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Obama's Plan to Destroy the Economy!
Senator Obama loves the working poor, so much so that he wants all of
us to be in that category, and his economic plan will go a long way to
seeing that dream become a reality. He plans to raise capital gains and
dividend taxes by 100%, even though he admits it will generate less
revenue and therefore increase the deficit even more. This should keep
the markets down, and with them your 401k's. He wants to raise
corporate taxes, which he apparently doesn't know are not paid by
corporations, but by employees, shareholders, and customers. This will
reduce the number of jobs and keep the salaries of those working nice
and low, which is good since when the Bush tax cuts expire that lowest
bracket will go from 10% back to 15% so they can enjoy a further
reduction in pay. In addition he wants to remove the Social Security
tax cap, so companies will be hit with the another 6.2% for higher paid
workers. Of course, the company isn't going to just eat that extra
cost, so that added expense will get passed on to the consumers as
well. Those higher paid workers are looking at more than a 10% cut, and
they are going to demand higher pay to make up for it. Too bad the
companies will be already struggling to pass off the costs of the
higher taxes, so they will have to have some more layoffs. In addition,
Obama wants to bring back the windfall profits tax, the disaster from
the 70's that caused domestic oil production to plummet. This will
further drive up the cost of gasoline and make us even more dependent
on the volatile middle east. If you want to know where it will all end,
look to the 70's (the last time we elected an ultra liberal president).
Skyhigh interest rates, soaring unemployment, and inflation out of
control.







Comments (74)
Go to your local bank. Tell them John McCain sent you. Tell them that you are having a feud with your neighbor, and you want to take out a huge loan; because you want to purchase a bulldozer to level your neighbor's property. Explain to them that as soon as you have completely destroyed your neighbor, you will use the economic dividend, from your victory, to immediately pay of the entire loan and accrued interest.
Brilliant!. That John McCain is an Economics genius. Until they hand him the Nobel prize, treat him to a Guinness. Brilliant!
July 7, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does raising the capital gains tax decrease revenue? Well, it depends on the time frame. Of course it does over the short term. If you're thinking of selling a stock which will have gains and you know the capital gains tax is about to go up, you'll sell now, rather than later. Conversely, if the capital gains tax is about to go down, you'll wait until it does.
Long term, however, it increases the revenue. Or it would, if we could get and keep a president/Congress in office who understood how to balance a budget. The 3 biggest deficit spenders in my lifetime have been Reagan, Bush, and Bush II. They may not believe in the "death tax", but they've been huge supporters of the "birth tax". (I.e., rather than taxing the dead, they're de facto taxing those yet to be born through deficit spending.)
July 7, 2008 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Raising capital gains taxes and dividend taxes makes investing in the markets less attractive (Remember dividends are taxed twice, since they are after tax income of the corporation). This makes less capital available for companies to expand, which means slower job growth and a weaker economy. I completely disagree with your assertion that raising cap gains taxes will increase revenue, every time they have been lowered revenue increased and the economy prospered. If raising taxes meant higher revenue, we could tax our way to prosperity.
July 7, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
What do you do with your money instead of investing it in markets? Is that worse for the economy?
July 7, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well if dividends are taxed highly, and capital gains taxes are high, it makes no sense to risk your money in the markets, so you park it in tbills or invest it outside the country. I think the cratering of peoples 401k's, the difficulty companies would face raising capital, would certainly be bad for the economy.
July 7, 2008 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe 401ks are exempt.
July 7, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Their value will crater when the market goes south. It doesn't matter if they are exempt from taxes, the equities in them will decline.
July 7, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Higher capital gains taxes in the long run will merely mean that people will think harder about selling existing stocks. It's not going to cause the sky to fall.
It's amazing to me that people who don't have faith in what the majority of scientists have to say about global warming will buy into what a few economists (I'm assuming there are at least a few) say about the effects of increased capital gains taxes.
July 7, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, there's that ultra-liberal Obama meme again. I've decided "ultra-liberal" means one can pronounce "nuclear" correctly.
I guess we should just keep driving up our national debt by cutting taxes on the rich, starting foreign wars and increasing spending on no-bid projects that benefit big corporate donors.
