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"Yesterday was the day the 'change' bubble burst."
When I read a blog about Obama's speech to AIPAC yesterday, I couldn't quite believe what I was looking at: “Jerusalem will remain the capital of Israel and it must remain undivided.”
It seemed about the stupidest thing he could have said. I wondered whether I was missing something and asked as much in a comment. I was assured by another commenter that he'd said nothing new, nothing untoward. I'm sorry to say he was wrong.
Arabs shocked by Obama speech
Saeb Erekat, the
chief Palestinian negotiator, told Al Jazeera on Thursday: "This is the
worst thing to happen to us since 1967 ... he has given ammunition to
extremists across the region".
Mahmoud
Abbas, the Palestinian president, rejected the statement, saying: "We
will not accept an independent Palestinian state without having
Jerusalem as the capital.
"I believe that case is clear."
Paul Woodward: Yesterday was the day the “change” bubble burst. Obama’s performance at AIPAC shows that his grasp of Middle East politics has yet to rise to the level of George Bush’s!It is my understanding that Obama has far more direct knowledge of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict than most American politicians. His AIPAC performance is beneath contempt.
I knew he was going to disappoint me sooner than later. I'm surprised he managed it this soon and this badly.
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Comments (213)
Is there any way at all to remove Israel's baleful influence on US domestic politics?
June 5, 2008 4:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are many ways. One of them involves politicians realising that it is not only in Israel's interests, not only in Palestine's interests, not only in the interests of world peace, but also in their very own political interests to withdraw their tongues from the demanding asses of the Jewish lobby.
Obama, like virtually every other American politician, is very well aware of this lobby. Until his performance yesterday, he'd given signals that he was prepared to give them less than his entire, enthusiastic tongue.
I remain baffled as to why he would do something so monumentally stupid and at the same time so entirely unnecessary.
June 5, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
More specifically, what would you have him say, oh wise guru? I trust you understand the power AIPAC wields. If they don't like him, he's all done. You may not like that, but it's a fact. For now, anyway.
June 6, 2008 7:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
hrebendorf,
Check out the ommentary in the link I provided regarding Paul Woodward. It's just a few paragraphs.
I've not suggested, nor did I expect, that Obama would say something politically naive, self-defeating or whatever. But I was baffled, and remain baffled, with what he did say and the apparent conviction with which he said it. It was at the same time incredibly stupid and entirely unnecessary.
If you haven't already, you might wish to listen to his speech. A link to it is in this thread. If you do, and if you see a rational or even politically expedient reason for his having outdone Bush, I'd appreciate your sharing it with me.
June 6, 2008 8:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Frankly, after this speech, I really don't see what objection Lieberman would have any more to endorsing Obama.
June 6, 2008 8:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Surely that's what Obama was trying to get through to him yesterday in the Well of the Senate floor. :o)
June 6, 2008 9:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't agree that it was naive, and I wish it had been unnecessary. Unfortunately, Obama's task right now is to secure the unqualified support of AIPAC and the Jewish community. There can be no doubt in their minds that he will support Israel.
I am as pro-Palestine as they come. I fully agreed with what Jimmy Carter when he said that the current situation amounts to apartheid. I find America's Israel obsession to be both bizarre and counterproductive, and Israel's treatment of the Palestinians to be thoroughly reprehensible. But I have no illusions about what is required in order to defeat the Republicans and win the White House. AIPAC has it within their power to destroy a candidate if they so choose.
Obama is walking a minefield. I have no doubt he can negotiate it, but there are going to be some scary moments. Disagree with his strategy if you must, but please remember how high the stakes are. Obama MUST win, and in order to win, he must disappoint every one of us from time to time. I'm ready to be disappointed. But I refuse to be outraged. I know who my friends are and I know who my enemies are as well. John McCain is my enemy.
