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Obama: What Would He Have Done with the A-bomb and Japan?
There's an interesting discussion going on in the book club about "The Candy Bombers." Folks not in the discussion might consider a look. The book deals, in part, with the presidency of Truman --the president who decided to drop the atomic bomb on Hiroshima. I thought this might be a good point of departure to think about what Obama might have done in the same situation. Military decisions will be a main issue for this campaign.








Comments (145)
He would have dropped it. As would all of us.
June 5, 2008 8:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Speak for yourself. I would not have done so. Killing of massive numbers of civilians is a war crime, even if many Americans think it can be excused.
June 5, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
So if you're Truman, how do you get Japan to surrender?
June 6, 2008 1:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
But the big question is, what would Obama have done if he had been in Spartacus's shoes, but with a Piper Cub airplane?
June 5, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let them know about it. If knowing aobut it didn't work, hit a ship near the shore with a bomb. That would have had the same result
June 5, 2008 4:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
heh, good one. about as sensical
June 6, 2008 12:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Tough audience.
Cut us some slack. It's almost 3 months to the convention.
June 6, 2008 1:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you. I really wish we could recommend comments.
June 6, 2008 1:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
What a filthy, violent mind you have. Go wash your brain out with soap.
June 5, 2008 7:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Given the time and place. Given he would have had the same info as Truman. He would have dropped it.
June 5, 2008 9:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
As they say, the past is a foreign country. And I don't speak enough of the language to make anything like a useful contribution to the discussion. But, considering that in the past you've lived in one of the foreign countries impacted by everything under discussion in the book club, what would your own answer be to the question you've posed?
June 5, 2008 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure. As someone with a parent in the war, but already killed at Normandy, I would prefer that all our boys come home.
The Japanese mindset then was not one in which just talking to them would work. The same is true today dealing with the mindset of terrorist groups, if not nations.
One reason Truman did drop the bomb on a population (according to some scholars) was to impress upon the Russians that he would do it, and do it again.
There would have been the option to hold off the invasion of Japan and drop the bomb in less populated areas to make the point. But I think there were only two bombs.(?) And recent history shows the inner struggles within the government over surrender--the attempted coup a possibility that bomb or not, the nation should fight to the death.
If I knew the answer, I probably wouldn't have asked the question. And I'm quite interested in what others think.
I admire Obama's willingness to talk first and keep war at a distance. I also worry about his ability to think quickly about force when time counts, and who he will choose to help him with such a decision. A reason I think that Colin Powell should be in his cabinet.
June 5, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
How can you trust Colin Powell's judgement after his betrayal of the military in the first four years of this administration? That's the last thing an Obama administration needs is a holdover from the Bush years.
June 5, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Billy Glad should scare Obamanauts with more than his face. He has a keen political sense about potential weaknesses and strengths. When he suggested Condi Rice for VP I realized what a brilliant move that would be for McCain. Powell protects Obama in that scenario--not as VP but someone Obama could be seen with and obviously considering for his cabinet.
June 5, 2008 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm afraid Obama has the unenviable task of convincing America he believes that of all the lives in this world, American lives are more precious than others. And that next come the lives of our allies like Israel. And that the lives of enemies like Iran and al Qaeda are at the very bottom of the list of lives we value. I do think having someone like Powell close to him would help with that. The problem is that Powell has shown himself to be completely "dumb" by Obama's definition of smart and dumb when it comes to war.
I think any President who had lived through WWII would have dropped the first bomb, just as any Prime Minister who had lived through WWII would have approved fire bombing Dresden. I think Hiroshima, Nagasaki, Dresden and so many other civilian tragedies were the real reason most WWII vets just wanted to forget that war and get on with their lives.
June 5, 2008 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Obama succeeds in convincing people that the lives of people in Iran, etc., are of a lower moral value than ours, he will have lost his moral bearings in the service of political gain. My life does not have greater moral value than that of anyone living in Iran, nor anywhere else for that matter. Neither does yours or any other reader of this post. If we think like that, we are the problem.
June 5, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's harder than that. He has to convince them that he believes it whether it's true or not. That's the CIC threshold you've heard so much about. The point to the post. Is anybody going to believe Obama can see them as less than us long enough to press the button?
June 5, 2008 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
In a calculation of votes, assuming Obama could rehabilitate Powell's reputation somewhat --there's room there, surely-- does it help Obama win? Does he lose any large group of voters, even among the Obamanauts? No. Does he gain votes in the middle with Indies? Yes. Does he pick up plenty of blue-collar dems at the union hall and the VFW? Yes. Does it counter Condi? Yes. But Condi is so smart a move I doubt that McCain will make it. Unless you keep telling him.
You can make the argument that only someone like Powell, who has made a mistake using such vast military power, would be the very one to be trusted. It's a nuanced argument. But from what I know about him, and the best I can get from what happened, Powell is the man I want in that war room. Not the only one, but certainly the one with more voice than whoever that unknown foreign policy who advises Obama now.
There's also the little matter of some incident with Iran that is bound to happen before the election. Imagine Obama in an election during such an action. That's a McCain win. A strong unity government with Hagel, Clinton, Powell, Biden would counter any Wag-The-Dog possibility.
McCain vs. Powell --just as two pictures in the paper serves up a political reality I would relish.
June 5, 2008 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think you have to go back to Powell and his hush up in the My Lai investigation ("In direct refutation of this portrayal is the fact that relations between American soldiers and the Vietnamese people are excellent."), his backstabbing nature as CJCoS in blasting Clinton on Don't Ask Don't Tell after he supposedly accepted, and his pathetic role in the runup to the 2nd Iraq War.
