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"Yesterday was the day the 'change' bubble burst."
When I read a blog about Obama's speech to AIPAC yesterday, I couldn't quite believe what I was looking at: “Jerusalem will remain the capital of Israel and it must remain undivided.”
It seemed about the stupidest thing he could have said. I wondered whether I was missing something and asked as much in a comment. I was assured by another commenter that he'd said nothing new, nothing untoward. I'm sorry to say he was wrong.
Arabs shocked by Obama speech
Saeb Erekat, the
chief Palestinian negotiator, told Al Jazeera on Thursday: "This is the
worst thing to happen to us since 1967 ... he has given ammunition to
extremists across the region".
Mahmoud
Abbas, the Palestinian president, rejected the statement, saying: "We
will not accept an independent Palestinian state without having
Jerusalem as the capital.
"I believe that case is clear."
Paul Woodward: Yesterday was the day the “change” bubble burst. Obama’s performance at AIPAC shows that his grasp of Middle East politics has yet to rise to the level of George Bush’s!It is my understanding that Obama has far more direct knowledge of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict than most American politicians. His AIPAC performance is beneath contempt.
I knew he was going to disappoint me sooner than later. I'm surprised he managed it this soon and this badly.





Comments (213)
Is there any way at all to remove Israel's baleful influence on US domestic politics?
June 5, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are many ways. One of them involves politicians realising that it is not only in Israel's interests, not only in Palestine's interests, not only in the interests of world peace, but also in their very own political interests to withdraw their tongues from the demanding asses of the Jewish lobby.
Obama, like virtually every other American politician, is very well aware of this lobby. Until his performance yesterday, he'd given signals that he was prepared to give them less than his entire, enthusiastic tongue.
I remain baffled as to why he would do something so monumentally stupid and at the same time so entirely unnecessary.
June 5, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
More specifically, what would you have him say, oh wise guru? I trust you understand the power AIPAC wields. If they don't like him, he's all done. You may not like that, but it's a fact. For now, anyway.
June 6, 2008 7:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
hrebendorf,
Check out the ommentary in the link I provided regarding Paul Woodward. It's just a few paragraphs.
I've not suggested, nor did I expect, that Obama would say something politically naive, self-defeating or whatever. But I was baffled, and remain baffled, with what he did say and the apparent conviction with which he said it. It was at the same time incredibly stupid and entirely unnecessary.
If you haven't already, you might wish to listen to his speech. A link to it is in this thread. If you do, and if you see a rational or even politically expedient reason for his having outdone Bush, I'd appreciate your sharing it with me.
June 6, 2008 8:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Frankly, after this speech, I really don't see what objection Lieberman would have any more to endorsing Obama.
June 6, 2008 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Surely that's what Obama was trying to get through to him yesterday in the Well of the Senate floor. :o)
June 6, 2008 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't agree that it was naive, and I wish it had been unnecessary. Unfortunately, Obama's task right now is to secure the unqualified support of AIPAC and the Jewish community. There can be no doubt in their minds that he will support Israel.
I am as pro-Palestine as they come. I fully agreed with what Jimmy Carter when he said that the current situation amounts to apartheid. I find America's Israel obsession to be both bizarre and counterproductive, and Israel's treatment of the Palestinians to be thoroughly reprehensible. But I have no illusions about what is required in order to defeat the Republicans and win the White House. AIPAC has it within their power to destroy a candidate if they so choose.
Obama is walking a minefield. I have no doubt he can negotiate it, but there are going to be some scary moments. Disagree with his strategy if you must, but please remember how high the stakes are. Obama MUST win, and in order to win, he must disappoint every one of us from time to time. I'm ready to be disappointed. But I refuse to be outraged. I know who my friends are and I know who my enemies are as well. John McCain is my enemy.
"Don't get mad. Don't get even. Win the election. Then get even." -- James Carville
June 6, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
We're on the same page, but I wish you'd address my point. Then refute it, if you like. Point: he didn't have to go as far as he went. He went too far. Way too far. He didn't have to be more Bush than Bush, more Hillary than Hillary, more McCain than McCain to stay on the right side of AIPAC. But he did. Why? Can you answer that, please? Or share my bewilderment. Whichever you prefer is fine with me.
June 6, 2008 9:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think he did. He's an African-American, trying to win over Jewish voters who are very, very suspicious of his intentions. It's a tough sell, and he's got his work cut out for him. He's gambling that they'll decide to trust him and that you already do. He's hoping that he doesn't need to explain this to you because he can't afford to do that right now. He can't even risk shooting you a wink when they aren't looking.
I am fully confident that Obama has not changed his position in the slightest. But no one can get through a presidential campaign like this one without playing the dirty game of politics. He's been warning us all along that this day would come. He's said that he was bound to disappoint us, and that we were going to disagree. This is what he was talking about. I'll assume your problem with what he said is mostly contained within this paragraph:
June 6, 2008 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
God, I hate the the formatting thing on this blog. Pretend I was writing a poem, OK? Or, if it's completely unclear, I'll repost it without the tags.
June 6, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's rare that I literally laugh out loud, and I'm pretty sure this is the first time I've ever done so on a thread discussing Israel and Palestine.
June 6, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ben, I just wanted to let you know that I've added a tip to your extremely popular posting guide:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/06/a-guide-for-users-of-tpm.php#comment-2887347
June 6, 2008 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like the foreign policy as poem idea.
Roses are red
Violets are blue
Hamas are terrorists
The Quds Force is too.
June 6, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Heehee. :) Bad formatting can be so humiliating.
June 6, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I have no illusions that this will be easy. It will require difficult decisions on both sides. But Israel is strong enough to achieve peace, if it has partners who are committed to the goal. Most Israelis and Palestinians want peace, and we must strengthen their hand. The United States must be a strong and consistent partner in this process – not to force concessions, but to help committed partners avoid stalemate and the kind of vacuums that are filled by violence. That's what I commit to do as President of the United States."
The part I highlighted is the part that counts, in my opinion. He's talking about achieving peace. And he's talking about achieving peace in a realistic, pragmatic way. Most importantly, he's talking about a ground up solution. He's chosen a side, and it is neither the Israelis nor Palestinians, but those parties on each side who seek a compromise. He will raise them up and empower them. The ones who are committed to a solution. It's subtle--you almost miss it--but that's the Barack Obama I know.
My advice is to take a longer, broader view. Don't assign too much weight to a single speech. Instead, watch for a direction and an intent. And don't forget what he's said in the past, because he hasn't. He hasn't sold his soul and he won't.
[Ah, the miracle of plain old quotation marks. I've learned my lesson. No more blockquote tags for this bunnycat.]
Gives me an opportunity to make one last point: ground-up solutions are what Obama is all about. He's an insurgent. Unless I'm mistaken, he'll attempt to do for the Israelis and the Palestinians what he's done for America: marginalize the powers that be and put the power in the hands of the people.
June 6, 2008 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for what is the most insightful reply I've had to a question in I don't know how long. I'll try to write more later, but right now I've gotta run.
June 6, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm back.
I've not changed my mind about the extent to which he went to win over AIPAC, but that's become a most minor point for me in this discussion. What I'm fascinated by is your take on Obama in general. I don't know to what extent it may be fantastical or spot on. I expect neither of us will know until he's been in office for a while.
But your thoughts have broadened my viewpoint significantly. I think the following is brilliant:
"My advice is to take a longer, broader view. ... watch for a direction and an intent. And don't forget what he's said in the past, because he hasn't. He hasn't sold his soul and he won't."
And on your last point:
"... one last point: ground-up solutions are what Obama is all about. He's an insurgent. Unless I'm mistaken, he'll attempt to do for the Israelis and the Palestinians what he's done for America: marginalize the powers that be and put the power in the hands of the people."
Thought-provoking, to say the least.
Again, thank you.
June 6, 2008 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are most welcome. Thanks for seriously considering the ramblings of a cat in rabbit ears.
June 6, 2008 7:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
So your response is that one day after clinching the democratic nomination for President Obama did what every politician would do and went and whored and pandered to a powerful lobbying group?! This doesn't strike you as being contrary to EVERYTHING Obama said his candidacy was about (sending lobbyists packing from the party)??
I knew the Obama supporters were brain dead I just didn't know they could write it out so coherently but not be struck by the hypocrisy.
June 6, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, since I thought they had an unrealistic view of his perfection and were incapable of criticizing him, it is encouraging that they don't dump him like a hot potato with the first disappointment. That often happens when people's perception of another is overly idealized and unrealistic.
June 6, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's what he's up against (from TPM's main page):
"Rep. Rob Andrews, who supported Hillary Clinton throughout the primary season, disclosed he received a phone call shortly before the April 22 Pennsylvania primary from a top member of Clinton's organization and that the caller explicitly discussed a strategy of winning Jewish voters by exploiting tensions between Jews and African-Americans."
Many people accused Bill of playing the race card when he brought Jesse Jackson into the conversation in South Carolina. But think about which races were coming up next: Florida. New York. New Jersey. What Bill was really trying to do was piss off Jewish voters in those states. Voters he knew would never forget and never forgive Jesse Jackson's "hymietown" comment. Bill well understands what losing the Jewish vote means.
http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2008/06/superdelegate_says_clinton_cam.html
June 6, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Abba Eban once said "the Arabs never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity." As long as the Arabs continue doing what they are doing, then, no, Israel's influenence will not diminish . . . nor should it.
The Israelis, and what they seek to accomplish, is easy to understand. At this point, I don't think the Arabs have "grown up" enough to realize, once and for all, that Israel ain't goin' anywhere. Thus even though forty plus years of terrorism has gained them NOTHING, they still use the same stupid approach.
Besides -- the whole Jerusalem thing is nothing but a canard. It is like the divorcing couple who fight over a dog even though the one person HATES the dog. Jerusalem, which is holy to Jews and a footnote toe Muslims, is only valued by the Palestinians because they KNOW it is so important to the Jews. So, no, Obama calling for a united and Jewish Jerusalem is not a big deal.
June 6, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rachael Maddow finds it OK, since it means Obama won't wait to be attacked by McCain on muscular foreign policy.
June 5, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you whole heartedly, but don't expect this to get on the Most Recommended list.
June 5, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Make sure you rec it.
June 5, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I stand corrected. This post just made the most recommended list (and I did recommend it myself, fwiw).
June 6, 2008 2:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
And immediately there fell from his eyes as it had been scales: and he received sight forthwith
What did I tell you, FreeBubba?
June 5, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing I didn't already know. But then you're a clueless Hillary shill.
"Hillary Clinton believes that Israel’s right to exist in safety as a Jewish state, with defensible borders and an undivided Jerusalem as its capital, secure from violence and terrorism, must never be questioned."
