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ROPING A DOPE

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Even when I was a little kid, I used to love to watch Mohammed Ali box.  I'd sit cross-legged on the living room floor in front of my daddy's chair, and we'd watch him outsmart and outbox every contender, from the time he won the gold at the Olympics as Cassius Clay, to the time they took away all his belts and awards when he refused to fight in another unjust and unnecessary war, to when he came roaring back and won them all over again.

We loved watching him spar with network sportscaster Howard Cossell, and I always got a kick out of his mouthing and trash-talking for the television cameras.

Still, I heard all the snide remarks that were made when he became a Muslim and changed his name.

When he first went into a decline with Parkinson's disease, and sportscasters whispered that he'd taken too many blows to the head, he looked straight at the camera and said, "Too many blows to the head?  Do you think I'd let anybody get near enough to mess with this pretty face?"

From the beginning of his meteoric rise in boxing, Ali was a cool cat all his own, and from the beginning, he was misunderstood and underestimated.

They thought he was "cocky" and "arrogant" (code-words for "uppity black man").  Talking in rhyme was funny and made good TV, but they weren't really paying attention to what he was saying.  And he'd lost some serious fights before facing the formidable George Foreman in 1974.  Foreman was a powerful fighter with forearms like cement blocks.  He was favored to win--Foreman thought he was going to win, too.  In fact, he thought he'd polish off the older Ali fairly early in the fight.

But Ali had done a great deal more than just build up his physical prowess in the gym.  He had done some serious strategizing with his team.  And they'd come up with something Ali, in his typical poetic fashion, liked to call "the Rope-a-Dope."

Here is how the fight is described on the "School for Champions" website:

http://www.school-for-champions.com/competition/boxing_ali_foreman.htm



"Before the fight, Ali had been boasting how he was too fast for Foreman to keep up with him. Typically, Ali had set up his opponents through boasting and taunting before a fight. He would make fun of an opponent or predict which round he would knock out the opponent. The press would eat this up.


"Ali's boasting of his speed and the way he opened the first round of the fight with a flurry of punches probably set up Foreman and his corner that Ali would try to win using his speed.


"Foreman and author Norman Mailer claimed they saw Ali's trainers loosen the ropes before the fight. Foreman was not aware that there was meaning to the madness. It is not certain whether it was Ali's idea or the idea of his trainer Angelo Dundee. Most likely Dundee was instrumental in the whole fight strategy, since he was one of the best fight trainers.


"Adjusting the environment is not uncommon in sporting events. National Basketball Association (NBA) teams would often take air out of the game balls in an effort to slow down Michael Jordan. After learning about this, coach Phil Jackson always checked the air pressure of the balls to make sure they were to specification.


"Foreman came out of his corner in the second round expecting a toe-to-toe battle. Instead, Ali leaned back against the ropes and let Foreman flail away at him. He would taunt Foreman to come and get him and then lean back, only protecting his face. This made Foreman angry and later frustrated, as he gave his best shots to Ali's midsection. But the give in the ropes was sufficient to reduce the damage.


"When Foreman did throw a punch at his face, Ali was able to lean back or move his head just enough that the blow missed or had little impact. This was a special skill Ali had through most of his career. He would often hit an opponent while pulling back to avoid a counterpunch.


"Although he primarily used the rope-a-dope technique, Ali occasionally counter-attacked with fast, crisp blows to Foreman's face. Then he would slip back into the defensive mode. In this way, he was controlling the pace of the fight, according to his liking.


"By the seventh round, Foreman had essentially punched himself out. His arms were tired and sometimes hanging on his side. Ali then used his speed and energy to do damage to Foreman, who was just trying to get in one good punch for a knockout. Ali taunted Foreman by saying, "George, it that all you've got?" Foreman realized that it was all he had."



Foreman, in fact, was so devastated by the outcome of the fight that he retired from boxing at the age of 28.  Both men, of course, went on to be successful in their own rights and to make an impact on the world in their own ways.  But I have been thinking a lot lately about Ali's boxing career and especially his "rope-a-dope" strategy.

And I think it's come to life again, in the Obama campaign.

Obama has taken many body blows during this lengthy campaign, first from Hillary Clinton and her many surrogates, and now from John McCain and his two surrogates, Joe Lieberman and Lindsey Graham.  Recently, during the only real vacation he's had in two years, the McCain campaign released a different sneering smear-ad pretty much every day of the week.

And oh!  How the pundits pontificated!

And oh!  How the Democrats despaired!

