« previous | TPM CAFÉ READER POSTS HOME | next »
New Rasmussen W. Virginia Poll: M 45% ; O 37%. (8 pt. difference after all's said and done. LOL.)
According to a new Rasmussen poll, Obama is down by just 8 points to McCain in West Virginia:
John McCain begins the general election season with an eight-point advantage over Barack Obama in West Virginia. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of this general election match-up shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Obama earns 37%.8 Points.
Neither man is terribly popular in the state. McCain earns favorable reviews from 48% and unfavorable ratings from another 48%. The numbers for Obama are 40% favorable and 57% unfavorable. Those figures include 26% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of McCain and 35% with such a negative view of Obama.
[skip}
While President Bush won 56% of the West Virginia vote in Election 2004, just 27% of the state’s voters now believe he is doing a good or an excellent job. Most—58%--say the President is doing a poor job.
By a 59% to 32% margin, West Virginia voters say it’s more important to get the troops home from Iraq than to win the War. Forty-five percent (45%) say victory is at least somewhat likely if John McCain is elected President. Just 20% say that victory is that likely if Obama is elected. However, 48% believe a President Obama would be at least somewhat likely to get the troops home within four years. Just 35% say a President McCain would be likely to do the same.
EIGHT.
So much for the idea that Clinton's 41% "blowout" would mean Obama would be crushed as the nominee.
I suspect as more & more polls come out in the various states that Hillary beat him in by double digits (while claiming he wouldn't win in the GE) be be shown to be a campaign meme by a desperate candidate who knew she had lost the the delegate race in just after Ohio & Texas.
The truth is, Democrats will come home to the Democratic nominee.
Those who don't are those who never intended on voting for Obama in the first place - they include the hardcore racists that Hillary so enjoyed inflaming and the rethugs who only voted for her to keep her in the race to either cause trouble for Obama or with the hopes she might pull of the nomination and they could then run aaginst her (they're dream since 2000).
Advertisement
Comments (8)
Yes, he has some work to do. His negatives are high, but it's not impossible to fix with some good campaigning - which he is already doing.
John Edwards will be a big help in Appalachia.
June 6, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's going to look good for another month. Then something will happen and his numbers will drop and we'll all freak out. Then in November everyone is going to figure it out. I'm cautiously predicting a 1980 model, albeit less dramatic. That was very close until the very end. Then the country said "We can't take this guy anymore and we're gonna give the reins to Ronnie Raygun." This time will be the same, except it'll be our guy that wins it.
June 6, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I think McCain has had a bit of a free ride these past 2 months and now that that's going to come to an end, and the press & public will be looking at him, his links to everything bush & everything's that is contrary to what the average citizen wants in new leadership, he's going to be sinking in the polls.
Will there be flare ups on Obama's side that cause some problems. Duh. But he can handle it.
This election isn't going to be close. I say 55% or better for Obama, but I do agree with your final thought: Obama's our Reagan. Only with ideas that will better the country, not pick it apart like a vulture.
June 6, 2008 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is quite puzzling/exciting. If West Virginia is THIS close this far out, we might be looking at a landslide this November!
June 6, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was very surprised when I saw the poll results, even so polls don't mean too much at this point, but it is definitely a good sign.
When you look at the McbushSame speech and compare it with Senator Obama, there is no chance for McBushSame to win.
Senator Obama will work hard, and he has a plan and a vision, and once he explains his vision to the different states, he will increase his advantage.
We all need to remember that McBushSame got free ride. And everyday there is a new McBushSame gaff or lobbyist McBushSame scandal...
June 6, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was really struck by how close this is, too. And that means, what, 18% are undecided? If that's the case, then anything is possible...
June 6, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
If that idiotic guy doesn't do it soon, I just might.
June 6, 2008 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
We selected an almost entirely Obama slate of county delegates to the WV State convention from my county. This was largely due to on the ground Obama organization. Most of the women sign waving downtown for Hillary on election day were from NY. Even the vote was Hillary less than Obama + Edwards here!
The convention is in a week, 13-14 June. We only get to select two delegates from my congressional district to go to the Denver Convention. All of the top elected officials have endorsed Obama. It should be interesting.
As in other parts of Appalachia, we send more of our own to war. I am sure Iraq is what made Byrd endosred him. We want our National Guard home.
June 6, 2008 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Post a Comment