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Zogby Claims 30 Superdelegates to Endorse Obama in next 48 Hours

By astral66 - May 7, 2008, 3:12PM

In his BBC article today, pollster John Zogby claims that Obama will roll out 30 superdelegate endorsements in the next 48 hours.

Where do we go from here? My understanding is that probably today, but certainly within 48 hours, about 30 super-delegates will endorse Mr Obama. That should give him further momentum.

Read the entire article here:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7387919.stm

Comments (12)

excerpt:

I honestly believe that she will find a way to get out of the race before the next primaries - so as to not hurt her future and to not be blamed for hurting Mr Obama and his chances in the general election.
Here are the reasons:

There really is no mathematical chance for her to win

Her campaign is virtually out of money - and it will be difficult for her to raise significant amounts of money after last night

Not enough happened last night to give her any hope, so continuing would only give the appearance of wanting to damage Mr Obama

Another problem she faces is that she is not perceived as a strong general election contender, because of her high negative poll ratings.

I have no evidence that she will throw in the towel, or when she will. She is a Clinton and the Clintons do not have the word "lose" in their playbook - but these are the things I am hearing from supporters on both sides.

Posted by Opus Hussein X
May 7, 2008 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink

I hope she stays in until at least May 20th (since Obama would probably lose WV and KY regardless), and I expect she'll stay in until the convention (since most of the cost for doing so has already been spent).

Posted by Ben Hocking
May 7, 2008 3:21 PM | Reply | Permalink

It is to the benefit of the grassroots organizers in Oregon, Montana and South Dakota if she does so.

Posted by Opus Hussein X
May 7, 2008 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink

Alas, we are at the point where when I see good news attributed to Zogby, my heart sinks.

Posted by mcc
May 7, 2008 3:34 PM | Reply | Permalink

Zogby gets it right sometimes. From Daily Kos:

According to SurveyUSA's pollster scorecards, which track 8 different measures of scoring polling results:
North Carolina: PPP was the most accurate by five measures, Zogby by three.

Indiana: PPP was the most accurate by five measures, InsiderAdvantage by three.

Overall, Research 2000, who does polling for Daily Kos, was second best in North Carolina (out of 13) and fourth best in Indiana (out of 10).

Posted by Opus Hussein X
May 7, 2008 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink

Yeah, but how often is "sometimes" compared to how often he's wrong? Stopped clocks, and all that.

I mean-- let's say Zogby, for whatever reason, always predicts the most optimistic possible outcome for Obama. Occasionally, the most optimistic possible outcome for Obama or close to it will actually take place. On those occasions Zogby will look like a genius, since he was right while the bulk of the crowd, who were making "normal", moderate positions, was way off. Does this actually give us any reason to think Zogby should be taken seriously as a source of predictions, though?

Posted by mcc
May 7, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink

He was right about IN and NC.

Her "win" is down to 1.4%. Without Operation Chaos, it's clear who won IN. This is not lost on supers -- he outperformed, plain and simple.

Posted by 57andFemale
May 7, 2008 3:39 PM | Reply | Permalink

But, everything that Zogby says above was true weeks ago. She had PA ahead of her, but her win there was never going to help her mathematically - her best hope was that it would improve the perception of her "electability" over Obama's in the eyes of the SuperDels. It was all about negative campaigning, making Obama look bad - he's a racist, he's a terrorist, he's not patriotic. And in the end, it didn't play.

I don't really see what's so different now. I say she should stay in - but enough with the Rovian tactics that she's been using against Obama for weeks now. Act like a Democrat, for God's sake. Show a little class. Maybe use the time to focus on the issues and talk policy. How about drawing attention to some of McCain's weaknesses? I know - maybe she could use the next couple of weeks to actually, I don't know, serve the public interest? I know, it's a crazy idea, but one can dream, can't they?

Posted by CarolBG
May 7, 2008 3:51 PM | Reply | Permalink

Zogby polls superdelegates now?

Posted by thrillhouse
May 7, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink

His byline says "Independent pollster and political analyst".

Posted by Opus Hussein X
May 7, 2008 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink