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why hillary hasn't left the race yet.........
Hillary Clinton has not left the race yet because of several reasons....
1.
Pushing back against political punditry, more than six in 10 Democrats say there's no rush for Hillary Clinton to leave the presidential race even as Barack Obama consolidates his support for the nomination and scores solidly in general-election tests.
Despite Obama's advantage in delegates and popular vote, 64 percent of Democrats in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll say Clinton should remain in the race. Even among Obama's supporters, 42 percent say so.
2. Hillary is going to win HUGE in West Virginia, Kentucky, Puerto Rico and Might win Oregon.
3. Obama still needs the super delegates to push him over the top, in order to reach 2,025 delegates...... Hillary is going to fight hime tooth and nail to stop that from happening.
4. Hillary is waiting to see on May 31, what is going to happen with Michigan & Florida.
5. "IF" she can pull off a win in the popular vote with or without michigan and florida, she is going to use that to her favor.
6. In the national polls, they are both favored by democrates to go up against John McCain...as long as she stays in the above 40% in the polls.
7. She has won all BIG democratic states, hoping to use that to get super delegates on her side.
8. She is hoping that something between May & June about Obama will help her take over and become the winner.
9. She is hoping that by staying in, he will be pushed to pick her as his VP.
10. She is staying to gather up support for a 2012 possible run.













Comments (75)
Wow. With a strategy like that, it's amazing she's not already the nominee.
Oops...the Unity Baby isn't supposed to say things like that. Bad Unity Baby, bad!
May 12, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now, Baby, criticize the behavior, not the unity baby.
May 13, 2008 12:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Too bad B.O. won't debate.
This is where she shines.
She comes off so far ahead of him
in breadth of knowledge and good
judgement.
Then you look at their records.
One shows a hard-working, committed
candidate, and the other, well, you
wonder how anyone who did so little
for his district even made it to the senate.
May 13, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
In reply to "present" up-thread:
We had 23 debates. Obama was in all the same ones Clinton was in. So your non-sequitor blather is factually void.
May 13, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Non-sequiturs....she is hoping for a miracle, she is looking to be chosen VP, she is aiming for 2012....
Grasp at straws, much?
May 13, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm recommending this post out of sympathy...hillaryclinton08 you've submitted FOUR posts on TPM today!
You are a glutton for punishment and I salute you.
May 12, 2008 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yoda Urbinato is right, and the Hillary Deatwatch is ruthlessly punishing:
"We've believed for some time that the day Obama overtakes Clinton in the pledged delegate count is the day Clinton throws in the towel. But Friday was that day, and the towel is still there, mopping up the Clinton campaign's blood, sweat, and tears by the bucketful...
"Right now, the question is no longer who has won the Democratic nomination. It's how the loser chooses to exit. As cops like to say, we can do this the easy way or the hard way. Depending on which way Clinton wants to go, West Virginia, which votes tomorrow, could mean one of two things. Either Clinton seizes on it as an excuse to stay in the race and compete with Obama in Kentucky and Oregon and Montana and Puerto Rico until she has to be euthanized on the track. Or she goes out on a high note. The latter option is looking more and more attractive as it becomes clear that the longer she bruises Obama, the more she'll have to atone for it in the general."
http://www.slate.com/id/2191194/
May 13, 2008 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just out of curiosity, what kind of ruling do you expect to come out of the May 31st meeting and do you think you would accept whatever ruling the committee comes up with?
May 12, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tsk, tsk, tsk...TalkLeft and Crazy Bag Lady Taylor Marsh have decided that it's sexist if you use the term "fighting tooth and nail" in reference to Clinton.
How dare you???
May 12, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
1) tsk, tsk, tsk...TalkLeft and Crazy Bag Lady Taylor Marsh have decided that it's sexist if you use the term "fighting tooth and nail"
That seems wrong - I'm male and I have a lot more teeth and nails than Taylor Marsh has brains or class.
As for Jeralyn - I think the failure of Fitzmas to materialize drove her and Larry No Quarters over the deep end.