June 5, 2008 5:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
An interesting question there is if Obama brings Powell on and Powell says Iraq or Iran has WMD's, will Obama go along with Powell? Because Hillary trusted Powell's word in 2003 - and Rice's as well.
June 5, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Give us a line-up for Obama with VP and cabinet that beat Mccain.
I'm all ears. I'm just looking to beat McCain.
June 5, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Give us a line-up for Obama with VP and cabinet that beats Mccain. I'm all ears. I'm just looking to beat McCain.
June 5, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
To tired or perhaps apathetic to run through names, but if it's about change, I'd say Powell is a lot more tainted than Hillary. He stood up in front of the UN knowing he was speaking bullshit.
June 5, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
one name, chimp
June 5, 2008 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
You has to ask us nicer than that if you want names, chiquita. How about my question? We're trying to make a generational shift here. Turn over power to the next generation. My son is 39. Let's make a list of 39 or 40 year olds we could turn Defense, State and Homeland Security over to. Or make it easier. Anybody Obama's age or younger.
June 5, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hell. I got a pair of shoes older than that.
June 5, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your son perhaps?
I can't think of anyone with enough experience that isn't older. But that's really your point. Obama is too young.
I'm looking for Biden, Hagel and I still want Powell.
June 5, 2008 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just think it's ironic that a generation that wants the Presidency can't even field a cabinet. Kennedy did pretty well. They were stupid, but they were young. We just need some of the younger Obamanauts to give us some names. I'm too goddam old to think of anyone.
June 5, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kennedy had the brother.
June 5, 2008 10:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
[To Billy - "chimp" isn't derogatory for a chimp - it's about the highest level of respect one can achieve. Even "chimpie" says scratch me behind the ear.]
That's it, we need a new dynasty. Here's a hint - who knew Wesley Clark before 1998? Petraeus before 2004? There's some bright guy/gal who's more clever than we'll ever be eating shit in a basement in the Pentagon because he didn't sign on fast enough to Surge. Actually, I doubt that - I think the Pentagon protects their own, so he/she's just one or two levels down. For SecDef, there are certainly some bright civilians who've had enough life around the defense park. But if the change candidate is simply going to fill staff positions with known names of experience and authority, then we're not going to have a lot of change, are we?
June 6, 2008 12:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you're up, can you go deal with the bunny at the bottom of the thread? Has an interesting article about Obama.
June 6, 2008 12:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
You seem to be placing 'military decisions' into a special category of decision-making.
My own sense is that we Americans are apt to either denigrate or glorify our behavior in battle - and, in either case, always beyond all proportion - because, as a mostly civilian country, we only begin to contemplate such behavior in extremis, by which time it is always already too late ...
We are not so different from the Japanese and the Germans, except that we're suckers for the ahistorical struggle, because dammit if we didn't prove history wrong. Once. And it was glorious. But now, here we are, and we're moving on ...
The world has not been made safe for democracy, but in our own haphazard way, we've made it safe for America to rejoin history and reassume our place among the nations of the world.
Or something like that.
June 5, 2008 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to think about this because some of it hits me in a way that seems important. Going to get back to you though.
June 5, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't figure out the US approach to war as you put it, though I think there is something there. Just have to think about it. What is clear to me is that a lot people like war and a lot of warriors also.
That's the human condition.
June 5, 2008 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
In response to the thread, it's presumptuous to act as if you knew how Obama would act, for no previous decision he has made can offer evidence to this decision, so we've left guessing, or offering our own views and labeling Obama's name on them.
In response to your post, I have some discrepancy with your claim that "the Japanese mindset then was not one in which just talking to them would work." In fact, the Japanese were willing to negotiate during 1945, however they wanted conditions to their surrender, one being that their emperor remain in full power. This was not acceptable to the US, as we desired "unconditional surrender", something the Japanese were not willing to accept.
You were correct when you said that there were only two bombs, though Truman threatened to bomb Tokyo (a bluff) after Nagasaki was bombed.
I also question your desire for Colin Powell to remain in his cabinet, for if you support Obama (an assumption on my part), it would be strange to support a man who helped enable the Iraq War, something Obama objected to at the time Powell advocated.
June 5, 2008 5:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama might make bold moves across party lines, and working with someone who was part of the mistake in Iraq would send an interesting signal in an election. I think that Powell would be helpful getting us out of Iraq. I'm also interested in seeing Obama elected and I think this kind of alignment would get plenty of votes. Who do you see as someone who bolsters Obama's military credentials and would help stop a flow to McCain?
Another thing forgotten here is that only a few politicians are "stars"--it shouldn't matter, but plenty of Americans go for that. Bush is not one of them, Obama, Clinton and Powell are.
Unfortunately McCain is also, though it's fading fast.
June 5, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Who do you see as someone who bolsters Obama's military credentials and would help stop a flow to McCain?"
It doesn't have to be one person. There are plenty of Democrats that could help his foreign policy and military credentials. In reference to stopping a flow to McCain, I don't see how the President's Cabinet influences the election, as they are usually nominated in mid-November.
I do expect Powell to support Obama, though.
June 5, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you that it could be a group of people. But, see, you've already noticed that Powell is moving to Obama. Doesn't some little voice in the back of your head think something might be up?
Here's another way to look at this if the whole fish seems a bit much. Don't you think it would look smart--and be smart--if Obama met with Powell and asked his advice on Iraq? Doesn't that sound like something Obama might do? Go with me there are we'll take a rest and have a picnic.