Lower 48 oil production peaked in 1971, well before Carter was in office. Prudhoe Bay kicked in during Carter's term, but not enough to keep us the swing producer.
July 7, 2008 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Top 1 percent of taxpayers, ranked by adjusted gross income, paid 34.3 percent of all federal income taxes. The top 5 percent paid 54.4 percent. So the idea that the rich are getting a free ride is patently false.
Wonder what would happen if a sizable fraction of that 5% moved out of the country, and the remaining 95% had to start carrying their share of the burden? I'm guessing Obama's wild spending wouldn't look so attractive if you were paying for it.
July 7, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting qualifier, "adjusted." Read 'Perfectly Legal: The Covert Campaign to Rig Our Tax System to Benefit the Super Rich - and Cheat Everybody Else' by David Cay Johnston sometime.
http://www.amazon.com/Perfectly-Legal-Campaign-Benefit-Everybody/dp/B0008102D6/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1215463891&sr=8-1
July 7, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The fact that you claim their income is underreported does not alter the percentage of total federal taxes they pay.
July 7, 2008 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't don't find that stat very persuasive. They make lots of money, their accountants hide much of it, and they still pay a lot of taxes. Yet you think we couldn't get by without them?
One of my bosses used to hand down small house commissions he didn't want to bother with. He gave the rich clients to an older man in the office; he gave me the steam fitters and plumbers. The other guy always had trouble getting paid. I always got paid.
July 7, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it would be a very different world here if the rich left and passed the bills on to the rest of us. Few people realize how little share of the gov't they are paying for.
July 7, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I suspect if Donald Trump, Paris Hilton and Bill Gates were to leave for Europe we'd struggle along somehow.
July 7, 2008 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Note I said if a sizeable number left, not just 3.
July 7, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
There'd be new rich people to replace them.
July 8, 2008 6:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Patriots, even, who love our country.
July 8, 2008 9:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Would you care to also post the percentage of wealth the top 5% hold? And the percentage of income (there is a difference, you know) they get, as opposed to those other 95% - who are all, as we know, utter slackers?
July 7, 2008 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know the percent of wealth, I assume it is large. That does not negate the fact that they are paying the vast bulk of taxes. My point is I reject the demonizing and class warfare that is so common today. The rich can live well anywhere, they need us less than we need them.
July 7, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the rich don't need the middle classes, then they should have no objections to the organization of very strong workers unions.
July 7, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
That would just cause them to outsource the labor overseas.
July 7, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
But that just means they're transferring their need for the middle class somewhere else. And shipping containers is getting awfully expensive.
July 8, 2008 7:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
1. Nice move with the "34.3% of all federal income taxes. Note: INCOME taxes only. Seems to me there's a whole other raft of taxes, which have - pretty consistently across the Western World - been dumped onto the poor and lower income folks these past decades. Wanna give me a tax incidence figure for ALL taxes and government revenues? How's that lookin'?
2. Another problem, Bulldog. The changes you say Obama is proposing are pretty much a rollback to an earlier era, right? Like - on the whole - the 90's. which we can look at, and see some results. Happily, the tax structure YOU'RE proposing also was tested, and produced real-world evidence. Let's say from... oh... 2002-2008. As the French say, "How's that workin' for ya?"
Basic economics can be made to sound smart & support pretty much anything, right? Anywhere between 0% and 100%, in theory. Real world economic results, however, have a way of sorting the wheat from the chaff.
We need wheat.
July 7, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
From TaxFoundation.org
In 2000, tax returns with an adjusted gross income over $200,000 earned 26.7 percent of all income, and they paid 47.3 percent of all income taxes. That’s a tax-to-income share ratio of 1.79. Four years later in 2004, their share of income had fallen from 26.7 to 25.5 percent, but their share of taxes had risen to 50.0 percent. That brought the ratio up from 1.79 to 1.96 in 2004.
The biggest winners were in the $25,000-to-$30,000 range. If the Bush tax cuts are the determining factor, then the logical conclusion is that the new 10-percent bracket and the doubled child credit caused dramatic reductions in tax payment. As a result, the ratio of tax share to income share was cut in half.