May 13, 2008 3:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's gone so over the top in his Obama hatred that I'd completely forgotten LJ started out in the public eye as a pro-Plame, anti-Rove warrior. I saw the Plame-Wilsons had done a TV spot for Hillary. I guess they are untroubled by her giggly games of bipartisan footsie with the man they once vowed would be frog-marched out of the White House. (The funny part is, I suspect HRC never could have given Joe Wilson a diplotic post to match his ego, and what he thinks he's owed by all this kowtowing.)
May 13, 2008 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
She wouldn't fight "tooth and nail" because she might break a nail in the process...
I'm sorry, that was a low blow, and I certainly didn't mean it - except to be funny.
I have plenty of reasons for my disdain for Hillary Clinton. I certainly don't need to include her sex in the equation. (Not that it would figure as anything other than a neutral factor for me... same as the color of Barack Obama's skin.)
Had Obama run a "healthcare reform" project in secret, locking out all but the power players like some kind of a Cheney Energy board, then voted for the war and refused to apologize (while attempting to re-write history to indicate that an anti-Iraq war Hillary had not been opposed), then made a leukwarm statement of conditional opposition to Telecom immunity before bailing out to avoid an actual vote on the issue, then disparaged MoveOn after schmoozing for their endorsement but loosing it, then made a series of thinly veiled sexist comments about Hillary designed to hurt her as a candidate (which fortunately would be impossible in this country, unlike thinly veiled racist appeals) I would be as disgusted with him as I am with her.
But he didn't do any of those things. She did all of those things, and that barely scratches the surface of how she has abandoned her alleged principles and alienated what could have been her broad based support.
So hope all you want. The only thing that could save her campaign is a time-warp that leads to a do-over. Not that she'd do anything differently.
May 13, 2008 4:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is worrying me. I don't know if it's getting to anyone else.
Limbaugh hasn't abandoned Operation Chaos. He's urging republicans in WV to go out there and make sure a blowout is a landslide.
What's going to happen if he manages to deliver Oregon for Clinton as well?
Jed's shown what Schneider and other commentators have downplayed: Limbaugh did put her over in Indiana. We know he gave her Texas.
It is going to be harmful if she stays in through all the remaining primaries. It gives superdelegates who strongly support her the reason they need not to cross over for Obama.
May 12, 2008 9:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wouldn't worry about it too much. It doesn't change the math.
May 12, 2008 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unfortuately, Obama isn't facing a fair fight. But when is American presidential politics fair? I think this is like Jackie Robinson--the man has to be super-excellent and perform way better than the average leading candidate, yes, in part because he's black. But he's doing it--he's fired up!
May 13, 2008 10:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
For Christ's sake, stop chicken littling and cowboy up, dammit. I am sick to death of the way Democrats ascribe supernatural powers to Republican blowhards like Limbaugh. It reminds me of nothing so much as the learned helplessness of people in abusive relationships who ascribe omniscience and omnipotence to their abusers.
Best evidence says cross-over Republicans engaged in michief (which is, apparently, a fine old tradition in Indiana) pushed Hillary from a microscopic defeat to a microscopic victory in Indiana. Obama is ahead 6 - 10 in Oregon, which is hardly prime Limbaugh country.
May 13, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not even that much. I crunched the numbers, and while one can never know exactly, my safest bet was that she got a net +.6% - not enough to change the results even as close as it was. But, even if we want to double it, and give her an extra 1.2%, fine. Obama would've won by an even smaller margin than Hillary won, and the reaction would've been the same.
Bottom line: Operation Chaos doesn't matter.
May 13, 2008 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
11) She hopes that big wins in West Virginia and Kentucky will help her raise enough funds to pay off a chunk of her 20 million + dollars of campaign debt.
May 12, 2008 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
12) The longer she stays in the race in order to raise money to pay off her campaign debts, the more her campaign debt increases.
Hillary/Oroboros '08!!!
May 12, 2008 11:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
13) Because 13 is an unlucky number, she has to stay in unless a black cat crosses her path.
May 13, 2008 2:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
14) Having candidates campaign in a state increases voter interest and Democratic registration, potentially increasing Democratic turnout in November
15) In many of the states in which Democratic candidates campaigned (at least earlier in the race), Obama got about a 5% bump vs. McCain in general election polls.
May 13, 2008 4:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Patriot Actor is Ghengis. Patriot Actor is Ghengis.
May 13, 2008 12:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
sorry....the waving arm distracted my sense of geometry.
that should have been
CONSERVATIVE LIBERAL IS GHENGIS
CONSERVATIVE LIBERAL IS GHENGIS
CONSERVATIVE LIBERAL IS GHENGIS
Can't believe it. I'm learning crap-speak.
May 13, 2008 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going to kill this 2012 thing right now. If Obama loses the GE the fact of the matter is - Hillary will get some of the blame. Whether it is deserved or not, perception in politics is all that matters. So on to my point. Her political clout will be severely weakened and the odds of her being able to fund it, or get the nomination will be very long indeed.
Also stop with the big states reasoning. Because Hillary won the state in the primary is not an indicator that Obama with a few possible exceptions and these aren't must wins to win the GE. WV is one that comes to mind. To see how the electoral map is likely to change this year please go to fivethirtyeight.com
She might fight tooth and nail, but I fear the Super Delegates may be a lost cause. I think Obama has what he needs locked up and is trickling them out on purpose.
However Hillary08 I do salute your unwavering, positive loyalty. And because of it I have rec'd you too
May 12, 2008 10:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. Here is an extremely insightful and detailed argument by Poblano of fivethirtyeight.com why the 2012 theory is untenable:
Five Reasons Why 2012 is a No-Go for Clinton
May 13, 2008 11:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think HRC will run again if she is
not our candidate.
The corporations controlling the media are
deciding our elections.
I don't think she wants to take their garbage
for the rest of her life.
The good news is if Obama is our candidate,
we won't have to deal with him again.
And his god-awful racist campaigning.
No more swarms of snotty Trolls hijacking
the blogs.
May 13, 2008 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Today's USA Today/Gallup Poll doesn't hurt either. It shows that Obama is hurt almost as much by his association with Jeremiah Wright as McCain is hurt by his association with George Bush. And it allows the possibility that Obama may actually be hurt more than McCain. One-third of voters surveyed say they are less likely to vote for Obama because of Wright. That's serious.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/107215/Bush-May-Harmful-McCain-Wright-Obama.aspx
May 12, 2008 10:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
This explains why he is ahead in all of the indicators. Mystery solved!
May 13, 2008 12:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
West Virginia Senate Majority Leader Harry Truman Chafin,“Just wait ‘til we win like 80-20.”
“We’ve got to give her a vote tomorrow of 80-20 or 90-10,” he added moments later.
A campaign spokesman quickly tried to downplay Chafin’s remarks, saying “We appreciate his exuberance, but we're pretty sure this race is going to be much closer than that.”
Polls suggest Clinton will win West Virginia very easily — recent polls have shown her beating the Illinois senator by as much as 40 percentage points.
But Chafin isn’t the only one raising expectations.
Last week President Bill Clinton told a campaign crowd that ”all this stuff you are hearing about is an attempt to discourage you. That's what this is, pure and simple, hoping, 'Well, Hillary can get 80 percent of the vote in West Virginia', and if only 100,000 people show up it is not enough. But if 600,000 people show up, and you say, 'We want a president', then you will see the earth move.
There are 28 pledged delegates in play in West Virginia Tuesday, so a victory margin of 60-80 percent would allow Barack Obama to maintain a significant part of his 172 delegate lead, though it could slow his momentum.
Clinton herself didn’t completely shy away from the expectations game, calling Tuesday’s primary “a crucial turning point in this election.” She argued that voters’ primary objective should be to choose the candidate best suited to beat John McCain in the fall.
“I wouldn’t be doing this if I didn’t believe I could be the best president for West Virginia and America and that I was the stronger candidate to take on John McCain in the fall and make sure we have a Democrat in the White House,” she said.
Obama himself seemed happy to agree with the most optimistic Clinton campaign assessments. “I think President Clinton said that they are going to get 80 percent of the vote,” he told reporters in South Charleston Monday afternoon. “We’ll take him at his word.”
May 12, 2008 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yet another crucial turning point. TX OH, IN NC and now WV. I'm starting to get dizzy going around the circle ;)
And Bill is going to say to you and all her supports it's over go home? Not his nature whether it is or isn't.
Ok So Hillary08 should your dream not come true will you support Obama? Just curious.