And oh!  How the polls plunged!

And oh!  How the Republicans have gone on being their usual snotty selves.

A grass-roots fire is raging all across the land, that somehow, poor wittle Obama has let himself get beat up by Bad Old McCain.  Hillary people are saying, See, we told you so!

It's all over!  Forget the convention!  Just take the sweaty towel away from the trainer in the corner and toss it into the middle of the ring!

The fight's over!

But, see, all this tongue-wagging really fails to take into account that this political boxer may actually have a strategy of his own.  Call it, roping a dope.

All summer, during the early rounds of the fight, most Americans have not been paying that much attention while McCain has landed one body-blow after another.  When they do look up, they see a fighter on the ropes, holding up his fists to protect his face, maybe getting in a jab or two in self-defense.

He's weak! they cry.  He's getting the crap beat out of him!

But is he?  Is he REALLY?

Right now he's got a fortune in the bank, no debt, more money pouring in every month--and while that's going on, he's working hard to unify a party exhausted and irritated at one another after the tiresome primary season.  Call it lots and lots of working out at the gym, strengthening those abs so they can withstand the hard punches.

Meanwhile, his trainer stepped in before the match and loosened the ropes--meaning, it may not be readily apparent simply because the campaign hasn't trumpeted it loudly to media far and wide--but hard-hitting Obama attack ads have been quietly playing in swing states all over the country, delivering sharp jabs to McCain.  They don't smear McCain's character or make up baseless crap about him or pretend that Britney Spears matters worth a damn to anybody in this country except Britney Spears--but they deliver sharp counterpunches on McCain's weakest policy positions, and they're landing more than a few bruises in the states where the fight hangs in the balance.

Now, after the two conventions--in the last rounds of the fight--McCain's going to have to rely on public financing.  Not that he won't be bolstered by the RNC and 527 groups--but he will be facing, during that time, a formidable Obama fund-raising advantage. 

And that's not all.

While McCain has been exhausting himself throwing wild punches that attack Obama's patriotism and his celebrity and whatever other body parts he can hit, Obama's organization has swiftly spread out over 50 states, setting up voter-registration drives, satellite campaign offices, signing up more than two million supporters online--and then asking them to do more than just donate.  They're being asked to canvass and make phone calls and blog and text-message and circulate Obama e-mails and give their TIME and their ENERGY and their RESOURCES--not just their money.

By the time we get to the last couple of rounds of this fight, Obama is going to come full-on into his own.  He will get his strength and stamina from US--all of us out here who are in the ring with him.  We will be energized and, to coin a phrase, "fired up and ready to go."

And when that happens, most of the country WILL be watching.  They'll see a tired old man throwing ineffectual, wild punches. 

And they'll see a fighter in his prime, dancing away from the ropes, landing the knock-out blows.



Comments (51)

We're blogging here, Deanie, not writing books.

Sorry Ripper, I have to part with you on this one. This was an excellent post and I read it top to bottom and I am one of those short attention span blog readers.

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Ripper, this seems like sniping, which I would think is beneath you.

To: Deanie, tbarnett, et al:

My apologies. I was in a foul mood.

I suspect the Obama campaign's brutal salvos today will cheer everyone up. :)

For heaven's sake, Rip! What's the deal? Deanie's posts are always long, but they're worth investing the time to read. And anyway, TPM is a nicer place when we accommodate each other's idiosyncrasies, as long as it's contributing to thoughtful discussion, right?

Have a little patience, Mr. Grumpus! :-)

Oops! Sorry, Rip. You must've posted your explanation while I was typing my little scolding.

Hope things get better for you and your mood improves.

:-)

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I thought the first part of the post setup the second half. Good job.

"We're blogging here, Deanie, not writing books."

Who's "we", Ripper? Everyone with a short attention span?

Those of us who know how to write concisely and use single paragraph spacing.

If you didn't like it, Rip, don't read or comment. There's not a word limit, guy.

Rope a dope may have been a successful strategy for Muhammed Ali in Zaire, but a loser when it comes to running a Presidential campaign. Can you seriously suggest that Obama is going to absorb McCain's best shots and hope that he punches himself out before coming out swinging? More likely, the candidate who successfully defines the other early, particularly one as undefined as Obama, will have an advantage. Notwithstanding his age, we can't expect McCain to tire. That's called wishful thinking. And rope a dope is a lame explanation for a lackluster campaign. Sure, there's plenty of time, but if rope a dope is our best hope, we're in trouble.

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"Notwithstanding his age, we can't expect McCain to tire."