June 5, 2008 10:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Simply endorsing Obama (which he has yet to do) does not make me think anything is up. Coupled with the fact that he has yet to endorse his campgaign and his campaign has not talked with him yet, there is no reason to be suspicious. I'm not dismissing the possibility of him getting on the Cabinet, I simply see no reason to get your hopes up.
Concerning the second point, it depends on the way he made it look. If it looked like he was asking for Powell's opinion, fine. But if he toured Iraq with Powell, McCain would say something similar to the things he is saying now - he doesn't know the situation in Iraq, he's only been there once, he's doesn't have the authority to judge Iraq, ect.
June 6, 2008 11:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I share your sentiment. Particularly because there is no way a man with Obama's particular historical background would have been president in 1945, for obvious reasons.
If "Obama were Truman," he would have been Truman, right?
June 5, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you head over to the Book Club, the idea of comparing situations from then and now, and the validity of such comparisons is under discussion. You are making an important point in how that may not work. Why not make the point over there too?
June 5, 2008 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Chico, I am truly shocked by this statement. "Those who can't learn from the past..", and all.
No one can know everything, but please rethink this general mindframe. Your posts are generally very intelligent and we need you on the side of enlightened reasoning!
June 5, 2008 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, I meant to type Chino....
June 5, 2008 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps I meant to convey that - while I may actually hold a fairly strong view on the subject at hand - whether or not I express that view here and now is subordinate to prodding the poster to elaborate.
Or, in other words, am I allowed a little self-deprecation on occasion or not? Or is every chica at TPM gonna call me out whenever I try?
Why won't you people just LEAVE ME ALONE???
Which reminds me ... 'Left' hasn't shown up yet with the obligatory pro-unity/pro-Obama post.
What gives, Left?
June 5, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh my, I sound crazed.
June 5, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or righteously angry? Cool anyway.
June 6, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure he would have dropped it either. Given his background I expect he would have viewed the Japanese citizenry as fellow humans to a greater extent than was the norm.
June 5, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would have dropped it. I'm betting Obama would too.
Sad but true.
June 5, 2008 11:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
First off, there were 3 bombs. Second, the bomb was developed for Germany. Third, the "save millions of lives" was a line concocted after the event and had no justification by the Dept of War. Fourth, the bomb was dropped to give the Soviets, not the Japanese a message. Fifth, a good part of the decision was political: so much cost went into the bomb, the ramifications for not using it and having more Americans die were dangerous.
I suggest if anyone is given to looking at this topic to go get this short volume:
Prompt and Utter Destruction: Truman and the Use of Atomic Bombs Against Japan by Walker
http://www.amazon.com/Prompt-Utter-Destruction-Truman-Against/dp/080785607X/ref=sr_1_6?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1212681729&sr=8-6
June 5, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
What is your opinion of what Obama would do had he been Truman?
June 5, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have no idea what Obama would have done -- or anyone else for that matter. One thing for sure: nearly all the US Generals were against it.
So, what you have is a decision what was made for political and not military reasons.
Given the last line of your blog, this puts into serious question the nature of the atomic bomb topic here.
Two salient features:
a) Truman was a combat vet (WWI)
b) Obama has lived (as a civilian) overseas
However, both are politicians. Also, much of the radiation-related deaths from the use of the bomb were not known at the time (as evidenced that US observers went into the hot areas way to soon). At the time, the atomic bomb was thought of as a very large single bomb, a more efficient one.
As Kurt Vonnegut points out in SLAUGHTERHOUSE FIVE, the bombing of Dresden was just as horrific in terms of immediate damage.
June 5, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
The last line of my blog was this : "Military decisions will be a main issue for this campaign." I'm curious why you would think the line "puts into serious question of the nature of the atomic bomb topic here. " I don't understand you here, but would like to.
June 5, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because dropping the atomic bomb was not a military decision.
Nearly all the US Generals were against the idea.
June 5, 2008 4:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think your 5th point contradicts your third point a little bit.
They did estimate a million American casualties for the invasion and I'm sure they could imagine the public outrage if they didn't use the bomb, thus resulting in a million dead and wounded.
I agree that they were worried about the Soviets invading Japan (Stalin didn't care about a million or even 10 million dead) and this was very much a political decision, but the casualty estimates were a big part of the decision making.
June 5, 2008 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely not true. The "million" figure came well after the decision to drop. This is the key point.
There is no contradiction: the 5th point is that if even one soldier died when you had this bomb, it would have ramifications.
The fact is that by August 1945, Japan was barely standing. It was difficult to even find targets worth bombing.
June 5, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely not true, huh?
In its 30 August 1944 annex, the planners noted the number of Japanese troops which could be made available to defend the Home Islands-3,500,000-and extrapolated that number against a not yet complete count of the destroyed Japanese garrison. The JPS committee concluded:
"In our Saipan operation, it cost approximately one American killed and several wounded to exterminate seven Japanese soldiers. On this basis it might cost us half a million American lives and many times that number wounded . . . in the home islands."
This "Saipan ratio" set the standard for strategic-level casualty projections in the Pacific. Together with the experience of combat attrition of line infantry units in Europe, plus the assumption that fighting in Japan could stretch nearly as far as 1947, it provided the basis for the Army and War Department manpower policy for 1945, and, thus, the pace for the big jump in Selective Service inductions and expansion of the training base even as the war in Europe was winding down.
http://home.kc.rr.com/casualties/
June 5, 2008 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, absolutely not true.
This is the reason why nearly every US general was against the dropping of the bomb.
There were already some, arguing convincingly, that Japan could literally be starved out with hardly any combat soldiers.
In the book that I mention above, it is quite well documented how the number of projected casualties grew and grew over time. It took a while to get to a million and after the event, it was "millions and millions". It made for a plausible story.
But the biggest issue in dropping the atomic bomb was the Russians entering the war.
June 5, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
The million number was discussed well before the decision to drop! Yes the estimates ranged from half a million up to over a million, but it was a concern and the million number was mentioned to the President WELL in advance of the decision to drop the bomb. You said the million number came up after the decision to drop, and you are categorically wrong.
June 5, 2008 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I did look at the link you posted. I think you should look at the last paragraph of page 4 of the book's preview and read what Truman said. To wit:
Truman quickly man it clear that he agreed with his advisers. He declared that the two available atomic bombs should be dropped on Japanese cities because "an invasion could cost at a minimum one quarter of a million casualties, and might cost as much as a million, on the American side alone."
June 5, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Robby Love. I've always wondered about the second bomb. What was the rush to drop it? The first one, I believe, was necessary and justified. The second one so soon after? American righteousness I think. The grapes of wrath. The terrible, swift sword. I think Middle Easterners don't understand us any more than we understand them. I fear for them. Upon my soul, I do.
June 5, 2008 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The first one, I believe, was necessary and justified."
Comments like yours remind me why I'm so often ashamed to call myself an American. I'm sure you've found some convenient, relativist way to justify your violence.
At 8.15am the uranium atom bomb exploded 580 metres above the city with a blinding flash, creating a fireball that blazed like a small sun with a temperature of more than a million degrees Celcius at the centre. In one second the fireball reached a diameter of 280 metres, sending surface temperatures to 4,000C. Fierce heat rays and radiation burst out in every direction, unleashing a high pressure shockwave, vaporising tens of thousands of people and animals, melting buildings and streetcars, reducing a 400-year-old city to dust.
Housewives and children were incinerated instantly or paralysed in their daily routines like the victims of Pompeii, their internal organs boiled and their bones charred into brittle charcoal. All 30 people inside the industrial promotion hall, about 160 metres north-west of the explosion's hypocentre, were killed instantly and the building was gutted by fire. Yet many of the walls remained upright and the copper skeleton of the dome remained intact as 48,000 buildings in the city were flattened.
June 6, 2008 12:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't you give us a graphic description of what life was like in the twin towers the morning of 9/11? Or how about a description of life in Tel Aviv the morning Iran attacks it with a nuclear weapon? Don't Jewish bones char as black as Japanese bones? Don't Jewish organs boil? We weren't the aggressors in that war. We didn't start it, we ended it. And, as others have pointed out, we may have ended it with less loss of life on both sides than if we hadn't used the bomb.
June 6, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Does the book estimate how many Japanese would have starved to death before the Japanese Government surrendered?
June 5, 2008 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The estimates varied, but they were between 500,000 and a million by VE Day. So your resources are not complete.
As to hardly any worthwhile bombing targets, not so either.
June 5, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am appalled at finding so many people at a site that proclaims to be populated by progressives saying that they would drop an atom bomb on a civilian population, killing hundreds of thousands. It's enough to make one wonder if there is any important difference between the denizens on liberal sites and those on Republican ones.
June 5, 2008 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
You aren't framing the question correctly.
1) You are already at war.
2) Civilian populations have always been at risk during war.
3) Both Hiroshima and Nagasaki did have military significance
Unless you are a pure pacifist and would literally rather die (and watch others dear to you die) than fight, you have to accept that people die in war.
I have met very few true pacifists in my life.
Perhaps you are one. But you are in a very, very small minority.
June 5, 2008 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Politicians and their followers use wars and threats of wars to gain political advantages. In this, they assume that they are of greater value than other people. As one of the posts above wrote, Americans have greater value than others, as do Israelis, and the lives of Iranians, etc., are of lower value. This I find repulsive. What makes an American or an Israeli life of greater value than the life of an Iranian? If you aren't alarmed by this, you should be. Simply to say that wars always put civilians at risk does not justify such an immoral attitude. To say that one simply has to accept civilian casualties (collateral damage) is appalling. If you and your loved ones become collateral damage, will you accept this as blithely as you accept the deaths of others? If not, you should be ashamed that you can casually accept murdering others. Whether you have met true pacifists in your life is irrelevant to your apparent acceptance of massive deaths in the service of political ends.
June 5, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
When I was going into a hot combat zone (as a civilian), I was asked would I be able to shoot at a person coming at me. I answered honestly: "I don't know".
Apparently, this is the answer that the military believes is the only honest one to the question.
Save your zealotry for the academic halls. That type of thing works better when there are no consequences at all to the discussion. For starters, your lifestyle is built on the military maneuvers in various places in the past and into today. Are you ready to give it up?
I am not saying war is or is not justifiable. I am saying that your viewpoint is tied to a made-up "what if" problem.