Two other income groups stand out. People in the $75,000-to-$100,000 group benefited more than the group below earning between $50,000 and $75,000. Most likely, they earned enough to benefit from elimination of the marriage penalty and from cutting the 28-percent rate to 25 percent, but they didn’t make so much that they lost the benefit of the doubled child credit or the new 10-percent bracket. Their share of the nation’s income grew substantially, and their tax share grew by an infinitesimal amount.
People making between $200,000 and $500,000 saw their tax share increase even more than the groups above them. That is the effect of the Alternative Minimum Tax, which takes away many of the Bush tax cuts for people in this range. Above $500,000 tax filers don’t “fall into” the AMT because they already owe more under the regular income tax code.
Conclusion
Overall, the federal income tax became markedly more progressive between 2000 and 2004. Without knowing exactly how much the Bush tax cuts caused this growing progressivity, one can tentatively conclude that in the mix of tax cuts passed in 2001 and 2003, the ones geared to people making less than $100,000 turned out to be more powerful relative to those geared to help people making more than $100,000.
July 8, 2008 7:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
From NCPA,
http://www.ncpa.org/~ncpa/pi/taxes/taxbook/taxbook4.html
Who is rich? Many people would consider the top 10 percent or top 25 percent of taxpayers to be rich. The former included all taxpayers with incomes above $69,000, the latter those with incomes above $43,000. Since these income figures are per return, they include two-earner couples.
Thus a single person earning $22,000 would probably be considered poor -- being in the lower 50 percent of taxpayers. But a married couple each making $22,000 would be considered rich, because they would be in the top 25 percent of taxpayers.
Remember that the next time Obama says he wants to tax the rich.
July 8, 2008 7:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Those people didn't leave the country when their marginal tax rate was 70%. And as far as "wild spending" goes, I'm guessing Bush's wild spending must look pretty good to Conservatives profiting from it who will be long dead by the time the bills come due.
July 8, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Rich are getting a free ride. Two of the richest, Warren Buffet, and Bill Gates said so, and they are in a position to actually know, where as you are just pulling made up figures out of your Trolling Arse.
July 7, 2008 4:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
The figures come from the IRS. The fact that Buffet and Gates want to raise taxes to keep anyone else from joining their elite ranks means little to me.
July 7, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
The fact that they know what is best for the economy and have the history to prove it, is what matters, not what a Right Wing Arse Troll like you claims.
July 7, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
The fact they made a lot of money does not prove they know anything about the economy, only that they did well in business for a variety of reasons. By your logic the candidate with the most money is best to run the country, so I guess you support Romney.
July 7, 2008 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dudes & Dudettes,
Insulting someone because they are arguing conservative views is rather unseemly. If you want to debate the Bulldog, try doing it sensibly. No one here has brought up the effect/percentages in dropping lower wage Social Security surplus straight into the general coffer, nor the differences in government services rendered to the rich over the poor (hint: when was the last time the world's largest military went to war to cover your billion dollar investment or changed legislation to keep cheap Brazilian ethanol imports from threatening your billion dollar ag subsidies or saved you a few million by bailing out your S&L?). If you want to be liberal, try doing it without the knee and the jerk parts.
July 7, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go back and read some of his recent blogs. You will love his energy solution, that is unless you are too busy offering sanctimonious lectures, in between your efforts to offend Roman Catholics who might otherwise give Obama some consideration.
July 7, 2008 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
At least I propose solutions. You just insult people.
July 7, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
You proposed no solutions. You proposed letting the Greedy Oligarchy continue to rip off the country, and you propose stopping all R&D on alternative energy solutions. I have seen enough off your trolling ilk, posting the same denials of global warming, and singing the praises of trickle down nonsense, not to be taken in by you.
July 7, 2008 7:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
When did I ever propose stopping R&D on alt energy? As usual you resort to just making things up. As far as denying GW, prove it or shut up, that's how it works in science. Don't demand I 'believe' in your theory. I can site equally plausible explanations for any alleged evidence you can come up with. As far as 'trickle down nonsense', I am sick of the same old failed socialist garbage being re-tried over and over hoping that this time they will work. It is a logical certainty that a tax rate of 100% yields no revenue, because no one will work for no gain, and a rate of 0% yields no revenue, so obviously the optimal level is somewhere in between. I maintain it is closer to the low end, where a stronger economy will yield higher revenue. If you make tax rates too high, capital will not be put to risk (for no gain), so the economy dies off.
