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Meet the Nominee
So I woke up this morning, checked my email, saw the letter from Hillary, felt sad for about 2 1/2 seconds, and then Laurie Anderson's phase-shifted cartoon voice came into my head, going:
"O-kay. I can cope. I can adapt."
Now that I've had my 2 1/2 seconds of grieving, we can get on with our work. Of course I have a few words of advice for our nominee, as I'm sure doesn't surprise you. Only advice, mind you - I know some of you are sensitive about being told what to do. So....
May I respectfully suggest choosing Hillary now. Like by Saturday. Two months before the convention. Everyone's been talking about how important it is to have everything settled, to have the party healed, to be unified. I've had my 2 1/2 seconds and feel refreshed and ready to go. I don't know how you all are doing. Need more time? Will Sunday do? I'm a patient chimp, no problem.
I'll address a few points that may be bothering you. I've said them before, but in a consolation post maybe they'll take on a new light.
First, the Big Dog? Bill? Don't worry about him, he's a big lovable goof when he's floating around Davos trying to save the world. His political days are over, everyone knows that - whether it was his heart surgery or age, whatever. Forget the UN, but he'll be too busy running around the world to interfere in the White House, since Second Ladies aren't exactly the most sought after news stories. Plus, he likes campaigning, not sitting around the house (he gets in trouble when he has too little to do, you'll be reminding yourselves, so yes, back on the speech circuit he goes). And you'll see Bill in a whole different light when he's picking on McCain. And the press will too.
Second, Hillary sabotaging Barack? Come on, that's one for the tabloids. What does it gain her? She's going for the nomination in 2012, back on the trail in 2010? Just as soon as she finishes hammering nails into her toes. She's already old enough for this line of work, and there's more promise in this position, provided it's not just decorative, to keep her busy and happy.
Third, she'll want to be co-President? What exactly does that mean? There's only one person who signs bills, one person who gives the State of the Union address. Much of what a president does is delegated (how did W rack up all those frequent flier miles to Crawford?). And in the shape government's in, there's enough work for 10 co-presidents. But as people have been saying for months, it's not like Hillary was in the White House for 8 years directing every detail, or even that Bill followed every piece of political advice she gave in that time. So she already knows the limitations - First Lady or VP, damn close to the top, but not #1 yourself.
Fourth, those negative campaign comments? They go away in a heartbeat. That inexperience thing? Barack and Hillary will be there in the White House, working it out - she'll know who to call if he doesn't, together they have the judgment and the experience. The ideas guy and the details gal. Isn't that what she implied with the whole MLK/LBJ flare-up? You don't have to believe it yourself, but in terms of smacking down McCain, it works. We'll be double- and triple-checking CIA reports and being appropriately skeptical about foreign military adventures, while McCain will be repeating Mission Accomplished, Surge and 100 More Years. Hillary can spearhead diplomatic initiatives before they rise to the presidential level, laying the proper groundwork to ensure "negotiate without pre-conditions" is a good idea.
And I've flacked this site a number of times, but it's worth looking at thehillaryiknow.com in this context. Because I few years ago I heard Hillary mention, "women make lists" and it stuck with me. They're organized in the way that they remember birthdays and weddings, who wears what size, when the dental appointment is, which spices are almost out in the cupboard, even while juggling a full work load. People ask Hillary for stuff and she gets back to them. She remembers. This kind of attention to detail can be really valuable in a White House juggling priorities and often moving from crisis to crisis. And she's much more personable than she's been given credit for.
Anyway, that's probably enough to mull over in your jubilation. For some I'm sure this would be a bitter pill to swallow, but I used to think the same about coffee and now I'm hooked. Congratulations, Barack Obama, and enjoy your party. The Claret's on me.








Comments (217)
A few comments, pretty much all over the board:
1. I think Hillary's personality would actually be very well-suited to VP, but only if she and Barack can work well together.
2. I'm glad you addressed the Bill question, but I'm still not convinced.
3. There's a lot more support for putting Hillary on the ticket in the great wide world out there than there is in this self-selected, argumentative community.
June 5, 2008 4:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm self-flagellating for missing the opportunity to note:
How Hillary views being First Lady or VP:
Close, but No Cigar
June 5, 2008 4:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ouch!
June 5, 2008 5:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, not the least bit arcane. Rec'd for the perspicuity.
June 5, 2008 4:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Laughing so hard I'm crying.
Which means Obamanauts will hate it.
June 5, 2008 4:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not at all. Rec'ed for a lot of reasonable points.
But the one about the campaign comments? "They go away in a heartbeat."? Only if McCain cooperates, but of course he won't. Why do you think McCain wouldn't use clips of Obama's running mate saying Obama isn't ready to be commander in chief, and use them over and over and over and over?
The second part of your answer there doesn't work either:
In essence this has Hillary saying that Obama really isn't ready (and how can she say otherwise with wall-to-wall clips in McCain ads having Hillary saying this in several different ways). But not to worry, because his Vice President can tell him how to handle a crisis. I don't see that working out very well for Obama.
A number of other good points though.
June 5, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Unfortunately, RS, you have already been proven correct. I can't find the link anymore, but the RNC has officially gone on record saying they plan to use the quote (my paraphrasing here:) "a lot".
June 5, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama and his team have to make this decision, and it has to "feel" like the right one for him. But however this turns out, unity is a key here. McCain must not win. This is from King's last speech.
"Now, what does all of this mean in this great period of history? It means that we've got to stay together. We've got to stay together and maintain unity. You know, whenever Pharaoh wanted to prolong the period of slavery in Egypt, he had a favorite, favorite formula for doing it. What was that? He kept the slaves fighting among themselves. But whenever the slaves get together, something happens in Pharaoh's court, and he cannot hold the slaves in slavery. When the slaves get together, that's the beginning of getting out of slavery. Now let us maintain unity." Martin Luther King, "I've Been to the Mountaintop," April 3rd, 1968.
The above quotation is used in:
"1968-2008 Forty Years" (A brief photo essay)
http://msa4.wordpress.com/
June 5, 2008 10:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it might be a little unrealistic to expect him to pick any VP by Saturday, although I understand your argument. I'm not sure I agree about Bill, though. I know normally, vice presidential spouses aren't sought out by the news media, but this one's a former president, and the truth is that the public likes to read stories about him, so it's still very likely (IMHO) that he could be a drag on the ticket.
June 5, 2008 4:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think that my concern with Bill and, to a lesser extent, Hillary, is that I'm not confident that they can stay out of the limelight when necessary. Bill in particular seems unable or unwilling to control his mouth, but more importantly, the press loves to write about him. He could inspire hours of news coverage by blowing his nose. Hillary's strengths nothwithstanding, I don't think obsessive press about the Clintons is good for Obama as a candidate or as President.
June 5, 2008 4:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you recall a story about Bill Clinton from 2005? (Okay, that's the year he toured with Bush Sr. for Katrina. Remember anything scandalous he said that year?)
Do you remember Bill being in the news a lot in 2006 when Hillary was running for re-election?
Do you remember all those times people complained about some news story breaking and Hillary didn't post her comments until later, being accused of taking a poll to decide which side of the argument to come out on?
In short, it's a non-issue.
June 5, 2008 4:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree.
With HRC out of the race, Bill will be less personally and emotionally involved. He should be able to think more clearly about his actions, and that should benefit everyone.
Come to think of it, that's another argument not to have HRC as the veep choice.
June 5, 2008 9:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of limelight...can you imagine how creepy his State of the Union addresses would be, with her sitting right there over his shoulder, nodding along and smiling? When Darth Cheney does it to Bush, it looks vaguely like the ol' Jedi mind trick.
June 6, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, don't any of you people have day jobs?
Not going to happen, Desidero.
The non-concession speech clinched it.
Just piss-poor political judgment.
June 5, 2008 4:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
See? What did I tell you, Des? They even hate it in Canada.
June 5, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
I understand where you are coming from, but I don't really think she brings anything to the table that any other senior pol wouldn't bring.
However, what she does bring is a a huge amount of negative energy for many people. Adding her to the ticket causes way more problems than solutions. Hell, just keeping the republicans demoralized moving into November is enough of a reason to give her some other plum job.