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/feature/israel/
June 5, 2008 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't be an asshole on my account, FreeBubba. We're in agreement about more than you realize. The difference is, my own deeper questioning started sooner than yours.
I know all about Hillary's position on Israel; she was my state senator since 2000.
Two years ago, I went to hear Robert Fisk speak at the New York Society for Ethical Culture. He described the rampant censorship in the U.S. media regarding the subject of Israel. Here's a link for listening to his talk if you're interested.
June 6, 2008 1:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
readytoblow: "Don't be an asshole on my account, FreeBubba."
Don't patronise me, as you did in your earlier comment. You'll be less likely to encourage my inner asshole.
"We're in agreement about more than you realize. The difference is, my own deeper questioning started sooner than yours."
There you go again.
Your condescension and assumptions aside, we are indeed on the same page.
Thanks much for the link. I may have heard Fisk's talk already, but I'm downloading it just in case. Along with several others I know I haven't heard and that look very interesting.
I'm sorry to see the site hasn't added anything since October 06. Any idea what that's about?
June 6, 2008 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course I'm well aware of what that feels like, FreeBubba, as I get patronized every day in these threads. I have a hazy memory that you had patronized or made knee-jerk assumptions about me a long time ago, but it may have been someone else with an eye patch. In any case, let's let bygones be bygones.
Truly didn't mean to. Sorry. Trying to state a chronology of events. Nothing more was meant by it.
FYI, I wanted to love Obama after his 2004 convention speech, but for me, he never added any meat to the soup, he just kept adding water. I've been clamoring to send back the watered down broth, but no one here will let me. Now the soup is cold and I'm understandably cranky about it. In the meantime and quite by accident, I found nourishment in some new relationships rather than in some new politicians.
I'm not a condescending person, I don't believe in it. Maybe because I don't believe I'm better than anyone. Argumentative? Yes. Shit disturber? Sure. I was goading you. I'm done now.
If I made any assumptions at all about you, FreeBubba, it was that you would like that link. I'm happy to learn I was right.
I'm not sure, but I think it's a new-ish feature. I don't remember seeing it before. Maybe they are still archiving? I'd check back in a month or two to see if there are any new ones.
By the way, a few people at TPM, namely Greg Sargent and NCSteve, taught me how to Fisk. Not by example but by necessity.
I promise I'll never Fisk you.
Peace.
June 6, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I have a hazy memory that you had patronized or made knee-jerk assumptions about me a long time ago, but it may have been someone else with an eye patch. In any case, let's let bygones be bygones."
We began a discussion on a thread several weeks ago. You replied to a question I asked you, prefacing with the observation that you were doing so because you thought it was an honest question. Indeed it was. As was your answer. I then replied to you. And waited for 2/3 days for your reply, but it never came.
"I'm not sure, but I think it's a new-ish feature. I don't remember seeing it before. Maybe they are still archiving? I'd check back in a month or two to see if there are any new ones."
I subscribed via iTunes. If nothing new turns up after several months, I'll just unsubscribe.
"By the way, a few people at TPM, namely Greg Sargent and NCSteve, taught me how to Fisk. Not by example but by necessity."
You'll have to explain this to me, as I've no notion of what Fisking might be.
June 7, 2008 5:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba, I tried to answer you, but my comment is being held by the fucking TPM "administrator" for some reason. I'll try to post it again. :-)
June 7, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba,
I tried to post my response a second time and I got this message a second time:
Grrrrr! No idea why.
In my comment had linked to an Andrew Sullivan archived piece about Robert Fisk, so maybe that's why my comment is being held? Who the fuck knows.
All I know is it makes me crazy that TPM is so technically inept. It's the worst site I've ever commented on.
My comment may show up in a few days. And they'll post it twice because they're lame.
June 7, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll keep an eye out for it.
If it doesn't show up, and if you remember, you can always tack it onto another thread when we meet again. I'll look forward to it.
June 7, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Robert Fisk is wonderful. My hero. It's tragic that he doesn't get coverage in America.
If Americans had been hearing his commentaries, reading his despatches, for the last twenty years, the world might be a very different place.
Have you read any of his books? The Great War for Civilisation is a tour de force.
June 6, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
I wish he were a tad less of a know-all, but he's otherwise a rare treat.
Fran: "Have you read any of his books? The Great War for Civilisation is a tour de force."
I've been off reading, except what's on my computer screen, for a couple of years. But I go nowhere, almost, without my cd or mp3 player. I'll keep an eye out for the book on cd or mp3 at my library. Thanks for the recommendation.
June 6, 2008 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Shouldn't that be "my eye?"
June 6, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why would Bubba keep your eye out?
June 6, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sure either will do. I'm not sure, but "an eye" may be the more English than American way of saying it.
June 7, 2008 6:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Eye, eye, sir.
June 7, 2008 8:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Especially for someone with one good eye. :)
June 7, 2008 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
To be honest, I don't think dividing Jerusalem is such a hot idea either.
Personally I would make Jerusalem a "free city" so neither side can "have" Jerusalem, like Danzig was in the 1920s and 30s.
Israel should move their capital to less-crazy, more-liberal Tell Aviv and Palestine should also move to more-liberal, less-crazy Nablus. Putting their political capital in the same city as their respective commercial capitals, and removing Jerusalem from either state, will basically amputate the religious conservatives from both states and force them to focus on economic and domestic issues.
June 5, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
But both sides, for symbolic reasons, want their capitals there. So that's what has to happen.
Keeping the city physically undivided is a fine idea, but it will require a real peace -- not some half-assed deal that simply attempts to legitimize and formalize the occupation.
Separation walls, settlements and checkpoints are not a long-term security solution, as Olmert acknowledged last week.
As for Obama, despite his rhetoric, he's not going to sabotage any agreement the Israelis and Palestinians manage to come up with.
It's too bad he felt the need to underline his pro-Israel bias, but in the long run I believe he will be a force for peace in the region.
He can't do any worse than the current crowd.
June 5, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
acanuk: "He can't do any worse than the current crowd."
He'll undoubtedly do better. But are we going to settle for the bar being placed that low? What happened to "all fired up! ready to go!" We've had enough of politics as usual. Are we now going to settle for change as usual?
June 5, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
What makes you think that because both sides want a thing that it must happen. If both sides want things that are mutualy exclusive then giving it to neither of them is the only equitable solution.
June 6, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hear you. But when confronted with a mess of these proportions, and with a "peace process" that's been going on forever and has managed only to make things worse, and worse, and worse, one should begin to suspect that the real solution isn't even on the table. And if you suspected that, you'd be right.
Check out proposals for a one-state solution. They're barely beginning to get some traction, but that's what will ultimately resolve the whole deal.
June 5, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
He hasn't said enough yet to freak out over -- it's not a huge departure from US policy, and not even different from the other 2 primary candidates' positions. I don't see where the shock is coming from here.
To start with, a 'unified Jerusalem' doesn't mean much until you define the boundaries of Jerusalem. The borders will be redrawn, ceding some areas like Abu Dis for al-Qud but will definitely not be a return to 1967 east/west boundaries. It's worth nothing that the official Palestinian position supports keeping Jerusalem unified regardless of who has sovereignty. The city will never be a corpus separatum either, so what options does that leave?
June 5, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
demosaur,
Thanks for your thoughtful comment. Please see my comment above about a one-state solution. If we don't begin to think out of the box on this one, we'll get nowhere.
June 5, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Which speaks volumes unto itself lil demosaur.
June 6, 2008 12:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba, thanks for raising this important issue. I just read the speech and I am bummed. Doubly so because I first read the "prepared remarks" version, then realized my error and went back to read the actual speech as delivered. The speech he gave was quite a departure from the original text, with a much more heavy-handed treatment of Iran. Straying into macho bullshit territory.
I started this primary season with no ax to grind for any of the Dem candidates (but a slight preference for Edwards), and over time I have taken quite a shine to Obama, especially after HRC began using Repub talking points. But this speech is severely disappointing, and needs to be discussed frankly by Obamaphiles, even now in the midst of the post-primary celebrations.
I am 50 years old (in a few weeks), and I know enough to expect any politician to disappoint me at least occasionally. There is always a danger of unrealistically idealizing any leader. I have been feeling more than a little hopeful that Obama is a cut above the usual crop, but this makes me question that.
Thoughts, anyone?
June 5, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I didn't make it clear above, I want to state for the record that it is the gratuitous bellicosity toward Iran (much more than the Jerusalem statement) that upset me in this speech. I just haven't heard that kind of crap from him up to this point. His cooly resonable diplomatic counterpoint to Hillary's "obliteration" rhetoric was one of the things that really won my respect during the campaign.
June 5, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . reasonable diplomatic counterpoint . . .
is what I meant to say - apologies for any confusion
June 5, 2008 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for this, ttarleton. My sentiments exactly.
I remember the first time I heard him say words to the effect that "We won't always agree." What could be more obvious. Fair enough. But I wasn't thrilled with the way he said it. It may have been nothing more than my impression, but he seemed a tad know-best and more than a tad obstinate.
I've also heard him say many times that it's not about him; it's about us. FDR, when he was approached by a group of black leaders -- don't remember their names right now, but I've posted about this before -- answered their proposal that he accomplish a change they were after by saying words to the effect that what he needed from them was pressure to the extent that he would be compelled to give them what they wanted.
That is exactly what Obama is going to need a great deal of. And there's no reason to hold it back until he's elected. That would set a bad precedent, don't you think?
What I see too much of in some of his supporters here and elsewhere is explanations and apologies for his screw-ups. I don't need someone to explain to me why he screwed up and to apologise for him. I want someone who will join with me in demanding that he stop screwing up.
I also see some of that, of course, but I'd like to see more. Why wait until he's beaten McCain? McCain was toast from day one. Let's make him very crispy toast, by all means. And let's have fun doing it. But let's also keep our eyes on the ball. Sweeping change.
June 5, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well if I'd only read the speech I wouldn't have been quite so upset about it as I was watching and listening to him. His actual speech was stronger than the prepared text.
It was horrible.
But I suspect it's going to rebound on him. Given the sort of people he's mixed with in Chicago, I imagine he's said anti-Israeli, pro- Palestinian things to them at some point. One of them will come out and sock it to him shortly I suspect.
Probably Jeremiah wright if none of his university friends do it.
BTW I heard today that he's decided he doesn't want to retire after all and is trying to make Moss `senior pastor elect`
So here we go again...
June 6, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ, in his post to the left of us, waxes poetically about Senator Obama's presentation to AIPAC yesterday, and when challenged to respond to the kinds of concerns freebubba is expressing here, appears to be explaining to us what the Senator really meant:
June 5, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll go MJ one better, though I am certain Obama meant in the VILE way, I would prefer to see it as a first: a Global "Free City" administered by the UN and open to all.