"Don't get mad. Don't get even. Win the election. Then get even." -- James Carville
June 6, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
We're on the same page, but I wish you'd address my point. Then refute it, if you like. Point: he didn't have to go as far as he went. He went too far. Way too far. He didn't have to be more Bush than Bush, more Hillary than Hillary, more McCain than McCain to stay on the right side of AIPAC. But he did. Why? Can you answer that, please? Or share my bewilderment. Whichever you prefer is fine with me.
June 6, 2008 9:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think he did. He's an African-American, trying to win over Jewish voters who are very, very suspicious of his intentions. It's a tough sell, and he's got his work cut out for him. He's gambling that they'll decide to trust him and that you already do. He's hoping that he doesn't need to explain this to you because he can't afford to do that right now. He can't even risk shooting you a wink when they aren't looking.
I am fully confident that Obama has not changed his position in the slightest. But no one can get through a presidential campaign like this one without playing the dirty game of politics. He's been warning us all along that this day would come. He's said that he was bound to disappoint us, and that we were going to disagree. This is what he was talking about. I'll assume your problem with what he said is mostly contained within this paragraph:
June 6, 2008 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
God, I hate the the formatting thing on this blog. Pretend I was writing a poem, OK? Or, if it's completely unclear, I'll repost it without the tags.
June 6, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's rare that I literally laugh out loud, and I'm pretty sure this is the first time I've ever done so on a thread discussing Israel and Palestine.
June 6, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ben, I just wanted to let you know that I've added a tip to your extremely popular posting guide:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/06/a-guide-for-users-of-tpm.php#comment-2887347
June 6, 2008 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like the foreign policy as poem idea.
Roses are red
Violets are blue
Hamas are terrorists
The Quds Force is too.
June 6, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Heehee. :) Bad formatting can be so humiliating.
June 6, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I have no illusions that this will be easy. It will require difficult decisions on both sides. But Israel is strong enough to achieve peace, if it has partners who are committed to the goal. Most Israelis and Palestinians want peace, and we must strengthen their hand. The United States must be a strong and consistent partner in this process – not to force concessions, but to help committed partners avoid stalemate and the kind of vacuums that are filled by violence. That's what I commit to do as President of the United States."
The part I highlighted is the part that counts, in my opinion. He's talking about achieving peace. And he's talking about achieving peace in a realistic, pragmatic way. Most importantly, he's talking about a ground up solution. He's chosen a side, and it is neither the Israelis nor Palestinians, but those parties on each side who seek a compromise. He will raise them up and empower them. The ones who are committed to a solution. It's subtle--you almost miss it--but that's the Barack Obama I know.
My advice is to take a longer, broader view. Don't assign too much weight to a single speech. Instead, watch for a direction and an intent. And don't forget what he's said in the past, because he hasn't. He hasn't sold his soul and he won't.
[Ah, the miracle of plain old quotation marks. I've learned my lesson. No more blockquote tags for this bunnycat.]
Gives me an opportunity to make one last point: ground-up solutions are what Obama is all about. He's an insurgent. Unless I'm mistaken, he'll attempt to do for the Israelis and the Palestinians what he's done for America: marginalize the powers that be and put the power in the hands of the people.
June 6, 2008 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for what is the most insightful reply I've had to a question in I don't know how long. I'll try to write more later, but right now I've gotta run.
June 6, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm back.
I've not changed my mind about the extent to which he went to win over AIPAC, but that's become a most minor point for me in this discussion. What I'm fascinated by is your take on Obama in general. I don't know to what extent it may be fantastical or spot on. I expect neither of us will know until he's been in office for a while.
But your thoughts have broadened my viewpoint significantly. I think the following is brilliant:
"My advice is to take a longer, broader view. ... watch for a direction and an intent. And don't forget what he's said in the past, because he hasn't. He hasn't sold his soul and he won't."
And on your last point:
"... one last point: ground-up solutions are what Obama is all about. He's an insurgent. Unless I'm mistaken, he'll attempt to do for the Israelis and the Palestinians what he's done for America: marginalize the powers that be and put the power in the hands of the people."
Thought-provoking, to say the least.
Again, thank you.
