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I just fell in love- THE STRONG CASE FOR OBAMA KAINE 08
So there has been a lot of buzz about Tim Kaine so I will try to go over the pros and cons from articles I have read.
Stat with the Cons:
1. Pro-Life
2. Anti-Death Penalty
3.Inexperienced
4. Tax and Spend Liberal
Let's start Debunkin
1. Pro-Life: Kaine is Pro-Life based on his religious (he is a catholic) views. He has not entered any draconian law banning abortion in his state. Plus, who is pro-kill embryos. It is a personally choice, whether religious or not. And, who are you going to vote for "Mr. I think birth control should be outlawed." Plus, this is aligned somewhat with Barack's position, won't overturn Roe v Wade, believes in women's choice- just wants to give more resources for prevention.
Verdict: No Big whoop.
2. Anti-Death Penalty: Again, based on his religious views. Also aligned with Barack, who has he reminded CNN "is no cheerleader for the death penalty." Only to be used in extreme circumstances. When Kaine's Republican opponent tried to use it against him, it backfired like hell. Plus, he was the governor during the VA Tech shootings. If GOP has the audacity to use that kind of repulsive tactic- shit will hit the fan and it will spread.
Verdict: No Big Whoop
3. Inexperienced:/ No foreign experience. I think that's the only way you can bring change As far as being a war vet or foreign policy experience- two words George Bush. I think a 1 minute old baby has more foreign experience than Bush. And, hello, who just drove world leaders crazy last week with his awesomeness. No one can catch McSurge, but we can take foreign affairs off the table.
Verdict: No Big Whoop
4.Tax and Spend Liberal. Kaine installed a 1 billion tax increase for infrastructure repair. I think I would rather have my taxes raised than have the bridge underneath my car fall. A report just came out saying we will need 160 billion to repair infrastructure in U.S. Not only that, but last time I checked monkeys don't build bridges or roads, people do- so you get people working again.
Verdict: Whoop but nullified by getting people back to work
Positives
1. Awesome looking family, I think 2 boys and a girl- All American family
2. Almost as in love with Obama as Sarkozy (LOL). Early 07 supporter of Barack
3. Catholic- Cha-Ching
4. Spanish speaking-Cha-ching
5.57% Approval rating( low 40s with Republicans- that is damn good for any dem)
6. Did I mention he's from Virginia
7. Somewhat centrist( before us progressives get catty- Barack already has us and be honest we are not going to McCain nor are we sitting out-so chill)- Kaine helps with moderates/independents- not polarizing
8. Went to business school
9. I THINK HE IS BARACKS WHITE BROTHER
Seriously look at the parrallels
Obama: Grandmother from El Dorado, KS
Kaine: Grandmother from El Dorado,KS
Obama: Left Harvard to be community organizer
Kaine: Left Harvard for Honduras philanthropic mission
Obama: Talks about faith with ease
Kaine: Talks about faith with ease
Obama: Awesome speaker
Kaine: No Obama, but who is, STILL Awesome
Obama: Mild Mannered, cool
Kaine: Mild Mannered, cool(my only strike against Webb)
Mike Murphy (who I don't think was BSING) said the republicans are scared of Kaine- and you know what I believe him
I would say Bayh- but after the Clinton fight and he just seems like he wants it- puts me a bit off on him
What say you? Yes or NO
I think all the veep prospects have plus and minus, but I think Kaine is the most netrualizing of all. Helps more than hurts.
Clinton might get you more women votes, but you will LOSE independents and McCain will gain Republicans
Biden lives in his own world, for better or worse
Sebeilus- great but causes too many problems with ex-clintonites
Nunn-too old, too anti gay
Clarke- self explanatory
Edwards- even before the scandal(which might not be true) ADDS nothing to the ticket for me- couldn't even carry his own state-plus would energize republicans to a degree
Richardson- not ready for primetime, good credentials but not the best campaigner












Comments (63)
I have to disagree. I've posted this for another blog but cross post it here (partly because I'm too lazy to restate my argument)-
If Obama chooses Kaine or Sebelius, McCain will choose a strong security running mate and own that issue and ride it all the way to a November surprise.
I certainly hope Obama doesn't think a speech and a week-long trip will pull him equal with the McCain Brand on national security/foreign affairs issues. I don't care how right he thinks he's been proven to be - when people are thinking about their safety they want a track record. If it's not Biden, Reed, Hagel, Clark or the like I believe Obama will be making a grave error in judgment.