May 12, 2008 10:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
We've turned another corner in our quest to circumnavigate the tetradecagon.
May 13, 2008 1:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bill's nature?
Thanks for reminding us all of just why we don't need them back in the White House.
Felsenthal (Clinton in Exile) repeats the old rumor that "Burkle and Clinton are partners in philandering." She also quotes an unnamed source alleging that "Burkle and Clinton spend time together doing things that Hillary would not want made public" and reports that Burkle calls his private plane "Fuck Jet."
Apparently this book is hugely flawed in that most of her claims are always `unnamed sources`.
But it is hard to imagine Bill being so often in a "Fuck Jet" and remaining above it all.
May 13, 2008 5:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's campaign has had as many turning points as Iraq.
May 13, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another HRC idolator with a "kudzu" post.
Kudzu? That's a weed in the South that is so invasive, people describe it with the phrase, "Drop it and run!!!."
May 12, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can also boil kudzu root to make a tea. It's great for sore throats.
May 13, 2008 1:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
The kudzu root is also used in Japanese and Chinese cuisine as a thickener like corn starch. Really useful and has a great "bite". I like it a lot better than regular corn starch, although it does tend to disintegrate if it cooks too long...
...what was this thread about again?
May 13, 2008 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
At most, Hillary will net 14 pledged delegates tomorrow. She's currently behind by 172.5, so tomorrow, if she has a huge margin in WV, she'll close the gap to 158.5.
Meanwhile this evening:
DC Democratic Party Chair Anita Bonds announced that she will support Barack Obama. Bonds is a SuperDelegate.
That's five superdelegates for Obama today.
May 13, 2008 12:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just for fun: the Slate Delegate Counter:
http://www.slate.com/id/2185278/
If Hillary wins all six of the last primaries (West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota) by 85% to 15%, oh wait...she still comes up short...
May 13, 2008 12:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
I hate to say this, but I really think Hillary will be too old in 2012. Now I'm concern trolling, but there is a HUGE double standard here. I do not have enough faith in our culture and its attitudes toward aging women. That said, I hope I age half as well as she is.
This is one case where raising expectations by HRC people probably isn't so stupid. She's going to win big, there's only one primary that night and its a foregone conclusion, the whole thing isn't going to mean anything in the long run and not that many people will be paying attention. So the rhetoric (YOU ALL ARE TOO RACIST TO VOTE FOR HIM, SO YOU'RE VOTING FOR ME!!!!! WHEEEE!!!!!) serves its purpose.
May 13, 2008 1:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
She's not running for 2012 because she hasn't lost this one yet.
Obama will need to grovel for every last superdelegate and he still better square the circle on his support demographics or ask Hillary for help. Otherwise you can have a stack of Unity Babies (sorry Allsburg) and it won't be enough.
The dark secret of this campaign was that not that many superdelegates supported Hillary, even though she had a small pile of them at first - it's been primarily her work at convincing average voters that she's acceptable that gives a good indication that she really can pull in the support. Until that happened, all talk of inevitability was simply marketing. Obama's still fighting his.
May 13, 2008 3:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Allsburg, whats the difference between a Unity Baby and a bowling ball? You can't stack bowling balls with a pitchfork. I'll leave lawyer jokes to Billy, but I imagine this one can be adapted as well.
May 13, 2008 3:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I think the physics of babies is much closer to the physics of bowling balls than the physics of lawyers. To wit, babies are almost as likely to resist stacking with pitchforks as bowling balls. Although I haven't tried it, I will note that I tend to roll uncontrollably off/out of most anything, unless it's bowl-shaped, or my mother's arms. I suspect that I would similarly roll off of bowling balls or other babies as well. (I'm kind of a similar shape to a ball, you see.)
May 13, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Being still at a tender age, I think you missed the pitchfork concept, but I'll spare you the nightmares. Sweet dreams, me preciousssss.
May 13, 2008 1:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Give me a plausible scenario where she wins the pledged delegate count or the superdelegates vote against it and the candidate who has out raised, out organized, and out performed her by every concievable measure.
May 13, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
really think Hillary will be too old in 2012.
Nah ... If Hillary gave half of her brain cells to McCain they both be smarter than James Carville.