June 6, 2008 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are most welcome. Thanks for seriously considering the ramblings of a cat in rabbit ears.
June 6, 2008 7:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
So your response is that one day after clinching the democratic nomination for President Obama did what every politician would do and went and whored and pandered to a powerful lobbying group?! This doesn't strike you as being contrary to EVERYTHING Obama said his candidacy was about (sending lobbyists packing from the party)??
I knew the Obama supporters were brain dead I just didn't know they could write it out so coherently but not be struck by the hypocrisy.
June 6, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, since I thought they had an unrealistic view of his perfection and were incapable of criticizing him, it is encouraging that they don't dump him like a hot potato with the first disappointment. That often happens when people's perception of another is overly idealized and unrealistic.
June 6, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's what he's up against (from TPM's main page):
"Rep. Rob Andrews, who supported Hillary Clinton throughout the primary season, disclosed he received a phone call shortly before the April 22 Pennsylvania primary from a top member of Clinton's organization and that the caller explicitly discussed a strategy of winning Jewish voters by exploiting tensions between Jews and African-Americans."
Many people accused Bill of playing the race card when he brought Jesse Jackson into the conversation in South Carolina. But think about which races were coming up next: Florida. New York. New Jersey. What Bill was really trying to do was piss off Jewish voters in those states. Voters he knew would never forget and never forgive Jesse Jackson's "hymietown" comment. Bill well understands what losing the Jewish vote means.
http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2008/06/superdelegate_says_clinton_cam.html
June 6, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Abba Eban once said "the Arabs never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity." As long as the Arabs continue doing what they are doing, then, no, Israel's influenence will not diminish . . . nor should it.
The Israelis, and what they seek to accomplish, is easy to understand. At this point, I don't think the Arabs have "grown up" enough to realize, once and for all, that Israel ain't goin' anywhere. Thus even though forty plus years of terrorism has gained them NOTHING, they still use the same stupid approach.
Besides -- the whole Jerusalem thing is nothing but a canard. It is like the divorcing couple who fight over a dog even though the one person HATES the dog. Jerusalem, which is holy to Jews and a footnote toe Muslims, is only valued by the Palestinians because they KNOW it is so important to the Jews. So, no, Obama calling for a united and Jewish Jerusalem is not a big deal.
June 6, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rachael Maddow finds it OK, since it means Obama won't wait to be attacked by McCain on muscular foreign policy.
June 5, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you whole heartedly, but don't expect this to get on the Most Recommended list.
June 5, 2008 4:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Make sure you rec it.
June 5, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I stand corrected. This post just made the most recommended list (and I did recommend it myself, fwiw).
June 6, 2008 2:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
And immediately there fell from his eyes as it had been scales: and he received sight forthwith
What did I tell you, FreeBubba?
June 5, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nothing I didn't already know. But then you're a clueless Hillary shill.
"Hillary Clinton believes that Israel’s right to exist in safety as a Jewish state, with defensible borders and an undivided Jerusalem as its capital, secure from violence and terrorism, must never be questioned."
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/feature/israel/
June 5, 2008 5:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't be an asshole on my account, FreeBubba. We're in agreement about more than you realize. The difference is, my own deeper questioning started sooner than yours.
I know all about Hillary's position on Israel; she was my state senator since 2000.
Two years ago, I went to hear Robert Fisk speak at the New York Society for Ethical Culture. He described the rampant censorship in the U.S. media regarding the subject of Israel. Here's a link for listening to his talk if you're interested.
June 6, 2008 1:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
readytoblow: "Don't be an asshole on my account, FreeBubba."
Don't patronise me, as you did in your earlier comment. You'll be less likely to encourage my inner asshole.
"We're in agreement about more than you realize. The difference is, my own deeper questioning started sooner than yours."
There you go again.
Your condescension and assumptions aside, we are indeed on the same page.
Thanks much for the link. I may have heard Fisk's talk already, but I'm downloading it just in case. Along with several others I know I haven't heard and that look very interesting.