Biden on the ticket would put National Security on the back burner and allow the voter to consider other high priority issues, all of which I believe favors the Dems this election cycle.
July 28, 2008 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dammit. I blew the quote box again - that's all supposed to be quoted.
July 28, 2008 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jonze, I could not disagree MORE. McCain will always win National Security. Unless we find someone who was a POW Vietnam Vet, we won'e even come close. And if you look through history, few Presidents had military background. rewind four years ago, Bush v Kerry- should be a cake walk for Kerry right- NO it wasn't. Because Bush learned how to speak the language. THE economy is going to be the one and only defining issue. And I get tired of people saying national security- what the hell personally can McCain do. Will he jump in front of a bomb if its heading to the u.s- the best he or anyone can do is react. And no one should react alone, that is why we are in Iraq. During the debates, when people see Obama holding his own against McCain- no competition. I don't want a president of war, I want a president who can appoint people whose focus is the war on terror, the economy, health care and others. Being a president is a job for those who focus on macro and not micro. Do you think mcCain picking a business person will help- NO, not even close.
July 28, 2008 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess we'll have to agree to disagree. It wasn't a cakewalk for Kerry because the Republicans fight dirty, and will smear the military men when it fits them (McCain 2000 primary, Kerry 04) and then champion their service when it is to their benefit.
If Tim Kaine is Obama's running mate, the Republican fear mongering machine will be working overtime between now and the election. The 3AM ad Hillary used will be child's play.
It won't matter if McCain is now a bumbling fool and shadow of what he was even four years ago - it's an established McCain brand that people will think of.
July 28, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
And think there's someone he can choose where that won't happen?
If there's one lesson to take from 2004, it's that trying to choose a candidate they can't attack is a sucker's game. Their attacks are not remotely based on reality, they have no compunction about lying through their teeth (as we've seen with McCain this week), so the only consideration on that front is to choose an effective campaigner who can respond, not someone whose background will magically neutralize the attacks, 'cause that's not gonna happen.
July 29, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only way I could at all consider somebody like Kaine is if Obama named his picks (if elected) for Secretary of Defense and Director of Homeland Security at the same time as naming Kaine naming his running mate.
Problem with this is that I think Robert Gates deserves to keep his role as SecDef, so Obama couldn't really name his replacement. Chuck Hagel for Homeland Security could work though.
And even with this possibility, I don't like it enough to really get behind it.
July 28, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, most so-called pro-lifers *say* they want to focus more on prevention, but in actual practice what they mean is they want to funnel money to ineffective "abstinence only" programs and establish those as the only alternative to forced childbirth. I don't know much about Tim Kaine, so I have no idea if that criticism applies to him. However, since you point out that his opposition to a woman's right to choose stems from his religious convictions, I certainly wouldn't be surprised if it did.
And your "who else ya gonna vote for" attitude about the whole issue is actually something that I've been seeing from the Obama campaign over the last month or so, and frankly it's putting me off quite a bit. At the very least, you have to admit that "not as bad as McCain" is a very uninspiring rallying cry.
Also, I don't consider the fact that Kaine went to business school to be a selling point at all. I know a lot of f*#$ing morons with MBAs - case in point, our "CEO President." Business and government are two completely different types of organizations, with different purposes and goals - a business exists to generate a profit for shareholders, while a government exists to provide necessary services to its citizens that cannot be easily or fairly supplied by the market. So it stands to reason that each takes a different set of skills to run properly.
Still, he's better than Bayh. If Obama picked Bayh I might actually sit this one out.
July 28, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
On abortion, he's what many so-called "pro-life" politicians claim to be, but few are -- he's against abortion because he's Catholic, but he's not in favor of outlawing it. In particular, he's in favor of practical ways of reducing abortion, such as promoting contraception. (References here.)
Not my political position, but one I can respect, unlike the so-called "pro-life" types who are against contraception and more concerned with making sure that women are "punished" for sex than with reducing the number of abortions.
July 29, 2008 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is nobody out there quicker, sharper and with more gravitas then (shit........brain fart.......forgot his name) brb
July 28, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
BIDEN LOL LOL LOL LOL ...............WTF
July 28, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm wondering if another "mild-mannered" person on the ticket is one too many. McCain has already gone negative and perhaps having someone a little feistier on the ticket is what is needed. That's why the sharp-tongued Biden might be a good idea.