July 7, 2008 7:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd love to see lower taxes, but the problem with low taxes is when the receptionist is paying more tax than the CEO. Why give tax cuts to a class that is already giving itself tax cuts?
July 7, 2008 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can not find a case of a CEO paying less in tax than the receptionist, unless his salary is less than hers. Some CEO's make a $1 salary, so they won't pay much in taxes. Some are paid entirely in stock options, so there is no tax due until the options are exercised (then taxes and AMT taxes kick in). I don't understand how you think they are giving themselves a tax cut, care to explain?
July 7, 2008 7:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Buffett blasts system that lets him pay less tax than secretary
business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/money/tax/article1996735.ece
July 8, 2008 8:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
According to IRS tables, if her adjusted income, after all deductions and exemptions, was 60,000 she would owe slightly over 11,000 in taxes. Half her income is in the 15% bracket, half in the 25% bracket, for a roughly 20% rate. Buffet still pays 8.2 million on his income, but because most is from dividends and cap gains, his "rate" is 17.7%. Had his income been from salary, his rate would have been 35%.
July 8, 2008 9:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
That explains it, but doesn't justify it.
July 8, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
You can not stop lying. Now you are denying what you wrote about how futile it was to seek alternative energy solutions. You really are not very good at the Trolling task that you have been assigned.
We have had a prolonged trial of your Trickle Down lunacy, or as one well known Republican called it: "Voodoo Economics" and now we are left with the result: A concentrated cluster of Robber Barons, investing overseas, and shipping the manufacturing base out of the country. Now we are left with a hollowed out economy that is collapsing, while the country attempts to get by with borrowing from China, and elsewhere.
Trickle down is the theory that we should feed all the grain to the horses, in the hope that some of the seeds will pass through for the sparrows to eat.
Maria Antoinette said: Let them eat cake.
Bush/Cheney/McCain say: Let them eat Horse shit.
Keep on indulging the Robber Barons and they will eventually suffer the same fate as the famous cake lady. When they vast majority of the population have nothing left, after the Robber Barons have taken it all for their selves, then the people who have nothing left to lose always resort to eradicating those who ruined them.
July 7, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
You must not be able to read. I even mentioned that I looked into solar cells for my own house, as well as buying a hybrid car. I specifically commented to Ben about some of the more promising technologies google was using. But because I also advocate increased domestic oil production, that is all you can see. As far as your threats of class warfare, that's what I would expect from you.
July 7, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
A History Lesson Is Not A Threat:
You Arrogant Greedy Prick. Continue down the path of turning the greatest Industrial Power that the world has ever known into a nation of serfs and beggars ruled by a pack of avaricous Robber Barons, and History will repeat itself.
As for your strawman claim about what you looked into; you are full of shit. That was just a tactical crock of shit that you spread out in order to make the case for your Energy Cartel masters.
July 7, 2008 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
We already have class warfare in this country; its been active since Reagan took office. All Liberals are doing is recognizing it for what it is.
Conservatives love to tell us that the reason for even having a government is to protect property rights. Too bad Conservatives won't admit that their goal is to make government unattractive by forcing the people with the least amount of property to pay for the government that protects the wealth of those with the most property.
July 8, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
You misspelled supply-side.
July 8, 2008 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just because your economic theory come off a cafe napkin, please don't inflict them on us.
July 7, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
So sad that people do not learn from the past. Obama's ideas are not new, they are just retreads of failed 70's liberal/socialist experiments.
July 7, 2008 8:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Republican Administrations are the ones that have a terrible history of Recessions and Depressions. Democrats are then called on to clean up their messes and put people back to work. From Hoover to the current Republican Moron in Chief that is the true sad economic legacy that Republican administrations have bestowed on the working classes of America.
People have learned from the past, I sure hope so, because Republicans are the enemies of the working class.
Harry Truman put it best when he said: "If you wish to live like a Republican, you better keep voting as a Democrat".
From the Republican created Great Depression to the present day, Democrats have alway lifted people out of poverty, and the Republicans have always come along and put many of them back into poverty.
July 7, 2008 8:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are truly delusional. The great depression was a worldwide event, largely caused by protectionist policies and the treaty of Versailles in the aftermath of WWI, and it didn't end until WWII, despite all of FDR's gov't programs.