I'm sorry to see the site hasn't added anything since October 06. Any idea what that's about?
June 6, 2008 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course I'm well aware of what that feels like, FreeBubba, as I get patronized every day in these threads. I have a hazy memory that you had patronized or made knee-jerk assumptions about me a long time ago, but it may have been someone else with an eye patch. In any case, let's let bygones be bygones.
Truly didn't mean to. Sorry. Trying to state a chronology of events. Nothing more was meant by it.
FYI, I wanted to love Obama after his 2004 convention speech, but for me, he never added any meat to the soup, he just kept adding water. I've been clamoring to send back the watered down broth, but no one here will let me. Now the soup is cold and I'm understandably cranky about it. In the meantime and quite by accident, I found nourishment in some new relationships rather than in some new politicians.
I'm not a condescending person, I don't believe in it. Maybe because I don't believe I'm better than anyone. Argumentative? Yes. Shit disturber? Sure. I was goading you. I'm done now.
If I made any assumptions at all about you, FreeBubba, it was that you would like that link. I'm happy to learn I was right.
I'm not sure, but I think it's a new-ish feature. I don't remember seeing it before. Maybe they are still archiving? I'd check back in a month or two to see if there are any new ones.
By the way, a few people at TPM, namely Greg Sargent and NCSteve, taught me how to Fisk. Not by example but by necessity.
I promise I'll never Fisk you.
Peace.
June 6, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I have a hazy memory that you had patronized or made knee-jerk assumptions about me a long time ago, but it may have been someone else with an eye patch. In any case, let's let bygones be bygones."
We began a discussion on a thread several weeks ago. You replied to a question I asked you, prefacing with the observation that you were doing so because you thought it was an honest question. Indeed it was. As was your answer. I then replied to you. And waited for 2/3 days for your reply, but it never came.
"I'm not sure, but I think it's a new-ish feature. I don't remember seeing it before. Maybe they are still archiving? I'd check back in a month or two to see if there are any new ones."
I subscribed via iTunes. If nothing new turns up after several months, I'll just unsubscribe.
"By the way, a few people at TPM, namely Greg Sargent and NCSteve, taught me how to Fisk. Not by example but by necessity."
You'll have to explain this to me, as I've no notion of what Fisking might be.
June 7, 2008 5:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba, I tried to answer you, but my comment is being held by the fucking TPM "administrator" for some reason. I'll try to post it again. :-)
June 7, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba,
I tried to post my response a second time and I got this message a second time:
Grrrrr! No idea why.
In my comment had linked to an Andrew Sullivan archived piece about Robert Fisk, so maybe that's why my comment is being held? Who the fuck knows.
All I know is it makes me crazy that TPM is so technically inept. It's the worst site I've ever commented on.
My comment may show up in a few days. And they'll post it twice because they're lame.
June 7, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll keep an eye out for it.
If it doesn't show up, and if you remember, you can always tack it onto another thread when we meet again. I'll look forward to it.
June 7, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Robert Fisk is wonderful. My hero. It's tragic that he doesn't get coverage in America.
If Americans had been hearing his commentaries, reading his despatches, for the last twenty years, the world might be a very different place.
Have you read any of his books? The Great War for Civilisation is a tour de force.
June 6, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
I wish he were a tad less of a know-all, but he's otherwise a rare treat.
Fran: "Have you read any of his books? The Great War for Civilisation is a tour de force."
I've been off reading, except what's on my computer screen, for a couple of years. But I go nowhere, almost, without my cd or mp3 player. I'll keep an eye out for the book on cd or mp3 at my library. Thanks for the recommendation.
June 6, 2008 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Shouldn't that be "my eye?"
June 6, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why would Bubba keep your eye out?
June 6, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sure either will do. I'm not sure, but "an eye" may be the more English than American way of saying it.
June 7, 2008 6:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Eye, eye, sir.
June 7, 2008 8:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Especially for someone with one good eye. :)
June 7, 2008 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
To be honest, I don't think dividing Jerusalem is such a hot idea either.