That's why I'm leaning Biden.
July 28, 2008 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
My thoughts exactly. To bad it couldn't be Obama/Olberman (he's on a roll tonight) lol lol
July 28, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Spot on, Jade. Obama needs an attack dog. Somebody needs to do the sort of demolition job on McCain that the GOP are going to do on Obama after the Conventions.
The problem is that Obama doesn't seem to see it.
July 28, 2008 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remember it's not McCain who can beat Obama in this election, it's still Hilliary.
Obama choosing Kaine opens up one of the few avenues McCain has to the White House.
The chances of McCain countering with a woman VP would then be high. Coded pronouncements about protecting Roe v Wade would be directed at Hilliary's core base of supporters. Hilliary and her crew would be receptive, some even cooperative. Whether it is a business woman like Fiorina or a prominent Senator like Snowe or a Governor like Palin, all would match up better than any of so called conventional choices like Romney, Pawlenty and Portman.
And let's forget Hilliary's home state, Pennsylvania. McCain-Ridge wins Pennsylvania, with a big wink from you know who.
July 28, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ridge is pro-choice, so he might help in Pennsylvania but it would cost him big in a lot of other places.
What woman is McCain going to choose that is qualified to be CIC at a moments notice? Carly Fiornia? Sarah Palin?
Would Hillary join McCain's ticket? That would really shake things up. They have nothing politically in common, but that fact doesn't stop people from pushing Hagel as a Obama running mate possibility.
July 28, 2008 9:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
What does Ridge can help in Pennsylvania actually mean?
It means winning PA. Winning because PA folks will vote for the local guy, the Vietnam Vet, the independent thinking Republican. Add to that, Hilliary PA voters turned off by Kaine (whose anti-abortion stance gives them the excuse they have been looking for) vote for McCain-Ridge in PA in order to get Hilliary in 2012.
The scene would be compounded when the pattern in repeated in a state like New Hampshire.
And what does costing McCain big in a lot of other places mean?
It means some in the evangelical wing of the Republican Party don't vote for McCain. They join the Paul folks in voting for Barr. And this may mean huge, long standing, Republican majorities across the South could be reduced.
The calculation for McCain would be this: Winning PA in a squeaker, but also winning any number of Southern states by one or two percent also.
McCain is not worried about whether the likes of Fiorina, Palin or Snowe are qualified to replace him. He is more concerned with getting Hilliary voters in places like New Hampshire, New Jersey, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
To answer your final point. Hilliary does not need to join McCain's ticket. Hilliary's fanatical core simply need an excuse to nudge McCain to victory and a catastrophic one-term Presidency.
July 28, 2008 9:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
The whole local angle to VP selection is vastly overrated, if you look at recent history. VPs are generally not particularly useful in carrying their home states, unless the state in question was already a safe one.
Still, you never know, especially with a close state like PA.
July 29, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's Condi Rice. The MSM would deem her to be qualified.
There's also Kay Bailey Hutchison. Geographically doesn't add much and she's 65. But she's been a Senator since 1993, so if Obama picks Kaine, McCain can say he picked someone with more experience than Obama & Kaine combined.
July 29, 2008 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hagel has not yet endorsed and is all over saying positive things about Obama. Hillary would have a pretty hard time joining McCain's ticket seeing as she has already endorsed Obama, is campaigning for him, fundraising for him and actively encourages her supporters to vote for him. And the evangelicals have a hard enough time voting for McCain. You think they'd vote for Hillary as VP? There's a difference between real prosepective VP debate and crazy talk. McCain/Clinton is lunacy.
July 29, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why is being against the Death Penalty a con? I don't understand the logic there.
I also disagree that McCain will "always win on national security." How is that anything except conceding defeat on the issue? And how is that any way to win elections? Obama can win on National Security if he plays it right, even without a POW / Vietnam Veteran for a VP. That narrows one's options to so few, and it corners Obama in a way that he shouldn't be, especially not by his supporters.
I don't have an issue with Kaine. I do, however, take issue with your reasoning.