What you are really advocating is she be Barack's Chief of Staff, because that is where a ball-busting super pol would come in handy next January.
(PS: The last wasn't meant to be snarky or sexist. I actually think Hillary has many fine qualities and could be very useful in establishing a progressive majority (ball-busting is just one of many.) I just don't think the best place help is on this year's democratic presidential ticket. Many indicators show that would be a disaster, if only by bring out the republicans.)
June 5, 2008 5:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
And for another edition of What Digby Said...
June 5, 2008 6:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another good one. Thanks for sharing. I'll do my best to reserve any negative opinions I may have of the Clintons based on their actions moving forward in to the future vice my interpretation of what they did in the past.
June 5, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Personally, I think Hillary is WAY over-qualified for the job of VP. Would she really be happy attending funerals and suchlike? I doubt she's seriously interested in the job, and I doubt she'd take it if she were offered a cabinet position doing something more useful.
June 5, 2008 6:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
PS: I'd be worried that Bill would be the perpetual mother-in-law, constantly offering unsolicited advice on how to raise the baby. As Hillary once put it, "Bill is a tough dog to keep on the porch." He's said many times that he misses being president and he'd love to do it again. He'd try to keep his place, but I don't think he could resist the temptation to meddle.
June 5, 2008 7:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
My primary concern with Hillary as VP is for how she would unify the Republican party. I think a lot of Dems underestimate just how much she is irrationally hated by rank-and-file Republicans. She will help get out the vote for certain demographics in the Democratic party, but I would fear that she would help get out the vote for a much broader swath of the Republican party.
Perhaps I am overestimating this effect as Bill Clinton was elected to a 2nd term. Still, my gut tells me that from a purely political point of view she brings in more Republican votes for McCain than she does Democratic votes for Obama.
June 5, 2008 7:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
"My primary concern with Hillary as VP is for how she would unify the Republican party."
Same here. As Jimmy Carter pointed out, they'd be consolidating their weaknesses as well as their strengths. I think the Republicans would welcome an Obama-Clinton ticket--it makes the target that much bigger.
June 5, 2008 8:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I voted against Carter once and I'd do it again. He was an embarrassment to the south. He redeemed himself somewhat with his charity work as ex-President, but let's not push it. Half of these party elders people trot out are losers.
June 5, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Carter doesn't know anything about how to win elections.
June 5, 2008 10:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I like Carter, but the funniest thing I ever heard anyone say about him is that he's made such a great ex-President that he should've jumped straight to that role. :D
June 5, 2008 10:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Carter. Desidero. Peanuts.
June 5, 2008 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Peanut gallery.
June 5, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Carter, sinking Obamanaut Boat......(and)
June 5, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
submarine
June 5, 2008 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
glug glug.
June 5, 2008 11:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, see there's where we disagree. Jimmy Carter was my favorite president of recent times. His biggest mistake was granting asylum to the Shah. That single well-intentioned but politically stupid move was his undoing.
June 5, 2008 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Then there was that little thing of the helicopters crashing in the sand, and instead of going back and taking care of business he hid out in the White House for a couple of years.
June 5, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
That was my concern with Clinton from the start of the campaign last year and I although I didn't think she really deserved the rights' hatred; I do think that it is real. I grew up in a military town with a lot of right wingers around me who would forward around Anti-Hillary emails to everyone they know that are filled with the most hateful, disgusting and baseless lies that I have ever seen.
They have been keeping their dogs hungry for her for this very chance to mobilize the party against her. I just don't think she is as helpful to the ticket as people might think.
June 5, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Plenty of right-wingers will rally to defeat a black man as much as a Clinton.
June 5, 2008 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
No doubt, but believe it or not, the Clinton hatred is even stronger and wider, or at least it seems that way to me.
June 5, 2008 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't believe it. I just think the Clintons get more press.
June 5, 2008 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I'm basing it largely off people I know, but I'll give you that it's anecdotal evidence.
June 5, 2008 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
This just doesn't seem like a good fit to me, for many reasons.
Although it is not an official campaign slogan, clearly the theme Obama is trying to project is "a new generation of leadership". A second storyline - "Bill and Hillary return to the White House" - conflicts with that message. The Clintons are too big, and cast too large a shadow. Obama needs to be well out from under that shadow, and his administration needs to be the start of a new day. And we simply can't afford all the tabloid speculation about what the Clintons are doing or might be doing.
In the end, I doubt that Hillary Clinton really wants to be a vice president. Obama just has to say that the process of vetting and choosing a vice presidential candidate will be long and thorough, and won't be completed for a couple of months. By that time, the passions of the moment will have dissipated.
June 5, 2008 8:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for your concern about my passions, but I'll keep my passions running as long as I care to.
June 5, 2008 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can't help but think there is only one reason she wants the VP --> Anything Can Happen. I know, it is TERRIBLE, but I have a terrible opinion of Hillary, and I never did before this primary started. She got it the old-fashioned way; she earned it.
Also, if she did get the nod, and they lost, she would be better situated for a Presidential run in 2012. As things stand now, she is definitely NOT well situated for that.
June 5, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do agree that Sen. Obama should announce his preference for vice president as soon as possible, but not until AFTER Sen. McCain chooses his running mate. Moreover, I think it would be best that Obama not choose Sen. Clinton for ANY role in his administration until she publicly uses the words "concede" and "endorse."
I haven't seen either of those words come out of her campaign. Sen. Clinton has expressed her "support" and even promised to "strongly support" Sen. Obama in a letter to her supporters. This is not nearly as emphatic as endorsing him, which I suppose she cannot do without withdrawing from the race.
And the closest her campaign has come to indicating an end to the contest is (and this didn't even come from her lips) to to indicate a "suspension" of the campaign, which seems to be a not-so-veiled threat to make more trouble for the Democrats.
June 5, 2008 8:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama may not have that option since the Republican convention comes after the Democratic convention.
June 5, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep. Desidero is getting a little ahead of his Hillary here. Granted, "I know [he is] sensitive about being told what to do," but maybe he should hold off on the smug lecturing to the winning team and wait for the second place finisher to concede.
June 6, 2008 1:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your "walkabout" took about an hour or so. TPM is a hard habit to break I'm guessing.
June 5, 2008 8:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
We have until Saturday, Sweetie. Or do you prefer my little taste of pineapple? You Obamanauts are always in such a hurry.
June 5, 2008 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wham bam thank you ma'am.
June 5, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Easy, buddy - it's concessions day, we're on our best behavior.
June 5, 2008 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Missed that qualifier. But don't call every Obama supporter an Obamanaut. If you read my posts, you'd realize that I'm not. It's oh so hard to escape the madness of the crowd you hang with.....
or the readiness of the other mob to kill you.
June 5, 2008 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Was Jason offended by the label "Argonaut?" John Glen by "Astronaut?" No. I mean it as a sign of respect. I'm only sorry I'm too old to go on the voyage. I have to go by land with the women and old people. I'm hoping you will have built a shining city by the time we arrive.
June 5, 2008 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
June 5, 2008 3:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I decided to try the river route and help with the leaking boat. Lots of leaks to plug at this point, but the only boat I can find. I'd like the 'nauts to try the land trail. It's plenty rocky but it's firm, having been trodden so many times and by so many experienced mule-skinners.
June 5, 2008 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, Billy, you're thinking Reagan's metaphor. The more apt metaphor here is the Promised Land. We don't build it for you. You have to come and build it yourself.
June 5, 2008 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought I told you to stay away from me.
June 5, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Desi, I can fully understand why you and a number of folks believe Hillary should be the VP. Hell, this primary ended so close as to be almost a tie. So to many she's earned it. And I do think she as certainly earned the right to be on the short list. However, whoever the VP is it has to be the nominee's decision. (Yes I know Johnson's was not necessarily JFK's decision.)
What I am saying is that it has to appear that it was done for pragmatic reasons and not because a gun was put to his head and he was threatened. This to me would not be a good way to start a partnership. So announcing on Saturday would look like he was forced.
Also There's not enough time for vetting Bill between now and Saturday. And agree with it or not they are going to want to vet him. They are going to want to look very deeply into his financials.
All that said, July is soon enough, if it is to be. Enough time will have passed for things to cool a bit. They both will have had enough time to talk and work out the details of her role and Bill's role.
Personally I don't see it happening. I think she has more to offer in the Senate, SCOTUS or a cabinet position. However from a pragmatic point of view there is the 16 year line of thinking.
June 5, 2008 8:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know, JS, I thought that about JFK/LBJ too, but a commentor who appeared to be well-informed told me LBJ was actually JFK's choice because of the South, in spite of protests from his closest advisors. I mention it because it strengthens your point. And I want that plane ride.
June 5, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the update. And anytime.
June 5, 2008 9:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
It has always been my admittedly nothing more than intuition-based understanding that Johnson was, in fact, not Kennedy's true first choice.
It is my belief that Kennedy offered the VP spot as a gesture, a good-will attempt to get some of Johnson's Southern support, but he actually expected Johnson to refuse the offer. Frankly, I am not sure why Johnson accepted, but I do believe that Kennedy did not really expect him to do so. Some people believe the animosity between RFK and Johnson developed as a direct result of this incident.
BG, do you possibly still have a link to the blog you refer to? This topic has always been of more than a passing interest to me.
Thanks!
June 5, 2008 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think he may have just been on wiki looking at the 1960 campaigns, or maybe he got it from one of the Kennedy histories. I actually remember that convention, and had believed Johnson traded delegates for the nomination, which turns out to be wrong. Kennedy had the delegates, but was trying to assure a victory in the Fall. Judging from how close the election was, he seems to have made the right choice.
June 5, 2008 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay, thanks. I'll go check it out. Could you please ping me if you ever happen to come across anymore data points on the topic you think are useful, unique, and/or informative?
Many thanks.
June 5, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure enough... Not that I'd ever suggest Wikipedia as the end-all-be-all of correct information:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1960_election
One very interesting off-topic gem from the same page:
Truly there exists nothing new under the sun I suppose, no?
June 5, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree about wiki. It's about as reliable as TPM. :)
June 5, 2008 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Untrue content on TPM??!! Surely you jest.
June 5, 2008 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think I said pretty please with sugar on top, and then gave reasons what we not worry. The mention of by Saturday had a reason for it. They could blow people's socks off by showing how quickly we can come together and get down to work, get the fund-raising moving for the convention and now have 5 months to fully focus on blasting McCain and circling the country rather than waiting for the Convention, just over 2 months before the election. (Why so late? How dumb is that?)
In terms of "Hillary represents the past", I don't get it. Are we going to empty out Washington, like Pol Pot's back to the fields/year 0 movement? If Obama's going to be effective, he has to be able to communicate his vision to the old guard around, no? I simply can't figure out how Hillary's terminally diseased nor imagine who the non-diseased better model will be. Considering alternatives mentioned here like Hagel, Edwards, Bloomberg, Richardson, Dodd, Biden and so on, I'm not sure Obama fans completely understand this either.
June 5, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
In any event, they will just emphasize the unity part, the part about bringing people together were they to come out as partners on the ticket. It's not about passing the torch, it's about holding it together and all that.
June 5, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I rec'd this post, because it's a good, clear, cogent argument - probably the best one I've heard so far for Clinton as VP.
I think there are a number of reasons why it won't happen, though. They're laid out here.
June 5, 2008 8:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think she is far too savvy to involve herself in this mess any longer. But I could be wrong. I thought she had the nomination sewed up after PA. So there is definitely a dynamic working here I don't understand. My hope is she'll pull out all stops campaigning for Obama and return to the Senate.
June 5, 2008 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
And that's exactly what will happen.
She should be a powerful campaigner for Obama in PA, Ohio, Ark. and WV.
June 5, 2008 9:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
No, she won't be going there. Obama has already conceded those states. He's redrawing the map, remember?
June 5, 2008 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's ahead in Pennsylvania and he's even in Ohio without her. Hillary would definitely help in Arkansas and might help in West Virginia and Florida.
But my mantra is, and remains, any Democratic plan for victory (by any candidate) that depends on Florida is doomed from the outset.
June 5, 2008 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, Steve, if you count "just barely" as "ahead."
Pennsylvania and Ohio are going to be true battlegrounds. And we can totally pitch West Virginia, Arkansas, and Florida out the window right now if Clinton is not on the ticket.
So where does that leave us? Here's an assessment about whether Obama should woo Latinos or Reagan Democrats. (Answer: He really needs both.)
Please. Your mantra should be Democrats are always doomed from the outset. How many Democrats have been elected since 1970? Carter was only elected as a reaction to Nixon. After 4 years of Carter, the country was already sick of Democrats.
From the article I linked to, some interesting tidbits about Florida's Latino population (with many rose-colored hypotheticals):
No problemo, right? Too bad Obama didn't win over the Puerto Ricans.
June 5, 2008 9:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
He has been polling well in Penn, but Ohio not so much.
I really hope that I am wrong, but I have always thought that Obama is going to be very vulnerable to the typical Republican tactics. And you can pretend that Hillary ran the most repugnant campaign ever, and while to be honest I didn't like some of her tactics towards the end, I at least did not think there was anything really beyond the pale. I think that the examples used to suggest that Hillary supported the "Obama as unamerican" theme were pretty much ginned up ("as far as I know", "two candidates that love their country"). Anyways, my point is that I think that McCain is going to push that angle very hard, and Obama is going to lose Ohio and Pennsylvania. Don't know if Hillary would help him or not.
June 5, 2008 11:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, I believe there was a lot of talk about how people were going to be eating their words. At least you can admit at this point that you missed the mark.
June 5, 2008 9:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Were I involved I would advise strongly against. Hard to talk about going forward with the past reverberating constantly, by keeping the Clintons around.
June 5, 2008 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
But you are so not involved it's not even funny.
June 5, 2008 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Way to make allies. I address the question, you insult the commenter.
Sore loser.
June 5, 2008 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Apologies, Tom. Truth be told, your comment, Were I involved I would advise strongly against, made me laugh. It suddenly struck me as funny that we all (myself included) assign ourselves the role of presidential adviser as if we know what the fuck is going on.
Anyway, as a Democrat, I'm used to losing and have grown pretty cheerful about the inevitability of it. I just sound curmudgeonly on screen. Sometimes in person, too. :-)
June 5, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good point, RTBG. It has occurred to me that I write sometimes from the viewpoint that Obama and Clinton themselves are reading this stuff, and will say "Ah ha! That is SO right, and it's what I will do."
Pretty comical, no?
At any rate, I suppose it is good we hold hope that we have some impact as regular, plain citizenry.
June 5, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes. My theory is that the VP question was settled before her speech Tuesday night and she was just following through with the shot she told him she'd take if he didn't give the VP to her. He didn't, she kicked him in the knee like she said she would, and he'll limp into the general election.
June 5, 2008 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
My sister, as ardent a feminist Clinton supporter as you might find -though not given to manic rhapsodies - told me that she will vote for Obama. She doesn't want Hillary to run as VP. She's passionate about having a dem win the GP, especially over the court issue.
I think that the loss of Clinton women will ease. Most, not all, will come back. He's better off without her as VP and she's better off back in Senate. Both do the right thing and give the other a crutch. Each has a limp as I see it. And with the Clinton, there are two limping, and you know who can barely make it home. His office route looks challenging. But that's the idea now --crutches all around.
June 5, 2008 4:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, a big comedown from audacity to cripples? Read the first part of The Last Temptation of Christ - a fascinating image of the disciples as hunchbacks and lepers and cripples. A million times better than the movie.
June 5, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll see if I can find that book and at least read the first part. The movie was so pretentious it made Mel Gibson look good. But then you are the one here who could see Mel's movie without the subtitles. What were those guys talking about anyway?
June 5, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
So. Not a Scorsese fan. Me either. I like the old foreigners. The Loves of a Blond was the first foreign film I ever saw. Forman is my man. Valmont a perfect motion picture. And among the Americans? Nichols if it's about NY. Easy to get on Eastwood's wavelength. Michael Mann. I noticed on the front page the other day Josh Marshall was promoting the campaign as material for a novel with Bill Clinton as some kind of tragic figure, looking for a novelist combining Faulkner and Miller, and I almost sent him the news that Miller wasn't a novelist. But I thought, what the hell, why not? Maybe the movie will be better than the book.
June 5, 2008 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amadeus. Fantastic movie. An incredible feat of imagination --to transform the power of the play to the screen, the result quite different but magical. Nichols. Extraordinary talent all around and starting with the comedy duo. A great director for stage also. I can't think of a film that I don't like, though I can't remember all the them. Peter Weir is a director I find flawless. (Did I really say "flawless?")
June 5, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forman has that light/heavy feeling. Very Czech. Impossible to imagine any other director making Amadeus.
June 5, 2008 9:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm crazy about Mike Leigh and the Coen Brothers. Suits me, don't you think, Billy? Social realism and schizo?
June 5, 2008 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's definitely you.
June 5, 2008 10:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
ha!
June 5, 2008 10:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
His Goya's Ghosts was interesting even if a bit of a throwaway (more a condemnation of Bush than a serious movie). I hated the movie version of Unbearable Lightness of Being. The difficult questions from the book left out - Oedipus' responsibility for what he didn't choose.
My picks: Lars van Trier's Zentropa and Dogville and Emir Kustarice's Time of the Gypsies and Underground. Roeg's Two Deaths and Ruy Guerra's Erendira. Polanski's Bitter Moon. Toto le Heros. Repo Man. The Tin Drum, both the book and the movie.
June 6, 2008 12:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Movie version of "The Unbearable Lightness of Being" --total destruction of a fine book. You have it.
June 6, 2008 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
I see that Tin Drum in you. ta..dum....ta....dum
June 6, 2008 9:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
That movie put me off eels.
June 6, 2008 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
HRC = VP?
No, no, no, no, no, no, no!
Please, Clinton supporters, it's not going to happen! It's a bad idea, for her as well as Obama. She can do excellent work in the Senate or any number of other meaningful and vital positions, and we would all do well to support her in any positive endeavor she may choose. But VP is a non-starter.
June 5, 2008 9:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Wall Street Journal is reporting that it will not be her because Bill refuses to be vetted. He will not release his doner list and other information that Obama would insist on seeing.
June 5, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
I dunno Desidero. I think that the folks who support her and who won't vote for Obama in the end are few and far between. I guess I feel that from a bare-knuckled political perspective, Senator Obama should pick someone who will deliver a state that is a toss-up.
I think you point out the speciousness of certain arguments against her nomination for the number 2 post, such as trying to be the co-president, and the concern about what was said in the midst of a political campaign. But, to the extent that a VP candidate can help someone get elected, I submit then that that should be the focus.
June 5, 2008 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Like maybe Clinton to help him win Florida and Pennsylvania.
June 5, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
She would be of no help in those states the people who swung those states to her were not going to vote for her in the fall. Warner or Rendel might help with them but not her.
June 5, 2008 11:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I defer to Gasket's wisdom. We also have Michigan, Texas and California to consider.
We can do the identity vote thing - Hispanics aren't enamoured with Obama and they aren't dedicated Democrats. They like McCain. Richardson won't be running. Hillary won over 2/3 of the Hispanic vote in Texas and California and 3/5 in Florida (Edwards got a bit of the vote there). Do you have another candidate that can appeal that much to Hispanics?
You may not like Appalachia and the Midwest, but they sure seemed to flock to Hillary. Will a different white candidate draw the same support as Hillary? (Hint: would another candidate appear both strong on security as well as good with women's issues, sometimes important to the 60% of the Democratic party that is female).
Common wisdom has been that the Clintons destroyed their connection with the black community this campaign, and yet we see time and again that a majority of blacks want her as VP. Listen to these people - they have their eye on the prize, Obama in the White House 2008. They understand the best way to do that.
June 5, 2008 10:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't believe that Hillary or Bill have lost any lasting credibility in the African American community, as distinguished from white folks who detest the Clintons and who claim standing to speak for the African American community because they are in the know on these things (hee). Indeed, over at Election Central, there's a post reporting that even now, in the closing moments of this heated campaign, almost half of African American voters favor Hillary to be VP.
Gasket makes a good point about Florida, but I'm not sure Hillary is the person for Pennsylvania (I'd look to Rendell first for that). But, hey, if Obama wants to go with Hillary I'll be one happy Democrat.
June 5, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Right, Rendell may carry PA, but what does he do for Texas, California and Florida?
Realistically, if Obama wants to lock the VP up in a closet or shuffle him/her off to the South Pacific, he can. I don't know if the resistance to Hillary is about whether she'd keep him from getting elected, damage his administration, or simply a need to get back at perceived wrongs.
June 5, 2008 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
No way. Rendell is a bad idea. For anyone who thinks Bill is a loose cannon, you haven't seen Rendell in action long enough. He's a charismatic guy but he has a tendency towards speaking before he thinks.
Plus, while I think the video of him praising Farrakhan is a complete non-issue, the Republicans might just be able to scare up enough of the fear-of-the-unknown votes if they can tie both the people on the ticket to him, even if the ties are about as strenuous as can be.
And, he's really not that popular in PA. (I used to live there, until very recently.) Mostly the Philly area likes him from his time as mayor, and his approval ratings have not been terribly fantastic during his time as governor. A lot of people are irritated at him over the whole gambling issues taking place in PA. Plus, the area he's mostly popular in isn't the one Obama will need to get more votes out of. He already does well in the Philly area.
June 5, 2008 12:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's some more Gasket Wisdom humbly offered, as always:
No one votes for vice president, except for people in that person's home state. Even that's not a guarantee for victory (see Llyod Bentsen for one of many sad examples).
So, choosing Mark Warner or Jim Webb will not guarantee Virginia, even though Virginia is a must-win on Obama's map. Trust me, the Dems have already galvanized racist Republicans in Virginia who will not abide a black president in their lifetime. He cannot win there. I know many hopeful Obamanauts will object, but save yourself the carpal tunnel. Obama cannot turn Virginia blue. Virginia is off the table.
Hillary is the only VP choice who can pull actual votes for her, and in so doing, she can pull more than one state for him. She can pull all of the swing states into the win category for Democrats in 2008. No one else can do that.
Besides, it's not like Democrats who voted for Obama in the primaries and caucuses will refuse to vote Democrat if she's on the ticket.
To think any other VP option has the rock star power of Hillary is ludicrous. You don't have to like her, but clearly, millions of real voters do.
The issue of governing and power-sharing is irrelevant if Obama loses the election. There is only one goal here: winning in November. Stay focused and lobby for a joint ticket.
June 5, 2008 12:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amen!
June 5, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I completely agree with you Des. Except the Saturday part - I don't see that happening.
I actually had this debate with my brother last night, who had the same concerns about Bill. Here's my take on it:
Against McCain, it's a whole different ballgame. They won't have to attack on minute personality differences and little details. They have big huge gaping differences on the issues on which to attack on. And we're right on the issues, I think, in this election. For another thing, Bill is a fucking campaign machine. One thing I've noticed over the course of this primary is that he's had significantly more campaign events in one day than anyone else out there on the campaign trail. 4, 5, sometimes up to 8 events a day. The man is simply tireless. And people really like him. Put him in the right venues and he is an enormous asset. Same goes for Hillary. (One caveat: they both need a quick Youtube briefer - one thing I'm not sure they've fully understood the influence of during this primary - anything and everything they say is under a microscope that can be available to the world in a moment's notice.)
Secondly, Bill put it best earlier when he was touting the opposite line-up: they could be an unstoppable force. The sheer numbers of turnout that ticket could bring out in terms of the young, African-Americans, and women could blow out of the water any "Republican base" turnout (which I tend to think will turn out regardless). The excitement around the ticket would be incredible.
As far as governing, what is Bill going to do? Obama's not exactly a wimp, I really don't see him, even if Bill or Hillary were trying to control things, letting them. Bill will return to his charity work, which he's done great things in. Hillary can run the show on the issues that are her forte. Health care for one. And for those of you who note that it was her confrontational style that did it in in the 90s, I would say that Obama can say, we're going about this my way first, but she has an incredible knowledge of the details and players involved in that area.
And finally, for the concerns that the Clintons would overshadow Obama, well, I'd just say that he casts a pretty big light himself.