Personally I would make Jerusalem a "free city" so neither side can "have" Jerusalem, like Danzig was in the 1920s and 30s.
Israel should move their capital to less-crazy, more-liberal Tell Aviv and Palestine should also move to more-liberal, less-crazy Nablus. Putting their political capital in the same city as their respective commercial capitals, and removing Jerusalem from either state, will basically amputate the religious conservatives from both states and force them to focus on economic and domestic issues.
June 5, 2008 5:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
But both sides, for symbolic reasons, want their capitals there. So that's what has to happen.
Keeping the city physically undivided is a fine idea, but it will require a real peace -- not some half-assed deal that simply attempts to legitimize and formalize the occupation.
Separation walls, settlements and checkpoints are not a long-term security solution, as Olmert acknowledged last week.
As for Obama, despite his rhetoric, he's not going to sabotage any agreement the Israelis and Palestinians manage to come up with.
It's too bad he felt the need to underline his pro-Israel bias, but in the long run I believe he will be a force for peace in the region.
He can't do any worse than the current crowd.
June 5, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
acanuk: "He can't do any worse than the current crowd."
He'll undoubtedly do better. But are we going to settle for the bar being placed that low? What happened to "all fired up! ready to go!" We've had enough of politics as usual. Are we now going to settle for change as usual?
June 5, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
What makes you think that because both sides want a thing that it must happen. If both sides want things that are mutualy exclusive then giving it to neither of them is the only equitable solution.
June 6, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hear you. But when confronted with a mess of these proportions, and with a "peace process" that's been going on forever and has managed only to make things worse, and worse, and worse, one should begin to suspect that the real solution isn't even on the table. And if you suspected that, you'd be right.
Check out proposals for a one-state solution. They're barely beginning to get some traction, but that's what will ultimately resolve the whole deal.
June 5, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
He hasn't said enough yet to freak out over -- it's not a huge departure from US policy, and not even different from the other 2 primary candidates' positions. I don't see where the shock is coming from here.
To start with, a 'unified Jerusalem' doesn't mean much until you define the boundaries of Jerusalem. The borders will be redrawn, ceding some areas like Abu Dis for al-Qud but will definitely not be a return to 1967 east/west boundaries. It's worth nothing that the official Palestinian position supports keeping Jerusalem unified regardless of who has sovereignty. The city will never be a corpus separatum either, so what options does that leave?
June 5, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
demosaur,
Thanks for your thoughtful comment. Please see my comment above about a one-state solution. If we don't begin to think out of the box on this one, we'll get nowhere.
June 5, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Which speaks volumes unto itself lil demosaur.
June 6, 2008 12:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba, thanks for raising this important issue. I just read the speech and I am bummed. Doubly so because I first read the "prepared remarks" version, then realized my error and went back to read the actual speech as delivered. The speech he gave was quite a departure from the original text, with a much more heavy-handed treatment of Iran. Straying into macho bullshit territory.
I started this primary season with no ax to grind for any of the Dem candidates (but a slight preference for Edwards), and over time I have taken quite a shine to Obama, especially after HRC began using Repub talking points. But this speech is severely disappointing, and needs to be discussed frankly by Obamaphiles, even now in the midst of the post-primary celebrations.
I am 50 years old (in a few weeks), and I know enough to expect any politician to disappoint me at least occasionally. There is always a danger of unrealistically idealizing any leader. I have been feeling more than a little hopeful that Obama is a cut above the usual crop, but this makes me question that.
Thoughts, anyone?
June 5, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I didn't make it clear above, I want to state for the record that it is the gratuitous bellicosity toward Iran (much more than the Jerusalem statement) that upset me in this speech. I just haven't heard that kind of crap from him up to this point. His cooly resonable diplomatic counterpoint to Hillary's "obliteration" rhetoric was one of the things that really won my respect during the campaign.
