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The Death Knell for John McCain

During a pivotal scene in the movie 'Network', Frank Hackett, the head of the UBC television network and vice-president of CCA, the corporation that owns UBC, is forced to respond to rumors that CCA has a deal to be bought out by a Saudi company. 

Hackett, played by Robert Duvall, is in a pinch because the deal has just been exposed on UBC's top-rated program, The Howard Beale Show.  During the program, Howard Beale, played by the late Peter Finch, whips the studio crowd into a frenzy by exhorting them and the audience at home to flood the White House with telegrams to stop the deal.

Hackett, left to absorb the consequences of Beale's show, tells the other executives in the room:

CCA has two billion in loans with the Saudis,and they hold every pledge We’ve got. 

We need that Saudi money bad.  Disaster.  The show is a disaster.

Unmitigated disaster. The death knell

I'm ruined.  I'm dead.  I'm finished.

Any second that phone’s gonna ring and Clarence McElheny is gonna tell me that Jensen wants me in his office tomorrow so he can personally chop my head off.

Four hours ago, I was the sun-god at CCA.  Mr Jensen’s hand-picked golden boy. 

The heir apparent. 

Now... I’m a man without a corporation.
Four hours ago, John McCain was man with a shot at the presidency.  Not a great shot, mind you, but more then a puncher's chance.  Now . . . he's a man without an issue.

Granted, that 'chance' was almost entirely predicated on being 'right' about the surge in Iraq and his ability to portray Barack Obama as a dangerous foreign policy novice whose election would lead to defeat in Iraq; a reversal of fortune since now we're 'winning'.

That chance is gone. 

Prime Minister Maliki's statement, leaked by the White House on accident [thanks guys!] closes the door on the argument that a time-line would be 'reckless' and lead to 'surrender'.

Maliki endorses the plan of Barack Obama, the Bush Administration is negotiating with Iran & McCain is calling for more troops in Afghanistan.  Seems as if everyone is adopting the foreign policy goals of the 'reckless' 'novice', Barack Obama. 

What's left for John McCain to run on now--the economy?  Good luck with that.




Comments (34)

I believe the repub flag is hanging at half mast.

Should we send flowers?

So sad. Too bad. Sigh.

(Bet whoever inadvertently sent out that e-mail is, even as we gloat, signing up for unemployment benefits!.)

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Nah, not half-mast just yet.

Upside-down, though, is a distinct possibility. :-)

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There's a marvellous post over at Daily Kos - the Nevada GOP had to cancel their state convention due to lack of interest!

LOL!

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This so called leak was just a forwarded story from Der Spiegel, a German magazine. BTW, Maliki has said his comments were mistranslated and misrepresented.

I'm not sure how this is supposed to be such a big deal for Obama. Obama wanted to bug out years ago. He wanted to set a timetable for withdrawl, which is very different from a timeline. A timeline is based on a progression of events happening, not fixed to arbitrary dates. This is really a vindication of Bush, who said that Iraq would become a stable country, and a repudiation of Obama/Pelosi/Reid who said the war was lost, that Iraq was hopeless and we should leave now.

Ref his campaign's response (finally!) - as per Josh's post: Do they come any more petulant than that? Veritably reeks of a campaign swirling around the drain.

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come on people, cheer up

we're gonna get to see some of the most spectacular verbal acrobatics ever seen on the planet

the repuglitards are gonna be spinning and flipping and eating each other

it's like watching sharks on the Flying trapeze

too funny

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"What's left for John McCain to run on now--the economy? Good luck with that."

Well I'd suggest that, unless Obama runs very differently on the economy than he has to date, McCain won't need luck. He'll have the edge.

Minus setting up a Prices Commission, if you were one of the heartland voters who are nearly beside themselves trying to cope with this economy, dependent on gas to get to work, everything you buy going up because of the gas prices, would you vote for someone who proposed levying a windfall profits tax on the oil companies? Or would you buy the repugs' proposition that all those companies will do is instantly recoup those taxes by passing them on in higher prices to the hapless ordinary Joe?

And given the current polling on offshore drilling, I don't understand your confidence.

Add to energy prices, if you were that same ordinary Joe, how would you react to endless GOP spiel that Obama - Dr No - is going to tax small business out of business?

Whereas McCain is telling people that America's corporate tax rate is the 2nd highest in the developed world, and he's arguing that he's going to cut it from 35-25% and that will increase jobs and he also argues (debatable) that it leads to higher wages.

Given the heartland's traditional dislike of big government, I think you're kidding yourself if you think Obama has the economic debate tied up.

Hopefully he can do it, but I think it's nuts to assume he has it made. (I think he should be proposing a Price Commission if he's committed to the windfall profits tax.)