Honestly, I've come to a point where I'll be disappointed if she doesn't end up as VP. It could just be so damn exciting.
June 5, 2008 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Careful on turnout expectations - the Republicans got their rule change through the Supreme Court, so they're going to be combing through all black ID's to disqualify.
Saturday was just an example. The earlier they can pull together, the more impressive and the more time to work.
June 5, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's true. But that's kind of my point - we're going to be facing that regardless of who the Democratic nominee is. So the idea that putting Clinton on the ticket motivates the Republican base, well, I'd say that while there's probably some merit to that argument, I really don't see them sitting at home in the fall anyway.
And not just AA turnout - with the millenials coming of age, there's the possibility of a huge change in the voting patterns of the country, if we can get them to come out and vote. I honestly think Obama can do this. In 2004, the turnout among 18-24 year olds was 47%, up 11 points from 2000. 24-34 year olds, 56%, up 5 points from 2000. If we can increase voter registration and turnout among those groups alone, we increase our chances of a good victory. Add in the possibilities of higher turnout among AAs and women and it's an even better possibility. That's why the 50 state voter registration drive is such a huge deal. And people aren't just excited to vote, they're excited to get out there and work to get them elected.
I think McCain's base will be energized enough to vote, but he's going to have more of an uphill struggle with the sheer numbers of people we have out there working and volunteering.
I like this statistical model of what might happen if turnout increases in some of those demographic groups:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/black-youth-and-latino-turnout-and.html
June 5, 2008 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
You got my point that the Republicans will be doing their best to disqualify AA's in November with their new ID law and their old messed up felony lists.
June 5, 2008 3:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I get it, that's why I think it's important to focus raising turnout among various demographics. Aside from that, the ID law and turning legitimate voters away is a separate conversation worth having one of these days.
June 5, 2008 7:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to disagree on Hillary for the VP. To much water under the bridge at this point and I think Obama doesn't have to worry about Clinton's voters coming back. Some, but not enough to matter.
It's just too much. Hillary and Bill cause too much fatigue. Listening to Obama speak yesterday I'm kind of sure he will not pick her. Who's your second choice if you can't have Hillary, HIllary?
June 5, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that you Clinton isn't needed to for the VEEP. However, I really, really, really despise your comment that "we don't need to worry about clinton's voters. They'll come back"
1: Way to take people for granted and discount their concerns.
2: If you look at women as a voting bloc, they are not 90% Democratic, There is a gender gap, but it's not that huge.
3: Honestly, with the anti-feminist rhetoric, the concern troll condescension and the flat out sexism here, if it's the experience of other women, there are a lot of people alienated from the campaign. Dismissing their concerns and assuming their vote is something you can take for granted just alienates them more.
4) The popularity of rightwing anti-women suggestions for VP - that's guaranteed to drive women into leaving that field blank or writing in someone else.
June 5, 2008 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems odd for you take my political assessment in such an emotional way. I'm talking straight politics not feelings. I don't believe that what I've said is disrespectful at all. Hasn't Obama been kind and inclusive to Clinton in every way in the last days? Are you mad at him?
June 5, 2008 8:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am also talking politics. You said that the concerns of Clinton's supporters can be ignored because they will fall into line. They might, but they might not.
When I see all these rightwing suggestions for VP, I cannot see myself voting for Obama. I won't vote for Hagel. I won't for for Nunn or Webb. They are not people I can vote for. Moreover they are nothing more than Obama supporters finding ways to give women the finger. Those are not just saying Clinton, you lost by less than 1 % but just to make it hurt, let's spit in your face.
No, I don't want Clinton as VEEP either. I want her to kick that toothless gutless Harry Reid out and take his place. I don't want to ask too much of Americans in one election, to be frank. I can see them voting for a black man, I can see them voting for a woman, I can't see them voting for both at the same time.
Additionally, New York is safely Democratic so she adds nothing geographically. Being from Illinois, he really adds nothing since that's where he lives. Maybe Arkansas, but I don't believe it.
but bottom line, please don't just assume people who support Clinton can be ignored and taken for granted. It's offensive.
June 5, 2008 8:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
You sure are mad. And that Oregon primary must have hurt. But you're taking it out on the wrong person. If you were to go through my posts in the last weeks you would find many suggestions that the Obama lunatics stop being so condescending to the Clinton and her people. Bottom line, to use your wording -- it's not my job to be nice to anyone. I'm from the 19th century anyway.
June 5, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I love when Oregon Activist gets mad!
June 5, 2008 11:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, leave Mrs. Now A Pic alone - I've grown a bit fond of her in an impish chimpish way - she's not just riding the wake, she's sailing back and forth in a somewhat provoking and compelling wave. She says she's from the 19th Century but I think she's one of those Shelley types harking back to Greek classics. She's a chorus girl, listen to her.
As for kicking out Reid and replacing him with Hillary, that gave me a moment of mirth, but only a moment. Hillary's time in the Senate hasn't been to be a revolutionary, it's been to work hard and carefully prepare her way for the presidency. For Reid, there was no endgame for his spinelessness. For Hillary there were bigger fish to fry, eyes on the prize. But now I only see majority leader as interesting if McCain's President - she could be beautiful in an adversarial role. But with Obama as President, I'm starting to get the sense he'd just be telling her to iron his shirt and wonder why it's taking so long. And with all our brave leaders coming together harping on her to quit already, I can only imagine the respect she'll get. I like her more in an executive position, or maybe she can just finish out her term and head out with Bill to spend their $200 million and do their Davos stuff and give the finger to all of us. It's not like they owe us anything. Al Gore showed the way. They'll only like you when you disappear.
June 6, 2008 2:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
And good point on the minor personality traits vs. major policy differences. The Clintons were in a box on the campaign trail that they had to break out of, creating differences where none were perceived.
June 5, 2008 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
I prefer her in a cabinet post - secretary of defense - if any department needs someone who pays attention to detail it is that department.
June 5, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Give her HHS so that she can work on healthcare.
June 5, 2008 11:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's a thought, but the defense department is a real rat's nest that needs a housecleaning. Since Clinton has positioned herself as strong on defense it would be a good match.
June 5, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
There are better candidates available and it is one place where he could safely put his token GOPer.
June 5, 2008 4:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Secretary of Defense? With her record of pro-war votes on Iraq and Iran, and her comments about obliterating Iran? You've got to be kidding! I don't want her anywhere near that office!
June 5, 2008 11:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
There was no "war vote" on Iran. And you might remember that Kerry, Edwards and Dodd also voted for the Iraq resolution. The Iraq resolution was predicated on the Bush administration receiving a U.N. mandate.
June 5, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Her votes were reckless and calculating. Not the kind of judgement needed for State.
June 5, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know that calculating cancels out reckless, right?
Reminds me of a favorite New Yorker cartoon:
Charles Dickens' publisher reviewing his manuscript says, "I wish you would make up your mind, Mr. Dickens. Was it the best of times or was it the worst of times? It could scarcely have been both."
June 5, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Vintage gasket! What will we do without us?
June 5, 2008 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm gonna miss us. ;-)
June 5, 2008 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
We already do.
June 6, 2008 5:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'll echo that.
June 6, 2008 11:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bev, I said "pro-war", not "war vote". I refer to her vote for the resolution designating the Iranian Army's Quds force as a terrorist organization. This resolution was widely reported and seen by many progressive commentators as a ruse to provide justification for a future US attack.
And, I don't care who else voted for the Iraq war resolution - they were wrong, too! Some of our wiser legislators were not swayed by the administration's warmongering and voted against authorizing the use of force. I don't want anyone who voted for the AUMF to hold the Sec Def position.
HRC is too quick to leap into hawk mode and employ belligerent rhetoric (e.g. her "We could obliterate them") comment regarding Iran. We've suffered through enough of that macho bullshit and its consequences under Bush/Cheney.
June 5, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gosh. Maybe you didn't get the memo or read Obama's AIPAC speech, but he seems to have come around to the Clinton position on Iran now that he has the nomination.
June 5, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I read the speech. He was not bellicose. Obama called for "tough-minded diplomacy" (his words). He spoke of US-led, coordinated diplomatic efforts, and advocated bringing international pressure to bear via sanctions and divestment. Obama explicity made the distinction between Ahamadinejad's administration and the Iranian people. He did not make threats of military action.