July 28, 2008 8:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
i have no doubt we can win on national security, in a fair fight.
but i also have no doubt that republicans are never, ever going to give us a fair fight on national security. they will ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS make it about who loves america more, who salutes the flag with a sharper snap, and who
It makes it hard to get YOUR message out when you have to deal with/compete with all that noise, which makes it harder to win.
but you're right, we shouldn't concede defeat but i understand where that sentiment comes from.
That good news is republicans will only do it as long as it keeps working for them. and Barack Obama is the just right candidate and this just may be the year it stops working for them and they either go even dirtier, or they decide to come back and debate ideas...
July 28, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dirty tactics or not, saying "John McCain will always win on National Security" to me means, "Barack Obama shouldn't try to win on National Security." I know perhaps the sentiment was not meant as such, but I can't help but interpret it that way anyway. The reason Kerry lost was because he didn't feel he could win Bush on certain major issues. Luckily, Obama doesn't feel the same way. So, let's take his advice and not cede the issue. =)
July 28, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Moreover, even if Obama ultimately loses on national security, but reduces the size of this hypothetical loss, that's still more votes; votes that will not show-up by conceding the issue.
July 29, 2008 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Precisely, and that's the whole point. Conceding defeat before the battle is over just isn't a winning strategy, at all. He can still do better than expected on the issue, even if, as you say, he ultimately loses, which is, I admit, a likely scenario. ...Lots of commas. Haha!
July 29, 2008 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's not forget that, should Obama win and serve two terms, his VP is the most likely nominee eight years from now and would become President sooner if anything happened to Obama. I know little about Kaine, but all your negatives relate to his policy positions, whereas all your positives relate to how he would help Obama win in '08. My question for you is: would you want Kaine to be President after Obama?
July 28, 2008 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Warner will be primed and ready to run for the big office by then. I'm more worried about getting Obama elected now.
July 28, 2008 9:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. This is why Warner will be Obama's VP.
July 28, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
You couldn't be talking about Mark Warner, the guy who's running for the Virginia Senate seat. He's taken himself out of the running, and if he gives up his run, the Dems. lose a crucial seat in the Senate. No way it's going to happen.
July 28, 2008 10:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
The very same.
Warner has not taken himself out of the running. He affirmed his commitment to the Virginia Democrats at their convention (as he should have), and subsequently has noted his children preferred he did not run for national office until they graduated high school. His children are smart to accept Daddy must say yes when the time comes.
Kaine is another Obama smokescreen, designed to nudge McCain to a premature announcement.
The Democrats cannot lose a seat they do not yet have. Don Beyer can win that seat easily on Obama-Warner's coattails.
July 29, 2008 7:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
You're wrong.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/story/2008/06/15/ST2008061500477.html
Warner outright rejected a VP slot and says he wants the Senate seat. He outright said he would say "NO" to Obama if asked. That's much stronger than you're making it out to be.
And Warner is very far ahead of his opponent. Of all the open Senate seats available, Warner has the best chance for a Democrat to take the seat. Warner is polling at around 60%. That's huge. The only way he'll lose is if he dies.
http://www.pollster.com/polls/va/08-va-sen-ge-gvw.php
So, sorry, but your analysis just isn't right on this one.
July 29, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know what Warner said. Warner had to say what he said. It was not an outright rejection, but to me a rather nuanced way of saying don't bother me until Obama announces me.
Warner's success as Governor as now as Senate Candidate underlines his importance to Obama.
I am not "wrong". I have interpreted his statement different to you, that's all.
July 29, 2008 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
How do you "interpret" this to mean "I'm just waiting for Obama to call":
I was there. He wasn't being coy. There's no "nuance."
July 29, 2008 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
What else was the brother going to say, especially given the speculation that was mounting at the time?
Remember Obama has kept this tight for a reason.
Obama would prefer the attention to anywhere but on his prospective VP right now.
Warner's "No" was no way near as emphatic as that of the likes Edwards, Reed, Strickland, and Webb.
Subsequent to accepting the VA Democratic Senate nomination, there have been a few clues to the possibility of him being in the mix.
When interviewed in the Washington Post a few weeks ago, he didn't provide anywhere near the same level of certitude about this, instead falling back on the wishes of his family. There have been hints from media insiders that he is best suited to the position, and recently Don Beyer posted an email from Warner's Senate account that for the all world sounded like getting folks used to a Beyer-Gilmore race.
In the end, Warner can say he NO once. But Obama can say, but it's important for the nation, so I had to ask again. BINGO. WE HAVE A TICKET THAT WINS IN A LANDSLIDE.