June 5, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . reasonable diplomatic counterpoint . . .
is what I meant to say - apologies for any confusion
June 5, 2008 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for this, ttarleton. My sentiments exactly.
I remember the first time I heard him say words to the effect that "We won't always agree." What could be more obvious. Fair enough. But I wasn't thrilled with the way he said it. It may have been nothing more than my impression, but he seemed a tad know-best and more than a tad obstinate.
I've also heard him say many times that it's not about him; it's about us. FDR, when he was approached by a group of black leaders -- don't remember their names right now, but I've posted about this before -- answered their proposal that he accomplish a change they were after by saying words to the effect that what he needed from them was pressure to the extent that he would be compelled to give them what they wanted.
That is exactly what Obama is going to need a great deal of. And there's no reason to hold it back until he's elected. That would set a bad precedent, don't you think?
What I see too much of in some of his supporters here and elsewhere is explanations and apologies for his screw-ups. I don't need someone to explain to me why he screwed up and to apologise for him. I want someone who will join with me in demanding that he stop screwing up.
I also see some of that, of course, but I'd like to see more. Why wait until he's beaten McCain? McCain was toast from day one. Let's make him very crispy toast, by all means. And let's have fun doing it. But let's also keep our eyes on the ball. Sweeping change.
June 5, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well if I'd only read the speech I wouldn't have been quite so upset about it as I was watching and listening to him. His actual speech was stronger than the prepared text.
It was horrible.
But I suspect it's going to rebound on him. Given the sort of people he's mixed with in Chicago, I imagine he's said anti-Israeli, pro- Palestinian things to them at some point. One of them will come out and sock it to him shortly I suspect.
Probably Jeremiah wright if none of his university friends do it.
BTW I heard today that he's decided he doesn't want to retire after all and is trying to make Moss `senior pastor elect`
So here we go again...
June 6, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
MJ, in his post to the left of us, waxes poetically about Senator Obama's presentation to AIPAC yesterday, and when challenged to respond to the kinds of concerns freebubba is expressing here, appears to be explaining to us what the Senator really meant:
June 5, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll go MJ one better, though I am certain Obama meant in the VILE way, I would prefer to see it as a first: a Global "Free City" administered by the UN and open to all.
June 6, 2008 5:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Divided city ... Berlin. In a divided country. How'd that work out?
I thought Obama's speech hit just the right notes: tough where he needed to be, but forceful on the one thing that will assure Israel's peaceful existence: a Palestinian homeland. Without that, this never-ending war zone will continue.
June 5, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now that he's got the nomination, Obama is going to distance himself from progressives time and again. It disappoints, but I guess I never expected anything different. I take faith in the fact that he's coming from a progressive background (in a way that we haven't seen in several generations) and that, at its core, will shape the way he sees the world.
June 5, 2008 8:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yours is a curious combination of pessimism and optimism. Reminds me of Gramsci's pessimism of the mind, optimism of the heart.
But I think Gramsci went back and forth between the two quite freely, while you might be a tad stuck with an inclination to favour one (pessimism) so as not to be let down by a failure of the other (optimism).
What do you think might happen if you were to become more optimistic?
June 6, 2008 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
The thing is, Obama distanced himself from progressives from Day One. He already uses Republican talking points on social security, health care reform and religion. He has talked this bellicosely about Iran in the past, so it's no surprise. McCain actually chided him early in the year saying that under Obama's policy (as stated in one of the many,many debates) we would already be bombing Iran. That's something, Obama making McCain look more pacifist. Since then Obama has not repeated that pledge to bomb Iran, but I am sure he will get more warlike and rattle more sabres to prove he's a "manly man"
Yes, I hope that his belief that we share a responsibility to one another and belief that governmetn has a role to play in our lives that can be positive will serve us better than McCain's reflexive anti-government policies. I am hopeful that Obama will be better on choice than McCain but I do not trust him on those issues any more since he began his let's drag religion back into the public square.