And again, he did not vote for a resolution that would help to provide cover for a Bush/Cheney strike on Iran (as HRC did).
June 5, 2008 5:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, fuck it - Billy G., when you're right, you're right. I just discovered that what I read were his prepared remarks, not the speech he actually delivered. I am disappointed. I am old enough to expect to be disappointed by any given politician, and this will certainly put me on higher alert when it comes to scrutinizing Barack O.
That said, I still do not Hillary at the Dept. of Defense. Between her and Obama, she still wins the bellicosity prize.
June 5, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . do not want Hillary at the Dept. of Defense. (apologies for typo)
June 5, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't want her there either. I want her to go back and finish her term and retire and have a good life. Plant some flowers. Write her memoirs. Time for a generational shift now. We need to step aside and let our kids run the world. We hold on to our money too long for it to do them any good, and we hold on to power too long, too. Who is the youngest person we know who could be Secretary of Defense? Or of State? Or Homeland Security?
June 5, 2008 8:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
You love her. You know what's best for her. Go tell Hillary (on the beach) that things will be OK if she sits it out. I don't think Hillary wants VP. But it's reasonable that she would want the offer. And then decline. The danger is that in the excitement she accepts.
It seems out of control, Billy. Obama is right. Everyone sit back and take a breath.
June 5, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really don't want her on the ticket for two reasons, one obvious, one less so.
The obvious answer is that Hillary on the ticket gets us two GOP oppo folders for the price of one. They've spent years building her folder and they're eager to unleash it. Of course, that might be helpful if it forces them to not spend as much time on Obama, so maybe this concern is unfounded.
My nonobvious reason is this: I want the vice presidency reduced to the point that no one of Hillary's energy would want it. I want the OVP staff slashed and that giant safe removed. I want the Veep to have a daily intel briefing, the right to attend cabinet meetings and the president's ear if he/she doesn't abuse the privilege; maybe sub on the day to day stuff when Obama's at Camp David.
Other than that, I want the office reduced to its constitutional and traditional functions : break ties in the Senate, attend funerals of people we don't like or who aren't important enough to rate presidential face time, fiddle with the bureaucracy, and quitely gripe about boredom and irrelevancy of the office.
I want that office reduced back to the point that Hillary's talent and energy would be wasted in it. I want, in other words, for it to look like id did under Reagan.
June 5, 2008 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
I like your second reason. I would add that I think that any candidate for president should rule out giving the VP slot to anyone who believes they are owed it.
June 5, 2008 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Best reason I have heard so far about why Hillary shouldn't be VP. Honestly, the office should be beneath someone of Hillary's stature. Unless she WANTS to take an obstensible vacation from hard-nose politics, that is.
June 5, 2008 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
An office is an honour bestowed by the people, no office is below someone's stature.
June 5, 2008 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't recall the complaining about Al Gore in that office, or worries that John Edwards would find it beneath him.
June 5, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
George H. W. didn't seem to mind being VP.
June 5, 2008 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, how much did Al Gore have upon the impact of Bill Clinton's presidency? Or Dan Quayle?
I agree that George H.W.Bush and Cheney wielded incredible power as shadow-presidents with a puppet figurehead in the Oval Office, but thats a Republican custom.
And as we all know, an incumbent VP isn't necessarily a lock-in to a Presidential election.
June 5, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with your second reason whole-heartedly. I've heard numerous commentators this week raise the question of whether Clinton would even want the job since the office is typically a mundane affair. I've even heard a few raise John Garner's famous estimation of the office not being worth a bucket of warm piss.
These people haven't been paying attention. In fact, I think your suggestion of returning the office to it's status under Reagan is even perhaps a little ignorant of history. Who do you think was orchestrating Iran-Contra? The affable old actor or the former Director of the CIA?
My point is that I agree with you in principle. I don't want what Cheney has done to become the new standard of the Vice President. However, we should be careful to remember what the office has meant before Cheney as well.
June 5, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Desidero,
I'm impressed with your conciliatory tone and lucid perspective, yet I disagree completely with the notion of Hillary as Veep.
1) Carter was right: The Clintons are ultra-polarizing and would rally the GOP base against the Democratic ticket
2) The job of Veep is beneath her, leading to restlessness for a more prominent role for that office and needless friction
3) Hillary's presence on the ticket would erase Obama's signature reason for being: Change trumps Experience (including McCain's) and would send independents packing to McCain's camp
4) Her RFK remark would erode her ability to govern effectively in the event of a worst-case scenario, regardless of her innocence in the matter
5) No amount of pre-briefing could prevent roving goodwill ambassador Bill from offering his own, in-depth, policy-wonk insights in the form of a foot in his mouth that would require a 24/7/365 rapid-response administration extraction team
June 5, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Change is #1 and Experience is #2, Change trumps experience. So what's the problem?
June 5, 2008 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The Clintons are ultra-polarizing ".
Pot/kettle?
"Her RFK remark would erode her ability to govern effectively in the event of a worst-case scenario, regardless of her innocence in the matter".
G-d forbid. Nuff said. Hillary for VP.
June 5, 2008 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're being purposely obtuse, right?
June 5, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
yea, kinda, sorta :)
June 5, 2008 9:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only reason I'd want her as VP is to teach her how to deal with her political opponents in the service of progressive change. If she could learn either by osmosis or, God forbid, by admitting her egregious failings--her arrogance and reliance on demonization and other dishonest polarizing techniques--and consciously devoting herself to learning Obama's alternative methods for creating change, I'd believe that she could be a great vice president and future president. She has all the other qualities needed.
I believe that she actually could learn and change as she sees Obama succeeding and as she begins reading academic and professional versions of his methods. Like him, she once was a devotee of Sol Alinsky, the famed community organizer; they differed in that she believed in the confrontational emphasis in Reville for Radicals, whereas Obama did not. He believed in empathizing with opponents.
June 5, 2008 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Didn't she mend fences with Robert Byrd, Gingrich and Scaife?
June 5, 2008 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
She also stated, in her thesis on Alinsky, that she disagreed with his notion that you can change things from the outside. I find this to be a very interesting perspective at this point in the game. I wonder how she views Alinsky now.
June 5, 2008 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
All nicley presented arguments for picking Hillary as VP, but the only consideration in picking a running mate should be maximinzing Obama's chance of winning in November.
It would be impossible to guess who that person is at this time. We have just concluded a bruising primary campaign. The political landscape will feel totally different one month from now, when Democrats have all calmed down and are fully focussed on the task of defeating McCain. Polls, electoral college prospects, and attitudes among various Democrats (especially Clinton supporters) will all be competely different in August than they are now.
Obama is brilliant to put together this wonderful committee to review VP prospects. This is not a decision that should be rushed.
June 5, 2008 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re Bill, the disconnect between the Bill Clinton of today and the one from the 90s is so huge that I'm beginning to really believe that his surgery is responsible. This is not an excuse being made for Bill -- there is more than a ton of clinical and medical anecdotal evidence showing that people who undergo the type of major heart surgery he had can indeed experience changes in their personalities. TV talking heads the past few days have used phrases like "lost his political edge," and that would fit in with this theory. It's really doubtful that he could just suddenly lose his edge.
That said, it's unclear if anything can be done about it. But at least recognizing it means something.
June 5, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, crazy like a fox.
June 5, 2008 1:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Months ago I saw him speak and realized he just didn't have it anymore, that the UN chief idea was no longer possible, and that he's basically old and finished on the political circuit. Can still do a lot of good in other ways.
June 5, 2008 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
What about campaigning for Obama? Don't you think that isimportant for his legacy? What do you think he should do now ? Could you see Obama making him kind of special envoy or something like that?
June 5, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill's always gone where others told him. Al told him to go away in 2000 and he did. He lined up with George Sr. after Katrina. Presuming Obama didn't humiliate Bill's wife, Bill would likely campaign well for him if Obama wanted him out there.
June 5, 2008 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill's always gone where others told him. Al told him to go away in 2000 and he did. He lined up with George Sr. after Katrina. Presuming Obama didn't humiliate Bill's wife, Bill would likely campaign well for him if Obama wanted him out there.