May 13, 2008 3:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
That said, I hope I age half as well as she is.
But blue "character lines" would look so smurfalicious.
May 13, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Also, she will still be an evil warmonger in 2012.
May 13, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I rec'd you too HillaryClinton08 - for writing a pro-Hillary diary that doesn't smear Obama or make grossly illogical claims.
May 13, 2008 3:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I see poor Larry J's No Quarter listed on less and less blog rolls these days.
I guess once his site went ODS (Obama Derangement Syndrome) its been a quick trip downhill since.
Since the site went ODS, they've attempted to tie Senator Obama to every Chicago mobster/thug/terrorist/slumlord thats within 6 degree's of separation to anyone thats even known him in his lifetime.
Since he won NC, they've really become extra desperate & deplorable.
May 13, 2008 4:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Clinton is still fighting this trainwreck because she is selfish and doesn't give a crap about the party.
I would just like to remind the world that if Bill Clinton had resigned during the DNA-BLUE DRESS-I-PERJURED-MYSELF scandal like any respectable human being, we would be finishing the 2nd full term of Al Gore and not the 2nd full term of George W. Bush.
What a wonderful world THAT would be.
And mark my words.... if Barack Obama is damaged in the general election by anything Hillary did in the primary.... Obama supporters will remember. ANY Democrat in 2012 will kick her ass because we will make sure of it.
I'm so tied of looking at her plastered fake smile and bad pant suits. I am so tired of Bill CLinton and that damn lip biting/thumb pushing bullshit.
I am so grateful that their time is about to pass.
On to the NEW generation of Democrats... the ones that haven't hideously stained the party!
May 13, 2008 8:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
She should stay in untill the end. Her droping out would help no one. She has no hope of winning the nomination but neither does Ron Paul and he is still in it. Give her all the time she can take to retire her debt. It will not change the out come of either the primary or the general election. I used to fear that she would hurt Obama in the fall but she lacks the credibility to do so.
May 13, 2008 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't worry, Obama will win Oregon. He has a solid lead in every single poll there, unlike Indiana where Hillary led every one of them in the weeks prior to the primary.
Oregon will be more like a clincher. Oregon favors Obama like NC did.
If Clinton supporters think she'll win Oregon (which is not impossible) I think they're in for a disappointment. Don't worry Obama supporters, Oregon is very highly in our favor.
It's also becoming that at this point in the game, the Democratic Party will never allow the rulings (where Michigan was judged last week an unconstitutional election, there illegitimate and shouldn't count) to overturn a win by Obama under the rules...rules that Clinton agreed with from the onstart ("they don't count", she said) but changed in the middle of the game.
May 13, 2008 8:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't worry, but please do work the phones. Or go to Oregon to knock on doors, if you can. Let's end this thing on a high note!
May 13, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
We did it!
Hillaryclinton08 - YOU MADE THE RECOMMENDED LIST!
Congrats!!
Looking forward to reading your 4-5 blog posts today about how the WV results totally change the race.
May 13, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
May 13, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for that illustration of Hillogic.
May 13, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hm, let's try that again:
Gosh, I would not count on a huge win in Puerto Rico. There has been only one poll taken in that territory and it is over a month old by now. The trend of her starting with a wide lead which narrows as the election draws near is nearly a cliché by this point, so anyone counting on that 13 pt lead she enjoyed at the start of April holding up seems to be setting him/herself up for a big disappointment. After all, for all the talk of his indictment, Acevado-Vila is still the governor and still controls a sizable political machine in PR. I doubt that will be enough to overcome Clinton's advantage as the senator from New York, but it should be enough to keep it close. I would be very surprised if PR is even as lopsided as OH, and I think that it is quite out of the realm of possibility that it will be as lopsided as WV or KY.
All? Since when did Illinois cease to be a big democratic state? Incidentally, WI, MN, WA and OR might not be "big" in the same sense as OH or PA, but they are nonetheless important to a democrat's chances of victory, and Obama has already won three of those four and is on track to win the fourth handily. Your argument that the supers will be especially impressed by her "big" states, in other words, presupposes that the supers are the sorts of folks who think that five $20 bills are worth more than twenty $5 bills. I guess that I am unconvinced of the accuracy of that presupposition.
