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Why We'll Be Seeing Clinton on The Ticket
After reading some headlines this morning I’m thinking that
the giddy speculation on Obama’s VP nominee over the last few weeks may have
been in vain. Today Hillary Clinton made
it clear she is willing to take her quest for the nomination to the convention
in Denver if FL and MI are not resolved to her satisfaction. Those upcoming negotiations are sure to offer
a compromise to seat at least a portion of those delegates, but Hillary’s
contention is that they should be seated as is.
Since that would be unfair, by any measure other than her own, it won’t
be happening that way. After all Obama
wasn’t even on the ballot in MI. This
leaves an opening for Hillary to take it to Denver. Most politicians, pundits, and perhaps voters
too, believe that a Denver battle will almost certainly kill any chances for a
Democratic president in 2008. The threat
of going to Denver sends a chill down all our spines.
Why would Hillary want that kind of destruction? It’s been postulated that Clinton may be angling for 2012 and prefer Obama loose the general if nominated. This is a hollow strategy but it’s pricked up the ears of a subset of her supporters who are angry, feel that she has been treated unfairly by the media, and want to throw the general election away from Obama. To date she has not made any statements to discourage this group from organizing. Her current accusations of sexism in the media are also being interpreted by some supporters, including the fledgling 2012 group, as also saying the Obama campaign has been sexist. In a recent Fox News appearance the ladies attempting to organize that movement were pressed by Bill O’Reilly for specifics on how Obama’s campaign has been sexist. They were unable to come up with one example, however their contention remained unchanged. A 2012 strategy would be doomed to failure. She would alienate scores of dems and be branded as a spoiler. We wouldn't forget that, hell I'm still pissed at Ralph Nader and will probably always be so. No one can predict what's on the horizon 4 years from now so I don't think that's her strategy here, it's too unknown. It’s unlikely that she will ever get any closer to the White House than where she ends up in this election whether Obama wins or not. The clamoring from the bitter of her supporters best serves as a chorus behind her arguments for FL, MI and a presence on the ticket.
Clinton is planning on being nominated at that convention one way or another. If she will not be on the top of the ticket then, by cracky, she’ll be on the bottom. Her two biggest cheerleaders have begun to initiate plan B. The day after Hillary’s loss in NC and underperformance in IN Terry McAuliffe spoke about how great he thought she would be as a VP candidate. He said he hadn’t discussed it with her, but I find it hard to believe that the chairman of her presidential campaign would go public with that without checking with her first. Today the Huffington Post reported that Bill Clinton is also pushing for a VP spot for her on the ticket behind the scenes, and in a poll the majority of voters selected Clinton for preferred VP. On the stump the shift of negative attacks away from Obama and towards generalized sexism serve to set the background for her next major move.
In recent times the presumptive nominee was apparent at an earlier stage in the primary and had the luxury of having a significant control over the vice presidential nominee selection. Not this time. Hillary has a large minority of the democratic primary votes, has managed to whip up a frenzy of resentment and can threaten to almost hold the party hostage. The seeds of Plan B have already been planted. Given the fact that the VP is nominated by election at the convention and not simply selected by the presidential nominee I’d say that we will be seeing Hillary’s name on the general election playbill. Perhaps Jim Johnson’s time would be better spent vetting food tasters.
I’m waiting for you to convince me that I’m wrong. For that I will be grateful.












Comments (55)
Apart from the fact that it would save Obama's chances, be good for the Party and the country if she were to be on the ticket (even though I hope she turns it down, if asked), I won't focus on the insinuations in your post.
May 22, 2008 9:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
If it'd be good for the country, why so hopeful she'd turn it down? For spite? How magnanimous, Lalo.
May 23, 2008 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe this will convince you.
http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=1248
May 22, 2008 9:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not only up to Obama though, although he has heavy input. It will be decided by vote at the convention. I think she's gearing up for that.
May 22, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's why he'll pick earlier.
She will not end up on this ticket, unless he's running behind McCain, and polling shows that only with her would he be ahead.
Neither condition is true.
May 22, 2008 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I understand it, the convention can nominate and vote on a VP, but it doesn't happen unless the candidate also agrees. Does anyone know that something different is true?
Mrs. Clinton may believe that Obama is weak and can be bullied, but I think she'll discover that she's mistaken on both counts.
May 22, 2008 11:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
The delegates at the convention nominate VP candidates and a ballot is taken. The candidate with the majority of votes takes the VP spot. Normally the presidential nominee has named his choice and that is accepted and voted in. I don't think additional candidates have been nominated in the last few decades. It happened in 1972, but McGovern's choice won the VP nomination anyway.
May 23, 2008 1:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
There is no way in hell that Obama will ask Billary to join his government. Wishful thinking, and pigs will fly. He doesn't need her to beat McCain. This is the most bizarre and outlandish magical thinking I have heard for a long time. She is trying to blackmail him. Shame on her. She can go to hell.
May 22, 2008 9:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
This discussion makes me furious. Obama runs a brilliant campaign and wins against the machine and the disgusting Clinton tactics, and now she BLACKMAILS him??? He won, she lost.He owes her NOTHING. NOTHING. NOTHING. Really, this crap is just stunning in its arrogance. Hillary should write a book called The Audacity of Audacity.
May 22, 2008 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
OMG! Excellent! I just snorted. The Audacity of Audacity. You made my day! :)
May 23, 2008 1:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not this time. Hillary has a large minority of the democratic primary votes, has managed to whip up a frenzy of resentment and can threaten to almost hold the party hostage. The seeds of Plan B have already been planted. Given the fact that the VP is nominated by election at the convention and not simply selected by the presidential nominee I’d say that we will be seeing Hillary’s name on the general election playbill.
Pushing a VP through over the objections of the nominee isn't going to happen.
And I think Obama is less and less likely to pick Hillary, and here's why. She's pushing to be on the ticket, and pushing hard. She's "managed to whip up a frenzy of resentment and can threaten to almost hold the party hostage" as you put it. Bill is pushing for it now, along with her advisors. Scenarios are floated showing how she might twist superdelegate arms to put pressure on Obama.
All of that makes it pretty clear that she knows, and everyone around her knows, she's not going to get onto the short list any other way. Running mates don't usually threaten their way onto a ticket. If she were a good choice, she wouldn't be doing the things she's doing. She wouldn't be trying to power her way onto the ticket.
And so this becomes a test of Obama's spine. If he gives in, everyone will look at the situation and say he's an appeaser. Throw some threats his way, claim to have a "nuclear option", require some kind of tribute in exchange for not attacking, and he caves. If he gives in, he'll never have anyone's respect, ever. Certainly not Hillary's, and wouldn't that make a lovely basis for a president/veep team.
But not just Hillary. Everyone will see that Hillary made the threats, floated the idea of a "nuclear option," etc., and Obama gave in. If he gives in, he'll never have anyone's respect, ever.
May 22, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rabbit man, you got in just after me, and your thoughts are more sane. She is just driving me crazy right now. It's like dealing with Jack N. in The Shining. She's a crazy person. How do you deal with a crazy person?
May 22, 2008 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
She's not crazy, she's ruthless, thuggish, shrewd, coldly calculating, dishonest, double-dealing, fake, incompetent and often WRONG, but she's got her wits about her. Her Achilles heel? No matter how she threatens, lies, plays hardball, calculates and triangulates, she makes terrible mistakes in her judgment. She's going to discover this blackmail and extortionist tactics is another.
May 23, 2008 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
She's the psycho ex-girlfriend of the Democratic Party.
May 23, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
From the link posted by plee above:
That would certainly explain why she's kicking the threat level up.
When was the last time a running mate was forced on the candidate? I'll take your word for it that technically the vp is not selected directly by the nominee. But just imagine that Obama has picked someone else, let's say Sebelius. And this has been announced or at least leaked. And then Hillary steps in and somehow forces herself onto the ticket as the veep candidate.
It's not quite as bad as the scenario in which Obama actually chooses her in response to "nuclear" threats. But it makes Obama look weak if she can pull it off. I can't see that happening.
After everything she's done, from endorsing McCain to threatening the "nuclear option" and everything in between, I think there's a pretty good chance that she'll never run for any office higher than Senator ever again. She's burned too many bridges at this point. That's the other reason she's willing to kick the threat level up so high, because she's burned so many bridges that this really is her last chance.
May 22, 2008 9:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. Obama should refuse to take her and then DARE the party to do something about it. I mean, what really are their options. Give HER the nomination for president because she can't have the V.P. slot? Hardly.
So, when the time domes to select a running mate, I look forward to Obama denouncing and rejecting the political cancer the Clintons have become.
May 23, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's some good analysis. I'm going to recommend the whole post. It's a good post, but this is the kicker.
May 22, 2008 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. I don't think it will work. It would be perpetual soap opera. Bill can't keep his mouth shut. You can take it to the bank that they'd demand some special role for themselves and the Clintons would not be able to restrain themselves from trying to over shadow Obama.
Put her on the Supreme Court, heck, put both of Clintons on the Supreme Court.
May 22, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
All this loose talk about the Supreme Court is just wrong. Mrs. Clinton may be a lawyer, but she has no judicial experience. She also lacks the wisdom. Somehow power has corrupted two people who more of us once believed in. That doesn't make a good choice for someone who decides how the laws will be carried out for a generation. Let's leave the Supreme Court out of this horse trade talk.
May 22, 2008 11:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Neither did Earl Warren, and that worked out all right. Judicial experience as a qualification for the SCUS is overrated.
I think deep down, Hillary wants to do good. The problem is, she's willing to do virtually anything to put herself in the position to do good. Putting her on the Supreme Court would remove that need and the need for her to pander to keep her electoral options open. She could concentrate on being the good Hillary she wants to be.
A part of me also relishes the idea of Justices Thomas and Scalia having to work with her on a daily basis.
May 23, 2008 6:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
She will still have a large share of the delegates going into the convention. After the delegates formally elect our nominee (Obama) They then will elect the VP. If all her delegates then vote for her plus she gets a fair share of his due to guilt, pressure or admiration then she will be the VP. Customarily the presidential nominee's choice is voted in but this convention might be different.
May 22, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
A large share of the delegates means squat, Bademus.
Obama will already have announced who his nominee is. The delegates will not cut off their candidate at the knees by forcing on him a VP candidate he has rejected.
It simply won't happen.
By August, Obama will have made it clear to the weaklings and wafflers that, if he's the candidate, it has to be his party.
Meanwhile, Hillary's batshit-crazy act will have persuaded even the most cowardly SD that putting her on the ticket would be political suicide in November.
Look, Obama-Clinton started as a rivalry but turned into a death match. Hillary is now mortally wounded, staggering around the ring.
Party insiders might have wished Obama would finish her off cleanly, but it's come to the point where they -- the SDs -- have to turn thumbs up or thumbs down.
There are no half-meaures left to try. By August, there won't be any guilt, admiration or pressure to exploit.
Time to turn the page on the Clintons.
May 22, 2008 10:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, That's pretty persuasive. Not quite convinced but I'm likin it.
May 22, 2008 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine, as long as he returns the Vice Presidency to the level it was when Dan Quayle held the office and ships Bill off to some Ambassadorship where he can do no harm.
May 22, 2008 10:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
We sure don't want another Cheney like situation. I always thought that the vice president was kind of wasted when he could be doing more, but Cheney has certainly pointed out the dangers. The VP must be under the president. Can anyone really picture Mrs. Clinton ever accepting that? Or Bill? If she was president, she'd do her best to squash the VP into what she demanded. But if she was the VP, she'd do her best to wrest power. They really are corrupted by power.
May 22, 2008 11:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's true. That's the scary part. It would be worse than Cheney because Obama is smart and principled. It would make the situation toxic. Cheney has probably been good for Bush, not for the country, but could you imagine a Quayle with this Bush?
May 22, 2008 11:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
He doesn't like her, will pick soon, and then can't be forced to retract his pick. Agree with Monica and acanuck.
May 23, 2008 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Intimidation. That's what this whole thing is about. Hillary still believes she has a shot at the nomination if she can intimidate enough supers.
In my own state, Missouri, Attorney General Jay Nixon is running for governor and remains an Uncommitted superdelegate. Why? Because he has built his career on being the champion of seniors, whose favorite is Hillary and whose vote he depends on heavily now.
Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carnahan also remains Uncommitted. She is the daughter of former Sen. Jean Carnahan, who filled her late husband's vacancy when he beat John Ashcroft for the U.S. Senate AFTER dying in a plane crash. Robin comes from deep in the party core and owes her office largely to women voters, another Clinton constituency.
They are but two Uncommitted supers in one state. And until Hillary quits or is beaten, they will stay on the fence. Imagine how she intimidates them.
May 23, 2008 1:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I hope the voices of reason above are correct and that he will pick a running mate soon and put all that to rest. But I'm still rattled by her contention re Denver today. I really thought that once FL and MI were resolved there would be a gracious bow out, but she seems more like a loose cannon now than ever.