June 5, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks. Thanks.
June 5, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
No way. He's not done yet, and he's still got it. He just needs 21st century tweaking. The problems he's had on the campaign trail this primary all stem from one simple thing: he was the king of the campaign trail in a time when you could say something in one place and it stayed there. I'm really not joking when I say someone just needs to sit him down and remind him that in the age of Youtube, cell phones, digital cameras, etc, he's constantly on the national stage.
He's indefatigable, and people still love him.
Plus, I just love the idea of the man from Hope out there on this campaign trail. The past couple months, it crossed my mind not once that if this were a different campaign, one where Hillary wasn't running, Bill would have been Obama's most vocal supporter.
June 5, 2008 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I saw somewhere that Hill and Bill claim that they have been vetted and refuse to submit to Obama's vetting process (in which he checks into financial dealings, etc).
If that is the case, that should tell us all we need to know about playing VEEP to Obama's POTUS. Again, more of the same entitlement; more of the lack of being a team player. No WAY should she get this position.
June 5, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you saw it on Drudge? On Fox? Martians beamed it down?
I remember lots of reports that Hillary would stay in all the way to the convention, would run as an independent or even be McCain's Veep, giving everyone excuses to start calling Hillary a Republican.
Just the facts, Ma'am.
June 5, 2008 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
It was The Wall Street Journal.
June 5, 2008 4:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Editorial page? Stark raving mad.
June 5, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Des, nice post. You make a very reasoned and often compelling argument. And there's certainly good reason to consider Hillary as VP, though there can also be concerns that you raise, and others, against it. But in the end, Obama will evaluate Hillary and other possible candidates for the position based probably on political strategy, but also, I imagine, on his belief that they will stand with him for the real changes he wants to see. You noticed that the DNC has already announced no lobbyist contributions - and that's Obama's first step in real reform, while McCain talks about it and does the opposite.
So, I believe that Obama is dedicated to the change he advertises, and that his choice of Veep will be someone who he has talked with, discussed the future with, and considered in terms of the electoral map - all of that.
Hillary is one of the candidates. She has to be. But give them time to iron things out. Obama has run a brilliant campaign so far. Yes, he does have some potential weaknesses, but I have faith in his intelligence and political instincts to make the right decision, whatever that is.
June 5, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good one, Des.
I'm not so much jubilant as relieved. I think that six months from now we'll look back at this and realize that Hillary was such a tough competitor for Obama that beating McCain was easy by comparison.
June 5, 2008 4:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I read the speech. He was not bellicose. Obama called for "tough-minded diplomacy" (his words). He spoke of US-led, coordinated diplomatic efforts, and advocated bringing international pressure to bear via sanctions and divestment. Obama explicity made the distinction between Ahamadinejad's administration and the Iranian people. He did not make threats of military action.
And again, he did not vote for a resolution that would help to provide cover for a Bush/Cheney strike on Iran (as HRC did).
June 5, 2008 5:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, this was intended to be a reply to Billy Glad (reposted above).
June 5, 2008 5:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama said,
Obama also said,
That went over great in the West Bank.
June 5, 2008 5:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
He lost some shine on that one for me also. Curious how the Obamanauts feel about that pandering. Why don't you run a blog on it? No one talks about Israel in this part of TPM. It's the big kosher elephant that's not in the room.
June 5, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi, no pic.
June 5, 2008 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
No pic. My street name.
June 5, 2008 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama already flip-flopping on Kyl-Lieberman
But it went nowhere and the consensus seemed to be pro-pander.
June 5, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey. Good blog.
There's a problem at this part of TPM. The pic-people just can't get enough of the same thing. And every day. You wouldn't want your piece to take up space from someone that needs to post two pieces a day, would you?
This could be easily changed. Program the interface to accept one blog per pic-person every three days. That would unstop the clogged blog thinking a lot, perhaps.
June 5, 2008 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ummm... your categorization of women as list-making organizers is, dare I say, sexist.
Poor, confused green thing.
June 5, 2008 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary made the categorization. Around the same time someone pointed out something about the training women got at Wellesley around her college days - be able to organize those lavish upper-class dinners complete with catering, entertainment, etc. Very practical large-scale organization, even if assumption that the women would just be housewives was inherently sexist. Anyway, not sure what the gripe is about lists.
June 5, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder Desidero how you came to this adoration of Hillary. It just doesn't seem to fit your persona.
I have my theory of how Billy got there. You know the way that Billy has something snappy to say about anything and to anyone?
I think that Billy met Hillary at some kind of function -a fund raiser or some kind of team management thing, and was so struck by her, he was speechless. From then on it was love from afar.
But you, Desidero, I don't see the history.
June 5, 2008 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
You may be right.
June 5, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
First time for me reading that. He's in more than love. He's in lust. But you realize that the most necessary skill of the artist is the continuing creation of inner desire. Hillary is to Billy as Beatrice was to Dante, maybe. Hillary Clinton as the archetype of desire. Who knew.
June 5, 2008 10:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought you were a Romantic. Anyone can be the archetype for Desire. The fire burns from within.
June 6, 2008 5:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone? That leads to some rather dark places even a Romantic Realist wouldn't go. Any "thing" leads to fetish.
June 6, 2008 9:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
I fell in love with a woman in a Mucha photograph once. She was a long-waisted girl and she died before I was born. I was sad for months.
June 5, 2008 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, you didn't.
His lithos kicked ass, though.
June 5, 2008 11:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're such a Romantic, Billy. Maybe Mozart in a former life.
June 5, 2008 11:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I feel in love once with someone above my station and it hurt so good I wrote eight novels about it. Made some real cash with the Masterpiece Theater deal, thought the royalties don't cheer up my crypt much.
June 6, 2008 9:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
1992, she was Sharon Stone on the trail, that headband, the new kids on the block. And then they shut her down, back to the kitchen with her cookies. It was horrifying. But she took it, did what she had to.
I admire strong women in the background. Generally the ones who get successful have the wrong qualities - they're their cause they're kind of cute and smoke cigars with the boys. It's the Cinderella thing. Someone's always home mopping that floor and we don't know who it is. Or even think about it. Hillary's problem like real Cinderellas is she didn't know how to talk about herself. If she had turned her college studies and intellectual journey into a myth like Obama, it would have played better. Except girl fairy tales always end at meeting some guy.
June 6, 2008 1:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nice comment.
Makes me think of how William Wordsworth pilfered phrases and imagery from his sister Dorothy's diary for his poetry. She loved him dearly and didn't seem to mind. Reading her diary and his poetry together is fascinating (not that anyone has time to do that). I'm not sure if Dorothy qualifies as strong, but she certainly made William strong.
Yes, that's exactly right. I'll go out on a limb and say most women don't know how to talk about themselves.
I saw Hillary transform on the campaign trail. I watched the last of her geeky girlhood melt away, and I sometimes caught glimpses of an emerging inner calm. I say this knowing no one will agree with me, but when she won, she was radiant. She was the president I wanted. Her newfound "voice" was more a state of being than the script of what she was saying. "Voice" translated into an image rather than into words.
June 6, 2008 3:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Lise Meitner wasn't even allowed to work in a science lab as a woman - she had to work for free, and then went into exile as a Jew. She discovered nuclear fission, and her colleague Otto Hahn took all the credit and got the Nobel Prize for it.
June 6, 2008 3:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Clinton was so good in the hearings on health care. She was so sure she was going to kick their asses, that the time had come. Sharon Stone's the perfect reference. Her victory speeches this campaign displayed some of that spirit.
June 6, 2008 8:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can't resist. Sorry Mr. Desidero. Speaking of science labs, which woman worked on you?
June 6, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jane Goodall and Diane Fossey.
June 6, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sharon Stone. Hillary Clinton. Not the kind of surrogate that shows Hillary in the best imagery. Sexist too. You guys are so twisted and so 80's when it comes to this kind of thing. Put Hillary on a horse,
give her an army, and let Joan of Arc take Paris. That's desire.
June 6, 2008 9:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Everyone was so '80s in the '90s. Remember?
June 6, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh don't worry, I'm not a Sharon Stone fan, it was just the obvious point of reference. Sigourney Weaver was 10 times the actress, say with Death and the Mermaid amongst others. Or Emily Watson, Breaking the Waves. Or maybe Liz Taylor in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf.
June 6, 2008 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a constant list maker, I take no offense.
June 5, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good, it was meant as a huge huge compliment.
June 6, 2008 2:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
I see it from a different frame.
First, let me say I find the so-called unity ticket intriguing and exciting and always have. I also think it's real risky, has a high floor and low ceiling.
But she's got the power now of all those wins and delegates, she can be a "lion" of the Senate and a leader and power broker in the party. (Not to mention, you know when you leave a job, the "rolodex" is the most valuable thing, well, she's got an awful big one now.)
The vice-president job would definitely be a step down for her with what she has gained now, she would only be doing it as a duty to the party and if it helps Obama win. It wouldn't help her personal ambition, even for a future run. With this experience of being so close of a runner-up, she's just as good for a future run coming from the Senate, as from V.P. Maybe better, because if he ends up unpopular for some reason, she doesn't get the blame.
I really feel the need to add that she really did improve her standing as a leader a great deal with this run, if you think back to what her reputation was outside of New York before it started. (Despite the loudness of Hillary haters on the net, who I think give net addicts a mistaken impression of reality in the country.)
A cabinet position is more in line with her personal ambition, mho--if I learned anything from having her as my Senator and watching her run, she wants the power to make things happen. That's not in the V.P. job description (even Cheney has to attempt that by very underhanded means, heh.)
Basically what I am trying to say is that those Hillary haters who are thinking she wants the V.P. position because of personal ambition are thinking backwards. If it's all about personal ambition, she would refuse V.P. (She might want the offer, not implying that at all.) If she would accept it, it would be because she thinks it will help make the right things happen for the country, less personal ambition involved, more sacrifice of personal ambition.
June 5, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's not going to offer it.
June 5, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank god! I don't want Hillary anywhere near Obama. I know I've spent the entire day outlining how she can win the election for Dems in key swing states, but for her own good, I really don't want Hillary to be tarnished by Obama's humiliating defeat at the hands of the worst Republican candidate ever nominated.
June 5, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was hoping she'd help avoid a train wreck.
June 6, 2008 3:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
I know, me too. I have no doubt Hillary can stop the train wreck. But if the train happened to wreck anyway, she'd be blamed for it. So I'm speaking out of protectiveness of her (and I suspect Billy is too). In fact, I feel more protective of her than I do of my country. (But that could be simply because it's 5 a.m.)
I console myself by the thought that it's too soon for Obama to choose someone. And with all government jobs, it has to be advertised first. ;-)
June 6, 2008 4:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, I'm beyond the blame. I just want to try to avoid the train wreck.
June 6, 2008 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
The boys want to wreck the train, so they will. There's no stopping it now. Myths, wars, nukes, trains. Our choice for president is between Hemingway himself or Robert Jordan in For Whom the Bell Tolls.
June 6, 2008 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
oops, I meant to say:
it's real risky, has a high ceiling and low floor.
June 5, 2008 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
artappraiser, I personally loved the claustrophobic high floor/low ceiling effect. ;-)
June 5, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is a problem with vetting and the library donations. But I think the biggest problem is exemplified by Tuesday night. Instead of it being about the most historic nomination it's about her, her non-concession and jockying for VP. Even Ed Rendell said it would be unwise because she would tend to upstage the president. She's too strong a personality and is used to being at the top of the heap. She obviously is very comfortable wrestling for power and control.
Sorry, you'll just have to wait and see. No morning after lovey dovey booby prize for you.
June 5, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
O superman. o judge. o mom and dad. mom and dad. o superman. o judge. o mom and dad. mom and dad. hi. Im not home right now. but if you want to leave a message, just start talking at the sound
E tone. hello? this is your mother. are you there? are you coming home? hello? is anybody home? well, you dont know me, but I know you. and Ive got a message to give to you. here come the plan
O you better get ready. ready to go. you can come as you are, but pay as you go. pay as you go. and I said: ok. who is this really? and the voice said: this is the hand, the hand that takes. this is
The hand, the hand that takes. this is the hand, the hand that takes. here come the planes. theyre american planes. made in america. smoking or non-smoking? and the voice said: neither snow nor
Nor gloom of night shall stay these couriers from the swift completion of their appointed rounds. cause when love is gone, theres always justice. and when justice is gone, theres always force
D when force is gone, theres
Always mom. hi mom! so hold me, mom, in your long arms. so hold me, mom, in your long arms. in your automatic arms. your electronic arms. in your arms. so hold me, mom, in your long arms. your
Chemical arms. your military arms. in your electronic arms.
June 5, 2008 10:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Too sad, workerbee. Don't that minimalist gal haunt me to death.
June 5, 2008 10:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
The first polls already show that Hillary would give Obama a huge bump over McCain.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/107716/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Gets-Slight-Bounce-Clinton.aspx
We'll see it that continues. IMO that is what it really comes down to, because what matter is beating the Republicans in November, right?
June 5, 2008 11:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another one, Desi.
I heard a rumor that you and Billy are going "walkabout." Is this true? Just as I was getting to know and like both, you and Billy, one's going to travel back in time and the other is going "walkabout."
Why?
Makes me sad.
June 5, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
e-stuffus.blogspot.com
A minimalist rock to hang our hats
June 6, 2008 1:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
I, the white zebra with black stripes or the black zebra with white stripes - I'm both, am visiting in the interests of reaching out to both Desidero and Billy Glad.
I wanted to say that Billy wrote the two most striking blogposts I’ve read here at TPM. One was about how Hillary was his revolution. The other was the myth of Barack Obama. When I read the latter, I felt a blogpost coming upon me that I wanted to write. I used to be heavily influenced, once, by Claude the God. Billy's post made me think from a different point. The one Desidero wrote recently about rules as zen koan was also pretty cool.
In this post, Desidero has treated all the stuff that floated out through the crevices of hard campaigning. I agree with most of it. Except for the VP. See, I don't think she wants it. Yes, she is the consummate professional at her post, still, she's human. In some important ways, Obama owes her. He knows it. She knows it. Many others here on ground know it. I don't think she wants the VP.
I also wanted to say that I have appreciated the presence of Billy, Desidero, readytoblowagasket and indiex and their comments.
June 6, 2008 12:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
If she doesn't want it, she doesn't want it - nothing to do. I'm not convinced completely, even though Billy seems sure.
Anyway, thanks for your nice words.
June 6, 2008 1:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
It will be good working with you going ahead Desidero, I may not always agree with you but your views are well thought out.
First I would like to say that I will admit, I have fallen victim to the sabotage idea from time to time and I am not afraid to admit that I was entirely wrong about her on that.
I agree that she would be a good choice and I wouldn't be disappointed at all. I may have sounded like it from time to time but I have never been a Clinton hater, a Clinton tactic hater, yes. A Clinton hater, no.
I would however like Bill to stop asking for a waiver on the background check for the time between his presidency to now, because we all know if there is anything shady the republicans will relish bringing it out even if he has nothing to do with the race. I just worry about all the scandal, true or not too many people believe this stuff. Too many people are to willing to believe it.
I also think there are a lot of great choices out there that I would like him to have time to really go over the options. I personally like Wexler just because I want to see Bush extradited and charged for war crimes in Iraq. That's just me.
However I agree that it would she would be a great VP.
Hope I never crossed the line with you in the heat of the moment. I took too many of the cult comments and such too personally so I posted a lot with a raw edge. I look forward to taking Mcain on with you.
June 6, 2008 3:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's the stupid things people say when they're not angry that bother me.
June 6, 2008 3:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know, it's really hard to tell if you are just saying something or trying to insult me.
If the first I agree.
If the second then I would appreciate a little more info so I can respond.
June 7, 2008 5:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Leaving on my walkabout, but no, it wasn't an insult. Damage done in the heat of battle can be forgiven easier than premeditated damage in peace, or something like that. Shaw said to never hit your child except in anger, that cold cruelty can't be forgiven. Gone.
June 8, 2008 8:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good luck and I hope something really nice and unusual happens while you're gone.
:(
I hope you come back soon.
June 8, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
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