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Railroading An Issue
Anyone notice in Josh's new vid, he takes a cab to the book
signing event? I mean, this is point to point transport in NYC, probably one of the best cities in
the country for rail connections. And he took a cab.
I'm pointing this out not to pick on Josh, but to show how even those people who want to push a progressive agenda, still stick to an older lifestyle -- even when an alternative is readily available.
This is a point that few at TPM are truly willing to absorb.
The signs are all around us, however. For example, the airline industry is collapsing... big time. None of the so-called alternate fuels will be able to keep those planes flying.
So how to do business? How to travel in a country the size of the US?
Good question. Without a real railway system, you won't be able to.
It wasn't always like this.
A 1941 fact book from
the Association of American Railroads noted: “It is estimated
that cities and towns served by railroads and the territory adjacent
to railway lines embrace more than 98 percent of the total population
of the country.”
With the exception of the Amtrak-owned-and-maintained Northeast Corridor (between Boston Massachusetts, New York, Philadelphia Pennsylvania and Washington, D.C.) and some service around Chicago,So when you hear talk of alternate fuel research and payoff in the future, let's start bringing up a true mass transit system that will link cities across the US. We can do this today. It requires no research. And it is essential. Not only will we be creating jobs domestically, but more importantly, we will prevent the country from breaking down into regionalism.
Amtrak services are substantially slower, less reliable, and less
frequent than those of virtually every other developed nation in the
world.
The time for this is now...or never. And if we don't get Obama and McCain talking about this issue, we have no one to blame but ourselves.









Comments (73)
You're the concern troll of alternative energy.
June 18, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you thought harder, you might be concerned as well.
Carry on.
June 18, 2008 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
pffft!
...in your general direction.
June 18, 2008 8:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dude, they had like 40 lbs of camera equipment to carry. Get something valuable to be outraged about.
June 18, 2008 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow... so you guys are going high tech! Why do you need such fancy (and heavy) equipment?
Didn't Josh do an early TPM TV extolling the virtues of a $150 digital camcorder? That would fit in a subway car (although the ambient noise would be a bit much...)
In all seriousness, though, you're missing CT's larger point: rail travel is far more energy efficient than car, bus, or plane travel, and as petroleum supplies drop, improving our rail network becomes ever more of a necessity. At least until we get solar powered personal airplanes that fold into briefcases so we don't have to park them!
June 18, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't wait to be George Jetson!
June 18, 2008 3:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew,
I'm not outraged... I was making a point.
However, having done movie shoots around Hollywood, I can tell you that you don't need 40 lbs of equipment. At least not for the quality of video that you were shooting. I assumed you were taking it on a simple (or even not so simple) DV camera.
Say your crew was 3 people: cameraman, sound mixer, and gaffer. The gaffer could handhold whatever lights were you using (assuming it wasn't ambient). I don't see how this would justify a cab ride. Again, it is TPM's choice, but there is an issue to think through here.
For what it's worth, I have lugged 50 lbs of electronic equipment throughout Washington (including the Metro). Pelican and Serpac make really nice cases with rollers:
http://www.diveandkayak.com/servlet/the-31/1650-Pelican-Roller-Case/Detail
My larger point is the same: people need to start rethinking things. Lifestyle choices are coming and dreaming about alternative energy to preserve our current way of life is not helpful in the long run.
June 18, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
FWIW, I got your point and that you were only using Josh as an example rather than excoriating him. I doubt you (or anyone else) would be surprised to know that I agree with you 100%.
Of course, the general public has no problem using our tax money to fund highways, but they're outraged when we use tax money on public transit projects. :(
June 18, 2008 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's amazing what people will focus in on, isn't it?
One of the points that people at TPM people miss is that they worry about how will the poor travel around. It would be much better to worry about how will *they* travel around.
Then they will see that constantly trying to bandage over gas prices is the ultimate of dead-end strategies.
I'm not surprised you got the point, Ben. I don't always agree with you, but you always work from a consistent, rational framework, which is why I seek out your posts.
June 18, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is changing.
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=4333
High fuel prices make people demand public transportation. I wish the price were high because of a carbon tax instead of speculation but will take what I can get.
June 19, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Andrew, you choose the strangest moments and stimuli to get involved in this blog.
June 19, 2008 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think you're making a pretty big mountain out of one very small molehill. But as long as we're talking about increasing rail transit capacity, can anyone speak with authority on the feasibility of a European-style rail system in a country as large as the U.S.?
June 18, 2008 5:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
We used to have one in this country. So it's feasible.
June 18, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I had planned on meeting a friend in Chicago this week, but I canceled the trip when the cheapest ticket I could find was $600. You could get to Europe for that amount just five years ago. In fact, the last trip that I took to Chicago (about five years ago) cost me less than half that amount.
June 18, 2008 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry to hear that, DF!
Someone I know had to go from Boston to NC this week. Cost? $1100. And that's with a 2 week purchase lead time.
I don't know when people are going to wake up.
June 18, 2008 6:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
What happened to road trip, or rail???
My sister and I were relocated to Florida through our mother's marriage to a guy who thought Florida made sense. We missed NY/Connecticut big time.
So we got in her car one weekend and drove up to Connecticut, spent a week with our friends and the trees and hills that we had so sorely missed, and then we got in the car and drove back again, visiting our cousin who was just then still studying to be an R.N. at Duke.
I still have the pictures I took of the rose gardens at Duke University with my Canonet, to this day. In fact, I still have my Canonet.
If I can't drive there, I'll take a train there. Turn on my iPod, look out the window, groove to the music and the scenery going by, and remember from whence these sacred rail road tracks came.
I'm afraid of flying, if you can't tell.
But that's beside the point. Carry on.
June 18, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Simple case and point:
Say you want to go from Sacramento to Los Angeles.
By car that's about a 6 hour trip.
If you go Amtrack, it takes *14 hours* via rail!
If you want to cut down the time, you can go Amtrack and have it take 8 hours. Not too bad, but you require 2 transfers -- and spend about 1/2 the time on a *bus*!
And that's just between two of the more major cities in California.
Our rail system is broken.
June 18, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm getting accustomed to the pleasures of home. It's just not worth it to travel. It's insane.
And another thing: Telecommuting. Companies need to be pressured by their employees to allow these kinds of flexible scheduling policies to relieve the congestion of automobiles on the highways. There is no reason that we should have the number of cars that we do on the roads in the DC area every weekday. I realize not every job is suitable to that, but there is resistance often because we just need to rethink how we go about doing our work.
Okay, done.
June 18, 2008 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I figured you'd be taking the blue line to Crystal City or Pentagon every day!
June 18, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nah, I'm only 10 minutes from work (Rockville). And I still telecommute half time. But I do metro when I go into the city to meet with our client.
June 18, 2008 8:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Broadening the topic somewhat, is anyone else as disgusted by the conspicuous consumption of leading Democrats as I am?
Have you seen the latest commentary on Al Gore's house? (They're getting caught up again in arguing back and forth about his electricity consumption - something like 20 times the national average). His house has twenty rooms... The man has *eight* bathrooms!
Hillary Clinton, the Appalachian trail's new working class heroine, was so caught up in the accoutrements of wealth that she actually sank to stealing furniture from the White House!
John Edwards... haircuts: Beverly Hills stylist Joseph Torrenueva tells the Washington Post that one of his haircuts for Democratic presidential hopeful John Edwards cost $1,250 because Torrenueva had to fly to Atlanta and missed two days of work as a result.
Torrenueva, a Democrat, said he began cutting Edwards' hair for free but wound up charging him $300 to $500 per haircut, plus the cost of airfare and hotel stays. That's because Torrenueva was often forced to meet Edwards on the campaign trail to shear his locks."
His house: "home totaling 28,200 square feet of connected space. The main house is 10,400 square feet and has two garages. The recreation building, a red, barn-like building containing 15,600 square feet, is connected to the house by a closed-in and roofed structure of varying widths and elevations that totals 2,200 square feet.
The main house is all on one level except for a 600-square-foot bedroom and bath area above the guest garage.
The recreation building contains a basketball court, a squash court, two stages, a bedroom, kitchen, bathrooms, swimming pool, a four-story tower, and a room designated “John’s Lounge.”
All these people have the gall to try to portray themselves as champions of `green`?
Edwards talks on the campaign trail of the poor man who couldn't talk for fifty years because of no health insurance and so no surgery for a hairlip. He talks about all the poverty he sees around him.
What on earth do these people see when they confront their mirrors in the morning?
Yes I understand totally that their wealth couldn't possibly solve all the problems. By why the hell can't they live comfortably but more modestly, secure their retirement, and invest the surplus where their bloody mouths are?
I have no respect for them at all. Especially as they all tout their deep commitment to christianity. They should be reading the parable of the rich man every night - easier for a camel to get through the eye of a needle...
June 18, 2008 8:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's an even simpler example:
No member of Congress has an email address. If you want to electronically write to a member of Congress, you have to go to their website and fill out a preformatted text box.
What if you wanted to send a PDF? Tough. You can't.
To do that, you have to FAX a letter to them.
That's right: FAX it! As in: cut down trees needlessly.
And this issue isn't unique to the Dems or the GOP.
Sad, really.
June 18, 2008 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
"So how to do business? How to travel in a country the size of the US?"
Take a look at recent stock prices of railway companies - BNSF traded at $103 today and Norfolk Southern is at $64. We still have the rail architecture to ship products by rail, and if gas continues to climb, there can be a rapid shift back. Rail car manufacturers are also doing well. I'm less than a mile from railroad tracks, and it's not prime real estate. Wouldn't cost too much to put a station there - the infrastructure, especially out west, is already there in many, many places. But that's not all.
DF didn't take his trip (yet) and many people aren't either - the word "staycation" is new to the mass lexicon this season. People have woken up fast, and are already changing their behavior. CarolBG, myself, most of my officemates, and many others who can are negotiating increasing telecommuting abilities.
Societies change when millions of people change their behavior. Just watch what happens this year. Fast.
June 18, 2008 10:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have a tiny car. For the first time, it cost me $50 to fill my tank this week. If I can cut my commuting by half and stretch that tank, I'd like to get back down to only spending an average of $25 a week on gas. It's about conserving. And if it means I stay home, then I stay home. I'm grateful that I can do my work through the internet and the telephone.
June 19, 2008 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'd have thought you drove a Woodie. :-)
June 19, 2008 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh Dear...not going there.
Where's Pirate Peet? Haven't heard from him lately. :)
June 19, 2008 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not true. Shipping rail and transportation rail are two different things.
Moreover, our shipping rail is about to be overloaded beyond capacity with all the trucking shipping that will be converting over.
You are also thinking simply as airplanes as a means of vacation -- but they are also a means of conducting commerce. And regardless of what some people say, business transactions need face-to-face interactions. We humans are mammals, after all, and that part of our brain is still quite active.
June 18, 2008 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
But, we can limit those face-to-face interactions, once it becomes cost-prohibitive to jump on a plane for a little face time. At my company, we're finding teleconferencing, videoconferencing, WebEx trainings, etc to be preferable for most of our interactions with our national network. We reserve offsite visits for when the business cannot be handled any other way and we make sure that we pack as much as we can into one visit, because we won't be back probably within the year.
June 19, 2008 8:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, out here in the East Cost at least, Amtrak is already using shipping rail for its tracks. This means that when a shipping train comes by, Amtrak has to defer the tracks to the shipping train, which adds additional time to the trip.
The problem is, as you say, that the system can only take so much additional traffic, and it's already being pushed beyond its limits, IMO.