Do you really can trust having Whoopers like Bayh or Biden on his ticket or risk Hilliary supporters getting angry at Kaine position on abortion?
How do you "interpret" this to mean "I'm just waiting for Obama to call":
Let me be clear about this: I have been working very hard these last few months to ask the people of Virginia to give me the honor of being their United States senator. I will not seek, and I will not accept, any other opportunity.
I was there. He wasn't being coy. There's no "nuance."
July 29, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whether you think Bayh, Biden and Kaine are good or not, you flat-out stated that Warner WILL be the VP. And... That just doesn't make sense. There's way too much against such an assertion than there is for it. So, I'm sorry, you're absolutely, positively wrong on this.
I think Redshift stated it pretty clearly, and nicely.
July 29, 2008 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's now been reported (broadcast media) through a 'leak' that Biden, Kaine and Bayh are final three?!? Supposedly their vetting has been elevated to final phase.
Take with a grain, if not lump, of salt. After all it is MSM.
July 28, 2008 11:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I heard this on NPR today. I'd consider it pretty reliable.
July 29, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Regardless of who Obama picks, people will still say well why didn't he pick this person and that person? Even if Obama cloned himself and named them V.P, people will still say well they voted for FISA. And I just have to confess something, for all those people who say they don't like Obama anymore because of FISA or the faith based thing- please get over yourself. You don't even agree with the person you are with or your own parents 100% of the time- even something you did a week ago you might not do today. So, when people say we shouldn't have to choose between two evils then don't and sit out. The gap between Obama and McCain could not be harder- so if you have to think about who to vote for, I honestly don't know why you are voting. For every 1 reason to not vote for Obama, I have a 1000 to vote for him.
July 29, 2008 12:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
And how many *good* reasons do you have? Certainly for a grad student you take a casual attitude towards decision criteria. Is this par for the course?
July 29, 2008 5:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
All the ideas being batted about are well and good, but Obama will end up making his own decision. That said, I see no harm in weighing in with our own analysis. So here's my two bits.
Tim Kaine has served a whopping 2 years as governor of Virginia. No foreign policy experience. His approval rating in his own home state is 56% and 39% disapprove. Not exactly whopping endorsement there. Much of the country (besides political junkies) has no idea who the man is. How does he help to enrgize the ticket?
Joe Biden is equally explosive and entertaining when he's lambasting the Bush admin for their atrocious foreign policy and when he's making gaffe-tastic comments like "I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man."
I will respect Obama's decision whatever it may be, but I hope he doesn't pull a Gore and choose another at the time inoffensive candidate like Lieberman to appeal to the wholesome "moderate" crowd.
July 29, 2008 9:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another uninspiring Joe Lieberman type-candidate talking in monotone would be a disaster. Obama hasn't needed our strategic advice up to now and he has done a pretty good job with his campaign. Tim Kaine would be a great choice.
To counter the criticism about this pick, all Obama needs to do (advice) is leak his potential cabinet choices that have the resume to fill in the gaps. Nuff said!
July 29, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
They're not doing the "geography" thing, they promised. You guys are staring off in the foreign policy distance while the Obama folks are looking at what this campaign is going to be about - the economy. Obama spent last week showing us he doesn't need a lieberman-style foreign policy handler like Mr. John "experience" McCain. The foreign policy training wheels are off. My money is the absolutely devastating Obama/Bloomberg ticket.
July 29, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clark.
July 29, 2008 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kaine also has a bigoted anti-same sex marriage stance that should disqualify him from the ticket.
July 29, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama also has an anti-same sex marriage stance.
July 29, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
From what little I've seen of Kaine , I'm not exactly impressed. He gave the Democrat's response to a Bush state-of-the-union address a few years ago, and I remember being extremely disappointed. I was hoping to hear someone speaking truth to power, and instead my impression was that he was more like Mr. Rogers. The only thing missing was the cardigan.
I found this video in which he seemed more spirited
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CkQ04Tk7dTk
...but "I had a feeling"? Why not just "I'm Hooked On A Feeling", at least it's catchy. But, I didn't come away thing that he was all that good as a public speaker.
However, I have an open mind. If someone has more on this guy that would persuade me that he is presidential material, I'm interested.