July 7, 2008 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
More of your revisionist bullshit. The Great Depression was the culmination of Republicans catering to the every whim of The Robber Barons,and of course it set off a world wide depression, just like your current Moron in Chief has now triggered the same results. Herbert Hoover did not do a thing to correct it, even though the people were living off soup lines and fleeing the dust bowl.
Hoover was in power when the enablers and parasites of the Robber Baron class started jumping out of windows on Wall Street. The Republicans are well on their way to establishing a new depression. Bears Stern just happened to have windows that were sealed. The day of reckoning draws near for all you thieving bastards. People care far less about your scare tactics and your "the gays are coming" fascist distractions when they can no longer afford transportation, food, clothing, and most of all, a roof over their heads.
Now get the fuck out of our way, and let we Democrats restore some sense of decent treatment to the working class, as we have done many times before, after your cluster of bloodsucking parisites had bled them dry.
People should not have to listen to lectures on principles from the malignancy of thieving bastards which ruined their livelyhoods. STFU.
July 7, 2008 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's nice they have internet connectivity at the asylum. Maybe tomorrow you can make something fun out of macaroni in craft class. Have a good night, and don't worry about those aliens stealing your thoughts, your tinfoil hat will protect you.
July 7, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I knew it. You are just another hired Troll. I shot down all of your programmed talking points, and left you sputtering. Come back after you have renewed yourself on a feast of Turdblossoms.
July 7, 2008 11:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
"In order to pay for these and other government programs, Hoover agreed to one of the largest tax increases in American history. The Revenue Act of 1932 raised income tax on the highest incomes from 25% to 63%. The estate tax was doubled and corporate taxes were raised by almost 15%. Also, a "check tax" was included that placed a 2-cent tax (over 30 cents in today's dollars) on all bank checks."
"New Dealer Rexford Tugwell[18] later remarked that although no one would say so at the time, "practically the whole New Deal was extrapolated from programs that Hoover started."
"Although Hoover's reputation was at its nadir, circumstances would now begin to develop that would help rehabilitate his name and restore him to a position of prominence in the life of the nation. Roosevelt overreached on his Supreme Court packing plan, and a recession in 1937 and 1938 tarnished his image of invincibility."
Some of Hoover's actions exacerbated the depression, but increasing taxes on the rich 2 1/2 times should fall under your umbrella of sticking it to the fat cats. Unfortunately it didn't work.
I have difficulty arguing with Bulldog that optimal taxation exists somewhere between 0% and 100% - quite a number of conservatives such as Grover Nyquist see only the lower number as the goal, and from my end I think taxes on the lower end does encourage a faster, more dynamic economy, and that we can manage some benefits like universal health care without aiming for a 70% taxation economy.
But I still don't see the need for all the vitriol.
July 8, 2008 2:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
You ought to try looking in the mirror when you accuse someone of being delusional.
Gee bulldog, who was it that pushed protectionist policies on the U.S. in the aftermath of WWI?
Oh yeah, it was the Republicans!
Well surely the Republicans weren't responsible for the punitive post-WWI sanctions against Germany? Not directly, but Republicans undermined Wilson prior to the negotiation of the Treaty and their Isolationists stopped the US from entering the League of Nations afterward. Since the US was not a League member it had no standing in that body to limit economic hardship in Germany.
Way to go Republicans!
http://www.novelguide.com/a/discover/adec_0001_0003_0/adec_0001_0003_0_00816.html
July 8, 2008 4:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fess up Cleverbulldog. Weren't you one of those Conservatives predicting in 1992 that Clinton would wreck the economy if he were elected?
July 8, 2008 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton benefited from a Congress that limited his spending, at a time when military spending was being cutback, and the tech-dotcom bubble was driving up revenues. Bush had the misfortunes of a bubble busting (twice), 9/11, a war, and a Congress that was happy to spend.
July 8, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
That isn't answering the question. Did you or did you not predict in 1992 that Clinton would wreck the economy if he were elected?
Its a simple question.
July 8, 2008 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I said that if Clinton raised taxes, it would hurt the economy, and it did. The economy had already recovered from the 91 slump before he took office,as a check of GDP from that era will show.
Here is some info from this site:
http://www.house.gov/jec/growth/taxpol/taxpol.htm
Nothing illustrates the negative effect of tax increases as well as comparing economic growth following Reagan's 1981 tax cuts and the tax increases in 1990 and 1993. Both the tax cuts and the tax increases had profound effects on the subsequent economic recoveries, which began in 1982 and 1991, respectively. To assess the magnitude of such effects, Figure 1 compares the cumulative percentage growth in real GDP from the low-point of each recession. Comparing the cumulative real GDP growth experienced in the 1980s and 1990s, it is evident that Reagan's tax cuts led to a strong, healthy recovery, with GDP growing 29 percent in just 7 years.[2] Over the same time span following the Bush/Clinton tax increases, real GDP is expected to increase only 21 percent.[3] In fact, the economy after Reagan's tax cuts grew more in 5 years than the Bush/Clinton recovery will in 7 years. In other words, the burden of tax increases on the economy has "cost" the American economy 2 years of growth.
Click here to see Figure 1..
To put the consequences of slow growth in perspective, consider what would have happened had the current recovery matched the Reagan recovery. Real GDP is expected to be $7.2 trillion in 1998. If the economic expansion that began in 1991 were to match the growth under Reagan, real GDP would be $500 billion higher in 1998 and $2.8 trillion higher over 1992-98. Real GDP "lost" to slow growth would amount to over $7,300 per American family of four in 1998.
Job Creation Falters Under Bush/Clinton Tax Increases
The effects of higher taxes and increased government regulation have been painfully felt by working Americans, particularly those who have not been able to find jobs. Just one year after emerging from the recession, employment grew 3.5 percent under Reagan. [4] At the same point in the current recovery, employment actually fell 0.2 percent. Under the Bush/Clinton recovery, 7.5 million jobs have been created in the past four years (Figure 2). While this may seem substantial, it pales in comparison to the 11.5 million jobs created in the first four years of the Reagan recovery.
Click here to see Figure 2..
The 2 year growth gap in real GDP is reflected in the figures for job creation. Two years of the Reagan recovery nearly match four full years of job growth under Bush/Clinton. During the first four years of the Reagan recovery, there were an average of 240,000 jobs created each month. In the four year period following the 1990-91 recession, the average monthly job growth was just 156,000. In other words, for every two jobs created between 1992-95, three jobs were created under Reagan between 1983-86.
July 8, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forgot to check the "In reply to box". See below.
July 8, 2008 10:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
To bolster your agument you're citing partisan economic predictions made in 1995 to make a case about the Clinton administration's record.
No wonder you come to such bizarre conclusions.
Maybe you're not aware of it, but real data on GDP during the Clinton Administration is available these days. Imagine that!
A better analysis would use data from this source:
http://www.bea.gov/national/xls/gdplev.xls
Averaging 1981 Q1-Q4 numbers and comparing to 1988 Q1-Q4 numbers yields a 27.4% growth rate in GDP during the Reagan years. Similarly taking 1993 Q1-Q4 and comparing to 2000 Q1-Q4, yields 30.3% GDP growth for Clinton. Looks like Clinton's Presidency was around 10% better for America economically than Reagan's.
BTW there were some 20 million jobs created during the Clinton years, compared to the 11.5 million you cited during the Reagan Administration.
Care to to tell me again how those tax increases hurt the economy?
July 8, 2008 10:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry to follow-up my own post, but since cleverbulldog cherry-picked data from the first 10 quarters of Clinton's two terms in office, I decided to use the BEA data to compare GDP growth during that time period to the first 10 quarters of Reagan's first term.
The results? Once again Reagan sucks economic ass compared to Clinton. GDP growth for Clinton's first ten quarters registers at a healthy 7.08%, while Reagan scores only 1.22%.
That's right folks. During the time period cited in cleverbulldog's reference, the economic growth under Clinton was six times better it was during the comparable period under Reagan.
Sweet!
July 9, 2008 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do apologize, but this just keeps getting better and better. I took the BEA annual data and categorized it by President, then took the average of year-over-year growth (in the annual column) during the term of that President.
Here are the results:
GDP Growth President
-9.35% Hoover (1930-1932 only)
6.25% Roosevelt (1933-1940)
15.04% Roosevelt (1941-1944)
1.38% Truman (1945-1952)
2.95% Eisenhower
4.25% Kennedy
5.22% Johnson
2.86% Nixon
2.57% Ford
3.28% Carter
3.42% Reagan
2.14% Bush 41
3.71% Clinton
2.37% Bush 43 (2001-2007 only)
Just for fun, I calculated cumulative average values for Republican and Democratic Presidents.
Guess what? It isn't just Reagan, Republicans in aggregate suck too:
All years: (1929-Present)
Republican 1.00%
Democratic 5.59%
Post-war (1949-Present)
Republican 2.72%
Democratic 4.95%
I don't know about anyone else, but I'm not getting a sense of cleverbulldog's "failed 70's liberal/socialist experiments" from this data. The conclusion I reach is that Republican Presidents have been only about half as good for the country as Democrats, and that the best performing Republican over the last 80 years would only rate better than only two of the 7 Democrats serving during that period. If you consider data from 1949 on, Reagan is better than only Carter (and not by much).
July 9, 2008 3:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Beg pardon, those Post-war numbers should be:
Post-war (1949-Present)
Republican 2.72%
Democratic 4.28%
Lets say "2/3 as good" rather than "half as good"...
July 9, 2008 3:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
So, you average the data from Reagan's first year,instead of just comparing last quarter of Carter to last quarter of Reagan. Why? You also neglect to point out that Republican control of Congress is an important aspect. And you neglect to compare GDP AFTER tax cuts to GDP AFTER tax increases ( Reagan increased taxes in 86, Bush in 91, Clinton in 93 ).
It is unsupportable to claim tax increases benefit the economy. If this were true, all countries would just tax themselves to prosperity.
To assert the economy under Carter, with 21% interest rates, 14% inflation, and 11% unemployment was better than Reagan, Bush, or Bush, is just a joke. This is the model Obama wants to follow.
July 9, 2008 8:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Reagan's first quarters in office were recovering from Carters disastrous economy. It takes some time for things to take effect.
July 9, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now you're just whining.
July 10, 2008 4:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and since you can't read too well, those 11million jobs were in Reagan's FIRST 4 YEARS, not in the full 8 years.
July 9, 2008 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine. I'm just using the numbers you provided. So tell us how many jobs were created during Reagan's two terms.
July 10, 2008 4:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I used the same technique with every President with the exceptions of the first (Hoover) and the latest (Bush 43). The only reason I wasn't able to use exactly the same technique for those two is that data from 1928 isn't available (in Hoover's case) nor is data from 2008 available yet.
The reason I averaged data for the entire first and last year of each administration is simply to get a better idea of the performance over a longer period of time.
The average GDP growth year-over-year during Reagan's 8 years as President was lower than during Clinton's 8 years in office. And Reagan was the best-scoring Republican on the list.
Your party sucks Presidentially-speaking, at economics. Deal with it.
And following your logic, we'd all be incredibly rich with no taxes at all.
July 9, 2008 12:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those of who work, yes. Leeches who live off their fellow countrymen, no.
July 9, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
July 10, 2008 4:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
So, just to be clear, you assert that Democrats are better for the economy because they raise taxes, and this somehow magically leads to economic growth? Or is it because they also slash defense and intelligence spending while increasing welfare, is that what improves things ? Or some magic synergistic combination higher taxes, less defense, more welfare that prompts people to start businesses and put capital at risk so they can get that lower return on their money?
July 9, 2008 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I made no assertions of why Democratic Presidents have such clearly superior GDP growth numbers relative to Republicans. It's an interesting topic for further inquiry, but for me its enough that that data are convincing and consistent.
I suspect that with the loaded and inaccuate assumptions built into your question it can't be answered; it's ill-posed.
You were the one who cited GDP growth as a criterion of Presidential economic prowess. That was your yardstick, not mine. And when you chose that criterion, you cherry-picked an obscure 13-year-old partisan Congression projection rather than rely on real economic data that could be found with a casual search.
Considering that Republican Presidents suck so bad at GDP growth, if I were a Republican I'd stop asking ill-posed questions about Democrats and I'd start using real data to determine how well Republicans did.
July 10, 2008 4:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
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