June 6, 2008 5:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Divided city ... Berlin. In a divided country. How'd that work out?
I thought Obama's speech hit just the right notes: tough where he needed to be, but forceful on the one thing that will assure Israel's peaceful existence: a Palestinian homeland. Without that, this never-ending war zone will continue.
June 5, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now that he's got the nomination, Obama is going to distance himself from progressives time and again. It disappoints, but I guess I never expected anything different. I take faith in the fact that he's coming from a progressive background (in a way that we haven't seen in several generations) and that, at its core, will shape the way he sees the world.
June 5, 2008 8:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yours is a curious combination of pessimism and optimism. Reminds me of Gramsci's pessimism of the mind, optimism of the heart.
But I think Gramsci went back and forth between the two quite freely, while you might be a tad stuck with an inclination to favour one (pessimism) so as not to be let down by a failure of the other (optimism).
What do you think might happen if you were to become more optimistic?
June 6, 2008 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
The thing is, Obama distanced himself from progressives from Day One. He already uses Republican talking points on social security, health care reform and religion. He has talked this bellicosely about Iran in the past, so it's no surprise. McCain actually chided him early in the year saying that under Obama's policy (as stated in one of the many,many debates) we would already be bombing Iran. That's something, Obama making McCain look more pacifist. Since then Obama has not repeated that pledge to bomb Iran, but I am sure he will get more warlike and rattle more sabres to prove he's a "manly man"
Yes, I hope that his belief that we share a responsibility to one another and belief that governmetn has a role to play in our lives that can be positive will serve us better than McCain's reflexive anti-government policies. I am hopeful that Obama will be better on choice than McCain but I do not trust him on those issues any more since he began his let's drag religion back into the public square.
The thing is, McCain is not just a Republican. He is a warmonger. Don't forget McCAin wanted to attack Russia during Vietnam. There has not been one war that McCain was against. he's like the person with a hammer who see's every problem as a nail. If it's a problem, declare war. McCain believes people find meaning in war. He is in love with war. His greatest accomplishments come from war. He is defined by war. He is dangerous - more dangerous than Cheney who merely see war as a profit-making enterprise and power grab. McCain wants war because he is in love with it, because he thinks it's glorious.
Sure, you can find moments when he says he hates war. Look at him and listen to him when he says it. It's so false he can hardly get the words out.
June 6, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you haven't already, you might like to examine some of the observations/opinions expressed by hrebendorf in this thread and in reply to me about Obama, and then review your position.
June 7, 2008 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe "war lover" would be a more descriptive phrase for McCain. You could certainly build a compelling narrative on that theme. The pilot bomber shot down, languishing in a prison camp for the duration of his war, constantly seeking another war as he grows older. Running out of time.
June 7, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Closing comment:
I've just watched the speech. Without going into details, I'll simply state that I found it repulsive.
If Obama is the world's latest, greatest hope for just foreign policy, god help the world.
June 5, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba:
Any American leader's appearance before AIPAC is bound to be disheartening.
Can the Brits, the French or the Germans pull this kind of crap?
One can only dream of the day a party leader would respond to an invitation to speak by saying, "Sorry, but I really promised the wife I'd mow the lawn that day."
But the hard cold reality is that someone named Barack Husein Obama can't tell AIPAC to fuck off.
Not yet.
I trust the man and his instincts.
June 6, 2008 2:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
acanuck: "I trust the man and his instincts."
I trusted him more a couple of days ago than I do now.
Trust is elastic: it expands, contracts, and so on. All I would suggest is to keep it that way.
June 6, 2008 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
"If Obama is the world's latest, greatest hope for just foreign policy, god help the world."
Based on some of Barack's statements, I agree. But I'm guessing (and hoping) that he makes bellicose statements purely to get elected.
If he does get elected, he will not then have a free hand to pursue the humane and sensible policies closest to his heart. He will have no choice but to continue playing politics to some extent.
This from FreeBubba:
"I've also heard him (Barack) say many times that it's not about him; it's about us. FDR, when he was approached by a group of black leaders -- don't remember their names right now, but I've posted about this before -- answered their proposal that he accomplish a change they were after by saying words to the effect that what he needed from them was pressure to the extent that he would be compelled to give them what they wanted."
This is the real story, in my opinion. I think Obama wants to be a leader with a heart and conscience, but there's no way he can do it without huge public pressure. He has been as honest about that as is possible for a politician. If he were entirely honest about his true foreign policy beliefs he would probably have no chance of getting elected, because too many American voters still believe the neocon bullshit about Muslims hating freedom and ceaselessly plotting to kill our children in their beds.
June 6, 2008 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for this, W. We're on the same page.
June 6, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can I just say that this is the biggest hypocrisy of them all. All along the Obamaphiles have dinged Clinton on her war vote while praising Obama's quiet and SAFE speech against the war as though he actually risked something.
So, now Obama goes to AIPAC and flips everything on its head, betrays everything he has persuaded you he stands for in foreign policy and you say it's your fault, not his.
Stockholm Syndrome? Batter-spouse syndrome?
June 6, 2008 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Neither Obama nor Clinton are particularly progressive. Neither are the late, great hope for a just foreign policy. We always have to settle for less.
I don't have high hopes. I just want something better than we had with the Chimperor. And Obama will achieve that. He won't be a warmonger, or a war criminal, or a huge international embarrassment. He'll restore some of America's prestige with her allies. That's about all we can expect.
June 6, 2008 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
The less we expect/demand, the less we're going to get, don't you think?
Obama has himself raised expectations tremendously. Why not hold him to account by demanding that he do his part to meet them?
June 6, 2008 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds reasonable to me.
And if we just say politics is politics, don't expect anything to get done on this in the first term.
June 6, 2008 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first thing people have to realize about the Israel-Palestine issue and why the peace process will never end is simple really.
There is a belief that once there is a settlement, that will be fixed in stone and never changed.
Also, both sides want the whole cake, not just a slice. Palestinians want to be able to reclaim the lands they lost in 1948, and Israel wants to be able to keep colonizing Palestine.
The thing is, international law is on the side of the Palestinians, they were basically ethnically cleansed from Israel. The Palestinians have a right to return to the territories they lost in 1948, and they demand this right be recognized. Israel will never allow that to happen.
Peace is impossible.
June 6, 2008 2:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ingoman: "Peace is impossible."
Do a search for "one state solution Israel Palestine" and see what you think.
June 6, 2008 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
While I see where you would be disappointed or in disagreement or even concerned that Barack is pulling a fast one, I didn't find anything he said "troubling" in what he said. I am also not too worried about anything said on the campaign trail during this general election. Barack's real accountability, for me, is the day he raises his right hand and take the oath of office.
If he doesn't govern like a progressive democrat from day one, I will have some serious issues. I actually think he is way more progressive than he can run a campaign on right now and still win. I am will to at least give him his first term to deliver on his campaign promises and wait to see if the actual policies are better or worse than promised.
Now, before I am accused of drinking some sort of sugary children's beverage, let me explain.
MercerReader hinted at the reason Barack is likely to seem a little less democratic mainstream progressive in his speeches to general election audiences. He is running a different campaign and must speak to new constituencies in a new way. He must get elected in a media environment that will do everything it can to see him fail. He has to get elected in a system that keeps 96% of incumbents going back to Congress without a credible challenge and a federal government riddled with special interests and cynicism. I believe this is a very fine line to tread and he will both make mistakes as well make choices that his supporters don't understand.
Given his performance to date, I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that he knows how to win the general election.
I believe his main effort as president will be to seek a two state solution in the most most effective way as possible. If that means an undivided city with the capitals of both states in Jerusalem then that is what he will advocate. If the administration feels something different would work better that will be their focus.
At the end of the day, though, it will be the Palestinians and the Israelis who determine what the final peace agreement will look like.
June 6, 2008 5:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jason I am falling on my ass here. His real accountability is when he raises his right hand? You got to be kidding...all these months of howling over every word uttered in this campaign and now it really doesn't matter cause of his Nomination? Good lord.....I am speechless
June 6, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The I-P conflict is just the first of many issues that will bring some folks back to earth and force them to reckon with the reality that we are joining hands to elect someone in November in a general election. We are not electing the prom king at TPM. Jason is just being commendably candid about the breach of this notion that Senator Obama is something other than a politician. It's not real; it never was, but I think you and I agree that Senator Obama the politician is a heckuva lot better on any day of the week than Senator McCain the politician.
Of course, it is kind of fun to watch folks less genuine than Jason trying to "explain" that Senator Obama really wasn't speaking to AIPAC in the language that works with those folks for political reasons.
June 6, 2008 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wait, wait, wait, wait...! Are you all telling me that Barack Obama is a...a...a politician? Oh. My. God. Say it ain't so!
You mean to tell me that all those earlier comments, threads, posts by his most "avid" supporters about his being "different" was just, um...crap?
I have to say, I am utterly shocked!
June 6, 2008 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sigh.
Yes, Loki, he's a politician. We were, as it happens, aware of that fact all along. The fact that he had held elective office continuiously for the last twenty-odd years was kind of a tip off. Only those who feel a need to caricature his supporters think they think he isn't.
He's a politician. So were Lincoln, FDR and RFK. All of them were rawly, connivingly and enthusiastically political politicians. That doesn't mean they were therefore morally indistinguishable from Aaron Burr, Huey Long and Richard Nixon.
June 6, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
*sigh*
Steve...Have you no sense of snark? Further, do you really think the folks I mock do not/did not exist? Are you also suggesting you were not in that group--however temporarily--some time back?
Again... *sigh*
June 6, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
You don't think that was snarky? I must be slipping today.
June 6, 2008 10:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is what happens when you engage in one-sided listening. The best compromises, leave both sides disappointed, but better off.
Sen. Obama way the ONLY presidential candidate that even MENTIONED the strife of the Palestinians, McC*nt: "Worst Nightmare", Clinton:*crickets*. In front of Aipac, Sen. Obama DARED state the importance of a free, functioning, prosperous, Palestine.
A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single footstep.
Barack is not santa claus.
June 6, 2008 9:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ahem Bill Clinton made a vigorous effort to have the Palestinian state created before he left office that was not successful. Hillary was blasted for greeting Arafat's wife with the traditional double kiss. The Clintons have always been for a two state solution that is fair to both parties. Hillary (running in NY) was blasted by some in the Jewish community for being too close to the Palestinians. I wouldn't say that's *crickets* or silence on the Palestinian cause.
June 6, 2008 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
I could say I told you so (I told you so) but I'd rather say what else would you have him do? His foreign policy positions were way out in move on.org land in the primary particularly his criticisms about Hillary Clinton's comments on Iran were they to launch a nuclear strike against Israel and his foreign policy position that he;'s willing to negotiate on a presidential level with the world's worst dictators (with caveats that have grown as the race as turned towards the general).
That just doesn't play in the general election. Yes it means he changed his position because he's a politician, but it also means he'll do what it takes to win rather than be all righteous and insistent upon a principle that is not shared by the vast majority of the American voters. The Cubans community in Miami were pissed about his Castro positions, and so he changed it.
This is politics. I certainly believe his foreign policy views are on the more liberal side than he expressed at AIPAC and I am sure his diplomacy efforts will be vigorous if he is elected. The operative phrase being if he is elected. You don't get elected by being soft on foreign policy particularly in those swing states like VA, NC etc. It's a smart move, disappointing to his more idealistic supporters, but it is to quote Richard Ben Cramer, what it takes to win the white house.
June 6, 2008 9:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
dijamo, I am shocked. I (almost) completely agree with your post. Idealists win arguments. Pragmatists win elections.
June 6, 2008 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yikes I agree with rabbit kitty. They must have slipped some unity kool aid into my caramel macchiato at starbucks when I wasn't looking!
June 6, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I do disagree with your beverage choice, however... :)
June 6, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
You two can finally disagree... meaning that all is well.
June 6, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
But it's a little jarring for the switch to come the morning after he declares himself the Democratic nominee for President.
June 6, 2008 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
No day but today. The longer Obama takes to make the change, the more time he gives the RNC to sharpie Barack Obama's name over the whited out John Kerry flip flops. You know the Repubs broke (morally and financially) so they HAVE the find some way to recycle their attacks. I've no idea what they're going to do with those purple heart bandaids though, but I'm sure they'll find something.
June 6, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
And AGAIN I agree. This is getting scary. Yesterday, Tom Delay insisted that until Obama proves otherwise, Delay will consider Obama a Marxist.
This is what they've got--schoolyard taunts and name-calling. As usual. Ain't gonna work this time, though. Obama's too quick for 'em. Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
June 6, 2008 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I really wish you hadn't raised the Obama's a Muslim canard.
June 6, 2008 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
What the hell?!?! Next thing you know we'll be doing a reenactment of the Carville/Frist Coke commercial. Carville's in the Hillary camp so I have dibs. You'll have to be Frist.
June 6, 2008 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm Al Sharpton. You're Pat Robertson. Otherwise, no deal.
June 6, 2008 1:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
To quote Whitney Houston HELL TO THE NO. Mortal enemies we shall remain.
June 6, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just spit out some coffee while laughing.
June 6, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
On second thought it might be funny to see rabbit kitty with a sharpton do... I'll take this offer under consideration. A Rabbit Kitty donation to www.hillaryclinton.com would seal the deal.
June 6, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
In your dreams, Sweetie.
June 6, 2008 7:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're right. Question is, Bubba, what are you going to do about it? The man wants to be President. AIPAC doesn't do nuance. But, politically, it was a stupid move. Doubtful AIPAC believes him. McCain will beat him to death with the flip-flop.
June 6, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
No it wasn't. For one, the Jewish vote in the US is simply more important that the Muslim and Arab vote. Second, the Arabs need to know that, while he is sympathetic, obviously, to their cause, he is clearly on Israel's side.
June 6, 2008 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
To repeat. I doubt AIPAC believes him. All he did was give McCain a flip-flop to whale on him with.
June 6, 2008 11:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
I really didn't care one way or the other on this particular issue, to be honest - but I do care that Obama seems not to be able to make up his mind. Now (Friday) he is "backing off" his statement from Wednesday: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/06/AR2008060601590.html?hpid=topnews
Running a freshman senator with not much experience is hard enough - having him practically beg to be called "flip flopper" is even tougher. Don't get me wrong, Obama still has my vote, but I'm really starting to wonder whether naivete (on the candidates part, and on the part of his most ardent - and unpersuadable - supporters) is going to be a problem this fall.
June 6, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Flip flop good Barack as long as you stay on the flop. Flip Flop Flip is a Flip Flop FLAP. Bad Barack! Please someone get John Kerry as far away from Obama as humanly possible!!!
June 6, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
The press is painting this as a flip-flop, but Democrats won't allow it. He's got the party behind him now, and we've learned our swiftboat lesson. It won't happen again. Watch for a flurry of op-eds from Democrats defending Obama's position. We have a nearly united front, and we will respond quickly and forcefully to any and all attacks.
June 6, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going to suspect Rabbit Kitty and I will disagree on this one. Obama's already shown his camp is really good at playing both sides of the issue without it being painted as a flip-flop and making it seem like that's what they said all along and there's no inconsistency. Reference the whole debate meeting with dictators psoition which has now morphed into a direct copy of what HRC's moderate position has always been. It helps that the media plays along because they heart Barack. Let's hope they same stays true for the general election.
And let the shithead calling commence!
June 6, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and just when I was starting to think about asking for that first kiss.
June 6, 2008 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Already: "But Rep. Robert Wexler (D-Fla.) later said on behalf of the Obama campaign that Obama's comment to CNN should not be seen as backtracking or even an amendment. He said Obama was clarifying that he has long believed it is up to the parties involved to determine the status of Jerusalem." (from the Washington Post "backtracking" article)
June 6, 2008 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
And there it goes. The Obama PR machine in action. Used to piss me off when it was Barack vs. Hillary but should come in handy for the general election. Situational ethics in action. I'm guilty too.
June 6, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
And there it goes - the Obama PR machine in action. Used to piss me off when it was Barack vs. Hillary but should come in handy for the general election. Situational ethics in action. I'm guilty too.
Is there an Oscar for PR or something???
June 6, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Most of this thread presupposes that "undivided Jerusalem" + "Israel's capital" = "no Palestinian capital in Jerusalem". But that simply is not the idea. There is no reason why two states cannot have their capitals in the same city without physically carving it up. Of course that would require a comprehensive two-state solution and some unusual administrative arrangements, but it's not impossible. As far as I can see, this has always been Obama's position on this.
June 6, 2008 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
BEST AVATAR EVER!!! I love when the big ass plastic union rat hangs out in front of construction sites and companies using non-union labor. I go out of my way to pass by once I know where he's hanging out. Do they only do this in NYC?
June 6, 2008 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I could write volumes about the rat. The rat reality is a reason to vote for any Democrat this year. We have uses the rat--and not only in NYC--in union campaigns as a form of free speech protected by the First Amendment. But, of course, there is a distinction between speech and conduct, with the latter being unprotected by the First Amendment. The Bush NLRB sees unprotected conduct in the form of the rat, and sees not the free speech implications. We need a Democrat to save the rat and to keep dijamo amused! Sorry for the commercial OT interruption, but I live the rat.
June 6, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Bruce, this is the kind of thing I still like about the net--I now know where to find a world expert on the New York rat balloon history and iconography should I ever have the need. :-)
June 6, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
We aim to please artappraiser, and might I say that you are on a roll the past few days. On fire I think is the term; I can't keep up with you!
June 6, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
SqueakyRat, you are correct. A two-state solution need not include a two-capital solution. Obama has not backed off his support for an undivided Jerusalem. He has merely clarified that it is the Israelis and Palestinians who are ultimately responsible for determining the shape and substance of any peace between the two parties.
I also think it was smart politics on TWO counts for Obama to back an undivided Jerusalem. First, it was smart politics domestically, where he has faced unending attempts by the Far Right to split off the Jewish vote from his candidacy. Second, it was actually smart in terms of foreign policy, making Ehud Olmert look like a moderate.
June 6, 2008 12:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Setting aside general policy themes. Is this different from the specific Isreal policy he took from day one in the campaign. Maybe, and I just missed it. But my recollection is that as the candidates traveled through Iowa endlessly the only two who offered a different approach to Isreal were Kuccinch and Gavel. Obama certaintly talked about the suffering of the Palestinian people and the need for Isreal to be the party to move the peace process forward, but it was always accompanied by the type of statements he gave recently, which drove some folks nuts. See
http://www.counterpunch.org/frank03162007.html.
Could it be he views Isreal as the type of country, given their history and being surrounded by enemies, that will only potentially take guidance/direction from someone who is unequivocal on certain issues. That was my hope as I watched Obama seemingly in recognition of the plight of the Palestinians and the need for Isreal to move the peace process while also steadfast on standing by certain positions.
No one will force Peace on Isreal. Hell, by Jimmy Carter's account they are now one of the leading nuclear powers in the world.
I'm definitely out of my league on this issue. But I'm not seeing a difference in where Obama has always been here. But if I'm wrong, happy to be educated.
June 6, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find it somewhat amusing how many commenters here are shocked, shocked that Obama's policy with respect to Israel is anything less than they had hoped for. And I am even more astounded by the bald-faced hypocracy of the same commenters who during the primary lauded Obama for his integrity and refusal to "pander," vilifying Clinton for her willingness to "say or do anything" to get elected, but now have no problem saying that it's ok, Obama didn't really mean what he said to AIPAC, he just needs the jewish votes, and he'll act differently once elected.
I was not at all surprised by Obama's speech to AIPAC. He has always taken cautious positions on issues (could someone point me to one truly bold initiative of his?) and his stance on Israel/Palestine is well within the mainstream foreign policy thought on both sides of the aisle and among the American public. I happen to share his view. I believe he will be more involved in trying to make peace and will be more credible as a broker, but his, and America's, support for Israel will not diminish. I happen to agree with everything he said (except that the option of dividing Jerusalem in some fashion should never be completely off the table).
Lastly, I don't want to get into a discussion on Israel's right to exist, its perfidy, or the merits of the Palestinian cause. Those discussions are rarely civil and never get anywhere, unless name-calling is a destination of choice.
June 6, 2008 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
We should just stop at "bald-faced hypocrisy?" Works for me.
June 6, 2008 11:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have a tendency toward verbosity. Comes with the avatar.
June 6, 2008 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hypocrisy or naiveness? [I've clearly not drunk all the kool aid or I would have used naivete... and figured out how to get the accent marks so I could spell naivete right]. I'm sure there are some Obama supporters that are quite pragmatic and knew he'd have to move more center on foreign policy to have a chance in hell of getting elected.
But there are also those other hardcore Obama idealists that saw him as untainted by politics who would never do such a thing as say something to pander to a group that he truly doesn't believe because he knows that what needs to get doen to get elected. He's the one that raise those expectations and there's bound to be an increasing number of folks who are shocked simply SHOCKED he's a politician. Those folks may in the end need as much handholding to vote NOT MCCAIN as the hardcore Hillary supporters.