The thing is, McCain is not just a Republican. He is a warmonger. Don't forget McCAin wanted to attack Russia during Vietnam. There has not been one war that McCain was against. he's like the person with a hammer who see's every problem as a nail. If it's a problem, declare war. McCain believes people find meaning in war. He is in love with war. His greatest accomplishments come from war. He is defined by war. He is dangerous - more dangerous than Cheney who merely see war as a profit-making enterprise and power grab. McCain wants war because he is in love with it, because he thinks it's glorious.
Sure, you can find moments when he says he hates war. Look at him and listen to him when he says it. It's so false he can hardly get the words out.
June 6, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you haven't already, you might like to examine some of the observations/opinions expressed by hrebendorf in this thread and in reply to me about Obama, and then review your position.
June 7, 2008 6:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe "war lover" would be a more descriptive phrase for McCain. You could certainly build a compelling narrative on that theme. The pilot bomber shot down, languishing in a prison camp for the duration of his war, constantly seeking another war as he grows older. Running out of time.
June 7, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Closing comment:
I've just watched the speech. Without going into details, I'll simply state that I found it repulsive.
If Obama is the world's latest, greatest hope for just foreign policy, god help the world.
June 5, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
FreeBubba:
Any American leader's appearance before AIPAC is bound to be disheartening.
Can the Brits, the French or the Germans pull this kind of crap?
One can only dream of the day a party leader would respond to an invitation to speak by saying, "Sorry, but I really promised the wife I'd mow the lawn that day."
But the hard cold reality is that someone named Barack Husein Obama can't tell AIPAC to fuck off.
Not yet.
I trust the man and his instincts.
June 6, 2008 2:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
acanuck: "I trust the man and his instincts."
I trusted him more a couple of days ago than I do now.
Trust is elastic: it expands, contracts, and so on. All I would suggest is to keep it that way.
June 6, 2008 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
"If Obama is the world's latest, greatest hope for just foreign policy, god help the world."
Based on some of Barack's statements, I agree. But I'm guessing (and hoping) that he makes bellicose statements purely to get elected.
If he does get elected, he will not then have a free hand to pursue the humane and sensible policies closest to his heart. He will have no choice but to continue playing politics to some extent.
This from FreeBubba:
"I've also heard him (Barack) say many times that it's not about him; it's about us. FDR, when he was approached by a group of black leaders -- don't remember their names right now, but I've posted about this before -- answered their proposal that he accomplish a change they were after by saying words to the effect that what he needed from them was pressure to the extent that he would be compelled to give them what they wanted."
This is the real story, in my opinion. I think Obama wants to be a leader with a heart and conscience, but there's no way he can do it without huge public pressure. He has been as honest about that as is possible for a politician. If he were entirely honest about his true foreign policy beliefs he would probably have no chance of getting elected, because too many American voters still believe the neocon bullshit about Muslims hating freedom and ceaselessly plotting to kill our children in their beds.
June 6, 2008 5:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for this, W. We're on the same page.
June 6, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can I just say that this is the biggest hypocrisy of them all. All along the Obamaphiles have dinged Clinton on her war vote while praising Obama's quiet and SAFE speech against the war as though he actually risked something.
So, now Obama goes to AIPAC and flips everything on its head, betrays everything he has persuaded you he stands for in foreign policy and you say it's your fault, not his.
Stockholm Syndrome? Batter-spouse syndrome?
June 6, 2008 5:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Neither Obama nor Clinton are particularly progressive. Neither are the late, great hope for a just foreign policy. We always have to settle for less.
I don't have high hopes. I just want something better than we had with the Chimperor. And Obama will achieve that. He won't be a warmonger, or a war criminal, or a huge international embarrassment. He'll restore some of America's prestige with her allies. That's about all we can expect.
June 6, 2008 12:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
The less we expect/demand, the less we're going to get, don't you think?
Obama has himself raised expectations tremendously. Why not hold him to account by demanding that he do his part to meet them?
June 6, 2008 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds reasonable to me.
And if we just say politics is politics, don't expect anything to get done on this in the first term.