June 5, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clearthinker, you are not thinking clearly. Respect for others is not simply an academic exercise. Your desire to deal with me through insult is not an adequate response. You know nothing of my background or what I have done, haven't done, would or would not do. But this is clear to me: no one's existence has moral superiority to the existence of another person. That's quite simple. Holding an American passport, if you do, does not entitle you to life any more than someone who holds Iranian citizenship. If you find this difficult to accept, I am sorry for you. Perhaps you think it OK to cut off others in traffic (your time being more valuable than theirs). Perhaps you think it OK to lie, cheat, and steal (your well being more important than others). Perhaps you think it OK for the military to gain economic advantages for your wallet (again, your well being more important than others). You may well be right that most people are selfish and do not respect others. It also may be true that we think ourselves superior and more worthy of wealth, comfort, and life than others. But this is an admission, not a justification. This might become apparent only when you are on the receiving end of someone else's selfishness. But none of this is a justification for thinking that you have more moral worth, more right to life and comfort, than does another. An Iranian life has as much value as does an American life. That's simple enough. Why do you find this something you need to dispute? When Bin Laden wanted to bomb my neighborhood in 2001 (lower Manhattan), I knew it was wrong. When Bush (or Hillary) speak of bombing Iran, I know it is wrong. American desire for wealth isn't sufficient to justify such behavior. Muslim desire to hurt us isn't sufficient to justify such behavior either. We all are equal in our moral value and until we start treating others with that level of respect, we are f•cked.
June 5, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who knows what Obama would have done then?
Very few people understood the enormous consequences inherent in nuclear weaponry then; still don't.
The avidity with which the entire population of Japan backed the war effort is also difficult to comprehend from this distance. The militarist propaganda machine had been operating since the 30's and the Japanese culture was already steeped in proud, dutiful obedience. Nearly every man, woman, and child was engaged in the effort to defeat the "evil" western enemy who was scheming to rob the Empire of it's access to natural resources. Many, including civilians, proved this to be so. All wars, of course, ensnare civilians in some manner, but the Japanese were exceptional examples of zealous and brave engagement.
The bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki got down to this; it afforded the most assurance for the fewest U.S. casualties and the best effort to create a paradigm shift in the perception of invincibility in the Japanese mindset.
It worked.
That's usually how the deployment of any tactical advantage makes it onto the board for play.
It is also worth noting that human beings have never developed effective weaponry that was only used once or twice.
Nuclear weapons will be used again.
So, I'll refer back to my second sentence. We don't get this. If we did, there would be global marches worldwide until every nuclear weapon was deactivated and destroyed.
June 5, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since we're playing Truman for a day
June 5, 2008 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think any US president could not have defended South Korea at that time. I'm open to the counter argument though. Yes, Obama would have fired MacArthur and sooner. Just a guess.
Your comment brings up the issue of what Obama would do today to defend South Korea? And how long should be there? We certainly have to think about how extended we are in the world.
June 5, 2008 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry if I wasn't clear.
I don't doubt that most Presidents would have sent troops to Korea, but Truman never sought Congress to Declare War against North Korea. Arguably, this is road that led us down to Gulf-of-Tonkin/AUMF resolutions.
June 5, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. I didn't know that history. I'm no Truman fan since he unleashed an unconstitutional period of repression on the left. Truman and McCarthy go together in my mind. Ike was a better president.
June 5, 2008 10:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Truman was a war hero who could stand up to MacArthur. Obama would be fried. Imagine the McCarthy types getting hold of this bone.
June 6, 2008 2:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
It didn't take a war hero to stand up against an arrogant and stupid general. Sometimes it take food eyesight to track down a chimp when he/she/it/id are in constant movement. Truman had some moments of interest for me. I'm biased here. The crusade against the left was unconstitutional. You don't persecute an entire generation to track down a few spies or get reelected. No revisionist history will get him out the hangman's loop for me.
June 6, 2008 7:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just so I understand. How did Truman "unleash an unconstitutional period of repression on the left." You seem to be saying that McCarthy was somehow Truman's fault. Can you explain that?
June 6, 2008 8:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
The point is that Truman as a war hero had a tough time controlling McCarthy. Someone perceived as anti-war like Obama would have been dragged in front of the Unamerican Activities board, or as President would have been fighting against impeachment. It would have been just the kind of target McCarthy treasured. Wonder what RFK would have done.
June 6, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
It sounds like our friend thinks Truman had something to do with the McCarthy era. I'm curious about that one. I think McCarthy was about the threat of Communism, espionage, a failed China policy and persecuting the remnants of the American communist party and their associates. I wonder if our friend is saying Truman should have stopped McCarthy before he got started.
June 6, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama wasn't alive then. He would not have dropped the bomb. And if the situation were happening today, he would not drop the bomb.
June 5, 2008 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I'll play. He would have dropped the bomb, but not on a civilian population He would have given fair warning by demonstrating to Japan what the bomb was capable of. Then he would have demanded Japan's surrender.
June 5, 2008 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
How could he have dropped the bomb on a purely military target?
June 5, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Japan is surrounded by ocean. That's a plenty good target.
June 5, 2008 8:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
And how does the American Government make the Japanese Government aware that the American government justed nuked the Pacific Ocean?
June 5, 2008 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you a total nincompoop, or do you just play one on TV? Buy a map.
June 5, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've looked at maps, including maps of the Caribbean and too look at them, you'd never know that giant meteor ever landed in the Caribbean.
That's the thing about bombs. It's a lot harder to judge their effectiveness when they land in the water.
June 6, 2008 12:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.authentichistory.com/1950s/speeches/images/19460725_bikini_atoll_1.jpg
http://www.authentichistory.com/1950s/speeches/images/19460725_bikini_atoll_1.jpg
http://www.news.com.au/common/imagedata/0,,5987437,00.jpg
http://www.thewe.cc/thewei/&/&/bbc6/cloud.jpg
http://bp3.blogger.com/_6nALnpL03P8/R95luubp2UI/AAAAAAAAAGU/qpLN__O-ahY/s1600-h/nuclear_bomb_test.jpg
They're actually pretty easy to see from quite a distance. Especially at night.
http://nuclear.fatal.ru/photo/nuclear.html
June 6, 2008 12:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the links, although I was forbidden access to the first two (I must be some kind of Communist).
I'm not sure that necessarily proves your point. We know what an atomic bomb would do, but how would people who've never the results of an atomic bomb interpret the results of having it exploded over the ocean?
June 6, 2008 1:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Little Boy
Surely you aren't proposing that every military installation in Japan was within 5 miles of a high-density civilian population?
June 6, 2008 12:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
I honestly don't know, but I honestly don't know how many such targets would have already been bombed before August 1945.
June 6, 2008 1:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
By the way, I've just got to say that this is a depressingly cynical question.
June 5, 2008 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
However depressing, you've come up with a good answer.
June 5, 2008 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry. My comment was mean and unnecessary. My apologies. It's just that I'm still high on the possibilities and hopefulness of what has just happened. It's far to early for me to begin considering whether Obama has what it takes to wipe out the civilian population of a foreign city. Maybe next week. :) Sorry for being a downer.
June 5, 2008 8:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops. My bad. Turns out the post is a downer after all.
June 6, 2008 1:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
How about Obama as Lincoln? Would Obama agree with the following:
June 5, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of cynical and depressing...
June 5, 2008 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Being President isn't about rainbows and puppy dog tails.
June 5, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
And that's why McCain is going to be a stronger candidate than we think, and why Condi Rice would be a great VP for him. Not only would they drop that bomb, they'd load it into the plane themselves.
June 5, 2008 10:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stop with the Condi Rice thing. McCain will hear you. McCain is going to be really strong when that joint Israeli/US strike takes out some sites in Iran right before the election.
June 5, 2008 10:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm looking for a new woman now that Hillary let me down. They wouldn't really attack Iran right before the election, would they? I think that would finally get the blogosphere out into the streets.
June 5, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're out of your mind if you think that the blogos would hit the street. Can you imagine the TPM army? Wearing masks blown up from their grainy avatar pixels? The only one here under 60 is Hillary on the beach.
Not attack Iran? Look at the stakes for the Republicans. What would hold them back? Impeachment? He'll be gone. Look at all the levels of power that would be threatened by an Obama victory-- that deep kind of undercurrent that Stone tried to infer with JFK.
June 5, 2008 10:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Over on CNN people are proposing Caroline Kennedy. Wow, that would be change we can trust, wouldn't it?
June 6, 2008 3:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
CNN? You watch those panderers to ratings ! Chimp, my soul is dashed. Try BBC by radio. The Kennedy daughter could help win this election if she were willing to go on the road with Obama and family. Hope they don't miss the chance.
June 6, 2008 7:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't need British superior opinion, I need to understand what Americans are going to do. Really, the useless daughter of an assassinated president is going to save our future 45 years later? This sounds like a time travel scenario for Billy. Why did he come back? One dynasty too many, we've got it covered, Mr. Glad.
June 6, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I'm looking for a new woman now that Hillary let me down."
Maybe you should switch to boys.
June 5, 2008 11:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, drop it, already. Go post some shit on Red State or something. No one cares who the fuck McCain's pick is. Whoever it is, they'll totally suck.
June 5, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, now you've created a paradox.
June 6, 2008 1:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
And consider the Israeli position. They don't trust Obama. They have to deal with Iran. That is a long way for the IAF to go without
carriers or US air-tanker support.
June 5, 2008 10:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
In conversation with myself then, I wish more people would start discussing on the Israeli situation in this part of TPM. It's mighty quite on that front. People sitting shiva perhaps.
June 6, 2008 8:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
For what it's worth:
Where the presidential candidates stand on nuclear issues,
By Lawrence Krauss, January 8, 2008 Bulletin of Atomic Scientists:
----
In your last comment you say "consider the Israeli position," vis-a-vis Iran.
You might also like to consider the Arab position...I just happened to run across this good recent summary article on that while at the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists site:
Why Arab leaders worry about Iran's nuclear program
By Tariq Khaitous, May 23 2008 Bulletin of Atomic Scientists
June 6, 2008 12:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed, we've created an unnatural situation in the Middle East where they have a foreign interloper to focus on rather than in-fighting. The Iran-Iraq standoff was a great boon to peace. Why did have to break it?
June 6, 2008 2:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, but I'll take it further than you. I followed the Iran/IAEA cat and mouse story for a long time. I think a lot of blogosphere blinds themselves by looking at it throught the prism of Bush admin idiocy and the Iraq war. But the truth is that most of the rest of the world does not want Iran to have nuclear weapons. What the Bush admin. has done to fuck up the situation does not change that. It's not like because Iran is Bush's enemy, everyone in the world is rooting for the Iran regime. In a way, that's looking at it in as much black and white as the Bushies do.
I do think a lot more of the rest of the world might be more relaxed about it if Iran had a different and stable government, but they aren't now. It's the same as with more worry about Pakistan's nukes than with India's.
June 6, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Katsuji Yoshida, who still lives in Nagasaki, was 13 in 1945. 'There was a big bang and I was thrown 40 metres into a rice field,' he recalled. 'The skin on my arms had peeled off and was hanging down like a torn shirt from my fingertips. We had mud from the paddy all over us, and we pressed leaves on our exposed flesh to make up for missing skin. My right ear was blown off. Two of my ribs were broken and they've never mended, even 60 years later.
'A group of women came down from the fields, screaming, to an area where wooden houses were burning in a huge fire. All those dead and wounded people. Arms and legs cut off. Stomachs split open and intestines hanging out. Heads split open and brains hanging out. Eyes had popped out and I could see the blood vessels still pulsing. I have never seen such a brutal thing. Adults put their heads into the river and never came back up - they died just like that. People in the mountains were hit by black rain and for years they came down with diarrhoea. This is what the atom bomb is: even when you think the worst is over, it comes back to haunt you.'
Sumiteru Taniguchi, who was then 16, suffered such severe burns to his back that he had to lie on his chest for 21 months. He said: 'I felt so much pain that every day I asked the doctors, "Please kill me." I was only skin and bone and many times I was in a very serious condition, barely breathing.
'All of the nurses thought I could not live any longer. But the next year I was given some experimental medicine and after four months my blood became normal and my injuries began to heal. I had 17 graft operations; usually they take skin from one place, but for me they took from two. Even now my injuries have not completely healed and I can only lie on my back for 10 minutes or so. I can go swimming but I wear a towel when I'm on the shore.'
June 6, 2008 12:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
'I remember the flash of light. Then a blast of wind came into the shelter and I was blown on to some rocks. I lost consciousness then somebody called, "Are you all right?" I was shocked to see people with eyeballs hanging out, faces black, some with flesh hanging off. Some had internal organs coming out of their abdomen. They were holding their arms out asking for water. I heard people saying, "Help me! Help me!" but I couldn't do anything because I was so frightened, shaking with fear.
'Somebody was saying, "Kill me! Kill me!" Those voices faded out, which meant they had died. The floor was full of dead bodies and they smelt so bad we just kept vomiting.
June 6, 2008 12:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
'A week later I suffered bleeding from the nose and purple spots appeared on my face. Later on I had problems in my womb and my ovaries had to be removed. My sister, Ryoko, became sick with an appendix problem. She couldn't go to hospital so it smelt badly and was going rotten. People thought it was a disease. She was 18 and a high-school student so she was too young to marry and all her friends left her. She lost hope. She committed suicide on the railway line.'
June 6, 2008 12:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are certainly need some help kittydorf to deal with those demons.
June 6, 2008 12:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, we've all had a nice chat, haven't we? But the tea is nearly gone and the hour is late. Ta ta. Perhaps next time we can discuss vivisection or some other topic fascinating to all. Isn't discussion grand?
June 6, 2008 1:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Try this - if we had dropped the bomb on the Japanese 8 months earlier, we could have redeployed from the Pacific to Europe rather than the other direction, saving Eastern Europe 40 years of occupation and misery and limiting the Soviet power during the Cold War. The Japanese had no concern about civilians in raping Nanking or abducting Korean comfort women or other atrocities around the Pacific. They got lucky that we paid more attention to German medical experiments than theirs - most Americans can't name the place of the Japanese Nuremberg trials. It was a brutal time demanding brutal weapons. And I don't think we would have the EU or other elements of modern peace and cooperation without. It was a full stop to a nasty war. Instead of another Versailles betrayal, it let us do the Marshall Plan and the benign occupation of Japan.
June 6, 2008 2:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
The argument is could it have been dropped first on a non-military target. The bunny has come up with an interesting quote below which would have been good to have at the top.
June 6, 2008 7:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Fujiyama could have been bombed, symbolically destroying a "home of the gods." But these kinds of equivocations do reveal the false hopes of the Obamanauts. If Obama displays in the general election whatever it is in his nature or culture that makes these people hope he would equivocate, McCain can win. Accept the fact that Dresden, Hiroshima, and especially Nagasaki, were vindictive, furious acts, designed to kill millions of civilians and completely demoralize the enemy we hated. If Obama's not up to that, if America perceives that Obama is not up to that, he can't be President.
June 6, 2008 8:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Congratulations, Billy. You've won your freedom from any further comments by me. I've just activated my virtual "Ignore" button. May life someday teach you mercy.
June 6, 2008 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Perfect. As I've often told you, you're the stupidest Obamanaut here. Being ignored by you will be bliss.
June 6, 2008 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2005/jul/24/secondworldwar.japan
WASHINGTON - Democratic presidential hopeful Barack Obama said Thursday he would not use nuclear weapons "in any circumstance" to fight terrorism in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
"I think it would be a profound mistake for us to use nuclear weapons in any circumstance," Obama said.
"There's been no discussion of using nuclear weapons and that's not a hypothetical that I'm going to discuss," Obama said after a Capitol Hill breakfast with constituents.
When asked whether his answer also applied to the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons, he said it did.
June 6, 2008 12:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
So why do you think so many people here thought he would do it?
June 6, 2008 12:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Because you framed the question in the context of WWII America, and Obama was asked the question in regards to the world we actually live in today. Those are two completely different worlds.
If you wanted to know if we thought Obama would bomb Afghanistan, you should have asked: Nope.
June 6, 2008 1:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not convinced that the "different worlds" context hampers the exploration of the moral questions. It's vital, but not irrelevant. I mention again that this moving back and forth in history is a topic at the book club and good reading even if you don't comment.
June 6, 2008 8:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is actually a good modern analogy that came out in the discussion of Iran v. Israel. The question posed was: Suppose Iran gets a nuclear weapon and attacks Israel with it. What do you do.
Clinton immediately got to obliterate Iran. And this response communicates the fury America would feel if Iran attacked Israel with nuclear weapons and tells the Iranians that there is no way they could survive a first strike on Israel, even if they destroy Israel's capacity to respond.
I'll let the Obamanauts spin Obama's equivocal response to the question. I'm not sure he's found an appropriate response yet.
But, let's look at some of the ideas we've heard here.
Obama might find a symbolic target and bomb that.
I imagine Iran already knows what nukes can do, so no need to inform them of that. So he'll just tell them he's going to bomb them if they don't what? surrender so we can take their bombs away, I guess.