June 19, 2008 8:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey clearthinker,
I addressed some of these issues in my reply to you in GreenDreams thread. I suspect you haven't seen it.
To keep this short, consider that European airlines are making record profits with high oil prices. Perhaps the problems with the US airline industry is much larger than the price of fuel?
Don't be so convinced that you see the truth and others don't. It's unbecoming.
June 18, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting article, here is a clue:
And why can the European Airlines cherry pick routes? Because the continent is primarily served by rail. If the US had rail connecting our communities, the US Airlines could play the same game. But airline travel is the way we've connected the communities.
Ever wonder why the USPS can't be as profitable as FedEx? It's because FedEx isn't required to have a system that goes to every address in the US. If a route is unprofitable, it is dropped. The USPS doesn't have that luxury.
Same here. We need those planes going to all those places because that's the only practical way of getting there at the moment.
Your point is interesting and only proves my thesis that we need a passenger rail system even more.
June 18, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm afraid you missed my point.
There are a lot of reasons why the US airline industry is in trouble. The cost of fuel is only one of them.
I think your latest analogy comparing the airlines to the USPS and FedEx is also off the mark. Up until 2006 USPS was required to break even. Comparing the USPS, a quasi-government organization that is regulated in how often and how much it can change its prices, to a private, for-profit entity like FedEx is fraught with problems and can't be simply reduced to one or two differences.
I agree with you that the US needs improved passenger rail service. I don't think, however, that your thesis that, "Without a real railway system, you won't be able to [travel and do business in the US]." Airlines aren't going to disappear - the price of tickets will go up. Cars won't disappear - the price of fuel will go up. Videoconferencing will become much more popular as well.
If business can only be done with a "real railway system", then the US and the world are doomed. Even Japan's railway system (a fantastic railway system) doesn't go everywhere.
The issues we face aren't black and white. Consider being a little less strident and a little more humble in presenting your arguments, and turn down the generalizations about people who disagree with you, k?
June 18, 2008 11:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you have a larger issue with me, than my positions. ;-)
Airlines, as they exist now, will disappear. Airplanes won't, at least not for a while, but airlines will.
The lifestyle that you currently enjoying is coming to a conclusion... You may not like that statement, but it is the reality.
You will be soon look back at $4.50/gal gas as the good old days.
June 19, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
I drive a diesel VW, and have for nearly 5 years, so I feel the pain of increasing per gallon prices earlier than you do. ;-)
Again, you're assuming things about me and my position without a basis for doing so.
I don't have anything personal against you. I just don't think your arguments, at least on these energy topics, are nearly as "clear" as you do.
FWIW. :-)
June 19, 2008 12:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have assumed nothing about you, except that you are an average American who drives a car, who uses electronic gadgets (you are on the Internet, after all), and who gets food by traveling to a grocery store where it is brought to you.
That lifestyle is going to change.
June 19, 2008 1:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and by the way, you state:
Then why did you compare the European airlines, which are essentially nationalized, to the private airlines of the US?
Consistency and clear thinking is important here.
June 19, 2008 12:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Public transport is a good idea, and rail is wonderful. But alas, we have put all our resources in highways and airways. Clearthinker is right that we would need new rails for Euro or Asian high speed rail transport. Our distances make it daunting in much of the country, compared with Japan or Europe. Biofuels can fuel aircraft, and will eventually. The microalgae biodiesel facility at Petrosun plans for jet fuel to be one of its products.
By the way, I agree with you wholeheartedly about conservation and lifestyle. We have to cut our (hyper) consumption and live smarter. But it need not be so painful. I have a good friend who built a stunning energy neutral home for 8% more than conventional construction. His family of four can live there for life with no utility bills and within a few years he'll recover the cost. Another friend built an office that is energy neutral, made from nontoxic sustainable materials, with big beautiful windows that are more energy efficient than most people's walls. The cost? $75 a square foot, well below the typical cost (roughly 120- $200). And no, he didn't pound the nails himself.
pssst, clearthinker. Yes we can.
June 19, 2008 12:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
GreenDreams,
The overall issue isn't your friend's home. It about food, for example. It's about getting goods he needs.
It will be defending that home against others who weren't so far thinking.
"Yes, we can" are important words... so is "I cannot change the laws of physics".
My "yes, we can" is about rebuilding the infrastructure of this country so we can have a country... it's about teaching people how to grow enough to eat (most people can't)... it's about teaching people the lost art of homestead living.
Because that is where we are headed.
June 19, 2008 1:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
hear, hear.
June 19, 2008 3:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
I did some checking on Petrosun:
1) It's in the pink sheets
2) Here's a little list of the directors of LeBlanc's (CEO/Chair of Petrosun) first company, LeBlanc Oil:
http://sec.edgar-online.com/2002/09/16/0001094595-02-000245/Section11.asp
See any family ties here?
3) The President of Petrosun is an ex-Pro football player
4) The Exec VP's bio highlights:
This is not a company that Warren Buffet would invest in. I'm not about to invest my future in their claims either.
Sorry to be the bearer of bad tidings...
June 19, 2008 3:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not selling Petrosun stock, nor am I personally investing. Its just one company that has taken this idea to implementation and built the algae ponds. Even if the company fails, they have taken the technology beyond the theoretical to something you can see on an aerial photo. But this isn't about the company. Look who else thinks this is a pretty good idea: Boeing (BA), Chevron (CVX), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS-A) and Honeywell (HON). All are pursuing microalgal biodiesel research and development. More here:
http://www.altenergystocks.com/archives/2008/03/will_petrosuns_algae_biodiesel_grow_on_investors_1.html
June 19, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe Josh was in a hybrid taxi.
The event was held at The Strand, a used bookstore. That's good, right?
The NYC subway is a filthy, ramshackle 100-year-old system. It's got plenty of drawbacks that make getting around the city a nightmare, because it schlepps 4.5 million people a day. Average New Yorkers evaluate transportation strategies (including walking) constantly. Factors include scheduling, stairs, weather, efficiency, cost, rush hour, one-way streets, shortest route, parades, tourist hubs, street festivals, construction, clothing, subway line connections, multi-tasking, broken escalators, safety, group orchestration, add-on errands, and amount of sweating involved.
Transportation in NY is not really a matter of "older lifestyle" habits unless you have tons of money. But even famous people take the subway: I've seen Philip Glass and John Turturro on the train.
There's a wealth of really good information about the NYC subway and mass transit in general in the 4-part "Answers About Mass Transit" article I linked to, btw. I suggest reading it for the information and the disgruntled-passenger aura it imparts.
June 19, 2008 12:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
CT. Forgive me, I was laughing through the first few lines and yet it struck me as a very serious post. I still could not help laughing that you used this as a teaching moment.
I agree with you 100% about linking cities with mass transit and how this will create jobs.
June 19, 2008 2:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
The littlest moments reveal the greatest truths, grasshopper.
June 19, 2008 2:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've been harping about this for years!
I live in the town where I went to college - it's 2 hours from Chicago, St. Louis and Indianapolis. We have rail service to Chicago, but not the other two.
I've driven to Chicago countless times in the 9 years I've lived here, and taken the train twice. Honestly, I'd prefer the train, and would gladly take it more often. But the first time I took it, the train was SIX HOURS late. It took me six years before I was willing to try it again. So, I bought a ticket, showed up at the station early and was told that the train was at least THREE HOURS behind schedule. I joked with the ticket guy that that happened the last time I took the train, wouldn't it figure, and he just looked at me like I was crazy and said (I'm not joking), "Three hours is nothing - this train is always late. You must have booked your tickets online because we always tell people who want to leave at 11am to buy tickets for the 7am train so they can leave on time."
Oh, and did I mention that the two times I "took the train" I actually ended up riding a courtesy bus to the city because the train was so late? I'm beginning to think that Amtrack doesn't actually run trains anymore - they just say they do and then provide buses at rates that are far higher than Greyhound. (Both times I called for a refund - or at least the difference in price btw the train and bus tickets - and was laughed at).
And don't even get me started on commuter service - there are three cities in Central IL: Peoria, Bloomington and Champaign. They are 45 miles apart on I-74. There is no commuter service between the three of them. Because of the different industries and universities spread out across the three cities it isn't unusual for families to live in Bloomington so one person can work in Peoria and the other in Champaign. Having two cars driving 45 miles each way in two different directions is EXPENSIVE, time consuming and damaging to the environment because no one wants to spend the money or slice up the farmland to build a commuter rail. There IS a bus service, but it's not designed to be a daily commuter option so the tickets ($20 each way) make paying for gas a more viable option.
Yes, folks carpool, but that isn't doing much good long term.
Sorry for the long rant, but I'm with CT 100%. Amtrack needs a reliability overhaul, but while we're doing that, rural areas need some mass transit support, too.
June 19, 2008 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting. In the DC area, people living in the outlying areas now rely on the rail for commuting and it's quite reliable, I hear. It's allowed people to setting out in West Virginia and still have reasonable daily commutes into DC. But, I believe that both of these systems are operated by the State Depts of Transportation.
June 19, 2008 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, I know! I lived in DC and Chicago for a few years each and L.O.V.E.D. the train systems in both cities.
I've also visited other cities with great rail transit (Paris, NY, Atlanta, and others), which was why I was willing to try the Amtrack in IL in the first place - BIG MISTAKE. They're horrible, rude, expensive and always, always, always late.
June 19, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I commuted by MARC in the late 80s, and it was great. I got a lot of reading in, too. I'd ride an old bike to the Germantown station, chain it to a tree, then ride MARC in to Silver Spring, and walk to work. I talked to some folk that continued on the Metro into DC, and I saw others that played cards from WVa to DC every day.
We recently took the MARC from Baltimore to DC Metro, and spent two days at the Solar Decathlon. It seemed not have changed at all.
June 19, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only problem with DC Metro, and the like, is that the suburban stations are so isolated. You either drive and park, get dropped off or you take an uncomfortable little Ride-On bus to the station. I've done all three.
I prefer trolleys. Instead of imposing a new transportation grid, they share the old roads that are already lined with houses and businesses.
June 19, 2008 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, I'm quite beholden to Ride-On, which does a pretty good job. Metro's groaning under the demand these days, however...ridership is way up, as gas prices and congestion on the roads become increasingly intolerable.
June 19, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
People love the MARC. Only complaint I hear is that it suffers from problems in icy weather. But, otherwise, it allows people to live out where the real estate and property taxes are affordable.
June 19, 2008 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
For those that doubt what air travel will become, here is a disturbing paragraph:
From http://anz.theoildrum.com/node/4143#more
Now, forget about how the very poor are going to move around -- think about how the middle class is going to move around. For example, In 2007, US Airlines carried 769 MILLION passengers.
http://www.bts.gov/press_releases/2008/bts013_08/html/bts013_08.html
That's more than 2 flights for every person in the United States. The average distance flown was 1078 miles. That's about 1/3 of the way across the country.
That is not a car ride.
Want to see it another way? Say you took that 1078 mile trip driving at 70 mph... that's over 15 hours of travel.
Compare that to about a 4 hour plane trip covering the same distance. (We'll be very conservative and allow for time arriving to the airport, time through security, and even a small delay.)
So that's 11 hours of lost productivity during travel.
This is not all about sitting home for vacation. This is about connecting our country.
June 19, 2008 2:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
But, CT, I still think that a good bit of the business travel that we do, we could not do. Just as with telecommuting, we need to rethink how we do business. I'm not saying that we can eliminate the need for it altogether, of course, but there's a lot of waste there, and I think that we could trim it down significantly and not suffer. I know that we're doing it on our contracts out of necessity, because airline travel is so damn costly. It used to be fairly cheap to just send someone across the country for a day or two. Not so much anymore. Let's handle that by conference.
June 19, 2008 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just a few examples:
Sales jobs can't be telecommuted.
Manufacturing jobs can't be telecommuted.
Service jobs that deal with the public (think many government interfaces like the DMV) can't be telecommuted.
In fact, most of the jobs that will not be too important as our highly industrialized society starts unraveling in light of peak oil can't be telecommuted.
On top of all that (and as a side issue) there are beginning to be studies showing that productivity goes down for telecommuters. Not surprising since you are in your home all day with home distractions.
I would put much of the hype about telecommuting and videoconferencing in the same bin as that associated with automated menus when you call someone for service. The idea was to make things more efficient... instead now it's impossible to get a human being.
We humans are evolutionary social animals -- and a great deal of activity requires face-to-faceness as a result.
June 19, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
If we're looking to reduce our footprint, shouldn't we all be planning moves to gentler climes? Don't cold winters and muggy summers make for an uphill battle?
June 19, 2008 8:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Buh, buh, but I like snow and mosquitoes.
June 19, 2008 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Or alternatively we could cool our homes less in the summer and warm them less in the winter. I am already doing this because I cannot afford not to. I live in the south. I do not use my AC at night and rarely in the day time. In the winter I keep my house just warm enough to ensure that the pipes do not freez. It saves me hundreds of dollars a month compared to my neighbors utility bills. The one wastefull thing I do is keep my hot water so hot it is dangerous.
June 19, 2008 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the comments and all, but I'm currently sellin' my soul for Obama at $10 a pop over at this thread:
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/06/regina-thomas.php
June 19, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Believe me, I'm not thinking of airlines as just a means of vacation. I'm only pointing out one of many, many recent trends in consumer behavior. As CarolBG points out and at my company as well, people aren't flying as much right now.
I loved traveling by train in Europe. American culture and companies drove the country away from rail in the 50s; at this point, I agree that high speed passenger rail makes sense. That 1,000 mile flight takes two hours, but it's around 5-6 with the security, delays, and car time between the airport and destination.
You've said before in your posts that we will be experiencing lifestyle changes you fear will be painful. I absolutely agree with the former, but question the latter.
I think there will be a resurgence in local farming; people will walk more where it is practical; there will be movement away from colder and muggier climates; movement away from places where things don't grow (Arizona) and we'll travel less. We won't be eating blueberries from New Zealand in December as much.
The experience of "pain" and "pleasure" are really personal - I, for one, enjoy home grown local produce and don't like food from a can. I like to walk. And both are good for my health. Other people hate vegetables, like driving and flying, etc. They'll have a different onion than I will in the future, and different tears.
June 19, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
see my reply below
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/06/railroading-an-issue.php#comment-2914574
June 19, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
In defense of Josh, even though NYC has the most extensive subway system in the nation, it still sucks compared to that of any European city or even that of some Latin American cities. They were initially built as competing lines rather than as an integrated system and they all pretty much go North South. For East West displacement, one either walks, catches a bus, or takes a cab. NY's trains do not satisfy the city's needs.
June 19, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
My point, as I've said, is not to give Josh a hard time, but rather to point out that even in one of the best cities in the US for rail travel, that option isn't considered ideal.
We talk of people willing to make "sacrifices" in light of gas prices, but if talking the NYC subway is considered a "sacrifice" then the country is in very big trouble, indeed.
June 19, 2008 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Last year's sacrifice has become this year's convenience.
June 19, 2008 11:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
When people are already complaining about $4/gal gas, how can you not think that the reorganization of our American lifestyle will not be painful?
We haven't even begun down the long slide of peak oil and already there are those that are complaining!
Moreover, America, as we know it, is presently set up on the premise of cheap energy. And also, you are rather cavalier with your observations:
Do you know, for example, how to grow enough food on an acre to at least feed yourself? And store that food so you can last for 12 months? Do you have an acre of land to even do the farming? Are you willing to defend and protect that land against others who will want to steal from you out of hunger and desperation?
It's one thing to talk of a "resurgence of farming". It's another thing to do it. For example, if you can walk where you need to go, you must live in a more densely packed area. So where is the farmland for you to till? Conversely, if you have acreage around you, how long are the distances you can walk?
You are linked in with society -- the painfulness is society's pain. Which you will experience rather directly as a result.
June 19, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
We've already had "a European style rail system", we just let it lapse. It's not a question of "is it feasible", but it's going to take a bunch of money to get one started again. And it needs (like all major things) to be started ahead of the demand, not after it.
June 19, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
We didn't really have a European style rail system. We ran, and run, slow passenger trains on freight tracks. They can't achieve the speeds that high speed rail does, and freight cannot move on the same tracks (the weight of freight trains wrecks the alignment of the rails, rendering them dangerous for high speed transport). Our rail infrastructure cannot be made to do both. Neither can Europe's or Asia's. They use, as we would need to, separate rails for freight and passengers. We would need to lay new track, essentially a parallel passenger infrastructure to complement our freight infrastructure.
June 19, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not a sin to take a cab every now and then...
June 19, 2008 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with most of what you say CT. Want to thank you for at least bringing up the subject that we should all think about daily. Its a HUGE issue facing our country and world that is not going to go away. We either deal with it or it will eat us up.
Your points about the Airlines are especially good. As to farming there will need to be a resurgence of "local" farming because as costs rise on oil based products farmers will be forced not use as expensive of fertilizers as they do now. That will result in a drastic drop in yields......
I think many of us wanted this to be dealt with 30 years ago but we let Reagan soothe us into thinking we could let it fester. Time is up. Unfortunately.
June 19, 2008 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
All of what you say is spot on. Most do not realize how the "green revolution" is entirely dependent on the petrochemical industry. When yield drops, the price of food goes up and...
Well, you can take it from there.
June 19, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm hoping someday we'll build vacuum tubes deep beneath the earth along chords in the earth's circumference. (See for example http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vactrain)
Seriously, how cool would that be?
June 19, 2008 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Put that idea in the same bin as this one:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_elevator
June 19, 2008 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree totally with your point, although it has to be remembered that the US part of the continent is not as densely populated as Spain, Germany or France, where the train services are truly excellent.
Nevertheless, a high-speed rail network would be a very good idea, also if one has to take into account that also the cities in Europe are a lot more densely populated, which makes train journeys comparably more advantageous, since the railway stations typically are closer to your final destination than any airport.
The conclusion made after the expansion of the high-speed networks in Spain, France and Germany is that on distances up to 400 miles (650 kilometers) the train can compete with, and beat, the airlines. For longer distances, some travellers will prefer the convenience of trains, including uninterupted phone- and internet connections, and others will prefer the airlines.
With "high speed" I do here mean trains that run 155 miles/hour or faster. For that separate tracks are needed. They are expensive to build. But one wonders for how long America can afford to postpone these projects. In any case, the California High-Speed Rail project is on the right track.
p.s.
Myself, I belong to the bad guys. I make journeys by air every second or third week. I've been able to abstain from airline trips only a few exceptional months of the last years. And I hate it!
I do much prefer trains and ferries, but they are often more expensive, at least when the travel time is included in the calculation.
June 19, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is on the page A1 above fold at the New York Times print edition today:
Travelers Shift to Rail as Cost of Fuel Rises, Busy Days at Amtrak, but Strains Show
By MATTHEW L. WALD
...“We’re starting to bump up against our own capacity constraints,” said R. Clifford Black, a spokesman for Amtrak. The problem is that rail has shriveled....
http://travel.nytimes.com/2008/06/21/business/21amtrak.html
How did you do that? :-)
June 21, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
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