May 23, 2008 3:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, there's always the chance that after FL and MI are resolved on the May 31, there will be a huge amount of pressure from the higher-ups (Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi, etc.) for her to stop the charade and stop the complaining. In other words: take the compromise. I do see your fears, though. Knowing Hillary Clinton, it's not going to matter what's decided, because it's not going to be good enough for her unless they're fully seated as-is. But I think everyone understands how irrational that is, and really how unethical it is to do so, especially concerning MI.
But there's a part of me that thinks that after FL and MI are decided upon on the 31st, the news will soon sink in, not only to Hillary, but the general public. That's the key. If she's not getting support from the public, then she's going to have huge issues. And right after that we have Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota. Granted that PR will only bolster her arguments (in her mind), but my point is that the primaries will shift focus from FL and MI onto the actual primary and election at hand.
May 23, 2008 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
An Obama-Clinton ticket would win the election but LOSE the presidency....and we would have a Republican back in the White House in 2012 anyway.
May 23, 2008 9:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
This post needs updating to reflect the latest news from CNN -- or should I say, the latest leak from the Clinton campaign via CNN?
It sounds to me like the Clinton campaign gamed out the same scenarios that we gamed out in this thread, and came to the conclusion that their only shot at VP was to move fast, in order to ratchet up the pressure *before* Obama announces another pick.
Not clear to me that it's going to work.
May 23, 2008 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
this is, bar none, the worst idea that i have ever heard. hillary and bill would be absolutely toxic, not only on the campaign trail, but in the white house, as well.
we've already seen the way that bill campaigns, and it shouldn't inspire confidence in anyone. we know how high hillary's negatives are, particularly among the now dormant far-right nutjobs that voted bush into office twice. we know that hillary has repeatedly said that obama's unelectable, and there is no way to walk back from that. we know that the republicans have hired rove jr. to find dirt on obama - if he's able to go after the clintons for the past eight years as well, the ticket's already sunk. (this assertion that she has somehow been vetted is absolutely false. how many foreign governments do you think bill has been consulting for recently?)
this is nothing more than another move on the part of clinton supporters to attempt to sink obama's presidential campaign. she has not earned a right to the ticket. she's earned a right to move to west virginia to take shots with her people.
May 23, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can't tell how much of what the Clinton camp is doing right now is just political theater. I do believe that it is wrong to force a VP on the nominee. The VP should be the nominee's choice and no one else's.
May 23, 2008 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary...has managed to whip up a frenzy of resentment...
I'll still be laughing at that one when I'm dying. Seriously...do you Drama Queens of Manufactured Outrage EVER take any responsibility for yourselves? The 'frenzy of resentment' is your problem created by you. Nobody else. Grow up.
May 23, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
She has whipped up a frenzy of resentment in us Obama supporters by her negative tactics and doublespeak. She is also whipping up a sexism frenzy amongst her supporters who are not accepting that she will lose. I don't hear a huge outcry from them at this time but there is a group that has picked up her lead and is running with it and trying hard to give it some steam.
Face it, as has always been said about her, she is an extremely polarizing force. Think back to when this primary started. I only knew a few Hillary haters back then. Now there everywhere.
May 23, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama said no, thats why we are witnessing the temper tantrum of bill and hillary. also note bill is now saying chelsea would be great in politics. I was extremely offended when the right wing nut jobs said hillary and bill were pimping her out and now with hillary's loss bill says this about chelsea.
May 23, 2008 12:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Clinton is a the get out the vote poster child for the ring wing machine. Lets send her away to Africa or the Orient.
May 23, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's wrong, it's wrong, it's wrong.
They can't make me. I don't want to.
I'll hold my breath till I turn blue.
May 23, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Woops. Hillary Clinton is the get-out-the-vote poster child for the right-wing machine. Let's send her away to Africa or the Orient.
May 23, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
If he wimps out and puts her on the ticket I guess he gets the VP he deserves. This whole thing is making me so crazy!! I mean I am having a WEDDING at my house next Saturday and don't even have my dress yet and here I sit glued to my computer unable to think about anything else; how pathetic is that???
And that bit in the post about how the Hillary supporters are charging the Obama campaign and the media with sexism and saying that's why Hillary lost and yet no one can come up with one credible example of sexism, let alone a pattern of it. I heard Geraldine Ferraro being interviewed on Fox and the examples she gave were ludicrous, including Obama brushing off his suit--that was NOT sexism!! Nor was that directed at Hillary! That was directed at the debate moderators after the Philly debate. I don't really see the Annie Oakley remark as sexist--Annie Oakley was a great cowgirl and a credit to her sex, plus that comment was more of a joke than anything.