If they failed to surrender, the Obamanauts say, he would drop a nuclear bomb on a military target - most likely naval. If they still refuse to surrender he would engage in an escalating series of attacks, both conventional and nuclear, to systematically dismantle their infrastructure - starting with the most viable military targets until such time as Iran surrendered.
I think I agree. That may be what Obama would do, but he had better not spell it out that way to the electorate if he wants to be President.
What I wonder is will convincing Iran that we'll obliterate them if they attack Israel with a nuclear weapon actually motivate a Shiite theocracy to give up its nuclear weapons program. I think the imperative here is to make sure, whatever it takes, that Iran never gets a nuclear weapon.
June 6, 2008 8:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Somebody symbolically punched me one time, and I felt symbolically bad and even put a symbolic T-bone on my symbolic black eye.
June 6, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're smart, chimp
June 9, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because the world is filled with stupid people with violent minds.
June 6, 2008 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
er, just to be clear, do note, that had the qualifier of
to fight terrorism in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
He did not say he would in no case use atomic weapons.
Lawrence Krauss, in his Bulletin of Atomic Scientists article on the candidates on nuclear weapons which I cited upthread, did mention this in his piece. He did not read that as meaning no use of nuclear weapons as a general principle. Neither do I, as once again, it clearly limits the case to Afghanistan and Pakistan. Krauss says he could only find evidence of Richardson believing in "never ever use them," that none of the other candidates would go there.
June 6, 2008 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Format correction for the above:
italics should have stopped at "Scientists".
June 6, 2008 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
This question somewhat depends on which version of events you believe regarding Hiroshima & Nagasaki. If you think it was necessary/honorable and you think Obama is honorable/strong - you will believe that Obama would drop the bomb. And it goes from there to all the obvious variations.
I believe that Obama would have first told Japan that we would employ new weaponry that would take warfare to a new level of destruction.
If they failed to surrender, he would have dropped a nuclear bomb on a military target - most likely naval.
If they still refused to surrender he would have engaged in an escalating series of attacks, both conventional and nuclear, to systematically dismantle their infrastructure - starting with the most viable military targets until such time as Japan surrendered.
June 6, 2008 1:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
After thinking about this within the context of the thread, and even with the difficulties of placing him back in that time, I agree with you that is what he would do.
June 6, 2008 7:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just a response to the posters comment about being concerned about Obamas ability to think quickly when it comes to using force.
What would our world be like right now if JFK had "thought more quickly about using force?"
June 6, 2008 2:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
"When the blitzkrieg raged and the bodies stank". Sometimes you don't have time for a long thought-out process. At the start of the Berlin airlift, Berlin had 35 days left of food and 45 days of coal. A plane was shot down in Rwanda on April 6, 1994, and the genocide was in full swing within a week and mostly complete by end of month. When the Russians occupied the airport in Kosovo, how quickly did the President need to respond? When China attacked India, how much time did JFK have to mull over his support?
We're living in a lull and act like nothing requires quick but complicated decision making.
June 6, 2008 3:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
It probably comes from being the only remaining Superpower. We think all decisions now are unilateral. We've all become Republicans. I was thinking yesterday about the Republican attitude in Congress these past years - "we won't negotiate, that's outrageous, we're offended you even said that", and the Democrats dutifully compromised and rolled over. But now we'll pass it down to those we can kick around.
June 6, 2008 3:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Time to stop playing the super-power role then? How do we get out of it. Would Obama give it a try?
June 6, 2008 7:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
We can be leaders without being unilateral. It takes self-control, but not impossible. The biggest difficulty is figuring out positive goals and figuring out when we're screwed up and when others are screwed up. There are a lot of bad actors out there, and I'm perfectly comfortable with being world cop, but it requires quite a bit of intellectual honesty and self-reflection.
June 6, 2008 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry I didn't make that clearer. Thinking quickly might mean not using force as well as using it. And your comment about the missile crisis is not only apt but one I think about in relationship
with Obama. I want to know who will be in his inner circle. JFK had his brother, a skilled and brilliant person. Both JKF and RFK were able to control generals. Obama's abilities with military figures in an unknown.
Also, one purpose in writing the blog, was to anticipate the kinds of questions Obama will get in debates from McCain. They will be designed to test his good nature and trip him up on a question like this if he's not ready.
June 6, 2008 7:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
But he did think quickly and decided on a naval blockade. Where he didn't think quickly was the Bay of Pigs.
June 6, 2008 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Bay of Pigs was actually my reference there. Who knows, maybe he did think quickly and was just made to doubt his decision a lot. However my point there was that had he thought more quickly and (as was the case in WWII) more hawkishly we more then likely would have been involved in nuclear war.
It was just an example of taking a bit of time paying off.
Also I understood why you wrote it and certainly wasn't trying to be snappy at your question. However I was trying to point out that some good things came from leaders taking time to make a decision.
WWII and Japan was a necessity, we couldn't fight sustainably on two fronts and we really had no other military options to stop Japan. However it could be argued that this country has made many a mistake when decisions were made too quickly.
June 6, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Too quickly and from vanity and all sorts of bad reasons. Certainly the whole 1898 bit was ugly. As was the Mexican War. This stuff is complicated. But then my candidate has been beaten up for the last 2 years for taking an unpopular stance on an unpopular action through supposedly making her decision more difficult than it needed to be. We'll see if the public agrees in November.
June 6, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you sure you're not thinking of the Cuban Missile Crisis instead of the Bay of Pigs?
June 6, 2008 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I feel sick.
June 6, 2008 6:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
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