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Trying to Think Like a McCain Supporter
I finally figured out what bothered me so much about the alternately dismissive and combative attitudes toward HRC supporters* on this site during the primary: by belittling someone else's argument, you lose an opportunity to understand what really shapes their choices. It's a bigger question than incivility and effectively winning an argument, which is important but has already been discussed in depth. It's also about missing an opportunity to really know the "enemy."
As we head into the next phase of this race, there seems to be a movement building that's focused on McCain-hate. While I fully support efforts to identify and take advantage of McCain's weaknesses, what I'm arguing right now is that it's also critical to talk about his strengths. I understand much less about his strengths than I do about his weaknesses, and that frankly scares me.
If we want to convince people to support Obama, it's necessary to be able to answer the question "why do people actually want to elect this guy?" first. I'm not saying that we're likely to see McCain supporters show up on this website with a genuine interest in sharing ideas and perspectives; but most of us know plenty of people in our "real" lives who are planning to vote McCain and with whom we'll talk about politics sometime between now and the election.
As the SF election-watch party was winding down last night, I found myself talking with some of the other attendees about McCain and Bush. And it was really easy to lapse into thinking of both of them as useless tools. The problem with that discussion, as one voice of wisdom suggested, is that none of us were the people who would have considered voting for McCain or Bush, and to see either them through our own eyes leads to an extraordinarily inaccurate picture of how the rest of the country views them.
As I mentioned above, I don't have any insight -- yet -- into the world of Replican and swing voters -- so please consider this post a request for stories and perspectives from the people in your life who are McCain supporters or potential McCain supporters. LisB has written a couple excellent, informative posts on her family's perspective -- so please, be inspired by her example and tell us about your experiences!
*The same goes for the dissmissive and combative attitudes toward Obama supporters, though I found that to be less of a problem, simply on numerical grounds. .








Comments (12)
Grampy McCain is gonna get a woopin'. No doubt about it. I spend a little time every day posting discouraging messages on Republican message boards (I call it my "Get Out The Despair" campaign). I read their comments. They're trying to care, but the fact is Republicans are not very excited about John McCain. I see more support for him at HillaryIs44 than at Red State. They're talking about conservative issues at Red State, but they're not connecting them with McCain. McCain is the worst candidate the Republicans have had in a long, long time. The thing you need to understand this year is that Republicans know they're screwed--even if McCain wins.
June 5, 2008 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting point there. I can easily imagine a moderately depressed voter turn out in the Republican base, but what about the voters who aren't part of either party's base? You know, the idgit voters and the swing voters.
June 5, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is going to come down to one simple question in November. If at that time the electorate believes America needs protecting, they will elect McCain. If the Progressive view, that America doesn't need protecting now, prevails, they will elect Obama. Everything else is just rationalization. Anyone who really believes the United States is still in danger will find it very hard to vote for Obama.
June 5, 2008 9:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Depends on what they think the US is still in danger from. (Or even primarily from.)
I think we're in danger of losing more of our rights and freedoms. I think we're in danger of doing more damage to our environment. I think we're in danger of being more of an international embarrassment.
June 5, 2008 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Billy,
Do you think it's possible to convince at least some of those voters that Obama will be able to protect the country? If so, how?
Ben,
Do you think that swing voters and McCain voters, in general, are likely to be worried about those types of dangers?
June 5, 2008 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Some of those, especially the rights and freedoms, although maybe I'm fooling myself.
June 5, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
And you don't even come see my closing argument. I am truly hurt poindexter. I even threw a "your" in there just for you.
June 5, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm afraid I missed it. That's why we need a decent way of tracking replies here at TPM!
Which thread are you talking about?
June 5, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Obama's problem is that most voters are likely to believe he thinks like you. I'm afraid those are threats of a different kind than the threats that may be on the mind of voters in the Fall. But I don't mind restating the thought just for you, dear Ben. If the electorate believes America needs defending from "radical Islam," McCain will win the election. It's just an opinion, but I think people think of a nuclear device of some kind entering the Port of Houston or New York as different from global warming.
Can Obama convince people who are afraid that he can defend them? He seems to be trying to.
I read an analyis yesterday that essentially said Hillary's mistake was to run for the Presidency while Obama was running for the nomination. She had the right positions and record for the general election, but exactly the wrong positions for Iowa. The question is, is the opposite true? Did Obama have the right record and positions for Iowa, but not for the general election? I think so.
June 5, 2008 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Time will tell, I suppose. I think Americans might be all feared out by now. That "fear button" can only be pushed for so long, or at least I hope so.
June 5, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
My thinking is that the current administration, at least, has very little credibility when it comes to drumming up fear. But that doesn't mean someone else won't take that charge and run with it.
June 6, 2008 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here is my argument: If you're happy paying what you've been paying at the pump, make sure to vote Republican this November.
June 5, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
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