May 23, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
The latest polls show that Clinton is running better than Obama against McCain--and that only Clinton can win Florida. In fact, Gallup has M and O running even nationally, while Clinton runs ahead and outside the margin of error.
Let's face it, she would help Obama win. Please let's not get hysterical about this, if Obama is the president he will decide where the policies lie, not Clinton. JFK chose LBJ even though he couldn't stand the man. THAT made the difference in the election. Moreover, LBJ turned out to be more liberal than JFK.
So let's get real and beat McCain. If Hillary turns it down--all the supporters will be happy and Hillary will be reconciled.
This is what needs to happen.
Campion
May 23, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed with above comments that he will pick before convention. If you trust his diplomatic skills (so far so good in my book), and his leadership skills (not bowing to pressure which makes arguably little sense objectively and compromises the message, the chemistry specifically) it will be his decision.
Btw, overruling his decision, would carry negative consequences as well in the electorate, so Im not sure if anyone could see the decision to overrule the candidate choice aa a positive, no matter what HRCs argument. Questioning decision making (and not trusting the black man to make decisions?) to the point of dictating and overruling a president. How could he govern a country if he can't control his own party officials? Could anyone imagine forcing Jimmy to take on Teddy?
May 23, 2008 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed with above comments that he will pick before convention. If you trust his diplomatic skills (so far so good in my book), and his leadership skills (not bowing to pressure which makes arguably little sense objectively and compromises the message, the chemistry specifically) it will be his decision.
Btw, overruling his decision, would carry negative consequences as well in the electorate, so Im not sure if anyone could see the decision to overrule the candidate choice as a positive, no matter what HRCs argument. Questioning decision making (and not trusting the black man to make decisions?) to the point of dictating and overruling a president. How could he govern a country if he can't control his own party officials? Could anyone imagine forcing Jimmy to take on Teddy?
May 23, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
She has no leverage. She has not enoguh votes to do jack squat.
She doesn't help him win either. Edwards performed best as VP in Survey USA polls vs. McCain.
I say Edwards or Webb, they will both perform well with working class whites.
May 23, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Three months ago, I thought a Dream Ticket was likely ... and a great idea.
Two months ago, I thought a Dream Ticket was possible ... but probably wouldn't happen.
Six weeks ago (about the time when Clinton began running the 3 A.M. ad and questioning Obama's ability to be commander-in-chief) ... I thought a Dream Ticket was doomed ... and would not be a good idea.
A month ago, I thought the Dream Ticket was impossible ... and terrible.
Today ... I think the Dream Ticket is likely ... and the only ticket that can really heal a fractured party (sigh), and therefore, acceptable. The new math gives Hillary a powerful potential weapon.
May 23, 2008 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is the REAL reason we will never see Hillary as a VP. Her own people are about to jump ship, en masse, granting Obama the power and comfort zone to tell her, politely of course, to buzz off:
http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=1258
May 23, 2008 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
For that link I am grateful.
May 23, 2008 8:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary/McCain '08 imo
That way they can get 100% of the racist vote.
May 23, 2008 4:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
This makes sense for both of them. They can both get in the White House. And, unlike if she was on Obama's ticket, their talking points won't differ!
May 23, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't help but believe some of her followers will feel second place is an insult. Why would she want VP when she can have real power in the Senate?
She has run strongly with the older female demographic on 'girl power' / 'hear me roar' themes - taking second place in what is traditionally the weakest political job in Washington is not a win for her or her husband. It just doesn't make sense to me.
Despite my disappointments as to how she has run her campaign, I do think she still has an opportunity to return to the senate and continue to develop into a real powerhouse on Capitol Hill - and I hope this is what she does in the end.
May 23, 2008 5:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Following up -- what is really critical is, of course, what the voters will think of this match. At first blush many will think 'dream ticket'. But I think the women that are so excited about her run as a historic moment will quickly see her standing behind a MAN, in second place and that there will be a roar along the lines of "Nobody puts baby in a corner!!" And I wonder if that will push them harder to vote for McCain, write in Hillary or stay at home.
May 23, 2008 5:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
OMFG. I just saw the video of Clinton's comment referencing Bobby Kennedy's assasination as she was seaking to explain why she is still staying in. I am shocked and horrified.
May 23, 2008 5:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still think we'll see the crazy bitch on the ticket? After her comment today, I'd be surprised if she was allowed within 500 yards of the White House.
May 23, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
God I hope not. I am just sick.
May 23, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
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