May 13, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
You should change your name to "delusional". HRC supporters, like the candidate herself, are still going through the stages of grief and are locked in the denial phase. It is no wonder that the large portion of her supporters openly refuse to transfer their support to Obama after his victory. They are mimicking the behavior of their God, HRC. A more vindictive, spiteful bitch could not have been found for this contest. It is that they must admire, as she has no other stronger traits. Good Riddance, let her self-destruct. Obama does not need her or Bubba.
May 13, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Obama loses she will bear some blame for dividing the party and lingering on to hurt the nominee.
The party was divided by the Obama campaign back around NH/SC.
And please...don't enable him. Let Barry take responsibility for his own defeat.
May 13, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Chill out dude. Give them room to have their grief and come over to the dark side in their own time. Pissing on 'em doesn't help one bit.
May 13, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I heard Terry McAuliffe on CNN this morning lyinjg again that Hillary will have received the most votes when all of this is over.
He conveniently ignores the fact that no record was kept of caucus votes in 4 states. So, he just ignores the votes in those states. Or more plainly put, he disenfranchises the voters in those states.
He also conveniently ignores the fact that 40% of Michigan voters voted for "Uncommitted." Since Hillary was on the ballot, this can loosely be translated as "Anyone but Hillary." Since Obama is the only besides Hillary still in the race, those votes go to him in any sane world.
When the unrecorded caucus state votes & the uncommitted Michigan votes are factored in, Obana easily got the most votes.Sorry, Terry, but you can't make it up as you go along & have any credibility.
May 13, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Number 11: She's in hock and needs to pay off Mark Penn and her loans to the campaign.
Number 12: "It's going to be me, Katie." (11/2007)
Number 13: It's ALL about ME. She's delusional and doesn't give a crap what happens to the Democratic Party; after all, McSame "is qualified to be commander-in-chief."
May 13, 2008 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
"9. She is hoping that by staying in, he will be pushed to pick her as his VP."
He won't and nobody will push him. Nancy Pelosi, Howard Dean, heck, even Jimmy Carter are all against a joint ticket. HRC has worn out her welcome and burned too many bridges.
"10. She is staying to gather up support for a 2012 possible run."
The irony here is that by hanging on now and forward, she's worsening her chances for 2012/16. If Obama loses she will bear some blame for dividing the party and lingering on to hurt the nominee. That will make a revenge push against her later all the more likely, as she will be a Nader-like figure who dashed Dem hopes in a good year for them. Her only hope for redemption is to help Obama win by campaigning for him hard, and then getting the gratitude vote next time.
May 13, 2008 1:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
11). She is insane.
12). She is the sorest loser on the planet.
May 13, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
VERY GOOD POINT!! There are also other points I wanted to bring up in which I had found on YourThreeCents.com
The Obama Bandwagon
May 13, 2008, 11:22 am
Posted by Front Lumps in Election2008
Beware of the silver tongued devil who seduces the masses with his rhetoric. For he is the antichrist, Barrack Hussein Osama incarnate.
But seriously though you people are pathetic. Everytime you watch an infomercial, you must by the crap 50X over becuase you're so easily manipulated into believing anything as long as whoever sells it is able to string together a few sentences without stuttering. I could probably sell you a shoebox full of shit for $1000 as long as I spoke like Hussein Obama and gave you a bunch of empty promises.
Thank Gog young people never actually show up to vote.
Comments
Posted by village q voice
on May 13, 2008, 11:46 am
Why so hostile front lumps? Would you prefer McCain-is he not the devil incarnate? They are both pretty bad but it looks like this is what we have to work with. I would arther have someone who wants change rather than sticking to the norm-which has not worked for us already
May 13, 2008 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
"1. Pushing back against political punditry, more than six in 10 Democrats say there's no rush for Hillary Clinton to leave the presidential race even as Barack Obama consolidates his support for the nomination and scores solidly in general-election tests. Despite Obama's advantage in delegates and popular vote, 64 percent of Democrats in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll say Clinton should remain in the race. Even among Obama's supporters, 42 percent say so. "
The pundits don't matter, what the rank and files says doesn't matter, what matters is if she can possibly win this without shattering the party's chances, and she can't, because she's going to have gone against the popular vote, and the pledged delegates. And if she manages to get the superdelegates to turn against the popular vote, say 'sayanara' to the new, young voters that have been coming into the party. Unless Obama absolutely tanks (pictures of an amorous encounter with a goat, say), stick a fork in her, she's done!
