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Why Obama should NOT pick Clinton as his VP
The following letters were exchanged today by the RNC and DNC. It doesn't take much of intellectual leap to see that the Clinton campaign pretty much wrote the RNC's talking points against Obama. It's fairly certain that if she's on the ticket (probably even if she isn't) some republican PAC is going to put out commercials with her stating these same arguments against her party's nominee. That will be a very strong attack undermining Obama's candidacy in the eyes of undecided and independent voters.
After winning such a grueling campaign, why would he want to have someone on his ticket who basically wrote the opposition's attacks on him!? There's also the additional problem of concerns about her loyalty to him. The VP has to be the campaign's attack dog who can get down in the muck and sling mud with the best of them while the candidate stays above the fray and keeps their hands clean and their attacks principled. Or at least that's the conventional wisdom. While it's certainly clear from her final few months of campaigning that Clinton would be very comfortable in such an attacking mode the question remains will she really have her heart and soul into it? Or will she in some way (possibly even only unintentionally) undermine the top of ticket as a sort of payback for her not being there?
I guess my real reason for asking is because this seems to violate a basic machiavellian principle of making sure the people closest to you are beholden to you for their power as a way to guarantee their loyalty. Clinton has (by virtue of her husband's eight years as president and her own senate term) her own power base in the party independent of Obama. She's not beholden to him in any way and has publicly questioned his capacity to hold the position he seeks (as noted above by the fact that the opposition is now using her attacks against him). At worse, that could mean that she would feel much more comfortable challenging him on issues and possibly going public with any dissenting views. At best, it may mean that she attempts to play a role similar to the one many think Cheney plays (or played) with Bush where he undertook his own initiatives independent of and possibly in opposition to those of the president. This doesn't even begin to consider the implications of having a former president involved as well. He will certainly not feel any need to abide by the directives or requests of Obama if they clash with his own feelings and ideas. This much should go without saying since it appears certainly to have been the case during the campaign of his wife for the presidency.
The other more plain english reason is the appearance of weakness that is implied if he is picking her because it is forced upon him. This would have an even more exaggerated effect in the sense that it would underscore the reasons noted above by suggesting that Clinton is the one holding the chips and it would be in his best interest to make her happy or else...
I would strongly advise him to avoid such an entanglement because if his goal as he has stated is to change the way things are done in washington then he needs to show that he is strong enough to resist the strong-arm tactics, bribery and blackmail that define how things are done in washington. I must admit to being quite a bit of a skeptic in this regard because such tactics have been the way of the business of politics for much, much longer than washington dc has even existed!! It would be an impressive feat indeed if one man is able to change that. I won't hold my breath. But if he is to even try then it's imperative that he choose a VP that fits with his style of politics and governance as well as being a loyal member of his political movement so that he can establish and cement his OWN power base within the party. It thoroughly undermines what he is attempting to accomplish if he must depend on someone else's political power to gain office.
While I acknowledge the obvious strength of the Clintons within the democratic party it would also be prudent to consider the depth of the opposition to them outside the party when considering whether or not to add Clinton to the ticket. The democratic nomination process has been very principled in its refusal to delve into the details of each and every scandal or supposed scandal of the Clinton administration. It is an absolute certainty that the republicans will not be as principled in their campaign if Clinton is added to the ticket. Obama must decide if he is prepared to defend each and every controversy from those eight years (as well as any controversies which have arisen since leaving office) . Even more, he must also decide if he is prepared to Hillary and Bill being forced to defend those controversies as well since they will once again be right back in the republican crosshairs. The possible liability this can pose should not be understated or dismissed lightly. It is a very serious strategic calculation about what issues he wants to have framing the debate for the general election. Does he really want weeks/months of whitewater, foster, monica, pardons, clinton library etc dominating the news cycles in ADDITION to rev. wright/trinity united, ayers, flag lapels, etc? Does he want to defend himself against why his own running mate questioned his readiness for office and also supported the war he opposes? Or does he want to put McCain on the defensive for supporting the war and being a washington insider directed by corporate lobbyists? As a candidate who is offering the promise of a change with the way business is done in washington and who is constantly contrasting himself as an outsider vis a vis McCain in this regard, it would be very curious to select such a washington insider as Clinton for VP. It would be a much tougher sale to contrast with McCain if his own running mate is open to same attacks.
Believe me, I understand the reasons why people think it's a dream ticket. I understand the bitterness felt by Clinton supporters for getting this close and not winning. And I understand the desire to brush the differences aside and try to unify the party in the easiest possible manner. I just think the reasons for NOT doing so are much more compelling.
Since I'm sure there are a bunch of folks who will disagree with me, please post your thoughts. I think it's an important debate to have. All I ask is please leave the emotional attacks and bitterness at the door, just argue on the merits and the issues. There are plenty of them!





Comments (7)
Hillary should be kept off the ticket because she's a war monger. It's that simple. Additionally, she has consistently supported the interests of the monied class over the interests of the rest of us. It's that simple. She shouldn't be on the ticket.
June 3, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
With Obama's main message (a very consistent main message, may I add) that he is the change candidate, I don't see how having a former first lady on the ticket would help his message.
Bill Richardson? He's change. Jim Webb? He changed parties.
That's the kind of change I want to see.
June 3, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gov Brad Henry (D-OK)
June 3, 2008 8:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
For what it's worth, I agree with you. Having her on the ticket increases the negative vote exponentially.
It also provides the GOP which further reason to use her constantly in attacks against Obama.
The VEEP debate doesn't bear thinking about in this regard if she's on the ticket.
The focus on Bill as well would be appalling.
I think he has to come up with something else that brings her in. (Sec for Energy & Climate change? that would give her the basis to be international as well as domestic)
Help pay off her debts.
June 3, 2008 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
After watching Clinton's "concession speech" which wasn't, I must admit I feel even more strongly about this. If he has any hope of winning this election he has to show that he is strong enough to chart his own course for the party irrespective of the party's previous power brokers. Clinton's speech was a blatant challenge to his claim to carry the party banner forward. There was no concession in substance or tone. It was a obvious veiled threat to his campaign to reach out to her as a running mate "or else"...
If she is on the ticket it will be an utter disaster for the party because it will be a "dual" nomination and presidency. More accurately, it will actually be a "triple" nomination and presidency when one considers ex-president Clinton. For the first african-american candidate and president, anything that undermines his authority within in his own campaign and party it would be nothing short of an unmitigated disaster that will make him look weak. Rest assured the republicans will pounce upon such an opportunity.
June 3, 2008 10:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why not Hillary as VP: "You know, Robert Kennedy was assasinated in June."
Remember Vince Foster? I haven't seen enough evidence to buy into the conspiracy theories, but the way that was handled stunk to high heavens. Even if we have the true story on his death, we certainly don't have the whole story.
June 4, 2008 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Monsters from the id this morning, unbidden and very unexpected:
"Well, goddamnit, Hot Lips, go ahead and resign your goddamned commission!"
June 4, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
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