June 6, 2008 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
The first thing people have to realize about the Israel-Palestine issue and why the peace process will never end is simple really.
There is a belief that once there is a settlement, that will be fixed in stone and never changed.
Also, both sides want the whole cake, not just a slice. Palestinians want to be able to reclaim the lands they lost in 1948, and Israel wants to be able to keep colonizing Palestine.
The thing is, international law is on the side of the Palestinians, they were basically ethnically cleansed from Israel. The Palestinians have a right to return to the territories they lost in 1948, and they demand this right be recognized. Israel will never allow that to happen.
Peace is impossible.
June 6, 2008 2:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ingoman: "Peace is impossible."
Do a search for "one state solution Israel Palestine" and see what you think.
June 6, 2008 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
While I see where you would be disappointed or in disagreement or even concerned that Barack is pulling a fast one, I didn't find anything he said "troubling" in what he said. I am also not too worried about anything said on the campaign trail during this general election. Barack's real accountability, for me, is the day he raises his right hand and take the oath of office.
If he doesn't govern like a progressive democrat from day one, I will have some serious issues. I actually think he is way more progressive than he can run a campaign on right now and still win. I am will to at least give him his first term to deliver on his campaign promises and wait to see if the actual policies are better or worse than promised.
Now, before I am accused of drinking some sort of sugary children's beverage, let me explain.
MercerReader hinted at the reason Barack is likely to seem a little less democratic mainstream progressive in his speeches to general election audiences. He is running a different campaign and must speak to new constituencies in a new way. He must get elected in a media environment that will do everything it can to see him fail. He has to get elected in a system that keeps 96% of incumbents going back to Congress without a credible challenge and a federal government riddled with special interests and cynicism. I believe this is a very fine line to tread and he will both make mistakes as well make choices that his supporters don't understand.
Given his performance to date, I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that he knows how to win the general election.
I believe his main effort as president will be to seek a two state solution in the most most effective way as possible. If that means an undivided city with the capitals of both states in Jerusalem then that is what he will advocate. If the administration feels something different would work better that will be their focus.
At the end of the day, though, it will be the Palestinians and the Israelis who determine what the final peace agreement will look like.
June 6, 2008 5:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jason I am falling on my ass here. His real accountability is when he raises his right hand? You got to be kidding...all these months of howling over every word uttered in this campaign and now it really doesn't matter cause of his Nomination? Good lord.....I am speechless
June 6, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The I-P conflict is just the first of many issues that will bring some folks back to earth and force them to reckon with the reality that we are joining hands to elect someone in November in a general election. We are not electing the prom king at TPM. Jason is just being commendably candid about the breach of this notion that Senator Obama is something other than a politician. It's not real; it never was, but I think you and I agree that Senator Obama the politician is a heckuva lot better on any day of the week than Senator McCain the politician.
Of course, it is kind of fun to watch folks less genuine than Jason trying to "explain" that Senator Obama really wasn't speaking to AIPAC in the language that works with those folks for political reasons.
June 6, 2008 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wait, wait, wait, wait...! Are you all telling me that Barack Obama is a...a...a politician? Oh. My. God. Say it ain't so!
You mean to tell me that all those earlier comments, threads, posts by his most "avid" supporters about his being "different" was just, um...crap?
I have to say, I am utterly shocked!
June 6, 2008 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sigh.
Yes, Loki, he's a politician. We were, as it happens, aware of that fact all along. The fact that he had held elective office continuiously for the last twenty-odd years was kind of a tip off. Only those who feel a need to caricature his supporters think they think he isn't.
He's a politician. So were Lincoln, FDR and RFK. All of them were rawly, connivingly and enthusiastically political politicians. That doesn't mean they were therefore morally indistinguishable from Aaron Burr, Huey Long and Richard Nixon.
June 6, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
*sigh*
Steve...Have you no sense of snark? Further, do you really think the folks I mock do not/did not exist? Are you also suggesting you were not in that group--however temporarily--some time back?
Again... *sigh*
June 6, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink