a very decisive manner....

let's get with the program..

I think Obama wants folks to say Brian Who? He'll then introduce him to the nation on the road from Springfield to Denver, before stopping off in Billings, Montana, where folks already know him and where he is the most popular in the country.

Get your spilt screens ready...

Democrats in Denver and Obama/Schweitzer on the road to Denver.

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I really hope it isn't Schweitzer, he is about as exciting as a box of soggy toast. And he strikes me as way too moderate.

Not impressed.

Well sounds like you ain't never ate a Durbun Bunny then...

I sure do hope it's Schweitzer rather than the usual media suspects (Biden et alii).

No national politician knows the oil issue specifically and the energy problem in general better than Schweitzer. Some polls have gasoline the number 2 issue just behind the economy. Obama's plan to grow the economy involves energy infrastructure.

Obama has foreign relations judgment sewed up: No war to start with, a goal to get out, importance of Afghanistan, summary attacks against key Al-Qaeda personnel, etc.

A good fit.

I am very concerned about some of the possibilities being thrown around. I am concerned that his choice will be a real let down after all of the drama surrounding it. I see on Huffpost now there is a bunch of Obama/Bayh material that has been printed and that I think would be a let down but there are several candidates that would feel that way. If it is Bayh, I think they would have been better off leaking it and letting people have a lot more time to adjust before the convention. Ugh!

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