Are you kidding? He started out looking old and tired. Now McBush's trying for a quick knockout with outrageous lies.

He's already completely shot his wad. What else can he come up with?

Meanwhile, Obama will never run out of great material from McBush's sordid past to skewer him with.

Do you really think that McBush is going to keep his cool throughout all that is coming for him? His history says no.

Wow. I think you're being surprisingly charitable toward McCain. "Notwithstanding his age, we can't expect McCain to tire." Uh...well, if you're actually referring to the candidate's energy, all we can do is speculate on that. You're inclined to give him more credit than I am.

But Deanie is talking about more than that. McCain burning through his resources early--which includes (1) money, (2) media interest and goodwill, and (3) that marginal space of allowable gaffes before a candidate starts to do irreparable damage his/her campaign. McCain has been marginally successful so far, but the more he appears in public, the greater his risk of making mistakes or looking unattractive to moderate voters. (Personally, I think he's treading on thin ice!)

Also, you fail to acknowledge the early (and exceptionally effective) early definition Obama gave to McCain -- that he represents a continuation of Bush's policies. Aren't you underestimating the lasting power of that?

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I think the main problem with a rope a dope strategy is that as McCain stays close to Obama more and more Republicans believe he can actually win, and his support grows. I think if Obama had weakened McCain early, then many of the Republicans that were cold on McCain from the beginning would have just decided to sit this out and look ahead to 2012. But since he has held firm it seems the party is rallying behind him, making Obama's job that much harder.

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Well, we'll see, won't we Guerilla?

I thought the Guerilla was from the Thrilla in Manilla!

get the fuck outta here, GTFOOH. LOL!

HOW CONCISE, Ripper. LOL!! LOL!!!

Heh

Oh, yeah, and copyright law prohibits ripping off so much of the Ali article.

Is there some reason you want to pick a fight, asshole? To put it concisely.

If I wanted legal advice from you, McFraud, I'd beat it out of you.

LOL!! No harm, no foul!

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Gort already did this post in 'blog' size. See 'What,Me Worry?'

McCain gonna wonder where November went, after Obama knocks him into dismemberment.

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Good one!!

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I don't doubt Obama could rope-a-dope McCain. It's rope-a-doping the electorate that's the problem, and that's where the battle needs to be won.

And if McCain tires? Unless he implodes (always something to hope for), it may not matter if he tires. His aide de camp can trot him out for the occasional public appearance, and meanwhile, his campaign of lies, smears and hissy fits can continue apace.

So Obama winning by rope-a-dope? I don't think so. He needs to fight.

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Not to boast or anything, but I kinda posted about this yesterday:

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/08/float-like-a-butterfly-sting-l-1.php#comments

I and a few others thought I was nuts weeks ago to propose such a comparison.

Can anyone cite a single example of a POLITICIAN who has ever successfully employed the so-called rope a dope strategy? Anyone?

Uhh.. Barack Obama?

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See: Obama, Barack H.

Greg Sargent has a nice definition of the rope-a-dope theory in an EC post today, he describes it in this sentance:

This lends some comfort to purveyors of the "rope a dope" theory of the campaign, which holds that Obama is waiting for McCain to firmly define himself as the dirty campaigner, thus giving himself cover to go after McCain in earnest after the conventions, when voters are really paying attention.

So the point is to provide justification for going more negative in the future.

I look at it like a schoolyard fight. The guy who starts the fight usually looks like the bad guy, the other guy tries initially to avoid the fight because it's a stupid fight. But ultimately he gets hit and the gloves come off. Everyone roots for the second guy because he showed himself to be the more decent of the two. I'm ready for the gloves to come off. Now.

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Umm, unless you have unusually advanced ADHD, is there any particular reason to give two s***** about how long somebody wants to type? Give me a break--it's an open forum or had you forgotten?

I think we're about to see a couple of rousing weeks in this campaign--A VP is chosen, we have our convention (and all the "oh noes, the Clintons" crap gets behind us) and then Barack goes for the jugular. I think that there are much worse analogies than the rope-a-dope one, who wouldn't want to be compared to Muhammed Ali, for God's sake?

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I think Rope a Dope has been used as an analogy by many of us. I think it's a pretty good fit but I do understand the concern that while it might be a good analogy, it might be a bad strategy. I tend to think it is a good strategy but I gotta tell ya, I'm getting mighty nervous.

Good post, although too damn long for the excellent metaphor.