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I thought you were going to include the punchline from this story: A “prominent Republican strategist” who occasionally provides advice to the McCain campaign said more candidly, “We’re fucked".

Fran, I agree it's a little too early to start the celebratin' but as someone who lives in the heartland and is out talking to people every week about who they support for president and why, I think you are underestimating how abso-fuckin-lutely done we are with Bush.

We've had eight years of supply-side policies with a dash of "fuck fiscal responsiblity" thrown in. I cannot tell you how many times I've heard "I'm a republican but I can't vote for more of the same." It's music to my ears, let me tell you.

Sounds almost as good as the death knell.

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Oh thanks for this. I copied it and printed it out and stuck it on my pinboard so that every time I get overwhelmed by & depressed about what I think we're up against, I can reread it.

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Do you mind my asking - it sounds as though you're talking about political college educated people. But what about the blue collars who haven't had much education? The ones who get their political info in sound bytes?

I'm talking about everybody! Door to door, in parks, in bars, at gas stations. Men, women, whites, Latinos, African Americans, young, old. You name it. I can't hold on to an Obama button. People ask me for them all the time and I can't help myself-I take them off and give them away.

Last night, I stopped by the bar where my cousin works for a drink. I struck up a conversation with a man who I would guess was in his eighties. After the pleasantries, I showed him my button and asked him what he thought of Obama. "That's my guy." He said. He proceeded to rant for twenty minutes about how Bush has totally screwed us. This happened in a bar paronized by blue collar, white folks.

Now, don't get me wrong. We have a lot of republicans out here who won't vote for Obama and the state is going to be tight. But this is a state that hasn't gone blue in a presidential election since 1968. The fact that it's even close should give us all reason to smile. If it's happening here, it's pretty much a guarantee that it's happening everywhere.

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Couldn't agree more. :-)

I have a guy I do Web work for in Westmoreland County, PA (east of Allegheny County, where Pittsburgh is). Ultra-small town. White guy, mid-70s, owns a pool table manufacturing company. Served in Korea. Basically, someone who should have a serious crush on McCain.

He has sworn for the last few years that he'll never vote Republican again. He thinks their economic "plans" are singularly responsible for driving his business down, and he's ready for a new approach. He's not a huge Obama fan, but I've been slowly working on him since February. :-)

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With luck maybe the guy will live long enough to see Obama pull the country out of the death spiral it was put into by Bush, the Republicans and all those white guys and gals who voted the lying bunch of incompetent scoundrels and criminals into office.

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McCain ultimately will run on the same issue Hillary ultimately ran on: race. Just wait and see. It will be up to the country to reject this appeal to the dark side once again.

For once, I sort of agree with you, Mandy. But the attack is and will be more broad and subtle. It will be about Obama as the bogeyman, encompassing all the unfamiliar things that Americans fear are hiding in their bushes or under their beds at night.

To me it all looks like a coordinated attempt by the GOP to neutralize what they might perceive as a winning issue for Obama, by moving toward a more moderate (i.e. non-100 years) position on Iraq. The "time horizon," the non-negotiation talks with Iran, McCain's surge in Afghanistan... it's triangulation, right? That's my suspicion, anyway.

I agree, it seems like the Iran about-face, the "time horizon" or whatever the hell Bush said, has a lot to do with trying to take these issues away from Obama.

Will voters see this as the Republicans validating Obama, or doing enough to regain their confidence and remove the incentive to take a chance on Obama?

I would view this development as a deathknell if I thought people were different. Intellectually, it should be the end. However, I still think things will be close because there will simply be enough people, whatever the issues and positions, who will look for any reason/rationale to avoid voting for Obama.

That moment alone in the voting booth is where a lot of folks may very well chicken out on voting for the young black guy.

Obama, though I'm down with him, and Clinton, I thought at the outset, were the Democrats' two worst candidates, because one is a young black guy and the other is a Clinton.

I think Obama will make a fine president and I'm very enthusiastically supporting him, but obviously, getting him in there by any margin at all would represent a serious triumph, no matter the conditions all around.

I should say "weakest" instead of "worst" candidates, and not because of how they would do in the job, but because of the challenge in getting either into office. Obama, though, has shown me that he can do it. I just won't exhale until he's won.

McCain dead? Again? Didn't he die once in Feb or thereabouts?

I understand why some of us might see the softening of GOP positions on these issues (Afghanistan v. Iraq, "time horizon" for withdrawal, negotiations with Iran) as a plus for the GOP.

Because we see their existing positions as weaknesses.