"2. Hillary is going to win HUGE in West Virginia, Kentucky, Puerto Rico and Might win Oregon."
See '1.', above.
"3. Obama still needs the super delegates to push him over the top, in order to reach 2,025 delegates...... Hillary is going to fight hime tooth and nail to stop that from happening."
See '1.', above.
"4. Hillary is waiting to see on May 31, what is going to happen with Michigan & Florida."
See '1.', above.
"5. "IF" she can pull off a win in the popular vote with or without michigan and florida, she is going to use that to her favor."
See '1.', above.
"6. In the national polls, they are both favored by democrates to go up against John McCain...as long as she stays in the above 40% in the polls."
See '1.', above.
"7. She has won all BIG democratic states, hoping to use that to get super delegates on her side."
Oddly, she's still losing; see '1.', above.
"8. She is hoping that something between May & June about Obama will help her take over and become the winner."
See '1.', above.
9. She is hoping that by staying in, he will be pushed to pick her as his VP. She has now been enough of a pain in the ass, I think he'd rather invite a cannibal over to dinner, with the cannibal doing the cooking; see '1.', above.
"10. She is staying to gather up support for a 2012 possible run." She has now shown herself to be a 'cannibal', where's she going to get a team? See '1.', above.
May 13, 2008 3:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Uh, she hasn't left the race because a) she had no plan B b) she has no exit strategy and c) 2008 is it because December 21, 2012 will be the end of the world. Yeah she might win the election in November but she won't be inaugurated in January of 2013.
May 13, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Limbaugh. Rove. These guys aren't geniuses. They're just dirtier then most of us so they end up looking smart because they don't give a damn about how their actions hurt their fellow Americans. That's all there is to their success.
The only reason operation chaos may be having some affect is because the Republican primary has long been decided.
May 13, 2008 5:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am an Obama supporter and I don't want her to leave the race entirely. I just want her to stop going negative against our parties presumptive nominee and insulting voters she doesn't win over.
I am all for her staying in until June 3rd and help drive up voter registration and party building that these races bring with them.
So several of your points are not entirely off-base, but probably not the same rationales you seem to be reading into your "poll numbers".
May 13, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Same, and agreed. She can go around acting as if there's still a campaign, and Obama should too. But the negative attacks need to stop in order to give supporters space to get comfortable with the idea of crossing over. Keeping the focus on the Dems and increasing the presence of the two campaigns, voter reg. in all states, etc. is a good thing. Dems likely won't win WV in November, but putting a dent in the popular vote total and creating more situations where the Republicans are on defense - be it nationally or locally - is a smart move for the Dems.
May 13, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
And as we have seen last cycle with George "Macaca" Allen, we never know where lightening will strike in down-ticket races.
So building the 50 state race infrastructure is important to utilize when opportunities knock.
May 13, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not a chance in hell. She is down by over 20% in the polling here and I have talked with MANY Democrats throughout the state, she will lose by NC type margins here.
May 13, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hmmm. I'm pretty sure Vanity was accidentally omitted from the list...
May 13, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
One thing you Clinton haters should realize is that in the states Clinton and Obama contest, a statewide organization is built for the primary that gives them a leg up for the general. Voter registration is increased and people who come out for primaries come out for generals.
Clinton's continuing until the last contest is good for overall Democratic party registration and infrastructure building. Moreover, once the primary is settled, the press will switch from Clinton-hunting to Obama hunting and start digging for scandal. The longer she stays in the less time they have to invent a scandal.
The press hate her more than Obama, but believe me, they will turn on him like the pack dogs they are. They love McCain who kisses their asses. Obama gives them less access than any other candidate in recent years - something that is bound to bite him down the road.
May 13, 2008 7:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, Front Lumps, who is this mighty Gog you worship? Does it appear to you wearing a yellow pantsuit?
You probably could sell me a shoe box full of crap for $1000...if it was Obama's crap!
May 13, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
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