McCain has gone into this weird, twilight overdrive of blustering about every goddam topic that shows up in the MSM. If he showed up on 'Project Runway' to offer opinions about the latest challenge and say a few disparaging things about Germans to Heidi Klum, I wouldn't be at all surprised.

I think it's the only way he can get no-cost media attention. You nailed it that his big problem is going to become money (or lack thereof). The Hot Air Express is going to tap out of fuel soon. In the meantime I keep donating to BHO when I can and hope others are keeping the faith as well.

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Hi guys! Wow, great comments

As per several points:

*I thought the length was short, for me. I'm used to writing either magazine-length pieces as a freelancer or books. So I do struggle with blog-lengths, but this was short for me.

*As for someone else thinking of it first: What we see here is something the toy industry calls "groupthink." We all come up with pretty much the same idea at pretty much the same time. I hadn't read any of the other posts, and so now I feel like a fool, but I didn't copy any ideas. We're just all brilliant ha ha.

*As far as "ripping off" the source--it's not "ripping off" if you name the source and then provide a link. It's possible my quote was too long to be legal but I don't know how that goes. In book publishing, you have a hundred words before you have to get legal permission, with the exception of songs, for which you have to pay. As in, real money. Which is why the COLD CASE series is still not on DVD. Too many oldies.

One point that has occurred to me as to whether you think he's rope-a-doping or whether you think he's losin' it is, I think, related to how big a Hillary supporter you were. Some of her supporters just don't trust Obama and can't believe that he's capable of waging a strong campaign. Some think he just sort of stumbled into his win against her, or that somehow he doesn't observe it. So they're not going to be able to trust that he could possibly know what he is doing now.

And that's it for my too-long comment.

Some Hillary supporters think Obama's campaign came out guns ablazing in Iowa and were categorizing Hillary as polarizing, poll-tested, etc. Do you remember the early debates where it was everyone including the moderators vs. Hillary? I don't know what campaign you were watching, but Obama's campaign was not absorbing body blows from Hillary's camp early. They were dishing them out. That rope-a-dope style more accurately reflects Hillary's strategy in Iowa where she was the favorite and she absorbed the blows thinking she'd overcome them with a knockout punch on Super Tuesday. Not that good a strategy seeing how things have played out.

Well said!

Wow, I guess it's all in how you view it. Seems there's a fine line between classifying a political style as rope-a-dope and accusing a candidate of sitting on their lead. Maybe, you only get to call it rope-a-dope if it works out for you!

I meant the comment about length in a positive way ... you have an excellent theme that a lot of people will miss because the mass of text overwhelms. An edit or two would have been worthwhile to get it down to 5 or 6 paragraphs. That it isn't long by your other writing standards doesn't have much to do with anything ... what matters is the readers' standards. On this site, the old news rule-of-thumb that nobody's reading after 100 lines is probably something to keep in mind.

But again, good post, and I Rec'd it without hesitation!

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Damn the typos!!! DEserve, not OBserve.

Spot on, Deanie. In the MSM conventional wisdom, Barack has also held his fire while McCain's attacked; therefore, Barack appears totally justified in running ads that attack on substantive grounds (i.e. the "7 houses" ad).

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This was brilliant ,I think you are dead on...

Rope-a-dope didn't work for McGovern, Kerry, or Dukakis, so why would it work for Barack the arugula-eater who did not get angry when Jesse Jackson said he wanted to remove his genitals?

Its a good thing Kerry, Dukakis, or McGovern aren't running this year.. Obama will show that seven house having, beer heiress marrying, $520 shoe wearing elitist what a winning campaign looks like.

Thanks--I love this, Deanie. I've been thinking the same thing. What amazes me is that it's not obvious to everyone. Obama's letting McCain and the Republicans "punch themselves out". McCain is outspending Obama on advertising right now. Sure, McCain's getting a little temporary traction with the negative ads; but in reality, he's probably getting a pretty poor return on investment. It's still early in the campaign--McCain very well may been punched out and spent up by the time voters are really paying attention.

I like to think of this as Obama's Bugs Bunny strategy. It's more than just letting the enemy burn through his resources early in the fight--it's allowing the enemy to turn its flawed strategy into a weapon against itself. If you're interested in a much more articulate explanation, refer to this blog article that applied military strategist John Boyd's ooda loop concept to Obama's campaign during the primaries. It's fascinating!

D'oh! I meant McCain may be punched out and spent up...

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Wow. That just pumped me up. Thanks Deanie.

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Deanie, this was one of the best posts I've read in a long time! I read every word. You're sharp cookie.

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