But here's a scenario: There's an international incident. President Obama, his advisers, and the joint chiefs are bunkered in the White House situation room. Who do you want as VP sitting next to the President?
July 29, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
General Wesley Clark.
July 29, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amen.
July 29, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, that's why our country has always been run by generals rather than civilian leaders... Oh, wait -- it hasn't!
A president has the National Security Council, the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Chiefs, and numerous others by his side in a crisis. The VP should be someone who could step in as president and do a good job for the country in the long term, not someone who can be the Boy Wonder "in a crisis."
There's more military expertise in the US Government than anywhere else in the country. What's needed, both "in a crisis" and at other times, is intelligent, competent decision-making and inspiring leadership.
(No knock on Clark, who I generally like, but I don't see that formulation as automatically putting him ahead of numerous other people either.)
July 29, 2008 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I more or less agree with you. Though, if Clark is not the VP select (which I genuinely hope that he is!) I sure then hope he's somewhere in the admin. Sec State? Def? United Nations? I don't know. Seems a shame to waste his experience and expertise.
It seems also that a couple Harvard law students in the top two spots opens major doors for unhinged attacks from The It's OK To Be a 'C' Student, And I'd Love to Have a Beer With That Guy Right. Ugh.
July 29, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wouldn't be looking for a "Boy Wonder" type of VP because, frankly, Robin is kind of a dimwit. I don't want a VP who President Obamaman has to spend a lot of time explaining things to.
If the VP had to step in to serve as President for "the long term", I sure would want that VP to be someone who was good in a crisis, particularly someone who had to be good in a national security crisis. I vastly prefer Obama in the President's chair over McInsane, but I'd be more comfortable with a Clark or a Biden next to him than a Kaine. Kaine might be O.K. He's governed, and he might be good in a domestic natural disaster (Katrina II), or a human-made one (the housing market debacle). I don't see how he complements Obama, but he sure as hell "compliments" him. I thought he spent a little too much time congratulating himself on his "feelings" in that Jefferson Jackson Dinner address.
July 29, 2008 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Biden wasn't so closely tied to that fucking bankruptcy bill (actually, he wrote it, IIRC) from a few years back, I'd be more favorably inclined toward him. But that bill was not the work of a Democrat. That bill was designed to protect the credit card companies, and for that reason I can't back the idea of putting Biden on the ticket.
July 29, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Same here. One of my few objections to Biden. I'm hoping the next congress and president fix that obscenity.
July 29, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kaine is an excellent governor of Virginia. He's a brilliant and principled guy, and would grow on people as a VP choice, although he's not immediately inspiring, so that might be a problem. He is personally pro-life because he takes his Catholicism seriously, but doesn't support making abortions illegal. He is against gay marriage because he couldn't be elected in Virginia otherwise. (Are you totally clueless, destor23, about the fact that southern politicians can't have certain policy stances - it's just out of the question to be in favor of gay marriage in what's arguably the most homophobic state in the country.) All that said, I'm not sure people would immediately warm to Kaine. They would after they knew him but is there time before November? I love Wes Clark and would be thrilled with him on the ticket.
July 29, 2008 3:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you take a look at the most recent electoral maps, such as:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
or http://www.pollster.com/
key battleground states include Virgina, but they aren't the only ones - also take a look at Ohio and Florida as they have more electoral votes. Ted Strickland (OH governor) has issued a pretty strong statement that he is not a VP candidate, but are there other prominent democrats in either state that could bring voters into play?
Several months ago, TPM posted head-to-head VP matchups in critical states. Anyone know if more recent ones are out there?
July 29, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, for your informationI am a biomedical engineering grad student not an english or liberal arts student. Our thinking and thought process results in a final product which will have its faults but is better than the status quo. I'm sorry my observations were not detailing every freaking thing wrong with the guy. I don't know who people expect Obama to pick God? If you don't like his V.P, well I hear there is a group called P.U.M.A
July 29, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
This was your post, and if people fail to appreciate its brilliance, then I think you're obliged to address their objections without resorting to angry sarcasm (as opposed to good old fun-loving sarcasm). You can get away with that here, but it won't work when you give your thesis/dissertation defense. Your examining committee will beat you to a pulp.
Good luck with your research.