Most Hillary supporters were always pragmatists (granted I am an idealist on economic and health care but that's besides the point). That's why when the campaign is over you shrug your shoulders and say it's not what I would have chosen for my party, but it's what we got. To paraphrase Pirate ACQUIRE MERGE DILUTE. ARRRRGH.
June 6, 2008 12:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have always believed that, assuming Senator Obama wins, his most loyal supporters will be many of the pragmatists who supported Hillary in the primary season, and some of his biggest detractors will come to be some of the idealists who have put so much faith in the whole hope and change thingie (I can't use "meme" because it is not a word I knew much about in the days before the internets).
June 6, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
DITTO I've always felt the same way. It's going to be important for democrats to be able to keep their idealistic voters in the fold(mostly new voters, Obamapendents and Obamacans) who were wooed to support Obama by the I'm not a politician PR. You don't want disillusionment from moving some of his positions to a more centrist place to disillusion them to the point where they feel like they been had and don't vote at all. It's a delicate balance and I don't pity Obama's position. It's going to take much work by the democrats in the general election campaign. And this is not meant to be a knock on Obama - this is just a reality check for the road ahead.
June 6, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. Once I get past his religiosity, I believe I can support him. I expect that many of the people so in love with him now will despise him as a traitor and sellout because he wants to govern, not posture.
June 6, 2008 6:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ditto. I think I will come to like the earth-bound version of our candidate.
June 6, 2008 10:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great!
How long before we all have to start speaking Swedish?
June 6, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
And you call yourself Armchair Guerrilla?
Seriously though, the Jerusalem statement sure is a hefty precondition for two state negotiations.
June 6, 2008 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know. I have not lived up to my screen name. But the issue is just radioactive. There are two ways of looking at the situation and I've never seen any headway made.
June 6, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like to say I prefer to argue about the existence of God before even mentioning the Israeli Palestinian conflict.
June 6, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
His policy on "Hope" is electrifying.
June 6, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL
June 7, 2008 6:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know there's little point in posting so far down the list (no one ever scrolls this far), but I just spotted this article on HuffPost and thought I'd stick it here...
http://www.news24.com/News24/World/US_Elections_2008/0,,2-10-2339_2334905,00.html
Apparently, Hamas has withdrawn their endorsement of Obama.
The thing is, Obama has demonstrated that when he busts out the teleprompter, every word is chosen very carefully. I suspect that his AIPAC speech was intended to do two things: 1) show support to Israel (something he desperately needs to do with these crazy emails floating around) and 2) get Hamas to withdraw support (it's been a Repub talking point for a while).
I was concerned as well that maybe he over-pandered, but it's so early in the general campaign season I think he needed to come out loudly, emphatically and memorably in order to lay the groundwork he needs to get support from the Jewish community in the US and downplay accusations that he's a muslim / ally of terrorists.
Just my two cents.
June 6, 2008 11:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since we're giving two cents, I'd like to add mine.
I watched the speech and I don't think he was pandering at all, it seemed very sincere, passionate and heartfelt. It cams across clearly to me that he believes America and Israel share values that Israel's enemies do not have that the two countries have a special bond. I think he intended that listeners get that message, very clearly. Besides the statement about Jersusalem, he made it very clear that the U.S. should ensure that Israel always is the dominant military power in the region. The shared values thing was the maine theme of the speech, with it clearly implicit that Israel's enemies have different values.
This is why the Arab leaders responded so quickly and so firmly, within only a hour or two of the speech: the message was clear and intentional where he is coming from, and they knew it, they are not stupid, they did not see pandering, they saw that he believes what he said.
He even praised AIPAC as a sort of grass roots organization. Now that was quite radical, my opinion! I don't think most congresspersons would describe that organization quite that way.
Otherwise, he seemed to express the views on Israel that most Americans share, not just American Jews and AIPAC. To others, I recommend they watch the speech if they haven't, the text can't show the strong intent.
Denial is not a river in Egypt, more left leaners need to get used to the idea: Obama is a centrist, a true centrist, a passionate centrist, on many issues, including foreign policy. That is where his heart seems clearly to lie, with centrism, with the majority American public view on many things, that is actually where he is often willing to make a stand, not because he is pandering, but because he believes. (Want another example of that, see his essay lecturing some DKos folks on the John Roberts confirmation hearings--centrism is where he is willing to really take a stand.)
June 6, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your point is well taken, but I believe we are dealing with two different animals that are not mutually exclusive. There are those who one might characterize as naive because they thought Obama was above politics. Then there are those who are hypocritical when they lambaste one candidate for a tactic (i.e. pandering) and then excuse the same tactic when it is being practiced by their candidate of choice. The latter is far more infuriating.
And to those who seem to think this is some kind of huge change in direction for Obama, please point out to me where he has said anything different?
June 6, 2008 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops, that was a reply to dejamo.
June 6, 2008 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am so disheartened by the blatant anti-Israel tone of much of this thread. Have any of you ever been there? Do you know any actual Israelis? Can you imagine for even a second living in a place where all of your neighbors want to wipe you off the map? Do you not understand that "Palestine" didn't exist as a sovereign nation before 1948, and that the plans for a peaceably divided state were accepted by Israel--even though they fell far short of what Israel wanted--and denied by the Arabs because (drumroll, please) the Arab world denied Israel's right to exist? It wasn't simply the terms they didn't like (again, Israel didn't like them either), it was the very fact of Israel's existence they were against--AND STILL ARE.
This is not about pandering to AIPAC and garnering politcal power. It is about realistic and necessary concessions on both sides--which a vast majority of Israeli's favor--among which a divided Jerusalem should not be one. A divided Jerusalem is a disaster for everyone, not only Jews and Israel. (Jerusalem is not a footnote for Muslims--whoever said this made a mistake. The Al Oxa mosque is built on the Temple Mount because it is believed to be the birthplace of the world, which I believe is also said to be the site from which Mohammad rose on his winged horse. The place is full of Holy sites for Christians as well, a great many of which were cut off when Jerusalem was divided.)
As far as Iran, it is worthy of note that a significant amount of the tension in the American Jewish and Israeli communities has been about Obama's desire to talk to Iran and take diplomatic action, which has translated into potentially anti-Israel policies. (Iran has promised to destroy Israel, remember.)
It is a good sign that people on BOTH sides of the issue are nervous. Stay nervous, but try not to be so reactionary.
June 6, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
You will excuse me if I call flip/flop on him then.
June 6, 2008 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The Al Oxa mosque is built on the Temple Mount because it is believed to be the birthplace of the world, which I believe is also said to be the site from which Mohammad rose on his winged horse."
The real reason it was built there was political conquest - to stamp out judaism and project power. The winged horse is a made up story... it could equally be said to have happened in new jersey. Same goes for the christian monuments in jerusalem.
However, the modern day Palestinians and Jews bear zero responsibility for the past and must learn to get along - and drop the historical tit for tat. I think the problem is that this is just too much of an intellectual leap for most people and there is no way it can be made for many because their religion has painted them into a corner. How do you explain to someone that their religious leaders had ulterior motives in co-opting another religion's holy place? You can't without asking them to question their beliefs.
June 6, 2008 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
To refuse to talk to the Iranians only endangers Israel and the region. He's not going to hand them the keys to the bus. He's going to make it clear to them what he expects from them, and how far he's willing to let them take this nuclear issue. Tough diplomacy means tough diplomacy. It's hard for me to believe how well the Republicans have succeeded in turning the word diplomacy into an obscenity. Remember eight years ago? Before Bush? Before we were imperialists? The days when we didn't attack other countries that hadn't attacked us? Remember those days, so long ago?
The Empire has erased much of it, but that America still exists.
June 6, 2008 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please understand, dear rabbicat, I very much want him to talk with Iran. I only mean to point out that neither "side" (assuming there are two sides) is entirely comfortable, and this is a good thing.
(Aside: It was funny to me that people--including Bush--decried Obama's desire to have talks with Iran while Israel itself was holding talks with Syria. It is critical to keep the option of diplomacy open, no matter how futile it may seem.)
June 6, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
The analogy with apartheid breaks down here:
"The systematic oppression and domination by one racial group over any other racial group or groups and COMMITTED WITH THE INTENTION OF MAINTAINING THAT REGIME."
There is a vast difference when separation is maintained as a means of survival. And I do mean survival.
It is a heartbreaking error to assert that Israel wants to oppress Palestinians. This view is simmply false, and as an observant and devoted Jew, the very idea hurts me to my bones. The present situation is fundamentally un-Jewish, a fact of which Israel is painfully aware. I do not know any Jews, American or Israeli, who do not feel anguish for their suffering.
This internal conflict is one of the reasons the Jewish community is so divided on this issue. Unfortunately, we hear little about this aspect of the conflict. Jews--American and Israeli--are presented as being of one mind, and as willful oppressors, unwilling to compromise. I find it deeply painful that my fellow liberals so often refuse to consider that the truth may be otherwise.
June 6, 2008 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, dear, but I've seen how the Palestinians are treated at the checkpoints, when all they want to do is tend to the farms that the Israelis have fenced them away from. I've seen Israeli soldiers pointing rifles at young Palestinian boys with rocks in their hands. Of all the people in the world, the Jews should understand. There's enough ugliness on both sides of this to go around. Neither side is blameless. Neither side is blameless.
June 6, 2008 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Seen" as in with your own eyes, or in the media? Have you also seen explosives strapped to a human body or packaged very carefully along with food and supplies? Do you know that the boys with rocks are sometimes wired with explosives, or used as decoys to draw Israeli soldiers out?
It is true that most of the people at checkpoints want to go to work, but can you think of another way to separate out those who want something else? The ones who are wired to the teeth so they can blow up a bus or a school or a shopping mall?
The wall is not something Israel constructed to oppress Palestinians. Since it was put up--and only in those areas where it was seen as necessary--the number of bombings and civilian deaths on both sides has declined dramatically.
No, Israel is not blameless. What is amazing is how many Americans point the finger at Israel--which has been under attack from the day it declared independence--while completely failing to consider the political reality in which it exists.
How do you suppose the US would respond if, for example, the folks living on reservations were heavily armed and brought their kids up to believe that the rest of the US was to be destroyed? Only it wasn't only the folks on reservations. It was also large tracts surrounding the US. Like, if the US consisted of Kansas and Nebraska, and the rest was hostile territory. Which was prone to lob bombs into our schools and malls, and thought we shouldn't exist. And we were trying to survive and figure out how to allow the people on the reservations-- who were also trying to kill us-- to also survive.
It is hard to imagine, under such circumstances, not being incredibly cautious--even reactionary--and possibly making terrible mistakes. Mistakes which defy your most fundamental sacred beliefs.
As Golda Meir stated, "We can forgive the Arabs for killing our children. We cannot forgive them for making us kill thiers." It is a terrible bind.
June 6, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
"It is true that most of the people at checkpoints want to go to work, but can you think of another way to separate out those who want something else?"
I can think of a better way they could be treated. They are intentionally provoked and delayed and abused. And it is because they are Arabs and the soldiers don't like them, and that is the only reason. All I'm saying is that, of all the people in the world, the Jews should have the most compassion for them.
I'm not blaming either side. It's a horrible situation. But like Golda Mier, I expect much from the Jews.
June 6, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am not sure what your assertion is based on, but having been along the checkpoints, I did not witness this. I am not saying it doesn't happen, but I caution you against assuming it is the norm.
June 6, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you'll see this as propaganda. Perhaps not.
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3332791,00.html
There are thousands of stories like this online. And yes, I've seen it for myself, and I have friends who have experienced it.
June 6, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Liora,
KPFA radio's Flashpoints -- on Pacifica network radio, the Web and mp3 downloads -- has, in my opinion, the best on-the-ground coverage. They do at least one extensive report nearly every day, Monday to Friday. Highly recommended.
June 7, 2008 6:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Palestinians are being treated like dogs. They are not dogs. They are human beings. Have you been to al-Arish? Al-Shaboura in Rafah? Have you seen the people who are held at the borders for days on end--sometimes weeks? Have you seen the despair and the pain these people live with every single day of their lives? And for what? You tell me--for what? Why are they treated like this? Why are women forced to feed their babies in the dirt while they wait to go to their homes in the slums of Gaza? Tell me who has the right to treat them like this? Tell me the difference between a homemade bomb that kills innocent people and an Israeli missile that does exactly the same thing.
Where is the mercy the Jews should have learned from their own tribulations? Did their suffering teach them to be like this?
June 6, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
No doubt there are terrible problems. I am asking you to consider that they are a result of desperation, not design. The homemade bombs are designed to kill civilians; the missiles are not. Civilian deaths are accidental and extremely unfortunate. There are loads of Israelis who feel exactly the same way. Many fought against the wall entirely. And I guarantee you that if Israel knew there would be no more bombs aimed at destroying them, they would lay down arms immediately, and offer increased aid to Palestine (to which they give more aid than most Arab countries do; Egypt gives their "brothers" nothing and has a wall to keep them out--as a means to vilify Israel--but no one says a thing).
Another point about the wall: look at the measures the US takes to keep Mexicans out--Mexicans who REALLY only want to come to work--to do jobs our economy relies on, no bombs or threats of annihilation involved. And how about the US owned maquiladoras paying less than poverty wages while their employees live in lean-tos? We should really point this outrage at ourselves.
June 6, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
"No doubt there are terrible problems. I am asking you to consider that they are a result of desperation, not design. The homemade bombs are designed to kill civilians; the missiles are not."
The homemade bombs are also a result of desperation. And while the missiles may not have been designed to kill civilians, that is how they are used in far too many cases. Far too many to then claim that the deaths are accidental. We know the propaganda. Our own government does exactly the same thing. They're not civilians, they're terrorists. It's not a home, it's a hideout or a bomb-making factory. In some cases, that's the truth. In too many cases it's not. The entire world watched what happened in Lebanon. We weren't fooled by the official story.
I'm not an opponent of Israel, or an advocate for the Palestinians. I'm an advocate for peace and for justice and for finding a solution to the pain and suffering we inflict upon one another. This has been going on for far too long.
"Another point about the wall: look at the measures the US takes to keep Mexicans out."
Yes, I know. It's shameful. I don't support the wall, and I'm outraged at the way Mexican workers are treated. We've got plenty of problems here as well. I completely agree.
June 6, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is a mistake to say the homemade bombs have anything to do with desperation. They are intended for one thing: to kill Jews. They have no other purpose, nor is there a pretense that they do.
As far as propaganda, this is the heart of the Palestinian problem: their media is controlled by terrorists, and the majority who would favor peace cannot be educated about the prospects for their own liberty. Palestinians (and other Arab groups) have been oppressed by their own leaders who do not want peace. They hate the Jews more than they desire the well-being of their people. Get freedom of information into the Arab world and the problem would be over.
Also, as for the Israelis harassing Palestinians simply because they hate Arabs, it should be noted that a million Israeli Arabs live alongside Israeli Jews every day with few or no problems. Why? Those Arabs aren't trying to kill the Jews around them. Further, they are represented in the Knesset--and even on the Israeli Supreme Court, by an Arab who openly stated that israel should not exist. Can you imagine the US allowing this? Does this not show that Israel is not simply "anti-Arab"?
June 6, 2008 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
We'll have to agree to disagree on this point. I can't think of any act more desperate than strapping a bomb on yourself or throwing a rock at a soldier armed with an automatic weapon.
June 6, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
These acts are not committed out of despair, but out of hatred. They are calculated acts, not desperate ones.
The rock-throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers (or worse). The less scrupulous (more fanatical and less informed) use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which such behavior is honorable, but so it is.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=17707
June 6, 2008 4:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
These acts are not committed out of despair, but out of hatred. They are calculated acts, not desperate ones.
The rock-throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers (or worse). The less scrupulous (more fanatical and less informed) use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which such behavior is honorable, but so it is.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=17707
June 6, 2008 4:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
These acts are not committed out of despair, but out of hatred. They are calculated acts, not desperate ones.
The rock-throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers (or worse). The less scrupulous (more fanatical and less informed) use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which such behavior is honorable, but so it is.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=17707
June 6, 2008 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
These acts are not committed out of despair, but out of hatred. They are calculated acts, not desperate ones.
The rock-throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers (or worse). The less scrupulous (more fanatical and less informed) use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which such behavior is honorable, but so it is.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=17707
June 6, 2008 4:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
These acts are not committed out of despair, but out of hatred. They are calculated acts, not desperate ones.
The rock-throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers (or worse). The less scrupulous (more fanatical and less informed) use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which such behavior is honorable, but so it is.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=17707
June 6, 2008 4:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
"We'll have to agree to disagree on this point. I can't think of any act more desperate than strapping a bomb on yourself or throwing a rock at a soldier armed with an automatic weapon."
I'm sorry, I have to say something here. Reading this thread, I can see you are opposed to Israel and it's treatment of Palestinians. That's one thing. Here, you're attempting to justify a Palestinian blowing up a falafel stand and a few Israelis by calling it "the ultimate act of desperation:, thereby insinuating that said Palestinian was left with no other choice than to murder innocents. That's... disgusting.
June 6, 2008 4:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Here, you're attempting to justify a Palestinian blowing up a falafel stand and a few Israelis by calling it "the ultimate act of desperation:, thereby insinuating that said Palestinian was left with no other choice than to murder innocents."
No, I'm not. I don't believe any act of violence is justified. Please look up the word desperation in the dictionary. I believe killing oneself and others with a homemade bomb fits the dictionary definition of desperation quite well.
This discussion is an example of why peace is so difficult in the region. Both sides commit violent acts against the other, and both sides believe that their violence is completely justified. Violence begets violence. Hatred begets hatred. Peace is never obtained through violence.
June 6, 2008 6:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are acts of hatred, not desperation. Calculated, not desperate.
Rock throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers. The more fanatical Palestinians use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which this is honorable, but so it is.
And again, the atrocities we see--real and imagined--are a minority of incidents in hundereds of thouseands of interactions every day.
I keep trying to post this with links, but my posts are not going through. I am going to have to give up for today because posting here is tedious, but I thank you for having this discussion with me.
June 6, 2008 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are acts of hatred, not desperation. Calculated, not desperate.
Rock throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers. The more fanatical Palestinians use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which this is honorable, but so it is.
And again, the atrocities we see--real and imagined--are a minority of incidents in hundereds of thouseands of interactions every day.
I keep trying to post this with links, but my posts are not going through. I am going to have to give up for today because posting here is tedious, but I thank you for having this discussion with me.
June 6, 2008 4:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are acts of hatred, not desperation. Calculated, not desperate.
Rock throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers. The more fanatical Palestinians use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which this is honorable, but so it is.
And again, the atrocities we see--real and imagined--are a minority of incidents in hundereds of thousands of interactions every day.
I keep trying to post this with links, but my posts are not going through. I am going to have to give up for today because posting here is tedious, but I thank you for having this discussion with me.
June 6, 2008 4:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are acts of hatred, not desperation. Calculated, not desperate.
Rock throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers. The more fanatical Palestinians use their children as weapons. It is difficult to imagine a mindset in which this is honorable, but so it is.
And again, the atrocities we see--real and imagined--are a minority of incidents in hundereds of thousands of interactions every day.
I keep trying to post this with links, but my posts are not going through. I am going to have to give up for today because posting here is tedious, but I thank you for having this discussion with me.
June 6, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
HOLY CRAP--This blog is a disaster! Sorry for the mess, but the error message said my post had not gone through, and it didn't appear until I showed up as some demented blogosphere hydra.
Apologies to all.
June 6, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Reading this I feel compelled to point out that suicide bombings have been carried out by those opposed to the peace process. Suicide bombing as a tactic became prevalent as the parties were moving close to an actual peace agreement. Thus, it is false to claim that they are an act of desperation. Moreover, they are supported by huge majorities of Palestinians. While there are certainly Israelis who revel in the deaths of Arabs, they are a minority.
June 6, 2008 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you want to be president, you need to get elected by the country you have, not the country you want.
June 6, 2008 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Correction-
Last half of his troubled second term.
Hillary- not once this entire primary season.
June 6, 2008 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does it make a difference to the tone or substance of this thread that Obama has clarified that by "undivided" he simply means that there will not be a physical barrier separating different parts of the city, not that he thinks it important that all of Jerusalem be under Israeli control? It seems to me that, understood in the fashion which Obama has now explicitly made clear, most of FreeBubba's disappointment ceases to make much sense. Is this a misunderstanding of the nature of his complaint on my part?
June 6, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg:
I believe the Senator's clarification, but I also believe that his AIPAC speech was fully vetted before he gave it and he said what he said for a reason. The Jerusalem issue is a big issue with the AIPAC folks. At least the Senator, to my knowledge, hasn't made the ultimate pander pledge to move the American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Best regards.
Bruce
June 6, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doh! I stand corrected. Senator Obama did propose that the embassy be moved from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/06/06/1119341.aspx
Note that even President Bush has left the Embassy in Tel Aviv. We're in ultimate panderville, and the sad thing is that it's really unnecessary because most American Jews could care less that the embassy is in Tel Aviv.
June 6, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please don't try to make our relationship with Israel the most important issue in the upcoming election.
I understand how people will often inflate the issue that they think is most critical and make it into the "Number One, without-this-nothing-exists", but that's just not the way it is.