But in fact, McCain's perceived experience with military/security/int'l issues is his only advantage in the race. If his position on those issues became indistinguishable from Obama's, it wouldn't help. It would leave him little to run on, because Obama has a large perceived advantage with the voters on economic issues.

Americans by a wide margin, 63-26 percent, pick McCain as more knowledgeable on world affairs, rate him much more highly in terms of readiness for the world stage and military leadership alike, and put him ahead of Obama by 50-41 percent in trust to handle "an unexpected major crisis."

Obama remains strong on the home front. He leads McCain by 19 points in trust to handle the economy, 14 points on the deficit and 10 points on immigration, the latter a turnaround from a McCain lead in the spring.

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Politics/story?id=5378482&page=1

And if McCain is forced to change his position to *be more like Obama's*, because the Iraqi PM says that Obama's plan is "more realistic," and Bush is sidling toward it in practice -- well, it doesn't help McCain, and it's going to be seen as confirming that Obama is indeed ready for the world stage.

Not that I expect the voters to pick all this up tomorrow. The point of the story is that it establishes the context in which McCain's subsequent remarks about Iraq will be interpreted.


Not really. As McCain closes the gap with Obama on Iraq and Afghanistan, it allows McCain to bring his military experience to the fore as credentials for commander-in-chief, while neutralizing Obama's advantage among those wanting the war to end. Net gain is McCain's, not Obama's -- UNLESS voters understand the Bush-McCain shell game as flip-flopping. That is a BIG if.

Hmm. Maybe. But I don't get it. How does it "allow" McCain to bring his military advantage to the fore? Are voters not noticing that advantage now? Or -- I guess this is what you mean -- "I'd like to vote for McCain, because he's a tough pilot guy, but I can't, because I'm afraid he'd stay in Iraq"?

I think you're imagining voters who are more rational and issue-oriented than the voters I see on the bus. I think it's more like this:
"Hmm. McCain. Old white guy, has the experience."
"Obama. Energetic, people like him. But young, black. What does a young black guy really know about world affairs? He ain't running for mayor of Baltimore. I just don't know . . ."

In other words, I think the "national security" thing is largely code for a bar Obama has to get across in people's perception. If he gets across the bar, McCain's military experience is not a huge deal. (It didn't help Kerry that much, after all.)

I could be wrong. The next three weeks of poll numbers, in the aftermath of the world tour, will be interesting to watch.

A scene from "Charlie Wilson's War" that may or many not prove relevant:

Gust Avrakotos: There's a little boy and on his 14th birthday he gets a horse... and everybody in the village says, "how wonderful. the boy got a horse" And the Zen master says, "we'll see." Two years later The boy falls off the horse, breaks his leg, and everyone in the village says, "how terrible." And the Zen master says, "We'll see." Then, a war breaks out and all the young men have to go off and fight... except the boy can't cause his legs all messed up. and everybody in the village says, "How wonderful."
Charlie Wilson: Now the Zen master says, "We'll see."

We'll see...

Well the entire mainstream press is carrying McCain' water.

Simple translation error, you see, no harm no foul.

That's not what I heard on TV this morning. They know perfectly well what Maliki meant. They're not making a big deal about it. But this was never a story designed to impress the American voter directly. What it does is reduce McCain's room to maneuver.

Is this what the Hillbots meant when they said that McGoo and The Monster had crossed the Commander In Chief threshold and Obama hadn't?

The only way McGoo and Hill appear to be able to cross that threshold now is with their arms and legs wrapped tightly around Obama's ankles.

The only way McGoo and Hill appear to be able to cross that threshold now is with their arms and legs wrapped tightly around Obama's ankles.

Nicely put.

I think the real metric is not how people who want buttons appear on the demographic charts but rather who they voted for in 2000 and 2004.

If people who voted for Bush in 2000 and 2004 are now talking Obama, that is very interesting. If they are simply people who didn't vote or never got involved in politics before, that's encouraging but doesn't necessarily portend a knock-out blow against McCain.

My next door neighbor, 72 and a Korean War vet, was very pro McCain last winter; but he is strongly in the Obama camp now.

WHY?

Because the economy sucks. For the first time in his 72 years he is having a hard time making it economically. He's a former business owner as well; and he blames everything on Bush and can't tell the difference between Bush and McCain.

Besides Obama, though, he generally seems to be supporting Republicans, even voting for our former Republican representative who lost in '06. She is running on a "it's the Democrats' fault that gasoline is so expensive" platform. LOL.

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So your neighbor is so upset with the economy now that the democrats have taken control of congress that he wants to put a democrat in the White House? Have they tested the water where you live?

McCain will be replaced by Jeb Bush at the convention.

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