July 29, 2008 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dee Dee:
In fairness, I think we progressive southerners have to strike a balance between making excuses on the social issues front and understanding that electoral politics can't devolve into a purity tests or the other side wins. As far as Kaine is concerned, he has been relatively supportive of gay rights, most notably in his opposition to the so-called "marriage amendment" that put anti-gay discrimination in the VA constitution, but he won't be advocating gay marriage any time soon. That's a shame in one sense -- I'd rather have him out there saying that, while it's not possibly by a mere statute now, he looks forward to the day when it happens (which it will of course, even in VA). But I can give him a pass on this because he certainly has given no aid or comfort to the other side, or sought in any way to exploit the issue -- he just hasn't been as courageous as perhaps we'd like.
Overall, having known him since he was on city council, I can tell you he and Obama will work well together and he would be an excellenet VP. Remember he was Lt. Gov. during the Warner administration and was a big part of getting through those programs with the Republican Senate. One thing he won't do is carry Virginia all by himself -- I think he'd be good nationally, but Obama's chances in Virginia (for better or worse) don't change much with him, in my view. Maybe the "favorite son" thing will be worth a few points, but the real deal is, can he repeat the Warner/Kaine/Webb playbook of fighting in the SW and Southside to keep down McCain's margins, and then clobbering McCain in NOVA Richmond and Hampton Roads. good fun
July 29, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
No to Tim Kaine! Why? Because if he leaves the governor's office here in Virgina, a right-wing Republican, Lt. Gov. Bolling, becomes governor! And that would destroy all the progress that Mark Warner and Tim Kaine have made in this state since Jim Gilmore (R-"no car tax") was the governor. This state can not afford to slip back to the Republicans at the state level.
July 29, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, the more I hear and read about this possible choice (Kaine) the more I'm confronted with the thought that having a first term senator and a first term governor--each with no international experience, no military experience, both attorneys with Harvard Law degrees--as Prez and VP won't fly well politically.
With the fucked up world Dubya is leaving us all, I really don't think this is the best time to run both Obama and Kaine on the same ticket. Again, I'm speaking politically. They both may be brilliant and the world would be a better place if they were in office, but seriously...we need to drive this one home, people! We don't need a "safe" VP selection. I think we need a bold selection.
July 29, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is one critical factor that the DNC and the Obama camp must consider when choosing a VP candidate - the 2008 Senate races.
The democrats are likely to retain control of the house, but to really get legislation passed, they need 60 votes in the senate. The prospects currently don't look good, as the Dems need victories in three of the following states: Minnesota (doesn't look good - Coleman has drawn ahead), Georgia (this race is tightening), Maine (Collins has done bipartisan work, so this one may not be critical), Mississippi (could go either way), and Kentucky (doubtful, at best).
What this means is any current democratic senator is probably off of the list, including Clinton.
That leaves us with governors, former senators, and other prominent democrats. For example, I wonder if Wexler would help Obama in enough key demographic areas to win Florida and its 27 EVs.
To me, the list looks like Kaine, Napolitano as a "dark horse" (check out current Arizona polls - surprising!), as well as Strickland, Rendell, and Richardson. I'd have to say, based on the data I've seen so far, that Kaine looks very good, and that would make it an OK ticket...
July 29, 2008 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just curious...what part of anti-same sex is bigoted?
July 29, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would be happy to see Kaine on the ticket. Sorry to disappoint all you Warner-for-VP people, but he really isn't interested this go-round. There are a unique set of factors working toward his election to the Senate: 1) sharing the last name of the popular outgoing Republican incumbent; and 2) his residual popularity from his time as governor. He's a shoe-in.
Back to Kaine--he only has one year left as governor and can't be re-elected due to VA's one-term policy. I don't think his interim Republican replacement will be able do a whole lot of damage in one year as governor. The Dems then have a chance to regain the governorship in 2009. Kaine is not the most charismatic politician, granted, but he's super smart and doesn't let his own beliefs get in the way of observing the law. He's anti-death penalty (which I consider a "pro" not a "con"), but he respects Virginia's laws. Anyway, I think he'd be a terrific VP pick.
Fun fact: Kaine is married to my old camp counselor.
July 29, 2008 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Brian Schweitzer is the best campaigner among all the candidates. He has a folksy manner that seems authentic yet he's sharp as a Shun Ken Onion.
He also knows more about energy issues than any other governor, senator, or representative.
Check out his Charlie Rose interview: http://youtube.com/watch?v=B0i9o-ThOPM
July 29, 2008 6:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
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