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Montana & S. Dakota to Throw a Wrench in the Electoral Gears Tonight?
I fear we (read: The Democratic Party) could face a nightmare scenario tonight. It appears that there are few reliable polls from both Montana and South Dakota, and the polling conducted so far is all over the place. Some have Obama up handily in both states, while the recent ARG has Clinton blowing him out in S. Dakota and barely ahead in Montana. With so few polls available, it’s hard to tell if it’s an outlier or not.
Should Clinton blow out Obama in S. Dakota (the
demographics of the state heavily favor her) and wins in Montana, my gut tells
me that this thing is going all the way to the convention and we’re in a for an
all out party civil war between now and August.
This is my theory as to why Hillary is backing off her campaign’s earlier statements that she will concede tonight. If she pulls off wins in both states, then she’ll make the case (whether or not it really has merit is a different story) that she’s on a roll, the country has buyer’s remorse and is therefore more electable. If she does lose both states, she can 'suspend' her campaign and she won't technically have conceded.
I hope I’m incredibly wrong about all this…
Comments (7)
Naturally, this is post is perfect cannon fodder for Gotalife and Fogu2.
June 3, 2008 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern! Concern!
Thanks for sharing.
June 3, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Heh, Bender is my fantasy football avatar. Reckon I like robots...
June 3, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Deep breaths
June 3, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, if you would pass me a paper bag to hyperventilate in, I'd really appreciate it!
June 3, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Update! According to the Drudge Report (there's no story, only a headline this point) saying the Clinton camps expects a 25 point victory in S. Dakota tonight.
June 3, 2008 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is so funny I fell out of my virtual chair.
June 3, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
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