To say that Barack is no longer about change because of a speech he made to AIPAC is pretty stupid.
June 6, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the Washington Post
...
Obama quickly backtracked today in an interview with CNN.
"Well, obviously, it's going to be up to the parties to negotiate a range of these issues. And Jerusalem will be part of those negotiations," Obama said when asked whether Palestinians had no future claim to the city.
Obama said "as a practical matter, it would be very difficult to execute" a division of the city. "And I think that it is smart for us to -- to work through a system in which everybody has access to the extraordinary religious sites in Old Jerusalem but that Israel has a legitimate claim on that city."
June 6, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Everything but the first lineshould have been blockquoted of course.
June 6, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
He didn't backtrack. If he had said that he now thought Jerusalem should be divided or that it shouldn't remain the capitol of Israel, that would have been backtracking. What he did was point out how difficult the situation is. And what he hinted at was a shared city--not a divided one:
"And I think that it is smart for us to work through a system in which everybody has access to the extraordinary religious sites in Old Jerusalem..."
June 6, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Works for me.
June 6, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Works for me too, and I think it will ultimately be the solution.
June 6, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hee.
June 6, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barack's ill-considered position, when combined with his willingness to invade Pakistan, may be enough to expose him as another unacceptable Democratic candidate.
If he meant what he said about Jerusalem, and I have little doubt that he did mean it, he has informed the Palestinians that he is unwilling to negotiate about one of their most important needs. Further, he has provided OBL and his lesser ilk with new recruits, financing, and vigor.
If Barack did not mean what he said, as Bubba says, the change bubble has indeed burst.
Excellently thought out and expressed, FreeBubba. Highly recommended.
June 6, 2008 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
He never said he would "invade" - you either don't understand what they were talking about, or you're intentionally misrepresenting what he said.
What Obama said he would do is make a strategic strike within Pakistan, if he had solid intelligence about a hight-value Al-Quaeda target within that country.
The context of this response of his was within the knowledge that Bush had good reason to suspect at one point that he knew where Osama Bin Laden was, but didn't act, presumably because we promised Pakistan we wouldn't do so - that we would let the Pakistan military handle anything within their borders. And when Bush asked, Pakistan didn't get the job done. Unfortunately, there are many elements within the Pakistan military and government who're quite sympathetic to Al-Qaeda, so such an agreement will NEVER lead to the capture or death of Osama.
By the way, strategic strikes within the borders of other countries isn't unprecedented. Bill Clinton did it: August 20, 1998 Bill Clinton launched 79 cruise missiles at seven targets in the Middle East. Reagan did it. Keep going back and you'll find other examples.
June 6, 2008 4:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
He never said he would "invade" - you either don't understand what they were talking about, or you're intentionally misrepresenting what he said.
What Obama said he would do is make a strategic strike within Pakistan, if he had solid intelligence about a hight-value Al-Quaeda target within that country.
The context of this response of his was within the knowledge that Bush had good reason to suspect at one point that he knew where Osama Bin Laden was, but didn't act, presumably because we promised Pakistan we wouldn't do so - that we would let the Pakistan military handle anything within their borders. And when Bush asked, Pakistan didn't get the job done. Unfortunately, there are many elements within the Pakistan military and government who're quite sympathetic to Al-Qaeda, so such an agreement will NEVER lead to the capture or death of Osama.
By the way, strategic strikes within the borders of other countries isn't unprecedented. Bill Clinton did it: August 20, 1998 Bill Clinton launched 79 cruise missiles at seven targets in the Middle East. Reagan did it. Keep going back and you'll find other examples.
June 6, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
not inside our ally's border, though. There is a difference.
Granted, Pakistan is an unreliable ally, but still it would be unprecedented to attack within an ally's borders without their permission.
June 6, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
He never said he would "invade" - you either don't understand what they were talking about, or you're intentionally misrepresenting what he said.
What Obama said he would do is make a strategic strike within Pakistan, if he had solid intelligence about a hight-value Al-Quaeda target within that country.
The context of this response of his was within the knowledge that Bush had good reason to suspect at one point that he knew where Osama Bin Laden was, but didn't act, presumably because we promised Pakistan we wouldn't do so - that we would let the Pakistan military handle anything within their borders. And when Bush asked, Pakistan didn't get the job done. Unfortunately, there are many elements within the Pakistan military and government who're quite sympathetic to Al-Qaeda, so such an agreement will NEVER lead to the capture or death of Osama.
By the way, strategic strikes within the borders of other countries isn't unprecedented. Bill Clinton did it: August 20, 1998 Bill Clinton launched 79 cruise missiles at seven targets in the Middle East. Reagan did it. Keep going back and you'll find other examples.
June 6, 2008 4:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Barack's ill-considered position, when combined with his willingness to invade Pakistan, may be enough to expose him as another unacceptable Democratic candidate."
Obama has said that he's willing to invade Pakistan? When? Show me the quote.
June 6, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm rather surprised that you aren't aware of this, my leporine feline friend.
On 1-Aug-2007, Reuters reported:
Obama said if elected in November 2008 he would be willing to attack inside Pakistan with or without approval from the Pakistani government, a move that would likely cause anxiety in the already troubled region.
"If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets and President Musharraf won't act, we will," Obama said.
June 6, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, you've really gotta stretch the meaning of the word "invasion" to make that one work. Nice try, though.
If Obama finds out where Bin Laden is, I sure the fuck hope he sends a cruise missile up his ass. Are you saying you're opposed to this idea?
June 6, 2008 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do I understand you correctly that the use of military force within a foreign country without the consent of that country's government stretches the definition of invasion? I would be quite interested in hearing your definition of the word.
You may very sensibly argue that such an invasion is necessary -- although you would lose the argument. You might even argue that such an invasion is legal without a congressional declaration of war -- although you would lose that argument as well.
But I don't see how you can come up with a defense of the idea that Sen. Obama's proposal does not constitute an invasion. It will be fun to watch you try, though.
June 6, 2008 9:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
yikes this was a while ago when he said if he had info on Osama Bin Laden's whereabouts in Pakistan, he'd authorize military force without Pakistan's permission. Not war, but certainly an invasion of Pakistan's sovreignty.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/08/01/AR2007080101233.html
Granted this was way back in the I'm tougher than Hillary stage but this Pakistan stance may make a reemergence in the general election.
June 6, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
dijamo, you ever seen one of these?
http://www.af.mil/factsheets/factsheet.asp?fsID=122
it's called an assassination--not an invasion.
http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/story?id=4216033&page=1
http://www.cnn.com/2005/WORLD/asiapcf/05/13/alqaeda.killing/index.html
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/US/01/31/alqaeda.death/index.html
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7847008/
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2004/mar/23/israel6
If you need more, I've got plenty. Apparently, we've been "invading" like crazy
June 6, 2008 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
True, but these attacks on Pakistani soil are being done with the approval and cooperation of the Pakistani government (whether or not they state so publicly). Look at the whole Italian Job issue with the kidnapping of Nasr - even though they denied high levels of the Italian govt were complicit. Obama's statement went further and acknowledged he'd support strikes within Pakistan without Pakistani approval. That could destabilize an already unstable country.
June 6, 2008 4:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to mention if the strike is unsuccessful/bad information and kills innocent civilians. We'd be ROYALLY screwed. If the Pakistani government gives permission and we made a "mistake," there is shared culpability rather than it's US being cowboys acting on our own and murdering innocents.
I say this as a NYer who works blocks from the WTC and still sees a whole in the skyline as a reminder every day I take the boat into work. I am all for getting UBL but it is not worth risking World War IV with an errant missile. One man - even that man - is not worth sacfiricing whatever we have remaining of our esteem around the world.
June 6, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
err obviously whole equals hole. Fonetick typing and stuff.
June 6, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Obama's statement went further and acknowledged he'd support strikes within Pakistan without Pakistani approval."
And I absolutely agree with his position. If Bin Laden's location becomes known, I would want him taken out immediately. And if I were president, I wouldn't wait for anyone's permission. Period.
I agree with Obama.
June 6, 2008 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then you are agreeing with a breach of international law, and an unconstitutional act of war without a declaration by Congress.
In other words, you are rooting for the Cheney philosophy. I don't think you have thought this through.
June 6, 2008 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you're right on all counts, Tank.
hrebendorf, do give this a new look.
June 7, 2008 6:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm rather surprised that you aren't aware of this, my leporine feline friend.
On 1-Aug-2007, Reuters reported:
Obama said if elected in November 2008 he would be willing to attack inside Pakistan with or without approval from the Pakistani government, a move that would likely cause anxiety in the already troubled region.
"If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets and President Musharraf won't act, we will," Obama said.
June 6, 2008 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
June 6, 2008 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm rather surprised that you aren't aware of this, my leporine feline friend.
On 1-Aug-2007, Reuters reported:
June 6, 2008 3:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe you should check the dictionary for the definition of invasion.
If they are anxious instead of defending their homeland, they weren't invaded. Geez.
June 6, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
The word "anxious" was not mine.
As for the word "invasion," let's ask Merriam Webster : an act of invading; especially : incursion of an army for conquest or plunder
"invade:" 1: to enter for conquest or plunder
2: to encroach upon : infringe
Is Obama not proposing an encroachment for the purpose of conquest? Don't countries often claim that their invasions are justified by self-defense? In fact, wasn't that President Bush's justification for his "preemptive strike?"
I'm afraid you're going to have to twist yourself and your logic in knots to make this proposal not one of invasion.
June 6, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
June 6, 2008 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are not acts committed out of despair, but out of hatred. These are calculated acts, not desperate ones.
The rock throwing is a learned behavior, taught to children as a means to bait soldiers. The less scrupulous (more fanatical and less informed)Palestinians use their children as weapons. It is difficult to comprehend a mindset in which such a thing is honorable, but so it is.
June 6, 2008 4:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
WRONG.
Invasion is a completely different thing than making a strategic strike at a high-value target within the borders of another country. And it has been done before: Bill Clinton did it, Reagan, and others.
Pakistan has demonstrated is not a reliable partner. Obama's position on this is correct.
June 6, 2008 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's position on [military strikes against Pakistan] is correct.
Obama's position is a violation of both international law and the Constitution. Perhaps rather that asking for my definition of "invasion" you should give us your definition of "correct."
June 6, 2008 10:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Hillary said the exact same thing months ago, and Of course there's John McCain. I'm not so sure why this a shock, Obama has always been as pro-Israel as, well, any other major politician. It's friggin' annoying but there you go.
June 6, 2008 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well I do think it was kinda pandering. On the other hand, I know that he's since "clarfied" his position about how it really should be up to the Palestinians and Israelis and it shouldn't be off the table to negotiate about it. I find that pretty reasonable and much more in keeping with his general writing and history.
I personally don't see how a divided capital for both Israel and Palestine is really feasible, logistically speaking. Though I see why each side wants the city emotionally.
Of course the whole situation is a big mess for both the Palestinians and Israelis. I know that the Israeli govt. can be reactionary and do horrible things, but I also know that there are rockets that go in and kill Israeli citizens. And Israeli kids who are killed on buses, or people in malls and the streets who are blown up. And those are just citizens, not soldiers, not the govt., and most of them, like most Palestinians, do want peace. And most Palestinians and Israelis want two states.
I know that the whole situation is very complicated and messy on both ends and there isn't any easy solution. So from me he gets a slight ding on the pandering, but slightly modified by clarifying to a more nuanced position. And I do actually realize that sometimes I will just genuinely disagree with Obama and I never expected him to be perfect all the time. Though I am probably alone in not disagreeing that I find the divided city thing to be untenable and probably shouldn't be.
This idea that somehow THIS and this alone means he is utterly a phony! And he really won't try and change anything! is just absurd to me. This assigns more god-like powers to Obama than any of his so-called kool-aid drinking followers do. Obama and I will disagree on policy. He will make mistakes. What I hope is that generally he won't make many of them to begin with because he's a smart guy. But when he does, he can learn from them, own up to them, not do them again. That's all any of us can expect. Oh and this doesn't mean we can't call him out when we do disagree and want him to change his mind. I don't expect a perfect god, thanks.
June 6, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well I do think it was kinda pandering. On the other hand, I know that he's since "clarfied" his position about how it really should be up to the Palestinians and Israelis and it shouldn't be off the table to negotiate about it. I find that pretty reasonable and much more in keeping with his general writing and history.
I personally don't see how a divided capital for both Israel and Palestine is really feasible, logistically speaking. Though I see why each side wants the city emotionally.
Of course the whole situation is a big mess for both the Palestinians and Israelis. I know that the Israeli govt. can be reactionary and do horrible things, but I also know that there are rockets that go in and kill Israeli citizens. And Israeli kids who are killed on buses, or people in malls and the streets who are blown up. And those are just citizens, not soldiers, not the govt., and most of them, like most Palestinians, do want peace. And most Palestinians and Israelis want two states.
I know that the whole situation is very complicated and messy on both ends and there isn't any easy solution. So from me he gets a slight ding on the pandering, but slightly modified by clarifying to a more nuanced position. And I do actually realize that sometimes I will just genuinely disagree with Obama and I never expected him to be perfect all the time. Though I am probably alone in not disagreeing that I find the divided city thing to be untenable and probably shouldn't be.
This idea that somehow THIS and this alone means he is utterly a phony! And he really won't try and change anything! is just absurd to me. This assigns more god-like powers to Obama than any of his so-called kool-aid drinking followers do. Obama and I will disagree on policy. He will make mistakes. What I hope is that generally he won't make many of them to begin with because he's a smart guy. But when he does, he can learn from them, own up to them, not do them again. That's all any of us can expect. Oh and this doesn't mean we can't call him out when we do disagree and want him to change his mind. I don't expect a perfect god, thanks.
June 6, 2008 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am happy to support a candidate who is deemed by the MSM or his opponents to have "flip-flopped" merely because he states a position in a nuanced way rather than jumping to a black-white soundbite position. You could also substitute "cautious" for "flip-flopped".
The thing is, Democratic candidates generally are painted as flip-floppers merely because they generally hold more nuanced, thoughtful positions than the Republicans. When you produce a nuanced position, it will be distilled by one listener into one soundbite, and by another listener into a different one. I believe (at least so far) that when Obama is being accused of "flip-flopping" or "too cautious" he is merely pointing out that there are multiple facets to practically any issue.
To speak to the current brouhaha, Obama stating that he prefers a physically undivided Jerusalem but that the final structure of any modus vivendi between Israel and Palestine is up to them, even if THEY wish to split the city, can be heard by one person as "divided Jerusalem acceptable" and another as "divided Jerusalem unacceptable. It's not Obama who has flip-flopped, it is just that his explanation is too nuanced to fall within the radar of what currently passes as political reporting and analysis.
I'm satisfied that Obama will be PUSHING things in the progressive directions I prefer, and that he is intelligent and genuine enough to see when a particularly intransigent progressive position might have to be abandoned either because it is too intransigent or politically not achievable.
Take health care. I refuse to get my panties in a twist over the differences between Obama's and Clinton's health care proposals. NEITHER one will be enacted in its current form. But at least Obama's recognizes (I believe) that it will take consistent pressure always pushing closer to universal coverage, but buying each step with whatever compromise is necessary to get it done. Clinton already demonstrated in the 90's what happens when you try to take a fully-formed extreme position and ram it down the throats of your opponents (even within her own party). How'd that work out for us?
In some ways, Bill Clinton's "triangulation" was exactly this same kind of compromising (rather than "flip-flopping" as , again, it was described at the time), and I believe his budgetary success rested primarily on just this type of negotiation, rather than the "my way or the highway" attitude we have seen in spades so recently from the White House.
June 6, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
BTW, here is a little tidbit that many may not know about Obama's education and cultural background.
I live in Hawaii, and my son attended the same school that Obama attended (Punahou Academy). As a prestigious private school, Punahou takes a lot of flak about having rich snobs in attendance and certainly there are plenty of them to be found on the campus. But the school nurtures many extracurricular processes to break this down and build good experiences for the personal development of students (Juniors are chosen to be counselors for small groups of entering freshman, sixth graders have a pen-pal that they look out for from one of the earlier grades, etc.)
One of the most compelling innovations is the use of the Hawaiian concept of ho'oponopono, described here:
"The Hawaiians have another tradition called "ho'oponopono". It is a process for setting things right in order to sustain a happy and peaceful home and family. Ho'oponopono involves talking about the problems with truthfulness and sincerity. It requires making amends and forgiveness. And this forgiveness is made possible by first clearing the air and then by your willingness to let go of any trace of grievance and restore a place of peace between you. "
One of the years in the curriculum includes a formal implementation of ho'oponopono, where groups of students meet under supervision of an instructor on a regular basis and the concepts of ho'oponopono are implemented: in that room, students are encouraged to bring up ANY grievances they may have about one another and they learn how to talk things out to restore harmony and peace. In the multiethnic, multicultural society which exists however imperfectly in Hawaii, the use of ho'oponopono is critical to learning how to see things from the perspective of people who are quite different from you.
This concept is ingrained in students who are willing to take the opportunity to accept it, and I am willing to bet Obama made the best of the opportunity.
I'd also be willing to bet that the recent meeting between Obama and Clinton was a good example of ho'oponopono.
June 6, 2008 5:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
BTW, here is a little tidbit that many may not know about Obama's education and cultural background.
I live in Hawaii, and my son attended the same school that Obama attended (Punahou Academy). As a prestigious private school, Punahou takes a lot of flak about having rich snobs in attendance and certainly there are plenty of them to be found on the campus. But the school nurtures many extracurricular processes to break this down and build good experiences for the personal development of students (Juniors are chosen to be counselors for small groups of entering freshman, sixth graders have a pen-pal that they look out for from one of the earlier grades, etc.)
One of the most compelling innovations is the use of the Hawaiian concept of ho'oponopono, described here:
"The Hawaiians have another tradition called "ho'oponopono". It is a process for setting things right in order to sustain a happy and peaceful home and family. Ho'oponopono involves talking about the problems with truthfulness and sincerity. It requires making amends and forgiveness. And this forgiveness is made possible by first clearing the air and then by your willingness to let go of any trace of grievance and restore a place of peace between you. "
One of the years in the curriculum includes a formal implementation of ho'oponopono, where groups of students meet under supervision of an instructor on a regular basis and the concepts of ho'oponopono are implemented: in that room, students are encouraged to bring up ANY grievances they may have about one another and they learn how to talk things out to restore harmony and peace. In the multiethnic, multicultural society which exists however imperfectly in Hawaii, the use of ho'oponopono is critical to learning how to see things from the perspective of people who are quite different from you.
This concept is ingrained in students who are willing to take the opportunity to accept it, and I am willing to bet Obama made the best of the opportunity.
I'd also be willing to bet that the recent meeting between Obama and Clinton was a good example of ho'oponopono.
June 6, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
BTW, here is a little tidbit that many may not know about Obama's education and cultural background.
I live in Hawaii, and my son attended the same school that Obama attended (Punahou Academy). As a prestigious private school, Punahou takes a lot of flak about having rich snobs in attendance and certainly there are plenty of them to be found on the campus. But the school nurtures many extracurricular processes to break this down and build good experiences for the personal development of students (Juniors are chosen to be counselors for small groups of entering freshman, sixth graders have a pen-pal that they look out for from one of the earlier grades, etc.)
One of the most compelling innovations is the use of the Hawaiian concept of ho'oponopono, described here:
"The Hawaiians have another tradition called "ho'oponopono". It is a process for setting things right in order to sustain a happy and peaceful home and family. Ho'oponopono involves talking about the problems with truthfulness and sincerity. It requires making amends and forgiveness. And this forgiveness is made possible by first clearing the air and then by your willingness to let go of any trace of grievance and restore a place of peace between you. "
One of the years in the curriculum includes a formal implementation of ho'oponopono, where groups of students meet under supervision of an instructor on a regular basis and the concepts of ho'oponopono are implemented: in that room, students are encouraged to bring up ANY grievances they may have about one another and they learn how to talk things out to restore harmony and peace. In the multiethnic, multicultural society which exists however imperfectly in Hawaii, the use of ho'oponopono is critical to learning how to see things from the perspective of people who are quite different from you.
This concept is ingrained in students who are willing to take the opportunity to accept it, and I am willing to bet Obama made the best of the opportunity.
I'd also be willing to bet that the recent meeting between Obama and Clinton was a good example of ho'oponopono.
June 6, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, but either you are simply incorrect, or you are playing semantics with the word "invasion." I define a military invasion as the use of force within the boundaries of another country without the consent of that country. If you have a different definition, go with it, but I'm afraid that I will have to insist that by my very reasonable definition, what the Senator was proposing is an invasion.
What's more, it would be an act of war by international convention, and if he launched the invasion without a declaration of war from Congress, it would be an impeachable offense -- not that this Congress would take any such action.
If President Obama needs to invade any foreign country, he needs to do so on constitutional grounds, not to mention international law. His willingness to do otherwise has given me qualms about him since this rash anouncement. The Jerusalem comment makes my qualms even more serious.
June 6, 2008 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
sorry about multiple posts....kept getting a "server error" that indicated the post hadn't made it.
mea culpa
June 6, 2008 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it was contagious.
June 6, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it was contagious :)
June 6, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
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